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TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilk

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Page 1: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091)

October 3 1990

Melanee Lowdermilk

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT 199091

I SUMMARY

Six commodities were included in the 199091 food needsassessment for Mainland Tanzania maize paddy (rice) wheatsorghummillet cassava and beans Although production of staplecrops is 14 lower than the previous year the food supplysituation is adequate in 199091 Supply exceeds demand for allcommodities with the exception of wheat and sorghummillet at anational level deficits emerge for these two commodities of 28640MT (unmilled) and 285280 MT (unmilled) respectively The foodbalance situation is one of surplus for maize paddy cassava andbeans indicating that production is adequate to supportconsumption requirements Surplus production of maize allows notonly for stock build-up in 199091 but possible exports as well

The consumption requirement used thein assessment forMainland Tanzania is estimated at 7 kilos of maize equivalent perperson per day This figure represents a daily per capita calorieavailability level of 2500 calories and is used by the FoodSecurity Unit of the Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment to estimate food needs It should be noted that the per capita consumption requirement is somewhat above the FAOWHOrecommended minimum intake level of 2300 calories per person perday

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation waslikewise conducted for Zanzibar and Pemba Given data limitationsthe analysis covers only two commodities paddy and wheat The datashow that production and estimated imports inadequateare tosupport status quo consumption deficits emerge in 199091 of7012 MT (rice) and 1780 MT (wheat flour)

Tables 1 and 2 show the 199091 food deficitsurplus situationfor Mainland Tanzania and Zanzibar - Pemba respectively It shouldbe noted that deficitssurpluses are calculated prior to food aidFood aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thai rice donated by the Japanese

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TABLE 1

Food leeds ssessacut

TAIIIIICurreit fear 111111

Comodity 1t1 PANT nut SOM IILL CHntS ALLC hEuS TOTAL TOTL Cl ------------------------------------------------------------------------ I Per capita coosnptio (llLOkIpr) 13T 263 56 331 1536 1416 125 361 2223

SPopelatioi (t o sads) 24411 24411 24481 2441 2443 214480 24430 24481 244361 relirleleu 643J24Total colsmaptia 1TI316 13T613 31184 3760128 3466363 31660 7532416 54561I

------------------------------------------------------------------Gross domestic food productia 244511 141133 11511 561606 385360 4313000 388000 2219600 627105

- Total iol-food tse 244511 113H33 17352 45441 411492 437300 71600 086312 689443 let domestic food prodectiot 2211511 636411 17643 522561 3447108 4415100 3i040 8233208 5541642

I - ht Cialue II Stocks (73TII) (1531) 42I I (T038) 11306 (5300) E162 (46117)

I Tota foodexlports I I I I I I II I----------------------------------------------------------------------- Domestic food supply 227T4210645131 13443 522563 3526146 4384430 31576 8226246 5627333

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Total coisoptiloireilreeat (from above) 2111316 143124 13T113 67846 3161121 3466368 306630 7532416 5451051

- Domestic food supply 2274218 134a8 522566 3526146(from above) 645131 436440 315700 8l226R6 562733 1 Import requiremeit (11124) (2114) 53641 21528 23312 (l8l2) (176 (61T51) (117I1)

-Total commercial food imports 1 6 25130 6 25616 6 1 25666 23243

FOOD DIITcly (lllILLO) (112324) (2114) 21646 21521 218182 (118032) (310) (1756) (115131)ia Wlilm extractio rate (er) in 652 751 161 351 l662 S1001 DIFICIT (EILLID) 112542) (1314) 21411131166 127266 (3t311) (3766) (213751) (14338)1

NOTES A) ALL QUANTITIES IN METRIC TONS B) ALL QUANTITIES IN UNMILLED TERMS UNLESS NOTED C) A NEGATIVE (-) DEFICIT 1S A SRPLUS D) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION BASED ON 7 KILOS MAIZE EQUIVALENt PER PERSON PER DAY

CONSUMTION REQUIREENTS FOR COMMODITIES OT INCLUDED IN THE ASSESSMENT SWEET POTATOES (192 KILOSPERSONYEAR) AD BANANAS (204 KILOSPERSONYEAR)

E) BASE PERIOD 198586 - 198990 YEAR OF ANALYSIS JUNEAY

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TABLE 2

food leeds Assesamelt

C1ulirT Till FOOD UlilutILUII

Cerreat Tear 111111

Comodity PDLT IMT VINULS Au1TW7AL 101 ICi

Per capta comsuptiou (IEml l ir) 1162 211 1235 1251 112 a olatos (thtmouds) II li IIITM To|

Total couaptiol reqalremeat 1611 112| 1523| 13233 81611

Gross domestic food prodactiom 13315 I 13146 13546 13141 - Total mo-food us 1131 5 1131 1935 153

let domest e food prodctiom 11t1|| 1 1 11e0 1111 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTES

A) ALL QUANTITIES IN METRIC TONS - Total food elports 6 B) ALL QUANTITIES IN UNMILLED TERMS

U LES TNO ED

Domestic food suppll 11ns s ulnl ll 11ss C) A NEGATIVE (-) DEFICIT IS A SURPLUS D) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION

Total comsuptiom requiresat (fro above) 111| 26125 1231 19233 14l1 AVERAGE PER CAPITA AVAILABILITY - Domestic food supply (from above) 1113 1 11111 11161 113 OVER THE BASE PERIOD

Import reqvlremeat 55252 23123 1336 13336 11133 E) BASE PERIOD 198586 - 198990

- Total comercial food Imports 1415 11155 $51T 65111 64114 YEAR OF ANALYSIS JUNEMAY

1001 DiF1CIT (IAfILLID) 111747 2313 13163 1311 13611 Allllnm estractlot rate (mor) 651 11

FOOl IlliCIT (IILLI) T111 116 31712 5712 3636

II METHODOLOGY

1) Commodities

The six commodities included in the Mainland Tanzaniaassessment contribute approximately 70 to daily calorie intake1 A breakdown of calorie contribution by commodity highlights theprincipal role of maize in the diet at 31 In terms of share oftotal calorie intake maize is followed by cassava (21) rice(7) beans (5) and sorghummillet (4) Wheat is consumed almostexclusively in urban areas and represents only 1 of total calorieconsumption It should be noted that the above calorie shareestimates are national level aggregates and do not account forregional or rural-urban differences in consumption Commoditycoverage and share of the diet are presented in Figure 1

2) Period of Analysis

Five years of historical data on food crop productionconsumption (availability) importsexports and stocks werecollected to serve as a base period reference and to highlighttrends over time For the Tanzania assessment the base periodincludes the years 198586 - 198990 The marketing year -- the year of analysis -- runs from June 1st to May 31st Note thatagricultural production in crop year 198990 is available forconsumption during the marketing year June 1990 - May 1991

The historic and current year data used in the 199691 foodneeds assessment are stored on the USAID Mission computer andshould be updated as additional data becomes available

3) Non-food uses

Gross domestic production of food crops was adjusted toaccount for seed requirements animal feed and post harvestlosses Although post-harvest losses for cereals are cited asbeing high in Tanzania estimates used by the Food Strategy Unit ofthe Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development appear to be on the low side Milling extraction rates (MER) were also appliedto all commodities to reflect processing losses The millingextraction rate represents the percentage of the whole grain (rawfood) left after millingprocessing into the form in which the food will be consumed

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 1988

3

Technical coefficients for Tanzania are shown in Table 3

4) Population

For Mainland Tanzania the population estimates used incalculating per capita availability (consumption) are based on the1988 census factoring in a growth rate of 28 Populationestimates for Zanzibar and Peria are likrewise based on the 1988census the population growth rate i somewhat higher thanMainland Tanzania at 3 per annum

5) Per Capita Consumption Requirement

In assessing food needs the aggregate consumption requirementis calculated by multiplying per capita consumption by populationFor Mainland Tanzania per capita food consumption is estimated at7 kilos maize equivalent or 2500 calories per day Whenconverted to quantity terms annual per capita consumption bycommodity in unmilled terms is estimated as follows maize (887kilos) rice (263 kilos) wheat (56 kilos) sorghummillet (33kilos) cassava (1416 kilos) beans (125 kilos) sweet potatoes(192 kilos) and bananas (204 kilos) 2

6) Base Commodity Equivalent (BCE)

Maize is the dietary staple in Mainland Tanzania and for thepurposes of analysis is considered the base commodity In thecurrent year food balance quantities of other foods are convertedinto the equivalence in caloric terms of the base commodityThus the final column in Table 1 shows he key variables -shyproduction consumption importsexports stocks -- and thedeficitsurplus situation expressed in BCE or maize equivalent terms

7) Training in the Food Needs Assessment Methodology and SoftwareTemplate

Five training sessions in the food needs assessment (FNA)methodology and softwaretemplate were held for USAID Mission andhost government staff An understanding of the methodologycombined with a working knowledge of the software package providesparticipants with the tools necessary to conduct assessments in future years

2Food Security Unit Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1990

- F

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TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT TABLE 3

TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS

CALORIES MILLING SHARE IN COMMODITY UNMILLED EXTRACTION TOTAL CALORIE

KILO RATE (MER) CX ()

SEED USE ()

FEED USE (X)

LOSSES (X)

INTAKE CX) bull

MAIZE 3570 90 bull 3 bull 2 5 311

PADDY 3530 65 6 4 4

WHEAT 3320 75 7 6 4 14

SORGHUMMILLET 3450 70 2 1 5 41

CASSAVA 1490 35 -- 10 210

BEANS 3420 100 9 6 5 51

DATA SOURCES 302 Other Foods

Coefficients MER MDB Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development and

FAD Technical Conversion Factors Agricultural

Commodity Projections for 1975 and 1985 Vol 1 Methodological NotesStatisticat Annex (Rome Italy)

Seed Requirements FAO Tanzania Food Balace Sheet (Rome Italy May 1983)

Other MALD Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988

Share of Calorie Intake MALD Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper

Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988 Note Beans and Peas

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

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MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

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~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

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FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

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CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

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---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 2: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT 199091

I SUMMARY

Six commodities were included in the 199091 food needsassessment for Mainland Tanzania maize paddy (rice) wheatsorghummillet cassava and beans Although production of staplecrops is 14 lower than the previous year the food supplysituation is adequate in 199091 Supply exceeds demand for allcommodities with the exception of wheat and sorghummillet at anational level deficits emerge for these two commodities of 28640MT (unmilled) and 285280 MT (unmilled) respectively The foodbalance situation is one of surplus for maize paddy cassava andbeans indicating that production is adequate to supportconsumption requirements Surplus production of maize allows notonly for stock build-up in 199091 but possible exports as well

The consumption requirement used thein assessment forMainland Tanzania is estimated at 7 kilos of maize equivalent perperson per day This figure represents a daily per capita calorieavailability level of 2500 calories and is used by the FoodSecurity Unit of the Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment to estimate food needs It should be noted that the per capita consumption requirement is somewhat above the FAOWHOrecommended minimum intake level of 2300 calories per person perday

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation waslikewise conducted for Zanzibar and Pemba Given data limitationsthe analysis covers only two commodities paddy and wheat The datashow that production and estimated imports inadequateare tosupport status quo consumption deficits emerge in 199091 of7012 MT (rice) and 1780 MT (wheat flour)

Tables 1 and 2 show the 199091 food deficitsurplus situationfor Mainland Tanzania and Zanzibar - Pemba respectively It shouldbe noted that deficitssurpluses are calculated prior to food aidFood aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thai rice donated by the Japanese

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TABLE 1

Food leeds ssessacut

TAIIIIICurreit fear 111111

Comodity 1t1 PANT nut SOM IILL CHntS ALLC hEuS TOTAL TOTL Cl ------------------------------------------------------------------------ I Per capita coosnptio (llLOkIpr) 13T 263 56 331 1536 1416 125 361 2223

SPopelatioi (t o sads) 24411 24411 24481 2441 2443 214480 24430 24481 244361 relirleleu 643J24Total colsmaptia 1TI316 13T613 31184 3760128 3466363 31660 7532416 54561I

------------------------------------------------------------------Gross domestic food productia 244511 141133 11511 561606 385360 4313000 388000 2219600 627105

- Total iol-food tse 244511 113H33 17352 45441 411492 437300 71600 086312 689443 let domestic food prodectiot 2211511 636411 17643 522561 3447108 4415100 3i040 8233208 5541642

I - ht Cialue II Stocks (73TII) (1531) 42I I (T038) 11306 (5300) E162 (46117)

I Tota foodexlports I I I I I I II I----------------------------------------------------------------------- Domestic food supply 227T4210645131 13443 522563 3526146 4384430 31576 8226246 5627333

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Total coisoptiloireilreeat (from above) 2111316 143124 13T113 67846 3161121 3466368 306630 7532416 5451051

- Domestic food supply 2274218 134a8 522566 3526146(from above) 645131 436440 315700 8l226R6 562733 1 Import requiremeit (11124) (2114) 53641 21528 23312 (l8l2) (176 (61T51) (117I1)

-Total commercial food imports 1 6 25130 6 25616 6 1 25666 23243

FOOD DIITcly (lllILLO) (112324) (2114) 21646 21521 218182 (118032) (310) (1756) (115131)ia Wlilm extractio rate (er) in 652 751 161 351 l662 S1001 DIFICIT (EILLID) 112542) (1314) 21411131166 127266 (3t311) (3766) (213751) (14338)1

NOTES A) ALL QUANTITIES IN METRIC TONS B) ALL QUANTITIES IN UNMILLED TERMS UNLESS NOTED C) A NEGATIVE (-) DEFICIT 1S A SRPLUS D) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION BASED ON 7 KILOS MAIZE EQUIVALENt PER PERSON PER DAY

CONSUMTION REQUIREENTS FOR COMMODITIES OT INCLUDED IN THE ASSESSMENT SWEET POTATOES (192 KILOSPERSONYEAR) AD BANANAS (204 KILOSPERSONYEAR)

E) BASE PERIOD 198586 - 198990 YEAR OF ANALYSIS JUNEAY

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TABLE 2

food leeds Assesamelt

C1ulirT Till FOOD UlilutILUII

Cerreat Tear 111111

Comodity PDLT IMT VINULS Au1TW7AL 101 ICi

Per capta comsuptiou (IEml l ir) 1162 211 1235 1251 112 a olatos (thtmouds) II li IIITM To|

Total couaptiol reqalremeat 1611 112| 1523| 13233 81611

Gross domestic food prodactiom 13315 I 13146 13546 13141 - Total mo-food us 1131 5 1131 1935 153

let domest e food prodctiom 11t1|| 1 1 11e0 1111 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTES

A) ALL QUANTITIES IN METRIC TONS - Total food elports 6 B) ALL QUANTITIES IN UNMILLED TERMS

U LES TNO ED

Domestic food suppll 11ns s ulnl ll 11ss C) A NEGATIVE (-) DEFICIT IS A SURPLUS D) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION

Total comsuptiom requiresat (fro above) 111| 26125 1231 19233 14l1 AVERAGE PER CAPITA AVAILABILITY - Domestic food supply (from above) 1113 1 11111 11161 113 OVER THE BASE PERIOD

Import reqvlremeat 55252 23123 1336 13336 11133 E) BASE PERIOD 198586 - 198990

- Total comercial food Imports 1415 11155 $51T 65111 64114 YEAR OF ANALYSIS JUNEMAY

1001 DiF1CIT (IAfILLID) 111747 2313 13163 1311 13611 Allllnm estractlot rate (mor) 651 11

FOOl IlliCIT (IILLI) T111 116 31712 5712 3636

II METHODOLOGY

1) Commodities

The six commodities included in the Mainland Tanzaniaassessment contribute approximately 70 to daily calorie intake1 A breakdown of calorie contribution by commodity highlights theprincipal role of maize in the diet at 31 In terms of share oftotal calorie intake maize is followed by cassava (21) rice(7) beans (5) and sorghummillet (4) Wheat is consumed almostexclusively in urban areas and represents only 1 of total calorieconsumption It should be noted that the above calorie shareestimates are national level aggregates and do not account forregional or rural-urban differences in consumption Commoditycoverage and share of the diet are presented in Figure 1

2) Period of Analysis

Five years of historical data on food crop productionconsumption (availability) importsexports and stocks werecollected to serve as a base period reference and to highlighttrends over time For the Tanzania assessment the base periodincludes the years 198586 - 198990 The marketing year -- the year of analysis -- runs from June 1st to May 31st Note thatagricultural production in crop year 198990 is available forconsumption during the marketing year June 1990 - May 1991

The historic and current year data used in the 199691 foodneeds assessment are stored on the USAID Mission computer andshould be updated as additional data becomes available

3) Non-food uses

Gross domestic production of food crops was adjusted toaccount for seed requirements animal feed and post harvestlosses Although post-harvest losses for cereals are cited asbeing high in Tanzania estimates used by the Food Strategy Unit ofthe Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development appear to be on the low side Milling extraction rates (MER) were also appliedto all commodities to reflect processing losses The millingextraction rate represents the percentage of the whole grain (rawfood) left after millingprocessing into the form in which the food will be consumed

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 1988

3

Technical coefficients for Tanzania are shown in Table 3

4) Population

For Mainland Tanzania the population estimates used incalculating per capita availability (consumption) are based on the1988 census factoring in a growth rate of 28 Populationestimates for Zanzibar and Peria are likrewise based on the 1988census the population growth rate i somewhat higher thanMainland Tanzania at 3 per annum

5) Per Capita Consumption Requirement

In assessing food needs the aggregate consumption requirementis calculated by multiplying per capita consumption by populationFor Mainland Tanzania per capita food consumption is estimated at7 kilos maize equivalent or 2500 calories per day Whenconverted to quantity terms annual per capita consumption bycommodity in unmilled terms is estimated as follows maize (887kilos) rice (263 kilos) wheat (56 kilos) sorghummillet (33kilos) cassava (1416 kilos) beans (125 kilos) sweet potatoes(192 kilos) and bananas (204 kilos) 2

