Upload
vukiet
View
219
Download
3
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Resources create opportunities
Resources create opportunities
2017 IFRS Financial Results 15 March 2018
2
Disclaimer
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
The following USD/RUB exchange rates were used for the presentation of those financial results:
Average over the period*: 2015 – 60.9579; Q1 2016 – 74.6283; Q2 2016 – 65.8833; Q3 2016 – 64.6245; Q4 2016 – 63.0685;
Q1 2017 – 58.8442; Q2 2017 – 57.1451; Q3 2017 – 59.0195; Q4 2017 – 58.4080.
End of the period: 2015 – 72.8827; 2016 – 60.6569; 2017 –57.6002.
This presentation of Metalloinvest’s financial results for FY 2017 (the “Presentation”) contains certain forward-looking statements, particularly those relating to anticipated
demand and consumption, global economic conditions, commodity prices, management aims and objectives, strategy, production, anticipated investments and
anticipated completion of previously announced transactions. Metalloinvest will not update these statements to reflect events and circumstances occurring after the date
hereof. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the
future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements depending on a variety of factors, including future levels of industry product supply, demand and
pricing, operational problems, general economic conditions, political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world, changes in laws and governmental
regulations, exchange rate fluctuations, development and use of new technology, changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions, the actions of
competitors, natural disasters and adverse weather conditions, wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage, other factors discussed elsewhere in this document, as well as
other risks affecting Metalloinvest and its operations.
The contents of this Presentation do not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to issue, sell, purchase, exchange or transfer or
any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Metalloinvest in any jurisdiction, nor shall this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its
presentation, communication or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Any foreign securities which are
mentioned in this Presentation are not and will not be registered in the Russian Federation by any state authority responsible for registration of such securities and such
securities shall not be admitted to subscription nor shall be publicly available in the Russian Federation and cannot be the subject of any offer in the Russian Federation,
except in the cases permitted by the law of the Russian Federation. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by Metalloinvest, its affiliates or any of their
respective advisers, officers, employees or agents, as to the accuracy of the information or opinions or for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of
these materials or their contents.
Notes:
*Income and expenses for the years ended 31 December 2016 and 31 December 2017 were translated to
presentation currency at quarterly average exchange rates
3
Content
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
I. Key Highlights………...….……….………………..…………………………………........................... 4
II. Operational Results..…….....………………………………………………………………………………... 8
III. Financial Results …...…………………………………………………………………........................... 12
IV. Debt & Credit Ratings…………………………………………………….….................................. 16
V. Subsequent Events……………………………………………………………………………………………... 19
5
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Highlights
Key financials USD mn 2017 2016 Change
Revenue 6,231 4,261 46.2%
Gross profit 3,161 2,050 54.2%
EBITDA* 2,120 1,258 68.5%
EBITDA margin 34.0% 29.5% 4.5 p.p.
