202lec 11 Carbon Cycle and Greenhouse Effect 202 Summer 2008 Presentation

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    Biogeochemical Cycles 20 essential inorganic elements for living

    organisms.

    Unlike energy - essentially no input of

    inorganic nutrients

    Essential elements present in finite amounts

    recycled from dead tissue and wastes

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    Earths ecosystems are maintained by a

    constant influx of energy

    Solar

    Energy Autotroph Herbivore Carnivore

    Respiratory Loss

    Transformation Loss of Energy

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    Biogeochemical Cycles

    Cycling of chemical elements

    between living and non-living

    portions of the earths ecosystems

    Biotic

    Abiotic

    Uptake

    Decomposition

    Respiration

    Excretion

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    Abiotic Reservoirs for Essential

    Elements

    Lithosphere (bedrock and soil)

    Atmosphere

    Hydrosphere (especially the

    ocean)

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    Carbon Cycle

    Where do we find carbon?

    Air (carbon dioxide)

    Dissolved in water:

    Carbonic acid

    Carbonate and bicarbonate ions Rocks and soil:

    e.g. limestone calcium carbonate

    Fossil fuel deposits:

    Coal, oil, natural gas

    Living organisms - organic molecules:

    Carbohydrates, proteins, fats)

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    Relative amounts of carbon in Reservoirs

    and living and dead Tissues

    Atmosphere = 1

    Living organisms = 0.66

    Decaying Organic Matter = 6.7 Fossil Fuels =14.3

    Ocean Waters = 50

    Carbonate Sediments (limestone) = 29,000,000

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    Types of Reservoirs Active Reservoirs

    Storage Reservoirs

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    Active Reservoirs for Carbon

    Atmosphere

    C

    arbon dioxide Hydrosphere

    Carbon dioxide

    Bicarbonate ionsCarbonate ions

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    Storage Reservoirs forC

    arbon

    Carbonate rocks

    limestone Fossil fuels

    Coal

    OilNatural Gas

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    Chemicals move from one abiotic

    Reservoir to another

    AtmosphereCO2

    Carbonic acid Bicarbonate ion Carbonate ion

    + Calcium

    Calcium CarbonateSedimentary

    Rock

    (Limestone)

    Volcanic

    Activity

    Hydrosphere

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    The Carbon Cycle

    Atmosphere contains0.037% (370 ppm) carbon dioxide

    @720 trillion kg Carbon

    Annually in photosynthesis

    @120 trillion kg of carbon

    1/6 of atmosphericC

    O2

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    Why photosynthesis does not deplete

    atmospheric CO2

    Rapid recycling (high Mobility)

    Biotic and Abiotic

    Oceans stabilize atmospheric concentration

    Release from storage reservoirs

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    Reason 1: There is great mobility of carbon

    Photosynthesis removes CO2 from the atmosphere

    Solar Energy

    CO2 + H2O carbohydrate + oxygen

    Chlorophyll

    120

    trillion kg

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    Reason 1: There is great mobility of carbon

    Respiration/Decomposition returns CO2 to the

    atmosphere

    Carbohydrate + Oxygen CO2 + H2O

    Plants 60 trillion kg

    heterotrophs (decomposers) 60 trillion kg

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    Balance between photosynthesis and

    respiration

    Plants remove 120 trillion kg ofCarbon

    Photosynthesis

    Respiration returns 120 trillion kg of

    Carbon

    Plant respiration 60 trillion kg ofCarbon

    Heterotrophic respiration 60 trillion kg of

    Carbon

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    Seasonal Variation in

    atmospheric carbon dioxide

    Conc.

    carbon

    dioxide

    J F M A M J J A S O N D

    Maximum Photosynthesis

    Month

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    Ocean Help Stabilize Levels of

    Atmospheric CO2

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    Oceans help stabilize Levels of

    Atmospheric CO2

    Ocean AtmosphereEquilibrium

    Ocean Atmosphere

    Ocean Atmosphere

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    Aquatic/Atmospheric Reservoirs

