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2016 Preliminary Operating Budget and 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan Budget Committee January 8, 2016

2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Page 1: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

2016 Preliminary OperatingBudget and 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget amp Plan

Budget Committee

January 8 2016

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bull Agency Overview Servicesand Resources

bull OperatingOverview Service Performance Key Issuesamp Priority Actions 2016 Preliminary OperatingBudget amp Plan

bull Capital Overview Capital Performance Key Issuesamp Priority Actions 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget amp Plan

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Capital AssetsTo Deliver City Services

bull Asset Value ndash Insurable replacement value approaching $15 billion

2016 ndash 2025 Capital Budget

Base Program ($93 Billion)

Infrastructure

bull Yonge Subway ndash 60 years old bull Bloor-Danforth subway ndash almost 50 years old bull SRT - at end of useful life Key Elements bull Facilities ndash Leslie Barns McNicoll Bus Garage TRT1 Yard bull Automatic Train Control ndash YUSBD Lines bull PRESTO bull Accessibility

TYSSE ($28 Billion)

Scarborough Subway Extension ($36 Billion)

bull Excludes Transit projects to be funded from other budgets (ie SmartTrack Relief Line Yonge-North Subway Waterfront Initiatives)

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

During thisperiod ridership hasincreased by 26while operating budget workforce has increased by 24

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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nch Vacancy Analysis

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

of Vacancies

asat Oct 3

of Vacancies Projections to Dec31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

Operating 123 11 10882 0 00 11179 50 0 00 11691

Capital 170 101 1688 304 165 1844 437 38 19 2021

Total 293 23 12570 304 23 13023 487 38 03 13712

Note The 2015 year-end operating workforce isprojected to temporarily exceed the budget by 87 positionsprimarily due to the ramping up of the Operator complement in advance of anticipated attrition early in the new year Because an extended period of time is required to pre-screen hire train and qualify new Operators without the ramping up there would be the risk that service could not be delivered asscheduled or that it would be operated on an overtime basis Both possible scenariosare undesirable from both a customer service and a cost effectivenessperspective

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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nch 2016 Preliminary OperatingBudget Summary

(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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nch 2016 Preliminary OperatingBudget Summary

2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

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2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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Key Revenue Changes Bu

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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h New Enhanced Services BusReliability

Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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New Enhanced Services Streetcar Service Reliability

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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New Enhanced Services New and Enhanced ExpressBusService

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Subway Service Reliability

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 2: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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bull Agency Overview Servicesand Resources

bull OperatingOverview Service Performance Key Issuesamp Priority Actions 2016 Preliminary OperatingBudget amp Plan

bull Capital Overview Capital Performance Key Issuesamp Priority Actions 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget amp Plan

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Capital AssetsTo Deliver City Services

bull Asset Value ndash Insurable replacement value approaching $15 billion

2016 ndash 2025 Capital Budget

Base Program ($93 Billion)

Infrastructure

bull Yonge Subway ndash 60 years old bull Bloor-Danforth subway ndash almost 50 years old bull SRT - at end of useful life Key Elements bull Facilities ndash Leslie Barns McNicoll Bus Garage TRT1 Yard bull Automatic Train Control ndash YUSBD Lines bull PRESTO bull Accessibility

TYSSE ($28 Billion)

Scarborough Subway Extension ($36 Billion)

bull Excludes Transit projects to be funded from other budgets (ie SmartTrack Relief Line Yonge-North Subway Waterfront Initiatives)

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

During thisperiod ridership hasincreased by 26while operating budget workforce has increased by 24

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

of Vacancies

asat Oct 3

of Vacancies Projections to Dec31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

Operating 123 11 10882 0 00 11179 50 0 00 11691

Capital 170 101 1688 304 165 1844 437 38 19 2021

Total 293 23 12570 304 23 13023 487 38 03 13712

Note The 2015 year-end operating workforce isprojected to temporarily exceed the budget by 87 positionsprimarily due to the ramping up of the Operator complement in advance of anticipated attrition early in the new year Because an extended period of time is required to pre-screen hire train and qualify new Operators without the ramping up there would be the risk that service could not be delivered asscheduled or that it would be operated on an overtime basis Both possible scenariosare undesirable from both a customer service and a cost effectivenessperspective

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 3: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Capital AssetsTo Deliver City Services

bull Asset Value ndash Insurable replacement value approaching $15 billion

2016 ndash 2025 Capital Budget

Base Program ($93 Billion)

Infrastructure

bull Yonge Subway ndash 60 years old bull Bloor-Danforth subway ndash almost 50 years old bull SRT - at end of useful life Key Elements bull Facilities ndash Leslie Barns McNicoll Bus Garage TRT1 Yard bull Automatic Train Control ndash YUSBD Lines bull PRESTO bull Accessibility

TYSSE ($28 Billion)

