Upload
alexander7713
View
215
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
1/47
European Quarterly Update
Second Quarter 2011
GMO offers a range of strategies orientated towardsinstitutional investors investing in equities and fixed income inthe developed international and emerging markets.
ContentsEuropean Market Review ............................................................. 4
Asset Allocation ............................................................................. 4
Performance Review and Outlook ............................................. 6
Strategy Performance Details..................................................... 16
Table of Benchmarks .................................................................. 45
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
2/47
2 GMO European Quarterly Update
2011 Performance of GMO Strategies and Benchmarks
Performance data quoted represents past performance and is not predictive of future performance. Returns are shown after the deduction ofmanagement fees, transaction costs and other expenses, but before custody charges, withholding taxes, and other indirect expenses. The returns assumethe reinvestment of dividends and other income. A GIPS compliant presentation is available at www.gmo.com.
Copyright 2011 by GMO. All rights reserved. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or transmitted, in whole or in portion, by anymeans, without written permission from GMO.
* Returns for one of the accounts in the composite are based on estimated market values for the period from and including October 2008 through February 2009.** Returns for the composite are based on estimated market values for the period from and including October 2008 through February 2009.
Total Return Net of Fees Aver age Annual Total Return
GMO Equity Inception 2Q YTD YTD Value One Five Ten SinceStrategies/Benchmarks Date Currency 2011 2011 Added Year Year Year Inception
Global Equity 7/31/96 USD 1.89 6.66 1.37 30.91 1.57 5.68 7.31
MSCI World 0.47 5.29 30.51 2.28 3.99 5.65
World ex-UK Equity 12/31/88 GBP 1.01 3.41 0.82 21.43 5.49 4.64 9.25FTSE World ex-UK 0.30 2.59 22.14 6.85 3.77 7.34
International Intrinsic Value 3/31/87 USD 2.68 6.94 1.37 31.34 0.72 8.13 8.57
MSCI EAFE Value 0.98 5.58 29.35 0.36 5.96 7.36
MSCI EAFE 1.56 4.98 30.36 1.48 5.66 5.41
International Core Equity 1/31/02 USD 3.51 7.31 2.33 34.25 1.74 n/a 9.33
MSCI EAFE 1.56 4.98 30.36 1.48 n/a 7.59
Japan Equity 12/31/05 USD 3.41 1.85 5.83 21.15 -1.14 n/a -0.88
MSCI Japan IMI++ 0.48 -3.97 13.43 -3.24 n/a -2.62
Emerging Markets 12/31/93 USD -1.48 3.15 2.46 33.25 9.57 17.72 9.99
S&P/IFCI Composite -0.98 0.70 28.61 12.06 17.53 7.30
MSCI Emerging Markets -1.15 0.88 27.80 11.42 16.20 6.74
UK Equity Core 11/30/04 GBP 2.70 3.80 0.84 25.64 3.98 n/a 8.43FTSE All-Share 1.91 2.96 25.63 4.49 n/a 8.00
UK Equity Value 11/30/88 GBP 3.53 4.52 1.56 27.13 2.87 5.54 10.08
FTSE All-Share 1.91 2.96 25.63 4.49 4.76 9.36
U.S. Core 9/30/85 USD 2.85 7.40 1.37 29.74 2.24 2.05 10.93
S&P 500 0.10 6.02 30.69 2.94 2.72 10.57
Intrinsic Value 5/31/99 USD 1.86 10.35 4.43 36.15 0.97 2.90 3.81
Russell 1000 Value -0.50 5.92 28.94 1.15 3.99 3.57
Quality 2/29/04 USD 3.42 7.02 0.99 26.77 4.15 n/a 3.22
S&P 500 0.10 6.02 30.69 2.94 n/a 4.05
GMO Fixed Income Inception 2Q YTD YTD Value One Five Ten Since
Strategies/Benchmarks Date Currency 2011 2011 Added Year Year Year InceptionGlobal Bond* 12/31/95 USD 3.15 4.86 0.97 14.16 5.63 7.60 6.29
J.P. Morgan Global Gov't. Bond 3.33 3.89 10.15 7.62 8.01 5.96
Emerging Country Debt* 4/30/94 USD 3.03 5.53 0.44 19.65 9.26 14.03 16.60
J.P. Morgan EMBI Global + 4.03 5.09 11.73 9.59 10.21 11.92
Emerging Country Local Debt Invst.** 2/29/08 USD 3.35 6.09 -0.86 20.72 n/a n/a 5.62
J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Diversified 4.14 6.94 19.59 n/a n/a 9.42
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
3/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 3
2011 Performance of GMO Strategies and Benchmarks
Performance data quoted represents past performance and is not predictive of future performance. Returns are shown after the deduction ofmanagement fees, transaction costs and other expenses, but before custody charges, withholding taxes, and other indirect expenses. The returns assumethe reinvestment of dividends and other income. A GIPS compliant presentation is available at www.gmo.com.
Total Return Net of Fees Aver age Annual Total Retur n
GMO Asset Allocation Inception 2Q YTD YTD Value One Five Ten SinceStrategies/Benchmarks Date Currency 2011 2011 Added Year Year Year Inception
Global Balanced Asset Allocation 6/30/88 USD 2.22 5.00 0.96 19.80 5.58 8.07 10.14
Blended Benchmark 0.98 4.04 20.59 4.58 4.90 8.32
Real Return Global Balanced Asset Alloc. 6/30/04 USD 2.33 4.48 0.72 17.00 5.21 n/a 6.89Blended Benchmark 0.74 3.76 18.91 3.53 n/a 4.98
Global Allocation Absolute Return 7/31/01 USD 1.59 3.03 -1.32 10.33 5.90 n/a 10.20
CPI Plus 5% 1.59 4.35 8.56 7.18 n/a 7.50
Global All Country Equity Allocation 12/31/93 USD 2.86 6.51 1.70 31.01 4.60 8.34 9.28
Blended Benchmark 0.24 4.81 30.47 3.08 4.68 7.24
Global Developed Equity Allocation 3/31/87 USD 3.21 6.84 1.55 30.79 3.14 7.62 9.41
Blended Benchmark 0.47 5.29 30.52 2.28 3.92 7.13
U.S. Equity Allocation 2/28/89 USD 3.16 7.36 1.13 28.65 2.59 3.28 10.18
Blended Benchmark 0.02 6.22 31.81 3.23 3.11 9.55
GMO Absolute Return Inception 2Q YTD YTD Value One Five Ten Since
Strategies/Benchmarks Date Currency 2011 2011 Added Year Year Year InceptionAggr essive Long/Short 9/30/00 USD -0.71 1.80 1.74 7.07 1.30 2.73 5.85
Citigroup 3-Mo. T-Bill 0.02 0.06 0.14 1.87 2.01 2.25
Tactical Opportunities 9/30/04 USD 8.15 1.86 1.80 -12.62 -5.27 n/a -8.13
Citigroup 3-Mo. T-Bill 0.02 0.06 0.14 1.87 n/a 2.22
Emerging Country Debt Long/Short 3/31/96 USD 0.53 0.83 0.63 8.38 5.45 9.02 11.31
J.P. Morgan U.S. 3 Month Cash 0.10 0.20 0.49 2.93 2.71 3.84
Currency Hedge 7/31/03 USD 1.78 2.81 2.62 8.06 -1.07 n/a 0.72
J.P. Morgan U.S. 3 Month Cash 0.10 0.20 0.49 2.93 n/a 2.83
Fixed Income Hedge 8/31/05 USD -0.32 0.95 0.75 5.54 -6.60 n/a -4.73
J.P. Morgan U.S. 3 Month Cash 0.10 0.20 0.49 2.93 n/a 3.15
Emerging Currency Hedge 3/31/06 USD 1.23 5.84 5.64 16.01 6.11 n/a 5.17
J.P. Morgan U.S. 3 Month Cash 0.10 0.20 0.49 2.93 n/a 3.03
Mean Reversion 2/28/02 USD 0.08 1.21 1.15 -3.25 3.23 n/a 8.35
Citigroup 3-Mo. T-Bill 0.02 0.06 0.14 1.87 n/a 1.95
Systematic Global Macro 3/31/02 USD 3.72 -0.27 -0.33 1.21 7.64 n/a 7.81
Citigroup 3-Mo. T-Bill 0.02 0.06 0.14 1.87 n/a 1.96
Completion 8/31/07 USD -2.04 1.74 1.68 -4.39 n/a n/a 12.43
Citigroup 3-Mo. T-Bill 0.02 0.06 0.14 n/a n/a 0.92
Multi-Strategy 10/31/02 USD 1.41 1.44 1.38 0.32 2.44 n/a 2.92
Citigroup 3-Mo. T-Bill 0.02 0.06 0.14 1.87 n/a 1.97
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
4/47
4 GMO European Quarterly Update
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
European Market Review
Global equity markets were buffeted throughout the
quarter by a mixture of contradictory news. Steady
growth in emerging markets and positive economic data
from the U.S., Germany and France were helpful. In
contrast, markets were depressed on news of the
continuing problems in the Eurozone, rising inflationary
pressures and an apparent slowdown in Chinas
economy. Overall global equities ended the quarter
slightly negative with the MSCI World Index showing a
decline of 1.7% in euro terms.
