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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U2

    Problems with Ricardian model:

    1. It predicts complete specialization

    2. It predicts that all workers will gain from free trade. Inreal life some workers oppose free trade. (E.g. U.S. steel

    workers oppose free trade with China)

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U3

    Heckscher-Ohlin Model:

    2 factors: capital (K) and labour (L) => concaveproduction frontier => no complete specialization, inequilibrium each country produces both goods

    Comparative advantage is based on national differencesin factor endowments. Countries have different factors

    endowments (e.g. capital, labour (skilled or unskilled),

    land etc.) Differences in relative factor endowmentsresult in differences in autarky prices. E.g. countries that

    have relatively abundant supplies of agricultural land

    (like Canada, USA) have cheaper autarky prices of

    agricultural products and become exporters of

    agricultural products.

    The model predicts that trade leads to redistribution ofincome between capital and labour => explains

    opposition to trade of some factors of production

    This model is favoured by economists and issupported by the real world data. There is a great deal of

    evidence that differences in factor endowments are

    important in explaining trade patterns.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U4

    1. Setup

    2 goods: X,Y

    2 factors: K,L, capital gets rent r, labour gets wage w2 countries: H,F

    Assumptions

    1. Identical CRS production functions in H and F

    2. Kh, Lh, Kf, Lf- fixed factor endowments factors are perfectly mobile within each country

    between X and Y sectors;

    factors are immobilebetween countries.3. H, F differ inrelative factor endowments. (This will give

    rise to price differences in H and F.)

    4. Consumers in H, F have identical, homogenous

    preferences

    5. No distortions (tariffs etc.)

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U5

    Definition

    Factor Endowments

    If capital- labor ratio in country H is greater than it is in

    country F (f

    f

    h

    h

    L

    K

    L

    K> ), then country H is relatively capital-

    abundant and labour-scarce, while country F is relatively

    labour-abundant and capital-scarce.

    Example

    K stock

    ($b.)

    L

    (m)L

    K

    ($)

    Brazil 507 53 9, 566

    US 3,696 116 32,421

    Switzerland 120 3 40,000

    => U.S. is capital-abundant relative to Brazil, but capital-

    scarce relative to Switzerland.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U6

    L

    K

    hK

    fK

    hL fL

    hE

    fE

    slope=home capital-labour ratio

    slope=foreign capital-labour ratio

    A. Factor Endowments Graph

    H is capital-abundant, F is labour-abundant

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U7

    Definition

    Factor Intensities

    Good Y is relatively capital-intensive and good X isrelatively labour-intensive if the capital-labour ratio used in

    production of good Y is higher:x

    x

    y

    y

    L

    K

    L

    K>

    Example

    K $m L thousandsL

    K, $

    Petroleum 27,005 95 284,263

    Footwear 514 107 4,804

    Take some price ratio w/r. Producers minimize costs =>isoquant is tangent to w/r. For any price ratio, at optimum

    xyL

    K

    L

    K)()( > => good Y is relatively capital-intensive, X is

    relatively labour-intensive.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U8

    Assume:

    1. Country H is relatively K-abundant, county F is

    relatively L-abundant

    2. Good Y is K-intensive, X is L-intensive

    ffhhXYXY ,,, - maximum amounts of goods X, Y that H, F

    can produce (i.e. if all resources are devoted to production

    of one good)

    L

    K

    yK

    Kx

    yL xL

    slope=Ys capital-labour intensity

    slope=Xs capital-labour intensity

    B. Factor Intensities Graph

    Y

    X

    r

    w

    Y is capital-intensive, X is labour-intensive

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U9

    Result

    f

    f

    h

    h

    X

    Y

    X

    Y>

    I.e. capital-abundant country can produce relatively more

    of capital-intensive commodity.

    Can be shown in 2 steps:

    Step 1. Assume that H, F are similar in size, H is capital-

    abundant, F is labour-abundant:

    L

    K

    hK

    fK

    hL fL

    hE

    fE

    A. Factor Endowments Graph,

    Isoquants for Y and X

    fX hX

    hY

    fY

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U10

    fhfh XXYY ; =>f

    f

    h

    h

    X

    Y

    X

    Y>

    Step 2. CRS technology =>f

    f

    h

    h

    X

    Y

    X

    Y, are independent of

    sizes of the countries.