Scarborough Subway Extension ($36 Billion)

bull Excludes Transit projects to be funded from other budgets (ie SmartTrack Relief Line Yonge-North Subway Waterfront Initiatives)

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

During thisperiod ridership hasincreased by 26while operating budget workforce has increased by 24

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

of Vacancies

asat Oct 3

of Vacancies Projections to Dec31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

Operating 123 11 10882 0 00 11179 50 0 00 11691

Capital 170 101 1688 304 165 1844 437 38 19 2021

Total 293 23 12570 304 23 13023 487 38 03 13712

Note The 2015 year-end operating workforce isprojected to temporarily exceed the budget by 87 positionsprimarily due to the ramping up of the Operator complement in advance of anticipated attrition early in the new year Because an extended period of time is required to pre-screen hire train and qualify new Operators without the ramping up there would be the risk that service could not be delivered asscheduled or that it would be operated on an overtime basis Both possible scenariosare undesirable from both a customer service and a cost effectivenessperspective

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

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2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Capital AssetsTo Deliver City Services

bull Asset Value ndash Insurable replacement value approaching $15 billion

2016 ndash 2025 Capital Budget

Base Program ($93 Billion)

Infrastructure

bull Yonge Subway ndash 60 years old bull Bloor-Danforth subway ndash almost 50 years old bull SRT - at end of useful life Key Elements bull Facilities ndash Leslie Barns McNicoll Bus Garage TRT1 Yard bull Automatic Train Control ndash YUSBD Lines bull PRESTO bull Accessibility

TYSSE ($28 Billion)

Scarborough Subway Extension ($36 Billion)

bull Excludes Transit projects to be funded from other budgets (ie SmartTrack Relief Line Yonge-North Subway Waterfront Initiatives)

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

During thisperiod ridership hasincreased by 26while operating budget workforce has increased by 24

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

of Vacancies

asat Oct 3

of Vacancies Projections to Dec31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

Operating 123 11 10882 0 00 11179 50 0 00 11691

Capital 170 101 1688 304 165 1844 437 38 19 2021

Total 293 23 12570 304 23 13023 487 38 03 13712

Note The 2015 year-end operating workforce isprojected to temporarily exceed the budget by 87 positionsprimarily due to the ramping up of the Operator complement in advance of anticipated attrition early in the new year Because an extended period of time is required to pre-screen hire train and qualify new Operators without the ramping up there would be the risk that service could not be delivered asscheduled or that it would be operated on an overtime basis Both possible scenariosare undesirable from both a customer service and a cost effectivenessperspective

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 5: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

During thisperiod ridership hasincreased by 26while operating budget workforce has increased by 24

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

of Vacancies

asat Oct 3

of Vacancies Projections to Dec31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

Operating 123 11 10882 0 00 11179 50 0 00 11691

Capital 170 101 1688 304 165 1844 437 38 19 2021

Total 293 23 12570 304 23 13023 487 38 03 13712

Note The 2015 year-end operating workforce isprojected to temporarily exceed the budget by 87 positionsprimarily due to the ramping up of the Operator complement in advance of anticipated attrition early in the new year Because an extended period of time is required to pre-screen hire train and qualify new Operators without the ramping up there would be the risk that service could not be delivered asscheduled or that it would be operated on an overtime basis Both possible scenariosare undesirable from both a customer service and a cost effectivenessperspective

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

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2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 6: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

of Vacancies

asat Oct 3

of Vacancies Projections to Dec31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Positions

Approved Position

Equivalent

Operating 123 11 10882 0 00 11179 50 0 00 11691

Capital 170 101 1688 304 165 1844 437 38 19 2021

Total 293 23 12570 304 23 13023 487 38 03 13712

Note The 2015 year-end operating workforce isprojected to temporarily exceed the budget by 87 positionsprimarily due to the ramping up of the Operator complement in advance of anticipated attrition early in the new year Because an extended period of time is required to pre-screen hire train and qualify new Operators without the ramping up there would be the risk that service could not be delivered asscheduled or that it would be operated on an overtime basis Both possible scenariosare undesirable from both a customer service and a cost effectivenessperspective

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

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2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

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2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting 535 million rides (excluding Pan Am and Parapan Am Games free rides)

Excellent Pan Am and Parapan Am Games service provided with the help of more than 1600 staff volunteers who acted as station ambassadors

Continued rollout of higher capacity fully accessible air conditioned and PRESTO-equipped low floor streetcars

Implementation of PRESTO is well underway

Carried 30 billionth rider

TTC customer satisfaction is increasing with overall satisfaction rated at 81 and 95 of customers perceiving average or better value for money