The best performing equity regions were in Europe
with the European index returning 0.3%. The advance in
Europe took place despite the debt crisis. Initially,
attention was focused on Portugal but events quickly
turned to Greece as the threat of default heightened, not
helped by increasing levels of political and social turmoil.
However, equity investors seemed to take comfort in the
Greek parliament passing a crucial package of austerity
measures.
The Pacific ex-Japan and emerging equity markets
vied to be the worst performing region, achieving
respective returns of -2.4% and -3.1%. The U.S. equity
market also fell with a -2.0% return in euro terms.
Style factors had only minor impact on overall market
performance this quarter. There was little appreciable
difference in returns between large/medium and small
capitalisation stocks in equity markets, although large
growth companies were slightly ahead of traditional
value.
The Eurozone sovereign debt crisis saw investors
seek out the safe havens of U.S. and German government
debt. Global bonds and emerging market debt rose
adding 1.1% and 1.8% respectively during the quarter,
both in euro terms. EMU government bonds also gained
slightly with the JPM EMU Government All Maturities
Index returning 0.7%. The U.S. Dollar as well as the
British Pound lost about 2% and the Japanese Yen was
flat with +0.4% against the Euro.
Mounting concern about the strength of the global
recovery and an unexpected announcement in June by
the International Energy Agency that it would release 60
million barrels from its strategic oil reserves as a
replacement for Libyan supply losses led to a fall of about
10% in the oil price during the quarter.
Asset Allocation
Review
Throughout the first four months of 2011, investors
around the globe continued to climb a wall of worry, with
their speculative zeal trumping any and all concerns
surrounding a nasty brew of poor employment numbers,
worsening housing markets, rising commodity prices, and
dysfunctional European parliaments. And, lets not
forget the rolling series of civil wars in the Middle East
GMO Allocation
Quality
23.1%Alpha Only
17.0%
Cash &
Equivalents
2.1%
Special
Situations
3.7%
Asset
Allocation Bond
2.7%
Emerging
Country Debt
0.5%
Strategic
Fixed Income
10.7%
Domestic
Bond
2.5%
Emerging
Markets
12.1%
Flexible
Equities
3.3%
International
Core Equity
13.3%
International
Growth
4.6%
International
Intrinsic Value
4.6%
Global Balanced Asset Allocation: One ExampleRecommendations as of June 30, 2011
Benchmark: 65% MSCI ACWI Index /35% Barclays Capital Aggregate
Note: Asset Allocation ranges are 20% for U.S. andinternational equities and -10%/+15% for fixed income.
Benchmark
Fixed
Income
35.0%
Emerging
Equities
8.8%
International
Equities
28.4%
U.S.
Equities
27.8%
GMO Active
Weighting Decisions
U.S.
Equities
-4.7%
Int'l.
Equities
-2.6%
Emerging
Equities
+3.3%
Fixed
Income
+4.2%
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
5/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 5
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
and North Africa and the nuclear crisis in Japan. In May,
however, it was as if having reached the top of the wall
investors finally took a more serious survey of the
landscape and concluded all is not well. Perhaps it was
the looming end of QE2 and all of the unknowns
associated with it, or the realization that the Greek debt
crisis was merely the tip of a liquidity and sovereign debt
crisis iceberg that could destabilize European banks (and
the entire money market system here in the U.S.).
Whatever the tipping point, a healthy dose of fear, not
panic, finally set in. Global equity markets trimmed
about 210 basis points during May and almost another
160 basis points in June. The rising yields in the bond
market gave way to a classic flight to safety, and Treasury
yields fell soundly to around 3.0% in the latter part of the
quarter. Our view is that this correction, while painful, is
likely not over, with equity markets around the planet
trading well above their fair value. As always, the path,
speed, and timing of the movement to fair value is
unknowable, but whether its a pin-prick event or a slow
grind, we believe a hunker down mentality is prudent
when it comes to portfolio positioning.
Strategies
There is, of course, no law that forbids expensiveasset classes from becoming more expensive. There are
no chiseled tablets forbidding historically low bond yields
from going lower. And some bold and courageous
investors may want to stay for additional courses. Wall
Street is more than willing to provide the investment
rationale for such a decision, and CNBC can no doubt
line up a healthy roster of yea-sayers to serve up the next
dish. But we have other plans. We remain defensive.
We remain cautious. We are cognizant that, while
valuations are not nearly as stretched as we saw in thesummer of 2007, they dance dangerously close. That
while the high yield market one of the many canaries in
the coal mine is signaling all sorts of speculative froth
(from historically low spreads and all manner of dodgy
conditions), it is not as bad as it was only four years ago.
Faint praise indeed. And lets not get started again on
Treasuries and their negative yields. No, there are still
plenty of investors willing to stay at the speculative feast,
but we have pushed ourselves away from the table.
Our broad strategies are:
Emphasize Quality stocks. While one month doth
not a trend make, Mays substantial market pull-back
was illustrative of what we expect to be a string of
market movements over the coming year. The market
witnessed a wake-up call, if you will, to the worrisome
sets of crises globally. The laundry list of worries
the looming end of QE2 most notably has been
known for some time, yet the urgency of them
somehow spooked the markets starting in May. With
that, we witnessed a sizable rotation into Quality. Our
Quality Strategy outperformed the S&P 500 by over
330 basis points, as the appeal of highly profitable and
stable, unlevered business models suddenly trumped
animal spirits. We dont believe this rotation is
anywhere near complete. Nor do we believe that the
list of worries is by any means checked off. Far
from it. Therefore, we happily maintain our Quality
bias.
Maintain exposure to emerging markets, but with
some precise hedging. We remain overweight
emerging markets within global equity mandates as
they represent a sub-asset class priced to deliver very
decent returns. However, the China real estate
bubble remains on our watch list, and, where
appropriate, we have taken pains to surgically hedge
specific areas of the global market that are highly tied
to continued growth in Chinese real estate.
Specifically, we have hedged direct exposure
Chinese real estate developers and banks but wehave crafted a custom basket of secondary and tertiary
plays on the China bubble days coming to an end (e.g.,
Australian copper miners and luxury goods
manufacturers). Either way, our position remains
constructive on the broad universe of emerging
equities, but with some serious caveats regarding
China.
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
6/47
6 GMO European Quarterly Update
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
Bonds back into very, very expensive territory.
The rally in bonds this quarter can be called many
things: a flight to safety, a deflation play, etc. We call
it the way we see it: already expensive bonds just
became more expensive. Our sober forecast for
bonds is global in nature, just from a pure valuation
perspective. Throw in a good dose of sovereign credit
worries and the end of QE2, and you have a whole
basket of excuses to, where possible, avoid bonds.
Maintain positions in low duration fixed income
and cash/cash plus in balanced portfolios.
Truth be told, we dont necessarily like holding these
low-duration cash instruments given their low yields.
Their appeal, then, is not so much that theyre going
to make us a ton of money, but rather that they can
act as dry powder that we can deploy when
expensive assets elsewhere (read: stocks and
bonds) get closer to fair value. Yes, these holding
are a short-term drag on performance, but the
option they provide to put cash to work at better
pricing gives us some degree of comfort.
Invest in conservative absolute return strategies,
where available. Ideally, absolute return strategies
are often a pure play on manager skill. Therefore, the
return streams should have little correlation to the
movements of the markets. Such investment
instruments can provide equity-like returns, while
helping to diversify other parts of ones portfolio.
Performance Review and Outlook
U.S. Equities
Market Review
In the second quarter of 2011, U.S. investors softenedtheir affinity for the riskiest segments of the market, as
developments domestic and abroad called into question
the sustainability of U.S. stocks year-long run. European
sovereign debt woes, and their potential to destabilize a
global economic recovery, continued to weigh on global
markets during the period as troubles in Greece were
viewed as a potential canary in the proverbial coal mine
for indebted nations around the globe. While U.S. stocks
had in recent quarters resisted falling prey to European
gloom, the second quarter combination of continued
European troubles with a number of stumbling points in
the U.S. economic recovery held stocks in check. The
S&P 500 started off the quarter with a strong April
return, but spent the remaining two months giving back
those gains to finish with a modest +0.1% quarterly
return.
Where European troubles highlighted a more
generalized risk for U.S. investors that European
sovereign debt problems could spill over into U.S.
markets domestic economic data during the quarter
highlighted a more specific risk for U.S. investors: that a
stalled U.S. economic recovery would put a limit on stock
returns. During the quarter, U.S. investors fretted over a
variety of economic reports showing slowing or stalling
in the pace of the economic recovery. From jobs data to
manufacturing reports, a slew of widely reviewed
economic indicators conspired to tell a not so fast
cautionary tale to U.S. investors bidding up stocks in
anticipation of a return to pre-recession economic
conditions. Hints of a less-than-stellar economic
rebound were particularly troubling for stocks and areas
of the market perceived most levered to general
economic conditions. Indeed, the S&P 500s modest
+0.1% quarterly return belied a significant underlying
split in returns to risk-taking within equities. Of the 10
GICS economic sectors within the S&P 500, only five
posted positive absolute returns during the quarter, with
U.S. Equity MarketsSecond Quarter 2011 Performance
0.1%
-0.5%
0.8%
-1.5%
0.4%
3.6%
0.0%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Russell 2500S&P
500
Dow
Jones
U.S. TSMGrowth
MSCI
U.S.
