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Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaAssociation of Indonesian Automotive Industries
OCTOBER 2006
The 1The 1st st Indonesia Fuel & Lube ConferenceIndonesia Fuel & Lube ConferenceREDUCE COST THROUGH BETEER FUEL & LUBECANTREDUCE COST THROUGH BETEER FUEL & LUBECANT
Jakarta, JW Marriot Hotel, 21Jakarta, JW Marriot Hotel, 21--22 November 200622 November 2006
INDONESIAN MARKETINDONESIAN MARKET-- AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY DEVELOPED STATUSAUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY DEVELOPED STATUSAUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGY REQUIREMENTS AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGY REQUIREMENTS
ON FUEL & LUBRICATION ON FUEL & LUBRICATION
CHAIRMAN OF GAIKINDOCHAIRMAN OF GAIKINDOHEAD OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY OFGAIKINDOHEAD OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY OFGAIKINDO
BambangBambang TrisuloTrisuloBudi Prasetyo SusiloBudi Prasetyo Susilo
PRESENTATION OUTLINEPRESENTATION OUTLINE
I. BRIEF INTRODUCTION OF GAIKINDOI. BRIEF INTRODUCTION OF GAIKINDO
II. INFLUENCE GOVERNMENT POLICY OUTLINE II. INFLUENCE GOVERNMENT POLICY OUTLINE ON AUTOMOBILE MARKET AND INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENTON AUTOMOBILE MARKET AND INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT
III. DOMESTIC MARKET PROGRESSIII. DOMESTIC MARKET PROGRESS
IV. FUEL & LUBE CHALLENGE REQUIREMENTS ON AUTOMOBILE MOBILITY.IV. FUEL & LUBE CHALLENGE REQUIREMENTS ON AUTOMOBILE MOBILITY.
V. SUMMARYV. SUMMARY
OCTOBER 2006
Non-Profit Independent Organization Representing The Interest of Indonesia Automobile Manufacturers.
39 Companies 28 Brands (11 Brands which has Industry in Indonesia)
Members of GAIKINDO :
I-1 Brief Introduction of GAIKINDOII--1 Brief Introduction of GAIKINDO1 Brief Introduction of GAIKINDO
Source : Secretariat GAIKINDO-2005
VISIONTo become a world-class, professional and independent automotive Organization, which plays an active role as the government’s equal partner in Developing the industry to be adept at competing in the international market.
To transform Indonesia’s automotive industry and boost its competitive edge in the global market.
MISSION
To organize and support international events to seek global attention and promote trade and investment opportunities in the country. To encourage, promote and protect the interests of the automotive industry in Indonesia. To act a means of communication among its members for the strengthening and promotion of their common interests. To collect, compile and collate information on issues affecting the interests of The automotive industry in general and members in particular and to later distribute such information in the form of reports or statistics to members.
STRATEGY
I-2. VISION – MISSION - STRATEGYII--2. VISION 2. VISION –– MISSION MISSION -- STRATEGYSTRATEGY
Source : Secretariat GAIKINDO-2005
To reach its vision and mission and meet its commitments, GAIKINDO hasLaunched several programs, including :
Publishing a bi-monthly bulletin on the development of the country’s automotive industryConducting studies on various aspects relating to vehicles and the sectorRepresenting members in discussions with the government on tax and customs concernPromoting joint studies and the exchange of information with counterparts in others countries, particularly regarding raw materials, components, and international commerceCooperating with the government to issue proper standards to be used in the industryParticipating in international automotive industry conferences and organization such as the ASEAN Automotive FederationSponsoring important campaigns, such as those promoting the reduction of fuel consumption, traffic safety and environmental issuesStriving to position the annual GAIKINDO Auto Expo in the same level of the world leading motor shows, like the Tokyo Motor Show, Frankfurt Motor Show And Bangkok Motor Show
I-3. GAIKINDO’s ActivitiesII--3. 3. GAIKINDOGAIKINDO’’ss ActivitiesActivities
Source : Secretariat GAIKINDO-2005
TOYOTA(DISTRIBUTOR)
JL. SUNTER GARDEN BLOK D 8 NO. 1SUNTER AGUNG PODOMORO, JAKARTA UTARA 14350
JL.SULTAN ISKANDAR MUDA NO.81,ARTERI PONDOK INDAH, JAKARTA SELATAN
KAWASAN INDUSTRI KOTA BUKIT INDAHJL. DAMAR BLOK D 1 NO. 1, PURWAKARTA, JA - BAR
HINO(DISTRIBUTOR)
MERCEDES BENZ DEUTSCHE BANK BLDG. 18TH FLOORCHRYSLER, DODGE JL. IMAM BONJOL NO. 80, JAKARTA
MERCEDES BENZ PT. DAIMLERCHRYSLER DISTRIBUTION DEUTSCHE BANK BUILDING 18TH FLOORCHRYSLER, DODGE INDONESIA JL.IMAM BONJOL NO.80,JAKARTA PUSAT 10310
JEEP
JL.DANAU SUNTER SELATAN,BLOK O-5,SUNTER,JAKARTA
NAME
KIA
ISUZU
DAIHATSU
HONDA
MITSUBISHI
SUZUKI
PT.TOYOTA ASTRA MOTOR
PT.KRAMA YUDHA TIGA BERLIAN MOTORS
PT.ASTRA DAIHATSU MOTOR
BRANDNO.
TOYOTA PT.TOYOTA MOTOR MFG. INDONESIA JL.YOS.SUDARSO,SUNTER I ,JAKARTA UTARA
ADDRESS
14
17
CHEVROLET
UD NISSAN DIESEL
1
2
4
7
6
5
JL.YOS.SUDARSO,SUNTER II,JAKARTA UTARA
3 PT.INDOMOBIL SUZUKI INTERNATIONAL WISMA INDOMOBIL,JL.MT.HARYONO KAV.8,JAKARTA
JL.JEND.A.YANI,PROYEK PULOMAS,JAKARTA TIMUR
PT.HONDA PROSPECT MOTOR JL.YOS.SUDARSO,SUNTER I ,JAKARTA UTARA
PT.PANTJA MOTOR JL.GAYA MOTOR III/5,SUNTER II JAKARTA UTARA
JL.GAYA MOTOR III/5,SUNTER II JAKARTA UTARA
9 PT KIA MOBIL INDONESIA
8 PT.NISSAN MOTOR INDONESIA JL. M.T. HARYONO KAV. 10 LT. 3, JAKARTANISSAN
HYUNDAI10
11
12
HINO
FORD13 PT.FORD MOTOR INDONESIA WISMA INDOMOBIL LT.10,JL.MT.HARYONO KAV.8, JKT.
