test data set 1

50,000 iterations run

starting points chosen from eyeballing and fiddling with data and guessing at a good fit.

relatively poor mixing(parameter draws made independently despite known correlations)

burn-in: 10,000

95% credible intervals:

Vbak: 19.9939 40.6203K: 34.9009 43.7138P: 3.4135 3.4168chi: 0.3458 0.4481e: 0.2262 0.5009omega: 1.0409 1.6849

test data set 2

10,000 iterations run(this morning!--not enough time for more.)

starting points chosen from eyeballing and fiddling with data and guessing at a good fit.

relatively poor mixing(parameter draws made independently despite known

correlations)

no convergence at all, so no distributions drawn or intervals constructed