A Feasibility Study of the Production of Ethanol From Sugar Cane

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    i

    PREFACE

    For a period now spanning more than ten years, the Queensland

    Department of Commercial and Industrial Development has sponsored research

    and feasibility studies within the Department of Chemical Engineering of

    the University of Queensland. A series of reports has been produced,

    each concerned with some aspect of Queensland's Development.

    The work has been carried under my broad supervision, generally

    by research officers. Earlier workers who have produced reports in this

    series include Mr. J.G. Job, Dr. P.J. McKeough and Dr. F.K. Mak.

    When we accepted the present assignment to write a report on the

    feasibility of producing ethanol from sugar cane, we had expected to

    follow much the same procedure used in the past. However, at about

    this time, Dr. F.H.C. Kelly visited the Department, and the possibility

    of a somewhat different approach became clear.

    Dr. Kelly is a man with very broad experience in the sugar industry -

    experience in Queensland and overseas and in many aspects of the sugar

    industry, which would be difficult to match. I invited him to work on

    the project for the Department, and the report is attached.

    I believe this will be a very useful starting point for consideration

    of a massive expansion of the Queensland sugar industry to produce ethanol.

    Others may prefer to fit alternative numbers to the various relationships

    outlined or even to modify some of the relationships. If we have

    provided a useful base from which to consider the alternatives, and if we

    have caused others to think about better alternatives, I believe we will

    have achieved our goal.

    D.J. Nicklin9.11.77

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    ii

    SUMMARY

    1. A comprehensive study has been made of factors related to the production of

    ethanol from sugar cane and problems related to its use in internal

    combustion engines. All ethanol costs are "ex-distillery" estimates.

    2. Cost estimates calculated for 25 sets of conditions range from 27 to 8c/l,

    summarised in Table A and illustrated graphically in figure 4 with 12

    relevant parameters.

    3. Preliminary experiments with juice are deemed necessary at estimated R.6D.

    cost of $100,000.

    4. Highest costs are for distilleries associated with the present Queensland

    sugar industry.

    5. It is considered unwise to tamper in any way with the structure of the

    present sugar industry for the purpose of obtaining low cost ethanol.

    6. Full advantage should be taken of experience in growing sugar cane, control

    of pests and diseases and of extracting juice.

    7. If the sugar industry should wish to divert cane to ethanol production in the

    event of failure of the export market this should be considered only as a

    short term palliative.

    8. Sugar cane grown in new areas specifically for ethanol would appear to have

    good prospects for lower cost development if_ a new social and economic

    structure suited to its own needs can be developed.

    9. The social changes would include 7 days/week of operation for 39 weeks/year

    for which 12 month employment conditions could be negotiated to cover

    agricultural as well as processing areas. A suitable agreement with unions

    would be a necessary preliminary determination.

    10. An Industrial Alcohol Energy Authority should be established to oversee the

    development and operation of the new industry with representation from

    government and unions as well as producer and consumer groups.

    11. Economic changes would include full mechanization of all agricultural

    activities with programmed maintenance and 24 hr/day - 7 day/week operation.

    This is not compatible with small farm units and the cost advantages of 1600

    ha properties or 35,000 ha estates have been examined.

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    iii

    12. Absolute costs are very difficult to estimate but the relativity of costs

    is believed to be satisfactorily indicative. Cost evaluations have been

    broken down to 12 main units and numerous sub-units providing a stability

    to the cost structure. Thus for the lowest costing route at 8C/1 the

    capital cost of the processing plant represents the highest cost component

    at 26%. A 50% error in this figure would alter the overall cost by 1c/1.

    13. Association with the present sugar industry could enable about 400 Ml/annum

    to be produced at around 25.5C/1 with one distillery in each of the four

    districts and using also all of the molasses produced from all of the mills.

    Any increase beyond this could only result in a higher price for ethanol

    produced within the structure of the present sugar industry.

    14. Recent experiments in Brazil have indicated that ethanol can develop 18%

    more power per litre than petrol but 15 to 20% more volume is used. A

    compression ratio of 10:1 is needed to achieve these results. The Fiat

    motor company in Brazil is prepared to make appropriate engine changes.

    15. Logistic constrictions on the rate of development of a new industry in

    Australia would mean initially blends with petrol in areas close to

    production progressively extending through Australia. A 7 to 10% limit

    is advised in high humidity areas (e.g. Queensland tropical wet season) but

    up to 15% would probably be safe in low humidity areas.

    16. Australia's present consumption of petrol of around 14Gl/year would require

    seven Queensland sugar industry (QSI) units to supply the whole amount as

    ethanol if only juice from stalk cane is processed.

    17. If cellulose from fibre is hydrolyzed and fermented with 50% recovery and

    whole cane (including tops and leaves) is processed only 4QSI units would

    be needed.

    18. A great deal of information is known about cellulose hydrolysis but not

    with respect to sugar cane fibre. A research and development

    investment of $2m specifically directed towards this objective is commended.

    19. District area units of 35,000 ha or 0.1 QSI units are commended for new

    area development, subject to qualifications relevant to item 15 table A.

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    iv

    20. Capital costs for each new area are estimated to total approximately

    $350m or $3,500m/QSI unit.

    Carrying present knowledge of cellulose hydrolysis to a viable stage for

    $2m could make the difference between a capital investment of $23,500m

    or $13,500 m i.e. $10,000m. A R. & D. investment of $20m could well

    be justified.

    21. The average productivity in Te sugar/ha - season of the present QSI is

    the best in the world, but Te cane/ha - season are only about 40% of

    local well demonstrated achievable figures. Evolutionary improvement

    is at the rate of 1.1 to 1.6% per year.

    22. If actual average productivity could be increased to 80% of achievable

    limit by wider application of already well known agricultural practices

    this would double unit area ethanol production and reduce the number of

    QSI units required to 2 or 3.5 depending on whether cellulose is

    processed or not.

    23. An establishment R.S D. investment of $llm is considered necessary

    for such an achievement to be realised.

    2*+. Since larger water supplies for irrigation would be required as well

    as larger or more numerous processing plants the total capital investment

    per QSI unit would be nearer $4,500m. The outcome of the $llm. R.£D.

    investment would determine the real need or otherwise of capital

    expenditure of $13,500m or $8,700m - again an investment that would

    be well justified if it cost 10 times as much.

    25. An establishment R.SD. investment of $3m is commended for developing

    the requirements for optimum agricultural operations other than those

    specifically relating to area productivity. This would have only

    marginal influence on capital expenditure but would relate to a

    difference in the price of ethanol of 5-8C/1 or $7-11,200m per year.

    The initial gross benefit would be very much less but the manner in

    which a new area development may be initiated will have long term

    price influences.

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    V

    26. The possibility of growing cassava as a fallow rotation crop has been

    examined. It would seem to have little influence on the estimated

    cost of ethanol but would increase area productivity by about 10(±3)%.

    27. If cellulose hydrolysis is practised it may be done either with or

    without using coal as fuel. The estimated productivity and cost

    differences are marginal but more capital is required for the ethanol

    plant if coal is not burned. The pro-rate capital investment for the

    coal plant and transport is probably about half of that required at the

    ethanol plant.

    28. If coal is used total consumption would be up to 4.3MTe per 14G1 of

    ethanol or 3256 litres of ethanol per tonne of coal. On the other hand

    the use of this tonne of coal has enabled only 1333 1 of extra ethanol

    to be produced which is still favourable when compared to 300 1 of

    petrol possible from the same tonne of coal by hydrogenation.

    Producing ethanol from sugar cane by the routes described may represent

    a net gain of energy varying between 10% and 64% according to the

    constrictions applied.

    29. The energy input for full mechanization of farming procedures is

    estimated at about 1% of ethanol output.

    30. Up to 90% of fertilizer requirements are expected to come from recycled

    evaporated distillery slops. When coal is burned about 74% of the

    heat from this source is needed for slops evaporation if looked on as a

    marginal effort. A very costly fertilizer - but convenient. On

    the other hand when processing from stalk cane juice the fuel required

    is readily available from surplus bagasse and two disposals are

    satisfactorily handled.