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 9: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Implementation of the planned $95 million in 2015 service improvements as follows Elimination of fares for children aged 12 and under Restoration of all-day every day bus service 10-minute or better bus and streetcar service on key routes Expansion of Blue Night Network Reduction of wait times and crowding at off-peak periods All-door boarding and Proof of Payment on streetcar routes Two additional peak subway trains on each of Lines 1 and 2

Customer Service Enhancements completed include Continued monitoring and quarterly reporting on Customer Charter initiatives Continued roll out of debit and credit card acceptance Continued staffing the group station management model Continued WIFI rollout in subway stations

Continued expansion of Toronto Rocket fleet

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 10: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

(89) (163) 74 (217) (176) 41

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

Revenue Net Variance Alert

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditures Revenue

Key Points $41M year-end subsidy surplus is projected before incorporating any potential settlement for the passenger revenue and expense impacts of the Pan Am and Parapan Am Games primarily due to decreases in

Non-labour expenses ($53M) Leasing expenses ($51M) Hydro amp Utilities ($45M) Other Employee Benefits ($35M) Diesel ($2M) Accident Claims ($15M)

Offset by lower passenger revenues ($176M)

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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Key Revenue Changes Bu

dget

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 11: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy (less $916 million sourced from Provincial Gas Tax)

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Maintaining service levels and accommodating ridership demand under deteriorating traffic conditions

PRESTO roll-out and related commissions

Continued enhancement of customer service experience

Keeping Toronto moving as we transform public transit and modernize the TTC

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

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2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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New Enhanced Services New and Enhanced ExpressBusService

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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State of Good Repair Backlog

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 12: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 13: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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2016 Organizational Chart for TTC

Category Management amp

Supervisory Clerical Union Total Permanent 2852 313 10626 13791 Temporary 16 5 96 117

Total 2868 318 10722 13908

Excludes New amp Enhanced

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

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2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 14: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$17363 Million $17363 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

42

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 15: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 OperatingBudget

2016 vs 2015 Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

Projected Actual 2016 Base

2016 New Enhanced 2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

TTC- Conventional

Gross Expenditures 16938203 16721313 17363051 17363051 424848 25 1597000 92 701000 37

Revenue 12200895 12025085 12411297 12411297 210402 17 97988 08 174000 14

Net Expenditures 4737308 4696228 4951754 - 4951754 214446 45 1499012 303 527000 82

Approved Positions 116910 117780 118030 - 118030 1120 10

Key Points Expenses $425M higher due to annualization of 2015 initiatives ($367M) impact of CBA agreements amp higher benefit expenses ($243M) and service to accommodate ridership growth ($89M) offset by $278M in expenditure reductions Revenues $21M higher primarily due to impact of January 3 2016 fare increase ($183M)

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 16: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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2016 Budget ($ millions) Key Cost Drivers 74 Key Revenue Changes (7) Base Changes to Achieve 1 Budget Reduction (28) Fare Increase (18)

21

Excluding TTCBoard approved New and Enhanced Services shown on page 20

16

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 17: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

2016Recommended

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OperatingBudget TTC- Conventional

(In$000s) $ Positions Gross Expenditure Changes

Prior Year Impacts Annualization of 2015Service Opportunities 302879 210 LeasingRequirements 24999 2015Other Workforce Net Additions 39333

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commission Fees 44000 Presto Attendants 8589 110 New LRVs (6741) (130)

Toronto Rocket Subway Cars 7153 EconomicFactors

Collective BargainingAgreements 176439 Other Employee Costs(Benefits) 66858 Material Price Increase 33937 Utilities 35859

Salaryamp Benefit Changes Reversal of 2015one-time Lump Sum (CBA) (73260)

Other Base Changes Contribution to Capital (139360) Depreciat ion 11031 Ut i l i t ies amp Tract ion Pow er Consumpt ion 8973

Service Increase to Accommodate 552M Riders 89411 1230 Change in Const ruct ion Service 37937

IT Maintenance Cont racts 8587 YRT Contract Ends (4555) (60) Lesl ie Barns 40 Consultants 20625 Calendar Impact (Leap Year) 10012 Brake Rel ines (MTO regulat ions) 7670 Stop Pole Replacements 6275 20 BAI (Cost recoverable) 50 2016 Net Workforce Addit ions 18911 20 Bus Servicing Line 7494 Other

746571 3515

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 1490 Excludes Pan-Am

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 18: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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(71670)

Base Revenue ChangesBefore Fare Increase (Increase) Decrease Passenger Revenues Reversal of One-Time Contribution from TTCStabilization Reserve AdvertisingRevenue Other Revenue

Total Revenue Changes

(146440) 79738

(18370) 13402

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 19: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description($000s)

2016 Service Changes Total Service Changes Incremental Change TTC- Conventional $ $ 2017Plan 2018Plan Gross Net Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

Base Changes Diesel Fuel (Hedged 86) (139834) (139834) (139834) (139834) Street Car Reliability (ALRV not CLRV rebuild) (37621) (37621) (37621) (37621) (370) Departmental Non-Labour Reduction (100000) (100000) (100000) (100000)

