2AC Answers to China Soft Power

  • Upload
    wdlzpa

  • View
    220

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/31/2019 2AC Answers to China Soft Power

    1/4

    2AC Answers to China Soft Power DA

    First,

    US LEADERSHIP PREVENTS WARS -- CHINA IS ONLY INTERESTED IN SPACE TO DECREASE U.S.

    SUPERIORITY

    Baohui Zhang, Director of the Center for Asia Pacific Studies, Lingnan Univ, Feb. 2011

    Richard J. Adams and Martin E. France, U.S. Air Force officers, contend that Chinese interests in

    space weapons do not hinge on winning a potential U.S.-Chinese ASAT battle or participating in a

    space arms race. Instead, they argue, Chinas military space program is driven by a desire to

    counter the space-enabled advantage of U.S. conventional forces. This perspective implies that

    given the predicted U.S. superiority in conventional warfare, China feels compelled to continue its

    offensive military space program. Inevitably, this perspective sees China as the main instigator of a

    possible space arms race, whether implicitly or explicitly.

    Next: plan increases United States hege as said by their sabier and faith 5-17 cards.

    United States Hegemony fosters stability and prevents prolif in East Asia

    Cook et al 10 Malcolm, East Asia Program Director at the Lowy Institute for International Policy (June 2010,MacArthur Foundation and the Lowy Institute, Raoul Heinrichs, Rory Medcalf, Andrew Shearer, Power and

    Choice: Asian Security Futures,

    http://asiasecurity.macfound.org/images/uploads/blog_attachments/Asian_security_futures_-

    _final_version.pdf)

    Today, in 2010, it is widely held that the United States is the predominant security player in Asia. Yet, there is also

    a growing consensus including in some quarters in Americathat US primacy is already in terminal decline. Today, the

    orthodox question about US strategic primacy in Asia is when, not if, it will end. The global financial crisis and its aftermath have simply

    increased the number and volume of those voicing this conventional wisdom. The logic goes that as China rises in most facets of national

    power, the United States relative power will naturally decline, and over time even US alliance partners in Asia will seek to become more

    autonomous from the United States and develop strong ties across the board with China. This logic has been applied to portray the Roh Moo-

    hyun regime in South Korea before it was replaced by a pro-alliance conservative administration under Lee Myung-bak; 10 to the latestAustralian defence white paper, despite its ambiguous judgements on the prospective endurance of US primacy; 11 and to the campaign

    rhetoric of Japans new Prime Minister, Yukio Hatoyama, and the early days of his administration. 1 2 This chapter goes against that

    grain and argues that US strategic primacy in Asia will continue for the next two to three decades at least.

    Not only that, but the changing interests of the major powers in Asia outside China and the changing way the

    United States maintains its primacy will actually strengthen the political and diplomatic foundations of this

    status quo. A dramatic diminution of American power, whether through retrenchment or the rise of competitors, has long

    been a nightmare among many of Asias security thinkers, and especially for US allies who, faced with a choice, may well

  • 7/31/2019 2AC Answers to China Soft Power

    2/4

    prefer to assume greater alliance burdens than to see the wholesale erosion of Americas position in Asia. US strategic primacy has

    underpinned the security of the sea lines of communication the region depends on for trade and energy,

    while extended nuclear deterrence has eased the proliferation pressures on allies and partners and the

    threats posed to them by Chinese, Russian and now North Korean nuclear capability.

    Now extend their impacts of east asian nuclear war.

  • 7/31/2019 2AC Answers to China Soft Power

    3/4

    CHINESE SOFT POWER BAD: US-CHINA RELATIONS

    INCREASING CHINESE SOFT POWER WILL TRIGGER US CONTAINMENT AND

    CONFLICT

    Sujan Guo, professor in the Department of Political Science and Director of Center for US-China Policy

    Studies (CUSCPS) at San Francisco State University, CHINAS PEACEFUL RISE, 2006,

    http://bss.sfsu.edu/sguo/My%20articles/006%20Introduction.pdf

    China can meet these challenges. In world history, no any major power has risen peacefully. From the

    early colonial powers Spain and Britain, to late industrializers, Germany and Japan, all new powers

    fought all its way to their power status. The history of the United States is the history of confrontation,

    even conflict, with the other great powers of the earth, first with Britain and France in the 19

    th

    centuryand then with Germany, Japan, and then Russia in the 20th century, not to mention many wars fought

    by proxy. Moreover, the past experience of great powers suggest that dominant powers have typically

    seen rising powers as potential threats and have sought to thwart their rise. Containment, however, has

    often produced a nationalist backlash in the rising power that has intensified its desire to revise the

    status quo.The rapid economic development associated with rising power also tends to produce

    complex domestic political pressures that can prove destabilizing.

  • 7/31/2019 2AC Answers to China Soft Power

    4/4