    31. A R. & D. investment to study the thermal balance of the distillery could

    conceivably reduce coal consumption by up to 50% and make the non-coal

    route more attractive. The possibility of recycling slops to the

    hydrolysis heap needs investigation. An investment of $lm could

    ultimately be worth $100m/year but much less initially and not critically

    im ortant until erha s 1990

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    vi

    32. A levy of at least 1% and preferably 2% of the value of the product

    is commended for R. & D. as a continuing investment.

    33. A system of indexed amortization has been suggested to enable

    development capital to be serviced at currently realistic rates

    of interest.

    34. Employment prospects are envisaged at 10,000 to 20,000 persons/14Gl -

    year directly concerned in field and factory, generating supporting

    employment 3 times this number. A similar number is envisaged as being

    employed during development stages. Each district would have a

    community of 6000 located in 3 sub-communities - one of 3000 and two

    of 1500. These numbers relate to 1600ha property or 35,000ha estate

    development. For 50ha farms an overall community of a million people

    is indicated and believed to be too large a proportion of the nation's

    manpower resources for a single product investment.

    35. The possibility of applying space-age technology through remote control

    has been examined and seems feasible with known technology. Complete

    control could be effected from the Brisbane area reducing the need

    for remote living to 1500 persons per district for maintenance and

    operator-assisted duties.

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    T A B L E A - S U M M A R Y

    ITEM

    1.

    12' 

    [ 3.

     4.

    5.

    6.

    Dual production with raw sugar, from

    stalk cane plus molasses from surrounding

    district mills. Restricted to one unitper district. Table VI

    Sole product from stalk cane at an

    existing mill plus molasses from

    district. Restricted to one unit per

    district. Table IX

    Mew area developed, Stalk juice.

    Social change to 7 day-week, 39 week

    season3 annual employment on farm as

    well as factory. 50ha farms.

    Table XVIII.

    As for 3 - 1600 ha properties.Table XVIII

    As for 3 - 35,000 ha estates

    Table XVIII

    As for 3 - whole cane processing

    including cellulose - 50 ha farms

    Table XIX

    LAND1

    AREA

    QSI

    UNITS

    no

    extra

    no

    extra

    6.7

    7.2

    7.6

    3.6

    ESTIM.

    COST

    EtOH

    2 7 ± 2 4

    2 8 ± 25

    24

    15.5

    14.5

    15.6

    GROSS

    CAPITAL

    INVEST.

    A $ m .

    23,500

    25,250

    26,500

    1 13,000

    R. S D.

    o.i2

    As

    2.5

    3.0

    3,5

    0.22

    3.0

    R.&D. BENEFIT

    (a) to process juice

    (b) thermal balance

    for 1.

    concept dev.3save 3C/1. =

    $420m/year..

    extra capital $1750m. cf.3,save 8.5cyi = $1200m/year

    extra capital $3000m. cf.3,

    save 9.5c/l = $1330m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis. concept

    dev. save capital $10,500m. cf.3 !

    & 8.4c/1 = $1176m/year

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    7.

    8.

    9.

    10.

    11

    12

    13.

    As for 6 - 1600 ha properties.

    Table XIX

    As for 6 - 35,000 ha estates

    Table XIX

    As for 3 - plus cassava fallow crop.

    50 ha farms. Table XX I

    As for 9 - 1600 ha properties

    Table XXI

    As for 9 - 35,000 ha estates

    Table XXI

    As for 6 - plus cassava fallow crop,

    50ha farms. Table XX II

    As for 12 - 1600 ha properties

    Table XXII

    3.9

    4.1

    5.4

    5.8

    6.0

    3.2

    3.4

    11.1

    10.6

    22

    15.2

    14.1

    15.8

    11.6

    13,500

    14,250

    19,000

    20 3300

    21,000

    12,000

    13,000

    0,2

    3.5

    0.2

    4.0

    3.0

    4.0

    4.5

    0.2

    3.5

    0.2

    4.0

    cellulose hydrolysis. concept

    dev. extra capital $500m cf.6.

    save 4.54/1 = $630m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis,

    concept dev. extra capital

    $1250m.cf.6. save 54/1 -

    $700m/year

    concept dev. save capital

    $4500m cf. 3. and 24/1 = $280m/

    year

    concept dev. extra capital

    $1300m,cf.9. save 6.84/1 =

    $950m/year

    concept dev, extra capital

    $2000m.cf.9. save 7.9c/1 =

    $1100m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis

    concept dev. save capital

    $1000m.of.6.extra 0.2c/1 =

    $28m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis

    concept dev. extra capital

    $500m.cf.7.extra 0.54/1 =

    $70m/year

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    14.

    15.

    16.

    17.

    18.

    19.

    As for 12 - 35,000 ha estates

    Table XXII

    As for 6 - but with agricultural

    productivity doubled. 50 ha farms

    Table XXIII

    As for 15 - 1600 ha properties

    Social advantages over 17.

    Save capital of $15,400m, cf. 3,

    Save 15.6*/1 = $2180m/year cf.3.

    Table XXIII

    As for 15 - 35,000 ha estates

    Table XXIII

    As for 12 - but with portion of bagasse

    as fuel and no coal. 50 ha farms.

    Table XXIV,

    As for 18 - 1600 ha properties

    Table XXIV

    3.6

    1.8

    1.9

    2.0

    3.7

    3.9

    11.1

    11.5

    8.4

    8.0

    12.4

    9.6

    13500

    8100

    8700

    9000

    14000

    14700

    0.2

    4.5

    ! 0.2

    11.0

    ! 0.2[

    11.0

    0.2

    12.0

    0.3

    5.0

    0.3

    5.5

    cellulose hydrolysis,

    concept development.

    save capital $750m. cf.8.extra

    .5c/l - $70m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis, concept

    development, save capital

    $4900 m. of.6. save 4.1c/1 =

    $570m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis, concept

    development, save capital

    $4800 in. cf.7. save 2.7£/l =

    : $378m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis-

    concept development,

    save capital $5250m, of.8, save

    2.6C/1 = $360m/year

    cellulose hydrolysis.

    concept development.

    extra capital $2000m, cf.12.

    save 3.4C/1 = $476m/year I

    cellulose hydrolysis,

    concept development,

    extra capital $1700m. cf. 13.

    save 2.0C/1 = $280m/year

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    20.

    21.

    As for 17 but with space-age technology

    with remote control.

    Table XXV.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRICE ACHIEVABLE FOR

    ethanol FROM SUGARCANE

    2.0 7.5

    7

    9200 As for 17 plus

    5.0 space-age technology development -

    extra capital = $200m,cf.17.

    save 0.5C/1 = $70m/year. save

    remote location of 90,000 persons

    1. To produce 14Gl/year of ethanol.

    2. Essential for development of entire concept. Initial investment only.

    3. 30% of all concept development costs to process studi es, 60 % to agricultural studies.

    4. Total production achievable at this price range = 200Ml/year

    5. Total production achievable at this price range = 400Ml/year,

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    xi

    FLOW SHEETS AND GRAPHS

    FIGURE

    1 Simplified flow sheet for dual production of sugar

    and ethanol

    2 Simplified flow sheet for producing ethanol from juice

    of sugar cane

    3 Simplified flow sheet for whole cane processing with cellulose

    hydrolysis

    4 Relationship between estimated price of ethanol as

    related to the size of the farm unit.

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    Total steam 603

    Figure Is Simplified flow sheet for dual production of sugar and ethanol.

