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3Q12 Earnings Presentation

3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

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Page 1: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

3Q12 Earnings Presentation

Page 2: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

2

Disclaimer

Certain statements in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Such statements are

subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company’s actual results to

differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These risks include changes in

customer demand for the Company’s products, changes in raw material costs, seasonal fluctuations in

customer orders, pricing actions by competitors, significant changes in the applicable rates of exchange of

the Brazilian real against the US dollar, and general changes in the economic environment in Brazil,

emerging markets or internationally.

Page 3: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

3

3Q12 Highlights

Maranhão Project: on time and on budget.

Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term of 6 years, to

lengthen the debt profile.

Short-term debt, which accounted for 22.6% of gross debt in 3Q11, decreased to 11.0%(1).

Cash and cash equivalents: R$3.8 billion at Sept. 30, 2012.

Net revenue of R$1.4 billion in the quarter.

EBITDA of R$331.4 million in the period (+24.8% from 3Q11).

EBITDA Margin of 24.4% in 3Q12 (+2.8p.p. from 3Q11).

Net debt/EBITDA ratio of 4.7x on Sept. 30, 2012.

Higher share of domestic sales in the paper sales mix of 71%, versus 63% in 3Q11.

Higher market pulp and paper prices in Brazilian real.

Announcement of US$30/ton increase in pulp prices as of October.

In September, Suzano joined the Bovespa and IBrX-50 indexes.

Note: 1 It includes export credit note operation concluded in November

Page 4: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

Paper Sales Volume (‘000 ton)

Sales Volume

Higher share of domestic sales in the paper sales mix of 71%, versus 63% in 3Q11.

Pulp Sales Volume (‘000 ton)

Pulp Sales (ton) – 3Q12 Paper Sales (ton) – 3Q12

Brazil 71%

South/Central America

13%

North America

9%

Europe 6%

Other 1%

Europe 32%

Asia 37%

South / Central America

1%

North America

8%

Brazil 22%

4

+2.6% +3.3%

93 106 100 269 310

342 342 347

1,032 1,033

435 448 447

1,301 1,343

3Q11 2Q12 3Q12 9M11 9M12

-0.3%

Domestic Market Exports

223 216 249

562 635 133 137 102

372 345

356 353 350

934 979

3Q11 2Q12 3Q12 9M11 9M12

-1.6% +4.9%

-0.7%

Domestic Market Exports

Page 5: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

Cash Cost¹ ex-Maintenance Downtime (R$/ton)

5 5

Consolidated Results

EBITDA increase of 24.8% vs. 3Q11 and of 11.2% vs. 2Q12.

608 617 700

1,622 1,809 622 707 661

1,890 1,913

1,230 1,323 1,361

3,512 3,722

3Q11 2Q12 3Q12 9M11 9M12

791 801 797

2,234 2,322

Net Revenue(R$ million) and Volume (‘000 ton)

EBITDA (R$ million) and EBITDA Margin (%)

Average

R$/US$

Domestic Market Exports Volume

Pulp Price (US$/ton)

550

650

750

850

950

North America

Europe

China

1.63 1.96 2.03 1.63 1.92

582

583 1

2

(1)

2Q12 Wood Chemicals Fixed Cost 3Q12

+ R$ 1/ton

266 298 331

899 868

3Q11 2Q12 3Q12 9M11 9M12

21.6% 22.5% 24.4% 25.6%

23.3%

+24.8% -3.5%

+11.2%

Source: FOEX (Europe and China) and RISI (North America) Notes: 1 Consolidated Cash Cost includes Mucuri and Limeira (prior Conpacel) Units.

Page 6: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

3,791

480 814

1,168 760

1,782

978

3,814

Cash onSep/2012

4Q12 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018onward

6

Debt

Lengthening of debt profile: funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1).

9,607 9,795 311

(158)

35

Gross Debt(Jun/12)

Funding /Amortizations

Interest ForeignExchangeVariation

Gross Debt(Sep/12)

Short-term debt, which accounted for 23% of

gross debt in 3Q11, decreased to 11.0%(1).

Liquidity Horizon above 60 months

Strong cash position (sep/12): R$ 3.8 billion

Net Debt / EBITDA: 4,7x

Projects Financing: grace periods and gradual

amortizations aligned with the projects cash flow

9/30/2011 9/30/2012 6/30/2012

77% 23%

85%

15%

88%

12%

Long Term Short Term

Gross Debt (R$ million) Debt Profile Evolution

Amortization Schedule (R$ million)

Note: 1 It includes export credit note operation concluded in November

Page 7: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

3,8

(2.9)

3.9 2.0

5.9

(1.8)

2.1

1.0

1.7

Cash Sep/12 Debtamortization

andinterests

Capex BNDES Funding EBITDA¹ Cash Dec 13 Stand-by Cash Dec 13+ Stand-by

7

Financial Shield Package

The Company has a comfortable cash position in order to afford Maranhão Project investments through 2012 and 2013

Cash Inflows & Outflows from October/2012 to December/2013 (R$ billion)

The EBITDA is the main variable component of the Company’s cash flow and, if it varies substantially,

the cash flow position will remain positive

Notes: 1 Based on the average of the EBITDA of the years of 2010 and 2011, excluding non-cash and non-recurring items and EBITDA in 9M12

Page 8: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

3.9

(1.2) (0.8) (1.8) (1.7)

(3.8)

Cash (dec/13) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018+

8

Liquidity Horizon

The financial transactions structured in 3Q12 guarantee cash position to amortize debt until 2016 without withdrawing the stand-by, which expires in March/2014.