Net Income 1,406 1,153 21.9%
Capex 489 290 68.6%
USD mn, eop 31.12.2017 31.12.2016 Change
Total Debt 4,446 4,183 6.3%
Short-term debt 413 91 -
Cash & equivalents 390 989 -60.6%
Net Debt 4,056 3,194 27.0%
Net Debt / EBITDA LTM 1.9х 2.5х (0.6х)
Notes:
*Hereinafter EBITDA stands for EBITDA adjusted according to IFRS requirements. For more details please refer
to IFRS Statements
Net Debt / EBITDA LTM is calculated based on EBITDA for the last 12 months; the indicator has
an informational character and does not contain adjustments as per loan documentation
35
55
75
95
Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 Jan 2018
Iron ore index (62% Fe, CFR China)
USD/ t
Source: Bloomberg
56 59
72
Global iron ore prices
4,393 4,261
6,231
Revenue
2015 2016 2017
1,432 1,258
2,120
EBITDA2015 2016 2017
2.5x 2.5x 1.9x
Net Debt/EBITDA LTM
USD mn
6
Market review
• Recovery of demand for steel products in the USA, Europe and Russia in 2017
• Inventories in the major markets remain respectively low, supporting steel product prices
Iro
n o
re a
nd
p
ell
ets
M
eta
llic
s
(pig
iro
n a
nd
HB
I)
Ste
el
pro
du
cts
Key drivers of changes
• Closure of high-cost facilities in China has a positive impact on the way to achieve a balance in the market
• Largest market players (Australia and Brazil) demonstrate a balanced approach to investing in new capacities
• Significant increase in premium for iron ore and pellets quality
• Chinese quality control and environmental protection measures (closure of ‘illegal’ furnaces and reduction of installed capacities of up to 170 mn t in 2017)
• Deficit of high-quality iron ore raw materials (pellets, HBI) in the Chinese domestic market
1.99 2.00 2.07
2.03 2.04 2.10
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2015 2016 2017Demand Supply
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00 Iron ore product market balance, bn t
Market trends
82.0 85.6 94.4
13.1 12.8 12.2 8.5 7.3 10.3
103.6 105.7 116.9
0
50
100
150
2015 2016 2017Scrap Pig iron HBI/DRI
0.67 0.68 0.77
0.83 0.84 0.86
1.50 1.52 1.62
0.0
0.7
1.4
2.1
2015 2016 2017China RoW
Price dynamics
Trade of metallics, mn t
Steel product consumption, bn t
40
70
100
130
Pellets, 65% Iron ore, 62% Iron ore, 65%2015 2016 2017
USD/t, CFR China
150
240
330
420
HBI, import Italy Pig iron, FOB Black Sea
USD/t
2015 2016 2017
150
300
450
600
Steel billet, FOB Black Sea
USD/t
2015 2016 2017
Source: data provided by analytical industry agencies, ISSB, WSA
7
Metalloinvest market position Ir
on
ore
an
d
pe
lle
ts
Me
tall
ics
(p
ig i
ron
an
d H
BI)
S
tee
l p
rod
uct
s
Segment development
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Prospective development Global position (in 2017)
• >50% of merchant HBI production
• #1 pig iron exporter
• Increase of high value-added SBQ production (by 23% since 2015)
• Increase of high value-added semis production (by 67% since 2015)
• >75% of bridge steel market in Russia is supplied by Ural Steel
• #5 iron ore producer
• #2 pellet producer • Production of iron ore concentrate
with the unique Fe content up to 70.4%
• Modernisation of HBI-1,2 Plants to increase HBI production up to 4.5 mn t
• Complex programme for blast furnaces and electric arc furnaces modernisation at Ural Steel
• Develop a complex development programme of steel segment to increase high value-added production volumes
• Obtain new certificates, confirming the compliance of Metalloinvest steel products with best quality standards
• Launch of stack sizers at MGOK
• Construction of in-pit crushing and conveyor complexes to increase the efficiency of iron ore extraction at LGOK and MGOK
• Launch of Derrick stack sizers at LGOK to produce iron ore concentrate with Fe content up to 70.4%
• Pellets with Fe content 65-67% produced from LGOK and MGOK iron ore concentrates
• Pellet Plant #3 launch at MGOK with a total capacity of 5 mn t in 2015
• Launch of HBI-3 Plant at LGOK with a total capacity of 1.8 mn t in July 2017
• Launch of Blast Furnace #4 at Ural Steel after large-scale maintenance works accompanied with modernisation in 2016
