2018 NASA COST AND SCHEDULE SYMPOSIUM AGENDA

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TUESDAYMORNING Unique ID TI ME Tit le Aut hor/ Presenter (s) Org Time (mins)

7:00 - 8:00

Doo rs ope n, Regist rat ion, Info rm al Meet and

Greet SID NASA HQ 60

8:00 - 8:30 Opening Remarks Hunt NASA HQ 30

31 8:30 - 9:00 Scalese Ope inin g Remarks Chri s Scalese GSFC 30

59 9:00 - 9:30 Explanation of Change Bob Bitte n GSFC and Aerospace 30

42 9 :30 - 10:00 NASA Progra m Planning and Contro l Steve Shinn, Charl es Hunt GSFCand HQ 30

53 10:00 - 10:30

Cont inu ously Improvin g Paramet ric Modeling

wi t h Historical Data on t he ICESat-2 Mission Joseph Krygiel GSFC 30

500 10:30 - 10:45 BREAK All All 15

13 10:45 - 11:15

NASA Lif ecycle and Develop ment Cost Variation

against Baselines Kevin Gilli gan NASA HQ 30

6 11:15 - 12 :00

The Effect of Policy Changes on NASA Science

Mission Cost & Schedule Growth

Bob Bitte n, Bob Kellogg, Eric

Ma hr, Sarah Lang, Debra

Emm ons Aeros pace 45

510 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

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TUESDAYAFTERNOON Unique ID TIM E Title Aut hor/Presenter (s) Org Time (mins)

510 12:00 - 13:30 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

8 13:30 - 14: 00 One NASA Cost Engineering Data base {ONCE}

M ike Blandfo rd, Juli e McAfee ,

Eri c Plum er, James Johnson NASA HQ and SAIC 30

33 14:00 - 14: 30 GAO Best Pract ices Jason Lee, Mo lly Tra ci GAO 30

so 14: 30 - 15:00

EADOS: A Prio rit izat ion Analysis and Risk

Assessment Capab ility

Douglas Bro wn, Raymo nd

Mcco llum, Bethany We lstea d,

W illi am Espenschied, Jenni fe r

Rabul an BAH 30

54 15:00 - 15:30

We b- based Grassroots Cost Estim at ing fo r

Proposa ls Holly Bryant , Me lodia Stew art GSFC 30

500 15:30 - 15:45 BREAK All All 15

39 15:45 - 16:15

Cost Eff ects of Dest inat ion on Space M issio n

Cost wi t h Foc us on Lunar M issio ns Mitc h Lasky, Joe Hamaker Ball and Galorat h Fed 30

30 16:15 - 16:45 Jeff DeW it Remarks Jeff DeW it NASA HQ 30

50 1 16:45 - 17:30 Aw ards All All 45

58 6pm - TBD Socal Happy Hour All All

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WEDNESDAY MORNING - SCHEDULETRACK Uniq ue ID TIM E Title Author / Presenter (s) Org Time (mins)

29 8 :00 - 8 :45

Integ rate d Cost-Schedul e Risk Analysis Leads to

Effe ct ive Risk M it igat io n David T. Hulett Hulett & Associates 45

34 8 :45 - 9 :15

Creat ing Confi dence in t he Wo rld of Schedule

Ma nagement as t he Prim e Cont racto r at NASA

Glenn fo r ISS Research Proj ects Jami e Nezbet h ZIN Techn o logies 30

43 9 :15 - 9 :45

Schedul e Update s: How I learned to sto p

Wa it ing and Stalk for Data

Kimb erly M. Smit h, Jasmin e

Chappell BAH 30

500 9 :45 - 10:00 BREAK All All 15

3 10 :00 - 10 :30

Comm erci al Crew' s Meet s-t he- Inte nt Joint

Confid ence Level, Fo rmul at io n and Execut io n. John Ait chison JSC 30

32 10 :30 - 11 :15

Ident ifyin g t he Most Prob able Cost - Schedul e

Values fr om a Joint Confid ence Level (JCL)

Analysis Sam Steim an and David Hulett

MPR Associates ; Hulett &

Associates 45

22 11 :15 - 11:45

Preparing and Visualizing Schedul e Analysi s using

Tableau Ariel Pavlick, Anto nio Ripp e KSC& TRI 30

510 11 :45 - 13:15 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

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WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON - SCHEDULETRAC

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Unique ID TIM E Tit le Author / Presenter (s) Org Time (mins)

