26 Th January,2016 Daily Global Regional,Local Rice E_Newsletter by Riceplus Magazine

8/20/2019 26 Th January,2016 Daily Global Regional,Local Rice E_Newsletter by Riceplus Magazine

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Daily Global, Regional & Local Rice E-Newsletter

1 | w w w . r i c e p l u s s . c o m , w w w . r i c e p l u s m a g a z i n e . b l o s g s p o t . c o m

January 26,2016 Vol 6 Issue

www.ricepluss.com [email protected] 92 321 36


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Editorial Board

Chief Editor

Hamlik

Managing Editor

Abdul Sattar Shah

Rahmat Ullah

Rozeen Shaukat

English Editor

Maryam Editor

Legal Advisor

Advocate Zaheer Minha

Editorial Associates

Admiral (R) Hamid Kh

Javed Islam Agha

Ch.Hamid Malhi

Dr.Akhtar Hussain

Dr.Fayyaz Ahmad Sidd

Dr.Abdul Rasheed (UA

Islam Akhtar Khan

Editorial Advisory Board

Dr.Malik Mohammad

HashimAssistant Professor, Goma

University DIK

Dr.Hasina GulAssistant Director, Agriculture KP

Dr.Hidayat UllahAssistant Professor, Unive

of Swabi

Dr.Abdul BasirAssistant Professor, Unive

of Swabi

Zahid MehmoodPSO,NIFA Peshawar

Falak Naz ShahHead Food Science &

Technology ART, Peshawar

Today Rice News Headlines...

Oil and rice prices to remain steady this year – WB report

Phoney rice data threaten Indonesia supply Vietnam rice exports increase due to unexpected year-end demand

01/26/2016 Farm Bureau Market Report

4-crop yielding pattern stressed in Barind

USDA: China rice-export pact near

Rice Leadership Grad Named Rice Farmer of the Year


APEDA Rice Community News

News Dtail...

Oil and rice prices to remain steady this year –

WB report

by Cai Ordinario - January 26, 2016By Cai U. OrdinarioThe World Bank (WB) expects oil prices to remain below $60 per barreluntil 2020.In its latest Commodity Markets Outlook released by the WB, oil prices willaverage $37 per barrel (bbl) in 2016, lower than its $52-per-bbl forecast in

October 2015.Beyond 2016, the WB expects oil prices to average $48/bbl in 2017;$51.4/bbl in 2018; $54.9/bbl in 2019; and $58.8/bbl in 2020.―Low prices foroil and commodities are likely to be with us for some time,‖ said JohnBaffes, senior economist and lead author of the Commodities MarketsOutlook. ―While we see some prospect for commodity prices to rise slightlyover the next two years, significant downside risks remain.‖

Oil prices fell by 47 percent in 2015 and are expected to decline, on anannual average, by another 27 percent in 2016.However, the WB said thereis a gradual recovery in oil prices this year. This expected uptick in prices

will be smaller than the rebounds that followed sharp drops in 2008, 1998and 1986.The Washington- based lender’s data showed that average oil prices has been low throughout 2015 at an average of $50.8/bbl. Oil pricesdropped below $100/bbl in 2014 when oil prices averaged $96.2/bbl.DubaiCrude, which is the country’s main oil import, averaged $51.2/bbl on 2015and $96.7/bbl in 2014.


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―First, the sharp oil price drop in early 2016 does not appear fully warranted by fundamentaldrivers of oil demand and supply, and is likely to partly reverse,‖ WB said.―Second, high-cost oil producers are expected to sustain persistent losses and increasingly make production cuts that arelikely to outweigh any additional capacity coming to the market. Third, demand is expected to

strengthen somewhat with a modest pickup in global growth,‖ it added.Apart from oil, the WBsaid rice prices are also expected to remain below $400 per metric ton (MT) in 2016 and beyond.For 2016, rice prices are expected to average $370/MT, and in 2017 it will average $374/MT.Rice prices are expected to average $379/MT, $383/MT and $387/MT in 2018, 2019 and 2020,respectively.