• Launch of Pig Iron Casting Machine #5 at Ural Steel in 2015
• Construction of precision sizing unit at OEMK (+67 th t/year of high quality billets)
• Modernisation of four-strand continuous casting machine (CCM #1) at Ural Steel (round billets for railway wheels and square billets for rail production)
• Construction of Roller Treatment Furnace #1 and Heat Treatment Machine #1 at Ural Steel
9
2017 key developments
• Iron ore production decreased by 1.0%*, due to
a change in ore mixture
• Pellet production fell by 0.4% as a result of scheduled
major maintenance works and a change in the pellet
assortment in the product structure to meet the
requirements of HBI-3 Plant, contributed to total HBI
production 1.1 mn t
• HBI/DRI production rose by 22.6%, mostly due to
the launch of HBI-3 Plant at LGOK
• Hot metal production decreased by 9.3% as a result of
maintenance and repair works
• Crude steel production grew by 2.1%, mainly
due to long-term contracts with Russian customers
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Production volumes
39.5
23.8
5.4
2.5
4.5
40.7
25.2
5.7
3.0
4.7
40.3
25.1
7.0
2.7
4.8
Iron ore
Pellets
HBI/DRI
Hot metal
Crude steel
2015 2016 2017
mn t
Notes:
Data on major plants: LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel
Iron ore refers to iron ore concentrate and sintering ore
*Hereinafter comparison with 2016
10
2.3 2.2
0.2 0.3
0.9 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6
4.3 4.4
2016 2017
Plate HVA
Plate
SBQ HVA
Semi-finished product HVA
Semi-finished product
2.1 1.4
6.9 6.7
16.8 16.2
2016 2017
Russia
Europe
Asia
MENA
Others
27.8 26.8
1.8 2.1
1.9 1.5
1.2 0.9
1.6 1.8
2016 2017
Shipment structure
Data on major plants: LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel
10.7 10.4
14.5 12.8
2.5 3.6
27.8 26.8
2016 2017
Other
HBI/DRI
Pellets
Iron ore
Shipment of iron ore products by region
Shipment of iron ore products
6.7 6.5
Mining Segment Steel Segment
Shipment of steel products
Shipment of pig iron and steel products by region
mn t
mn t
mn t
mn t
11
Capital expenditure breakdown in 2017
417
290
489 ~500
2015 2016 2017 2018F
USD mn
Industry 4.0
The Company launched its Industry 4.0 business
transformation programme to:
• improve the efficiency of its entire management system
• ensure accounting transparency and timely decision-making
• reduce costs • boost margins
USD 31 mn
Mining Segment
Construction of HBI-3 Plant at LGOK
Steel Segment
USD 117 mn +1.8 mn t of HBI
New high productivity mining vehicles at LGOK and MGOK
USD 44 mn
Construction of concentrate intake facility at MGOK USD 20 mn
Technical re-equipping of DRI unit #2 at OEMK
USD 48 mn
CCM* #1 at Ural Steel modernisation
USD 10 mn
Construction of Roller Treatment Furnace #1 and Heat Treatment Machine #1 at Ural Steel USD 14 mn
Notes:
Capex data on the graph for 2015, 2016, 2017 refers to IFRS Statements, all the rest
figures reflect management accounting
*Continuous Casting Machine
13
1,688
1,019
217
651
685
2,525
1,409
247
853
1,197
Russia
Europe
Asia
MENA
Other
countries*
2016
2017
Revenue composition
2017 Revenue: USD 6,231 mn
USD mn
11%
21%
12% 12%
41%
3%
11%
20%
14%
12%
40%
3%
Iron ore Pellets
HBI Pig iron
Steel products Other revenue
2017 – outer circle 2016 – inner circle
Revenue by region
Export share 59% in 2017
vs. 60% in 2016
* Others include Americas and CIS countries
14
872
392
967
301
1,742
406
Mining Steel
2015 2016 2017
1,258
2,120
1,970
(858)
(198)
(51)
(1)
EBITDA 2016
Revenue
Cost of sales
Distribution
expenses
G&A expenses
Other
EBITDA 2017
EBITDA y-o-y dynamics
EBITDA composition
2017 EBITDA: USD 2,120 mn
USD mn Improving market conditions as well as growth in HVA
products output (HBI and high-quality steel) resulted
in the increase of the Company’s EBITDA by 68.5% to
USD 2,120 mn in 2017
EBITDA by segment dynamics
34.0%
29.5%
EBITDA margin
USD mn
15
564
906 821
1,232 1,258
342
2,120
411 (315)
(83) (6)
(290)
(325)
(372)
(113)
(489)
EB
ITD
A
Inte
rest
Taxe
s
Ch
g.
