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www.colliersnashville.com
MARKET REPORTNASHVILLE
2nd Quarter Continues to Improve and Shows Potential for Growth
The Nashville office market is continuing to show a steady recovery from the recent economic recession. The population is growing, employment is rising and companies are expanding. The city is still maintaining its reputation as a desirable place to live and relocate business. Thumbtack.com recently named Nashville as the fifth best city to start a new business and Policom ranked Nashville as having the fourth strongest economy in the country.
The Cool Springs/Franklin submarket echoes this economic strength with over 223,000 square feet of office space currently under construction. Boyle Investment Company is completing a new office development located at 5000 and 5005 Meridian Boulevard. These buildings are expected to be completed by July 31st, and the first tenants will be moving in by August 1 of this year. Carothers Park II will also be adding 28,000 square feet of space to the market by the end of the year. New office developments like these will be a welcome addition to the market as the vacancy rate continues to remain tight at 6.1%.
Downtown Nashville is showing a lot of strength with a positive absorption of 82,839 square feet this quarter. The area welcomes technology protection company Asurion into the Ragland Building with 92,000 square feet. Additionally, law firm Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman inked a deal for 44,000 square feet in the AT&T Tower. Deals such as these and the continuing construction on the 1.2 million square foot convention center, the
2Q 2012 | OFFICE
Nashville Office MarketSummary of Statistics, Q2 2012
Vacancy Rate: 8.2%
YTD Absorption: 498,035 SF
Under Construction: 299,500 SF
Asking Rents Per Square Feet:Class A: $21.91Class B: $17.60Class C: $14.88Overall Rental Rates: $18.82
Downtown Class A: $21.77Suburban Class A: $22.64
Quarterly Comparisons and Totals
QUARTER BLDGSTOTAL
INVENTORY SF
DIRECT VACANT
DIRECT VACANCY
RATE
SUBLEASE VACANCY
RATE
NET ABSORPTION
CURRENT QTR
NET ABSORPTION
YTD SF
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
SF
AVG ASKING RATE
Q2.12* 612 47,544,666 3,985,071 8.2% 0.8% 112,127 498,035 299,500 $18.82
Q1.12 608 47,372,913 4,039,462 8.5% 0.8% 346,137 386,009 333,496 $18.69
Q4.11 608 47,372,913 4,385,599 9.3% 0.9% 279,607 301,424 333,496 $18.78
Q3.11 607 47,237,913 4,530,206 9.6% 1.0% 342,157 297,972 320,820 $18.82
Q2.11 605 47,111,313 4,745,763 10.1% 0.9% (56,141) (64,084) 267,832 $18.84
MARKET INDICATORS2Q
2012
Forecast
2012
VACANCY
NET ABSORPTION
CONSTRUCTION
ASKING RATE
$18
$19
$20
$21
$22
$23Overall Class A
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2Q 2012 | Average Rental Rates
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2012 | OFFICE | NASHVILLE
www.colliersnashville.com
800-room Omni Headquarters Hotel and further planning of the Nashville Medical Mart are all indicators that the downtown market is gaining strength. “The ‘SoBro’ and ‘Gulch’ areas of Nashville are showing an incredible amount of activity,” states Colliers International Managing Partner Nate Greene. “It’s almost frenzied, with new projects rapidly developing in areas that were previously ignored.” New projects like the Trolley Barns and the Ragland Building are the first examples of redeveloping previously existing space to accommodate the growth in this pocket of Nashville.
The recent announcement of the State’s
possible move to consolidate and relocate government agencies into state-owned buildings looms over the positive growth in the downtown and metrocenter submarkets. This move could create huge blocks of vacant space in both submarkets which could potentially drive down rental rates and stall the momentum in growth the markets are currently experiencing.
It could be several more months before a decision is made on this matter. “Until then, I expect the Nashville market to continue its steady recovery from the recession,” says Nate Greene. “I feel positive that Nashville will hold its place a great place for businesses and people to relocate. Nashville is only going to grow.”