    30 to 50% of Atmospheric carbon dioxide

    in the ocean in a few years

    Currently a Net flux of carbon into ocean

    Carbon Dioxide Net

    Flux 2 trillion kg Atmosphere

    OC

    EAN

    107 trillion kg

    105 trillion kg

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    3. Release from storage Reservoirs:

    Fossil Deposits

    Fossil fuels

    Coal, oil and natural gas

    Carboniferous - 345-280 million YBP

    Carbonate rock

    Shells of marine animals

    Limestone and Dolomite

    Slow exchangeCarbon locked up for millions of years

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    Amounts in the Storage Pools

    Compared to the Atmosphere(Atmosphere = 1)

    Fossil Fuels (14.3)

    Carbonate Sediments (29,000,000)

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    How Does Carbon Get From the

    Storage Reservoirs to the Active

    Reservoirs?

    Burning of fossil fuels

    Subduction and volcanic activity

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    Plate Tectonics

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    PlateTectonics

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    Plate tectonics Plate tectonics

    Move apartSlide past

    Override (subduction)

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    CO2

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    Changes in atmospheric carbon

    dioxide

    In the past 150 years, there has been asubstantial increase in atmospheric carbon

    dioxide

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    Increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide

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    Estimates of Carbon Reservoirs

    Trillion kg of carbon Soil Organic Carbon 1,500

    Litter 100

    Live Biomass 650

    Total 2,250

    Atmosphere 720 Soil + litter + live biomass (2,250 ) is 3Xs

    the atmosphere (720)

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    Forests as Carbon Sinks

    Tree

    Carbon

    dioxide

    PhotosynthesisCarbon is stored in the

    plants tissues (roots, stems,

    and leaves)

    Carbon is incorporated

    into the soil

    Decomposer

    respiration

    Plant respiration

    Carbon

    dioxide

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    Young Forests and Mature

    ForestsGross Primary

    Production

    Respiration

    Carbon Net Primary

    Production

    YOUNG MATURE

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    Young Forests and Mature Forests

    Gross Primary

    Production

    Respiration

    Carbon

    Biomass

    YOUNG MATURE

    Carbon Removed fromthe atmosphere

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    Forests as carbons sinks (Mature Vs. Young

    Forests)

    Young forests

    Accumulate more carbon than they give off in

    respiration

    Represent smaller carbon sinks Mature forests

    Approximate balance between photosynthesis

    and respiration

    Larger sinks for carbon

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    Cutting and Burning Forest returns large

    amounts of carbon to the atmosphere

    What happens when forests

    are converted to cropland?

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    Reasons for increased carbon dioxide

    Industry

    Fossil fuel burning 6.9-7.0 trillion kg of

    carbon (77%)

    Deforestation 1.8-2.0 trillion kg of carbon (22%)

    mostly in tropical regions of the world

    Consequences?

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    Greenhouse EffectGreenhouse

    Glass

    Energy AbsorbedCarbon dioxide lets Shortwave radiation pass through

    0.1-7.0 microns

    long-wave

    radiation is

    absorbed

    8-12 microns

    Solar

    Radiation

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    Greenhouse Gases

    Earth

    In coming

    radiation

    Carbon dioxide

    Energy absorbed by carbon dioxide is

    radiated in all directions.

    Some of this energy is absorbed by the earth

    causing the greenhouse effect.

    CO2 is essentially

    transparent tosolar energy

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    Greenhouse Gases

    Gas % Rel. Efficiency

    Contribution

    CO2 65% 1

    Methane (CH4) 20% 21

    Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 5% 270

    CFCs >5% 15,000

    CFC = Chlorofluorcarbons

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    Greenhouse Gases

    Gas Atmospheric Conc. (ppm)

    CO2 370

    CFCs 0.000225

    Methane* 1.6

    Nitrous Oxide 0.31

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    Methane Production (20% Global

    Warming)

    Natural Sources (40%) Decomposition of detritis

    Human Sources (60%)

    Land fills

    Natural Gas Management

    Livestock Production

    Ruminant 25-500 liters/day Manure Management

    37% of human sources

    2% of global warming

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    1996 (C02 from fossil fuels, cement production, gas flaring)