REITValueGrowth
Russell 1000
Value
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
7/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 7
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
U.S. EquitiesRelative Performance of Selected Groups versus the S&P 500
Year-to-Date June 30, 2011
Size
InvestmentDisciplin
es
Se
ctors
Financials
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6
Consumer Discretionary
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6/11
Information Technology
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6/11
Russell 2000
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6
Energy
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6/
Largest 100
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6/11
Cheap on Price/Intrinsic Value
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6/11
High Price Momentum
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12/10 2/11 4/11 6
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
8/47
8 GMO European Quarterly Update
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
the best performance coming from more defensive areas
of the market. Health Care led sector winners, rising
7.8%. Utilities advanced 6.1%, and Consumer Staples
gained 5.2%. On the negative side, more economically-
exposed sectors posted negative returns during the
period, with Financials (-6.0%) and Energy (-4.7%)
leading the decliners. The split in returns to risky areas of
the market could also be seen in the returns to a number
of investment factors during the period. High quality and
low volatility stocks posted strong relative returns, while
their low quality and high volatility counterparts lagged
the market by similar margins. Momentum metrics also
underperformed during the quarter, hurt by their
exposure to the economically exposed areas of the
market that had performed well recently. Bottom-up
valuation metrics delivered mixed relative returns, with
those incorporating company quality in their valuation
faring the best. Investors distaste for risk was also
exhibited in index returns for the quarter, with large cap
stocks outperforming mid and small caps.
Outlook
In the long run, investment returns have three
sources: dividends, fundamental growth, and changes in
price multiple. There are innumerable factors thatinfluence a companys ability to pay dividends and grow,
and the multiple the market is willing to pay for it. But at
the heart of a value investment philosophy is an
understanding of what is knowable, what is unknowable,
the risks to both the known and unknown, and where we
derive an edge. Our focus remains on understanding the
knowable, acknowledging the unknown, weighing the
associated risks, and finding investments trading for less
than theyre worth.
International Equities
Market Review
The sovereign debt crisis in Europe was the dominant
news story affecting developed international equity
markets. The received wisdom (reflected in bond and
CDS prices, if not on the balance sheets of banks) is that
Greece will eventually default or restructure. But there is
also a widespread view that, to repeat what has become a
very tired metaphor, the can will be kicked down the road
for several years. And if this happens with the European
taxpayer ultimately bearing much of the burden, the crisis
need not be disastrous for equity markets broadly. The
can kicking at the end of the quarter allowed the MSCI
Europe index to end the period above water, returning
+2.4% for the period in U.S. dollar terms. The broader
MSCI EAFE index of developed international stocks
returned +1.6%.
In Europe (and elsewhere) the more defensive
Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Staples sectors, as well as
automotive and retail stocks, drove the outperformance.
Large pharma stocks like Novartis, Roche, Sanofi, and
GlaxoSmithKline enjoyed gains ranging from 10% to
20%. Although Financials and many riskier industries
underperformed, there appeared to be a fairly strong
appetite for equities, perhaps stimulated by relatively
derisory bond yields.
Greece was the worst performing developed market
for the quarter, with the MSCI Greece index falling 18%
in local terms. It was not a complete wipeout for the
PIIGS though, as Ireland was at the other extreme,
gaining 5.3%. Germany was the best performing major
market, up 4.0% in local terms. While Italy had shown
some signs of graduating from the PIIGS acronym
(shortened by many commentators to PIGS), that
owner of the second I suffered a whiff of contagion,
International Equity MarketsSecond Quarter 2011 Performance
-2.4%-2.9%
0.2%
-0.8%
0.2%
2.4%
1.6%
-1.0%
-0.2%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
In Local Terms
In Dollars
EAFE Europe
S&P/IFC
Compos
(Emergin
MSCI
Pacific
ex-Japan
Japan
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
9/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 9
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
with a downgrade of its credit ranking, political concerns,
and capital raising by a number of its banks, and the
MSCI Italy index fell 4.7% in euro terms.
Japan is showing some signs of recovery from the
tsunami. The MSCI Japan index was up a meager 0.2%
for the quarter in dollar terms. Consumer-oriented
stocks and financials held up relatively well, but
commodity dependent companies and utilities with
nuclear power exposure suffered.
While currency moves were not dramatic, a falling
dollar contributed to positive returns and the
outperformance of international equities. The MSCI
EAFE index actually fell 0.8% when measured in local
currencies. The Swiss franc and New Zealand dollar
were the stronger performers, up over 8% against the
U.S. dollar. The yen and euro both gained about 2.5%,
while British sterling was virtually flat.
Oil prices declined in May and June, falling about
10% for the quarter, depending on the benchmark.
Energy stocks were the worst performing global sector,
though the price falls were muted. Broader commodity
indices suffered their first quarterly declines since the end
of the financial crisis, and the Materials sector also lagged.
Large miners like BHP and Anglo American suffered
modest declines, and Glencores IPO in May came off
with only muted success.
Higher quality stocks outperformed during much of
the quarter. On GMOs measure blending high and
stable profitability with low leverage, the highest quartile
of the EAFE markets outperformed by nearly 4%.
Understandably, the gap was widest in Europe, but was
observable in Japan as well. Defensive industries (onGMOs definition) outperformed by a similar margin.
Lower price volatility stocks also did well and, indeed, the
low earnings volatility component of GMOs quality
measure was more significant than high profitability or
leverage (though all three were ahead).
Growth outperformed Value for the quarter, as
defined either by MSCI indices or price/book (though
not as defined by analyst consensus forecasts). MSCI
EAFE Growth gained 2.1%, while MSCI EAFE Value
was up 1.0%. Smaller cap stocks are generally more
cyclical, and the MSCI EAFE Small Cap index rose a
more modest 0.8%
Outlook
The more the pendulum swings from greed toward
fear, the more opportunities there will be for an investor
in equity markets. While it would be nice to be able to
say things have gone so far as to provide mouthwatering
valuations at little downside risk, things are not generally
so simple. The good news is that the story of the lack ofgrowth in much of the developed world has become so
widespread that virtually none is priced in for many
companies that have stellar track records, and so the odds
seem in the investors favor. Some of the more
distressed parts of the world have fallen severely, and
may rebound sharply, but investing there requires
something of a gambling mentality. And stocks with
clear exposure to growth, most likely from China, tend to
be at least fully priced. Still, volatility and fear are friends
of prudent investors, so, while the markets in aggregatemay not present the valuations we would hope for, there
are opportunities within them that excite us.
Emerging Market Equities
Market Review
Emerging markets suffered minor losses over the
second quarter, with a strong April getting pulled down
by weak May and June returns. Investors spent the
quarter chewing over the myriad developments in the
sovereign debt crisis and the pace of monetary tightening
in several key markets. The last days of the quarter saw
sentiment turn bullish as concern of a Greek default
eased after the government secured enough votes to push
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
10/47
10 GMO European Quarterly Update
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
ahead with budget cuts. The quarter saw country
performances as diverse as an 8.5% jump in Chile and a
15.2% plunge in Peru. Among sectors, the spread was
tighter, with Consumer Discretionary leaping 8.3% and
Energy dropping 7.4%.
Russian Energy underperformed the asset class as the
outlook for commodities grew less rosy and concern
deepened that tighter monetary policy in Russia would
curb economic growth. The central bank unexpectedly
raised interest rates in April to check inflation. The
central bank had in the past relied on currency gains and
higher reserve requirements as its tools in fighting
inflation rather than hiking rates. The concerns over the
ultimate resolution to Greeces debt crisis, inflation
fighting efforts in countries such as China and India, and
speculation that U.S. demand may be slowing have all led
to a fall in energy prices.
Investors in Hungary were cheered by signs of a
strengthening global economic recovery. Closer to
home, they found comfort in the ongoing talks between
the government and commercial banks on ending a
moratorium on evictions and stimulating mortgage
lending. The market was also influenced by rumors that
the government would lower a special tax on banks as
part of an agreement with lenders to help distressed
borrowers after the moratorium on evictions runs out.
The government had relied on temporary industry taxes
and the effective nationalization of private pension
portfolios to reach budget targets in the past rather than
imposing austerity measures directly on the populace.
A happy combination of rapid growth, slowing
inflation, and low interest rates is boosting domestic
spending in Indonesia. The central bank forecasts the
economy to grow as much as 6.5% this year, the fastest
pace since 2004. However, inflation decelerated, with
consumer prices rising 6.0% in May from a year earlier.
This has helped convince the central bank to let the
benchmark interest rate stay at a near record low of
6.75%.
Perus stocks dropped as the market awaited President
-elect Humalas economic policies. Investors fear that he
will expand the role of the state and call for higher
mining taxes. Humala said that he is seeking economic
growth with social inclusion. Some of the gloom was
lifted by the central bank unexpectedly keeping its
benchmark rate unchanged for the first time in six
months.
Outlook
This outlook takes a look at some recent significant
political developments in emerging markets. Changes in
leadership in these markets often have a greater impact
on the macroeconomic policies of a country than they do
in developed markets.
Peru Elections
President-elect Humala has put investors on edge by
some of his campaign pledges to revise mining contracts
and revisit free-trade agreements with the U.S. and other
nations. Peru is the worlds largest silver and third largest
copper producer. The central bank estimates that mining
projects will account for almost half of the $47.5 billion
of private investment expected in Peru from 2011 to2013. While he has praised his one-time ally, Venezuelan
President Hugo Chavez, in the past, more recently his
comments have been peppered with references to the
business-friendly policies of Brazil. In a trip to the U.S.
after his election, he stated that relations are good, but,
We want to improve them during my government. His
post-election comments have also included a goal of
balancing economic growth with social inclusion.
