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2Q2019 RESULTS BRIEFING 13 August 2019
The presentation is dated the day it is given. The delivery of this presentation shall not,under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in theaffairs of the Company since such date. The third party information and statistical data inthis presentation have been obtained from sources the Company believes to be reliablebut in no way are warranted by the Company as to accuracy or completeness. Thispresentation may not contain all material information concerning the Company and theinformation set forth in this material is subject to change without notice.
These materials included herein that are not historical facts are forward-lookingstatements. Such forward looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertaintiesand are subject to change at any time. In the event such risks or uncertainties materialize,AAV’s results could be materially affected. The risks and uncertainties include, but are notlimited to, risks associated with the inherent uncertainty of airline travel, seasonalityissues, volatile jet fuel prices, world terrorism, perceived safe destination for travel,Government regulation changes and approval, including but not limited to the expectedlanding rights into new destinations.
This presentation is strictly not to be distributed without the explicit consent ofCompany’s management under any circumstances.
DISCLAIMER
1
THAILAND MARKET
2
31% 30%
North America
36% 36%
Europe
51%
55%
South Asia
48%49%
SE Asia
LCC penetration 1
52% 52%
Thailand
2018 2019
CHINA
Edged down 5% YoY and 29% contribution
ASEAN
Grew 5% YoY and 26% contribution
EUROPE
Edged down 2% YoY and 18% contribution
SOUTH ASIA
OVERALL
2H19 visitors expected to grow 7% to 20 mil
E.Asia 68%
EU 18%
S.Asia 6%
US 4%Others
4%
20million
1H19 International Tourists Achieved 19.8 million or Up 1% YoY
Grew 20% YoY and 6% contribution
EXPECTED OVER 40 MILLION VISITORS IN 2019 OR 5% YOY
1 source: CAPA
3
5.6mil(+5%)
60%3.3 mil (-1%)
40%2.3 mil (+16%)
► AirAsia bagged "World's Best Low Cost Airline" for the 11th
Consecutive Year.
► Passengers grew 5% on the back of an 8% capacity growth.
► ASK rose 12% as launching 7 new routes.
► Average fare was at Baht 1,390 per pax down 1%, resulting from the sluggish growth of tourism and Baht appreciation.
► Ancillary revenues were Baht 1,876 million up 15% or Baht 336 per pax up 9% YoY, due to dynamic pricing and value pack enhanced seat selection and inflight revenues.
► CASK was 1.57 Baht down 2% YoY. Fuel per ASK was 0.55 Bahtdown 6%, while CASK ex-fuel was 1.02 Baht unchanged YoY.
► Core Revenues were Baht 9,609 million, up 6% YoY with 10% EBITDAR Margin.
► TAA & AAV reported net loss of Baht 879 million and Baht 482 million down 55%, YoY respectively.
► Net gearing was at 2.37x with a cash balance at Baht 2.8 billion.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS 2Q2019
86%83% 12.5hrs
Load Factor On-Time Utilisation
ASK
13,777+11% YoY
RASK
1.51-8% YoY
CASK
1.55-1% YoY
CASK EX-FUEL
1.01+1% YoY
Bahtmillion Baht Baht
TOTAL REVENUES
21,6384% YoY
EBITDAR
3,880-20% YoY
TAA NET PROFIT
24-98% YoY
AAV NET PROFIT
15-98% YoY
million Bahtmillion Baht million Baht million Baht
PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS 1H2019
4
• Total revenues increased 4% due to an increase in ancillary revenues and number passengers, despite lower average fares mainly from the china market.
• Operating profits dropped YoY mainly from staff costs and fuel costs along with a rise in fuel consumption.
• ASK up by 11% YoY due to the international route expansion, despite an 8% decrease in RASK.• CASK almost unchanged from the same period last year as a result of the high utilisation, while CASK ex-fuel increased partly the
recognition of the additional long-term employee benefit liabilities of Baht 111 million.
FLY-THRU
• 2Q19 up by 76% from an increase in AirAsia Group flights, reflected a 79% growth in traffics
• Fly-Thru pax was at 7% of total pax
SEAT SELECTION
• 2Q19 up by 30% YoY• Emphasis on dynamic pricing and Value Pack,
Government and Premium Flex with travel protection
IN-FLIGHT SERVICES
• Continue promoting pre-book In-flight combo set• Enhance house-brand on F&B• Launch “Magic Journeys” merchandise.
CHECKED BAGGAGE
• 2Q19 up by 4% YoY, relating to international passenger growth
OTHERS (Cargo, Tune, Fees)
• Fee structure adjustment; processing fee• Fly-Thru lounge access
DIGITAL TO ENHANCE ANCILLARY2Q19 ACHIEVED 1,876 MB (+15%YOY) OR BT 336 PER PAX (+9%YOY)
5
19%Revenues
8%
9%
6%
48%
6
TAA has hedged 65% of Brent at an effective cost of Jet at $76/bbl and $74/bbl for 2019 and 2020.