PT.HINO MOTORS MFG. INDONESIA
PT.HYUNDAI INDONESIA MOTOR
PT. HINO MOTORS SALES INDONESIA WISMA INDOMOBIL LANTAI 9
PT.GENERAL MOTORS INDONESIA JL.RAYA BEKASI KM.27,PONDOK UNGU, BEKASI
PT.DAIMLERCHRYSLER INDONESIA15
16
PT.ASTRA NISSAN DIESEL INDONESIA
I-4. List of GAIKINDO Members CompaniesII--4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies
Source : Secretariat GAIKINDO-2005
B M W WISMA GKBI LANTAI 21(DISTRIBUTOR) JL. JEND. SUDIRMAN NO. 28, JAKARTA SELATAN
WISMA INDOMOBIL LT.4 , JL. MT. HARYONO KAV.8JAKARTA
JL. RAYA PLUIT SELATAN NO. 8 AJAKARTA UTARA 14440
AUDI CENTERJl. M.T. HARYONO KAV. 11, JAKARTA
JAGUAR,BENTLEY JL.LETJEN S.. PARMAN KAV. NO 4, SLIPIDAIMLER JAKARTA 11480
ROLLS ROYCE
WISMA STANDART CHARTERED BANK , LT. 16JL. JEND. SUDIRMAN KAV. 33A, JAKARTA 10220
JL. SULTAN ISKANDAR MUDA NO. 55, BLOK Q KAV. NO.JAKARTA 12240
31 MAZDA PT. MAZDA MOTOR INDONESIA WISMA INDOMOBIL LANTAI. 10JL. MT. HARYONO KAV.8
NAMEBRANDNO. ADDRESS
VOLVO
PEUGEOT
20
23
29 PROTON PT. PROTON EDAR INDONESIA
AUDI, VW CARAVELLE
B M W
CHERRY QQ
VOLKSWAGEN
PT. BMW INDONESIA19
18 PT.TJAHJA SAKTI MOTOR CORP. JL.GAYA MOTOR SELATAN I ,SUNTER II JAKRTA UTARA
PT.UNICOR PRIMA MOTOR
PT.CENTRAL SOLE AGENCY22 WISMA INDOMOBIL,JL.MT.HARYONO KAV.8,JAKARTA
21 PT.ASTRA FRANCE MOTOR JL.GAYA MOTOR SELATAN I ,SUNTER II, JAKRTA UTARA
MENARA SAIDAH , LT. 3&4, JL.MT.HARYONO KAV.29-30
24 PT.GARUDA MATARAM MOTOR
PT.CAR & CARS INDONESIA
JL. M.T. HARYONO KAV. 10 , JAKARTA TIMUR 13330
26 PT.JAVA MOTORS JL.KRAMAT RAYA NO.17,JAKARTA PUSAT
25 PT.TIMOR PUTRA NASIONAL
LANDROVER
TIMOR
28
27 PT.GRANDAUTO DINAMIKA
RENAULT PT AUTO EURO INDONESIA
30 SUBARU PT. TC. SUBARU
I-4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies (continue)II--4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies (continue)4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies (continue)
Source : Secretariat GAIKINDO-2005
PT. MITSUBISHI KRAMA YUDHA MOTOR& MANUFACTURING
DAIHATSU, PEUGEOTB M W, ISUZU
KAWASAN INDUSTRI KOTA BUKIT INDAHBLOK A III, LOT 1-14, PURWAKARTA 41181, JAWA BARAT
JL.KALIABANG NO.1,PONDOK UNGU,MEDAN SATRIA,KEC.BEKASI BARAT,BEKASI/PO.BOX 130,BEKASI 17013
NAMEBRANDNO. ADDRESS
37
38
32
33
34
39
MITSUBISHI
MITSUBISHI
MITSUBISHI
HINO
MERCEDES BENZ
NISAN
ISUZU
35
36
PT.NISSAN MOTOR INDONESIA
PT. MESIN ISUZU INDONESIA
PT.KRAMA YUDHA RATU MOTORS
PT.TRIJAYA UNION
PT.NATIONAL ASSEMBLERS
PT.DAIMLERCHRYSLER INDONESIA
JL.RAYA BEKASI KM.18,PULO GADUNG,JAKARTA TIMUR
D.S WANAHERANG,GUNUNG PUTRI,CITEREUP,BOGOR
PT.GAYA MOTOR JL.GAYA MOTOR RAYA 1-3,SUNTER II,JAKARTA UTARA
JL.RAYA BEKASI KM.21,JAKARTA TIMUR
JL.RAYA SERANG,KM. 9, TANGERANG
JL.RAYA BEKASI,KM.21,JAKARTA TIMUR
I-4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies (continue)II--4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies (continue)4. List of GAIKINDO Members Companies (continue)
Source : Secretariat GAIKINDO-2005
Unit Sales(x 1,000)
KEPPRES 20/98KEP:19/MPP/KEP/9820/MPP/KEP/9819/KMK/01/98
SK 307/M/SK/8/76SK 371/M/SK/9/83
SK 117/M/SK/4/86
SK 111/M/SK/10/90
201/KPB/VII/92107/M/SK/VII/92
SK 231/M/SK/11/78
SK 168/M/SK/9/79
SK 349/M/SK/8/80
PAKJUN’96PP 36KEPRES 42
586/PJ/01460/KMK/03/01PP.60/01172/MPP/05/01
PP 43 TH ‘03411/MPP/Kep/06/03458/MPP/Kep/07/03
-
Rp Devaluation27,5% ['83]
Tight Money Policy (TMP)
['91]
RpDevaluation31,0% ['86]
New Banking Regulation
['89]
National Car Program
['96]
General Election
& President ['99]
Economic Crisis ['98]
Tight Money Policy (TMP)
['87]72 88 103
144162 158
58 (85% Down)
534500
570
620
700
750
310
350
435
500
570
350
435
500
570
620
208172
103
189152 152
160 178
274 261
170
211
322
379
332
387
94
310
299301
354
483
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
PAKJUN ‘93
PAKMEI ‘95
INPRES NO 2. ‘96PP.145/0049/MPP/KEP/00569/KMK.04/0097/KMK/05/00
PP. 59PAKJUN ‘99
756/MPP/Kep/11/02
II.1. Indonesian Automobile Market & Government Policy DevelopmentII.1. Indonesian Automobile Market & Government Policy DevelopmeII.1. Indonesian Automobile Market & Government Policy Developmentnt
Increasing Fuel Price [‘05]
Optimistic 500 Units (6% Down)
Moderate 435 Units (19% Down)
Pessimistic 350 Units (34% Down)
670
Forecast year 2006
Year 1976 1979 1983 1987 1990 1993 1995 1996 1999Regulation SK SK SK SK SK June May February SK
307 168 371 34 111 Package Package Package 27Promoted Commercial Vehicles Commercial Vhc. PassengerProduct & Pass.Cars < 1500 cCars > 1500 cc
Structure CKD Minus with CKD Minus with Localization of No localof The mandatatory mandatatory > 40% > 60% min. > 60% contentIndustry local components local components within 3 years regulation
and extended with and CBUmain components import
permittedOrientation Import Export Own Brand,
Substitution EngineeringCapability,Export
Program Deletion Program IncentiveProgram
NationalCar Prog.