    RANK NATION CO2 TOT * CO2/ CAP**

    1 UNITEDS

    TATES

    OF AMERICA 1446777 5.3

    72 CHINA (MAINLAND) 917997 0.76

    3 RUSSIAN FEDERATION 431090 2.91

    4 JAPAN 318686 2.54

    5 INDIA 272212 0.29

    6 GERMANY 235050 2.877 UNITED KINGDOM 152015 2.59

    8 CANADA 111723 3.76

    9 REPUBLIC OF KOREA 111370 2.46

    10 ITALY (INCLUDING SAN MARINO) 110052 1.92

    11 UKRAINE 108431 2.10

    12 FRANCE (INCLUDING MONACO) 98750 1.69

    13 POLAND 97375 2.52

    14 MEXICO 95007 1.02

    Total* = 1,000 metric tons of carbon, metric tons per capita**

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    Changes in Carbon dioxide

    Emissions

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    China surpassed USAs emissions in 2006by 8%, Chinas CO2 emissions are now

    estimated to be about 14% higher thanthose from the USA

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    Current Total CO2 Emissions (2007)

    Five Leading Nations

    Country Total (%)China 24

    USA 21

    EU-15 15India 8

    Russian Federation 6%

    Total 71%

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    Per capita Emission Top Five Country Capita (metric tons)

    USA 19.4

    Russia 11.8

    EU-15 8.6

    China 5.1

    India 1.8

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    China Lacks Technology to Curb

    Emissions

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    How much CO2 does the

    earths atmosphere

    accumulate each year?

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    Global Carbon Emissions

    Breakdown Giga tons (Trillion tons)

    Global Emissions: 8.7-9.1

    Fossil fuels: 6.9-7.0 (77%)

    Land-use change (deforestation): 1.8-2.0 (22%)Other (cement production, gas flaring): 0.1 (1%)

    Global Absorption:8.7-9.1

    Remains in atmosphere:4.5

    Absorbed by oceans:2.3

    Absorbed by vegetation:1.9-2.3

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    In er Glacial

    CO2

    2000 1800 1000120014001600

    Year AD

    he Indus rial Revolu ionCaused a

    Drama ic Rise in CO2

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    W ld T

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    World Temperature

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    Changes in World Climate

    Five of the six warmest years in

    meteorological history occurred in this

    century

    Nineteen of warmest years in global

    meteorological history occurred in the

    past 20 years 2006 5th warmest year

    2007 2nd warmest year

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    Departure from World Warming Trend in 1992 and 1993

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    Trends in world temperature Increasing temperature interrupted 1992 &

    1993

    Eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines

    Sulfur dioxide

    two-year cooling trend

    sulfur dioxide - nucleus for water droplets to form

    Increase low cloudiness

    cause world temperatures to cool

    warming resumed in 1994

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    Some consequences of global

    warming?

    Some parts of the world become cooler.

    Loss of biological diversity

    Plant growth faster with less water loss

    Patterns of world crop yields change

    Insect damage to crops increase

    Human tropical diseases may spread Sea level rises

    Climate less predictable

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    Unexpected Climatic Change

    Some parts of the world may

    become markedly cooler!!Ocean Conveyor Belt

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    Loss of pollinators

    L f Bi di it

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    Loss of Biodiversity

    Hummingbirds pollinate flowers in mountains

    Wintering birds migrate at a precise photoperiod Cannot rely on local climate

    Arrive when plants are in flower

    Flowering plants

    Specialized for hummingbirds

    Flower controlled by temp.

    Global warming means earlier flowering Pollinators arrive too late

    Cascading interactions:

    Pollinators have no resources Plants set no seeds

    Herbivores and seed predators decline

    Predators decline

    Wh t th P ibl C

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    What are the Possible Consequences

    of Global Warming?

    Loss of biological diversity

    Loss of migration routes due to habitat destruction

    Encouragement of aggressive, exotic

    species

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    Polar Bears

    Decline in polar bears

    20,000 25,000 Polar bears are now Federally listed

    An endangered species is one that is in

    danger of extinction throughout all or a

    significant portion of its range. Athreatened species is one that is likely

    to become endangered in the foreseeable

    future.