Sensitivity: +/- 1 Baht against USD equal +/- 5 USD per barrel Jet
Fuel costs in 2Q19 grew 6% along with a 14% rise in the fuel consumption, despite a 4% decrease in fuel price.
AirAsia Group2019
20201Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Current Hedge Ratio 53% 52% 70% 85% 73%
Avg Brent Hedge (USD – jet kero)
67 64 62 61 60
Hedge Cost (USD – jet kero)
81 78 77 76 75
Effective Cost(USD – jet kero)
78 77 76 75 74
Hedge Position
Note: Information as of Aug 12, 2019* Excluding D Factor and Excise Tax
COST BREAKDOWN
35% Fuel Costs
15% Staff Costs
13% Aircraft and Aircraft Engine Rental
9% Repair and Maintenance
12% Ramp and Airport Operation
6% Selling and Administrative
10% Other costs
1H19
Thai AirAsia, 32.7%
Nok Air, 18.4%
Thai Lion Air, 15.7%
Thai Smile, 9.4%
Thai Airways, 7.0%
Thai VietJet,
6.0%
7
Note: 1 4M2019 (Source: AAV, AOT and Department of Airport)2 Capacity share as of FY2019 (source : OAG)3 As of April 30 2019
MARKET SHARE1 BY PAX FLOWN
10 City transfer routes
DOMESTIC MARKET IN 4M20191
13 Unique routes 3
23 Destinations
11Island transfer routes
65%
RegionalMarket
Regional Capacity2
8
27.24
48.38 49.55 47.49
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
MORE RATIONAL COMPETITION IN DOMESTIC MARKET
THAILAND DOMESTIC CAPACITY
DECELERATED GROWTH SPUR AVG. FARE
(source : OAG)
32%
31%
2019
2018
AirAsia Capacity
Unit : million
9
ADD FREQUENCIES: NEW ROUTE:
2Q19 DMK – Roi Et
DMK – Khon Kean
DMK – Shenzhen
CNX – Danang
DMK – Nha Trang
DMK – Can Tho
CEI – Shenzhen
CNX – Shenzhen
DMK – Ahmedabad
HKT – Phnom Penh
3Q19 DMK – Sihanoukville
4Q19 DMK – Jaipur
ROUTE NETWORKPROACTIVE STRATEGY OF EXPANDING TO INDIA AND AROUND INDOCHINA
10
62 63 62
• New A321 NEOs aircraft are fuel efficient & have lower cost per seat (>50 seats)
• A321 NEOs aircraft deliveries from 2020 onwards to break the airport’s bottleneck
62 6157
2 5
2018 2019F 2020F
A321 NEOs A320Unit: Aircraft
CUMULATIVE FLEET
FLEET PLAN
FLEET PROFILE
AVG age : 6.3 Yrs
Operating leases 41
Finance leases 15
Owned 6
Note: 1 Information as of June 30, 2019Neo: 11 Aircraft, CEO : 51 Aircraft(OP-AAM 17, OP 3rd Party 24)
11
COMPANY GROWTH STRATEGIES
DiversifyNetwork
CostReduction
Revenue Growth
U-Tapao Airport MRO center
• Interested to invest in a MRO center in Thailand
• Subject to government approval
• Invest in pilot training academy and flight simulator center
• Aim to reduce cost >100 MB
Training Academy
• Develop U-Tapao Airport to turn Thailand into Asean's aviation hub (10% stake)
Growth in ancillary to revenue each year, expected to see 25% in next 5 yrs
+1%
+10%Growth in cargo revenue each year, cooperate with TeleportDOMESTIC,
45%
CHINA, 20%
CLMV, 15%
ASEAN ex CLMV, 10%
SOUTH ASIA, 10%
+2%Growth in Fly-Thru passengerseach year
Revenues by routes in 5-year
AVERAGE FARE
Improve airfare with a solid load factor
2019-2020 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Political stability, GDP Growth at 3.7-3.9%
CAPACITY
Grow up to 11% YoYFLEET
Take new A321neo from 2019 onwards
AIRCRAFT UTILISATION
Fleet and Slot management to enhance the utilisation rate to 12.5hrs
THE CATALYST
COST DEDUCTIONCOMPETITION
More rational competition in domestic market, reflected in a 4% deduction in capacity
12
ANCILLARYImprove up to 10% YoY
driven from data team centreof excellence
TOURISM STIMULUS Waive VOA fees until 31 October 2019
Increase cost efficiency & productivity• Driving fuel usage through data analytic• Predictive maintenance to increase efficiency• A321neo aircraft are fuel efficient & have lower
cost per seat• Capacity Management
FUEL OIL
EIA forecasts Brent prices will avg. $64/b in 2H19 and $65/b in 2020 as production growth outpaces consumption growth.