Investors, however, remain uncertain of his policies and
eagerly await his first moves once he takes office at theend of July.
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
11/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 11
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
Thailand Elections
The Pheu Thai party, backed by former premier
Thaksin Shinawatra, won 265 seats in the 500-member
parliament. Yingluck Shinawatra, Thaksins youngest
sister, will become prime minister, and has built a five-
party coalition to broaden her mandate. Thaksin was
ousted in a 2006 coup and has lived overseas since fleeing
a jail sentence for abuse of power. Parties linked to him
have won the past four national elections based on
support in northern rural areas for cheap health care
plans and microcredit policies. While the waters could
yet get muddy, there is a sense that this time Pheu Thai
can corral more support than earlier. A reduction in
political uncertainty would cheer businesses and improve
growth prospects. The party made campaign pledges to
raise the minimum wage and guarantee rice prices for
farmers. Optimists hope for greater political stability and
controlled fiscal expenditure while pessimists fear a
return to political disorder and patronage spending.
Elections in the Middle East
Massive street protests forced Egyptian President
Mubarak to resign in February and cede interim authority
to the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces. But, five
months later, there is still considerable opacity over the
future political landscape. Parliamentary elections are
scheduled in September. Egypts Cabinet approved a
draft law under which half of the seats would be
contested through slates of candidates and the rest by
individual candidates. According to the draft, parliament
would have 500 seats and candidates of different parties
may run on one slate, allowing alliances to be struck.
Mubaraks 30-year-long stay in office has shrunk any
opposition, leading to a dearth of viable alternative
parties. The Egyptian Brotherhood is one of the few
groups with a significant grassroots network. Senior
officials at the Brotherhood pledge support for private
enterprise and free markets. However, there is
skepticism as to whether they will be a force for
moderation or a divisive, fundamentalist element.
Protests, though on a much smaller scale, are ongoing in
Egypt as activists demand more rapid trials of former
government officials and policemen accused of killing
protesters in the uprising that toppled Mubarak.
In Morocco, the other emerging market in the Middle
East, a draft constitution was widely approved in a
referendum. The constitution was written at King
Mohammeds orders in response to protests that echoed
the uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt. Under the plan, the
prime minister will be chosen from the party that wins
elections and will replace the king as the head of
government. However, the king will retain the power to
overrule or dismiss parliament. While many supported it
as a significant step toward democratization, others felt
that it wasnt close enough to their ideal. Moroccos
tradition of greater social freedoms and deeper political
participation suggest that this move, while well short of
achieving genuine democracy, will probably be enough to
deflect the current pressure.
Fixed Income
Review
Bonds had a good quarter, particularly unhedged
foreign bonds, as yields fell nearly everywhere and the
U.S. dollar declined. U.S. Treasuries returned +2.5%,
slightly outpacing the broader Barclays U.S. Aggregate
Bond index, where widening sector spreads detracted.
USD emerging debt (EMBIG series) returned +4.0%,
partially a reflection of the relatively longer interest-rate
duration of the asset class, but also due to the spread
return from it. Foreign government bonds, both from
developed countries and emerging countries, produced
positive returns, all the more so when the positive
currency returns were added given the U.S. dollars near
uniform decline.
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
12/47
12 GMO European Quarterly Update
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
The main exception to this positive bond story
continued to be the fallen angels of sovereign bonds,
less charitably referred to as PIG (Portugal, Ireland,
Greece). Lucky for J.P. Morgans series, none of these
countries pertains to its Global Government Bond
Index series, which draws the line to include Italy and
Spain but not the PIGs. Unlucky for the fallen angels,
unless they default, they are ineligible for J.P. Morgans
Emerging bond indices, which exclude high income
countries unless they default. So, the fallen angels, all
at or near junk ratings at quarter end, are homeless from
a bond index perspective, compounding woes for the
countries in their search for buyers of their debt.
In terms of yield levels, interest rates fell in most
markets. Among developed countries, Canadian,
Swedish, and U.S. yields fell the most, and Japanese and
New Zealand the least, with the eclines ranging from 10-
30 basis points for 10-year yields. Among emerging
countries, the declines were greater than 30 basis points
in eight markets, although here we take 5-year yields.
Only in Turkey did rates rise and do so sharply, as the
market lost patience with the Central Bank of Turkeys
monetary policy experimentalism.
In currencies, apart from idiosyncratic circumstances,
the foreign currencies gained relative to the U.S. dollar
fairly broadly for a second quarter in a row. Most
emerging currencies rose relative to the U.S. dollar, with
the largest quarterly spot gain coming from Colombian
peso, +5.8%. Another nine currencies registered spot
gains greater than 2%, including Brazil, Poland, Czech
Republic, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Chile, Hungary, and
Israel.
On the downside, Turkish lira was the stand-out loser,
-4.9%. A yawning current account deficit (financed
mostly by short-term debt) defied authorities confidence
that their unusual monetary policy would
simultaneously cool domestic demand and deter hot
money inflows. The CBRT did acknowledge in its spring
financial stability report that sharply rising short-term
borrowing (mostly by banks) was the main threat to
financial stability. They vowed to continue reserve
requirement hikes (rather than interest-rate hikes) to
pinch credit growth.
Other laggards included Argentine peso, -1.4%, and
Thai baht, -1.3%. In Argentina, although the question of
whether Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner would run for
president in the fall was settled (yes), locals were already
voting with their pesos in leaving the country. Although
difficult to observe directly, the parallel (or ironically
named Blue Chip) peso rate fell even faster than the
official one. Despite the declines, the official pesos
return was +0.5% due to the high carry in the NDF (non
-deliverable forwards) points. In Thailand, pre-election
Source: J.P. Morgan
European Government Bond
Total Returns 2Q vs. 1Q 2011
-2.4%
0.2%
-8.6%
-5.7%
2.1%
0.5%
-0.4%
-2.0%-2.3%
-14.5%
-11.8%
-6.0%
0.5%1.0%1.4%1.9%1.9%2.1%
Germ
any
Fran
ce
Netherlan
ds
Belgi
um Italy
Spain
Irelan
d
Portu
gal
Gree
ce
1Q 2011
2Q 2011
Total Returns Second Quarter 2011
2.3%
4.0%
1.6%
3.1%
2.2%
1.1%
2.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
U.S. Gov't.
Bonds
(JPM GBI)
USD
Bonds
(Barclays
U.S. Agg)
USD
Emerging
Bonds
(EMBIG)
Non-U.S.
Bonds:
Developed
(JPM GBI)
Non-U.S.
Bonds:
Emerging
(JPM GBI-
EM)
Currency
Bonds
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
13/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 13
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
jitters weighed on the baht and temporarily narrowed
onshore-offshore forwards.
In Peru, leftist candidate Ollanta Humala emerged
victorious, although the margin was small. During the
final months of the campaign he did a Lula makeover,
and each gesture lifted the depreciation pressure on the
new sol. By quarter end, the new sol had risen by 1.9%, a
middling performance in the region (Chile +2.2%, Brazil
+4.4%, Mexico +1.5%).
Chinas currency ended the quarter +1.3%, with all of
the gains coming in April, ahead of the U.S./China
Strategic and Economic dialog. As has become a
seasonal pattern, China allows the currency to rise ahead
of the meeting (and the U.S. semiannual report on
currency manipulation), then backs off afterwards.
In G10, somewhat unusually, the quarters lead
gainers were safe haven Swiss franc, +8.7%, and high-
carry New Zealand dollar, +8.3%. Swiss franc reached all
-time highs in real effective terms, prompting one Swiss
lawmaker to suggest imposing negative interest rates on
foreign investors (read: Greek deposit flight) to deter
further inflows. New Zealand dollar, meanwhile,
continued to benefit from post-quake reconstruction and
insurance inflows.
The euro ended the quarter surprisingly well,
considering that euro member Greeces bonds are pricing
significant bondholder losses. The single currency see-
sawed between 1.405 and 1.475 relative to the dollar
during the quarter, alternatively buoyed by the ECBs first
post-crisis interest-rate increase (and the strong hints of
more) and deflated by the ongoing slow-motion
sovereign crises in the periphery. During the quarter, the
ratings for Greek debt were cut deep into junk; Portugal
rested on the edge of junk (and downgraded to below
right after quarter end); while Ireland delivered a rather
nasty haircut to bank bondholders.
In credit markets, emerging debt spreads (EMBIG
series) tightened by 10 basis points to 288 basis points
during the quarter. Eurozone countries suffered more
downgrades from the ratings agencies, which were not
convinced by plans to allow Greece to impose losses on
bondholders without technically defaulting. CDS spreads
on Greece more than doubled to imminent-default levels
in line with the CCC/Caa1 ratings. Ireland and Portugal
kept their investment-grade ratings through the end of
the quarter, although Moodys dropped Portugal to Ba2
immediately afterwards. Liquidity in the emerging cash
bond market deteriorated slightly and the average bid-
offer spread widened to 67 basis points at the end of the
quarter from 62 at the beginning. New issuance of $81
billion fell slightly from the first quarter, but was above
the average of the previous four quarters.