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    TABLES Page

    A Summary of estimated costs of ethanol production vii

    I Net Thermal Values of Selected Fuels 11II Dual product plant without additional molasses - raw 53

    material costsIII Dual product plant without additional molasses - total 54

    costs

    IV Queensland mill size and land productivity criteria 60V Dual product plant with additional molasses. Raw

    material costs 62VI Dual product plant with total estimated costs of ethanol 63VII Single product plant to produce ethanol without additional

    molasses 67VIII Single product plant to produce ethanol plus additional

    molasses (raw material costs) 68IX Single Product Plant with total estimated costs of ethanol

    production 69X Summary of estimated costs of ethanol production -

    primary options 70

    XI Total ethanol potential for an 817,000 Te cane complex 71XII Effect of doubling the size of a sugar mill on ethanol cost 75XIII Estimate of photosynthetic efficiency of sugar cane in

    Queensland 97XIV Tabulated indexed capital repayment rates 123-:XV Effect of size of field on cost of tractor usage 126XVI Cost estimates for cane grown on large properties or

    estates 129XVII Estimated costs of road transport for sugar cane 137XVIII Estimated cost of processing sugar cane stalk juice

    for ethanol 14-1XIX Estimated cost of ethanol from whole cane including

    cellulose hydrolysis 161XX Cost estimates for growing cassava for ethanol 166XXI Estimated cost of producing ethanol from sugar cane stalk

    juice and cassava 167XXII Estimated cost of producing ethanol from whole sugar cane

    plus cassava 168XXIII Estimated costs of producing ethanol from whole cane

    but with 80% achievable productivity. Coal as fuel. 171XXIV As for XXIII but no coal as fuel 176

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    1

    INTRODUCTION

    Producing alcohol by the fermentation of plant sugars is probably

    one of man's oldest technologies but until the development of distillation

    as a means of concentration its use was restricted to such applications

    as were suited to the relatively low concentrations it was possible to

    achieve in this way.

    Although) a distillation technique was described as early as Aristotle

    in the 4th century B.C. it was not until the beginning of the 19th

    century that its application to alcohol concentration became significant.

    By the end of that century it had been developed to such a degree that

    the fermentation and distillation of potatoes in Germany supplied

    substantial quantities of alcohol for industrial purposes.

    The word alcohol is of generic significance when used in organic

    chemistry but in the current context the only alcohol with which we will

    be closely concerned is ethanol (C.H OH) although some reference to other

    alcohols will be made at appropriate stages.

    Ethanol is the major product of alcoholic fermentations but small

    quantities of amyl alcohols (d- and/or iso-) as well as some butyl and

    propyl may also be produced and are generally referred to as fusel oil.

    The amount varies between about 0.1 and 0.7% and may also include trace

    amounts of fatty acids, esters, furfural and other substances.

    Ethanol is the most important of the many products which can be

    produced by fermentation for industrial purposes. The basic raw material

    for this is the sugar glucose but this in turn is usually derived from the

    breakdown of a higher molecular weight entity such as sucrose, starch or

    cellulose. The relative importance of these as raw material will be

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    2

    considered. There are a number of reasons for giving primary

    consideration to sugar cane which will be given later. Suffice

    it for the time being to say that there is already a well established

    sugar cane growing community in Australia and the agro-technology is

    well understood. Sugar cane is known to be one of the best plants for

    efficiently utilizing sunshine in the synthesis of carbohydrate and it

    grows well under a wide range of soil and climatic conditions with

    appropriate cultural techniques. In fact Australia leads the world in

    the annual rate of production of sugar in cane per unit of area under

    cultivation.

    Ever since the internal combustion engine was invented, the

    possibility of using ethanol as a fuel or partial fuel has been considered

    and very detailed study went into the subject during the latter part of

    the 19th and earlier part of the 20th century. The net conclusions have

    been that it can be used successfully under a wide range of conditions

    without significant modification being required for the engine as marketed

    during the 1970's. There have been periods when certain countries have

    made quite significant use of ethanol for internal combustion engines and this

    includes Australia during the 1930's and 1940's. Special circumstances

    have had their influence and these will be discussed later. Brazil

    currently is an important user and is developing this capability rapidly.

    Ethanol is a fuel which can be continuously regenerated as long as

    there is sufficient land available for cultivation.

    For some years the Halthusian predictions of population growth

    outstripping available food supplies and apparently abundant mineral supplies

    of liquid fuels militated against serious consideration being given to wide

    scale growth of plant materials for industrial energy. These are no

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    3

    longer the spectre painted in the 1950's. Population growth now

    appears to be most closely related to the economic advantages or

    disadvantages of a large family. As long as there are economic

    advantages, as in a labour intensive agricultural economy, population

    growth is for all practical purposes, uncontrollable. With the

    development of machine intensive cultivation techniques, the

    disadvantages of a large family unit become apparent and slowly the

    rate of population growth slows to controllable figures. The supply of

    food is also related very strongly to the efficiency of harvesting and

    storage techniques as well as to distribution facilities. The net

    result is that with the exception of local conditions of drought or

    flood the world in fact does have a surplus of food and there are good

    reasons for believing that the situation will continue for the

    forseeable future.

    Ho person likes radical changes in their way of life, and a sudden

    change from a petrol based liquid fuel economy to an entirely ethanol

    based economy would be fraught with many problems. Fortunately this

    should not be necessary in Australia and it could be introduced

    progressively to replace imported petroleum fuel as it blends very well

    with petrol in proportions which would be adequate to effect this change

    with minimum of frustration and provide an extensive and well needed

    development of employment in Australia involving a wide range of skills.

    Ehhanol is a lesser fire hazard than petrol in storage and transport

    situations. On the other hand it does have its own specific problems

    such as unsocial results in human consumption and its miscibility with

    water. There are ways and means of dealing . with these problems and 

    they will be discussed.

    The environmental impact of large scale development would be expected

    to be most prominent in two areas. Firstly the substantial extension of

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    cultivated land and new housing development, possibly but not necessarily

    at the expense of forest land. Secondly there would be the problems of

    waste disposal from the fermentation process. The installations would

    need to incorporate equipment and procedures to cope with this. On the

    other hand ethanol can effectively displace alkyl-lead additives commonly

    employed for increasing the anti-knock rating of petrol and which pollute

    the atmosphere by their presence in exhaust gases. Internal combustion

    engines operate at lower temperatures and run more quietly when ethanol

    is used as a petrol additive. As a complete replacement for petrol

    there are more problems including a significantly lower thermal value,

    but when used in minor additive proportions there is no noticeable

    increase in volumetric consumption, nor are changes required in the

    tuning of the engine of significance.

    These matters will each be considered in detail at an appropriate

    stage.

    When considering alternative energy sources it is thought to be

    impracticable to attempt to displace all currently used types of mineral

    based energy with a single type of energy derived in one way from a solar

    source. This study will confine itself to problems involved in the

    progressive development of liquid fuel derived from nature's solar cell-

    chlorophyll through the intermediate natural synthesis and storage of

    carbohydrate in sugar cane.

    Reasons for the selection will be elaborated during the course of

    this study.

    Two questions of major concern become significant - (1) can ethanol

    be produced at a satisfactory price and in substantial volume and (2)

    can ethanol be used effectively as a major liquid fuel? The two

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    5

    questions revolve around each other and both must be answered effectively,

    but it is largely a matter of choice as to which is discussed in detail

    first. In this study the choice has been made firstly to study production

    and secondly consumption, but always being cognisant of interactions and

    side effects.

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    6

    ALTERNATIVE FUELS AND THEIR SOURCES

    The internal combustion (I.C.) engine has become such a widely used

    device in present day living that it is almost inconceivable to imagine

    alternatives achieving more than marginal significance. These engines

    have been developed to employ fuels in either the gas or liquid phase,

    endeavours to employ powdered solid phase fuels or mixtures of solid and

    liquid phases have not been successful due mainly to problems concerned

    with the exhausting of ash constituents of solid fuels.

    Only a very small proportion of I.C. engines employ gaseous fuels.

    Whilst they do enjoy many advantages including a continuing supply of

    fuel in the event of a development of a hydrogen based energy economy,

    the major disadvantage is the difficulty experienced in developing

    satisfactory storage techniques especially for small mobile units such

    as the motor car. From time to time there have been developments in

    the use of producer gas units including their attachment to mobile

    vehicles. It is not proposed to consider these more than marginally

    in the present study.

    For our purposes we will consider the development of the I.C. engine

    along two main lines to which we will apply simply the terms ::diesel::

    and "petrol1 engines and in this context, the terms will be used

    essentially to define the method of ignition - the diesel engine relying

    on pressure ignition and the petrol engine relying on spark ignition.