• Baht strengthen ahead of other regional currencies• Fed & BOT cut policy rate by 0.25ppt
EXCHANGE & INTEREST RATE
NETWORKRationalise route network
Don Mueang International Airport, 3rd Fl., Central Office Building, No.3200,Vibhavadi Rangsit Road, Sanambin, Don Mueang, Bangkok 10210
www.aavplc.com
+662 5625745-6
Investor Feedback
TAA : KEY STATISTICS
2Q2019 2Q2018 Change 1H2019 1H2018 Change
Passenger carried (Million seats) 5.58 5.31 +5% 11.44 10.95 +4%
International passenger 2.25 1.95 +16% 4.67 4.06 +15%
Domestic passenger 3.33 3.36 -1% 6.77 6.89 -2%
Capacity (Million seats) 6.75 6.28 +8% 13.26 12.50 +6%
Load factor 83% 85% -2 ppt 86% 88% -2 ppt
RPK (Million) 5,643 5,194 +9% 11,794 10,812 +9%
ASK (Million) 6,903 6,147 +12% 13,777 12,391 +11%
No. of stages flown 37,364 34,771 +7% 73,425 69,277 +6%
Average stage length (km) 1,023 978 +5% 1,039 991 +5%
Fleet size (Aircraft) 62 59 +3 62 59 +3
Aircraft utilisation (Hours/day) 12.5 11.9 +0.6 12.5 12.2 +0.3
On time performance 86% 87% -1ppt 85% 84% +1ppt
Average fare (Baht) 1,390 1,402 -1% 1,474 1,537 -4%
RASK (Baht) 1.39 1.47 -5% 1.51 1.64 -8%
CASK (Baht) 1.57 1.59 -2% 1.55 1.56 -1%
CASK ex-fuel (Baht) 1.02 1.02 0% 1.01 1.00 +1%
14
TAA STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Unit: Baht million 2Q2019 2Q2018 Change 1H2019 1H2018 Change
Revenue from sales and services 9,609 9,051 +6% 20,764 20,305 +2%
Gain on exchange rate 212 - N.A. 351 28 >+100%
Other income 194 252 -23% 522 563 -7%
Total revenues 10,015 9,303 +8% 21,637 20,896 +4%
Cost of sales and services (9,987) (9,000) +11% (19,606) (17,759) +10%
Selling and administrative expenses (818) (794) +3% (1,693) (1,573) +8%
Loss on exchange - (49) N.A. - - N.A.
Total expenses (10,805) (9,843) +10% (21,299) (19,332) +10%
EBIT (790) (540) -46% 338 1,564 -78%
Finance costs (180) (177) +1% (371) (348) +7%
Profit (loss) before income tax (970) (718) -35% (33) 1,216 >-100%
Income tax 91 150 -39% 57 51 +12%
Net Profit (loss) (879) (568) -55% 24 1,267 -98%
15
TAA STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
Unit: Baht million 2Q2019 FY2018 Change
Assets
Cash and Cash equivalents 2,843 4,037 -30%
Other current assets 2,862 2,238 +28%
Aircraft, leasehold improvements and equipment, net 25,450 26,129 -3%
Other non-current assets 6,019 5,514 +9%
Total assets 37,174 37,918 -2%
Liabilities
Deferred revenues 4,164 4,987 -17%
Borrowings from financial institutions 4,180 3,488 +20%
Debenture 4,096 4,095 0%
Finance lease liabilities 12,252 13,219 -7%
Other liabilities 4,814 4,351 +11%
Total liabilities 29,506 30,140 -2%
Share capital
Ordinary Share Capital 436 436 0%
Share Premium 2,629 2,629 0%
Retained earnings - legal reserve 43 43 0%
Retained earnings - unappropriate 4,560 4,670 -2%
Total share capital 7,668 7,778 -1%
Total liabilities and share capital 37,174 37,918 -2% 16
2Q2019 2Q2018 Change 1H2019 1H2018 Change
Earnings (loss) per Share (THB) -20.18 -13.03 -55% 0.55 29.09 -98%
Return on Total Assets -3.0% 7.0% -3.0% 7.0%
Return on Shareholders' Equity -12.7% 25.2% -12.7% 25.2%
EBITDAR Margin 10% 13% -3 ppt 18% 24% -6 ppt
EBIT Margin -8% -6% -2 ppt 2% 8% -6 ppt
Net Income Margin -9% -6% -3 ppt 0.1% 6% -6 ppt
Debt1 : Equity ratio (Times) 2.75 2.00 2.75 2.00
Net Debt2 : Equity ratio (Times) 2.37 1.37 2.37 1.37
Net Liabilities3 : Equity ratio (Times) 3.60 2.18 3.60 2.18
TAA : FINANCIAL SUMMARY
Note: 1 Debt = Borrowings from financial institutions + Finance lease liabilities + Debenture
2 Net Debt = (Borrowings from financial institutions + Finance lease liabilities + Debenture) - Cash and Cash Equivalents – Short-term Investments
3 Net Liabilities = Total liabilities – Cash and Cash Equivalents – Short-term Investments
