46
5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

5-1

CHAPTER 5Time Value of Money (“TVOM”)

Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

Page 2: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

5-2

“Time Value of Money” is a critical concept for finance and investments.

Examples of TVOM questions: You put $100 in the bank and they pay you 10% per

year interest. How much is in your account at the end of 3 years? (This is a “future value” example.)

You own a property that you expect to earn $1,000 per year for 20 years. If interest rates are 5%, how much should you sell the property for today? (This is a “present value” example.)

You take out a mortgage for $400,000 for 30 years at a rate of 6%. What will your monthly payments be? (This is an “annuity” example.)

Page 3: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-3

Helpful Hint: Draw time lines

Show the timing of cash flows. Tick marks occur at the end of periods,

so Time 0 is today; Time 1 is the end of the first period (year, month, etc.) or the beginning of the second period.

CF0 CF1 CF3CF2

0 1 2 3

I%

Page 4: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-4

Drawing time lines

100 100100

0 1 2 3I%

3 year $100 ordinary annuity

100

0 1 2

I%

$100 lump sum due in 2 years

Page 5: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-5

Drawing time lines

100 50 75

0 1 2 3

I%

-50

Uneven cash flow stream

Page 6: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-6

What is the future value (FV) of an initial $100 after 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?

This is our bank deposit example. You put $100 in the bank and they pay you 10% per year interest. How much is in your account at the end of 3 years?

Finding the FV of a cash flow or series of cash flows is called compounding. Why? Because your “interest” is compounding ----- you are earning interest on your interest.

FV can be solved by using the step-by-step, financial calculator, and spreadsheet methods.

FV = ?

0 1 2 3

10%

100

Page 7: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-7

Solving for FV:The step-by-step and formula methods

Note: Present Value (“PV”) = your $100 deposit. At the end of the 1st year, you have your $100 plus 10% of $100. We can write that as: FV1 = $100 + (10%)($100)

= PV + ( I )(PV ) = PV(1+I). After 1 year, you have:

FV1 = PV (1 + I) = $100 (1.10) = $110.00

After 2 years, you have: FV2 = [PV (1 + I)] * (1 + I) = $110.00 * (1.10) = $121.00

= PV (1 + I)2 = $100 (1.10)2 = $121.00(Note: the “compounding” benefit was $1. If you hadn’t earned

interest on interest, you would receive $10 of interest each year on $100, so just $120.)

After 3 years, you have: FV3 = PV (1 + I)3 = $100 (1.10)3

=$133.10 After N years (general case):

FVN = PV (1 + I)N

Page 8: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-8

Solving for FV:The calculator method Solves the general FV equation. Requires 4 inputs into calculator, and

will solve for the fifth. (Set to P/YR = 1 and END mode.)

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 0

133.10

-100

Page 9: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-9PV = ? 100

What is the present value (PV) of $100 due in 3 years, if I/YR = 10%? Another way to think of this is: You want to have $100 in

your bank account at the end of 3 years and the bank will pay you 10% per year. How much do you have to deposit today so that you will have $100 in the bank in 3 years?

Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of cash flows is called discounting (the reverse of compounding).

Another way to think of PV is that it shows the value of future cash flows in terms of today’s purchasing power.

0 1 2 3

10%

Page 10: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-10

Solving for PV:The formula method Start with the FV equation we have from before:

FVN = PV (1 + I)N

Do some algebra to get PV on the left-hand side:

PV = FVN / (1 + I)N

How much do you have to deposit today so that you will have $100 in the bank in 3 years if interest rate is 10% per year?

PV = FV3 / (1 + I)3

= $100 / (1.10)3

= $75.13

Page 11: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-11

Solving for PV:The calculator method Solves the general FV equation for PV. Exactly like solving for FV, except we

have different input information and are solving for a different variable.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 0 100

-75.13

Page 12: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-12

Solving for I:What interest rate would cause $100 to grow to $125.97 in 3 years?

Solves the general FV equation for I. Hard to solve without a financial

calculator or spreadsheet.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3

8

0 125.97-100

Page 13: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-13

Solving for N:If sales grow at 20% per year, how long before sales double?

Solves the general FV equation for N. Hard to solve without a financial

calculator or spreadsheet.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3.8

20 0 2-1

Page 14: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-14

What is the difference between an ordinary annuity and an annuity due?