    There is an interaction of these two mechanisms as the compression ratio

    of internal combustion engines is increased and the implications of this

    will be shown to be important. The development of the diesel engine

    was dependent very largely upon the successful development of fuel

    injection to specific cylinders under pressure. On the other hand, the

    carburettor system of the petrol engine has become progressively more

    complex and there has been a marginal but growing encroachment of direct

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    6

    ALTERNATIVE FUELS AND THEIR SOURCES

    The internal combustion (I.C.) engine has become such a widely used

    device in present day living that it is almost inconceivable to imagine

    alternatives achieving more than marginal significance. These engines

    have been developed to employ fuels in either the gas or liquid phase,

    endeavours to employ powdered solid phase fuels or mixtures of solid and

    liquid phases have not been successful due mainly to problems concerned

    with the exhausting of ash constituents of solid fuels.

    Only a very small proportion of I.C. engines employ gaseous fuels.

    Whilst they do enjoy many advantages including a continuing supply of

    fuel in the event of a development of a hydrogen based energy economy,

    the major disadvantage is the difficulty experienced in developing

    satisfactory storage techniques especially for small mobile units such

    as the motor car. From time to time there have been developments in

    the use of producer gas units including their attachment to mobile

    vehicles. It is not proposed to consider these more than marginally

    in the present study.

    For our purposes we will consider the development of the I.C. engine

    along two main lines to which we will apply simply the terms T;diesel::

    and !ipetrol: engines and in this context, the terms will be used

    essentially to define the method of ignition - the diesel engine relying

    on pressure ignition and the petrol engine relying on spark ignition.

    There is an interaction of these two mechanisms as the compression ratio

    of internal combustion engines is increased and the implications of this

    will be shown to be important. The development of the diesel engine

    was dependent very largely upon the successful development of fuel

    injection to specific cylinders under pressure. On the other hand, the

    carburettor system of the petrol engine has become progressively more

    complex and there has been a marginal but growing encroachment of direct

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    7

    fuel injection into the petrol engine field.

    The diesel engine is designed essentially to operate on low

    volatility liquid fuels whereas the petrol engine and high volatility

    fuels are largely designed for each other. In the competitive area

    of society as distinct from controlled economics there is usually a

    substantial cost advantage in using low volatility liquid fuel. This

    has been largely accentuated by the tax structure which has been

    developed with progressively increasing intensity on volatile liquid

    fuels.

    For the present considerations it is necessary to eliminate as far

    as possible the incidence of tax on fuels for a true comparison of their

    relative usefulness as energy sources, but at the same time, recognise

    that taxation in some form or another is inevitable.

    Ethanol can effectively displace either diesel or petrol type fuels,

    but initially it will be considered as a partial substitute for petrol

    type fuels with cognisance being taken of the likely results of

    progressively increasing the proportion in petrol type fuels as well as

    of progressive displacement of diesel fuels as well as petrol.

    For ethanol to become a commodity generally available to the public

    it becomes of major importance for its use to be restricted to that of a

    motor fuel or related industrial applications and not be readily converted

    to human consumption. There are two reasons for the latter requirement,

    one involves the unsocial side effects, the other relates to the loss of

    revenue imposed more heavily on alcoholic drinks of all types than on

    motor fuels. The measures taken to effect desired control in this area

    are known as denaturing of alcohol. While this will be discussed in

    some detail later, it is well to point out at this stage that the

    selection of a suitable denaturant is one of the most important and at

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    9

    Hydrogen gas is rated at 10.8 MJ/m3 at S.T.P. compared with 35.7

    for methane. On a weight basis however, this would represent

    120 kJ/g as compared with 43.7 for petrol.

    Methane (CR4) as the most important constituent of natural gas or

    produced by anaerobic fermentation is also difficult to liquefy and

    currently of no real practical significance as a possible alternative

    to petrol.

    Methanol (CH3OH) is one of the most important products of high-

    pressure organic syntheses used today, reacting carbon monoxide with

    hydrogen produced as synthesis gas by the reforming of natural gas.

    As natural gas is currently available in relative abundance in Australia,

    the possibility of converting it to methanol as a liquid fuel supply must

    be given significant credence.

    Methanol can be used as a fuel for I.C. engines but it is not a

    particularly good fuel having a nett thermal value (N.T.V.) of 20kJ/g

    or 48% of that of petrol with ethanol at 27 or 63% of the value of petrol

    on a V/V basis. Methanol is more volatile than ethanol which should

    favour easier starting but the lower latent heat of vapourization is less

    advantageous from the point of view of thermal efficiency.

    Methanol has been important in the marketing of non-potable ethanol

    by virtue of its usefulness as a denaturant. The classical denaturing

    fluid has been "wood spirit" or "wood naptha" which used to be a product

    of the distillation of wood. It is not a chemically pure material but

    is considered to be about the nearest approach to a perfect denaturant

    for ordinary purposes.

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    There may well be merit in blending up to 10% of methanol with

    ethanol to be used for motor spirit but this will be discussed in

    more detail later.

    Diethyl ether [(C2H5)20] can be produced in a relatively straight

    forward manner from ethanol by dehydration with sulphuric acid. It is

    not a particularly strong competitor for ethanol as a straight motor

    spirit although it does have a thermal value about 14% higher on V/V basis.

    It is too volatile - boiling point 34.6 - to be useful alone, but when

    blended with ethanol it is beneficial in improving starting characteristics.

    Up to 40% has been used in Natal (S.A.) blended with 60% ethanol and known

    as "Natalite". When converting ethanol to ether there is a loss of

    37.5% on a volume basis offset by an associated gain of 20% in thermal

    value.

    Acetone (CH3.C0.CH3) is intermediate between ether and ethanol

    in terms of volatility (B.P.56.5°) and with a N.T.V. of 28.5 kJ/g or 23

    MJ/litre is 69% of petrol (V/V).

    Ethanol by way of comparison has a B.P. of 78.5 and a N.T.V. of

    26.8 kJ/g or 21 MJ/litre.

    Although acetone can be produced by chemical synthesis it is also

    a product of fermentation using Clostridium genus bacteria.

    Unfortunately, acetone is normally produced in association with butanol

    by this process, a typical product being 60% butanol, 30% acetone and

    10% ethanol. The butanol is of little value as a motor spirit because

    of its low volatility (B.P. 117.7).

    The net thermal values for a range of gaseous and liquid fuels are

    listed in Table I. Whilst the N.T.V. of a fuel is by no means the only

    criterion for selection it is an important one in -the screening

    10

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    13

    Another development in the production of anhydrous ethanol has been

    for a process to handle directly a fermentation mash at 6% ethanol making

    use of an extractive distillation technique.

    The development of these techniques had, however, only a marginal

    influence on the employment of ethanol as a motor fuel since 95% aqueous

    ethanol can be used quite readily as a mild blend with petrol with no

    significant influence from the water. It can also be used directly or

    as a methanol-denatured spirit, in fact as much as 50% of water can be

    tolerated in a spark ignition I.C. engine provided a more volatile fuel

    is employed for starting. The water does of course reduce the thermal

    value of the fuel pro rata.

    During the 1940's the production of ethanol as a petrochemical began

    to become important with a progressive phasing out of the fermentation

    product and synthetic ethanol dominated the ethanol market until the

    recent substantial use in the price of crude oil.

    Synthetic ethanol may be produced either from acetylene originating

    from calcium carbide or from ethylene available from processing crude

    oil. The acetylene route only enjoyed a relatively short period of

    serious interest once the price of natural gas and crude oil fell with

    the extensive discovery and development of resources since the second

    world war. The conversion of ethylene into ethanol is a relatively

    straightforward chemical procedure involving for example firstly

    sulphonation with strong sulphuric acid

    followed by hydrolysis and reconcentration of the liberated sulphuric

    acid. Alternatively, a more straightforward vapour phase hydration

    may be effected in the presence of phosphoric acid at a temperature of

    300 and pressure of 70 kilopascals.

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    14

    Certain countries have continued to provide incentives for the

    production of fermentation ethanol to encourage home industry and

    reduce dependence on overseas energy supplies although generally the

    latter effect has been largely marginal.

    Since the rapid rise of the international price of crude oil there

    has been a resurgence of interest in raw materials suited to fermentation

    procedures. Future market situations will be influenced by relative

    costs of raw materials, costs involved in processing techniques and the

    development of technology related to the use of ethanol or its

    competitors. The combination of these factors makes forecasting

    hazardous. Venturing into forecasting will be deferred until later

    until a more detailed study has been made of factors involved in the

    production and use of fermentation ethanol.

