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Kari Austnes 19th April 2014
Critical limits for acidification of surface waters vs boundary values in the Water Framework Directive (WFD) – a Norwegian case study
24th CCE workshop and 30th task force meeting
Kari Austnes 2
Objective
• Two sets of management regulations related to acidification of surface waters− LRTAP: Acid deposition below the critical load (CL) for
protection of the ecosystems− WFD: Ecological indicators (quality elements) above
certain boundary values for achieving good ecological status (with respect to acidification)
• Both use acid neutralising capacity (ANC) as chemical criterion linking water chemistry to biological effects− Do they set the same requirements?− Not directly comparable – CL calulated based on both
criteria for comparison
9th April 2014
Kari Austnes 3
Critical loads for surface waters
• SSWC and FAB the commonly used models• Both use ANClimit as link chemistry-biology
− The criterion we want to compare with the ANC criterion in the WFD
• SSWC: CL(A) = BC0 - ANClimit
− BC0: Flux of (non-marine) base cations from the catchment in pre-acidification times
− ANClimit • Minimum ANC to avoid harmful effects
on selected biota• Originally a fixed limit at 20 eq/l 95% probability of no damage
9th April 2014Lien et al. (1996)
Kari Austnes 4
The variable ANClimit
• Less sensitive systems higher biodiversity higher ANClimit needed to keep the diversity intact
• The variable ANClimit varies with the original base cation concentration− [ANC]limit,var = k*CL = k*Q*[BC*]0/(1+k*Q)
− ANC-range: 0-50 eq/l
• Organic acid adjustment− Organic acids contribute to the strong acid anion
concentration larger buffer needed at higher organic acid concentration
− [ANC]limit,oaa,var = k*Q*([BC*]0-1/3*m*[TOC])/(1+k*Q) (m=10.2, k=0.2)
− CL=Q*([BC*]0- [ANC]limit,oaa,var -3.4*[TOC])9th April 2014
Kari Austnes 5
The WFD and boundary values
• Ecological status of surface waters based on a set of quality elements− Biological and physicochemical
• Boundary values set for different quality elements (e.g. ANC) with respect to different pressures (e.g. acidification)− Five status classes from high to bad− Good status environmental target the
good/moderate (G/M) boundary essential− The boundary values represent deviation from a
reference status (natural conditions)• Different sets of boundary values for different types of
water bodies (e.g. small, lowland, humic lakes)9th April 2014
Kari Austnes 6
WFD boundary values (Norway)
• Lake types for acidification classification defined by Ca- and TOC-concentration− Boundary values vary according to buffering capacity and
humic acid content as the ANClimit,oaa,var
− Discrete boundary values (ANClimit,oaa,var continuous)
• 1st classification manual (2009)− 6 types: 2 Ca classes (split at 1 mg/l), 3 TOC classes− Reference value median of reference lakes− G/M boundary
• Brown trout status vs ANC • Benthic invertebrate vs ANC (adj)• Expert judgement• ANC-range: 20-40 eq/l
9th April 2014
Hesthagen et al. (2008)
Kari Austnes 7
WFD boundary values (Norway) cont.
• 2nd classification manual (2014)− Revised reference values
• Pre-industrial ANC from MAGIC many lakes pre-industrial ANC below G/M boundary large range within the same lake type
• Lower Ca-class (<1 mg/l) split into four
9th April 2014
• Median of MAGIC-results used
− Revised G/M boundary values• Re-analysis of brown trout data for new lake types• Boundaries adjusted downwards to take delayed biological
recovery into account (Wright, 2013)
• Expert judgement• ANC-range: 0-30 eq/l
Wright and Cosby (2012)
Ca<1, TOC<2
Kari Austnes 8
Background – variability across Norway
9th April 2014
Kari Austnes 9
The G/M boundary
9th April 2014
• Markedly higher values with the 1st WFD manual
• Both reflect the Ca and TOC patterns
• Not directly comparable to ANClimit,oaa,var TOC incorporated in the ANClimit,oaa,var value
• CL calculation used for comparison
Kari Austnes 10
Critical load: Compare ANClimit,oaa,var and G/M boundary
9th April 2014
• Markedly lower CL with G/M boundary based on the 1st manual
• Negative CL aiming for the unachievable
Kari Austnes 11
Exceedance 2007-2011: Comparison
9th April 2014
• Fairly similar results
• More realistic G/M boundary values in the 2nd manual
• Drawing on experience from the LRTAP work
• WFD requirements slightly lower
Kari Austnes 12
Differences CLA_oaa and CLA_WFD2
9th April 2014
• CLA_oaa mainly lower than CLA_WFD2
• Largest differences when CLA_oaa is lower than CLA_WFD2
• Largest relevant differences found on the west coast
Grid cells with CLA>90 meq/m2/yr removed from the analysis – not relevant - no risk of acidification
Kari Austnes 13
Differences: Humic acid content
• For both criteria CL decreases with increasing TOC
• Large range in deviation at low TOC− Different TOC-approach
less important
• At TOC>8 mg/l CLA_oaa is always lower− G/M boundary no
differentiation at TOC>5 mg/l (with respect to TOC)
− Too low G/M at high TOC?
9th April 2014
• Marked changes at class boundaries− Larger differences at the
lower end
Kari Austnes 14
Differences: Buffering capacity
9th April 2014
• G/M boundary increases with increasing Ca
• ANClimit,oaa,var increases with increasing BC0
• Fairly similar pattern reflect the same effect
• Lower CLA_WFD2 mainly at Ca0.75-1.25 mg/l
• Lower CLA_oaa along the whole range− Majority Ca<0.75 mg/l − Most grid cells with
Ca>0.75 mg/l high TOC
• Marked changes at class boundaries− Larger differences at the
lower end
Kari Austnes 15
Differences: Summary
• Exceedance− CLA_oaa stricter at very low Ca− CLA_WFD2 stricter at Ca0.75-1 mg/l− Differences in TOC approach mainly relevant at high TOC
• Discrete G/M boundaries problematic− Artificial trend within classes− High uncertainty around the class boundaries
9th April 2014
Kari Austnes 16
TOC increases – then what?
• WFD− Boundaries dynamic for their actual purpose, i.e. to
assess ecological status with respect to acidification• Increase in TOC type changes stricter requirement
(higher ANC G/M boundary)• But - only three TOC classes: Marked changes
needed, and no effect of TOC increase above 5 mg/l
• LRTAP− In theory critical loads based on ANC limit constant
• In practice revised as calculations and data improve
− Using ANClimit,oaa,var introduces a non-constant factor (TOC) not taken into account• Increasing TOC lower CL higher exceedance 9th April 2014
Kari Austnes 17
TOC increase: Effects on critical loads
9th April 2014
• Rough test− TOC increase in line
with long-term monitored lakes
− Increase from 1995-present
− Different factor in different regions: 1.0-1.9
• Small changes only− Most pronounced in
regions with higher TOC increase
Kari Austnes 18
TOC increase: Effects on exceedances
9th April 2014
• Relatively small differences so far
• Larger impact in other countries?
Kari Austnes 19
Conclusions
• WFD requirements far more in line with the LRTAP requirements in the 2nd manual for WFD classification
• Still some differences− WFD requirements somewhat lower overall− The upper TOC class should probably be split− Major differences at very low Ca – difficult to say which
criterion is more correct
• Discrete WFD boundaries give higher uncertainty• CLA_oaa decreases with increasing TOC
− Small changes so far, but may call for revision if continued TOC increase
9th April 2014