Rice prices reached $506/MT in 2013 and $423/MT in 2014. In 2015 global rice prices averaged$386/MT.However, the El Niño phenomenon is expected to cut rice production globally. In thePhilippines, rice production is forecasted to slow to 11.5 million metric tons (MMT) in 2016.―Global rice production is also expected to decline marginally (from 478 to 470 million tons) onweakening output prospects in Asia, particularly in India, the Philippines and Thailand, the

world’s top rice exporter,‖ the report stated.―The stocks-to-use ratio for rice is expected to dropto 18.6 percent, down from last season’s 21.7 percent. The ongoing tightness in the rice markethas been linked to El Niño,‖ it added.

Overall, the WB said that prices for 37 of the 46 commodities were revised downward for 2016.The global lender said emerging market economies have been the main source of commoditydemand growth since 2000 but weakening growth prospects in these economies are weighing oncommodity prices.The bank estimates that a further slowdown in major emerging markets would reduce trading partner growth and global commodity demand.―Low commodity prices are a double-edgedsword, where consumers in importing countries stand to benefit while producers in net exporting

countries suffer,‖ said Ayhan Kose, Director of the World Bank’s Development ProspectsGroup. ―It takes time for the benefits of lower commodity prices to be transformed into strongereconomic growth among importers, but commodity exporters are feeling the pain right away.‖ http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/oil-and-rice-prices-to-remain-steady-this-year-wb-report/

Phoney rice data threaten Indonesia supply

January 26, 2016 1:00 am

JAKARTA - Indonesian agriculture officials routinely inflate rice harvest data to present a rosy

picture to the government and keep farm subsidies flowing, but their latest phoney numberscould lead to a severe shortage of the staple in coming months, officials say.If the data had been

correct, Indonesia would be awash in rice supplies and President Joko Widodo would have less

to worry about. The number rigging, critics say, flies in the face of food self-sufficiency targets

that he has been aggressively pursuing since taking office in 2014.


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"These numbers are so exaggerated," said a senior government official who declined to be named

because of the sensitivity of the issue. "We're scrambling right now to build stocks in case there's

a failed harvest in February and March."

Only last month, supply shortages forced the government to import rice hurriedly from Thailand

and Vietnam to avoid a surge in prices, which in the past has sparked civil unrest and contributed

to the downfall of autocratic leader Suharto.

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/business/MEGA-PROJECTS-TO-BE-UNDER-WAY-BY-

MIDYEAR-30277712.html

Vietnam rice exports increase due to unexpected year-end

demand

1/25/2016 - by World Grain Staff

Share This:

Search for similar articles by keyword: [Rice], [USDA report]

WASHINGTON, D.C., U.S. —Vietnam’s rice exports for market year 2014-15 are revised upfrom 6.3 million tonnes to 6.5 million tonnes, due to unexpected demand from Vietnam’straditional markets at the end of calendar year 2015. For the 2015-16 market year, rice exportsare revised down from 7.1 million tonnes to 6 million tonnes, due to expected low carry-overstocks from the market year 2014-15, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Foreign

Agricultural Service (FAS) reported on Jan. 8.

Total rice production for the market year 2014-15 is expected to reach 45.18 million tonnes of paddy rice, or approximately 28.24 million tonnes of milled rice, according to the report. This isa slight increase compared to market year 2013-14 production (about 100,000 tonnes of paddy).The increase in production is mainly due to the larger planted and harvested area of winter crop,due to low level flooding in the Mekong River Delta (MRD).

The autumn crop is mainly located in the southern provinces. The MRD typically accounts formore than 80% of the total autumn crop planting area. As of Dec. 15, 2015, the harvest of themarket year 2014-15 autumn crop is nearly completed, due to decreased water supply caused by

lower flooding water level. For crops in some planted areas, yield is expected down (from 5.58tonnes per hectare to 5.5 tonnes per hectare) resulting in lower production (from an expected16.06 million tonnes to 15.84 million tonnes).

