5 year timeline for Adult Education

December, 2011

State Emphasis & Initiatives

1. 5-year timeline for Implementation of Career Pathways in Nevada Adult Education

– Career Pathways Standards2. Increase capacity to offer GED Prep & Fast Track models3. Postsecondary Transitions/Bridge programs4. Literacy & ESL focused on College and Career Awareness &

Readiness5. Greater integration of Nevada ABE & Adult High School

programs6. Supplemental funding related to innovative programming / mini

research grants7. Funding formula to drive initiatives listed above

Reno-Sparks Unemployed

10,417 10,138

30,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

Year

Un

em

plo

ye

d R

es

ide

nts

CountyUnemployment

• Mining counties have fared relatively well

• Bedroom counties have the highest unemployment rates

Nevada Unemployment DurationNumber of Unemployed by Duration

(12-month moving average)

0

20

40

60

80

100

Oct-06 Apr-07 Nov-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jul-09 Jan-10 Aug-10 Feb-11

Tho

usan

dsLess than 5 wks 5-14 weeks 15-26 weeks 27 wks or more

Average Weekly Hours

32.5

33.0

33.5

34.0

34.5

35.0

35.5

36.0

36.5

37.0

37.5

38.020

08

2009

2010

Average Weekly Wages

$600

$620

$640

$660

$680

$700

$720

$740

$76020

08

2009

2010

Las Vegas Visitor Volume

Visitor Volume

33,000,000

34,000,000

35,000,000

36,000,000

37,000,000

38,000,000

39,000,000

40,000,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Year

Tra

vele

rs

Visitor Volume

33,000,000

34,000,000

35,000,000

36,000,000

37,000,000

38,000,000

39,000,000

40,000,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Year

Tra

vele

rs

Unemployment Rate Projections

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%20

04

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

E

2011

E

2012

E

2013

E

2014

E

2015

E

2016

E

Nevada Employment Projections

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Fastest Growing Industries 2008-2018

Industry Code Industry TitleAnnual

OpeningsAnnual

Growth Rate

7222 Limited-Service Eating Places 551 1.5%7221 Full-Service Restaurants 525 1.1%4451 Grocery Stores 487 2.4%6211 Offices of Physicians 357 2.2%4529 Other General Merchandise Stores 331 2.2%4481 Clothing Stores 248 1.7%3399 Miscellaneous Manufacturing 238 2.8%4411 Automobile Dealers 230 2.2%6221 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals 222 0.8%5613 Employment Services 217 1.1%4251 Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 213 4.4%2122 Metal Ore Mining 206 2.2%5415 Computer Systems Design and Related Services 197 4.0%6241 Individual and Family Services 188 2.3%5416 Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services 182 4.8%6212 Offices of Dentists 179 2.5%5614 Business Support Services 178 2.2%5411 Legal Services 170 1.6%6213 Offices of Other Health Practitioners 160 3.3%6111 Elementary and Secondary Schools 150 0.3%

Fastest Growing Occupations

Occupational Code Occupation Title

Annual Openings

Annual Growth

Rate

412031 Retail Salespersons 2,278 1.6%353031 Waiters & Waitresses 2,124 0.3%412011 Cashiers 1,792 0.6%393011 Gaming Dealers 932 0.8%537062 Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Material Movers, Hand 916 0.3%372011 Janitors & Cleaners, Except Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners 766 0.5%439061 Office Clerks, General 695 0.0%291111 Registered Nurses 688 2.0%352014 Cooks, Restaurant 606 0.6%435081 Stock Clerks & Order Fillers 603 0.0%372012 Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners 584 0.3%353011 Bartenders 548 0.3%111021 General & Operations Managers 538 1.1%434051 Customer Service Representatives 508 1.8%414012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing, Except Tech. & Sci. Products 478 2.2%339032 Security Guards 448 0.0%411011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 447 1.0%352021 Food Preparation Workers 446 1.6%359011 Dining Room & Cafeteria Attendants & Bartender Helpers 436 0.0%472031 Carpenters 409 0.3%