6) Base Commodity Equivalent (BCE)

Maize is the dietary staple in Mainland Tanzania and for thepurposes of analysis is considered the base commodity In thecurrent year food balance quantities of other foods are convertedinto the equivalence in caloric terms of the base commodityThus the final column in Table 1 shows he key variables -shyproduction consumption importsexports stocks -- and thedeficitsurplus situation expressed in BCE or maize equivalent terms

7) Training in the Food Needs Assessment Methodology and SoftwareTemplate

Five training sessions in the food needs assessment (FNA)methodology and softwaretemplate were held for USAID Mission andhost government staff An understanding of the methodologycombined with a working knowledge of the software package providesparticipants with the tools necessary to conduct assessments in future years

2Food Security Unit Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1990

- F

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TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT TABLE 3

TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS

CALORIES MILLING SHARE IN COMMODITY UNMILLED EXTRACTION TOTAL CALORIE

KILO RATE (MER) CX ()

SEED USE ()

FEED USE (X)

LOSSES (X)

INTAKE CX) bull

MAIZE 3570 90 bull 3 bull 2 5 311

PADDY 3530 65 6 4 4

WHEAT 3320 75 7 6 4 14

SORGHUMMILLET 3450 70 2 1 5 41

CASSAVA 1490 35 -- 10 210

BEANS 3420 100 9 6 5 51

DATA SOURCES 302 Other Foods

Coefficients MER MDB Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development and

FAD Technical Conversion Factors Agricultural

Commodity Projections for 1975 and 1985 Vol 1 Methodological NotesStatisticat Annex (Rome Italy)

Seed Requirements FAO Tanzania Food Balace Sheet (Rome Italy May 1983)

Other MALD Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988

Share of Calorie Intake MALD Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper

Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988 Note Beans and Peas

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

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----------------------------------------

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FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

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-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

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- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

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CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

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ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

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o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

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L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 3: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

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TABLE 1

Food leeds ssessacut

TAIIIIICurreit fear 111111

Comodity 1t1 PANT nut SOM IILL CHntS ALLC hEuS TOTAL TOTL Cl ------------------------------------------------------------------------ I Per capita coosnptio (llLOkIpr) 13T 263 56 331 1536 1416 125 361 2223

SPopelatioi (t o sads) 24411 24411 24481 2441 2443 214480 24430 24481 244361 relirleleu 643J24Total colsmaptia 1TI316 13T613 31184 3760128 3466363 31660 7532416 54561I

------------------------------------------------------------------Gross domestic food productia 244511 141133 11511 561606 385360 4313000 388000 2219600 627105

- Total iol-food tse 244511 113H33 17352 45441 411492 437300 71600 086312 689443 let domestic food prodectiot 2211511 636411 17643 522561 3447108 4415100 3i040 8233208 5541642

I - ht Cialue II Stocks (73TII) (1531) 42I I (T038) 11306 (5300) E162 (46117)

I Tota foodexlports I I I I I I II I----------------------------------------------------------------------- Domestic food supply 227T4210645131 13443 522563 3526146 4384430 31576 8226246 5627333

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Total coisoptiloireilreeat (from above) 2111316 143124 13T113 67846 3161121 3466368 306630 7532416 5451051

- Domestic food supply 2274218 134a8 522566 3526146(from above) 645131 436440 315700 8l226R6 562733 1 Import requiremeit (11124) (2114) 53641 21528 23312 (l8l2) (176 (61T51) (117I1)

-Total commercial food imports 1 6 25130 6 25616 6 1 25666 23243

FOOD DIITcly (lllILLO) (112324) (2114) 21646 21521 218182 (118032) (310) (1756) (115131)ia Wlilm extractio rate (er) in 652 751 161 351 l662 S1001 DIFICIT (EILLID) 112542) (1314) 21411131166 127266 (3t311) (3766) (213751) (14338)1

NOTES A) ALL QUANTITIES IN METRIC TONS B) ALL QUANTITIES IN UNMILLED TERMS UNLESS NOTED C) A NEGATIVE (-) DEFICIT 1S A SRPLUS D) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION BASED ON 7 KILOS MAIZE EQUIVALENt PER PERSON PER DAY

CONSUMTION REQUIREENTS FOR COMMODITIES OT INCLUDED IN THE ASSESSMENT SWEET POTATOES (192 KILOSPERSONYEAR) AD BANANAS (204 KILOSPERSONYEAR)

E) BASE PERIOD 198586 - 198990 YEAR OF ANALYSIS JUNEAY

---------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TABLE 2

food leeds Assesamelt

C1ulirT Till FOOD UlilutILUII

Cerreat Tear 111111

Comodity PDLT IMT VINULS Au1TW7AL 101 ICi

Per capta comsuptiou (IEml l ir) 1162 211 1235 1251 112 a olatos (thtmouds) II li IIITM To|

Total couaptiol reqalremeat 1611 112| 1523| 13233 81611

Gross domestic food prodactiom 13315 I 13146 13546 13141 - Total mo-food us 1131 5 1131 1935 153

let domest e food prodctiom 11t1|| 1 1 11e0 1111 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTES

A) ALL QUANTITIES IN METRIC TONS - Total food elports 6 B) ALL QUANTITIES IN UNMILLED TERMS

U LES TNO ED

Domestic food suppll 11ns s ulnl ll 11ss C) A NEGATIVE (-) DEFICIT IS A SURPLUS D) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION

Total comsuptiom requiresat (fro above) 111| 26125 1231 19233 14l1 AVERAGE PER CAPITA AVAILABILITY - Domestic food supply (from above) 1113 1 11111 11161 113 OVER THE BASE PERIOD

Import reqvlremeat 55252 23123 1336 13336 11133 E) BASE PERIOD 198586 - 198990

- Total comercial food Imports 1415 11155 $51T 65111 64114 YEAR OF ANALYSIS JUNEMAY

1001 DiF1CIT (IAfILLID) 111747 2313 13163 1311 13611 Allllnm estractlot rate (mor) 651 11

FOOl IlliCIT (IILLI) T111 116 31712 5712 3636

II METHODOLOGY

1) Commodities

The six commodities included in the Mainland Tanzaniaassessment contribute approximately 70 to daily calorie intake1 A breakdown of calorie contribution by commodity highlights theprincipal role of maize in the diet at 31 In terms of share oftotal calorie intake maize is followed by cassava (21) rice(7) beans (5) and sorghummillet (4) Wheat is consumed almostexclusively in urban areas and represents only 1 of total calorieconsumption It should be noted that the above calorie shareestimates are national level aggregates and do not account forregional or rural-urban differences in consumption Commoditycoverage and share of the diet are presented in Figure 1

2) Period of Analysis

Five years of historical data on food crop productionconsumption (availability) importsexports and stocks werecollected to serve as a base period reference and to highlighttrends over time For the Tanzania assessment the base periodincludes the years 198586 - 198990 The marketing year -- the year of analysis -- runs from June 1st to May 31st Note thatagricultural production in crop year 198990 is available forconsumption during the marketing year June 1990 - May 1991

The historic and current year data used in the 199691 foodneeds assessment are stored on the USAID Mission computer andshould be updated as additional data becomes available

3) Non-food uses

Gross domestic production of food crops was adjusted toaccount for seed requirements animal feed and post harvestlosses Although post-harvest losses for cereals are cited asbeing high in Tanzania estimates used by the Food Strategy Unit ofthe Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development appear to be on the low side Milling extraction rates (MER) were also appliedto all commodities to reflect processing losses The millingextraction rate represents the percentage of the whole grain (rawfood) left after millingprocessing into the form in which the food will be consumed

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 1988

3

Technical coefficients for Tanzania are shown in Table 3

4) Population

For Mainland Tanzania the population estimates used incalculating per capita availability (consumption) are based on the1988 census factoring in a growth rate of 28 Populationestimates for Zanzibar and Peria are likrewise based on the 1988census the population growth rate i somewhat higher thanMainland Tanzania at 3 per annum

5) Per Capita Consumption Requirement

In assessing food needs the aggregate consumption requirementis calculated by multiplying per capita consumption by populationFor Mainland Tanzania per capita food consumption is estimated at7 kilos maize equivalent or 2500 calories per day Whenconverted to quantity terms annual per capita consumption bycommodity in unmilled terms is estimated as follows maize (887kilos) rice (263 kilos) wheat (56 kilos) sorghummillet (33kilos) cassava (1416 kilos) beans (125 kilos) sweet potatoes(192 kilos) and bananas (204 kilos) 2

6) Base Commodity Equivalent (BCE)

Maize is the dietary staple in Mainland Tanzania and for thepurposes of analysis is considered the base commodity In thecurrent year food balance quantities of other foods are convertedinto the equivalence in caloric terms of the base commodityThus the final column in Table 1 shows he key variables -shyproduction consumption importsexports stocks -- and thedeficitsurplus situation expressed in BCE or maize equivalent terms