in N
WC
Ca
pe
x
FCF*
Dis
po
sal
of
fin
an
cia
l
ass
ets
*
FCF
aft
er
dis
po
sal
of
fin
an
cia
l ass
ete
s
EB
ITD
A
Inte
rest
Taxe
s
Ch
g.
in N
WC
Ca
pe
x
FCF
Dis
po
sal
of
fin
an
cia
l
ass
ets
*
FCF
aft
er
dis
po
sal
of
fin
an
cia
l ass
ete
s
Positive free cash flow
USD mn
2016 2017
Notes:
EBITDA stands for EBITDA adjusted according to IFRS requirements. For more details, please refer
to IFRS Statements
*Proceeds from the disposal of ADRs in MMC Norilsk Nickel’s
17
0.1 0.5
0.9
1.6
0.8
0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
0.3
0.8 0.9 0.8
0.3 0.3
0.9
0.1
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 After 2024
2017 key developments
• Feb-Apr: increase of ING BANK limit of the Company’s two-year committed revolving credit line from USD 100 mn to USD 200 mn
• May: Tender offer of Eurobonds-2020 and issue of USD 800 mn Eurobonds-2024 with a 4.85% interest rate
• June: Refinancing of USD 1.03 bn and using funds obtained through a new PXF*-2017 with better pricing terms and maturity schedule
• August: Partial repayment of USD 100 mn of PXF-2016 (Tranche B) ahead of the scheduled maturity dates
• October: Signing of two long-term credit facility agreements with ING Bank covered by ECA** for a total amount of EUR 16.7 mn
Debt profile as of 31 December 2017
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Sources: IFRS data, management accounts
* PXF – pre-export finance facility
** ECA -export credit agency
*** Undrawn committed credit lines
Cash
USD bn
Debt maturity schedule
4,387 4,183
4,446
3,563 3,191
4,056
2.5x 2.5x
1.9x
2015 2016 2017
Total Debt Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA
USD mn
as of 31 December 2016 as of 31 December 2017
18
Credit ratings in 2017–2018
December 2017 February 2017 Date
Rating
POSITIVE
STABLE Outlook
Ba2 BB
BBB+
STABLE
December 2017
STABLE
BB
April 2017
ruAA-
STABLE STABLE
January 2018
19
0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2
0.7
0.3 0.4
0.3
0.7 0.9 0.9
0.5 0.4
0.9
0.3
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 After 2024
In 2018, Metalloinvest continued to perform in line with its financial policy and executed a number of transactions
to improve the quality of debt portfolio:
• In January 2018, the Company raised a USD 240 mn pre-export finance facility to refinance its existing
USD-denominated debt due in 2018–2019. New PXF has a 5-year tenor with a 4-year grace period and its interest
rate is linked to LIBOR
• In February 2018, the Company executed a put-option on its RUB-denominated bonds series 02 and 03 for a total
amount of RUB 10 bn and kept the issuance’s full amount in the market. The coupon was set at 7.65% per annum
until its maturity in 2023
SUBSEQUENT EVENTS
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Sources: Management accounts
Cash
USD bn
Debt maturity schedule as of February 2018 (USD 4.6 bn of total debt) RUB USD, EUR
22
Debt structure as of 31 December 2017
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Sources: IFRS data, management accounts
*Pre-export financing
2017 Total Debt: USD 4,446 mn
Breakdown by currency
23% 38% 37%
72% 56% 55%
2015 2016 2017
USD
RUB
EUR
17% 22% 21% 6%
16% 16%
38% 24% 25%
31% 31% 29%
2015 2016 2017
PXF*
Eurobonds
RUB bonds
Sberbank
Other
Breakdown by source
23
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Health, Safety & Environment
th t
Health & Safety
Safety is the Company’s top priority
• In 2017, LTIFR decreased by 31% vs. 2016
• The Company aims to ensure a zero fatality rate
Environment
In 2017, the Company implemented several important HSE projects
• Modernised the lighting systems at OEMK, LGOK and MGOK, that enabled the savings of 30.5 mn kWh per year