Class A Class B Class C
2Q 2012 | Vacancy Space By Type
Class A 1,272,829 SF
Class B 2,090,517 SF
Class C 621,725 SF
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
Wes
t End
Airp
ort N
orth
Airp
ort S
outh
Bren
twoo
d
Cool
Spr
ings
/Fra
nklin
Dow
ntow
n
Gree
n H
ills/
Mus
ic R
ow
Met
roce
nter
Rive
rgat
e/No
rth
2Q 2012 | Net Absorption By Submarket
RECENT SALES TRANSACTIONSSALES ACTIVITY
PROPERTY BUYER SALE PRICE SIZE SF SUBMARKET
The McEwen Building KBS Real Estate Investment Trust III $40,000,000 175,262 Cool Springs/Franklin
5201 Virginia Way Tennessee Hospital Association Inc. $4,695,000 42,492 Brentwood
5380 Hickory Hollow Parkway Freeland Chevrolet, LLC $2,250,000 41,000 Airport South
213 3rd Avenue North Gary Bowie & Melody Anne Malloy $825,000 12,412 Downtown
RECENT LEASING TRANSACTIONSLEASING ACTIVITY
PROPERTY TENANT SIZE SF TYPE SUBMARKET
The Ragland Building Asurion 92,000 New Downtown
AT&T Tower Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman 44,000 Sublease Downtown
5301 Virginia Way Associate Pathologists 28,804 Expansion Brentwood
12 Cadillac Drive The Rehab Documentation Center 11,466 New Brentwood44 Vantage Way Maximus, Inc. 11,134 New MetroCenter
DEFINITIONS
Colliers Inventory - Our market set of data is pulled from CoStar Group and includes all single and multi tenant office buildings above 20,000 SF. Buildings that are for educational, governmental or medical use have been removed from the data set.
Absorption - The net change in occupied space between the current quarter and the previous quarter, calculated by summing all the positive changes in occupancy and subtracting all the negative changes in occupancy.
Class A Building - Most prestigious buildings competing for premier office users with rents above average for the area. Buildings have high quality standard finishes, state of the art systems, exceptional accessibility and a definite market presence.
Class B Building - Buildings competing for a wide range of users with average rents. Building finishes are fair to good for the area and systems are adequate but the building does not compete with Class A at the same price.
Class C Building - Buildings competing for tenants requiring functional space at rents below the average for the area.
Vacancy Rate - Percentage rate of the total amount of physically vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory.
*Bold text denotes Colliers International Nashville transactions.
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2012 | OFFICE | NASHVILLE
www.colliersnashville.com
HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE QUARTER• Kelsey Morgan was welcomed to our
office as the new Director of Research in June. Kelsey previously worked with Cassidy Turley in Nashville as a broker assistant.
• Nate Greene, Bert Mathews, Terry E. Smith and Tony Vaughn were honored as Commercial Real Estate Power Leaders by the Nashville Business Journal.
• Shane Douglas was announced as a nominee for the Nashville Chamber of Commerce’s annual Emerging Leaders survey. Shane was the only commercial real estate broker to receive this honor this year.
• Nashville was named as having the fourth strongest economy in the United States by Policom.
• Thumbtack.com ranked Nashville as the fifth best city to start a business.
• Forbes named Nashville as the seventh “Best City for Finding Employment Right Now,” the number 10 best city for tech jobs and the number nine “Best Big City for Jobs.”
• Nashville continues to have a significantly lower unemployment rate than the country overall when the United States government released the national unemployment rate at 8.2%. Nashville boasts an unemployment rate of 6.8%
• Kiplinger named Nashville number one of its list of eight US metropolitan areas that are “poised to become job-creating machines in the years ahead.”