7) Training in the Food Needs Assessment Methodology and SoftwareTemplate

Five training sessions in the food needs assessment (FNA)methodology and softwaretemplate were held for USAID Mission andhost government staff An understanding of the methodologycombined with a working knowledge of the software package providesparticipants with the tools necessary to conduct assessments in future years

2Food Security Unit Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1990

- F

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TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT TABLE 3

TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS

CALORIES MILLING SHARE IN COMMODITY UNMILLED EXTRACTION TOTAL CALORIE

KILO RATE (MER) CX ()

SEED USE ()

FEED USE (X)

LOSSES (X)

INTAKE CX) bull

MAIZE 3570 90 bull 3 bull 2 5 311

PADDY 3530 65 6 4 4

WHEAT 3320 75 7 6 4 14

SORGHUMMILLET 3450 70 2 1 5 41

CASSAVA 1490 35 -- 10 210

BEANS 3420 100 9 6 5 51

DATA SOURCES 302 Other Foods

Coefficients MER MDB Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development and

FAD Technical Conversion Factors Agricultural

Commodity Projections for 1975 and 1985 Vol 1 Methodological NotesStatisticat Annex (Rome Italy)

Seed Requirements FAO Tanzania Food Balace Sheet (Rome Italy May 1983)

Other MALD Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988

Share of Calorie Intake MALD Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper

Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988 Note Beans and Peas

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

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----------------------------------------

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FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

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lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

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- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

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CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

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o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 4: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

---------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------

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----------------------------------------------------------------------

TABLE 2

food leeds Assesamelt

C1ulirT Till FOOD UlilutILUII

Cerreat Tear 111111

Comodity PDLT IMT VINULS Au1TW7AL 101 ICi

Per capta comsuptiou (IEml l ir) 1162 211 1235 1251 112 a olatos (thtmouds) II li IIITM To|

Total couaptiol reqalremeat 1611 112| 1523| 13233 81611

Gross domestic food prodactiom 13315 I 13146 13546 13141 - Total mo-food us 1131 5 1131 1935 153

let domest e food prodctiom 11t1|| 1 1 11e0 1111 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NOTES

A) ALL QUANTITIES IN METRIC TONS - Total food elports 6 B) ALL QUANTITIES IN UNMILLED TERMS

U LES TNO ED

Domestic food suppll 11ns s ulnl ll 11ss C) A NEGATIVE (-) DEFICIT IS A SURPLUS D) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION

Total comsuptiom requiresat (fro above) 111| 26125 1231 19233 14l1 AVERAGE PER CAPITA AVAILABILITY - Domestic food supply (from above) 1113 1 11111 11161 113 OVER THE BASE PERIOD

Import reqvlremeat 55252 23123 1336 13336 11133 E) BASE PERIOD 198586 - 198990

- Total comercial food Imports 1415 11155 $51T 65111 64114 YEAR OF ANALYSIS JUNEMAY

1001 DiF1CIT (IAfILLID) 111747 2313 13163 1311 13611 Allllnm estractlot rate (mor) 651 11

FOOl IlliCIT (IILLI) T111 116 31712 5712 3636

II METHODOLOGY

1) Commodities

The six commodities included in the Mainland Tanzaniaassessment contribute approximately 70 to daily calorie intake1 A breakdown of calorie contribution by commodity highlights theprincipal role of maize in the diet at 31 In terms of share oftotal calorie intake maize is followed by cassava (21) rice(7) beans (5) and sorghummillet (4) Wheat is consumed almostexclusively in urban areas and represents only 1 of total calorieconsumption It should be noted that the above calorie shareestimates are national level aggregates and do not account forregional or rural-urban differences in consumption Commoditycoverage and share of the diet are presented in Figure 1

2) Period of Analysis

Five years of historical data on food crop productionconsumption (availability) importsexports and stocks werecollected to serve as a base period reference and to highlighttrends over time For the Tanzania assessment the base periodincludes the years 198586 - 198990 The marketing year -- the year of analysis -- runs from June 1st to May 31st Note thatagricultural production in crop year 198990 is available forconsumption during the marketing year June 1990 - May 1991

The historic and current year data used in the 199691 foodneeds assessment are stored on the USAID Mission computer andshould be updated as additional data becomes available

3) Non-food uses

Gross domestic production of food crops was adjusted toaccount for seed requirements animal feed and post harvestlosses Although post-harvest losses for cereals are cited asbeing high in Tanzania estimates used by the Food Strategy Unit ofthe Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development appear to be on the low side Milling extraction rates (MER) were also appliedto all commodities to reflect processing losses The millingextraction rate represents the percentage of the whole grain (rawfood) left after millingprocessing into the form in which the food will be consumed

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 1988

3

Technical coefficients for Tanzania are shown in Table 3

4) Population

For Mainland Tanzania the population estimates used incalculating per capita availability (consumption) are based on the1988 census factoring in a growth rate of 28 Populationestimates for Zanzibar and Peria are likrewise based on the 1988census the population growth rate i somewhat higher thanMainland Tanzania at 3 per annum

5) Per Capita Consumption Requirement

In assessing food needs the aggregate consumption requirementis calculated by multiplying per capita consumption by populationFor Mainland Tanzania per capita food consumption is estimated at7 kilos maize equivalent or 2500 calories per day Whenconverted to quantity terms annual per capita consumption bycommodity in unmilled terms is estimated as follows maize (887kilos) rice (263 kilos) wheat (56 kilos) sorghummillet (33kilos) cassava (1416 kilos) beans (125 kilos) sweet potatoes(192 kilos) and bananas (204 kilos) 2

6) Base Commodity Equivalent (BCE)

Maize is the dietary staple in Mainland Tanzania and for thepurposes of analysis is considered the base commodity In thecurrent year food balance quantities of other foods are convertedinto the equivalence in caloric terms of the base commodityThus the final column in Table 1 shows he key variables -shyproduction consumption importsexports stocks -- and thedeficitsurplus situation expressed in BCE or maize equivalent terms

7) Training in the Food Needs Assessment Methodology and SoftwareTemplate

Five training sessions in the food needs assessment (FNA)methodology and softwaretemplate were held for USAID Mission andhost government staff An understanding of the methodologycombined with a working knowledge of the software package providesparticipants with the tools necessary to conduct assessments in future years

2Food Security Unit Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1990

- F

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TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT TABLE 3

TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS

CALORIES MILLING SHARE IN COMMODITY UNMILLED EXTRACTION TOTAL CALORIE

KILO RATE (MER) CX ()

SEED USE ()

FEED USE (X)

LOSSES (X)

INTAKE CX) bull

MAIZE 3570 90 bull 3 bull 2 5 311

PADDY 3530 65 6 4 4

WHEAT 3320 75 7 6 4 14

SORGHUMMILLET 3450 70 2 1 5 41

CASSAVA 1490 35 -- 10 210

BEANS 3420 100 9 6 5 51

DATA SOURCES 302 Other Foods

Coefficients MER MDB Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development and

FAD Technical Conversion Factors Agricultural

Commodity Projections for 1975 and 1985 Vol 1 Methodological NotesStatisticat Annex (Rome Italy)

Seed Requirements FAO Tanzania Food Balace Sheet (Rome Italy May 1983)

Other MALD Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988

Share of Calorie Intake MALD Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper

Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988 Note Beans and Peas

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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------------------------------------------------------------------

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

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Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

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uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

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-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

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|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

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VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

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Page 5: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

II METHODOLOGY

1) Commodities

The six commodities included in the Mainland Tanzaniaassessment contribute approximately 70 to daily calorie intake1 A breakdown of calorie contribution by commodity highlights theprincipal role of maize in the diet at 31 In terms of share oftotal calorie intake maize is followed by cassava (21) rice(7) beans (5) and sorghummillet (4) Wheat is consumed almostexclusively in urban areas and represents only 1 of total calorieconsumption It should be noted that the above calorie shareestimates are national level aggregates and do not account forregional or rural-urban differences in consumption Commoditycoverage and share of the diet are presented in Figure 1

2) Period of Analysis

Five years of historical data on food crop productionconsumption (availability) importsexports and stocks werecollected to serve as a base period reference and to highlighttrends over time For the Tanzania assessment the base periodincludes the years 198586 - 198990 The marketing year -- the year of analysis -- runs from June 1st to May 31st Note thatagricultural production in crop year 198990 is available forconsumption during the marketing year June 1990 - May 1991

The historic and current year data used in the 199691 foodneeds assessment are stored on the USAID Mission computer andshould be updated as additional data becomes available

3) Non-food uses

Gross domestic production of food crops was adjusted toaccount for seed requirements animal feed and post harvestlosses Although post-harvest losses for cereals are cited asbeing high in Tanzania estimates used by the Food Strategy Unit ofthe Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development appear to be on the low side Milling extraction rates (MER) were also appliedto all commodities to reflect processing losses The millingextraction rate represents the percentage of the whole grain (rawfood) left after millingprocessing into the form in which the food will be consumed