    Let ),(),,( LKfYLKfX yx == be maximum amounts

    of goods X and Y that can be produced.

    A country grows and now has 3 times more capital and

    labour. The outputs of X and Y are:

    Commodity Space, Home and Foreign PPFs

    Y

    X

    Home PPF

    Foreign PPF

    hY

    fY

    hX fX

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U11

    XLKfLKf xx 3),(3)3,3( ==

    YLKfLKf yy 3),(3)3,3( ==

    before growth, the ratio was Y

    X; after growth, the ratio

    stays the same: Y

    X

    3

    3= Y

    X.

    => Independently of country sizes, PPF of a relatively

    capital-abundant country will be more stretched along the

    K-intensive axis.

    Commodity Space, PPFsY

    X

    Home

    PPF

    Foreign PPF

    hY

    fY

    hX fX

    hY3

    1

    fY2

    hX3

    1 f

    X2

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U12

    2. Autarky Equilibrium

    Assume: H is a capital-abundant country and Y is a

    capital-intensive good.

    Note: Identical homogenous preferences => H and F have

    parallel indifference curves. Home and foreign production

    and consumption in autarky are at Ah and Af.

    Tangency between the PPF and indifference curve

    determines autarky price ratios:

    Autarky

    Y

    X

    Home

    PPF

    Foreign PPF

    Pf

    Ph

    hY

    fY

    hX fX

    hA

    fA

    h

    au

    f

    au

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U13

    f

    y

    f

    x

    h

    y

    h

    x

    P

    P

    P

    P>

    => Capital-intensive good Yis relatively cheaper in capital-

    abundant country H, while labour-intensive good is cheaper

    in labour-abundant country F.

    3. Free Trade Equilibrium

    If countries open to trade, H observes relatively cheaper X

    abroad, F observe relatively cheaper Y abroad =>

    H exports Y (k-intensive good) and imports X, F exports X

    (l-intensive good) and imports Y. H produces more Y and

    less X, and F produces less Y and more X.

    Note: There is no complete specialization in this model,

    both countries keep producing both goods after trade.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U14

    Trade equalizes prices in 2 countries

    H, F produce both goods Both H and F gain from trade.

    4. The Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem

    Theorem

    The Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem

    A country will export the commodity that intensively uses

    its relatively abundant factor

    Move from Autarky to Free Trade

    Y

    X

    P*

    hY

    fY

    hX fX

    hA

    fA

    *

    hQ

    *

    fQ

    P*

    A

    fu

    *hu

    *

    hC

    *

    fC Ahu

    *

    fu

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U15

    Note: Empirically HO theorem applies better to countries

    with large differences in relative endowments (e.g. USA Mexico trade). This trade model predicts inter-industry

    trade.

    World price P* adjusts to keep trade balanced: Hs imports

    of X= Fs exports of X and Hs exports of Y= Fs imports

    of Y.

    Free Trade, Trade Triangles

    Y

    X

    P*

    *hQ

    *fQ

    P*

    *hu

    *hC

    *fC

    Hs imports of X =Fs exports of X

    Hs exports of Y

    =

    Fs imports of Y*fu

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U16

    5. The Factor-Price-Equalization Theorem

    After countries open to trade each country observes higher

    relative price for its exports:

    H: observes higher relative price of Y, exports Y (k-

    intensive good), resources are reallocated from sector X to

    sector Y => demand for capital, demand for labour =>

    r and w => w/r

    F: observes higher relative price of X, exports X (l-

    intensive good), resources are reallocated from sector Y to

    sector X => demand for labour, demand for capital =>

    w and r => w/r

    there is a relationship between prices of goods and factorprices:

    )(y

    x

    P

    PG

    r

    w= , such that

    y

    x

    P

    P=>

    r

    w.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U17

    Note: technology in H, F is identical =>function G(.) is

    identical in H,F.

    1.In autarky: Ph>Pf => fh rwrw )()( > i.e. labour isrelatively cheaper in labour-abundant country, capital is

    relatively cheaper in capital-abundant country.