Amortization Schedule (R$ billion)

2014-2016: R$ 3.8 billion

Note: amortization schedule does not consider the Company’s operating and investing cash flows, as well as interest expenses. 1 It includes export credit note operation concluded in November.

1

5.9

(1.2) (0.8)

(2.8) (2.7) (3.8)

Cash (dec/13) +Stand-by

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018+

2014-2016: R$ 4.8 billion

1

Scenario I: not considering the stand-by credit line

Scenario II: considering the stand-by credit line

Page 9: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

0.5

2.5

2012e

9

Capital Expenditure

Maranhão Project on time and on budget.

Sustain Growth

2012 estimated growth capex was revised: from R$3.5 billion, as

previous announced, to R$3.0 billion;

The R$500 million difference in growth capex will be invested in 2013

and it does not impact the start up schedule.

Capex (R$ million) 3Q12 3Q11 Δ Y-o-Y 2Q12 Δ Q-o-Q 9M12 9M11 Δ Y-o-Y

Sustain 142.7 138.3 3.2% 132.3 7.9% 373.7 351.8 6.2%

Industrial 47.6 54.5 -12.7% 51.4 -7.5% 123.7 112.0 10.4%

Forestry 95.2 83.9 13.5% 80.9 17.7% 250.0 239.7 4.3%

Growth 760.7 509.1 49.4% 669.9 13.6% 1.724.3 2.486.1 -30.6%

Others 2.5 12.6 -80.2% 9.2 -73.0% 13.5 19.9 -32.4%

TOTAL 905.9 660.0 37.3% 811.4 11.7% 2.111.4 2.857.8 -26.1%

3.0

1 growth capex is composed of: investments in forest formation and industrial assets at the Maranhão Unit and the minimum investment required to maintain forests in Piauí;

1

Estimated Capex (R$ billion)

Page 10: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

10

Productivity Project / Gradus

The vast majority of fronts in the productivity project are in the phase of being concluded or with management routines implemented

Identification of opportunities and

development of targets;

Detailing of actions to capture results;

Control of implementation with the

involvement of Suzano’s senior

management;

Alignment of variable compensation of

managers with the established targets.

Productivity Gains

Other Price COGS Administrative

Fixed

Expenses Contribution

Margin

Selling and

Distribution

Optimization of Portfolio

Forest Productivity1 Manufacturing Productivity Optimization of Distribution

Matrix Budget1

Scaling of Personnel1

1 In advanced stage of implementation.

Page 11: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

11

Productivity Project Schedule / Gradus

2012

jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec

Matrix Budget (MG)

Scaling of Personnel (SP)

Forest Productivity

Manufacturing Productivity

Optimization of Portfolio

Optimization of Distribution

Gap opening

Gap closing

Management routines

Matrix Budget (MG)

Scaling of Personnel

Forest Productivity Forest Productivity

Manufacturing Productivity

Optimization of Portfolio

Optimization of Distribution

MG

SP

Port folio

Page 12: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

12

FOCUS

2012

Optimizing maintenance processes (World Class Maintenance);

Capturing efficiency gains on pulp production lines.

■ Combining leadership, technical knowledge and new methods to achieve differentiated results;

■ Analyzing and systematically treating production loss factors at industrial units, seeking to

increase the overall efficiency of assets;

■ Strengthening operational discipline in the management of day-to-day routines in order to maintain

operational stability at higher levels of performance.

Timetable for the Productivity / INDG Project Continuation of the Operational Excellence Program in partnership with INDG

Page 13: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

13

2013 Cost Perspectives

Increase in cost of wood:

‒ Own/third part wood mix (50%/50%) until 2015.

Increase in cost of inputs: natural gas.

Reduction in cost due to pulp production stability in Mucuri Unit.

Reduction in cost due to the implementation of Productivity Project/Gradus.

Page 14: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

Project Status in Sep/2012

98% of suppliers contracted

61% of overall physical construction reached

89% of infrastructure construction completed

84% of the equipment manufacturing completed

Assembly of metallic structure for boilers has

been ongoing since May/12

14

Maranhão Project The Maranhão unit is in execution phase and a great part of its milestones has already been concluded.

Panoramic View of Imperatriz Site – Maranhão Project

Page 15: 3Q12 Earnings Presentation€¦ · 3 3Q12 Highlights Maranhão Project: on time and on budget. Funding and debt rollover operations totaled R$1.6 billion(1), with an average term

Investor Relations

15 15 15

Investor Relations

www.suzano.com.br/ir

[email protected]