Liberali-zation
Source : Budi Pranoto - AOP
II-2. Indonesian Automobile Industry Policy Outline IIII--2. Indonesian Automobile Industry Policy Outline 2. Indonesian Automobile Industry Policy Outline
To develop mini-sedan industries with cylinder capacityup to 1.500 cc as a way and means to enter
the international market of auto parts
To develop mini-sedan industries with cylinder capacityup to 1.500 cc as a way and means to enter
the international market of auto parts
II-3. Current Automotive Government Policy in Indonesia IIII--3. Current Automotive Government Policy in Indonesia 3. Current Automotive Government Policy in Indonesia
GOALGOAL
STRATEGIESSTRATEGIES
Automotive industry with high efficiency and strongglobal competitiveness
Automotive industry with high efficiency and strongglobal competitiveness
To focus the development of component industriesTo focus the development of component industries
To continue and enhance the development of smallcommercial car industries (less than 5 tons)
as well as motorcycle industries
To continue and enhance the development of smallcommercial car industries (less than 5 tons)
as well as motorcycle industries
Source : IATT-MOI
II-4. Automobile Business Chain Flow ProcessII-4. Automobile Business Chain Flow Process
Welding Painting Assembly Qlty.Insp VLD
Transit
Steel Center
OutSourcing
STEELCOIL
Other's (Export + Domestic)
Other's Domestic Export
CKD
CKD
Source : BTS
II-5. MPV Industrial Structure DevelopmentIIII--5. MPV Industrial Structure Development5. MPV Industrial Structure Development
Source : BTS-EKR
II-6. CV Industrial Structure DevelopmentIIII--6. CV Industrial Structure Development6. CV Industrial Structure Development
& HOUSING& HOUSING
Source : BTS-EKR
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005386,691 58,303 93,843 300,964 299,634 317,780 354,355 483,168 533,922
cc ≤ 1.5 lt 15,758 2,526 1,449 19,624 20,222 14,309 26,117 27,482 25,375 Passenger < 10 1.5 lt < cc ≤ 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 57,274 9,377 9,564 27,011 14,826 12,338 12,737 12,999 10,131
(Sedan) cc > 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 183 39 28 242 235 157 158 83 166 Passenger ≤ 10 cc ≤ 1.5 lt 75,847 9,088 13,804 43,112 75,898 89,427 95,766 217,250 244,855
4x2 1.5 lt < cc ≤ 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 171,274 28,477 53,914 170,731 137,965 144,709 156,006 145,444 176,174(Van) cc > 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 2,209 - - - - - - -
Passenger ≤ 10 cc ≤ 1.5 lt - - - - - - - - 4x4 1.5 lt < cc ≤ 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 159 98 1,215 3,286 655 2,411 4,692 6,473 10,809
(Jeep / Van 4x4) cc > 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 4,840 1,576 426 352 1,910 1,207 203 200 676 Passenger > 10 (Bus) 4,186 258 411 1,157 1,512 1,715 1,212 1,223 1,029 Trucks / Pick-Up 54,961 6,864 13,032 35,449 46,411 51,507 57,464 72,014 64,707
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
cc ≤ 1.5 lt 4.1 4.3 1.5 6.5 6.7 4.5 7.4 5.7 4.8 Passenger < 10 1.5 lt < cc ≤ 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 14.8 16.1 10.2 9.0 4.9 3.9 3.6 2.7 1.9
(Sedan) cc > 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Passenger ≤ 10 cc ≤ 1.5 lt 19.6 15.6 14.7 14.3 25.3 28.1 27.0 45.0 45.9
4x2 1.5 lt < cc ≤ 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 44.3 48.8 57.5 56.7 46.0 45.5 44.0 30.1 33.0 (Van) cc > 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 0.6 - - - - - - - -
Passenger ≤ 10 cc ≤ 1.5 lt - - - - - - - - - 4x4 1.5 lt < cc ≤ 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.3 2.0
(Jeep / Van 4x4) cc > 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 lt (D) 1.3 2.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 Passenger > 10 (Bus) 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 Trucks / Pick-Up 14.2 11.8 13.9 11.8 15.5 16.2 16.2 14.9 12.1
CATEGORY
CATEGORY
III-1. Domestic Market 1997 – 2005IIIIII--1. Domestic Market 1997 1. Domestic Market 1997 –– 20052005 Increasing Fuel Price [‘05]
Source : GAIKINDO Secretariat
Note :Not included CBU Imported Vehicles by General Importers
SALESSALES
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP 20061. PASSENGER CARS
904 952 903 768 1.050 902 818 968 750 8.015 307 399 752 811 489 502 536 544 920 5.260
10 27 7 3 1 4 12 4 17 85 13.008 11.426 12.322 9.480 8.871 8.774 8.044 11.605 14.797 98.327 6.957 5.622 3.399 4.232 4.878 4.471 4.614 5.067 6.013 45.253
910 930 506 647 565 779 719 685 551 6.292 22 9 22 36 74 111 80 122 155 631
- - - - - - - - - - 41 114 79 74 83 117 119 93 101 821 11 28 8 4 10 3 5 7 20 96
22.170 19.507 17.998 16.055 16.021 15.663 14.947 19.095 23.324 164.780 2. COMMERCIAL VEHICLES
GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 61 61 5 89 85 71 121 148 104 745 GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 63 39 46 26 40 62 86 69 49 480 GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) - - - - - - - - - - GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 2.271 3.193 4.182 3.237 3.695 4.493 3.917 4.682 5.582 35.252 GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 1.572 2.338 3.397 2.415 2.300 3.225 1.894 2.985 3.948 24.074 GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 209 231 283 205 237 255 195 271 309 2.195 GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) 93 243 388 228 226 249 134 215 260 2.036 GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 434 347 538 321 473 549 583 520 449 4.214