The biggest index gainers were Ivory Coast (+12.5%),
Nigeria (+6.9%), Venezuela (+6.4%), and Uruguay
(+6.4%). The Ivory Coast bond continued to rally during
the quarter as the internationally-recognized Ouattara
administration took office, although it missed another
Second Quarter 2011 Change in Interest Rates (10Y DM, 5Y EM)
0.4
0.00.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.5-0.5
-0.7
-0.9
-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2
-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1
New
Zea
land
Japa
nG
BI
Eur
o
Aus
tralia
Sw
itzerla
nd UK
Nor
way
U.S
.
Sw
eden
Can
ada
Indo
nesi
a
Mex
ico
Hon
gK
ong
Rus
sia
Bra
zil
Pol
and
S.A
frica
Cze
ch.R
ep.
Sin
g.
Isra
el
Chi
le
Kor
ea
Hun
gary
Taiw
an
GB
I-E
MD
Mal
aysi
a
Thaila
nd
Chi
na
Turk
ey
Source: J.P. Morgan
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
14/47
14 GMO European Quarterly Update
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
coupon without committing to a schedule for making up
the overdue payments. Nigerian elections were peaceful
by local standards and the re-elected president showed
signs of supporting positive reforms in the electricity
sector. Venezuelan bonds recovered from earlier losses
at the end of June when President Chavez had to be
hospitalized in Cuba and was found to have cancer. The
Uruguayan economy performed well in the first quarter,
and the Central Bank conducted a well-received investor
road show.
Index laggers for the quarter included Belize (-19.9%),
Iraq (-0.2%), Pakistan (+0.2%), and Serbia (+1.4%). The
Belize bond collapsed at the end of June when the
government nationalized the electric utility, which was
not able to pay for imported fuel. Iraq and Pakistan both
experienced political conflict well-covered by the media.
In asset-backeds, the market generally experienced
tightening spreads. According to J.P. Morgan, credit card
spreads declined from 22 basis points to 16 basis points,
auto spreads from 40 basis points to 32 basis points, and
student loan spreads remained flat at 40 basis points.
The ABX subprime indices declined sharply quarter-over
-quarter, although the final week of June did show
improvement. For the quarter, the triple-A Indices were
4% to 14% down in price; however, they finished the
quarter 2% to 10% off of their lows.
Strategies
Fixed income strategies were mixed during the
quarter: currency positioning, both developed and
emerging, performed well, while developed markets
interest-rate selection, emerging debt exposure, and asset-
backed portfolios formerly used as cash sweep suffered
during the quarter.
The U.S. dollars somewhat uniform fall helped our
long FX positions in both developed and emerging
currencies. Overweights in New Zealand, Australia, and
Norway contributed on the developed side, while
overweight positions in Brazil, Hungary, Poland, Peru,
Mexico, Chile, and Indonesia were notable in emerging
fx.
In developed markets interest-rate strategies,
opportunistic positions hindered performance during the
quarter, while the cross-market strategy and yield curve
trades contributed positively. This quarter marks the
culmination of a months-long research effort to refine
Fixed Incomes systematic strategies. The group
reconsidered all components of the strategies, including
the base factors used, their weightings, and the
construction of the ultimate target portfolios. The end
result is a series of refinements, which the team believes
will benefit going forward.
Source: J.P. Morgan
Second Quarter 2011 Currency Spot Returns
5.84.4
3.43.12.82.72.42.22.22.11.91.81.51.51.31.10.30.20.0-0.1
-0.2-0.3-0.5-1.3-1.4
-4.9
8.78.3
3.53.12.62.22.20.80.20.0
Sw
eden U
K
Can
ada
Eur
o
GB
Iex-
U.S
.
Japa
n
Nor
way
Aus
tralia
New
Zea
land
Sw
itzerla
nd
Turk
ey
Arg
entin
a
Thaila
nd
Rom
ania
S.Afri
ca
Indi
a
Egy
pt
Hon
gK
ong
Phi
lippi
nes
Mal
aysi
a
GB
I-E
MD
Chi
na
Mex
ico
Indo
nesi
a
Rus
sia
Per
u
Isra
el
Hun
gary
Chi
le
Taiw
an
Sin
gapo
re
Kor
ea
Cze
ch.R
ep.
Pol
and
Bra
zil
Col
ombi
a
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
15/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 15
Please be advised, unless otherwise noted, all returns are in U.S. dollar terms.
In external emerging debt strategies, country selection
and security selection were detractors. Emerging local
debt strategies benefited from instrument selection and
country selection, but currency selection detracted.
Finally, after nine consecutive quarters of positive
contributions, the collateral pools reported negative
returns for the quarter, detracting alpha from all of the
strategies in direct proportion to each strategys exposure.
Outlook
At press time, no durable solution had been proposed
to either deal with the PIGs issues or contain the fallout
from not doing so. We put it in the too hard category
to offer a credible opinion about the outcome (other than
to say, having lived through a number of such crises inemerging countries, that default isnt the end of the
world). Given the number of stakeholders and the
chasm that separates their interests, a disorderly outcome
cant be ruled out.
On the matter of the U.S. debt ceiling, the
irresponsible brinksmanship being played out by
politicians and pundits in the news masks the more
fundamental truth about the looming August deadline:
the U.S. has both the willingness and ability to pay itsdebts in nominal U.S. dollars. Whether these dollars will
be worth anything is a different question, one the market
seems to be betting negatively about given the dollars
near uniform decline.
We continue to keep our portfolios tilted toward
those currencies, interest-rate, credit markets, and
instruments that we believe represent good value. At
quarter end that included a continued underweight in the
U.S. dollar, both against most G10 currencies and most
emerging ones. In developed rates, we moved to
overweight duration from underweight, mostly by cutting
our substantial Japan underweight and adding a bit to our
U.S. overweight. In credit, we still see value in asset-
backed securities and emerging debt.
Second Quarter 2011 J.P. Morgan EMBIG Returns by Country
12.5
6.96.46.46.25.55.55.45.3 5.45.14.74.74.64.4 4.54.1 4.34.14.0 4.04.03.73.73.63.43.12.92.82.42.1 2.42.01.91.91.91.81.6 1.71.40.2
-1.3-0.2
-19.4
Beliz
e
Sen
egal
Iraq
Pak
ista
n
Serbi
a
Gab
on
Vie
tnam
Ukr
aine
Mal
aysi
a
Arg
entin
a
Gha
na
Chi
le
Bul
garia
Kaz
akhs
tan
Rus
sia
Chi
na
Leba
non
Pol
and
Sri
Lank
a
Turk
ey
Sou
thAfri
ca
Dom
.Rep
.
Geo
rgia
Per
u
EM
BIG
Cro
atia
Bel
arus
Cro
atia
Jam
aica
ElS
alva
dor
Mex
ico
Phi
lippi
nes
Hun
gary
Indo
nesi
a
Bra
zil
Jord
an
Ecu
ador
Col
ombi
a
Pan
ama
Egy
pt
Uru
guay
Ven
ezue
la
Nig
eria
Ivor
yC
oast
Disclaimer: The views expressed herein are through the period ending June 30, 2011, and are subject to change at any time based on market and otherconditions. This is not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security, is not intended to be investment advice and should notbe construed as such. References to specific securities and issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not beinterpreted as, recommendations to purchase or sell such securities.
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
16/47
16 GMO European Quarterly Update
As of June 30, 2011
GMO 2011
GMO Global Equity StrategyInception: 7/31/96; Benchmark: MSCI World Index
Performance (USD)1 Top Ten Holdings2,5
Risk Profile Since 7/31/964
Quarterly Strategy Attribution
1Performance data quoted represents past performance and is not predictive of future performance. Returns are shown after the deduction of management fees,transaction costs and other expenses, but before custody charges, withholding taxes, and other indirect expenses. The returns assume the reinvestment of dividends andother income.
2 Portfolio holdings are percent of equity. They are subject to change and should not be considered a recommendation to buy individual securities.3 The MSCI World Index (MSCI Standard Index Series, net of withholding tax) is an independently maintained and widely published index comprised of global developed
markets. MSCI data may not be reproduced or used for any other purpose. MSCI provides no warranties, has not prepared or approved this report, and has no liabilityhereunder.
4 Alpha is a measure of risk-adjusted return; Beta is a measure of a portfolios sensitivity to the market; R2 is a measure of how well a portfolio tracks the market;Sharpe Ratio is the return over the risk free rate per unit of risk. Risk profile data is gross.
5 The above information is based on a representative account selected because it has the least number of restrictions and best represents the implementation of the strategy.The performance information above is supplemental to the GIPS compliant presentation that was made available on GMOs website in April of 2011.
Sector Weights5
GICS Sectors
Regional Weights5
Characteristics5
Global equity markets fell during most of the quarter but a rally in the last few days meant that the MSCI World Index eked out a gain of 0.5% when measured in terms of the weak US dollar,but provided negative returns from the perspective of most other currencies. The Global Equity Strategy outperformed its benchmark this quarter by 1.4%.
The crisis in Europe continues its steady trundle towards an end game. The cost of borrowing in peripheral Europe reached ever higher during the quarter with market participants now pricingsome sort of restructuring of government debt in Greece as a certainty and in Portugal and Ireland as a near certainty. As policy makers vacillate, the bond markets have come to their ownconclusions.
