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A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPAN’S MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA

A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

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WOLFGANG WEISS: CHAIR-- UN SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE Prompt evacuations of tens of thousands living near the Fukushima Nuclear Facility reduced their risk from radiation. Some of the radiation releases spread over the ocean, not the heavily populated areas.

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Page 1: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING

JAPAN’S MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE

February 2, 2012

Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of

North Carolina, USA

Page 2: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

AFTER ALMOST A YEAR OF BAD NEWS, SOME VERY

GOOD NEWS

UN REPORT:: THE HEALTH IMPACT FROM THE RADIATION LEAK AT THE

FUKUSHIMA NUCLEAR FACILITY APPEARS TO BE RELATIVELY SMALL

Page 3: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

WOLFGANG WEISS: CHAIR-- UN SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE

• Prompt evacuations of tens of thousands living near the Fukushima Nuclear Facility reduced their risk from radiation.

• Some of the radiation releases spread over the ocean, not the heavily populated areas.

Page 4: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

PROMPT EVACUATIONS REDUCED RISK TO TENS OF THOUSANDS

Page 5: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

SOME RADIATION CLOUDS MOVED OVER THE OCEAN

Page 6: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE EARTHQUAKE OCCURRED AT 2:46 PM,

MARCH 11, 2011

Page 7: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

A YEAR OF BAD NEWS

BAD NEWS BEGAN ON MARCH 11, 2011

Page 8: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

DEVASTATIONIn a matter of minutes, the M9 earthquake, its accompanying tsunami with wave run up that

reached 40 meters in some places, and radiation leaks from the

Fukushima power plant caused enormous damage and societal

disruption in Japan

Page 9: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE SCALE OF THE DISASTER IN JAPAN WAS

OVERWHELMING

AS PERCEIVED ON DAY 4, MARCH 14, 2011

GRIM REALITY

Page 10: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

DIMENSIONS OF THE CATASTROPHE

WIDE SPREAD DAMAGE AND LOSS OF FUNCTION

MORTALITY (AT LEAST 16,000)“A NIGHTMARE NUCLEAR DISASTER ”

HUGE ECONOMIC LOSSES

Page 11: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE JAPANESE PEOPLE SUFFERED DEEPLY

FOOD, WATER, ELECTRICITY, SHELTER (500,000 DAMAGED BUILDINGS), COLD WEATHER, LACK OF MEDICINE, AND

THE RADIATION THREAT

Page 12: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

EVEN THE WEATHER HINDERED HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE

Page 13: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

MORTALITY TOLL FROM EARTHQUAKE/TSUNAMI,

WHICH EXCEEDED 16,000, ROSE VERY RAPIDLY

THE LARGE NUMBERS OF BODIES BEING FOUND EARLY IN THE

RESPONSE PHASE OUTSTRIPPED LOCAL CAPACITY TO CREMATE

Page 14: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

A SNAPSHOT OF THE SITUATION IN JAPAN

ON DAY 4

BASED ON REPORT FILED BY THE UN’s OCHA ON DAY 4 AFTER THE

MARCH 11 EARTHQAKE

MONDAY, MARCH 14, 2011

Page 15: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

PROPERTY DAMAGE COASTAL REGION OF TOHOKU

The Government reported that 2,852 buildings were destroyed and over 40,000 damaged either by earthquake ground shaking, fire, or tsunami

Page 16: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

PROPERTY DAMAGE COASTAL REGION OF TOHOKU

The Government reported that 2,852 buildings were destroyed and over 40,000 damaged either by earthquake ground shaking, fire, or tsunami.

Page 17: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE TSUNAMI WAVES CAUSED ENORMOUS DESTRUCTION

An estimated

5,000 houses were inundated just in Iwate.

Page 18: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE

• 827 roads• 47 bridges• seven railways• AIRPORT.

Page 19: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE TSUNAMI WAVES CAUSED WIDE SPREAD DESTRUCTION

In Sendai city

of Miyagi, 2,700 houses were washed away.

Page 20: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE TSUNAMI WAVES CAUSED WIDE SPREAD DESTRUCTION

1,800 houses

were destroyed in Fukushima

Page 21: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

SENDAI: FIRE AT NIPPON OIL REFINERY

Page 22: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

TSUNAMI WAVES DEVASTATED SENDAI

Page 23: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

TSUNAMI DAMAGE

Page 24: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

TSUNAMI DAMAGE

Page 25: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

TSUNAMI DAMAGE

Page 26: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

SOCIETAL IMPACTS

• The tsunami wave runup, which left widespread devastation, debris, and impassable road systems , stymied humanitarian assistance.

Page 27: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

AERIAL VIEW: THE FUKUSHIMA NUCLEAR FACIULITY

Page 28: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE FUKUSHIMA NUCLEAR FACILITY

Radiation leaks and threats of partial melt down developed in four of the six reactors.

Page 29: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

RADIATION CLOUD AT THE FUKUSHIMA NUCLEAR FACIULITY

Page 30: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

THE RADIATION LEAKS SLOWED THE RADIATION LEAKS SLOWED HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCEHUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE

• The fires, explosions, tsunami wave run up, and radiation leaks and clouds that raised radiation levels to 1,000 + times normal levels dramatically slowed and, in some cases, prevented international humanitarian assistance.

Page 31: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

NO-FLY ZONE ABOUT FUKUSHIMA

Page 32: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

A RACE WITH TIME AGAINST THE INVISIBLE THREAT

• Experts worked at the margins of their capability, hoping to prevent a nuclear melt down.

• Evacuations in a 10 to 20 km radius about the nuclear facility began promptly

Page 33: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

DRY SPENT FUEL POOLS

• By days 6-7, Japanese efforts were focused on the pools used to store spent nuclear fuel, now dry or nearly so, because the consensus was that the dry rods could heat up and spew intense radiation.

Page 34: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

WORKING TO AVERT DISASTER

• Emergency workers tried helicopter water drops, heavy-duty fire trucks, and water cannons to no avail to cool down Japan's dangerously overheated nuclear reactors and spent-fuel pools.

Page 35: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

HELICOPTERS COLLECT SEA WATER TO DROP ON FUKUSHIMA REACTORS

Page 36: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

A RACE AGAINST TIME

• The increased risk from radiation stymied search and rescue operations, already out of time in terms of the “golden window,” and slowed humanitarian assistance.

Page 37: A BRIGHT SPOT AFTER A YEAR OF BAD NEWS FOLLOWING JAPANS MARCH 11, 2011 CATASTROPHE February 2, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction,

DAY 14: MARCH 24

HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE WAS FINALLY ABLE TO TURN

THE CORNER