Also due to the lower flooding water level, farmers were able to expand their areas for wintercrop, the latest crop of the year. The harvested area for winter crop was revised from 1.7 million

http://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/Rice?ID=%7B138D9D62-19C2-4B72-A553-174C8E11ABDE%7Dhttp://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/Rice?ID=%7B138D9D62-19C2-4B72-A553-174C8E11ABDE%7Dhttp://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/Rice?ID=%7B138D9D62-19C2-4B72-A553-174C8E11ABDE%7Dhttp://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/USDA-report?ID=%7BCAB0A94C-3BD6-41A1-AE64-11898149E03D%7Dhttp://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/USDA-report?ID=%7BCAB0A94C-3BD6-41A1-AE64-11898149E03D%7Dhttp://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/USDA-report?ID=%7BCAB0A94C-3BD6-41A1-AE64-11898149E03D%7Dhttp://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/USDA-report?ID=%7BCAB0A94C-3BD6-41A1-AE64-11898149E03D%7Dhttp://www.world-grain.com/articles/keywords/Rice?ID=%7B138D9D62-19C2-4B72-A553-174C8E11ABDE%7D


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hectares to 1.8 million hectares, the report said. The market year 2014-15 winter crop productionwas revised up from 8.16 million tonnes to 8.64 million tonnes.

In the recent year, Vietnam has exported rice to neighbor countries, mainly China, via bordertrade. However, the trade volumes have not been recorded in the official numbers of both selling

and buying countries. The report therefore cannot include the number of such trade volumes intothe export numbers and has to consider these volumes as a part of local consumption.Rice stock in market year 2014-15 is estimated to be very low due to unexpected increases indemand from Indonesia and the Philippines. Rice stock in market year 2015-16, however, isexpected to be at an identical low level compared to market year 2014-15, which will preventVietnam from exporting large amounts in market year 2015-16.

http://www.world-

grain.com/articles/news_home/World_Grain_News/2016/01/Vietnam_rice_exports_increase.aspx?ID={A

F56332C-6074-4B54-A97C-7C1414DB34F3}

01/26/2016 Farm Bureau Market ReportRice

High Low

Long Grain Cash Bids - - - - - -

Long Grain New Crop - - - - - -

Futures:ROUGH RICE

High Low Last Change

Mar '16 1110.0 1092.0 1107.5 +6.5

May '16 1132.5 1120.0 1135.5 +6.5

Jul '16 1151.0 1151.0 1163.0 +6.5

Sep '16 1172.0 +12.0

Nov '16 1195.0 +12.0


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Jan '17 1195.5 +12.0

Mar '17 1195.5 +12.0

Rice Comment

Rice prices close slightly higher today. The market remains near the bottom of the recent trading

range as prices continue to be pressured by January's bearish USDA report. The market will be

closely watching tomorrow's export sales report to see if lower prices are stirring additional

demand.

4-crop yielding pattern stressed in Barind

RAJSHAHI: Agricultural scientists and researchers have unequivocally called for promotion of

four crop-based yielding pattern through the best uses of modern technologies in the vast Barind

tract for sustaining soil fertility and crop productivity specially BARI Sharisha15. They viewedthere has been an enormous prospects of bringing harvesting intensity coupled with increasing

food production through successful promotion of the Aush-Aman-Mustard-Mungbean cropping

pattern. Farmers have vital role to play in this regard. To maintain sound soil health, it could be

http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/assets/images/news_images/2016/01/25/25366506-green-crop-field-of-bangladesh-stock-photo_12388.jpghttp://click.aristotle.net/click.aspx?lid=CG0B27IlQwhhttp://click.aristotle.net/click.aspx?lid=CG4Q66I-Uglhttp://click.aristotle.net/click.aspx?lid=CG4A66M-Qhl


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advisable to grow mustard, particularly BARI Sharisha15 using a different system in order to

improve compatibility between monsoon rice and upland winter crops.

This would also suit the shift in economic importance towards the winter crops over monsoon

rice. They were addressing a farmers training and field day programme titled "Four Crop-based

Cropping Pattern Development Programme towards intensifying cropping intensity and Yield"

held at Belpukur under Godagari upazila of the district on Sunday. Barind Centre of On-Farm

Research Division (OFRD) under Bangladesh Agriculture Research Institute (BARI) organised

the training in a bid to sensitize the farmers towards adopting the cropping pattern. The initiative

has been taken to increase agricultural production and income of marginalised farming families

of the Barind tract by adapting climate adaptive sustainable agricultural technologies,

diversifying income generating activities and skill development. Additional Deputy Director of

Department of Agriculture Extension Shamsul Haque addressed the training as chief guest with

Dr Alim Uddin, Principal Scientific Officer of BARI, in the chair.