4.703 6.452 8.839 6.521 7.056 8.904 6.930 8.890 10.701 68.996
26.873 25.959 26.837 22.576 23.077 24.567 21.877 27.985 34.025 233.776 26.873 52.832 79.669 102.245 125.322 149.889 171.766 199.751 233.776
EXPORTS2.077 3.131 1.750 1.561 2.583 2.073 1.534 2.545 2.820 20.074 6.838 8.016 12.373 10.624 11.246 10.741 10.906 8.966 7.761 87.471
17.611 21.182 35.556 21.396 24.274 26.506 25.822 25.296 18.738 216.381 CKD (SET)
COMPONENTS (PIECES)
CBU (UNIT)
CATEGORY MONTH
SEDAN TYPECC < 1.5 lt (G/D)
1.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt (G) / 2.5lt (D)CC > 3.0 lt (G) / 2.5 (D)
MPV 4X2 TYPE
CC < 1.5 lt (G/D)1.5 lt < CC < 2.5 lt (G/D)2.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt (G)CC > 3.0 lt (G) / 2.5 (D)
SUV 4X4 TYPECC < 1.5 lt
1.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt (G) / 2.5 (D)CC > 3.0 lt (G) / 2.5 (D)
SUB TOTAL
BUS
PICK UP / TRUCK
DOUBLE CABIN 4X2 / 4X4 For all CCSUB TOTAL
DOMESTIC SALESSALES CUM. TOTAL
Sorce : BTR-DINO
III-2. Domestic Market Vehicle Sales in Indonesia by Category Jan – Sep 2006 IIIIII--2. Domestic Market Vehicle Sales in Indonesia by Category Jan 2. Domestic Market Vehicle Sales in Indonesia by Category Jan –– Sep 2006 Sep 2006
BTR-DINO
III-3. Market Prediction Oct-Nov-Dec 2006IIIIII--3. Market Prediction Oct3. Market Prediction Oct--NovNov--Dec 2006Dec 2006
Export CBU (unit) 20.074 3.000 3.000 3.000 29.254 20.000 25.000 45.000Export CKD (set) 87.471 10.000 10.000 10.000 117.471 65.000 75.000 140.000Export Comp. (pcs) 216.381 30.000 30.000 30.000 306.381 180.000 220.000 400.000
JAN~SEP OCT NOV DEC TOTAL SEM I SEM II TOTAL
13,360 620 1,100 950 16,080 8,500 10,500 19,000
150,503 14,500 23,500 21500 210,078 107,100 132,300 239,400
917 40 100 70 1,127 680 840 1,520
164,780 15,160 24,700 22,520 227,285 116,280 143,640 259,920
1,225 100 200 150 1,678 850 1,050 1,900
67,771 5,680 9,000 8700 86,938 51,000 63,000 114,000
4,214 60 100 100 4,524 1,870 2,310 4,180
68,996 5,840 9,300 8,950 93,140 53,720 66,360 120,080
233,776 21,000 34,000 31,470 320,425 170,000 210,000 380,000
CATEGORY
PASSENGER TYPE
SEDAN
2006 2007
GRAND TOTAL
BUS
PICK UP/ TRUCK
DOUBLE CABIN
SUB TOTAL
MPV 4x 2
SUV 4x4
SUB TOTAL
COMMERCIAL TYPE
Positive• Macro Economic Trend• Stability • EPA, FTA• New Brand, Product Introduction & Investment• No domestic fuel (subsidy) price increase• Luxury Tax (PPnBM) case
Negative
• 400.000 units as a Target (Stretching)• 380.000 units as a Normal Forecast (Gaikindo)• 360.000 units as a Prudence Forecast (Player)
•Natural Disaster• Security• Cabinet Reshuffle • Labor Mater• World Conflict• International Oil price increase
BTR-DINO
III-4. Forecast Assumption Domestic Market 2007
IIIIII--4. Forecast Assumption 4. Forecast Assumption Domestic Market 2007Domestic Market 2007
BTR-DINO
III-5. Domestic Market Prediction Oct-Nov-Dec and Year 2007IIIIII--5. Domestic Market Prediction Oct5. Domestic Market Prediction Oct--NovNov--Dec and Year 2007Dec and Year 2007
Export CBU (unit) 20.074 3.000 3.000 3.000 29.254 20.000 25.000 45.000Export CKD (set) 87.471 10.000 10.000 10.000 117.471 65.000 75.000 140.000Export Comp. (pcs) 216.381 30.000 30.000 30.000 306.381 180.000 220.000 400.000
JAN~SEP OCT NOV DEC TOTAL SEM I SEM II TOTAL
13,360 620 1,100 950 16,080 8,750 10,500 19,250
150,503 14,500 23,500 21500 210,078 110,250 130,300 240,550
917 40 100 70 1,127 700 840 1,540
164,780 15,160 24,700 22,520 227,285 119,700 141,640 261,340
1,225 100 200 150 1,678 875 1,050 1,925
67,771 5,680 9,000 8700 86,938 52,500 60,000 112,500
4,214 60 100 100 4,524 1,925 2,310 4,235
68,996 5,840 9,300 8,950 93,140 55,300 63,360 118,660
233,776 21,000 34,000 31,470 320,425 175,000 205,000 380,000
CATEGORY
PASSENGER TYPE
SEDAN
2006 2007
GRAND TOTAL
BUS
PICK UP/ TRUCK
DOUBLE CABIN
SUB TOTAL
MPV 4x 2
SUV 4x4
SUB TOTAL
COMMERCIAL TYPE
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC TOTAL
1 PASSENGER CARS
SEDAN TYPE 1,250 1,250 1,500 1,500 1,750 1,500 1,500 1,500 2,000 1,500 2,000 1,750 19,000
MPV 4x2 TYPE 15,750 15,750 18,900 18,900 22,050 18,900 18,900 18,900 25,200 18,900 25,200 22,050 239,400
SUV 4x4 TYPE 100 100 120 120 140 120 120 120 160 120 160 140 1,520
SUB TOTAL 17,100 17,100 20,520 20,520 23,940 20,520 20,520 20,520 27,360 20,520 27,360 23,940 259,920
2 COMMERCIAL CARS
BUS 125 125 150 150 175 150 150 150 200 150 200 175 1,900
PICK UP/ TRUCK 7,500 7,500 9,000 9,000 10,500 9,000 9,000 9,000 12,000 9,000 12,000 10,500 114,000
DOUBLE CABIN 275 275 330 330 385 330 330 330 440 330 440 385 4,180
SUB TOTAL 7,900 7,900 9,480 9,480 11,060 9,480 9,480 9,480 12,640 9,480 12,640 11,060 120,080
DOMESTIC SALES 25,000 25,000 30,000 30,000 35,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 40,000 30,000 40,000 35,000
CUMMULATIVE 25,000 50,000 80,000 110,000 145,000 175,000 205,000 235,000 275,000 305,000 345,000 380,000
MONTHCATEGORY
Note :Not included CBU Imported Vehicles by General Importers BTR-DINO
III-6. Domestic Automobile Vehicle Sales in Indonesia Forecast by Category Jan – Dec 2007
IIIIII--6. Domestic Automobile Vehicle Sales in Indonesia 6. Domestic Automobile Vehicle Sales in Indonesia Forecast by Category Jan Forecast by Category Jan –– Dec 2007Dec 2007
Economic Outlook : * M. Chatib Basri – LPPM UI** APBN Rate 2007