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    Effect of elevated CO2 on plant growth

    Generally plants

    Higher photosynthesis as CO2 increases

    Lose less water

    Negative effects

    Higher temperature and drought

    CO2 H2O

    Crop Yields

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    Crop Yields

    Generally increased crop yields

    Worlds three major crops:

    Rice, corn and wheat

    Tropical regions

    Higher temperatures and reduced moisture

    Likely will decrease crop yields

    Overall no expected change world wide

    Local Change ?

    S f l b l

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    Some consequences of global

    warming?

    Some parts of the world become cooler.

    Loss of biological diversity

    Plant growth faster with less water loss Patterns of world crop yields change

    Insect damage to crops increase

    Human tropical diseases may spread Sea level rises

    Climate less predictable

    l

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    Insect Damage to plants may

    increase due to global warming

    Warmer temperatures

    Increase insect metabolism

    Plants will grow faster

    Less nitrogen per unit of plant tissue

    Insects eat more plant to obtain nitrogen

    Insect pests of crops

    Spread into new areas European corn borer

    Europe and North America

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    Tropical human diseases may spread northward

    Malaria

    Dengue Fever Break bone fever

    Four related Viral disease transmitted by

    mosquitoes

    Symptoms: Rash, fever,

    Joints ache (Break bone fever)

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    Dengue hemorrhagic fever

    Prior immunity: People infect by

    more than one strain of virus

    Bleeding breaks through the skin

    (hemorrhagic disease) small blood

    vessels (capillaries)

    5% of cases fatal

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    Hemmorhagic Disease

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    Vectors

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    Asian Tiger Mosquito

    Now found in

    Peoria, IllinoisAedes aegypti

    Aedes albopictus (Asian tiger

    mosquito) -

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    Transmitted by anopheles mosquito occurs

    every where but Antarctica

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    C f i i l l

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    Consequences of rising sea level

    Estuary systems Quality of coastal fresh water

    Coastal settlements threatened

    include, Tokyo, Los Angeles,Cairo, New York , Shanghia,

    Bangkok

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    Melting of land ice will contribute to Sea Rise

    Why will onlymelting of land icecontribute to sealevel rise?

    Where is most ofthe land ice?

    Antarctica

    Greenland

    West Antarctica ice

    sheet 6 meters

    Climate will be less predictable and climatic

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    Climate will be less predictable and climatic

    extremes will increase

    Will climate change increase severity or frequencyof major storms, including hurricanes

    Some evidence relates frequency of severe hurricanes

    to global warming

    U.S. NOAA (National Ocean and Atmospheric

    Administration)

    Steady increase in precipitation derived from extreme

    one-day precipitation events

    Insurance companies are paying out more money

    because of unexpected disastrous storms

    Kyoto Protocol

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    Kyoto Protocol

    Adopted on 12 December 1997 in Kyoto, Japan

    (UNFCCC)

    Terms for implementation

    55 parties to United Nations FrameworkConvention

    on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 1992 Earth Summit

    At least of 55% of 1990 CO2 emissions

    Effective February 16, 2005

    178 signatories (as of April 2008)

    61.6% of emissions

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    Kyoto Protocol USA

    President Clinton

    President Bush

    Carbon credits

    Companies with excess emission purchase

    credits from companies with excess allowances

    Green companies: plant trees to absorb excesscarbon dioxide and sell carbon credits to

    companies with excess allowance.

    Carbon emission from fossil fuel burning

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    Carbon emission from fossil fuel burningSelected Total Per capita Tons/$ Growth

    Countries (million tons) (tons) GNP* 1990-94

    USA 1,371 5.26 210 4.4%

    China 835 0.71 330 13.0

    Russia 455 3.08 590 -24.1

    Japan 299 2.39 110 0.1

    United Kingdom 153 2.62 150 -0.3

    Poland 89 2.31 460 -4.5

    South Korea 88 1.98 200 43.7

    * tons per million dollars

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    Planting Trees

    In the tropics:

    one trees is planted for every 10 cut

    Africa one planted for every 29 cut

    World wide we would have to plant 1,000

    trees per person annually

    USA --we would have plant 4,500 treesper person, at 1,200 trees/acre this is 3.75

    acres per year