Sub-Total (277455) (277455) (277455) (277455) (370)

Revenue Adjustments 25cent cashfareand 10centstoken increase (183000) (183000)

Sub-Total (183000) (183000)

Total Changes (277455) (460455) (277455) (460455) (370)

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 20: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Referred to Budget Process

New Enhanced Service Description ($000s)

2016 Impact Net Incremental Change

Gross Revenue Net Positions

2017 Plan 2018 Plan

Net Positions Net Positions Not Included

TTCBoard Approved amp Referred to the Budget Process Operational Initiatives Bus Reliability Centred Maintenance 76940 76940 82000 3 Day Bus Recertification (Safety) 18396 18396 110 Track Safety Initiative 17835 17835 200 POPFare Inspection - Deferral from 2015 16513 16513 200

Service Enhancements Bus Service Reliability 26000 6000 20000 470 32000 Streetcar Service Reliability 21000 9000 12000 300 14000 Earlier Sunday Transit Service 17000 11000 6000 170 8000 New and Enhanced Express Bus Service 17000 1000 16000 340 29000

Total New Enhanced Services(Not Included) 210684 27000 183684 1790 165000 00 00

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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New Enhanced Services Streetcar Service Reliability

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

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Page 21: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) 300 325 83 5500

5500 Above Inflationary Increases Token 280 290 36 11600 DayFamily Pass 1150 1200 43 600 Adult Weekly Pass 4075 4225 37 600 Downtown Express 4000 4150 38 3

12803 Total Incremental Revenue 18303

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

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Page 22: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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2017 amp 2018 Plan

Full year impact and timingof expenditure offsetsare under review (eg collectors fare processing fare media etc)

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 23: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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New Enhanced Services

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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New Enhanced Services Streetcar Service Reliability

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 24: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Centered Maintenance

BUS RELIABILITY CENTERED MAINTENANCE +$77M

Under existing reactive maintenance program fix upon failure

Existing 80 corrective maintenance 20 preventative maintenance

Under RCM Maintenance activities based on life cycle analysis

Planned replacement of components before failure

Target 20 corrective maintenance 80 preventative maintenance

Improved vehicle reliability through fewer in-service failures

Lower maintenance costs over time

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Recertification (Safety)

TRAINING REQUIREMENTS +$18M

Allow TTC to fully implement the Safe Service Action Plan Includes bus operator recertification every 3 years instead of 5 years

Deliver a much more structured and systematic approach to managing safety

Increased dual mode training to allow for cost-effective operation of bus replacement service during major streetcar projects

Provide new online training modules to support employee developments succession planning and other technical courses and seminars

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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New Enhanced Services Track Safety Initiative

TRACK SAFETY INITIATIVE +$18M

To improve the safety of TTCworkersduringwork at subway track level through addition of 20 dedicated watchpersons

Sole responsibility of these positions providing dedicated attention of the approach and management of train traffic

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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New Enhanced Services POPFare Inspection

PROOF-OF-PAYMENT FARE INSPECTORS +$16M

20 additional positions identified in 2015 Budget were deferred to 2016

Required to support all-door boarding on streetcar routes that will result in reduced time for customers to board the vehicle

Will mitigate against potential fare evasion and associated revenue losses that could arise through the utilization of all-door boarding in the absence of an enhanced POP system

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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New Enhanced Services Streetcar Service Reliability

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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New Enhanced Services BusService Reliability Operating Cost

2016 $26 million Annual $66 million

28 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 29 DUFFERIN 111 EAST MALL 123 SHORNCLIFFE

running time adjustments improved route-management practices

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New Enhanced Services Streetcar Service Reliability

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Operating Cost 2016 $21 million Annual $45 million

37 million annual customers

Continue initiative piloted on 512 ST CLAIR 504 KING

running time adjustments improved operating practices

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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New Enhanced Services Earlier Sunday Transit Service

Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $30 million

7 million annual customers

Earlier Sunday morning subway and connecting bus and streetcar service

subway service to start at 800 am

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

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400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Operating Cost 2016 $17 million Annual $49 million

10 million annual customers

Complete implementation of first four new express routes

off-peak service weekdays weekends

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 32: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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ItemsReferred by TTC Board to City Budget Committee

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Subway Service Reliability

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Line 1 Three-Minute-or-Better Service

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Operating Cost 2016 $10 million Annual $21 million

376 million annual customers

Continue subway service reliability initiative

running time other adjustments improve reliability fewer delays

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Operating Cost 2016 $46 million Annual $127 million

119 million annual customers

Reduce subway wait times -- more-frequent subway service

every 3 minutes or better until 1000 pm

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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New Streetcar Service on Cherry Street