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    18

    Whilst sucrose occurs in many plant juices it is most strongly

    concentrated in the sugar cane or sugar beet.

    Alcohol has for many years been produced either in potable form or

    for industrial purposes from the molasses resulting from production of

    cane or beet sugar. In the case of beet molasses there may be a

    significant amount of the trisaccharide-raffinose. Upon hydrolysis

    this yields glucose and the disaccharide melebiose which further

    hydrolyses to glucose and galactose.

    Normally galactose is a difficult sugar to ferment but it may be

    effected with a bottom fermenting yeast whereas glucose and fructose

    are satisfactorily fermented with either a top or bottom yeast.

    Molasses is commonly a relatively low-priced commodity as there is

    only limited scope for alternative uses such as fertilizer or animal

    food. However the amount available is limited by the amount of

    associated crystal sugar which is produced and local fermentation for

    industrial purposes is seldom economically viable from the point of view

    of actual size of equipment. Transport of molasses adds to the cost

    if a central distillery is operated and the time came during the 1950's

    when even molasses could not compete with crude oil as a raw material

    for industrial ethanol.

    Since the steepening of the price of crude oil in the 1970's there has

    been a re-awakening of interest in supplies of molasses, especially by

    the Japanese.

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    21

    Another qualification required is the time taken to grow the

    crop. In most countries sugar cane is an annual crop with a growth

    cycle averaging about 9 months. Hawaii which records by far the best

    yield may harvest annually, but the growing cycle extends to 2 years.

    Some other areas have a similarly long growing cycle with suitable

    local reasons for maintaining production.

    Similarly in the sugar beet situation although it is an annual crop,

    the related sugar mangold can crop more heavily in weight/hectare

    but with a lower concentration of sugar and is commonly a biennial crop.

    Trees which are frequently considered as a source of cellulose for

    fermentation take a number of years to grow. Alfalfa on the other

    hand can be harvested every few weeks for a useful portion of the year.

    Certain species of palm trees are sources for the production of a

    low quality sugar in village communities throughout areas from India

    to Indo-China. When calculated in terms of sugar yield per hectare per

    annum they compare quite favourably with sugar cane grown in those

    countries. However, sugar cane in those countries is relatively low

    yielding and there are substantial harvesting problems with the palms.

    In sugar palms, sap must be extracted from the florescent zone which

    is 6 to 15 metres above the ground. On the cultivation side the palm

    goes on yielding suitable juice for perhaps 50 years with little

    cultivation, fertilizing or irrigation and ground level cropping or

    grazing may be carried on over the same area. The palm does, however,

    take about 7 years before it reaches maturity levels of production.

    The cultivation of alfalfa to yield both protein and carbohydrate

    has been suggested with annual yields of up to 63 tonnes of carbohydrate

    per hectare suggested as achievable, but the value of an associated 25 tonnes

    of ve etable Drotein would in itself be a uite si nificant factor in costin

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    22

    It is of some importance to know the nature of the carbohydrate

    in the plant. If we assume an ethanol recovery in production of

    88% of that theoretically obtainable from the carbohydrate, then a

    yield could be expected of 600 1/tonne for sucrose whereas starch or

    cellulose would yield 634 and glucose or fructose 570.

    Whilst the hydrolysis of sucrose can be expected to be stoichiometric,

    the efficiency of cellulose hydrolysis is usually very low and often as

    low as 50% or even 35% with recalcitrant types. A high degree of

    saccharification can be achieved with starch and a yield of 634 1/tonne

    is not unusual. This represents a 5.6% benefit over sucrose and 11%

    over glucose or fructose.

    Cellulose hydrolysis and fermentation processes of a commercially

    viable character have been particularly difficult to achieve and there

    is still a great deal of investigation going on in this field both in

    Australia and overseas.

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    25

    There are further difficulties with statistics. Sugar production

    is referred to in terms of 94 Net Titre (N.T.) in Australia. This is

    a quality criterion of local concern, designed to estimate the actual

    amount of refined sugar crystal which can be produced from raw sugar of a

    certain quality and involves corrections for the ash and hexose content

    of the raw sugar.

    Furthermore sugar contents are referred to in terms of "pol"

    which is an abbreviation for polarization and refers to the technique

    universally employed for analysis. It is well known that this does not

    reflect the true sucrose content but is a sufficiently close approximation

    for most purposes to allow full advantage to be taken of the rapidity of

    the method. We can get an indication of the order of precision of the

    pol value if we have an analysis of the final molasses from the same

    factory at the same time in terms of both pol and sucrose. If we take

    as an example a sample of 100 tons of crystal sugar having the following

    analysis which is typical of Australian conditions:

    Pol = 98.37 per cent

    Reducing sugar = 0.37

    Ash = 0.38

    Moisture = 0.43

    The N.T. value then equals Pol - R.S. - (5xAsh) = 96.10

    Tonnes of 94 N.T. sugar = tonnes actual sugar x actual N.T. = 102.23.

    94

    Experience indicates that the actual sucrose content would probably

    be closer to 98.52 than to the pol value of 90.37. Thus if the figure

    for tonnes of 94 N.T. sugar be reduced by 3.8% a better representation of

    the weight sucrose in crystal raw sugar would be obtained. Actually a

    discount of 4% is commonly applied which very closely represents the weight

    of pol.

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    26

    In actual fact there is no such substance as polr. The term is

    an abbreviation for the word "polarization which refers to the technique

    commonly employed for analysing sugar house products. It is obtained by

    observing the sugar solution with a beam of light which has been optically

    polarised. The sugar in the solution proportionately affects the degree

    of polarization and the instrument is appropriately calibrated.

    Unfortunately sucrose is not the only substance in a cane sugar juice

    or raw sugar solution which affects the polarised light in this way.

    The two main non-sucrose substances in sugar cane products which act in

    this way are the hexose sugars glucose and fructose. The fact that they

    have an influence opposing each other and which largely compensates has

    enabled the convenience of the method to be extensively applied in the

    sugar industry. Under conditions of poor technology, it does not matter

    very much but the better the standard of technology the more significant

    is the difference between the sucrose and pol values. To perform a true

    sucrose analysis is difficult, complex and tedious with the consequence

    that experimental analytical error can be of the same magnitude or even

    greater than the real difference.

    However, it is considered to be valid to take into account the

    differences between pol and sucrose for the purpose of the current exercise

    and to apply the correction in accordance with the best experience.

    Statistics recorded in Queensland literature for yields of sugar per

    hectare are in terms of 94 N.T. quality and require appropriate correction.

    This however represents only the sugar recovered as crystal. From the

    point of view of ethanol production, we are more concerned with the total

    sugar content of the juices in the cane since both glucose and fructose

    can be fermented to ethanol. Unfortunately these are even more difficult

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    27

    to estimate because sugar cane in Australia is evaluated in terms of

    C.C.S. which letters stand for "Commercial Cane Sugar". The C C S . is

    calculated from a formula designed to estimate the actual amount of

    "94 N.T." sugar which can be produced from a particular tonne of cane.

    The C C S . is calculated as follows:

    C.C.S. = Pol in Cane - 1/2 Impurities in Cane

    Since Impurities in Cane = Brix in Cane - Pol in Cane

    then C.C.S. = 3/2 Pol in Cane - 1/2 Brix in Cane

    Like Pol the term Brix does not refer to any substance in particular.

    It also refers to the result of a convenient analytical technique and

    approximates the total solids dissolved in the juice or syrup. The

    measurement involves a determination of the density of the liquid usually

    using a type of hydrometer especially calibrated for sugar solutions.

    In high purity juices and syrups the readings are usually sufficiently

    accurate for most purposes but in low purity juices and molasses there is

    a progressive deviation from the true figure as the proportion of non-

    sucrose increases. Brix may also be measured by means of a refractometer

    the values for which are intermediate between the true total dissolved

    solids and the hydrometric value. The measurement of Brix is not

    particularly critical at this stage as far as the ethanol proposal is

    concerned.