Nevertheless, European equities were the best performing developed market region, despite weakness in financials-dominated Greece and debt-laden Italy. European equities are pricing in adecent amount of disaster already; at the end of June, eurozone markets comprised 11 of the cheapest 13 developed markets, with discounts ranging from 12% for Germany through to 60% forGreece. By contrast, Canada trades at a premium, with little or no cushion for the unexpected built into valuations. Increase in nerves over the quarter meant that Canada could underperformPortugal, Italy, Ireland, and Spain despite being perceived as being in a fundamentally more robust state.
The strategy is overweight European equities on valuation grounds. Outside of Europe, our policy has ranged from avoid (Canada and Australia are the strategys two most significantgeographical underweights) to invest with caution (in the US, where we retain a significant allocation to high quality blue chips). Overall country selection made a positive contribution toreturns this quarter.
The strategys stock selection disciplines also contributed to relative returns with the most significant part coming from the allocation to high quality companies unsurprising given the overallnervous tone of the markets. Pharmaceuticals put in the strongest performance of any industry over the period as investors remembered that pharmaceuticals have several desirablecharacteristics, not least the defensive nature of their revenues in the face of concern for the broader economic outlook. The US high quality stocks remain the most significant driver of relativereturns for the strategy at this point.
The momentum stock picks had relatively little impact as the strategy shifts emphasis away from the Asian-facing growth stocks that allowed us to profit in rising markets last year. We havebeen gradually replacing that exposure with the beneficiaries of rising energy prices in the global oil sector. We have also added to German exporters, such as chemical manufacturer BASF andauto producer Volkswagen, supported by an increasingly competitive exchange rate as a consequence of the trouble in Southern Europe. Overall, energy stocks lagged for the quarter, whilst theGerman exporters added to returns.
The strategys value discipline outperformed modestly. Given the emphasis on Europe, especially the weaker eurozone members, this was a welcome validation of the philosophy underpinningthis strategy by buying into areas where prices are low, a certain buttressing against unpleasant events is achieved. We continued to refine our valuation-based exposures over the quarter,increasing allocations to the eurozone in general and Spain in particular. We increased our stakes in Santander for example we rate the large Spanish banks as among the better quality andmore diversified large banks in the eurozone today; they trade on reasonable valuations too.
Prices for European stocks are in many cases significantly lower than those outside Europe. Our principal European investments are in oil companies, auto manufacturers, utilities, andfinancials. We have assembled exposure to integrated oil stocks (for example Italian oil major ENI and Total in France) at an average 30% discount to the global sector. Our investments inautos, utilities, and financials trade on average at discounts of 20-30% to their global peers. This debt crisis, like others before it, has opened windows of opportunity in terms of valuation.
Total Return Net of Fees (%) Average Annual Total Return (%)
2Q YTD One Five Ten Since2011 2011 Year Year Year Inception
Strategy 1.89 6.66 30.91 1.57 5.68 7.31Benchmark 3 0.47 5.29 30.51 2.28 3.99 5.65
Annual Total Return Net of Fees (%)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Strategy -9.39 -10.70 36.36 17.95 11.08 21.19 6.16 -38.71 24.61 10.40
Benchmark -16.82 -19 .89 33.11 14.72 9 .49 20.07 9 .04 -40 .71 29.99 11.76
Johnson & Johnson 3.8%
Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2.5%
Coca-Cola Co. 2.3%
Google Inc. (Cl A) 2.0%
Apple Inc. 1.9%
Merck & Co Inc 1.7%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. 1.7%
PepsiCo Inc. 1.7%
ENI S.p.A. 1.6%
QUALCOMM Inc. 1.5%
Total 20.7%
Strategy Benchmark
Alpha 2.47 0.00
Beta 0.91 1.00
R2
0.95 1.00
Sharpe Ratio 0.32 0.16
Strategy Benchmark
Price/Earnings - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 13.3 x 15.2 x
Price/Cash Flow- Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 10.2 x 10.6 x
Price/Book - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 1.7 x 1.8 x
Return on Equity - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 16.9 % 14.5 %
Market Cap - Weighted Median $Bil $41.4 $33.7
Dividend Yield - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 3.1 % 2.6 %
Underweight/OverweightRegion Against Benchmark (%)
North America
Europe ex-UK
United Kingdom
Japan
Pacific ex-Japan
Cash 1.7
-3.2
0.5
0.8
3.4
-3.3
-10 -5 0 5 10
Underweight/Overweight
Sector Against Benchmark Strategy Benchmark
Consumer Discretionary 10.5 % 10.5 %Consumer Staples 9.1 9.9Energy 14.3 11.4Financials 12.6 19.6Health Care 16.0 9.8Industrials 11.9 11.5Information Technology 12.1 11.2Materials 6.2 8.2
Telecom. Services 4.2 4.2Utilities 3.2 3.8-0.6
0.0
-2.0
0.9
0.4
6.2-7.0
2.9
-0.8
0.0
-10 -5 0 5 10
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
17/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 17
As of June 30, 2011
GMO 2011
GMO World ex-UK Equity StrategyInception: 12/31/88; Benchmark: FTSE World ex-UK Total Return Index
Performance (GBP)1
The World ex-UK Equity Strategy returned +1.0% for the second quarter, outperforming the FTSE World ex-UK Index which returned +0.3% in sterling terms.The strategy is overweight European equities on valuation grounds. Outside of Europe, our policy has ranged from avoid (Canada and Australia are the strategys two
most significant geographical underweights) to invest with caution (in the U.S., where we retain a significant allocation to high quality blue chips). Overall countryselection made a positive contribution to returns this quarter.
The strategys stock selection disciplines also contributed to relative returns with the most significant part coming from the allocation to high quality companies unsurprising given the overall nervous tone of the markets. Pharmaceuticals put in the strongest performance of any industry over the period as investors rememberedthat pharmaceuticals have several desirable characteristics, not least the defensive nature of their revenues in the face of concern for the broader economic outlook. TheU.S. high quality stocks remain the most significant driver of relative returns for the strategy at this point.
The momentum stock picks had relatively little impact as the strategy shifts emphasis away from the Asian-facing growth stocks that allowed us to profit in risingmarkets last year. We have been gradually replacing that exposure with the beneficiaries of rising energy prices in the global oil sector. We have also added to Germanexporters, such as chemical manufacturer BASF and auto producer Volkswagen, supported by an increasingly competitive exchange rate as a consequence of the troublein Southern Europe. Overall, energy stocks lagged for the quarter, whilst the German exporters added to returns.
The strategys value discipline outperformed modestly. Given the emphasis on Europe, especially the weaker eurozone members, this was a welcome validation of thephilosophy underpinning this strategy by buying into areas where prices are low, a certain buttressing against unpleasant events is achieved. We continued to refine our
valuation-based exposures over the quarter, increasing allocations to the eurozone in general and Spain in particular. We increased our stakes in Santander for example we rate the large Spanish banks as among the better quality and more diversified large banks in the eurozone today; they trade on reasonable valuations too.Prices for European stocks are in many cases significantly lower than those outside Europe. Our principal European investments are in oil companies, auto
manufacturers, utilities, and financials. We have assembled exposure to integrated oil stocks (for example Italian oil major ENI and Total in France) at an average 30%discount to the global sector. Our investments in autos, utilities, and financials trade on average at discounts of 20-30% to their global peers. This debt crisis, like othersbefore it, has opened windows of opportunity in terms of valuation.
Top Ten Holdings2,5
Risk Profile Since 12/31/954
Quarterly Strategy Attribution
1Performance data quoted represents past performance and is not predictive of future performance. Returns are shown after the deduction of management fees,transaction costs and other expenses, but before custody charges, withholding taxes, and other indirect expenses. The returns assume the reinvestment of dividends andother income.
2 Portfolio holdings are percent of equity. They are subject to change and should not be considered a recommendation to buy individual securities.3 The FTSE World ex-UK Index is an independently maintained and widely published index comprised of developed (excluding the UK) and emerging large and mid
capitalization stocks.4 Alpha is a measure of risk-adjusted return; Beta is a measure of a portfolios sensitivity to the market; R2 is a measure of how well a portfolio tracks the market;
Sharpe Ratio is the return over the risk free rate per unit of risk. Risk profile data is gross.5The above information is based on a representative account selected because it has the least number of restrictions and best represents the implementation of the strategy.The performance information above is supplemental to the GIPS compliant presentation that was made available on GMOs website in April of 2011.