Fastest Growing Occupations: Post Secondary or Two Year Degree

Occupational Code Occupation Title

Annual Openings

Annual Growth

Rate

393011 Gaming Dealers 932 0.8%291111 Registered Nurses 688 2.0%493023 Automotive Service Technicians & Mechanics 239 1.5%311012 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants 156 1.8%419022 Real Estate Sales Agents 153 0.7%151041 Computer Support Specialists 136 1.9%395012 Hairdressers, Hairstylists, & Cosmetologists 125 1.2%319011 Massage Therapists 113 1.1%292061 Licensed Practical & Licensed Vocational Nurses 80 1.6%436012 Legal Secretaries 78 1.5%493042 Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines 76 1.5%493031 Bus & Truck Mechanics & Diesel Engine Specialists 72 1.1%436013 Medical Secretaries 64 1.0%292021 Dental Hygienists 64 3.6%252011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 60 0.7%493011 Aircraft Mechanics & Service Technicians 59 1.9%399031 Fitness Trainers & Aerobics Instructors 57 0.5%232011 Paralegals & Legal Assistants 55 3.0%391012 Slot Key Persons 53 0.8%292071 Medical Records & Health Information Technicians 47 2.4%

Fastest Growing Occupations: Short-Term OJT

Occupational Code Occupation Title

Annual Openings

Annual Growth

Rate

412031 Retail Salespersons 2,278 1.6%353031 Waiters & Waitresses 2,124 0.3%412011 Cashiers 1,792 0.6%537062 Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Material Movers, Hand 916 0.3%372011 Janitors & Cleaners, Except Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners 766 0.5%439061 Office Clerks, General 695 0.0%435081 Stock Clerks & Order Fillers 603 0.0%372012 Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners 584 0.3%353011 Bartenders 548 0.3%339032 Security Guards 448 0.0%411011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 447 1.0%352021 Food Preparation Workers 446 1.6%359011 Dining Room & Cafeteria Attendants & Bartender Helpers 436 0.0%434171 Receptionists & Information Clerks 409 1.0%359021 Dishwashers 376 0.1%373011 L&scaping & Groundskeeping Workers 373 0.6%353022 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, & Coffee Shop 339 0.7%351012 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation & Serving Workers 327 1.0%352011 Cooks, Fast Food 322 1.5%431011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office & Administrative Support Workers 265 0.0%

Economic Outlook Conclusion

• The economic rebound in Nevada will take considerably longer than in past recessions

• Tentative signs of a stabilization in the economy have emerged.

– unemployment rates holding fairly steady

– job losses are easing

– initial claims for unemployment insurance trending down

• Nothing on the horizon would serve as a catalyst for a return to our historical growth pattern — look for the economy to “bounce along the bottom” in the near-term.

• Looking at the long-term, modest/moderate growth, but perhaps not as subject to booms and busts.

The Career Pathways PipelineHow we can serve the hardest to serve

Number In Need

12,600,000 adults have finished less than 9 grades of school

17,970,000 adults have finished at least 9 grades but no diploma

(American Community Survey)

27,000,000 adults are below basic57,000,000 adults are basic(National Assessment of Adult Literacy/2011 Census)

Are Career Pathways Inclusive?

Creaming:Creaming is focusing only on the few at the top, leaving the others with no services.

Pipeline for the Lower Tier

• Identify 5 high demand job sectors in your service area that require post-secondary training or a 2-year degree

– Identify reading, math and English skills and the soft skills related to those specific jobs

See DETR Statewide Occupational Employment & Projections 2008-2018www.nevadaworkforce.com Click: Employment Projections

Pipeline for the Lower Tier

– Integrate that contextualized content into the curriculum

• We are going to teach root words, prefixes and suffixes. By teaching reading skills as well as math and English skills in high-demand job sector contexts, we provide on-ramps onto career pathways for lower level adults.

Pipeline for the Lower Tier

– Integrate the soft skills into the curriculum• We teach problem solving, critical thinking and analysis,

communication. By teaching these and other soft skills in contexts of the high demand job sectors in the service area, we expand career pathway opportunities for lower level adults.

See Michigan’s Preparing Workers Program: http://www.maepd.org/lib-preparingworkers.html

• We have many adults below the adult secondary level.

• We cannot wait to introduce job-specific skills until adults reach adult secondary.

• We cannot cream the upper level learners and turn away the lower level learners.

• We can and do provide career pathway support at all

levels.