Operating Cost 2016 $08 million Annual $21 million

11 million annual customers

Dedicated resources to implement new streetcar service on Cherry Street

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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State of Good Repair Backlog

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Staff Trend (ExcludesCapital Positions)

Key Points

Over this period 85 more riders were carried while service levels increased by 81 and workforce grew by only 32 representing a substantial improvement in labour productivity

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 38: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Citizen Services

Centred X

2013 2014 2015 Year-End Projections

of Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent of

Vacancies

Vacancies of Total Approved

Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

of Vacancies

as at Sep 30

of Vacancies Projections to

Dec 31

Vacancies of Total

Approved Pos

Approved Pos

Equivalent

Operating 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

Capital

Total 50 09 5310 80 14 5570 250 10 02 5620

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

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1000

800

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600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Key Service Accomplishmentsin 2015

Projecting all-time record of 3504 million rides (up by 12 from 3127 million rides in 2014)

Continued internet trip-booking enhancements

Continued scheduling enhancements integrated with Automatic Vehicle Location technology

Improved customer service through reduced call abandonment rates

Updated current scheduling system to allow for intermodal trip planning with TTC conventional service

Ridership growth accommodated with contracted taxi services

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 41: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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OperatingBudget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel-Trans Year-to-Date Variance and Year-End Variance Projection Summary

(In $ Millions)

City ProgramAgency

Nine-Month Results Year-End Projection Gross

Expenditure s

Revenue Net Variance Alert

Gross Expenditure

s Revenue Net Variance

Alert

$ $ $ trend $ $ $ trend

Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans (06) 01 (07) 11 03 08

Year-to-Date 85 to 105 0 to 85 gt105 Year-End lt=100 gt100

Net Variance

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 42: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Key ServicesIssuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

City of Toronto funds 100 of operating subsidy

Sufficient predictable and sustainable long-term funding is required

Increasing service demand is driven by demographics anticipated AODA eligibility changes and higher availability of day programs workshops and sports programs

Maintaining service levels under existing traffic conditions

Impact of Uber on taxi industry and Wheel-Trans - TBD

Accommodating a projected 14 increase in trip demand to 37 million

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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2016 Organizational Chart for Wheel-Trans

CEO

Wheel-Trans

Corporate Services Group (9)

Operations Group (96) Service Delivery Group (460)

2016 Recommended Full and Part Time Staff

Category Management amp

Supervisory

Exempt Professional amp

Clerical Union Total Permanent

Position 420 10 5220 5650 Temporary

Position -Total 420 10 5220 5650

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

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1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Page 45: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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GrossExpendituresby Program amp FundingSource

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$1237 Million $1237 Million

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

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200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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(In $000s)

2015 2016 Preliminary Operating Budget 2016 Prelim vs 2015

Budget Approved Changes

Incremental Change 2017 and 2018 Plan

Approved Budget

2016 Base

2016 NewEnhanced

2016 Budget 2017 2018

By Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $

Wheel-Trans

Gross Expenditures

Revenue

1153131

65143

1236659

69535

1236659

69535

83528

4392

72

67

82968

3725

67

54

70816

3799

54

52

Net Expenditures 1087988 1167124 - 1167124 79136 73 79243 68 67017 54

Approved Positions 5620 5650 - 5650 30 05

Key Points 2015 Expensesare $84M higher primarily due to projected 444K(14) trip demand increase

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

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Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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2016 Base Budget

Total (In $000s) $ Position

Gross Expenditure Changes Prior Year Impacts

Annualization of 2015 Workforce Additions 1864 Change in Average Fare 1972 Annualization - 2015 10-cent Fare Increase (316) Annualization - 2015 Metropass Trip Adjustment (34) Annualization - 2015 Elimination of Child Fares 28

OperatingImpactsof Capital Presto Commissions 250

Economic Factors Other Employee Costs shy Economic Factors (1759) Inflation 2217

COLA and Progression Pay Annualization of the Collective Bargaining Agreement Salary amp Benefits 5662 30

Other Base Changes Service Change re Increase in Demand (14) 87707 AODA Mandated Eligibility 8518 Accident Claims 2129 Other Net Base Budget Changes 396

Total Gross Expenditure Changes 108634 30

Revenue Changes (Increase) Decrease Revenue Change shy Increase in Passenger Trips (8497) 2015 Stabilization Reserve Contribution - Reversal 3000 2016 Fare Increase Impact (545)

Total Revenue Changes (6042) Net Expenditure Changes 102592 30

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

50

bullmiddot~middot

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

52

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

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nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

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h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

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h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

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State of Good Repair Backlog

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 48: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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To Achieve Target -1Budget Reduction

Description ($000s) Base Changes Base Expenditure Changes

Total 2016 Service Changes Incremental Change

$ $ 2017 Plan 2018 Plan Gross Net Pos Net Pos Net Pos

XXX XXX XXX

Base Expenditure Changes

Base Revenue Changes

Base Revenue Changes Sub-Total

Service Efficiencies Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) (9195) (9195)