Principal Scientific Officer of Regional Wheat Research Station Dr Ilias Hossain, Scientific

Officer and Officer-in-Charge of Barind Center Dr Shakhawat Hossain and its Scientific Officer

Enayet Ali Pramanik also spoke. They also visited some projection plots of BARI Sharisha15, ahigh yielding mustard variety innovated by Bangladesh Rice Research Institute (BRRI), that has

gained popularity among farmers in the region including its vast barind tract for the last couple

of years. The newly innovated variety has opened up a door of boosting oil seed production

along with mitigating the adverse impact of climate change.

Speaking on the occasion, the visiting scientists and researchers have urged upon the farmers to

promote the new mustard variety for better yield to meet up the country's gradually increasing

edible oil demand. Dr Shakhawat Hossain said the short duration mustard variety should be

incorporated in the cropping diversity in the region for welfare of the farmers in general as well

as the nation. The cash crop is now being cultivated everywhere in the region as it had immense

prospects to achieve self-reliance in oil seed productions.-Asfar

http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/2016/01/25/12388


By Scott Morris This article was published January 26, 2016 at 2:43 a.m.

The U.S. and China are in the "last phase" of completing an agreement that would allow exports

of U.S. rice to China, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said Monday.The deal, 15 years in the

making, would give U.S. rice producers access to the world's largest rice market. It would notguarantee sales.The chairman of USA Rice, a trade group, said he expected the first shipments of

U.S. rice could be on their way to China by late spring or early summer."We've been told by our

government that it's a done deal," said Dow Brantley, a Lonoke County farmer who is chairman

of the trade group representing producers, millers and exporters.

http://www.arkansasonline.com/staff/scott-morris/http://www.arkansasonline.com/staff/scott-morris/http://www.arkansasonline.com/staff/scott-morris/http://www.arkansasonline.com/staff/scott-morris/


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U.S. Department of Agriculture officials laid out the details of the agreement to USA Rice

officials Thursday, Brantley said, and USA Rice announced the deal late Friday.Brantley said

Monday that he could not confirm that the so-called phytosanitary protocol for rice had yet been

signed by representatives of the U.S. and Chinese governments.A USDA spokesman said

Monday there was still work to be done."USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Servicecan confirm that we and China's Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and

Quarantine are in the last phase of finalizing this regulatory process," the spokesman said in an

emailed statement. "However, an agreement has not yet been signed.

"Greg Yielding, executive director of the Arkansas Rice Growers Association, said U.S. rice

cannot be shipped to China until officials sign the protocol.The agreement covers rice packaged

for sale in grocery stores, not bulk shipments, Yielding said. He and other industry

representatives in Arkansas said affluent Chinese consumers want to be able to buy high-quality

U.S. rice in their stores.None of the industry officials was prepared Monday to estimate how

much U.S. rice the Chinese might purchase.

"China is the largest rice producer and consumer," said Bill Reed, vice president of corporate

communications and public affairs for Riceland Foods, Inc. in Stuttgart. "Just a small percentage

of the Chinese market would be big."Keith Glover, president and chief executive officer of

Producers Rice Mill, Inc. in Stuttgart, agreed, noting China has a population of 1.3 billion

people."We wouldn't have to have much of that market to make a material difference for our

industry here," Glover said.Even though the protocol hasn't been signed, Arkansas rice mills are

preparing to meet its standards, Yielding said.Trade groups have already forwarded lists of

Arkansas mills that wish to participate to USDA, Yielding said, so that they can be scheduled for

inspection under the terms of the phytosanitary protocol.