    The C.C.S. formula was designed also to evaluate the Pol and Brix

    content of the cane itself from the analysis of the juice expressed by the

    first roller of the milling tandem. Whilst the technique has distinct

    advantages from the point of view of speed and simplicity it does have

    limitations from the point of view of precision. Present day techniques

    prefer to sample the cane rather than the juice and to perform a direct

    analysis on the sample of cane. The added complexities have very largely

    been minimised by the development of better technology for sampling, sample

    preparation and sample analysis.

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    28

    In the example which has been quoted the C.C.S. for the corresponding

    cane was 13.11 and the density of cane growth was 84.6 tonnes of cane per

    hectare. The pol in cane was recorded as 14.41%. If this be corrected to

    a sucrose value it would probably have been 14.83 or 2.9% higher than pol.

    It is estimated from the analysis of juice resulting from the cane that

    the hexose concentration would have been about 3% of the pol or 0.43% on

    cane. For the purpose of estimating ethanol production it is convenient

    to convert this to "equivalent sucrose" or 0.41%. Some other workers in

    this field prefer to convert to "equivalent glucose".

    Thus the fermentable sugars "as sucrose" in the cane would be 15.24%

    and the production per hectare 12.9 tonnes.

    If productivity and quality of cane continue to improve at the rate

    of 1.58% per annum then for the 11 year period 1980/90 a mean value of 15.2

    tons per hectare would be indicated as compared with the mean of the 11 year

    period 1963/73. Predictions for specific years have a lower precision

    (St.D. ~ 7.5%) than predictions for a decade (St.D. - 2.5%) owing to variable

    seasonal influences. There is some levelling out of these influences by

    virtue of the north/south relationship of the Queensland sugar belt in

    that a bad season in one area seldom extends through all the other sugar

    growing areas and vice versa.

    There is a substantial difference between the highest and the lowest

    yielding areas with the Burdekin as high as 18.7 tons of 94 N.T. per hectare

    in 1973 as compared with 8.84 for the Mackay and Proserpine areas in the

    same year.

    Traditionally ethanol production in the cane sugar industry has been

    very largely restricted to the use of molasses as a raw material. There

    is no technical reason however, restricting production from the juice itself.

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    This may be seen as very largely related to the pricing policy of

    the oil companies with ethanol being invariably priced higher than

    refined petrol, although pricing of petroleum products or petroleum

    based materials is so extraordinarily complex that it is impossible to

    be able to make a real comparison on the basis of specific costs. In a

    multi-product industry, real costs are not the only factors involved in

    pricing policies.

    The present resurgence in interest for agro-ethanol has resulted from

    anticipated shortages in available mineral oil supplies and related price

    escalations.

    Industrial ethanol and potable ethanol have for many years been produced

    from sugar cane molasses and about 40% of the Queensland molasses production

    is diverted for use in this way in Australia and a similar amount exported

    of which an unknown proportion is converted to industrial ethanol.

    Molasses production in Queensland amounts to about 216 kg/tonne sugar or

    28.7 kg/tonne of cane. As the molasses contains about 54% of total

    fermentable sugars (as hexoses) this is equivalent in ethanol to only about

    8.8 1/tonne cane.

    In other countries the sugar cane juice contains less sucrose and a

    higher proportion of hexoses and non-sugars. As a result the molasses

    production may be 2 to 3 times as high per tonne of cane with consequently

    higher ethanol production potential.

    One effect of this is that it was not really economical in Queensland

    to establish a distillery for the molasses from only one sugar factory.

    The only distillery which has been established in Queensland to process

    molasses for industrial ethanol has drawn its supplies from a number of

    factories using mostly rail transport. The distillery is currently

    located at Sarina and is now rated at a capacity of 50 Ml/per annum.

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    34

    The actual amount of molasses required to produce this quantity of ethanol

    will vary somewhat according to the amount of fermentable sugars it

    contains.

    Total sugars in final molasses when converted to glucose amount to

    approximately 53% in the Central-Burdekin areas, which on an ethanol

    recovery of 88% of stoichiometric would mean 3001/tonne. At this recovery

    it would require 1679000 tonnes of molasses.. In the 1975 season the

    molasses produced in the central district - Mackay area alone was 177,632

    tonnes with an additional 88,654 tonnes in the Burdekin district from which

    some supplies are also drawn.

    There are two distilleries in Queensland licensed for the production of

    potable ethanol which differs in its pricing structure from industrial

    ethanol.

    If central distilleries for industrial ethanol from molasses were

    located in the Northern, Burdekin and Bundaberg areas and used 90% of the

    molasses available they would have outputs of the order of 30, 26 and 20M1

    (with allowance for current usage for potable ethanol production.

    Thus something of the order of 100 Ml might be obtainable from all the

    available molasses in Queensland. In actual volume it would be equivalent

    to about 2 1/2 days of Australia's total petrol consumption or 5 weeks of

    consumption of a 7% blend.

    At current prices of Australian crude oil ( A$2.2/bbl) ethanol would be

    far from being a commercially viable alternative. However, Australia

    has been importing oil to the extent of about one third of her total

    requirements and this proportion is expected to more than double within ten

    years. Figures concerning this industry get out of date so quickly that

    it is difficult to orient thinking correctly at any particular time.

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    For a number of years developments in the ethanol fermentation field

    have been proceeding at very leisurely pace because of the heavy dominance

    of synthesis ethanol. Since the current energy crisis has developed

    the fermentation for ethanol has received very much attention and it is

    inevitable that important "freezing" decisions will become necessary.

    In such a situation there will be endeavours to sell outdated

    echnology at a discounted price. This can appear to have many economic

    advantages in the short term but for disadvantages to become progressively

    more prominent. Decision makers will also have to evaluate the relative

    merits of tested techniques with those which have not proceeded beyond the

    laboratory stage no matter how hopeful prospects may be.

    The same applies to raw material supply - cane breeding, growing,

    harvesting and transport.

    It is most unlikely that an ethanol processing facility could be

    established to operate effectively before the 1980 sugar season even on a

    limited scale of dual operation. Nothing earlier than 1983 might be

    contemplated for entirely new area development.

    Because the sugar cane growing industry is well established in Australia

    nd all the mechanisms for progressive development appear to be operating

    satisfactorily, it should be safe to use anticipated 1985 field productivity

    figures as a basis for estimating the average type of situation which might

    e expected for the first 5 years of meaningful operation. This will be

    done for the purpose of this report and appropriate modifying factors may be

    applied if so desired.

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    38

    BASIC FUNDAMENTAL INFORMATION

    Productivity of cane = 90.0 tonnes/ha. average 1980/1990.

    (actual projected figure = 90.49 ± 1.81)

    Yield of sugar = 13.92 tonnes of 94 N.T. sugar /ha (±0.1)

    C.C.S. = 15.3

    Comparable to Central District average 1970 - 15.24 C.C.S. 16.51 pol % cane

    or Burdekin 1969 - 15.56 C C S . 16.72 pol % cane

    Sugar in cane as equivalent sucrose = 17.0% cane

    " " " " " " " glucose = 17.9% cane

    Productivity as equivalent glucose = 16.2 tonnes/ha

    Stoichiometric ethanol potential = 6481/tonne glucose = 9.72 kl/ha

    Juice extraction = 95.5%nett = 84%

    Fermentation/distillation efficiency 88%

    Nett ethanol production potential = 0.8 kl/ha or 97.4 1/t.c.

    The price of cane is qualitatively related to the price of sugar:

    Price of cane = Price of Sugar x .009 ( CCS.-4) + 0.382

    Price of sugar = $170/tonne 94 N.T.

    Equivalent price of cane = $17.67 tonne

    Molasses = 2.75% cane - 53% of total sugars as glucose.

    Part of the stability of the present sugar industry in Queensland must

    be related to the fact that no new complete sugar production plant has been

    erected in Australia since the Tully Mill which produced its first sugar in

    1925. In fact several of the smaller plants have been closed down including

    the sugar beet factory at Maffra in Victoria. Most of the other plants in

    Queensland were erected towards the end of last century or early in the

    current one, although many changes have been made and present standards of

    equipment are generally good by any standards.

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    As examples of these conflicts may be cited, firstly capital cost

    items.

    An attached fermentation/distillery plant should not require additional

    team or power generation facilities as already indicated.

    A plant to produce ethanol at 42.2 Ml within 70% operational time of

    32 week season would be rated as having 100 Ml/annum installed capacity.