• Installed a new purification system to remove dust from the air at the crushing and sorting plant at MGOK. Thus, absorption increased by almost 20% in comparison with the previous system
• OEMK constructed its third waste disposal facility, with a capacity of 1 mn tonnes of fourth and fifth-class waste
• Ural Steel launched an industrial waste landfill facility designed for 25 years of operation
* LTIFR is calculated on the basis of 5 Metalloinvest major plants (LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel and Ural Scrap Company):
(total number of injuries with loss of labour capacity / number of worked man hours) х 1 mn man hours
** Total amount of pollution emission into atmosphere from stationary sources
0.50
0.26 0.30
0.43
0.28
0.45
0.31
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
LTIFR*
Accidents and fatalities
39
21 24 34
22
36 26
4 1 4 5 0 3 2
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Accidents Fatalities 160 157
135 126 124
117 113
80
110
140
170
200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
-29%
Atmospheric emissions**
24
Key financial indicators
USD mn H1 2016 H2 2016 FY 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 FY 2017 Change
Revenue 1,931 2,330 4,261 3,032 3,199 6,231 46.2%
Gross profit 896 1,154 2,050 1,556 1,605 3,161 54.2%
EBITDA 533 725 1,258 1,061 1,059 2,120 68.5%
EBITDA margin 28% 31% 29.5% 35% 33% 34.0% 4.5 p.p.
Net Income 428 725 1,153 585 821 1,406 21.9%
Capex 155 135 290 188 301 489 68.6%
Total Debt 4,183 4,183 4,183 4,468 4,446 4,446 6.3%
Short-term Debt 91 91 91 289 413 413 3.5x
Cash and cash equivalents* 989 989 989 866 390 390 -60.6%
Net Debt 3,194 3,194 3,194 3,602 4,056 4,056 27.0%
Net Debt / EBITDA LTM 2.5х 2.5х 2.5х 2.0х 1.9х 1.9х (0.6x)
Notes:
EBITDA stands for EBITDA adjusted according to IFRS requirements. For more details please refer to IFRS Statements
Net Debt / EBITDA LTM is calculated based on EBITDA for the last 12 months; the indicator has
an informational character and does not contain adjustments as per loan documentation
25
Committees
Name Category Company Audit Finance,
Budgeting and Strategy
Remuneration
Ivan Streshinsky Chairman
Non-executive USM
Galina Aglyamova Independent
Non-executive
Valery Kazikaev Independent
Non-executive
Nikolai Krylov Independent
Non-executive
Dmitry Tarasov Independent
Gleb Kostikov Non-executive USM
Irina Lupicheva Non-executive USM
Pavel Mitrofanov Non-executive USM
Andrey Varichev Executive Metalloinvest
01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
C
C
C Member of a committee Committee Chairman
Board of Directors composition follows best corporate governance practices
C
26
Capital expenditure guidance for 2018-2019
Project Enterprise Overview
Industry 4.0 business transformation programme
Metalloinvest • Create an integrated financial and business management system
• Set up a multifunctional shared service center
In-pit crushing and conveyor complexes
LGOK, MGOK • Primary crushing takes place in the pit. Then crushed material is conveyed to next processing phases
Complex programme for SBQ production development
OEMK • Shift to larger volumes of high-value added products
• Increase SBQ quality • Ensure customer-focused approach
Complex programme for blast furnaces and electric arc furnaces modernisation
Ural Steel • Use pellets as furnace charge • Increase efficiency • Decrease environment impact
27
Investor Relations & Corporate Ratings Department 01 02 03
04 05 06
07 08 09
10 11 12
13 14 15
16 17 18
19 20 21
00
Contacts
Artem Lavrischev
Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Ratings
T: +7 (495) 981 55 55, ext. 7243
www.metalloinvest.com