Two Chinese demands extended the negotiations, Yielding said.The first was that U.S. mills

agree to lay out traps for the Khapra beetle and fumigate their rice packages when the insect is

found, Yielding said. Mills also will have to keep records of what is found in the traps and make

that information available to the Chinese, he said.Producers said the beetle is rare in the U.S. and

initially argued that putting out traps for it was unnecessary.The second Chinese demand was for

U.S. mills to use labels that list all of the varieties of rice contained in each of their packages,

Yielding said. Some mills objected, noting that mixing of rice varieties is common in the United

States.Brantley said 30 varieties of long-grain rice are grown in Arkansas, further complicating

the task for the state's mills. Under the final agreement, Brantley said, the labels will state that

the packages "may contain" any of a list of varieties.

Business on 01/26/2016

Print Headline: USDA: China rice-export pact near

http://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2016/jan/26/usda-china-rice-export-pact-near-201601/


9/13



Rice Leadership Grad Named Rice Farmer of the Year

By Deborah Willenborg

MEMPHIS, TN -- Mark Isbell of North Little Rock, Arkansas, was named 2016 Rice Farmer of

the Year at the Cotton & Rice Conference here. Isbell is part of a multi-generation rice farm incentral Arkansas focused on zero-grade farming and rice behind rice rotation. He earned both a

BA and an MA from the University of Arkansas at Little Rock, where he teaches part time.

Isbell also is a graduate of the Rice Leadership Development program and gave the class

commencement address at their graduation ceremony during the 2015 USA Rice Government

Affairs Conference. Isbell's speech focused on his main take-away from the two-year

program: "We have learned leadership is not about position; it is about affecting change and

carrying your load wherever you are."

"I'm not surprised to see Mark acknowledged as Farmer of the Year at this major ag conference,"

said Chuck Wilson, executive director of The Rice Foundation and manager of the Rice

Leadership Development program. "He is an exceptional individual, recognized for his

commitment and leadership by both his peers and the industry. Program participants are chosen

for their leadership potential and it's obvious Mark has already begun making the most of his."

The Rice Leadership Program is generously sponsored by John Deere Company, RiceTec, Inc.

and American Commodity Company through The Rice Foundation and managed by USA Rice.


By Scott Morris

Posted: January 26, 2016 at 2:43 a.m.

The U.S. and China are in the "last phase" of completing an agreement that would allow exportsof U.S. rice to China, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said Monday.The deal, 15 years in themaking, would give U.S. rice producers access to the world's largest rice market. It would notguarantee sales.The chairman of USA Rice, a trade group, said he expected the first shipments ofU.S. rice could be on their way to China by late spring or early summer.

"We've been told by our government that it's a done deal," said Dow Brantley, a Lonoke Countyfarmer who is chairman of the trade group representing producers, millers and exporters.U.S.Department of Agriculture officials laid out the details of the agreement to USA Rice officialsThursday, Brantley said, and USA Rice announced the deal late Friday.Brantley said Mondaythat he could not confirm that the so-called phytosanitary protocol for rice had yet been signed

mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.nwaonline.com/staff/scott-morris/http://www.nwaonline.com/staff/scott-morris/http://www.nwaonline.com/staff/scott-morris/http://www.nwaonline.com/staff/scott-morris/mailto:[email protected]


10/13



by representatives of the U.S. and Chinese governments.A USDA spokesman said Monday therewas still work to be done.

"USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service can confirm that we and China'sAdministration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine are in the last phase offinalizing this regulatory process," the spokesman said in an emailed statement. "However, anagreement has not yet been signed."Greg Yielding, executive director of the Arkansas RiceGrowers Association, said U.S. rice cannot be shipped to China until officials sign the protocol.

The agreement covers rice packaged for sale in grocery stores, not bulk shipments, Yielding said.He and other industry representatives in Arkansas said affluent Chinese consumers want to beable to buy high-quality U.S. rice in their stores.None of the industry officials was preparedMonday to estimate how much U.S. rice the Chinese might purchase.

"China is the largest rice producer and consumer," said Bill Reed, vice president of corporatecommunications and public affairs for Riceland Foods, Inc. in Stuttgart. "Just a small percentageof the Chinese market would be big."Keith Glover, president and chief executive officer of

Producers Rice Mill, Inc. in Stuttgart, agreed, noting China has a population of 1.3 billion people."We wouldn't have to have much of that market to make a material difference for ourindustry here," Glover said.Even though the protocol hasn't been signed, Arkansas rice mills are preparing to meet its standards, Yielding said.Trade groups have already forwarded lists ofArkansas mills that wish to participate to USDA, Yielding said, so that they can be scheduled forinspection under the terms of the phytosanitary protocol.