Indicators 2006(*)
2007(**/ *)
2008(*)
2009(*)
2010(*)
GDP growth (%) 5.2~5.6 6.3 6.0~6.5 6.5~6.7 6.5~7.0
Inflation (%) 7-8 6.5 5-6 5-6 4-5
SBI 3 months (%) 10.5-11.5 8.5 7-8 7-8 6-7
IDR/USD 9300 9300 9000 9000 8800
Oil Price ($) 60 63 60 50 50
Budget deficit (% of GDP) 1-1.5 0 0.5 0.3 0.1
5.8~6.2
6~7
8~9
9200
65
0.7~0.9
BTR-DINO
III-7. Macro Economy Indicator SummaryIIIIII--7. Macro Economy Indicator Summary7. Macro Economy Indicator Summary
* Unit (CKD, CBU, IKD) 2004 based on Kep.Menteri Keuangan RI Blank Material = 5% *3) Exluding Body & Chassis, EngineNo. : 465/KMK.01/2003 (20 October 2003) *1) Exluding Engine *4) For Engine only
* PPnBM year 2004 based on PP No.43/2003 (31 July 2003) *2) Exluding Body & Chassis, Engine, *5) For Engine, Transmission, Drive Axle* P = Petrol, D = Diesel Transmission, Drive Axle * Assy / BD (Breakdown)
TABLE OF IMPORT DUTY (BM) & LUXURY TAX (PPn.BM)
UNIT KOMPONENCBU CKD IKD Assy/BD IKD
Pass Car w/seat < 10 cc < 1.5 lt 65(60) 35 15 *1) 15 10 *4) 30(Sedan) 1.5 lt < cc < 3.0 lt(P) / 2.5lt(D) 70(60) 40 15 40
cc > 3.0 lt ( P) / 2.5 ( D ) 80(60) 50 15 75Pass Car w/seat < 10 cc < 1.5 lt 45 25 15 *2) 15 10 *5) 10
4 x 2 1.5 lt < cc < 2.5 lt 45 25 15 *2) 15 10 *5) 20(Van) 2.5 lt < cc < 3.0 lt (P) 45 25 15 *2) 15 10 *5) 40
cc > 3.0 lt ( P) / 2.5 ( D ) 45 25 15 *2) 15 10 *5) 754 x 4 cc < 1.5 lt 45 25 15 30
(Jeep / Van 4x4) 1.5 lt < cc < 3.0 lt(P) / 2.5(D) 45 25 15 40cc > 3.0 lt (P) / 2.5 (D) 45 25 15 75
Pass. Car w/seat > 10 5 ton < GVW < 24 ton ( P/D ) 40 25 5 *3) 15 10(Bus) GVW > 24 ton ( P/D ) 5(10) 5 5 *3) 15 10
GVW < 5 ton ( P/D ) 45 25 15 *2) 15 10 *5) 0Trucks / Pick-Up GVW 5 - 24 ton ( P/D ) 40 25 5 *3) 15 10 *4) 0
GVW > 24 ton ( P/D ) 10 5 5 *3) 0Double Cab. 4x4 / 4x2 GVW < 5 ton ( P/D )
(Passenger > 3) double cabin, all cccc < 250 35 25 15 0
Motor Cycle 250 < cc < 500 60 25 15 60cc > 500 60 25 15 75
Notes :
KATEGGORI KETERANGAN
10 *5) 2045 25 1515 *2)
PPn.BM
III-8. Table of Import Duty (BM) & Luxury Tax (PPn-BM)IIIIII--8. Table of Import Duty (BM) & Luxury Tax (8. Table of Import Duty (BM) & Luxury Tax (PPnPPn--BM)BM)2004-2006
Source : GAIKINDO Secretariat
x 1,000 unit
Note : year 1991 – 2005 actual domestic salesyear 2006 – 2009 projection
800
1 Million Club(Deperind)
BTR-DINO
Optimistic 534 -> 330 Units (6% ->38%Down)
Moderate 435->320 Units (19% ->40.9%Down)
Pessimistic 350->310 Units (34% -> 42.0%Down)
End Year 2006 Sale Projection in Indonesia Market
III-10. Correction Domestic Market Total Sales and Future Trend GrowthIIIIII--10. Correction Domestic Market Total Sales and Future Trend Gro10. Correction Domestic Market Total Sales and Future Trend Growthwth
261
170
211
322
379
332
387
5894
301 299318
354
483
534534570
620
680
750 750
520
600
400
330
310
540
470440
360
380
630
470
320
530
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
80019
91
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
FIVE FACTORS REQUETED MARKET CHALLENGE ON FUEL AND LUBRICANTION RELATED ON AUTOMOBILE MOBILITY
LOWLOW EMISSIONEMISSION
LOWLOW FUELFUEL--OIL CONSUMPTIONOIL CONSUMPTION
COMFORTCOMFORTSOFT DUMPINGSOFT DUMPING
LOW OIL UPUP BURNINGLOW OIL DOWNDOWN BURNING
LOW EMMITEDCO,HC,NOx, PMPM, CO2
LOWLOW FRICTIONH/D H/D CHARACTERISTIC
MAXMAX SPEEDO/TO/T ACCELARATION
LOW FRICTIONH/DH/D CHARACTERISTIC
LONG LIVELONG LIVE INTERVAL CHANGEIN LITRE/KM
HIGH TEMP - SHEAR -WATER RESISTANCERESISTANCE
SAFELY DUMPING ONSUITABLE BOUNCINGBOUNCING
LOW SULFURSULFURLOW OIL UPUP BURNING
LOW OIL DOWNDOWN BURNING
SAFELYSAFELY IN DRIVEIN DRIVE HIGH REPONSEHIGH REPONSE DRIVE ABILITYDRIVE ABILITY
NONNON LEADEDLEADEDNON METALNON METAL OCTANE BOOSTER
IV-1. Market Challenge on Automobile Mobility for Fuel and Lube RequirementsIVIV--1. Market Challenge on Automobile Mobility for Fuel and Lube Re1. Market Challenge on Automobile Mobility for Fuel and Lube Requirementsquirements
Source : BPS
IV-2. Evacuated Combustion Product through E/X – Leakage Gas Causing Adverse EffectIVIV--2. Evacuated Combustion Product through E/X 2. Evacuated Combustion Product through E/X –– Leakage Gas Causing Adverse EffectLeakage Gas Causing Adverse Effect
MECHANISM ON EVACATED COMBUSTION PRODUCT THROUGH E/X SYSTEM – LEAKAGE GAS CAUSING ADVERSE EFFECT
FUEL FUEL SOURCESOURCE
COMPLETECOMPLETECOMBUSTION
WATERWATER
SLUDGESLUDGE
INCOMPLETEINCOMPLETECOMBUSTION
SOOTSOOT
VARNISH VARNISH
SULFUR SULFUR CONTENT SCAVENGERSCAVENGER
HALOGEN HALOGEN ACIDACID
RUST RUST WEARWEARCARBONCARBON
SULFUR SULFUR ACIDACID
DEPOSITDEPOSITPRECURSORSPRECURSORS
LUBE LUBE SOURCESOURCE
OIL UPOIL UP OIL UPOIL UP BLOW BYBLOW BY
AIR AIR SOURCESOURCE
NITROGENNITROGEN+ OXYGEN+ OXYGEN
NOxNOx
Air Air PollutionPollution
Source : BPS
IV.3.1.METALLIC OCTANE BOOSTER EFFECT
0.000.020.040.060.080.100.12
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000Miles
NM
OG
-g/
mi
Reference LDV 100K Std
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000Miles
NO
x -g
/mi
0.000.200.400.600.801.001.201.401.60
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000Miles
CO
-g/
mi
Miles
20
21
22
23
24
25
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000
Mpg
ClearMMT
Source : Alliance of Automobile Manufactures (2002)
Effects of Metal (Effects of Metal (MnMn) on Ex. Emissions) on Ex. Emissions
ClearMMT
ClearMMT
ClearMMT
