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Six
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SIX SIGMA
ANKIT VIJAYVARGIYA
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What is Six Sigma?Six Sigma is a highlydisciplined process that helps us focus on developing and delivering near-perfect productsand services.Why ”Sigma“? The word is a statistical term that measures how far a givenprocess deviates from perfection. The central idea behind Six Sigma is that if you canmeasure how many “defects” you have in a process, you can systematically figure out howto eliminate them and get as close to “zero defects” as possible.
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Sigma (σ)
A term used in statistics to represent standard deviation, an indicator of the degree of variation in a set of measurements or a process. A one-sigma process produces 691462.5 defects per million opportunities—a percentage of satisfactory outputs of only 30.854%.
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Standard deviation
A measure of the spread of data points in relation to the mean. It’s the most common measure of variation in a set of data
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Six Sigma
A philosophy of managing that focuses on eliminating defects through practices that emphasize understanding, measuring, and improving processes. It’s based on the statistical concept of six sigma, measuring a process at only 3.4 defects per million opportunities (DPMO).
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DPMO at sigma levels
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HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE ON SIX SIGMA
In the mid-1980s, Motorola, under the leadership of Robert W. Galvin, was the initial developer of Six Sigma. Most credit the late Bill Smith for inventing Six Sigma; Smith, a senior engineer and scientist with n Motorola’s Communications Division, had noted that its final product tests had not predicted the high level of system failure rates Motorola was experiencing. He suggested that the increasing level of complexity of the system and the resulting high number of opportunities for failure could be possible causes for this. He came to the conclusion that Motorola needed to require a higher level of internal quality, and he brought this idea to then-CEO Bob Galvin’s attention, persuading him that Six Sigma should be set as a quality goal.
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Six Sigma: DMAIC
Methodology• Define• Measure• Analyze• Improve• Control
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Define Key Items
• Customers, Value, Problem Statement • Scope, Timeline, Team• Primary/Secondary & OpEx Metrics• Current Value Stream Map• Voice Of Customer (QFD)
(Quality Function Deployment)
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Measure
• Establish measurement capability• Validate the database (transactional)• Gage R&R (Repeatability & Reproducibility)• Calibration is not enough• Many (or most) measurement systems are
not capable• How good is the data you are using to
make decisions?
• Fix the measurement system• Enables calculation of process capability• Enables calculation of alpha & beta risks
• This step is often skipped
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Analyze(and fix the obvious)
• Find all KPOVs & KPIVs(Key Process Output Variables; Key Process
Input Variables)• FMEA, DOE, critical Xs, VA/NVA
(Failure Modes Effects Analysis; Design Of Experiment)
• Graphical Analysis, ANOVA(Analysis Of Variance)
• Future Value Stream Map
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Improve
• Optimize KPOVs & test the KPIVs(Key Process Output Variables; Key Process
Input Variables)• Redesign process, set pacemaker• 5S, Cell design, MRS
(Material Replenishment System)• Visual controls• Value Stream Plan
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Control
• Management of Change• Owned by project champion and value
stream manager• Critical to long term success of project• Physical and cultural changes
• Measurement controls• On-going metrics
• Visual Controls• Enable workers to self-manage the process
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Next Project
DefineCustomers, Value, Problem Statement
Scope, Timeline, Team
Primary/Secondary & OpEx Metrics
Current Value Stream Map
Voice Of Customer (QFD)
MeasureAssess specification / Demand
Measurement Capability (Gage R&R)
Correct the measurement system
Process map, Spaghetti, Time obs.
Measure OVs & IVs / Queues
Analyze (and fix the obvious)Root Cause (Pareto, C&E, brainstorm)
Find all KPOVs & KPIVs
FMEA, DOE, critical Xs, VA/NVA
Graphical Analysis, ANOVA
Future Value Stream Map
ImproveOptimize KPOVs & test the KPIVs
Redesign process, set pacemaker
5S, Cell design, MRS
Visual controls
Value Stream Plan
ControlDocument process (WIs, Std Work)
Mistake proof, TT sheet, CI List
Analyze change in metrics
Value Stream Review
Prepare final report
Validate Project $
Validate Project $
Validate Project $
Validate Project $
Celebrate Project $
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• Develop a focused Problem Statement and Objective• Develop a Process Map and/or FMEA• Develop a Current State Map• Identify the response variable(s) and how to measure them• Analyze measurement system capability• Assess the specification (Is one in place? Is it the right one?)
Practical Problem
ProblemDefinition
• Characterize the response, look at the raw data• Abnormal? Other Clues? Mean or Variance problem?
• Time Observation • Spaghetti Diagram • Takt Time• Future State Maps • Percent Loading • Standard Work Combination• Use Graphical Analysis, Multi-Vari, ANOVA and basic
statistical tools to identify the likely families of variability
ProblemSolution
• Identify the likely X’s• 5S • Set Up Time Reduction (SMED)• Material Replenishment Systems• Level Loading / Line Leveling• Cell Design • Visual Controls• Use Design of Experiments to find the critical few X’s• Move the distribution; Shrink the spread; Confirm the results
Problem Control
• Mistake Proof the process (Poka-Yoke)
• Tolerance the process• Measure the final capability• Place appropriate process controls on
the critical X’s• Document the effort and results• Standard Work • TPM
IdentifyProblem
• Strategic Link to Business Plan defined in Project Selection Process• Defined Business Impact with Op Ex Champion support• Structured Brainstorming at all organizational levels• Cause and Effect Diagrams identifying critical factors• Primary and Secondary Metrics defined and charted• Multi-Level Pareto Charts to confirm project focus
Plan Execute
Execute Plan
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Breakthrough performance gains
2 308,5373 66,8074 6,2105 2336 3.4
2 308,5373 66,8074 6,2105 2336 3.4
PPMPPM
(Distribution Shifted ± 1.5)
ProcessCapability
ProcessCapability
Defects per Million Opportunities
Defects per Million Opportunities
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Basic ImplementationRoadmap
Understand and DefineEntire Value Streams
Deploy Key Business Objectives- Measure and target (metrics)
- Align and involve all employees- Develop and motivate
Define, Measure, Analyze, ImproveIdentify root causes, prioritize, eliminate waste,
make things flow and pulled by customers
Control-Sustain Improvement
-Drive Towards Perfection
Identify Customer Requirements
Vision (Strategic Business Plan)
Continuous Improvement (DMAIC)
Identify Customer Requirements
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The Normal Curve and Capability
LSL USL
Poor Process Capability
Very High Probability of Defects
LSL USL
Excellent Process
Capability
Very Low Probability of Defects
Very High Probability of Defects
Very Low Probability of Defects
Low SigmaLow Sigma High SigmaHigh Sigma
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What about Lean, TOC, TQM
• Six Sigma• Remove defects, minimize variance
• Lean• Remove waste, shorten the flow
• TOC• Remove and manage constraints
• TQM• Continuous Improvement
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Does it work?.
Source: American Customer Satisfaction Index, U Michigan, HBR, 2001
199973
companies
Ralston Purina
Quaker OatsHilton Hotels
Coca-ColaUnilever
etc.
The top companies in Customer Satisfaction grow MVA atnearly twice the rate of their poor-performing counterparts.
$23
$42
0
10
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30
40
50
Low High
Customer Satisfaction Index Score
Mar
ket V
alue
Ad
de
dIn Billions $