UPDATE Market Comparisons
OFFICE MARKET
SUBMARKET BLDGS TOTALINVENTORY
SF
DIRECTVACANT
SF
DIRECTVACANCY
RATE
SUBLEASEVACANCY
RATE
VACANCY RATE PRIOR
QTR
NET ABSORPTIONCURRENT QTR
NET ABSORPTION
YTDUNDER
CONSTRUCTION
AVG ASKING RATE
AIRPORT NORTH 58 4,865,420 364,546 7.5% 0.7% 9.1% 105,452 91,653 0 $17.93
AIRPORT SOUTH 75 4,095,582 449,418 11.0% 0.6% 16.3% 79,856 107,887 0 $14.54
BRENTWOOD 84 5,824,592 347,428 6.0% 0.2% 5.4% 10,681 18,384 4,500 $21.48
COOL SPRINGS/FRANKLIN 95 7,325,155 427,002 5.8% 0.4% 6.1% 57,021 251,577 223,000 $21.13
DOWNTOWN 92 11,407,979 1,468,120 12.9% 2.0% 18.6% 82,839 198,997 20,000 $18.50
GREEN HILLS/MUSIC ROW 60 3,065,468 178,707 5.8% 0.4% 6.4% 8,808 (10,844) 0 $20.91
METROCENTER 27 2,459,538 277,562 11.0% 0.0% 7.6% 64,109 90,849 0 $16.84
RIVERGATE/NORTH 46 2,195,752 102,925 4.7% 0.1% 14.0% (1,335) (1,656) 0 $16.35
WEST END/BELLE MEADE 68 6,060,850 269,144 4.4% 0.3% 6.4% 36,013 57,211 52,000 $22.59
CLASS
A 115 18,296,686 1,272,829 7.0% 1.6% 7.0% 158,270 376,771 184,500 $21.91
B 341 21,183,063 2,090,517 9.8% 0.3% 12.8% (25,445) 131,185 115,000 $17.60
C 156 7,993,550 621,725 7.8% 0.5% 18.6% (20,698) (9,921) 0 $14.88
TOTAL 612 47,544,666 3,985,071 8.2% 0.8% 10.5% 112,127 498,035 299,500 $18.42
MARKET REPORT | Q2 2012 | OFFICE | NASHVILLE
www.colliersnashville.com
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Richard Fulton, CCIMDIR +1 615 850 2719
Vice President
Nate Greene, CCIMDIR +1 615 850 2729Managing Partner &
President
Bert MathewsDIR +1 615 850 2701Partner & President
Chris Grear, CCIMDIR +1 615 850 2702
Vice President
John Gifford, CCIMDIR +1 615 850 2713
Senior Associate
Shane Douglas, CCIMDIR +1 615 850 2734
Associate
Lee ParadiseDIR +1 615 850 2717
Vice President
Vickie SaitoDIR +1 615 850 2711
Senior Associate
UNITED STATES:
NashvilleNate GreeneManaging Partner & President300 BroadwayNashville, TN, 37201TEL +1 615 850 2729FAX +1 615 850 3229
Kelsey MorganDirector of Research300 BroadwayNashville, TN, 37201TEL +1 615 850 2758FAX +1 615 244 3258
522 offices in 66 countries on 6 continents
• $1.8 billion in annual revenue• 1.25 billion square feet under management
• 12,300 professionals
Copyright © Colliers International
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it.
Accelerating success.
ABOUT COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL – NASHVILLE
Collier International Nashville is one of the largest full service commercial real estate firms in the region. Its brokers provide a myriad of services to owners and tenants with a commitment to excellence that has won them the respect of local, national and international clients for many years. With more than 25 employees, the firm serves clients ranging from Fortune 500 corporations, major banks and insurance companies to investors, private institutions and small businesses.
Chad PoffDIR +1 615 850 2707
Associate
Charlotte Ford, CCIMDIR +1 615 850 2751
Senior Associate
Bill NeillDIR +1 615 850 2742
Vice President
Mark WoolwineDIR +1 615 850 2732
Vice President
1. Hendersonville2. Downtown3. MetroCenter4. West End5. Green Hills/Music Row6. Airport North7. Airport South8. Brentwood9. Cool Springs/Franklin
Allison SchepmanDirector of Marketing300 BroadwayNashville, TN, 37201TEL +1 615 850 2748FAX +1 615 244 3248