Ordinary Annuity

PMT PMTPMT

0 1 2 3i%

PMT PMT

0 1 2 3i%

PMT

Annuity Due

Page 15: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-15

Solving for FV:3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%

$100 payments occur at the end of each period, but there is no PV.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 -100

331

0

Page 16: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-16

Solving for PV:3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%

$100 payments still occur at the end of each period, but now there is no FV.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 100 0

-248.69

Page 17: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-17

Solving for FV:3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%

Now, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

FVAdue= FVAord(1+I) = $331(1.10) = $364.10. Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN”

mode and solve for the FV of the annuity:

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 -100

364.10

0BEGI

N

Page 18: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-18

Solving for PV:3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%

Again, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

PVAdue= PVAord(1+I) = $248.69(1.10) = $273.55. Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN” mode

and solve for the PV of the annuity:

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10 100 0

-273.55

BEGIN

Page 19: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-19

What is the present value of a 5-year $100 ordinary annuity at 10%?

Be sure your financial calculator is set back to END mode and solve for PV: N = 5, I/YR = 10, PMT = 100, FV = 0. PV = $379.08

Page 20: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-20

What if it were a 10-year annuity? A 25-year annuity? A perpetuity?

10-year annuity N = 10, I/YR = 10, PMT = 100, FV = 0;

solve for PV = $614.46. 25-year annuity

N = 25, I/YR = 10, PMT = 100, FV = 0; solve for PV = $907.70.

Perpetuity PV = PMT / I = $100/0.1 = $1,000.

Page 21: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-21

The Power of Compound Interest

A 20-year-old student wants to save $3 a day for her retirement. Every day she places $3 in a drawer. At the end of the year, she invests the accumulated savings ($1,095) in a brokerage account with an expected annual return of 12%.

How much money will she have when she is 65 years old?

Page 22: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-22

Solving for FV:If she begins saving today, how much will she have when she is 65?

If she sticks to her plan, she will have $1,487,261.89 when she is 65.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

45 12 -1095

1,487,262

0

Page 23: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-23

Solving for FV:If you don’t start saving until you are 40 years old, how much will you have at 65? If a 40-year-old investor begins saving

today, and sticks to the plan, he or she will have $146,000.59 at age 65. This is $1.3 million less than if starting at age 20.

Lesson: It pays to start saving early.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

25 12 -1095

146,001

0

Page 24: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-24

Solving for PMT:How much must the 40-year old deposit annually to catch the 20-year old?

To find the required annual contribution, enter the number of years until retirement and the final goal of $1,487,261.89, and solve for PMT.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

25 12

-11,154.42

1,487,2620

Page 25: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-25

What is the PV of this uneven cash flow stream?

0

100

1

300

2

300

310%

-50

4

90.91247.93225.39 -34.15530.08 = PV

Page 26: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-26

Solving for PV:Uneven cash flow stream

Input cash flows in the calculator’s “CFLO” register: CF0 = 0 CF1 = 100 CF2 = 300 CF3 = 300 CF4 = -50

Enter I/YR = 10, press NPV button to get NPV = $530.087. (Here NPV = PV.)

Page 27: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-27

Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller if compounded more often, holding the stated I% constant? LARGER, as the more frequently

compounding occurs, interest is earned on interest more often.

Annually: FV3 = $100(1.10)3 = $133.10

0 1 2 310%

100 133.10

Semiannually: FV6 = $100(1.05)6 = $134.01

0 1 2 35%

4 5 6

134.01

1 2 30

100

Page 28: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-28

Classifications of interest rates

Nominal rate (INOM) – also called the quoted or state rate. An annual rate that ignores compounding effects. INOM is stated in contracts. Periods must also be

given, e.g. 8% Quarterly or 8% Daily interest.

Periodic rate (IPER) – amount of interest charged each period, e.g. monthly or quarterly. IPER = INOM / M, where M is the number of

compounding periods per year. M = 4 for quarterly and M = 12 for monthly compounding.

Page 29: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-29

Classifications of interest rates Effective (or equivalent) annual rate (EAR =

EFF%) – the annual rate of interest actually being earned, accounting for compounding. EFF% for 10% semiannual investment

EFF% = ( 1 + INOM / M )M - 1

= ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 )2 – 1 = 10.25%

Should be indifferent between receiving 10.25% annual interest and receiving 10% interest, compounded semiannually.

Page 30: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-30

Why is it important to consider effective rates of return? Investments with different compounding

intervals provide different effective returns. To compare investments with different

compounding intervals, you must look at their effective returns (EFF% or EAR).

See how the effective return varies between investments with the same nominal rate, but different compounding intervals.

EARANNUAL 10.00%EARQUARTERLY 10.38%EARMONTHLY 10.47%EARDAILY (365) 10.52%

Page 31: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-31

When is each rate used? INOM written into contracts, quoted by

banks and brokers. Not used in calculations or shown on time lines.

IPER Used in calculations and shown on time lines. If M = 1, INOM = IPER = EAR.