Sector Weights5
GICS Sectors
Regional Weights5
Characteristics5
Total Return Net of Fees (%) Average Annual Total Return (%)
2Q YTD One Five Ten Since2011 2011 Year Year Year Inception
Strategy 1.01 3.41 21.43 5.49 4.64 9.25Benchmark 3 0.30 2.59 22.14 6.85 3.77 7.34
Annual Total Return Net of Fees (%)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Strategy -9.49 -21.29 23.70 9.75 25.88 5.41 7.41 -14.80 13.64 13.64
Benchmark -14.04 -27.35 20.66 7 .83 24.85 5 .65 9 .70 -17.12 18.86 16.69
Johnson & Johnson 3.8%
Coca-Cola Co. 2.2%
Google Inc. (Cl A) 1.8%
Apple Inc. 1.8%
ENI S.p.A. 1.8%
Merck & Co Inc 1.8%
PepsiCo Inc. 1.6%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. 1.6%
Sanofi -Avent is S.A. 1 .4%
QUALCOMM Inc. 1.4%
Total 19.2%
Strategy Benchmark
Alpha 1.94 0.00
Beta 0.84 1.00
R 0.79 1.00
Sharpe Ratio 0.20 0.09
Strategy Benchmark
Price/Earnings - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 13.4 x 15.2 x
Price/Cash Flow - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 10.3 x 10.5 x
Price/Book - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 1.7 x 1.8 x
Return on Equity - Hist 1 Yr Med 16.4 % 14.2 %
Market Cap - Weighted Med GBP Bil. 23.2 18.9
Dividend Yield - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 2.9 % 2.5 %
Underweight/Overweighteg on ga ns enc mar
Europe ex-UK
North America
Japan
Pacific ex-Japan
Emerging
Cash 1.3
1.7
-3.1
0.2
-3.0
3.0
-10 -5 0 5 10
Underweight/OverweightSector Against Benchmark Strategy Benchmark
Consumer Discretionary 10.6 % 10.8 %
Consumer Staples 8.6 9.2
Energy 14.3 9.9
Financials 13.7 20.5
Health Care 13.9 8.8
Industrials 11.6 11.9
Information Technology 13.3 12.6
Materials 6.7 8.4
Telecom. Services 4.0 4.2
Utilities 3.3 3.6-0.3-0.2
-1.7
0.7-0.3
5.1
-6.8
4.4
-0.6
-0.2
-10 -5 0 5 10
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
18/47
18 GMO European Quarterly Update
As of June 30, 2011
GMO 2011
GMO International Intrinsic Value StrategyInception: 3/31/87; Benchmark: MSCI EAFE Value Index and MSCI EAFE Index
Performance (USD)1 Top Ten Holdings2,5
Risk Profile Since 3/31/874
Quarterly Strategy Attribution
1Performance data quoted represents past performance and is not predictive of future performance. Returns are shown after the deduction of management fees,transaction costs and other expenses, but before custody charges, withholding taxes, and other indirect expenses. The returns assume the reinvestment of dividends andother income.
2 Portfolio holdings are percent of equity. They are subject to change and should not be considered a recommendation to buy individual securities.3 The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) Value Index (MSCI Standard Index Series, net of withholding tax) is an independently maintained and widely
published index comprised of international large and mid capitalization stocks that have a value style. Large and mid capitalization stocks encompass approximately 85%of each markets free float-adjusted market capitalization. Style is determined using a multi-factor approach based on historical and forward-looking characteristics. MSCIdata may not be reproduced or used for any other purpose. MSCI provides no warranties, has not prepared or approved this report, and has no liability hereunder.
4 Alpha is a measure of risk-adjusted return; Beta is a measure of a portfolios sensitivity to the market; R2 is a measure of how well a portfolio tracks the market;Sharpe Ratio is the return over the risk free rate per unit of risk. Risk profile data is gross.
5 The above information is based on a representative account selected because it has the least number of restrictions and best represents the implementation of the strategy.The performance information above is supplemental to the GIPS compliant presentation that was made available on GMOs website in April of 2011.
Sector Weights5Regional Weights5
Characteristics5
The International Intrinsic Value Strategy returned +2.7% during the second quarter of 2011, compared to the broad market MSCI EAFE index, whichreturned +1.6%, and the MSCI EAFE Value benchmark, which returned +1.0%.
Stock selection and sector exposures both contributed to the outperformance relative to EAFE. Selection was particularly good within the United Kingdom(especially among high quality drug companies) and Japan (notably among consumer stocks and rebuilding-related stocks). By sector, stock selection was bestin Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Utilities.
Sector exposures (as a result of stock selection) added value mainly from our overweight to Health Care, which was the best performing sector in EAFE.
In country allocation, the positive impact from our underweight to Australia, which underperformed, was largely offset by the negative impact from ouroverweight to Italy, which also underperformed.
Compared to the value benchmark, the strategy did even better due to the many differences between EAFE and EAFE Value.
The EAFE Value index has less in Consumer Staples, which outperformed, and more in Energy, which underperformed, and holds different stocks. These
resulted in better relative performance from sector exposures and stock selection versus EAFE Value.GMOs stock selection disciplines had good results in the quarter as momentum outperformed value. Stocks selected for their strong momentum
characteristics had the best returns. Those stocks chosen by quality-adjusted value were next, and those ranked highly by intrinsic value (the quality componentdid very well; valuation did not) trailed. All three disciplines outperformed.
Individual stock positions that added significant value included overweights in pharmaceuticals Sanofi (France), GlaxoSmithKline (UK), and AstraZeneca(UK). Stock positions that were significant detractors included overweights in oil companies Total (France), Eni (Italy), and Encana (Canada).
GICS Sectors
Tota l Retur n Net of Fees (%) Aver age Annua l Tota l Retur n (%)
2Q YTD One Five Ten Since2011 2011 Year Year Year Inception
Strategy 2.68 6.94 31.34 0.72 8.13 8.57MSCI EAFE Value 3 0.98 5.58 29.35 0.36 5.96 7.36
MSCI EAFE3
1.56 4.98 30.36 1.48 5.66 5.41
Annual Total Return Net of Fees (%)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Strategy -12.10 -0.59 43.53 25.23 13.98 25.78 10.21 -40.31 21.41 7.53MSCI EAFE Value -18.52 -15.91 45.30 24.33 13.80 30.38 5.96 -44.09 34.23 3.25
MSCI EAFE -21.44 -15.94 38.59 20.25 13.54 26.34 11.17 -43.38 31.78 7.75
Sanofi-Aventis S.A. 4.3%
Total S.A. 3.9%
GlaxoSmithKline PLC 3.3%
Royal Dutch Shell PLC 3.2%
AstraZeneca PLC 3.1%
ENI S.p.A. 2.7%
Enel S.p.A. 2.2%
Novartis AG 1.8%
E.ON AG 1.6%
Takeda Pharmaceutical 1.5%
Total 27.6%
Strategy
M SCI
EAFE Val ue
MSCI
EAFE
Alpha 2.58 0.00 0.00
Beta 0.81 1.00 1.00
R2
0.86 1.00 1.00
Sharpe Ratio 0.33 0.18 0.08
Strategy
M SCI
EAFE Val ue
MSCI
EAFE
Price/Earnings - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 11.0 x 11.6 x 14.0 x
Price/Cash Flow - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 6.4 x 6.3 x 9.1 x
Price/Book - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 1.3 x 1.2 x 1.5 x
Return on Equity - Hist 1 Yr Med 12.8 % 10.7 % 11.4 %Market Cap - Weighted Median $Bil $29.8 $34.4 $29.3
Dividend Yield - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 4.1 % 4.4 % 3.4 %
Underweight/Overweight
Region Against M SCI EAFE Value (%)
Europe ex-UK
United Kingdom
Japan
Southeast Asia
Canada
Australia/New Zealand
Cash 1.6
-6.5
2.0
-0.4
2.8
0.7
-0.3
-10 -5 0 5 10
Underweight/OverweightSector Against M SCI EAFE Value Strategy Benchmark
Consumer Discretionary 11.1 % 7.9 %Consumer Staples 3.9 2.7Energy 15.9 11.3Financials 16.1 34.5Health Care 16.5 10.0Industrials 9.8 7.1Information Technology 3.4 2.7Materials 7.8 6.9
Telecom. Services 8.6 9.4Utilities 6.9 7.5-0.6
-0.8
0.9
0.7
2.7
6.5
-18.4
4.6
1.2
3.2
-20 -10 0 10 20
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
19/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 19
As of June 30, 2011
GMO 2011
GMO International Core Equity StrategyInception: 1/31/02; Benchmark: MSCI EAFE Index
Performance (USD)1 Top Ten Holdings2,5
Risk Profile Since 1/31/024
Quarterly Strategy Attribution
1Performance data quoted represents past performance and is not predictive of future performance. Returns are shown after the deduction of management fees,transaction costs and other expenses, but before custody charges, withholding taxes, and other indirect expenses. The returns assume the reinvestment of dividends andother income.
2 Portfolio holdings are percent of equity. They are subject to change and should not be considered a recommendation to buy individual securities.3 The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) Index (MSCI Standard Index Series, net of withholding tax) is an independently maintained and widely published
index comprised of international large and mid capitalization stocks. MSCI data may not be reproduced or used for any other purpose. MSCI provides no warranties, hasnot prepared or approved this report, and has no liability hereunder.
4 Alpha is a measure of risk-adjusted return; Beta is a measure of a portfolios sensitivity to the market; R2 is a measure of how well a portfolio tracks the market;Sharpe Ratio is the return over the risk free rate per unit of risk. Risk profile data is gross.
5 The above information is based on a representative account selected because it has the least number of restrictions and best represents the implementation of the strategy.The performance information above is supplemental to the GIPS compliant presentation that was made available on GMOs website in April of 2011.
Sector Weights5
GICS Sectors
Regional Weights5
Characteristics5
The International Core Equity Strategy returned +3.5% during the second quarter of 2011, compared to the MSCI EAFE index, which returned+1.6%.
Stock selection and sector exposures both contributed to the outperformance relative to EAFE.
Stock selection was particularly good within the United Kingdom (especially among high quality drug companies), Japan (notably among consumerstocks and rebuilding-related stocks), and France (in drug and chemical companies). By sector, stock selection was best in Consumer Discretionary,Health Care, and Utilities.