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 1988

3

Technical coefficients for Tanzania are shown in Table 3

4) Population

For Mainland Tanzania the population estimates used incalculating per capita availability (consumption) are based on the1988 census factoring in a growth rate of 28 Populationestimates for Zanzibar and Peria are likrewise based on the 1988census the population growth rate i somewhat higher thanMainland Tanzania at 3 per annum

5) Per Capita Consumption Requirement

In assessing food needs the aggregate consumption requirementis calculated by multiplying per capita consumption by populationFor Mainland Tanzania per capita food consumption is estimated at7 kilos maize equivalent or 2500 calories per day Whenconverted to quantity terms annual per capita consumption bycommodity in unmilled terms is estimated as follows maize (887kilos) rice (263 kilos) wheat (56 kilos) sorghummillet (33kilos) cassava (1416 kilos) beans (125 kilos) sweet potatoes(192 kilos) and bananas (204 kilos) 2

6) Base Commodity Equivalent (BCE)

Maize is the dietary staple in Mainland Tanzania and for thepurposes of analysis is considered the base commodity In thecurrent year food balance quantities of other foods are convertedinto the equivalence in caloric terms of the base commodityThus the final column in Table 1 shows he key variables -shyproduction consumption importsexports stocks -- and thedeficitsurplus situation expressed in BCE or maize equivalent terms

7) Training in the Food Needs Assessment Methodology and SoftwareTemplate

Five training sessions in the food needs assessment (FNA)methodology and softwaretemplate were held for USAID Mission andhost government staff An understanding of the methodologycombined with a working knowledge of the software package providesparticipants with the tools necessary to conduct assessments in future years

2Food Security Unit Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1990

- F

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT TABLE 3

TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS

CALORIES MILLING SHARE IN COMMODITY UNMILLED EXTRACTION TOTAL CALORIE

KILO RATE (MER) CX ()

SEED USE ()

FEED USE (X)

LOSSES (X)

INTAKE CX) bull

MAIZE 3570 90 bull 3 bull 2 5 311

PADDY 3530 65 6 4 4

WHEAT 3320 75 7 6 4 14

SORGHUMMILLET 3450 70 2 1 5 41

CASSAVA 1490 35 -- 10 210

BEANS 3420 100 9 6 5 51

DATA SOURCES 302 Other Foods

Coefficients MER MDB Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development and

FAD Technical Conversion Factors Agricultural

Commodity Projections for 1975 and 1985 Vol 1 Methodological NotesStatisticat Annex (Rome Italy)

Seed Requirements FAO Tanzania Food Balace Sheet (Rome Italy May 1983)

Other MALD Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988

Share of Calorie Intake MALD Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper

Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988 Note Beans and Peas

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

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----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

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exports

D)

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p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 6: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

3

Technical coefficients for Tanzania are shown in Table 3

4) Population

For Mainland Tanzania the population estimates used incalculating per capita availability (consumption) are based on the1988 census factoring in a growth rate of 28 Populationestimates for Zanzibar and Peria are likrewise based on the 1988census the population growth rate i somewhat higher thanMainland Tanzania at 3 per annum

5) Per Capita Consumption Requirement

In assessing food needs the aggregate consumption requirementis calculated by multiplying per capita consumption by populationFor Mainland Tanzania per capita food consumption is estimated at7 kilos maize equivalent or 2500 calories per day Whenconverted to quantity terms annual per capita consumption bycommodity in unmilled terms is estimated as follows maize (887kilos) rice (263 kilos) wheat (56 kilos) sorghummillet (33kilos) cassava (1416 kilos) beans (125 kilos) sweet potatoes(192 kilos) and bananas (204 kilos) 2

6) Base Commodity Equivalent (BCE)

Maize is the dietary staple in Mainland Tanzania and for thepurposes of analysis is considered the base commodity In thecurrent year food balance quantities of other foods are convertedinto the equivalence in caloric terms of the base commodityThus the final column in Table 1 shows he key variables -shyproduction consumption importsexports stocks -- and thedeficitsurplus situation expressed in BCE or maize equivalent terms

7) Training in the Food Needs Assessment Methodology and SoftwareTemplate

Five training sessions in the food needs assessment (FNA)methodology and softwaretemplate were held for USAID Mission andhost government staff An understanding of the methodologycombined with a working knowledge of the software package providesparticipants with the tools necessary to conduct assessments in future years

2Food Security Unit Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1990

- F

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT TABLE 3

TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS

CALORIES MILLING SHARE IN COMMODITY UNMILLED EXTRACTION TOTAL CALORIE

KILO RATE (MER) CX ()

SEED USE ()

FEED USE (X)

LOSSES (X)

INTAKE CX) bull

MAIZE 3570 90 bull 3 bull 2 5 311

PADDY 3530 65 6 4 4

WHEAT 3320 75 7 6 4 14

SORGHUMMILLET 3450 70 2 1 5 41

CASSAVA 1490 35 -- 10 210

BEANS 3420 100 9 6 5 51

DATA SOURCES 302 Other Foods

Coefficients MER MDB Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development and

FAD Technical Conversion Factors Agricultural

Commodity Projections for 1975 and 1985 Vol 1 Methodological NotesStatisticat Annex (Rome Italy)

Seed Requirements FAO Tanzania Food Balace Sheet (Rome Italy May 1983)

Other MALD Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988

Share of Calorie Intake MALD Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper

Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988 Note Beans and Peas

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

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crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

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- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

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----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

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Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

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exports

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p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 7: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

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TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT TABLE 3

TECHNICAL COEFFICIENTS

CALORIES MILLING SHARE IN COMMODITY UNMILLED EXTRACTION TOTAL CALORIE

KILO RATE (MER) CX ()

SEED USE ()

FEED USE (X)

LOSSES (X)

INTAKE CX) bull

MAIZE 3570 90 bull 3 bull 2 5 311

PADDY 3530 65 6 4 4

WHEAT 3320 75 7 6 4 14

SORGHUMMILLET 3450 70 2 1 5 41

CASSAVA 1490 35 -- 10 210

BEANS 3420 100 9 6 5 51

DATA SOURCES 302 Other Foods

Coefficients MER MDB Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development and

FAD Technical Conversion Factors Agricultural

Commodity Projections for 1975 and 1985 Vol 1 Methodological NotesStatisticat Annex (Rome Italy)

Seed Requirements FAO Tanzania Food Balace Sheet (Rome Italy May 1983)

Other MALD Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988

Share of Calorie Intake MALD Mainland Tanzania Food Situation Occasional Paper

Food Strategy Unit Planning and Marketing Division May 1988 Note Beans and Peas

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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4

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------------------------------------------------------------------

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

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----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

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Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

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exports

D)

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I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 8: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

4

The training sessions focused on three areas (i)methodology (variables equations and parameters) (ii) datarequirements and (iii) FNA templatesoftware package Governmentof Tanzania participants included representatives from thefollowing offices Food Security Unit (MALD) Food Strategy Unit(MALD) Marketing Development Bureau (MALD) and the National Milling Corporation (NMC)

Please see Annex 1 for a list of training sessions and participants

8) Data Sources

The main sources of data on agricultural production were theFood Security Unit (FSU) and the Marketing Development Bureau(MDB) of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock development(MALD) Commercial import and export data were provided by MDB andthe National Milling Corporation (NMC) MDB and NMC also provideddata on concessional food imports for the period 198586 shy 198788more recent food aid data are those of WFPTanzania Data onopening and closing food stock balances were provided by NMC

Although unregistered food exports to neighboring countriesare widely acknowledged no official statistics exist on quantitiestraded For maize and beans estimates of unofficial exports rangefrom 10 - 20 percent of gross domestic production

A complete list of data sources and individuals contacted ispresented in Annex 1 Annex 2 presents the data used in the assessment with source citations

III AGRICULTURE

1) General

Agriculture represents the mainstay of the Tanzanian economywith approximately 90 of the population engaged in agriculturalactivities Agriculture contributes more than 50 to GDP andaccounts for over three quarters of export earnings The ruralsector is characterized by smallholder production with farmhouseholds producing staple cropsfood primarily to meetsubsistence needs estimatesMDB for 198788 show that themarketed share of gross production is 25 for maize and 50 forpaddy non-cereal food crops for the most part are cultivated forhome consumption In mainland Tanzania the size of landholdings isquite small with 83 of farms citing holdings of less than 2hectares Principal food crops include maize ricemilletsorghum cassava beans bananas and various fruits and

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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TANZANIA

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- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

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------------------------------------------------------------------

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

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4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

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L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 9: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

5 vegetables The most important export crop is coffee other export crops include cotton sisal tobacco cashew nuts teacloves and pyrethrum

Drought conditions and resulting food shortfalls have beenexperienced in Tanzania on a recurring basis 196162 197475and 198384 Although on a national level staple food cropproduction has adequate recentbeen in years to supportconsumption certain areareas generally considered droughtpronefood deficit These include areas in the following regionsMara Mwanza Shinyanga Kigoma Tabora Singida ArushaKilimanjaro Tanga Dodoma and Mtwara3 The weak transportinfrastructure in Tanzania coupled with the vast ofsize thecountry make it extremely difficult to move food from surplus to deficit regions