EAR Used to compare returns on investments with different payments per year. Used in calculations when annuity payments don’t match compounding periods.

Page 32: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-32

What is the FV of $100 after 3 years under 10% semiannual compounding? Quarterly compounding?

$134.49 (1.025) $100 FV

$134.01 (1.05) $100 FV

) 2

0.10 1 ( $100 FV

) M

I 1 (PV FV

123Q

63S

323S

NMNOMn

Page 33: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-33

Can the effective rate ever be equal to the nominal rate?

Yes, but only if annual compounding is used, i.e., if M = 1.

If M > 1, EFF% will always be greater than the nominal rate.

Page 34: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-34

What’s the FV of a 3-year $100 annuity, if the quoted interest rate is 10%, compounded semiannually?

Payments occur annually, but compounding occurs every 6 months.

Cannot use normal annuity valuation techniques.

0 1

100

2 35%

4 5

100 100

6

Page 35: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-35

Method 1:Compound each cash flow

110.25121.55331.80

FV3 = $100(1.05)4 + $100(1.05)2 + $100

FV3 = $331.80

0 1

100

2 35%

4 5

100

6

100

Page 36: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-36

Method 2:Financial calculator

Find the EAR and treat as an annuity.

EAR = ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 )2 – 1 = 10.25%.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10.25 -100

331.80

0

Page 37: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-37

Find the PV of this 3-year ordinary annuity.

Could solve by discounting each cash flow, or …

Use the EAR and treat as an annuity to solve for PV.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10.25 100 0

-247.59

Page 38: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-38

Loan amortization Amortization tables are widely used

for home mortgages, auto loans, business loans, retirement plans, etc.

Financial calculators and spreadsheets are great for setting up amortization tables.

EXAMPLE: Construct an amortization schedule for a $1,000, 10% annual rate loan with 3 equal payments.

Page 39: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-39

Step 1:Find the required annual payment

All input information is already given, just remember that the FV = 0 because the reason for amortizing the loan and making payments is to retire the loan.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

3 10

402.11

0-1000

Page 40: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-40

Step 2:Find the interest paid in Year 1

The borrower will owe interest upon the initial balance at the end of the first year. Interest to be paid in the first year can be found by multiplying the beginning balance by the interest rate.

INTt = Beg balt (I)

INT1 = $1,000 (0.10) = $100

Page 41: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-41

Step 3:Find the principal repaid in Year 1 If a payment of $402.11 was made

at the end of the first year and $100 was paid toward interest, the remaining value must represent the amount of principal repaid.

PRIN = PMT – INT= $402.11 - $100 =

$302.11

Page 42: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-42

Step 4:Find the ending balance after Year 1

To find the balance at the end of the period, subtract the amount paid toward principal from the beginning balance.

END BAL= BEG BAL – PRIN= $1,000 - $302.11 = $697.89

Page 43: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-43

Constructing an amortization table:Repeat steps 1 – 4 until end of loan

Interest paid declines with each payment as the balance declines. What are the tax implications of this?

YearBEG BAL PMT INT PRIN

END BAL

1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $698

2 698 402 70 332 366

3 366 402 37 366 0

TOTAL

1,206.34

206.34 1,000 -

Page 44: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-44

Illustrating an amortized payment:Where does the money go?

Constant payments. Declining interest payments. Declining balance.

$

0 1 2 3

402.11Interest

302.11

Principal Payments

Page 45: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-45

Mortgage example: You are going to get a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for $400,000. If your rate is 6.5%, what is your monthly payment? Assume fully amortized.

This is just an ordinary annuity. Set calculator to “END” mode and P/yr = 1. We’ll trick the calculator into

thinking each “yr” is a “month”. Calculate the number of payments: 30 years x 12 payments per year =

360. The bank charges you interest each month at the rate of 6.5% divided by

12:“I/YR” (really we are inputting I / month ) = 6.5% / 12 = 0.5417%

PV = the amount you borrow. “Fully amortizing” means FV = 0.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

360 0.5417 400,000 0

-2,528.27

Page 46: 5-1 CHAPTER 5 Time Value of Money (“TVOM”) Future value (“FV”) Present value (“PV”) Annuities Rates of return Amortization

2-46

Mortgage example: You are going to get a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for $400,000. If your rate is 6.5%, what is your monthly payment? Assume fully amortized.

How much interest will you have paid at the end of the 30 years?

Calculate the total $ you will have paid the bank at the end of the 30 years:

$ 2,528.27 * 360 = $ 910,178.

Calculate how much went to interest: $ 910,178 - $ 400,000 = $ 510.178.

INPUTS

OUTPUT

N I/YR PMTPV FV

360 0.5417 400,000 0

-2,528.27