Two Chinese demands extended the negotiations, Yielding said.The first was that U.S. millsagree to lay out traps for the Khapra beetle and fumigate their rice packages when the insect isfound, Yielding said. Mills also will have to keep records of what is found in the traps and makethat information available to the Chinese, he said.Producers said the beetle is rare in the U.S. andinitially argued that putting out traps for it was unnecessary.The second Chinese demand was for

U.S. mills to use labels that list all of the varieties of rice contained in each of their packages,Yielding said. Some mills objected, noting that mixing of rice varieties is common in the UnitedStates.Brantley said 30 varieties of long-grain rice are grown in Arkansas, further complicatingthe task for the state's mills. Under the final agreement, Brantley said, the labels will state thatthe packages "may contain" any of a list of varieties.

Business on 01/26/2016

http://www.nwaonline.com/news/2016/jan/26/usda-china-rice-export-pact-near-201601/

APEDA Rice Commodity News

International Benchmark Price

Price on: 26-01-2016


11/13



Product Benchmark Indicators Name Price

Apricots

1 Turkish No. 2 whole pitted, CIF UK (USD/t) 4875

2 Turkish No. 4 whole pitted, CIF UK (USD/t) 4375

3 Turkish size 8, CIF UK (USD/t) 3625

Sultanas

1 Australian 5 Crown, CIF UK (USD/t) 2736

2 South African Orange River, CIF UK (USD/t) 2609

3 Turkish No 9 standard, FOB Izmir (USD/t) 1925

White Sugar

1 CZCE White Sugar Futures (USD/t) 816

2 Kenya Mumias white sugar, EXW (USD/t) 691

3 Pakistani refined sugar, EXW Akbari Mandi (USD/t) 546

Source:agra-net For more info

Market WatchCommodity-wise, Market-wise Daily Price on 23-01-2016

Domestic Prices Unit Price : Rs per Qty

Product Market Center Variety Min Price Max Price

Rice

1 Aroor (Kerala) Other 3000 3200

2 Srirampur (Assam) Common 2900 3200

3 Gajol (West Bengal) Other 1750 1850

Wheat


12/13



1 Dahod (Gujarat) Lokwan 1800 1950

2 Bangalore (Karnataka) Local 2600 3200

3 Bolpur (West Bengal) Other 1660 1700

Guava

1 Batala (Punjab) Other 1300 1500

2 Solan (Himachal Pradesh) Other 2200 2400

3 Nasik (Maharashtra) Other 1250 2250

Brinjal

1 Jagraon (Punjab) Other 1000 1240

2 Jalgaon (Maharashtra) Other 1500 2500

3 Gajol (West Bengal) Other 1100 1300

Source:agmarknet.nic.in For more info

Egg Rs per 100 No

Price on 25-01-2016

Product Market Center Price

1 Ahmedabad 439

2 Hyderabad 400

3 Namakkal 415

Source: e2necc.com

Other International Prices Unit Price : US$ per package

Price on 26-01-2016

Product Market Center Origin Variety Low High

Potatoes Package: 50 lb cartons

http://agmarknet.nic.in/http://agmarknet.nic.in/http://agmarknet.nic.in/http://e2necc.com/http://e2necc.com/http://e2necc.com/http://e2necc.com/http://agmarknet.nic.in/


13/13



1 Atlanta Colorado Russet 16 16.50

2 Chicago Idaho Russet 15 18

3 Detroit Wisconsin Russet 16 16.50

Cucumbers Package: cartons film wrapped

1 Atlanta Mexico Long Seedless 20 21

2 Chicago Canada Long Seedless 14 15

3 Dallas California Long Seedless 15 16.50

Apples Package: cartons tray pack

1 Atlanta Virginia Red Delicious 27 28

2 Chicago Washington Red Delicious 21 22.50

3 Miami Washington Red Delicious 22 22

Source:USDA

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26 Th January,2016 Daily Global Regional,Local Rice E_Newsletter by Riceplus Magazine