IV-3. Avoided Problem on Vehicle as Fuel RequirementsIVIV--3. Avoided Problem on Vehicle as Fuel Requirements3. Avoided Problem on Vehicle as Fuel Requirements
GASOLINE ENGINE
Market Problem caused by Metals in Gasoline(Manganese)
Market Problem caused by Metals in Gasoline(Manganese)
Catalyst from the US(mileage : 80,000km)
Catalyst from Canada(mileage : 78,400km)
Red deposit is Oxides of Mn
Source : JAMA
IV.3.2.METALLIC OCTANE BOOSTER EFFECT GASOLINE ENGINE
Particulate deposit is Oxides of Carbon
Effects of Metal (Effects of Metal (FerroceneFerrocene) on Insulator Resistance ) on Insulator Resistance PerforemancePerforemance of Spark Plugof Spark Plug
Lowering insulator resistance was observed after 32Hrs engine test when the fuel contained Ferrocene was used, as comparing with the reference plug using no additized gasoline after 300 Hrs test
Source : WWFC Back ground data
IV.3.3.METALLIC OCTANE BOOSTER EFFECT GASOLINE ENGINE
25000 milewith MMT 1/32 g/USG
25000 milewithout MMT
Spark plug fouling caused by Mn deposits was observed as using fuel contained MMT.
Effects of Metal (Effects of Metal (MnMn) on Spark Plug) on Spark Plug
Source : JAMA
IV.3.4.METALLIC OCTANE BOOSTER EFFECT GASOLINE ENGINE
Market Problem caused by Metals in Gasoline(Ferrocene)
Red deposit is Oxides of Fe
Source : OEM data
IV.3.5.METALLIC OCTANE BOOSTER EFFECT GASOLINE ENGINE
Fuel injector
Fuel supply Pump
Switch signals
Intake pressureaccelerator position
Water temp.
Common rail
Fuel pressure sensor
Relief valve
Electric line
Engine speed
ECU
buffer
CPU
EDU
Main injection
circuit
Injector
drive circuit
Pilot
injection circuit
Cylinder signal
Fuel tank
Fuel return
From ECU
Common Rail Fuel Injection System
High Pressure Fuel Injection (180MPa)
Fuel returnFrom ECU
Pressure control
valveMain relay
SULFUR max. 500ppm.
WATERCONTENT
max. 200ppm.
PARTICULATE SENDIMENT max. 10ppmw.
Source : JAMA
IV.4.1. HIGH SULFUR, WATER & PARTICULATE CONTENT FOR DIESEL COMMON RAIL SYSTEM
DIESEL ENGINE
Fuel Spray Change caused by Injection Hole Clogging in case of High both Sulfur and Particulate-Sediment
Fuel Spray Change caused by Injection Hole Clogging in case of Fuel Spray Change caused by Injection Hole Clogging in case of High both High both Sulfur and ParticulateSulfur and Particulate--SedimentSediment
Injection holeForeign material
NormalSpray
Injection Injection HoleHole
CloggingClogging
clogging
Bottom view
Source : JAMA
IV.4.2. HIGH SULFUR, WATER & PARTICULATE CONTENT EFECT ON NOZZLE FUEL SPRAY
DIESEL ENGINE
Influence on Pump caused by Water Influence on Pump caused by Water Content more than 200 Content more than 200 ppmppm..
Water Invasion
(Abnormal wear)Source : JAMA
DIESEL ENGINEIV.4.3. HIGH SULFUR, WATER & PARTICULATE CONTENT EFFECT ON INJECTION PUMP
Lower Lubricity
Plunger
Metal Bearing
Feed Pump
Suction Valve Seat
Rust occurrence of Pump parts
Strengthdecline
Delivery Valve Seat
(Seizure / Abnormal wear / Breakage)
(Seizure / Abnormal wear)
(Abnormal wear)
Plunger Spring(Breakage)
Thrust Washer
Abnormal wearSeizure
on sliding portion
(Seizure / Abnormal wear)
(Seizure / Abnormal wear)
Source : BTS-EKR
Contamination Fuel by Particulate Seizure of sliding surface
Valve
Piston Command
Needle Nozzle
Injection hole
Nozzle Seat
Fluid grinding
Orifice
Valve Seat
�sticking�
� sticking �
� sticking �
�poor seal�
�change flow rate�
� change flow rate �
�poor oil tight�
Clogging Injection hole�poor fuel spray �
Influence on Injector caused by Influence on Injector caused by Particulate more than 10 Particulate more than 10 ppmppm ..
Source : JAMA
DIESEL ENGINEIV.4.4. HIGH SULFUR, WATER & PARTICULATE CONTENT EFECT ON INJECTOR
Ford presentation in World Fuels Conference, Sydney @Oct. 27, 2003
IV.5.1. Alkalinity, Fatty acids, Glycerine. Market Problem
FilterValve
(Parts of Fuel Injection Pump)
Adhesive material(Carbonic Acid Salt)
(Bio diesel)
Bio fuels produce adhesive deposit because of low oxidation stabilitypoor driveability by sticking moving parts in pump and injector
IV.5.2. Carbonic Acid Salt on Bio Diesel (Market Problem)
Source : JAMA
- Fuel Tank Tests -
Test Fuel: Commercial diesel fuel blended the FAME meets EN14214by 5vol%
Fuel Tank Lower Fuel Tank Upper
IV.5.3. Rust Problem Find Out on Fuel Tank after Tested with BIO DIESEL
Source : JAMA
IV.5.4. Problem find out on The Test Result with Bio Diesel Fuel
Source : JAMA
Test FuelsTest Fuels : Methanol 3v% blending Gasoline: Methanol 3v% blending GasolineTest VehiclesTest Vehicles : LDV & LDT (: LDV & LDT (CarbCarb. & . & EFiEFi), Number of Vehicles = 22 vehicles), Number of Vehicles = 22 vehiclesMileageMileage : Fleet test on road (: Fleet test on road (33,800 ~ 50,000) KM 33,800 ~ 50,000) KM
DriveabilityDriveability AmbientAmbient
HotHot
Cold Cold startabilitystartability
Exhaust emissionsExhaust emissions
Fuel economyFuel economy
Engine durabilityEngine durability
Parts in fuel systemParts in fuel system
Some drivers feltSome drivers felt poor poor driveabilitydriveability
Rough idleRough idle was observed on 5 vehicles in 22 test vehicles)was observed on 5 vehicles in 22 test vehicles)
Same levelSame level to normal gasolineto normal gasoline
WorsenWorsen by 2 ~ 5% in volume baseby 2 ~ 5% in volume base
Engine lubricantEngine lubricant deteriorationdeterioration -->> wearwear of crank journalof crank journal
CorrosionCorrosion in metal parts, Level gage failure etcin metal parts, Level gage failure etc..