Diesel Hedging (7719) (7719)

Change in Modal Split (6542) (6542)

Sub-Total (23456) (23456)

Revenue Adjustments

Sub-Total

Service Changes

Sub-Total

Total Preliminary Service Changes (23456) (23456)

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

49

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Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

50

bullmiddot~middot

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

52

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Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

Staf

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Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

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Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

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h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

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h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

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Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

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nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

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Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

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g B

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t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 49: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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Supp

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User Fee Change Highlights

Fee Description 2015 Fee 2016 Fee Increase

Incremental Revenue ($000s)

Below Inflationary Increases Adult Cash (last increased in 2010) $ 300 $ 325 83 132

Subtotal 132 Above Inflationary Increases Token $ 280 $ 290 36 413

Subtotal 413 Other Increases

Subtotal -New Fees

Subtotal -Total Incremental Revenue 545

49

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t

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et C

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ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch 2017 amp 2018 Plan

Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

50

bullmiddot~middot

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

52

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

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g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

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g B

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t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

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ded

2010

Ope

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t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

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ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

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t

State of Good Repair Backlog

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et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

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ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

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Tax

Supp

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d B

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t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

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h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

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2010

Ope

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g B

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t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 50: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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et C

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ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch 2017 amp 2018 Plan

Description ($000s)

2017 - Incremental Increase 2018 - Incremental Increase

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Gross Expense Revenue

Net Expense

Change

Positions

Known Impacts COLA and Progression Pay

Annualization of the CBA Annualization Impact of 2015 Approvals

10332 10332 09 2760 2760 02

FYEof Workforce Additions Operating Impact of Completed Capital

559 559 219 219

Presto Commissions Economic Factors

2731 2731 02 802 802 01

Employee Benefits 5618 5618 05 5858 5858 05 Diesel Fuel 4674 4674 04 3824 3824 03 Taxi Contracts (CostPassenger Trip) 2821 2821 02 3023 3023 02 Inflation

Revenue 2181 2181 02 1991 1991 02

Revenue Change - Increase in Trips 4755 (4755) (04) 4673 (4673) (04) Change in Average Fare (976) 976 01 (898) 898 01 Impact of 2016 Fare Increase

Other (specify) (54) 54 24 (24)

Service Change re Increase in Demand 52642 52642 45 50435 50435 40 Accident Claims 800 800 01 880 880 01 Other Net Base Budget Change 610 610 01 1024 1024 01

Sub-Total 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

Anticipated Impacts Other (specify)

xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx xxxxxxxx

Sub-Total Total Incremental Impact 82968 3725 79243 68 70816 3799 67017 54

50

bullmiddot~middot

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

52

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

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ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

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men

ded

2010

Ope

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t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

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ded

2010

Ope

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g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 51: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

bullmiddot~middot

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

52

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

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g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

Staf

f R

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

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t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

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men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

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2010

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016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 52: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

Staf

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2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015 bull Capital infrastructure replacement and rehabilitation work progressed bull PRESTO installed in 26 subway stations and on all legacy streetcars bull 14 LRVs accepted into revenue service with PRESTO Smart Card technology on

board bull 69 Toronto Rocket trains in revenue service bull 105 Low Floor Diesel Buses received (Incl 50 buses for Customer Service Initiatives) bull Leslie Barns ndash Commenced revenue operation on November 22 2015 bull Continued progress on YUS ATC Resignalling project bull Union Station ndash completion of platform and new north fareline and collectors booth at

concourse level in advance of 2015 Pan Am and Parapan Am Games bull Easier Access ndash 34 stations are now accessible Work on-going at Woodbine St Clair

West Ossington Coxwell and Dupont Stations including bus loop closures at Woodbine and Coxwell for the construction of elevators

bull Continued progress on the Toronto RocketT1 Rail Yard Accommodation project bull All TR trains are ATO equipped and progressing through the ATC integrated dynamic

tests at the specially built test track of the Wilson Yard

52

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Bu

dget

Com

mitt

ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

orte

dBu

dget

Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

Staf

f R

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

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t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

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ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

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g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 53: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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ee ndash

2016

Tax

Supp

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Lau

nch

Summary of Major ProjectsCompleted in 2015

bull SAP installation progressing (2 HR modules implemented) bull RFP for CADAVL System issued bull Ongoing track replacement bull Bike repair stands installed at 10 subway stations

bull Toronto-York-Spadina Subway Extension construction progressing

Staf

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2010

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016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

Staf

f R

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2010

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ittee

ndash20

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et L

aunc

h

Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

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g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

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ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

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t

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et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

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ded

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Ope

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

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ittee

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016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

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2010

Ope

ratin

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t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

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Ope

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Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