Sector exposures (as a result of stock selection) added value mainly from our overweight to Health Care, which was the best performing sector inEAFE, and underweight to Financials, which underperformed.
In country allocation, the positive impact from our underweight to Australia, which underperformed, was largely offset by the negative impact fromour overweight to Italy, which also underperformed.
GMOs stock selection disciplines had good results in the quarter as momentum outperformed value. Stocks selected for their strong momentumcharacteristics had the best returns. Those stocks chosen by quality-adjusted value were next, and those ranked highly by intrinsic value (the qualitycomponent did very well; valuation did not) trailed. All three disciplines outperformed.
Individual stock positions that added significant value included overweights in pharmaceuticals Sanofi (France) and GlaxoSmithKline (UK) andchemical company Rhodia (France). Stock positions that were significant detractors included overweights in oil companies Encana (Canada), Total(France), and Eni (Italy).
Total Return Net of Fees (%) Average Annual Total Return (%)
2Q YTD One Five Ten Since2011 2011 Year Year Year Inception
Strategy 3.51 7.31 34.25 1.74 n/a 9.33Benchmark 3 1.56 4.98 30.36 1.48 n/a 7.59
Annual Total Return Net of Fees (%)
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Strategy -2.43 37.67 23.28 15.58 25.56 12.13 -41.34 23.73 10.33
Benchmark -11.22 38.59 20.25 13.54 26.34 11.17 -43 .38 31.78 7 .75
Sanofi-Aventis S.A. 3.6%
GlaxoSmithKline PLC 3.3%
Total S.A. 3.0%
Royal Dutch Shell PLC 2.9%
AstraZeneca PLC 2.7%
ENI S.p.A. 2.5%
Novartis AG 1.9%
Enel S.p.A. 1.8%
Vodafone Group PLC 1.4%
Takeda Pharmaceutical 1.4%
Total 24.5%
Strategy Benchmark
Alpha 2.57 0.00
Beta 0.94 1.00
R2
0.98 1.00
Sharpe Ratio 0.45 0.31
Strategy Benchmark
Price/Earnings - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 11.8 x 14.0 x
Earnings/Share - F'cast LT Med Growth Rate 8.8 x 10.2 x
Price/Book - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 1.4 x 1.5 x
Return on Equity - Hist 1 Yr Med 12.5 % 11.4 %
Market Cap - Weighted Median $Bil $28.5 $29.3Dividend Yield - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 3.8 % 3.4 %
Underweight/Overweight
Region Against Benchmark (%)
Europe ex-UK
United Kingdom
Japan
Southeast Asia
Canada
Australia/New Zealand
Cash 0.7
-5.1
1.2
-0.3
2.8
-0.6
1.2
-10 -5 0 5 10
Underweight/OverweightSector Against Benchmark Strategy Benchmark
Consumer Discretionary 13.1 % 10.5 %Consumer Staples 5.1 10.2Energy 13.5 8.1Financials 12.1 23.5Health Care 16.1 8.7Industrials 11.6 12.9Information Technology 5.0 4.7Materials 9.2 11.3
Telecom. Services 8.3 5.5Utilities 5.9 4.71.22.8
-2.1
0.3
-1.3
7.4
-11.4
5.4
-5.1
2.6
-20 -10 0 10 20
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
20/47
20 GMO European Quarterly Update
As of June 30, 2011
GMO 2011
GMO Japan Equity StrategyInception: 12/31/05; Benchmark: MSCI Japan IMI ++ Index
Performance (USD)1
The Japan Equity Strategy returned +3.4% during the second quarter of 2011. This was ahead of its benchmark, the MSCI Japan IMIindex, which returned +0.5%.
Within the portfolio, stock selection and the resulting sector exposures were the primary reasons for the outperformance.
Performance was particularly good within Consumer Discretionary, but also within Telecommunication Services, Financials, andMaterials.
Individual stock positions that added value included overweight positions in telecom company KDDI Corp., real estate developer
Daito Trust Construction, and leisure company Round One Corp. Stock positions that were significant detractors includedunderweights in office electronics company Canon, machinery company Fanuc, and electronics company Hitachi.
Sector exposures also added some value, thanks to our overweight to Telecommunication Services, which outperformed, and ourunderweight to Utilities, which lagged.
Top Ten Holdings2,5
Risk Profile Since 12/31/054
Quarterly Strategy Attribution
1Performance data quoted represents past performance and is not predictive of future performance. Returns are shown after the deduction of management fees,transaction costs and other expenses, but before custody charges, withholding taxes, and other indirect expenses. The returns assume the reinvestment of dividends andother income.
2 Portfolio holdings are percent of equity. They are subject to change and should not be considered a recommendation to buy individual securities.3 The MSCI Japan IMI (Investable Market Index Series) ++ Index is an internally maintained benchmark computed by GMO, comprised of (i) the MSCI Japan (MSCI
Standard Index Series, net of withholding tax) from 12/31/2005 to 6/30/2008 and (ii) the MSCI Japan IMI (MSCI Standard Index Series, net of withholding tax)thereafter. MSCI data may not be reproduced or used for any other purpose. MSCI provides no warranties, has not prepared or approved this report, and has no liabilityhereunder.
4 Alpha is a measure of risk-adjusted return; Beta is a measure of a portfolios sensitivity to the market; R2 is a measure of how well a portfolio tracks the market;Sharpe Ratio is the return over the risk free rate per unit of risk. Risk profile data is gross.
5 The above information is based on a representative account selected because it has the least number of restrictions and best represents the implementation of the strategy.The performance information above is supplemental to the GIPS compliant presentation that was made available on GMOs website in April of 2011.
Sector Weights5
Strategy Benchmark
Alpha 2.84 0.00
Beta 1.09 1.00
R2
0.94 1.00
Sharpe Ratio -0.13 -0.29
Strategy Benchmark
% Negative Earnings 5.8 % 4.3 %
Price/Earnings - Excl Neg Earn Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 10.1 x 16.1 x
Price/Earnings - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Med 10.4 x 16.7 x
Price/Book - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 0.8 x 1.0 x
Return on Equity - Hist 1 Yr Med 8.1 % 6.7 %
Market Cap - Weighted Median $Bil $2.2 $10.1
Dividend Yield - Hist 1 Yr Wtd Avg 2.6 % 1.9 %
Characteristics5
GICS Sectors
Total Return Net of Fees (%) Average Annual Total Return (%)
2Q YTD One Five Ten Since2011 2011 Year Year Year Inception
Strategy 3.41 1.85 21.15 -1.14 n/a -0.88Benchmark 3 0.48 -3.97 13.43 -3.24 n/a -2.62
Annual Total Return Net of Fees (%)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Strategy 6.39 -2.39 -24.83 -1.78 21.95
Benchmark 6 .24 -4 .23 -28 .16 6 .12 16.02
KDDI Corp. 4.9%
Mizuho Financial Group 4.1%
Nippon T & T Corp. 4.0%
NTT DoCoMo Inc. 3.1%
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial 2.5%
Daito Trust Construct ion 2.3%
Yamada Denki Co. Ltd. 1.8%
Resona Holdings Inc. 1.8%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. 1.7%
Sumitomo Corp. 1.3%
Total 27.5%
Underweight/OverweightSector Against Benchmark Strategy Benchmark
Consumer Discretionary 18.2 % 20.0 %Consumer Staples 7.9 5.9Energy 4.1 1.6Financials 21.2 17.2Health Care 4.8 5.8Industrials 19.5 21.0
Information Technology 3.7 12.8Materials 6.7 8.6Telecom. Services 12.1 3.8Utilities 1.9 3.3-1.4
8.3
-1.9
-9.1-1.5
-1.0
4.0
2.5
2.0
-1.8
-10 -5 0 5 10
7/31/2019 2q 2011 European Update
21/47
GMO European Quarterly Update 21
As of June 30, 2011
GMO 2011
GMO Emerging Markets StrategyInception: 12/31/93; Benchmark: S&P/IFCI Composite Index
Performance (USD)1
The Emerging Markets Strategy fell 1.5% in the second quarter, trailing the -1.0% return of the S&P/IFCI Composite by 0.5%. Overall, country/sector selection detracted0.1%, while stock selection cost 0.4%.
Emerging markets suffered minor losses over the second quarter as investors chewed over the myriad developments in the sovereign debt crisis and the pace of monetarytightening in several key markets. The last days of the quarter saw sentiment turn bullish as concern of a Greek default eased after the government secured enough votes topush ahead with budget cuts. The quarter saw country performances as diverse as an 8.5% jump in Chile and a 15.2% plunge in Peru. Among sectors, the spread was tighter,
with Consumer Discretionary leaping 8.3% and Energy dropping 7.4%.Russian Energy underperformed the asset class as the outlook for commodities grew less rosy and concern deepened that tighter monetary policy in Russia would curb
economic growth. The central bank unexpectedly raised interest rates in April to check inflation. The concerns over the ultimate resolution to Greeces debt crisis, inflationfighting efforts in countries such as China and India, and speculation that U.S. demand may be slowing have all led to a fall in energy prices. Our overweight in RussianEnergy, a reflection of its cheapness and positive momentum, detracted from performance.
Investors in Hungary found comfort in the ongoing talks between the government and commercial banks on ending a moratorium on evictions and stimulating mortgagelending. The market was also influenced by rumors that the government would lower a special tax on banks as part