Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

A big push for integrated drought resilience – can it include all?

Vulnerability and Impact Assessment: How to target the most vulnerable?

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

Vulnerability in its context

Summary for Policymakers (IPCC, 2014)

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

3

Economic VulnerabilitySocial Vulnerability

Environmental Vulnerability

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

Calculation methods

• Composite Indicator Methods✓ Vulnerability = the sum of Social Vulnerability, Economic Vulnerability, … ✓ Vulnerability = sum of Exposure + Sensitity – Adaptive Capacity

• Methods to apply weights✓ Equal weights

- Complex theoretical structure of the indicators- Large amount of indicators

✓ Statistical approach (Principal Component Analysis, Correlation Analysis,,… )

- Less based on logical meaning- objective

✓ Expert Judgment (Analytical Hierarchy Process,…)

- Subjective- Searching for realistic contributions of the different aspects

Verbist:2016

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

International Hydrolgical Programme (IHP, VIII 2014-2021)

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

Global Network on Water and Development Information for Arid Lands (G-WADI)

http://gwadi.org/

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

Improved climate services for risk management : African and LAC flood and drought Monitors

User Interface: http://stream.princeton.edu

Designed to strengthen the capacity of African and LAC countries for near real-time monitoring and seasonal forecasting to raise awareness of the impact of floods and droughts on vulnerable and disadvantaged groups.

System was deployed in

• LAC • West Africa• East Africa• Southern Africa• Currently been adapted for Lake

Chad Basin with higher spatial resolution

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

African Drought Early Warning System Expansion to Southern Africa –Review of SADC drought mitigation plans

Training on the African Early Warning SystemNovember 2016,Harare, Zimbabwe

35 participants(23% women)

12 countries (Angola, Botswana, Democratic Republic of Congo, Lesotho, Malawi, Mauritius, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, United Republic of Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe)

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

National drought monitoring and flood and drought early warning strengthened

- Development of relevant, timely and actionable information- High resolution local versions in pilot countries- Support governments in LAC and Africa to integrate

information in decision-making- Publication of guidelines

Chilean Agroclimatic Observatory

Drought Vulnerability Atlas

It is these antecedents that have led to the need to generate a special UNESCO publication to address the issue of drought in this region of America. This is: The Drought Atlas of Latin America and the Caribbean

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

Towards an Integrated Drought Risk Management

Three types of maps available for 21 countries in the region:Mexico – Belice –Guatemala – Honduras - El Salvador – Nicaragua - Costa Rica – Panama –Colombia –Venezuela – Brazil – Ecuador – Peru – Bolivia – Paraguay –Uruguay –Chile –Argentina – Jamaica –Haiti - DominicanRepublic - Cuba

Accessible on-line in Spanish and English

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

Climate Risk Informed Decision Analysis (CRIDA)

CRIDA moves away from the ‘one size fits all’ approach, since adaptation to climate stress is a local process that requires the design of tailored solutions. In this way, CRIDA helps the water resources planner to navigate through an uncertain world toward imperfect but robust and socially acceptable solutions in line with local needs.

Stockholm Water Week - Anil Mishra Tuesday 27 August 2019

Thanks

Thank you for your kind attention