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g B

udge

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et C

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ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

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ded

2010

Ope

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ittee

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16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

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g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 54: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

Staf

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Ope

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et C

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ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Capital Budget Variance asof Sep 30 2015

Agencies

2015 Approved Cash Flow

2015 Expenditure

Trending Alert

(Benchmark 70 spendingrate)

YTD Spending

Year-End Projection

at Year End

TTC Q3 12209 4529 10333 846

gt70 between 50 and 70 lt 50 or gt 100

Key Points bull TTC spent $453 million or 371 of its 2015 Base Capital Budget of $1221 billion

(including $1458 million additional carry forward) for the eight months period ended August 29 2015 with a projection to year end estimated at $1033 billion or 846 of the approved budget

54

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

Staf

f R

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

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2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

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ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

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2010

Ope

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Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

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ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 55: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

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t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Key Capital Issuesamp Priority Actionsfor 2016

bull Additional funding is required to maintain infrastructure in a state-ofshygood repair and to fund vehicle acquisitions to accommodate and promote ridership growth

bull Major accommodations for these vehicles - Existing facilities renewal and new accommodations

bull YUS amp Bloor-Danforth signal system bull AODA Compliance by 2025 bull Existing funding programs are coming to an end bull $27 B funding shortfall in the base program for 2016-2025 bull Sufficient sustainable and predictable funding is required

55

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

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2010

Ope

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g B

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Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

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2010

Ope

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t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

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ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 56: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

bullmiddot~middot

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 57: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Summary of Major Projectsin the

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Plan TTC BOARD APPROVED 2016-2025 BASE CAPITAL BUDGET

Vehicles ($Millions)

Purchase of Buses 1063 Purchase of Subway Cars 952 Purchase of LRVs 1019 $3927 42

Vehicle Overhaul Programs (Bus Subway Streetcar) 779 Purchase of NRVNRV Overhaul 114

Infrastructure Projects

Track Programs 732 Electrical Systems 379 Signal Systems (Incl YUS ($302) and BD ($300)) 691 Finishes 164 Equipment 269 Yards amp Roads 186 Bridges amp Tunnels 503 Building amp Structures

- Fire Ventilation Upgrade 296 - Easier Access Phase III 429 - TRT1 Rail Yard Accommodation 403 - McNicoll Bus Garage 175 $5389 58

- Leslie Barns 63 - LRV Carhouse Facility 51 - Subway Facility Renewal 57 - Wilson Garage Ventilation Upgrade 50 - Wilson Backup Centre 30 - Duncan Shop Ventilation Upgrade 37 - Backflow Preventers 27 - Other Building amp Structure Projects 209 1827

Environmental Projects 92 Information Technology 379 Other Projects 167

Total - Base Program Request $9316

57

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 58: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

Staf

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2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h 2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and

Plan Spendingamp FundingSources

Where the Where the Money Money Goes Comes From

$9316 Million $9316 Million

58

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 59: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Project Category

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Legislated SOGR Service Improvements Growth Related

$ Million 2016 - 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by Category

Total 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Legislated 736 789 887 799 651 683 562 509 426 313 6355 SOGR 9872 10764 9357 9359 6664 5556 7739 6165 6039 7792 79307 Service Improvements 329 285 381 307 269 153 30 28 28 33 1842 Growth Related 766 295 522 2080 1926 69 00 00 00 00 5658 Total 11704 12132 11147 12544 9510 6460 8331 6703 6493 8138 93162

59

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 60: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

State of Good Repair Backlog

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

Accumulated Backlog as a of Asset Value

Asset Value Trend Analysis

bull By the end of 2025 the SOGR back log is projected to be $346M (ie unfunded) representing 24 of the asset replacement value approaching $15B

60

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

64

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

65

66

Page 61: 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary ... · 2016PreliminaryOperatingBudget and 2016 -2025 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan . Budget Committee . January 8, 2016

Staf

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2010

Ope

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g B

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t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch

2016 ndash 2025 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan by FundingSource

1400

1200

1000

800

0

200

400

600

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC ReservesReserve Funds Development Charges ProvincialFederal Others Unfunded Projects

$Million 2016- 2025PreliminaryCapital Budget andPlanbyFundingSource

Total2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 DebtCFC 6247 5248 4814 4439 1740 1098 311 462 439 372 25170 ReservesReserve Funds 1471 1959 1303 1157 599 00 00 00 00 00 6489 Development Charges 165 955 1002 816 658 648 523 348 347 18 5477 ProvincialFederal 2933 3612 2924 2892 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 2426 26920 Other 334 331 264 172 267 237 200 184 167 159 2317 UnfundedProjects 554 27 840 3068 3820 2052 4871 3282 3113 5163 26789

