Mobile Broadband in the Americas

www.4gamericas.org

Mobile World Congress March 2015

www.4gamericas.org

4G Americas Board of Governors

MISSION: 4G Americas will advocate for and foster the advancement and full capabilities of LTE mobile broadband technologies, including LTE-Advanced and beyond to 5G, throughout the ecosystem’s networks, services, applications and wirelessly connected devices in the Americas.

www.4gamericas.org

Mobile Market Update

www.4gamericas.org

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 Dec 19

Milli

ons

CDMA

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Global Technology Trends 2010-2019

LTE

5.3 Billion Subscriptions

8.5 Billion Subscriptions

www.4gamericas.org

Global Mobile Broadband Deployments

367 Networks 121 Countries

49 Networks 31 Countries

Nearly 600 networks covering 60 % of the world’s population

www.4gamericas.org

Americas Region Market Update

US/Canada Latin America

Caribbean

4 LTE-Advanced Commercial

Networks

58 LTE Commercial

Networks in 21 countries

67 LTE Commercial

Networks

- 50

100 150

200 250 300 350 400 450

Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14

179 M 186 M 172 M 139 M

110 M

70 M 53 M

33 M

25 M

15 M

77 M 106 M

123 M

119 M

117 M

0 7 M 40 M

100 M 165 M

Millio

ns of

Sub

scrip

tions

LTE

HSPA

GSM

CDMA

Others

Data Source: December 2014 Estimates www.4gamericas.org

USA / Canada Mobile Subscriptions - 2010-2014

336 M 358 M 371 M 383 M 407 M

Others = Analog, TDMA, iDEN

Data Source: December 2014 Estimates www.4gamericas.org

USA / Canada Mobile Market Shares - 2014

407 Million Subscriptions

GSM 15 M 4%

LTE -- 165 M -- 40%

HSPA, HSPA+ 117 M - 29%

CDMA 110 M - 27%

0

100

200

300

400

500

Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 Dec 19

102 M 91 M 79 M 69 M 59 M

104 M 98 M

92 M 86 M 81 M

169 M 199 M

230 M 259 M

286 M

Milli

ons o

f Sub

scrip

tions

LTEHSPAGSMCDMA

Data Source: December 2014 Estimates www.4gamericas.org

USA / Canada Mobile Technology Forecast

2015 - 2019

385 M 397 M 408 M 420 M 431 M

www.4gamericas.org

Challenge & Opportunity for the Industry: Mobile Data Demand

2.5 EB 4.2 EB

6.8 EB

10.7 EB

16.1 EB

24.3 EB

0

6

12

18

24

30

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Exabytes per Month

57% CAGR 2014-2019

Source: Cisco VNI Mobile, February 2015

www.4gamericas.org

LTE-Advanced

www.4gamericas.org

SON

Flexibility Capacity & Efficiency Innovation

Evolving Carrier Aggregation

Further Enhanced HetNets

More advanced antenna features and 256 QAM

Higher capacity for M2M and Smartphone signaling

Device Interference Cancellation

Coordinated Multipoint

LTE Broadcast

LTE Direct D2D

Higher bands and new licensing

models (Authorized Shared

Access)

LTE-Advanced

www.4gamericas.org

LTE-Advanced

LTE-Advanced Global Population Coverage December 2012 to December 2014

Source: Feb 18, 2015

North America

Eastern Europe

Western Europe

Asia-Pacific

Latin America 2012 2013 2014

Dec 2014 = 100 million PoPs Dec 2018 = 1 Billion Covered

Commercial LTE-Advanced

Networks Dec 2014

49

www.4gamericas.org

Then there was……….5G…….2020 & Beyond

GSM

85 % 95 %

60 %

90 %

HSPA, HSPA+

20 %

70 %

2013 2013 2013 2020 2020 2020

World Population Coverage by Technology

Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, November 2014

www.4gamericas.org

The Path to 5G

www.4gamericas.org

Steps Towards 5G

Timeframe 2000-2005

2005- 2010

2010- 2015

2015- 2020

2020-2025

3G Deployment and ongoing

evolution 3GPP

Mainstream adoption and

continuity evolution

(3GPP Rel8-9)

Maturity Declining Usage?

4G Research (OFDM, MMO)

Initial standards (3GPP Rel8-9)

Deployment and ongoing

evolution (3GPP Rel10-

12)

Mainstream adoption and

continuity evolution

(3GPP Rel13-??)

Maturity

5G Research Initial standards

around 2020 (3GPP Rel 16?)

Deployment and ongoing

evolution

ITU-R Recommendations

IMT-2000 IMT-2000 updates (inclusion of HSPA,

LTE and WiMAX)

IMT-2000 updates IMT-

Advanced

IMT-Advanced updates

IMT-2020

Source: Alcatel-Lucent, 2015

www.4gamericas.org

Plan, Timeline, Process & Deliverables for IMT-2020

Source: ITU Radiocommunications Bureau, 2015

2020 2018-2019 2017 2016-2017

WP5D IMT-2020 Workshop on performance

requirements and evaluation criteria and methodology

for candidate technologies

Definition of performance

requirements, evaluation

criteria and methodology

for the assessment of new IMT radio

interface

Evaluation by independent

external groups and

definition of new radio interface

Draft new ITU-R Recommendations

with detailed specifications for

the new radio interfaces

submitted for approval within

ITU-R

2016-2017 2017 2018-2019 2020

www.4gamericas.org

Global M2M connections – Consumer Electronics sector by application 2013-2023

Source: Machina Research 2014

Tracking Applications Network equipment Household Information Devices Personal Multimedia White goods Audio visual displays Audio visual sources

8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Global Connections (Billions)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023