Percentage Point (PPT)
17
AAV STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Unit: Baht millionConsolidated
ChangeConsolidated
Change2Q2019 2Q2018 1H2019 1H2018
Revenue from sales and services 9,609 9,051 +6% 20,764 20,305 +2%
Gain on exchange rate 212 - N.A. 351 28 >+100%
Other income 194 252 -23% 523 563 -7%
Total revenues 10,015 9,303 +8% 21,638 20,896 +4%
Cost of sales and services (9,987) (9,000) +11% (19,607) (17,759) +10%
Selling and administrative expenses (817) (787) +3% (1,691) (1,572) +8%
Loss on exchange - (49) N.A. - - N.A.
Total expenses (10,804) (9,835) +10% (21,298) (19,331) +10%
EBIT (789) (533) -48% 340 1,565 -78%
Finance costs (180) (177) +1% (372) (348) +7%
Profit (loss) before income tax (969) (710) -36% (32) 1,217 >-100%
Income tax 91 149 -30% 57 51 +11%
Profit (loss) attributable to (878) (561) -56% 25 1,268 -98%
Equity holders of the company (482) (306) -58% 14 698 -98%
Non-controlling interests of the subsidiary (396) (255) -55% 11 570 -98%
Earnings (loss) per share (THB) (0.0995) (0.0631) -56% 0.0030 0.1439 -98%
18
Unit: Baht millionConsolidated
Change2Q2019 FY2018
AssetsCash and Cash equivalents 2,930 4,123 -29%
Other current assets 2,867 2,243 +28%Aircraft, leasehold improvements and equipment, net 25,506 26,185 -3%
Intangible assets 1) 14,879 14,883 0%Goodwill 2) 8,825 8,825 0%Other non-current assets 5,990 5,488 +9%
Total assets 60,997 61,747 -1%Liabilities
Deferred revenues 4,164 4,987 -17%
Accrued expenses 2,558 2,562 +8%
Finance lease liabilities 12,252 13,219 -7%Borrowings from financial institutions 4,180 3,488 +20%Debenture 4,096 4,095 0%Other liabilities 5,232 4,773 +5%
Total liabilities 32,482 33,124 -2%
Share capitalOrdinary Share Capital 485 485 0%
Share Premium 2,600 2,600 0%Retained Earnings – Legal reserve 48 48 0%Retained Earnings – Unappropriated 17,263 17,322 -0%Non-controlling interests 8,118 8,167 -1%
Total share capital 28,515 28,623 -0%
Total liabilities and share capital 60,997 61,747 -1%
AAV STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
19
GLOSSARY
Load Factor = Represents the number of passengers carried as a proportion to capacity, which is the number of seats available for passengers.
Available Seat Kilometres (ASK) = which is the total number of seats available on all flights multiplied by the number of kilometres these seats were flown
Revenue Passenger Kilometres (RPK) = Revenue passenger kilometres, which is the number of paying passengers carried on all flights multiplied by the number of kilometres those seats were flown
Average Fare = Calculated as Thai AirAsia' s total passenger revenues and fuel surcharge divided by total number of passengers carried
Revenue per ASK (RASK) = Calculated as Thai AirAsia's revenues divided by ASK
Cost per ASK (CASK) = Calculated as the sum of Thai AirAsia's operating costs, selling expenses and administrative expenses (but excluding finance costs) divided by ASK
Cost per ASK (CASK ex-fuel) = Calculated as the sum of Thai AirAsia's operating costs, selling expenses and administrative expenses (but excluding finance costs) less fuel costs divided by ASK
Average Stage Length (kilometres) = Represents the average number of kilometresflown per flight
Aircraft Utilisation = Represents the average block hours per day per aircraft during the relevant period. Block hours is calculated by measuring the duration between the time of departure of an aircraft and the time of arrival at its destination.
On Time Performance (%) = A flight is deemed "on time" if the actual departure time is no more than 15 minutes of the scheduled departure time.
20