61

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Debt Target

($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

62

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash 2

016

Tax

Supp

orte

d B

udge

t Lau

nch Incremental OperatingImpact of Capital

Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

63

Staf

f R

ecom

men

ded

2010

Ope

ratin

g B

udge

t

Budg

et C

omm

ittee

ndash20

16Ta

xSu

ppor

ted

Budg

et L

aunc

h

Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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($ Million) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Gross Expenditures 1170 1213 1115 1254 951 646 833 670 649 814 9316 Debt Target 498 530 502 380 139 16 0 0 0 252 2317 Debt Required 480 528 565 751 556 315 518 374 355 554 4996 Over(Under) Debt Target (18) (2) 63 370 417 299 518 374 355 302 2679

Key Drivers bull The Board Approved Capital Budget of $9316 billion requires debt funding of $4996 billion

bull This exceeds the City established debt target of $2317 billion

bull Therefore it results in a shortfall of $2679 billion

bull A list of projects that cannot proceed until funding sources are secured has been identified

bull The ongoing funding deficit is a significant concern

10 - Year Capital Budget Comparison Base Program

2014- 2023 Approved

($Billions) 2015- 2024 Approved

2016- 2025 Request

BudgetRequest FundingAvailable Shortfall

9036

6493

2543

9268

6901

2367

9316

6637

2679

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Net Expenditures($000s) 2016 Budget 2017 Plan 2018 Plan 2019 Plan 2020 Plan 2021 - 2025 Plan 2016 - 2025 Total $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position $ Position

Previously Approved Projects Fare System (PRESTO) 5749 40 (10755) (110) 61 (2047) (20) (6992) (90) Communications 05 3616 26 22 22 23 123 3811 26 Train Door Monitoring (131150) (1310) (185100) (1630) (6320) (6470) (34240) (363280) (2940) Signal Systems 1380 06 1650 08 670 01 660 08 700 02 1570 04 6630 29 Equipment 10 10 10 10 10 60 110 Fire Ventilation Upgrade 160 01 80 01 160 01 400 03 Purchase of Buses (1620) (14) (1620) (14) Fare Handling Equipment 40000 40000 Information Technology System 32290 (500) 25150 68 50250 75 40630 00 15840 55 16930 00 181090 (302) Easier Access Phase III 520 730 620 730 4310 6910 Leslie Barns 65170 1130 5450 70620 1130 McNicoll Bus Garage 97650 688 97650 688 Other Service Planning 1150 (20) (570) (18) (750) (20) 350 00 350 00 1750 00 2280 (58) Purchase of Rail Non-Rev Veh 4200 8000 12200

TYSSE 13308 120 110430 759 165830 1161 1650 5409 20 296627 2060 Total 117602 763 4351 (577) 71723 (413) 38205 (11) 118483 745 (3928) 25 346436 532

Note No provisions for the opening the following rail extensions have been included in these figures (eg Eglinton Crosstown Finch West LRT SmartTrack etc)

Full year impact and timing of expenditure offsets under review Ridership and revenue impacts under review

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Unfunded Capital Projects

2016-2025 UNFUNDED PROJECTS ($Million)

2015-2024 2016-2025 Change PROJECT

372 Replacement Subway Cars (616) (915) (299) 201 Replacement Wheel-Trans Buses (100) (100) 0 Purchase of 99 40 LF Buses Customer Service Init iat ive (89) (75) 14 Purchase of 675 40 LFBuses (439) (439) 60 New LRVs for Growth (366) (361) 5 Fire Ventilation Upgrade (132) (182) (50) Train Door Monitoring System - T1 amp TR (51) - 51 Easier Access III (165) - 165 Bus Overhaul (256) (261) (5) Bloor-Danforth ATCResignalling (2) 2 Information Technology (1) 1 Other SOGRInfrastructure Projects (588) (346) 242

-Total (2367) (2679) (312)

Request of $93Bversusfunding available of $65B= $28Bshortfall

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h Projectsfor Future Consideration

Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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Not Included in the Base Program

($Millions)

TTCRecommended Projects EFC Station Modernization Program 111

New Davisvi l leFacil i ty Detail Design and Construction 400

Yonge Bloor Capacity Improvements 1084

Platform Edge Doors - Line 2 614

Platform Edge Doors - Line 1 554

FireVenti lation Upgrade 1493

Other Projects 307

Rail Yard Property Acquisition TBD

TTCRecommended Projects 4563

Waterfront InitiativesProjects

East Bayfront Streetcar and Station Expansion 434

Purchase of 6 Additional LRTCars - East Bayfront Streetcar Line 36

Bremner Streetcar Expansion 261

Purchase of 4 Additional LRTCars -Bremner Blvd Streetcar Line 24

Port Lands Streetcar Expansion 200

Purchase 5 Additional LRTCars - West Donlands Streetcar Line 30

Waterfront Initiative Projects 985

Total - Recommended Projectsfor Future Consideration 5548

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