ItemsItems ResultsResults
Some drivers feltSome drivers felt poor poor startabilitystartability
Fuel HoseFuel HoseFuel tankFuel tankFuel FilterFuel FilterFuel level gageFuel level gageInjectorInjectorPressure regulatorPressure regulatorPulsation dumperPulsation dumperEngine wearEngine wear
: same as gasoline (: same as gasoline (no problemno problem was observed)was observed): : corrosionscorrosions were observedwere observed: same as gasoline (: same as gasoline (no problemno problem was observed)was observed): : problems on sensorproblems on sensor were observedwere observed: : deposits deposits were observed were observed : : cracks in diaphragmcracks in diaphragm were observedwere observed: : cracks in diaphragmcracks in diaphragm were observedwere observed: : higher level of metalshigher level of metals caused by wear in engine oil caused by wear in engine oil
IV.6.1 Problem Should be Avoided as Methanol Blending Component on GasolineIV.6.1 Problem Should be Avoided as Methanol Blending ComponentIV.6.1 Problem Should be Avoided as Methanol Blending Component on Gasolineon Gasoline
Source from JARI = Japan Automobile Research Institute. Conformity test was sponsored by METI (1980 ~ 1987)
Increase of Vapor Pressure Effect for Drivability
Subjects�Conformation Items Characteristic of
Ethanol Blended Gasoline
Production of Peroxide and Aldehyde
Increase of Evaporative Emission � Increase of VOC(volatile organic compound) → Photochemical Smog
Characteristic by Oxygen Change of Exhaust Gas Components
Deterioration of Materials�Hydrolysis of Rubber and Resin�
High Water Absorbent/Low Oxidation Stability(Production of Peroxide)
Metal Corrosion in Fuel System�Wet Corrosion / Dry Corrosion )
Decrease of Calorific Value Change of Fuel Economy
● For vehicles that has already been released in the market, the effects of ethanol must be verified.
● A period of time would be required for the developing and manufacturing of vehicle.
IV.6.2 Problem Find Out the Effect on Vehicle is caused by Ethanol Blended on Gasoline
Source : JAMA
Immersion test resultsTest condition �FSingle-material(Scratched in liquid), Water content minimum(Virgin), Immersion in liquid
Material�FA1050
Material�FA6061
Material�FADC12
Befor Base(E0) E1 E3 E5 E7 E10After
Before Base(E0) E1 E3 E5 E7 E10After
Before Base(E0) E1 E3 E5 E7 E10After
Complete dissolution
Source : SAE 2005-01-3710
Effects of Ethanol on MetalsDry Corrosions
IV.6.3. Problem Find Out the Effect on Vehicle is caused by Ethanol Blended on Gasoline
E0
E10FKM
FKM
H-NBR
H-NBR
Vol
ume
Cha
nge,
%
Duration, Hr
20
15
10
5
00 200 400 600 800
70 deg.C x 760 Hr
Effects of Ethanol on Elastomer
METI FAME Conformity Test Report
IV.6.4. Problem Find Out the Effect on Vehicle is caused by Ethanol Blended on Gasoline
PISTON PISTON STUCKSTUCK
BLOWBY BLOWBY GASGAS
800 800 ooCC
EMULSIONEMULSION
SLUDGESLUDGE
OIL DOWN FLOW OIL DOWN FLOW FROM I/VFROM I/V
OIL BURN OUT OIL BURN OUT FLOW FROM E/VFLOW FROM E/V
VARNIS VARNIS ON ON
PISTON PISTON SKIRTSKIRT
FILTER FILTER CLOGINGCLOGING
EXCESSIVE EXCESSIVE WEARWEAR
SCUFF, HEAVY SCUFF, HEAVY CONTACTCONTACT FRETTLINGFRETTLING
EXCESSIVE EXCESSIVE WEARWEAR
ACID ACID ALKALINITY ALKALINITY
PARTICULATEPARTICULATE
IV.7.1. Problem Should be Avoided on I/C Engine as Lube RequirementsIV.7.1. Problem Should be Avoided on I/C Engine as Lube RequireIV.7.1. Problem Should be Avoided on I/C Engine as Lube Requirementsments
OIL CRANK CASE OIL CRANK CASE CONTAMINATIONCONTAMINATION
EXCESSIVE EXCESSIVE WEARWEAR
DEPOSITE DEPOSITE BUILD UPBUILD UP
PROPER PROPER SAE SAE
VISCOSITYVISCOSITY
PROPER PROPER API API
GRADEGRADE
Source : BPS
IV.7.2. Problem Should be Avoided on T/M-S/T and D/T Engine as Lube RequirementsIV.7.2. Problem Should be Avoided on T/MIV.7.2. Problem Should be Avoided on T/M--S/T and D/T Engine as Lube RequirementsS/T and D/T Engine as Lube Requirements
STRIGHT CUT GEAR STRIGHT CUT GEAR –– CYLINDER CUT GEARCYLINDER CUT GEAR
WORM WHEEL AND PINION GEARWORM WHEEL AND PINION GEAR
RACK AND PINION GEARRACK AND PINION GEAR
HYPOID GEARHYPOID GEAR
BEVEL GEARBEVEL GEAR
SPIRAL GEARSPIRAL GEAR
GEAR USED ON TRANSMISSION (T/M) GEAR USED ON TRANSMISSION (T/M) MECHANISM MECHANISM
GEAR USED ON STEERING (S/T) GEAR USED ON STEERING (S/T) MECHANISMMECHANISM
GEAR USED ON DIFFERENTIAL (D/T) GEAR USED ON DIFFERENTIAL (D/T) MECHANISMMECHANISM
HUMMING HUMMING NOISENOISE
SCORRING SCORRING FAILURE FAILURE
ON ON SURFACE SURFACE
GEARGEAR
PITTING PITTING FAILURE FAILURE
ON ON SURFACE SURFACE
GEARGEAR
Source : BPS
IV.7.3.1. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by BrandIV.7.3.1. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by BrandIV.7.3.1. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by Brand
BRAND API/ILSAC SAE VOLUME (L) NORMAL USE (KM) SEVERE USE (KM)PELUMAS
SL 10W-30 3.0 10.000 8.000 ENGINE OIL
- 8.0T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
ATF T-IV
GL-4
GL-5
80W-90
80W-90
6.0
3.0
80.000 64.000
40.000 32.000
40.000 32.000
TOYOTAKIJANG
INOVA (G)
CE 10W-40 5.0 10.000 8.000 ENGINE OIL
- 8.0T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
ATF T-IV
GL-4
GL-5
80W-90
80W-90
6.0
3.0
80.000 64.000
40.000 32.000
40.000 32.000
TOYOTAKIJANG
INOVA (D)
SJ 10W-30 3.0 10.000 8.000 ENGINE OIL