In the 1980s the government of Tanzania launched a series ofreform programs to address the deterioration of the economyAgricultural reform has been a central part of both the EconomicRecovery Program (ERP 198687 - 198889) and the follow-onEconomic and Social Action Programme (ESAP 198990 199192)-Specific policy measures include (i) exchange rate adjustment(ii) real increases in producer prices for export and food crops(iii) removal of price controls and (iv) agricultural marketreforms Agricultural production is estimated to have increased by5 per year since 198586 attributable both to liberalization offood crop marketing and to favorable weather conditions

2) Agricultural Production Crop Year 198990

Aggregate production of food crops included in the assessmentis estimated to be 14 lower than the previous years recordharvests The decline in production is due in part to a reductionin area planted and in part to unfavorable weather conditions inthe planting and seasonsgrowing Inadequate rainfall inJanuaryFebruary was experienced in Central and Southern TanzaniaIn April 1990 excessive rainfall resulted in severe flooding inthe regions of Lindi and Mtwara Pest infestation -- army wormsrats and cassava mealy bugs -- was also cited as contributing tothe below average June harvest Despite the fall in productionthe aggregate supply of staple food crops exceeds demand inmarketing year 199091 surpluses are evident for all food cropswith the of andexception wheat milletsorghum Althoughproduction estimates show a national level surplus food deficits emerge for the following regions Dar Es SalaamCoast DodomaKigoma Kilimanjaro Lindi Mara and Tanga Given storage

3Bryson Judy et al A Review of the State Foodof andNutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986 p 26

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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TANZANIA

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- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

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----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

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Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

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p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 10: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

6

transport and marketing constraints the transfer of food cropsfrom surplus to deficit regions remains an intractable problem in199091 Recent reports from the Rukwa region note that 37000 MTof surplus maize is at risk of rotting due to inadequate storageand transport

A breakdown of food deficits by region is shown in Table 4

IV MAINLAND TANZANIA SITUATION BY CROP

1) Maize

In Mainland Tanzania maize is cultivated primarily bysmallholders under rainfed conditions The four Southern regionsof Iringa Mbeya Rukwa and Ruvuma are the principal producingareas accounting for nearly 50 of national maize outputProduction has increased over the past five years from 2093000 MTin crop year 198485 to 3125000 MT in 198889 In 198788following three successive years of good harvests Tanzania movedfrom a position of importing to that of exporting maize Maizeproduction in crop year 198990 is estimated to be 22 lower thanthe previous years record harvest Despite the decline in outputproduction plus large carry-over stocks result in a satisfactorysupply position for the period June 1990 - May 1991

Food Balance Maize is the preferred dietary staple inTanzania contributing nearly a third to daily caloric intake on anational basis National per capita availability of maizeincreased significantly over the base period reflecting theimprovement in production levels Given a production level of2445000 MT and annual per capita consumption of 887 kilos(unmilled) a substantial maize surplus emerges in marketing year199091 of 102824 MT Local maize supplies more than cover thenational consumption requirement allowing for stock build-up as well as possible export

2) Paddy (Rice)

The principal paddy producing regions Tanzaniain areMorogoro Mwanza Mbeya and Shinyanga Trends in paddy productionshow a steady improvement over the base period with output risingfrom 427000 MT in crop year 198485 to 718000 MT in 198889Estimated production of 740000 MT for the current year surpassesthe previous years bumper harvest National per capitaavailability of rice averaged 157 kilos (milled)year over thebase period Per capita availability however is substantiallyhigher in urban areas where the bulk of rice is consumed Given

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

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TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

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-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

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------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

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--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

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Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 11: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

--------------------- ---

MAINLAND TANZANIA TABLE 4

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT

FOOD DEFICIT REGIONS JUNE 1990 - MAY 1991

METRIC TONS

MAIZE

EQUIVALENT

DAR ES SALAI 322000 COAST

DODOUA 109000

KIGOMA 66000

KILIMANJARO 72000

LINDI 57000

MARA 90000

TANGA 135000

NOTES

A) A NEGATIVE DEFICIT (-) IS A SURPrUS

B) DEFICITS CONVERTED INTO MAIZE EQUIVALENT TERMS INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMMODITIES MAIZE RICE WHEAT MILLETSORGHUM CASSAVA PULSES SWEET POTATOES AND BANANAS

DATA SOURCE

Food Security Unit (FSUMALD) June 1990

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

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------------------------- --------------------------

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------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

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Den Ing

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--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

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Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

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---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 12: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

7 the improvement in production rice imports have been declining inrecent years No rice was imported commercially in marketing year198990 while concessional imports declined to 14400 MT

Food an ofBalance With estimate paddy production of740000 MT a small surplus of 1374 MT (milled) emerges for ricein 199091 Food aid commitments to date include 5000 MT of Thairice donated by Japan

3) Wheat

In contrast to other cereals wheat is a fairly minor crop inTanzania with production reaching 97000 MT in crop year 198889Total wheat imports averaged 39200 MT (unmilled) per year overthe base period Commercial wheat imports have increased in recent years rising from 5500 MT in 198586 to 20500 MT (unmilled) in198990 On an annual basis food aid represents approximately 55 of total wheat imports

Food Balance Given a production level of 105600 MT theimport requirement for wheat in 199091 is 53640 MT (unmilled)Subtracting projected commercial imports of 25000 MT yields anuncovered deficit of 28640 MT (unmilled)

4) SorghumMillet

Sorghum and bullrush millet are cultivated in areas of low ormarginal rainfall most notably the regions of Dodoma SingidaTabora and Shinyanga4 Estimated production of these droughtresistant cereals fell sharply in crop year 198990 the 30decline in production over the previous year is largelyattributable to a reduction in area planted Althoughsorghummillet can be made into ugali (a thick porridge eatenwith various sauces) it is used primarily in the manufacture oflocal beer The low level of sorghummillet production results in a sizeable deficit of 285280 MT (unmilled) in 199091

5) Cassava

As a drought resistant staple iscassava cultivated bysmallholders primarily for home consumption Cassava is producedthroughout the country with the major production areas in CoastalSouth - West and North-West Tanzania Similar to Pilletsorghumcassava has shown a decline in production in crop year 198990

4MALD Annual Review of Sorghum Millet Cassava and BeansMarketing Development Bureau Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988 p 5

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

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~-

------------------------- --------------------------

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- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

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TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

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L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

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p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 13: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

--

8 Despite the 11 decline in output over the previous year the localsupply of cassava is more than adequate to cover consumptionrequirements a surplus of 321311 MT (milled) is evidentmarketing year 199091

for Cassava flour is used in the preparationof ugali and apparently consumers prefer this dish to thesorghummillet based variety Given the deficit situation forsorghummillet cassava ugali may increasingly substitute for coarse grain u ali in the Tanzanian diet in 199091

6) Beans

Bean production shows a small increase over the previous yearreaching 388000 MT in 198990 Beans are cultivated throughoutMainland Tanzania with smallholder farming being the predominantproduction mode As a relatively cheap source of calories andprotein beans are increasingly substituting for meat in theTanzanian diet Given a per capita consumption requirement of 125kilosyear a small surplus emerges in 199091 of 9700 MT

V) ZANZIBAR AND PEMBA

An assessment of the food supply and utilization situation wasalso conducted for the islands of Zanzibar and Pemba Given dataconstraints the analysis was limited to rice and wheat In recent years production of paddy in Zanzibar has averaged 16651 MT on anannual basis Estimates for crop year 198990 however show asharp decline in production over the previous year Rice percapita availability has been augmented by imports both commercialand concessional The data show that paddy production andprojected commercial rice imports in marketing year 199091 areinadequate to support status quo consumption -- average per capitaavailability over the base period A deficit of 7012 MT emergesfor rice prior to food aid The food balance situation for wheatis likewise one of deficit No wheat is produced in Zanzibar andPemba and demand is met solely by wheat flour imports Assumingcommercial imports of 13316 MT (milled) in 199091 averagecommercial imports over the past 5 years -- a food deficit emergesof 1780 MT for wheat flour

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

a-

s I

I a C

m

--I

I

wl

0 I a

0 C

a c

lt-

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- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

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Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

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p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 14: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

DOCUMENTS CONSULTED

Amani HKR and SM Kapunda Agricultural Market Reformin Tanzania The Restriction of Private Traders andImpact on Food Security in Food

its Security Policies in theSADCC Region M Rukuni G Mudimu and TS Jayne (Editors)USMSU Food Security Research Southernin Africa Project

Department of Agricultural Economics and Extension University of Zimbabwe 1989

Amani HKR SM Kipunda NHI Lipumba and BJ NduluImpact of Market Liberalisation on Household Food Securityin Tanzania in Household and National Food Security inSouthern Africa Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Conference on Food Security Research in Southern Africa October 31 -November 3 1988 University of ZimbabweMichigan StateUniversity Food ResearchSecurity Project Department ofAgricultural Economics and Extension Zimbabwe 1988