    One Australian estimate for a plant of this capacity and attached to

    sugar factory is $40m. At the other extreme are figures from U.S.A.,

    ermany or Japan closer to $4m.

    It is well known that Australian costs for capital equipment are high

    ompared with overseas costs but not to this extent. Perhaps a factor 1.3 or

    ven 1.5 should be more realistic than a factor of 10.

    Steam consumptior figures seem to be reasonably consistent with a

    igure of 2 kg steam/1 of rectified ethanol being obtained with modern plant

    n the distillation and rectification stages. Sterilization of juice and

    iscellaneous needs would add another 1 kg and the dehydrating distillation

    further 1.5 kg making a total of 4.5 kg steam/1 of absolute ethanol.

    The figure of 2 kg for the production of rectified spirits is based on

    he processing of molasses diluted to a concentration of 10% of sugars.

    uice would have a concentration of 17% of sugars or 24% after mixing with

    he A molasses.

    Research on fermentation has aimed at processing higher concentration

    olutions and since the purity of the juice - A molasses mixture with respect

    o total sugars would be close to 84% compared to about 66% for final

    olasses there may be good prospects of operating at higher concentrations

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    with the purer materials. For the juice - A molasses mixtures, if fully

    effective hydrolysis and fermentation can be achieved, this would be

    equivalent to 15 to 15.5% of alcohol (w/w) in the product mash or 19% v/v.

    These concentrations are probably approaching the limit and a practical

    limit of 15% v/v would be more realistic - actually values up to 14% have

    been claimed for fermented molasses beers and molasses diluted to sugar

    concentrations as high as 18% are reported to be successfully treated in

    fermenters.

    There are undoubtedly further steam economics which could be effected

    in the fermentation/distillation procedures but it would require more

    specific experimentation with sugar cane juice itself before these could

    be estimated. Fermentation of so-called high-test molasses would be with

    a raw material somewhere between final molasses and the juice - A molasses

    mixture envisaged here. Whilst there is experience with high-test molasses

    overseas this has not been a raw material in Queensland distillery experience,

    high-test molasses has always been too valuable for crystallizing sugar.

    Labour requirements indicated from reported experience seems to be about

    400 1/man-hr but this varies according to the size of the distillery and the

    degree of automation and a halving of this cost would not be too difficult

    to envisage.

    Undoubtedly there are differences in techniques and problems of suitable

    selection of equipment and processes are compounded for a 1979+ installation

    because of the long time which has elapsed since competitive quotations have

    been common in the field of fermentation ethanol. It is difficult also to

    know just what charge to make for the use of sugar mill equipment and

    management, obviously this cannot all be charged against the 50% usage of

    its facilities for sugar production. Here again much secrecy prevails

    concerning real operating costs although there are some yardsticks such as

    examining financial information provided for shareholders and applying

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    appropriate factors. The monies received from the sale of raw sugar

    are debited with the costs of selling and the balance distributed between

    the farmer and miller. The proportion which the farmer gets varies with

    both C C S . and price of sugar. As a general statement distributions

    are recognised as being aprroximately two-thirds for the farmer and one

    third for the miller. At C.C.S. values above a certain figure the farmer

    gets more than this proportion and when the price of sugar is above a

    certain figure he gets less than this proportion. The following

    calculations closely approximate the turning points in this relationship.It can be seen therefore just how difficult it is to translate income

    from processing for raw sugar to income for processing for ethanol.

    At the 15.3 C.C.S. average figure chosen for this exercise, if the

    miller operated at 100 coefficient of work (he might well operate up to

    102 in this C.C.S. range) then he would receive 32% of the sugar price

    and the farmer 68%. He would have to process his ethanol at 7.78¢/1.

    Calculated thus:

    Cost of 100 tonnes of cane @ 15.3 C C S . and sugar @ $170/tonne 94 N.T.=$1776

    Money which would have been received if 15.3 tonnes of sugar had been

    produced = 15.3 x 170 = $2601

    Miller's share = 2601 - 1776 = $825

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    Value of sugar actually produced = 7.6 x 170 = $1292

    Miller's share = 1292 x 825 = $409.80

    2601

    Income the miller would expect to receive for processing to ethanol=

    825 - 409.80 = $415.20

    Ethanol expected to be produced from 100 tonnes of cane under these

    conditions = 5340 1.

    Pro-rata money required = 7.78¢/l ethanol.

    We are also now in a better position to cost the farmer's

    contributions.

    Total money the farmer receives = $1776

    Money paid to farmer for the 7.6 tonnes of sugar produced: this would

    have come from 7.6 x 100 = 49.67 tonnes of cane

    15.3

    49.76 x 17.76 = $882.20

    Value of cane used for ethanol production = 1776 - 882.20 = $893.80

    Pro-rata ethanol cost = 16.74¢/1 (see previous figure of 17.11)

    Total cost of ethanol = 24.52 ¢/1.

    The costs of chemicals for fermentation are difficult to assess because

    of the differences between juice and final molasses. It is necessary to

    determine whether the juice for ethanol should be put through the classical

    sugar juice purification stages or merely heated for sterilization. The

    general appearance of clarified juice would be much better, but the lime

    used for neutralizing the natural acidity of the juice would have to be

    paid for as well as the cost of sedimentation and mud filtration.

    Clarified juice at a pH around 7 would have little natural hydrolysing power

    for the sucrose where a pH of 5.5 for raw juice would be quite useful in

    this respect especially if temperatures are taken to 100 for sterilizing.

    Much of the protein in the raw juice would be coagulated by this

    treatment but there would seem to be no point in separating this, rather

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    allow it to go forward to the fermentation stage. The juice would need

    to be cooled to a primary fermentation temperature around 27°. This is

    most easily effected by flash cooling but a vacuum higher than normally

    achieved in a sugar factory would be needed viz. 29 inches rather than

    26.5 or an absolute pressure of 3.5 kPa instead of 12. Flash cooling

    to 50 supplemented by refrigeration cooling would appear to be a

    desirable combination to give positive temperature control.

    A pure culture yeast should be selected on its ethanol producing

    capacity rather than one which might be more suited to also producing

    the associated flavours desirable in the manufacture of potable spirits.

    Yeast at the rate of l0kg/kl would seem to be the order of magnitude

    required if the yeast is separated from the mash by means of centrifugal

    separators and recycled as in the Helle process. This is done before

    distillation and the separated yeast re-introduced into fresh "mash".

    With this process it has been found possible to re-use the yeast

    continuously for periods as long as a sugar season and with yields of

    91-92% of ethanol.

    Three stages of distillation are employed - the first two being with

    double effect conservation of energy and 95% ethanol-water is produced as

    a constant boiling point mixture. This is dehydrated by azeotropic

    distillation to produce absolute echanol.

    The total protein in the juice is likely to be about 0.5% on raw

    juice solids or about 200 g N/kl of raw juice. The amount of N required

    for fermentation is somewhat less than this figure but the extent to which

    the yeast might be able to avail itself has yet to be determined. Raw

    juice should contain about 500 g of P2O5 /kl which should be adequate for

    the yeast. Other mineral constituents of raw juice would include about

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    1300g/kl of K2O, 300g/kl of CaO and 400g/kl of MgO. Each of these

    should be adequate for the requirements of the fermentation process.

    The actual concentrations and proportions of the various mineral

    constituents vary according to the composition of the soil and the

    nature of the fertilizer programme in the cane field.

    The slops or residue from the still would contain 18.5 to 20 kg of

    solids at a concentration of 6.3% and disposal as effluent is undesirable

    from the environmental point of view. It might be used as irrigation

    water as the soluble substances are mainly good plant nutrients. This

    would not be entirely without cost and some storage would be needed

    because irrigation usage would not necessarily coincide with process

    production. Furthermore it would then be necessary to acquire some of

    the water required at the mills for lixiviation.

    Alternatively the slops could be used partly as maceration fluid for

    the lixiviation process. Recycling of weak alkaline juices for this

    purpose has never been a satisfactory exercise in sugar mill operation

    because excessive slippage tends to develop under these circumstances.

    The slops however would tend to be acidic and may be suitable for recycling.