- 8.0T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
ATF T-IV
GL-4
GL-5
75W-90
80W-90
6.0
3.0
40.000 34.000
40.000 32.000
40.000 32.000
TOYOTAAVANSA
(G)
SL 10W-30 3.0 10.000 8.000 ENGINE OIL
- 8.0T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
ATF T-IV
GL-5
GL-5
90
140
6.0
3.0
80.000 64.000
40.000 32.000
40.000 32.000
TOYOTADYNA (D)
Source : OEM
BRAND API/ILSAC SAE VOLUME (L) NORMAL USE (KM) SEVERE USE (KM)PELUMAS
SC 10W-30 3.0 5.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
90
90
6.0
3.0
- -
20.000 15.000
20.000 15.000
MITSUBISHICOLT T120
(G)
CC 20W-50 5.9 5.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-4
90
90
6.0
3.0
- -
20.000 15.000
20.000 15.000
MITSUBISHISL(D)
CC/CD 40 4.0 4.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
90
140
4.0
2.7/4.5
- -
10.000 8.000
10.000 8.000
MITSUBISHIFE(D)
CC/CD 40 3.0 5.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
90
140
8/9.5/16/7.5/7
6.0/22/10
- -
20.000 15.000
20.000 15.000
MITSUBISHIFUSO
(D)
IV.7.3.2. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by Brand IV.7.3.2. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by Brand IV.7.3.2. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by Brand
Source : OEM
BRAND API/ILSAC SAE VOLUME (L) NORMAL USE (KM) SEVERE USE (KM)PELUMAS
SG 20W-50 2.3 5000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
75W-90
90
1.2
1.6
- -
10.000 8.000
10.000 8.000
DAIHATSUXENIA (G)
CE 10W-40 3.5 5.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
90
90
1.7
1.55
- -
10.000 8.000
10.000 8.000
DAIHATSUTARUNA
(G)
SJ 20W-50 3.7 5.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
90
90
1.6
1.2
- -
10.000 8.000
10.000 8.000
DAIHATSUZEBRA
(G)
IV.7.3.3. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by BrandIV.7.3.3. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by BrandIV.7.3.3. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by Brand
Source : OEM
BRAND API/ILSAC SAE VOLUME (L) NORMAL USE (KM) SEVERE USE (KM)PELUMAS
SG 20W-50 2.3 5000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
75W-90
90
1.2
1.6
- -
10.000 8.000
10.000 8.000
DAIHATSUXENIA (G)
CE 10W-40 3.5 5.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
90
90
1.7
1.55
- -
10.000 8.000
10.000 8.000
DAIHATSUTARUNA
(G)
SJ 20W-50 3.7 5.000 3.000 ENGINE OIL
- -T/M OIL -AT
T/M OIL -MT
DIFF. OIL -MT
-
GL-4
GL-5
90
90
1.6
1.2
- -
10.000 8.000
10.000 8.000
DAIHATSUZEBRA
(G)
IV.7.3.5. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by BrandIV.7.3.5. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by BrandIV.7.3.5. Current Situation Lubrication Requirements by Brand
Source : OEM
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
OIL & GAS INDUSTRY
WARRANTY 2TH -> 3TH
SAFELY, LOW FUEL CONSUMPTION, LOW
EMISSION AND COMFORT
SUPPLY PRODUK AS OEM REQUIREMENTS
OEM PRODUCT REQUIREMENT
FORMULATION INPUT
FORMULATEDPRODUCT
LUBELUBEFUEL FOSIL & FUEL FOSIL & ALTERNATIVEALTERNATIVE
END USER
Role of Government
POLICY
REGULATORY
STANDARD
ORGANDA MEMBER
SCHOOL, UNIVERSITY ASOSIASI
NGO
MONITORING
CLAIM ? CLAIM ?
Government PELAKU BISNIS
V.1. Relation Government – OEM Automobile Industry & Oil and Gas IndustryV.1. Relation Government V.1. Relation Government –– OEM Automobile Industry & Oil and Gas IndustryOEM Automobile Industry & Oil and Gas Industry
Source : BPS
GASOLINE SPECIFICATION1. Unleaded Gasoline,2. No Metallic Octane Booster,3. SULFUR Contents max. 500 ppm.4. RON min. 91
DIESEL SPECIFICATIONSULFUR contents max. 500 ppm.
Particulates max. 10 mg/l.Water contents max. 200 mg/Kg.
Cetane Number min. 50
2. GAIKINDO is committed to realize EURO2 Emission Regulation starts in January 2005 New model and in January 2007 for Current model, the Adopting ASEAN as a common Fuel Specification for Indonesian Fuel Specification of EURO-2 considering the following important points :
V. 2. Summary V. 2. Summary V. 2. Summary
PositivePositive•• Macro Economic TrendMacro Economic Trend•• Stability Stability •• EPA, FTAEPA, FTA•• New Brand, Product Introduction & InvestmentNew Brand, Product Introduction & Investment•• No domestic fuel (subsidy) price increaseNo domestic fuel (subsidy) price increase•• Luxury Tax (Luxury Tax (PPnBMPPnBM) case) case
NegativeNegative•• Natural DisasterNatural Disaster•• SecuritySecurity•• Cabinet Reshuffle Cabinet Reshuffle •• Labor MaterLabor Mater•• World ConflictWorld Conflict•• International Oil price increaseInternational Oil price increase
•• 400.000 units as a Target (Stretching)400.000 units as a Target (Stretching)•• 380.000 units as a Normal Forecast (380.000 units as a Normal Forecast (GaikindoGaikindo))•• 360.000 units as a Prudence Forecast (Player)360.000 units as a Prudence Forecast (Player)
1. Market 2007 Growth with forecast assumption
1.1. Market 2007 Growth Market 2007 Growth with forecast assumptionwith forecast assumption
4. Low Oil Consumption, Long Oil Change Interval, comply OEM req. is recommended.3. Bio Methanol is avoided, Ethanol (ETBE)&FAME concentration are max 3% and 5% v/v
5. Good FQMS, House Keeping, Enough Spec at Retail Level for Fuel & Lube is at Retail Level for Fuel & Lube is recommended
Optimistic Person is always focus on a part of solution,and
Pesimistic Person is always stayed too long as a part of problem
Thank you
BTR-DINO-BPS