Biseko D Tanzania Food Security Issues and Challengesfor the 1990s Paper submitted at the Universty of Zimbabwe - Michigan State University Fifth Annual Conference on FoodSecurity Research in Southern Africa Harare Zimbabwe October 1989

Bryson Judy Nancy Metcalf Ann Shriver Joel StraussFesto Kavishe and Anna Petit A Review of the State of Foodand Nutrition in Tanzania and its Programming ImplicationsUSAIDTanzania April 1986

FAO Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects in Sub-Saharan Africa Special Report FAOGlobal Information andEarly Warning System on Food and Agriculture Rome ItalyAugust 1990

FAO The Nature of the Food Security Problem in Mainland Tanzania Draft Assessment and Issues Paper FAOTanzaniaDar Es Salaam August 1990

Food Security Unit Food Security Bulletin Ministry ofAgriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania Various Issues 1989 and 1990

Food Strategy Unit Food Self-Sufficiency Policy and FoodFood Needs Assessment in Tanzania Planning and MarketingDivision Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock DevelopmentDar Es Salaam Tanzania October 1987

Food Strategy Unit Mainland Tanzania Food SituationOccasional Paper Planning and Marketing Division Ministryof Agriculture and Livestock Development Dar Es SalaamTanzania May 1988

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

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-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

-66 r~ r a E

ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

J641O- 976o a-iatsy ~u Jern5 -7 a~n

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-od iecurity 7nit hinstry of Agricuiture and uivestock jeveioent

~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

-66di4j44u toma zecuriuy n Iiisr Agruiil e M etc v~ e

au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 15: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

Kevishe Festo and Wilbald S Lorri Malnutrition and HouseholdFood Security in Tanzania Tanzania Food and NutritionCentre Paper Prepared for the World BankFAO Mission onHousehold Food Security Dar Es Salaam Tanzania May 25 1990

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of MaizeRice and Wheat Ministry of Agriculture and LivestockDevelopment Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Marketing and Development Bureau Annual Review of SorghumMillet Cassava and Beans Ministry of Agriculture andLivestock Development Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1988

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Basic Data Aqriculture and Livestock Sector (198182 shy193586) (198384 - 198788) and (198485 - 198889)Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania 1987 1988 and 1989

Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MALD)Current Agricultural Survey 198687 Report Statistics andFarm Management Unit Sectoral Planning and ControlSectionAgriculture Planning and Marketing Division Dar Es Salaam Tanzania December 1987

Mwaipyana Henry Food Program Strateqy Paper Preparedfor USAIDTanzania Dar Es Salaam Tanzania March 1989

Royer Jack Gary Robbins and Joel Strauss Review of theTanzania Food Aid Program USAIDTanzania July 1987

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

degdeg

o

-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

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ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

J641O- 976o a-iatsy ~u Jern5 -7 a~n

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-od iecurity 7nit hinstry of Agricuiture and uivestock jeveioent

~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

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au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

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IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

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SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 16: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

TANZANIA FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (199091) ANNEX 1

Melanee Lowdermilk

I CONTACTS

1) USAIDTANZANIA

Mr Joseph Stepanek (Mission Director)

Mr Joel Schlesinger (Deputy Director)

Mr Joel Strauss (Rural Economy Advisor)

Mr William Baynit (Food and Agricultural )fficer)

Mr Fred Guymont (Project Design Officer)

2) FOOD SECURITY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND-LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (FSUMALD)

Mr JRL Kisanga (Agricultural OFficer Agroncmy)

3) FOOD STRATEGY UNIT MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK

DEVELOPMENT

Mr Gerald T Runyon (Agricultural Economist)

Mr Charles Tulahi (Agricultural Economist)

4) MARKETING DEVELOPMENT BUREAU MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND

LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT (MDBMALD)

Mr H Mwaipyana (Senior Agricultural Economist)

Mr NS Mbonde (Agricultural Economist)

5) TANZANIA FOOD AND NUTRITION CENTRE (TFNC)

Mr Wilbald S Lorri (Director of Food Science and Technology)

6) BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Mr Ado V Nnembuka (Assistant Government Statistician Trade and Transport Statistics)

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

a-

s I

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m

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0 I a

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

degdeg

o

-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

-66 r~ r a E

ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

J641O- 976o a-iatsy ~u Jern5 -7 a~n

- j1jm r aioorng and ary Arnng areau ampILLN

-od iecurity 7nit hinstry of Agricuiture and uivestock jeveioent

~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

-66di4j44u toma zecuriuy n Iiisr Agruiil e M etc v~ e

au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 17: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

7) WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME (WFP)

Mr Techeste Zergaber (Director of Operations)

Ms Patricia Kennedy (Assistant Program Officer)

8) EXCORT TRADING COMPANY LTD

Mr Mahesh R Patel

Main Office ACddress

PO Box 57661 Nairobi Kenya Telephone 72-18-89 or 72-26-26

II ADDITIONAL DATA SOURCES

NATIONAL MILLING CORPORATION (NMC)

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE LIVESTOCK AND NATURAL RESOURCESREVOLUTIONARY GOVERNMENT OF ZANZIBAR

III TRAINING IN FNA METHODOLOGY AND TEMPLATESOFTWARE

DATES September 10 - 11 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr Bernard M Ulaya (Marketing DevelopmentBoard MALD Computer Analyst

Mr Juvenal Kisanga (Food Security Unit MALD Agronomist)

Mr Charles R Tulahi (Food Strategy UnitMALD Agricultural Economist)

Ms Paulina Nyambele (National MillingCorporation Depot Manager)

Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania System Administrator)

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

a-

s I

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

degdeg

o

-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

-66 r~ r a E

ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

J641O- 976o a-iatsy ~u Jern5 -7 a~n

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-od iecurity 7nit hinstry of Agricuiture and uivestock jeveioent

~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

-66di4j44u toma zecuriuy n Iiisr Agruiil e M etc v~ e

au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 18: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

FNA TRAINING CONTINUED

DATES September 14 17 and 18 1990

PARTICIPANTS Mr William Baynit (USAIDTanzania Food and Agricultural Officer)

Mr Ernesto Villemin (USAIDTanzania SystemAdministrator)

Ms Mwanasera Mwinyi (USAIDTanzania)

1

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

a-

s I

I a C

m

--I

I

wl

0 I a

0 C

a c

lt-

bull

I

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

degdeg

o

-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

-66 r~ r a E

ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

J641O- 976o a-iatsy ~u Jern5 -7 a~n

- j1jm r aioorng and ary Arnng areau ampILLN

-od iecurity 7nit hinstry of Agricuiture and uivestock jeveioent

~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

-66di4j44u toma zecuriuy n Iiisr Agruiil e M etc v~ e

au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 19: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

ANNEX 2

STATISTICS

AGRICULTURAL PRODUXTICN IMPORTSEXPORTS STOCKS

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

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-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

-66 r~ r a E

ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

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~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

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- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

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p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 20: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

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-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

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~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

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~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

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au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 21: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

4 deg---

Best Avaikable Do n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

degdeg

o

-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

-66 r~ r a E

ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

J641O- 976o a-iatsy ~u Jern5 -7 a~n

- j1jm r aioorng and ary Arnng areau ampILLN

-od iecurity 7nit hinstry of Agricuiture and uivestock jeveioent

~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

-66di4j44u toma zecuriuy n Iiisr Agruiil e M etc v~ e

au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 22: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

D HDSSMK

degdeg

o

-- - - - -- - - - - -- -- --

-66 r~ r a E

ra~o

naeIce tUtzeatn

J641O- 976o a-iatsy ~u Jern5 -7 a~n

- j1jm r aioorng and ary Arnng areau ampILLN

-od iecurity 7nit hinstry of Agricuiture and uivestock jeveioent

~-

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

-66di4j44u toma zecuriuy n Iiisr Agruiil e M etc v~ e

au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 23: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

------------------------- --------------------------

4

ui3 ~j lag~

~

bull

j

A- Ira i 16 p Joa toring a zL - rL atamp 1vj g annuai hevie ot lai 3ice an one- viar iaiaam Am

-66di4j44u toma zecuriuy n Iiisr Agruiil e M etc v~ e

au mria Arij~1nzma0a ograz

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 24: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

LIND HIMS haSlissmisl

IZ 7j0oj0 S) l j 8

o o u e

SAA Sl-Ai

crop r qoior~ reauanc arly iaai nna 188 Ice 3ad ha hr isSalaam347ew

- ~~aztionai 4 p~~1 gLorprato~~

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 25: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMEmT

RICE IMPORTS (MEIRIC TONS) 198485 - 199091

T OT A L YEAR COMMERCiAL CONCESSiONAL TPORTS

198586 e0 24O0 32900

------------------ I-----------------------------------------------shy

198687 50000 27500 83500

198788 31000 21300 52300

198889 2334 1219 19613

198990 0 14399 14399

199091 0 O000 5000

5000 ITof rice oonated 3y Jaoan

DATA SOURCE

198586 - 198788 Crop Monitoring and Early Warnino Bureau KiLIMO Annual Review of Maize Rice and Wheat (IDB Dar Es Salaam 1988)