    Recycling of slops solids as fertilizer is simplified if they are

    concentrated to about 50% total solids. For this purpose a multiple

    effect evaporator would be required and a quadruple unit would be adequate

    from the point of view of steam economy. If the concentration of solids

    in slops were to be doubled by recycling for lixiviation this would have

    little effect of significance on the overall steam balance but the size of

    the unit could be reduced to less than half.

    A possible flow sheet is outlined in Figure 1, together with a balance

    of materials and steam requirements.

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    A fibre content of 14.4% on cane is assumed for these calculations.

    The estimated total steam requirement for the dual process is 748 kg/tonne

    cane if quintuple effect evaporation combined with steam bleeding from the

    second effect for juice heating is employed for the concentration of juice

    and a quadruple effect with pre-heating from the first effect is used for

    slops concentration.

    If the steam is generated with an efficiency of 82% on N.Th.V. of

    bagasse the potential supply would be 876 kg/tonne cane. An efficiency

    of this magnitude is quite common for bagasse fired units when it is

    needed, in fact such equipment was installed and successfully operated in

    Queensland as far back as 1938. In the present day situation fibre values

    of cane are significantly higher as a result of variety changes and much

    lower steam generation efficiencies are adequate.

    For full crystal sugar production the factory would require not more

    than about 550 kg of steam/tonne cane in which case the steam would need to

    be generated at an efficiency of only 51%. The efficiency would need to

    be increased to 70% to operate the distillery and its accessories. In

    modern boiler installations there is a certain built-in flexibility to

    enable higher efficiencies to be operated for seasonal periods when fibre

    in cane is low and incineration conditions when fibre values are high.

    Whether the available flexibility is sufficient to cope with an increase

    to 70% would depend upon the particular installation concerned. There

    would in fact need to be sufficient flexibility to go up to the 82% if

    the fibre were to fall as low as 12.3. This is possible for the early

    weeks of a season and the probability would have to be estimated from a

    study of local data. Values as low as 13.3, however, would probably have

    to be allowed for with an equivalent efficiency of 76%.

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    In assessing costs it is necessary to take into account the

    oss of income experienced by the miller from the sale of molasses which

    ould amount to some 22,500 tonnes for cane of the quality treated.

    o offset this would be the value of concentrated slops as fertilizer.

    he quantity of such product would be 15,000 tonnes of dry solids.

    he average price of chemical fertilizer is of the order of $100/tonne

    o that a value of perhaps $50/tonne of dry solids might not be an

    nreasonable valuation. It will be assumed for the purpose of this

    xercise that the value of slops fertilizer compensates for the loss of

    molasses.

    Furthermore no credit has been transferred to ethanol production

    hich would result from the simplifications made possible in the production

    f raw sugar whereby only A massecuites are boiled and which are more

    easily treated in the centrifugals than the normally succeeding B and C

    assecuites. Mo large crystallizers are required for C massecuite

    xhaustion.

    These benefits are difficult to quantify and are marginal but never

    heless real.

    Cost estimates for the acual production of ethanol in dual product

    perations would need to be closely related to the general pattern of the

    ugar industry.

    The distillery would require labour for its own operation, the raw

    ugar section would also require labour but in smaller numbers for a 50%

    roduction rate, but not a pro-rata reduction.

    The cost of transporting cane to the mill is part of the miller's

    ost structure and the distillery would be expected to pay for 50% of

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    this cost, also 50% of the costs of milling and of operating the steam

    generating plant.

    The labour required to operate the distillery itself would depend

    upon the degree of automation incorporated in the process. For a

    distillery of the size associated with this project a figure of 800 1 of

    ethanol/man-hr is the one which will be used here. This would appear to

    compare reasonably with a figure of 400 1/man-hr quoted for some

    distilleries overseas with throughput rates of the order of one quarter

    of that envisaged here.

    Although the distillery under discussion would be expected to produce

    44 Ml of ethanol in a season of 150 days it would be rated at closer to

    100 Ml if operated continuously on a yearly basis. This is twice the

    rated capacity of the present molasses based distillery at Sarina which

    is described in the 1977 Australian Sugar Year Book as being "large by

    world standards".

    At 800 1/man-hr a labour force of 15 men per shift would be required.

    On the raw sugar side there might be 8 men per shift reduced to 6, half of

    whose costs should be carried by the ethanol plant.

    Half of the capital charges of the sugar plant should also be borne

    by the ethanol. It is very difficult to assess a figure for this since

    no new sugar mills have been built in Queensland for over 50 years

    although many items of equipment may be relatively recent installations.

    Perhaps an idea of the "book value" may be obtained from observing that a

    sugar mill of about half of the size being considered here changed hands

    in 1976 for around $4m. which would indicate a figure of the order of $6m

    for one twice the size. Two sugar mills of about the size being

    considered here also changed hands in 1975, but were included in a package

    deal which tended to mask the actual values put on the sugar mills themselves.

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    owever a figure of perhaps $8m. each may not be very far out as they

    ere rather more efficiently equipped than the smaller $4m. unit.

    ndoubtedly all three figures are well below replacement costs, but

    ould be within range of the cost strictly to be taken into account for

    ssessing the ethanol plant liability.

    Since it is easier to assess the capital charges at an overall

    igure for the entire sugar milling and factory complex the service charge

    or transport of cane relates only to the cost of labour and consumables

    uch as fuel for the locomotives.

    The cost picture now emerging is ummarized in Table II. Since the

    uality of cane varies from one district to another an indication of the

    rder of magnitude of this effect is given as well as for the "average"

    onditions

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    It is evident therefore that the cost of producing ethanol in a dual

    product arrangement with a 50-50 split in the manner indicated would result

    in the ethanol processing costs exceeding the cost of the equivalent raw

    sugar production by about 45% if the miller is to be recouped for his effort

    in terms satisfactorily in line with current sugar industry arrangements.

    The increase necessary in the price of ethanol is 3.88¢/1.

    53

    TABLE II

    Dual Product Plant to produce ethanol not using molasses from other mills

    in the district. Processing costs only

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    In Table III is set out the effect of different quality of cane normal

    to the four districts. The differences have been proportioned relative to

    average C.C.S. ratios for each district taken over the years 1971/75 to the

    average C.C.S. for Queensland during the same period and the equivalent

    C.C.S. calculated relative to the base average figure of 15.3 which we

    have so far been using. The corresponding price of cane has been

    calculated relative to a raw sugar price of $170/Te 9*+ N.T.

    The corresponding raw material cost has been evaluated in terms of

    ¢/l of ethanol. The appropriate processing cost has been transferred from

    Table II and added to the raw material cost to give an indication of the

    total estimated cost of ethanol produced under the conditions specified.

    These figures do not include the cost of transport to the nearest port.

    TABLE III

    Dual Product Plant to produce ethanol not using molasses from other mills

    in the district. Raw Material plus Processing Costs

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    it would be some time before reasonable equilibrium had been reached

    in design details.

    Therefore if there is to be an initial selection of certain factories

    for preferential development the criteria for selection should first be

    identified. The following criteria are listed in the event of the

    choice being the first of the two alternatives just listed.

    (1) Magnitude of current scale of sugar production - it is only in

    this way that any advantages associated with large scale

    production of ethanol could be secured. There is no difficulty

    in identifying factories meeting this criterion, simply by

    reference to the list of assigned sugar production in statistical

    records or "mill sugar peaks" as it is known in the industry.

    Also see Table IV set out in this report.

    (2) Efficiency of operation. This criterion is more difficult to

    identify. Firstly there are at least two measures of efficiency -

    (a) yield of sugar as crystal relative to sugar in the cane and

    (b) labour cost involved in production. Other efficiency

    criteria might include (c) management and (d) cost of materials

    such as lime and added fuel. Most of this information is of a

    confidential character.

    Information related to operating efficiency is exchanged between

    factories through the co-ordinating services of the Bureau of Sugar

    Experiment Stations but it is still confidential within the group.

    Financial information is even more confidentially covered and only an

    intelligent guess is possible from such company balance sheets as may

    be published or from such other stistics such as employment records

    which might: be ferreted out of government files if access is possible.

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    (3) Locality with respect to a port should be given some weight as a

    pipeline of several kilometers could