510 11:45 - 13:15 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

17 13:15 - 13:45

Turnin g yo ur MS Project Too l Bar into t he MS

Project Coo l Bar Bill Paradis lnuTeq, LLC 30

21 13:45 - 14:15

An Overview of t he Too l to Assess Project

Perf orm ance (TAPP} Mo niqu e Bynum

Analyt ical Mec hanics

Assoc iates Inc 30

24 14:15 - 14:45

Mode rn met hods fo r budget-co nst rained

schedule analysis Nicho las DeTo re TRI 30

500 14:45 - 15:00 BREAK All All 15

44 15:00 - 15:30

Orion Schedule Data : Compo nent-Leve l Insight

into EFTl, EMl , & EM2

M ike Stelly, Ethan Mill er, Steve

W ilson JSC 30

52 15:30 - 16:00

Mo nte Carlo Simul at io ns in Real-Time: How a

Space Communic at ion Project Developed a

Realist ic and Reliable Schedu le Jef fr ey Stone Vantage Part ners, LLC 30

23 16:00 - 16:30

A Simpl e App ro ach in Using Schedul e Risk

Analysis Results to Understa nd Perf orm ance

Scenarios and Establish Protect io n Trip-W ires Darr en Elli ott , Anto nio Rippe 4DRisk & TRI 30

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WEDNESDAY MORNING - COSTTRACK Unique ID TIM E Title Author/P resente r (s) Org Time (mins)

14 8 :00 - 8:45

Understa nding t he Drive rs of Cost and Staffi ng

Gro wt h in Ope rat ing Earth Orbit ing Science

M issio ns J. McNe il!, G. Hintz Aerospace 45

36 8:45 - 9:15 MOCETvl.3

Ma rc Hayhur st, Brian Wood ,

Cindy Daniels, Lissa Jordin,

Was hito Sasamoto ,

Wa ldo Rodriguez Aerospace and LaRC 30

20 9:15 - 9:45 Lunar Architect ur e Affo rdab ility Assessment

Dr. Robert Shishko, Joe

Mroz inki JPL 30

500 9:45 - 10:00 BREAK All All 15

10 10:00 - 10:30 ISS Upgrade Proj ect CAD Res Eric Plum er NASA HQ 30

11 10:30 - 11:00

ASCoT, The NASA Analogy Soft w are Cost Too l

Suite :

Expanding our Estimat io n Horizons

Dr. Jairu s Hihn, Elin or

Hunt ingto n, Alex Lumn ah,

Mic hael Saing, To m Youma ns,

James Johnson JPL and NASA HQ 30

51 11:00 - 11:45 NASA PCEC Updates fo r 2018

Brian Alfo rd, Shawn Hayes,

Ma rk Jacobs, Richard We bb

BAH, TGS Consulta nts , LLC KAR

Ente rprises 45

510 11:45 - 13:15 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

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WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON- COSTTRACK Unique ID TIM E Tit le Auth or/Prese nter (s) Org Time (mins)

510 11:45 - 13:15 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

9 13 :15 - 13 :45

NASA Instrum ent Cost Mo del: Version V I 11 Majo r

Impr ovements Joe Mro nzinki, James Johnson JPL 30

28 13 :45 - 14 :15 Space Scient ific Instrum ent Taxo nomy (SSIT) Nicho ls Brown Aeros pace 30

5 14: 15 - 14 :45 The Art and Science of Cost Mode ling

Joe Hamaker: Eric Sick, Sam

Sanchez, Chri st ian Smart Galo rat h Fed 30

500 14 :45 - 15 :00 BREAK All All 15

12 15 :00 - 15 :30

CubeSat Or Microsat Probabili st ic + Analogies

Cost Too l (COMPACT) Joe Mroz inki, Michael Saing JPL and NASA HQ 30

19 15 :30 - 16 :00

NASA Small Mission Explorer (SMEX) Program -

Past, Present and Fut ure Low Costs Astrop hysics

and Heliophysics Explo rat io n Missions

Michael Saing, Dr Ant hony

Freeman JPL 30

38 16 :00 - 16 :30

Leveraging Armstro ng's histo rical X-Plane

database to ident ify cost risks or Unallocate d

Fut ure Expenses (UFE) due to schedule delays

Steve A. Sterk, Olivi a M.