    2.Trade: Ph=Pf=P* => fh rw

    r

    w)()( =

    Theorem

    The Factor-Price Equalization Theorem

    Under identical CRS production technologies free trade in

    commodities will equalize relative factor prices through

    equalization of relative commodity prices so long as both

    countries produce both goods.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U19

    Real wages:yxyx P

    r

    P

    r

    P

    w

    P

    w,,,

    SS: y

    x

    P

    P=>

    yx

    yx

    P

    r

    P

    r

    P

    w

    P

    w

    ,

    ,

    Note: in equilibrium, factor price=value of marginal

    product

    Recall labour market equilibrium conditions:

    Sector X: Sector Y:

    xx

    xx

    MPKPr

    MPLPw

    =

    =

    yy

    yy

    MPKPr

    MPLPw

    =

    =

    Real wages:

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U20

    x

    x

    x

    x

    MPKP

    r

    MPLP

    w

    =

    =

    ;y

    y

    y

    y

    MPKP

    r

    MPLP

    w

    =

    =

    We have to show that change in relative pricesy

    x

    P

    Paffects

    marginal products in X and Y sectors, so that y

    x

    P

    P=>

    MPL in both sectors, and MPK in both sectors.

    2 steps (no rigorous proof required)

    Step 1. y

    x

    P

    P=> output of X => demand for labour

    increases relative to demand for capital because X is alabour-intensive good => w/r labour becomes relatively

    more expensive => K/L ratio both in production of X and

    Y (producers substitute away from relatively more

    expensive input).

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U21

    (note: homothetic production function: same K/L ratio for

    all levels of Y (or X) for any w/r)

    Step 2.

    K/L =>

    MPL,

    MPK (because of law ofdiminishing returns)

    Recall Properties of Production Function:

    Law of Diminishing Marginal Product. If use of L inthe production of X is increasing, total product of

    L

    K

    yK

    xK

    yL xL

    slope=Ys capital-labour intensity

    slope=Xs capital-labour intensity

    B. Factor Intensities Graph: change in w/r

    Y

    X

    r

    w

    Y is capital-intensive, X is labour-intensiver

    w

    r

    w

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U22

    labour is increasing at a decreasing rate.

    xL

    ),( 1KLTP xx

    X

    ),( 1KLMPL xx

    - slope of TP curve

    1L 2L

    1L 2L xL

    ),( 2KLTP xx

    ),( 2KLMPL xx

    - slope of TP curve

    X

    A

    A

    C

    C

    B

    B

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U23

    1.Increase labour from L1 to L2 keeping capital fixed at1K , TPL increases, MPL falls. (Movement from A

    to B on Total Product or Marginal Product graph).

    2.Keep labour fixed at L1, increase 2K , TPLincreases, MPL increases. (Movement from A to C on

    Total Product or Marginal Product graph).

    Generally,)(

    L

    KfMPL =

    : L

    K

    MPL ; L

    K

    MPL

    Similarly, )(L

    KfMPK = : L

    K xMPK ; L

    K

    MPK

    E.g. if K by 15%, and L by 10% MPL because

    capital-labour ratio goes up, but MPKfalls.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    Econ 3150 York U25

    workers protest free trade with developing countries and

    demand protection.

    7. The Rybczynski Theorem

    The Rybczynski Theorem

    If relative commodity prices are constant and if both

    commodities continue to be produced, an increase in a

    supply of a factor will lead to an increase in output of the

    commodity using that factor intensively, and a decrease in

    the output of the other commodity

    E.g. immigration => increase in L - one may expect thatoutputs of X and Y will both increase. NO! Output of X

    will increase, output of Y will decrease. If home country

    increases its capital stock, it will produce more of good Y

    and less of good X.

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    3.Heckscher-Ohlin Mode of Trade

    The theorem is important as it predicts the impact of

    economic growth on trade. The way in which country

    growth has an impact on its production and trade mixes.

    Countries with low saving rates but high population growth

    would tend to produce goods and export goods with high

    labour contents. Countries with high saving and investment

    rates will produce and export more capital-intensive goods.

    Y

    X

    Output expansion

    PP

    Y

    X X

    Growth in Labour Endowment (X is labour-intensive good)