198889 - 198990 Coumercial ]moorts National Milling Corporation (NMC) September 1990 Cncessional hnoorLt ord rood Proraaet (WFP)Tanzania SeotemDer 1590

199091 USAIDTanzania Seoteaoer 1990

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 26: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

-

= =====

~ I 2o~~2o

4 -

ell 2 2o

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 27: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

- - - - ------------------------------------------------------------

- -

------------ ----------- ------------ ------------- -- - -- - --- -- --- -- --

- -

1 en OS g io v~ bull

Den Ing

o

L

--~g 1 1 shy

----- - --- -- 143 senng -40--- -- - -63-- - - +6i- -- -- --- - - --- -shy

~penln

Ciosing AS~iA~O~i In A

Opening 7 -shy

~pening jj qi bull - shy

pe ing ~O~i Opening IVanes qut

- - -- -losing - u--- - -- - - - 145 -- --

Closing evei 8aiances July 31st inciudes Strategic drain eserve t

-------AiA -- -ouu--- -------------A--- C uA( uN ----- --epeoer i

AiA SO~ii IJ3 RAIN IS ) e-mer

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 28: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

FOOD NIEDS ASSESSNENT

CONSUMPTION DEQUIRRENT

PRODUCT KILOSPIRSONTAIR

HAIl 887 Unmilled

RICK 171 Hilled 263 Unmilled

WHBAT 56 Unmilled

SORGHUHHILLET 330 Unmilled

CASSAVA 590 Hilled 1416 Unmilled

BRANS 125 Unmilled

NOTI

Consumption requirement based on 7kilos cereal equivalent (maize equivalent) per person per day Consumption requirements for commodities not included inthe 199091 assessment

-- Sveet Potatoes (192 KilosPersonYear) -- Bananas (204 KilosPersonYear)

DATA SOURCI

FOOD SECURITY UNIT HINISTRY Of AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK DEVILOPSKNT JUNK 1990

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 29: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

ross comestic bLoa proaucuon ~ ~ ~ ~ 24u - otai 0o-food uses 4Net aomestic iono producrion oJU 4)J J 2 L~Z 2i2 1360

-4~ )6239) nt cnange n stocis i57 52703 3i766 oc-------s- --shy-----a--- ae---po---- 4--u-- 36-- --- -- -- - ---- -- 32------- a-i-shy

Domes~ie ood suppy Lamp V V2~6~

lotai commerciai food imports 50 0 12

iood Aid 0-JoOIIJ

lotal iood suppiy 2676 22 2- 43 2146550 i )i -7-27id 4 2

ou i on Inu aaS1 S 52u 33 2ii

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 30: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

77 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - 7 - - - - n - - - - - - ---deg-

-ross moestuo oa proauction UUU 4iAUU 64uu 61M io - jotai non-iooa u5ssIO oo V~Qj1uu~2 ieuiboduo u Net oomestlc iooa proauction a 4Iu4zU u oi1BoO U

iet change instocks 41 ~ ~ 30Wb44 -------------- -- -- --------------------------------------------------------------------------

ioai rooo exporis

i~mtai 1000suppy 3i DodVi661i 40670

uio 3jl o J833 o~ on thousandsi u u

--------------------------------------

-------- ----------------------- -- - - shy- --- - - - - shy

7 7 j j j

r~ ~ ~~~ J 1ol 1

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 31: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

-- ------------------------------ ---------------------------------------------- -------

---- - ------ --- - --- ----

- [otai non-iood uses i4110 2 I) u i122I i6ibO -let domestic iooa proaucon 76u 54760 6I5lO 64iu

Net coange in stocis =41JD A1 iuu4Ui (6461) 6 2mj

iotai roo exports v

- Tocal comwerclat rooa pons D v Iuu Jou 264 i4

o i 5U ad

|A UU (uOh r( Ufl f a6UNU mbw igyear i U ---------------------

r r11)l U-NJUlbU Ai i j J 1 Ju oAki r I ) b gye ar 4 - ---- --- ----- -------- -------------------------------------- ---

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 32: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNODITY SOIGHMILL TANZANIA

198586 190687 198788 198889 198990 Average

Gross domestic food production 760000 1081000 922000 9530G0 804000 904000 - Total non-food uses let domestic food production

60800 699200

86480 994520

73760 848240

76240 876760

64320 739680

72320 831680

---------------------------------------------- L----------------------------------------shy - let change instocks 7168 (4179) (10809) (4563) (77) (2492)

- Total food exports 0 0 0 0 0 0

-Domestic food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172

+Total commercial food imports 0 0 0 0 0 0

+foodAid 0 0 0 0 0

Total food supply 692032 998699 859049 881323 739757 834172 Population (thousands) 21323 21920 22534 23165 23813 22551

------------------------------------------------------------- PIR CAPITA CONSUNPTION (DNKILLD kgyear 325 456 381 380 311 370

P11 CAPITA CONSURPTION (HILLID kgyear) 227 319 267 266 217 259

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 33: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

ross - ota

oesuic f0oa proacuuoa ncu- oc uses

i 6dIj o~u ~ j o ouo

----- ---- ----

Net crange

u- zoo

---- ---- ----

~n s~ocis

exports

D)

t3 i~

I

p ofl uppsnaly i)J--4 1

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 34: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------

---- --- --- ---- --- --- ------- ------ --- ---- --- --- ---------- --- ------- --- --- ---- ------ ---

-

S 56 iii 1 19 88 39 3 Average ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - shy

ross aoestic ioon proauction iIviu U o4u -Jiu 44U U 3ouziju 41UUUi - otai non-food u3es u u lou ASUU U Net domestic oa proauction 4uu uC 3uu 3416t

- et cnange instocis 1554u 136i a i4l l-

- sotaplusmnIoon exports u

o~estic food suppiy 431i 5LJ0 2Z3460if 30495 otai ioodexr tslon prsuuuuu 34i64

+ ood Aid u u u u iotai iood supply 444120 J4Jil 30425 341o64

Popuiaton [thou5and5 l i2 54 2165 2i3 22551

AiiA i) N[ pound 52-i Camp JONMUH gy~r 30 153 1 i2

AF[TA CON 6 CK iiON ( iLD i~g ear 1 i UoJ 152

mal oameclaLIooaimpots

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 35: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIA Template -General Data 18-Sep-90

GIIIEIL DATA RL IT

Food Needs Assessmemt ZANIIA1R AID PRIEBI

Consumption Year

Current Year (year of analysis) 199091 Current Year Population 700 Historical Years -1 198990 listorical Year -1 Population (000) 680

T-2 198889 T-2 Popjlatlom (000) 660 7-3 198788 7-3 Population (000) 641 T-4 198687 Y-4 Population (000) 622 T-5 198586 7-5 Population (000) 604

Commodities Included isAssessment Base ) PADDY HiAT

Caloric equivalent (calories ONBILLED kilogram) 3530 3320 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Caloric equivalent of base commodity 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530 3530

Base Commodity Equivalent Coefficient (00) 100 094 000 000 000 000 000 000 000

Billing extracLios rate (00) 65 751 0 01 0 0 0 0 0

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 36: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

i4j4

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 37: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

----------------------------------------

TANZANIA

FOOD HEEDS ASSISSUIT

ZANZIBAR AID PINBI PADDY (RICI) PRODUCTION (NITRIC TONS) 198485 -190990

198485 198586 198687 198788 198889 198990

PADDY 20118 13795 8112 2195 19246 13846

DATA SOURCE

198485 - 198889 Kinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Agricultural Statistical Bulletin Issue No 1 Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration January 1990

198990 Hinistry of Agriculture Livestock and Natural Resources Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar Department of Planning and Administration September 1990

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 38: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

7ANZANiA

FOOD sigDS A

ZANZiBAR AND

rsZK

HH RICG WOR IFiC ONSI 06485 - MK

- -- ------------------------shy

- --

3ATA S6UC

L4 - Ministry of Agrinure Le oi ana aturai Resources Agricuiturai St ssue- evoxuuonary Gover~en iZnnar Oepartent of ianning

aog~a inisry of Agricukure gtives ck ana 5aturai =esourcs Revo~utionary uovernment aacbar 5epartment of ianning and Administration poundepte ier 5

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L

Page 39: 3, 1990 Melanee Lowdermilkpdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/PNABH735.pdf · TANZANIA: FOOD NEEDS ASSESSMENT (1990/91) October 3, 1990. Melanee Lowdermilk. TANZANIA

----------------------------------- - -----------------

INUNIA

FOOD SERS AiSSSMN7

ANEBAi AND HM iiiiAUR MhR M 1o 1~i485 io-i

HAR O EGAL SNEAOA HO

I 4185 6000

5 12G~ J120

- ----- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2730 -

30022

Hinistry of Agricuiure Livestock and Saturai iesources Agricuiturai Statisticai ieinssue 5o Revolutionary Governmen Of Lanzibar Departmenz Planning and Administration January L