Alexander, Abigail L. Kosiak AFRC 30

4 16 :30 - 17 :00 Enhancin g Risk Calibr at ion Met hods Christ ian Smart Galo rat h Fed 30

27 17 :00 - 17 :30 Learnin g Rate Sensit ivity Mo del

Nicho ls Brown and Tim ot hy

Anderson Aeros pace 30

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THURSDAYMORNING Unique ID TIME Title Author/Presenter (s) Org Time (mins)

2 8:00 - 8 :45

Being Certa in Abo ut Uncerta inty - Part 2: Can

We See Extreme Cost Gro wt h Comin g? Andy Prin ce, Chri st ian Smart MSFC, Galorat h Fed 45

45 8:45 - 9 :15

Cost ing at t he Speed of Light: How a Concurr ent

Engineerin g Team Can Boo t st rap You Estim at io n

Capab ili t ies

J. Hihn; T. Youma ns; M. Saing,

M. Ramir ez JPL 30

15 9:15 - 10:0 0 Prevent ing Fire Drill s via Stellar Report ing David Rose, Ma rin a Somin sky Cobec 45

500 10:00 - 10:15 BREAK All All 15

18 10:15 10:45

Benefi t Study o n Digit al Transfo rm at ion fo r

Project Plannin g and Contro l Process

Nipa Phoj anamo ngko lkij , Rob

Mo reland NASA HQ 30

37 10:45 - 11:15 Agile Est im at ion fo r Space Soft w are Arlene F. Minkiewi cz PRICE Syst ems 30

47 11:15 - 11:45

The Livin g Est im at e - Leveraging LCCEs

Thro ugho ut t he Progra m Lifecy cle Sriram Krishnan, Kevin Schutt Cobec 30

56 11:45 - 12:15 Buil ding Confide nce wi t h Mode l Va lidat io n at JPL

Me lissa W int er, M ilana Woo d,

Jahnin g Woo JPL, PRICE Syst ems 30

510 12:15 - 13:45 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

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THURSDAYAFTERNOO N Unique ID TIM E Title Auth or/ Presenter (s) Org Time (mins)

510 12 :15 - 13 :45 LUNCH BREAK All All 90

48 13 :45 - 14 :15

The Unifi ed Theo ry of Everyt hing (or at least

Schedul e, Cost , Risk, and Earned Value) Dan Fredri ch

Dan Friedri ch, Friedrich, Klatt

and Assoc iates (FK&A ) 30

16 14 :15 - 14 :4 5

Lack of Dete rmini st ic Facto rs Influ encing Proj ect

Developm ent Perfo rm ance Ron Ray NASA HQ 30

49 14: 45 - 15 :15

Corporate Mot ivat io ns for Vertic al Integ rat ion:

A Param et ric Assessment of Make vs. Buy

Acquisit ion Approac hes fo r Small Satellite

Conste llat ions

Caleb W illi ams, Jon Wa llace,

Bill Doncaste r, and Jordan

Shulm an SpaceWo rks Ente rpri ses 30

500 15 :15 - 15 :30 BREAK All All 15

55 15 :30 - 16 :00

Ma naging to Commi t ments: Pro duct

Develo pment Lead Trainin g at NASA Goddard

Spacefli ght Cente r (GSFC)

Rebecca J. Derro, Virginia C.

Robinson GSFC 30

35 16 :00 - 16 :30 Urban Air Mo bili ty Af fo rdabili ty Doug How art h MEE 30

1 16 :30 - 17 :00 The Undoing Proj ect Susan Bertsc h JSC 30

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THURSDAY SPECIAL SESSIONS Day TIME Title Time (mins) Location Tool POC ConfPOC

Thursday 15:15 - 16:15 PRICE 60 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120A TBD Just in Horn bac k

8:45 - 9:45 ACEIT/JACS 60 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120 B Rey Carpio James Johnson

14:45 - 15:30 ASCOT 45 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120 B Jiarus Hihn James Johnson

11:00 - 12:00 PCEC 60 Buil ding 3 Audito rium Andy Prince Ma rc Greenberg

8:45 - 9:45 ONCE 60 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120B James Johnson Alt : Eric Plum er

10:00 - 11:00 SEER 60 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120A Joe Hamaker Just in Horn back

10:00 - 11:00 NICM 60 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120 B Joe Mroz inki James Johnson

15:30 16:15 COMPACT 45 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120B Joe Mroz inki James Johnson

8:45 - 9:45 MOCET 60 Bui lding 34 Roo m 120A Ma rc Hayhur st Just in Horn back