125
Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital Markets Report Craig R. Evere Pepperdine University Follow this and additional works at: hp://digitalcommons.pepperdine.edu/gsbm_pcm_pcmr Part of the Corporate Finance Commons , and the Finance and Financial Management Commons is Article is brought to you for free and open access by Pepperdine Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report by an authorized administrator of Pepperdine Digital Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Recommended Citation Evere, Craig R.,"2016 Private Capital Markets Report" (2016). Pepperdine University Graziadio School of Business and Management. hp://digitalcommons.pepperdine.edu/gsbm_pcm_pcmr/4

2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

Pepperdine UniversityPepperdine Digital Commons

Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report

3-15-2016

2016 Private Capital Markets ReportCraig R. EverettPepperdine University

Follow this and additional works at: http://digitalcommons.pepperdine.edu/gsbm_pcm_pcmr

Part of the Corporate Finance Commons, and the Finance and Financial Management Commons

This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Pepperdine Digital Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Pepperdine PrivateCapital Markets Report by an authorized administrator of Pepperdine Digital Commons. For more information, please [email protected].

Recommended CitationEverett, Craig R.,"2016 Private Capital Markets Report" (2016). Pepperdine University Graziadio School of Business andManagement. http://digitalcommons.pepperdine.edu/gsbm_pcm_pcmr/4

Page 2: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

BY DR. CRAIG R. EVERETT Assistant Professor of FinanceDirector, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project

2016 Private Capital Markets Report

Page 3: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

2016 PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT

Craig R. Everett, PhD

Page 4: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital
Page 5: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | i

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT

Director CRAIG R. EVERETT, PhD

Research Support

IRINA SHAYKHUTDINOVA, MBA

Director Marketing & Communications LISA PERRY

Public Relations KP PUBLIC AFFAIRS PATRICK GEORGE

PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY

Dean David M. Smith, PhD Associate Dean John K. Paglia, PhD (Founding Director)

Melissa Mikolajczak, MA, MBA (Executive Director of Marketing & Communications)

Primary research funding for the 2016 Private Capital Markets Report was made possible through a generous gift from

ED & JEAN WEDBUSH

Page 6: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | ii

FINANCIAL SPONSORS

Ed & Jean Wedbush

Dun & Bradstreet

RESEARCH PARTNERS

International Business Brokers Association (IBBA) M&A Source

RESEARCH SPONSORS

Alliance for Mergers and Acquisitions Advisors

Association for Corporate Growth (ACG) Best Community Banks Association Business Valuation Resources (BVR) California Bankers Association (CBA)

Commercial Finance Association (CFA) Community Bank (LinkedIn Group)

Corporate Banking (LinkedIn Group) Deal Flow Source (LinkedIn Group)

Exit Planning Institute Finance Club (LinkedIn Group)

Graziadio Alumni Network (GAN) International Business Valuation Assoc. (LinkedIn Group)

International Factoring Association (IFA) The Mankoff Company

Mezzanine & Junior Capital Deal Flow (LinkedIn Group) National Association for Small Business Investment Companies (NASBIC)

Risk Management Association (RMA) Valuation (LinkedIn Group)

Venture Capital (LinkedIn Group)

SURVEY DESIGN, DISTRIBUTION, AND OTHER SUPPORT

Robert T. Slee Letitia Green Brett Palmer Leonard Lanzi Nevena Orbach Gary LaBranche Gray DeFevere Brad Triebsch Dennis Gano

Jan Hanssen Gary W. Clark Linh Xavier Vuong Robert Zielinski M. Todd Stemler Michael Nall

Kevin D. Cantrell Patrick George Simon James, PhD Eric Nath Brian Cove Howard J. Lothrop, CFA

Jeri Harmon Rob Brougham

Page 7: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS

INVESTMENT BANKER SURVEY INFORMATION ...................................................................................................... 4

Operational and Assessment Characteristics .................................................................................................. 4

PRIVATE EQUITY SURVEY INFORMATION ............................................................................................................. 12

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 12

BANK AND ASSET-BASED LENDING SURVEY INFORMATION ................................................................................ 20

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 20

Asset-Based Lending Specific Characteristics ................................................................................................ 27

MEZZANINE SURVEY INFORMATION .................................................................................................................... 29

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 29

LIMITED PARTNER SURVEY INFORMATION .......................................................................................................... 37

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 37

VENTURE CAPITAL SURVEY INFORMATION .......................................................................................................... 43

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 43

ANGEL INVESTOR SURVEY INFORMATION ........................................................................................................... 49

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 49

BUSINESS APPRAISER SURVEY INFORMATION ..................................................................................................... 55

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 55

BROKER SURVEY INFORMATION .......................................................................................................................... 59

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 59

Business Transactions Valued Under $499 Thousand ................................................................................... 67

Business Transactions Valued Under from $500 to $999 Thousand ............................................................. 70

Business Transactions Valued Under from $1 to $1.99 Million .................................................................... 73

Business Transactions Valued Under from $2 to $4.99 Million .................................................................... 77

Business Transactions Valued Under from $5 to $50 Million ....................................................................... 80

FACTOR SURVEY INFORMATION .......................................................................................................................... 86

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 86

BUSINESS OWNER SURVEY INFORMATION .......................................................................................................... 92

Operational and Assessment Characteristics ................................................................................................ 92

ABOUT THE AUTHOR ......................................................................................................................................... 109

INDEX OF TABLES ............................................................................................................................................... 110

INDEX OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................................................. 113

Page 8: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 2

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS SURVEY

The Pepperdine private cost of capital (PCOC) survey was originally launched in 2007 and is the first comprehensive and simultaneous investigation of the major private capital market segments. This year’s survey deployed in January 2016, specifically examined the behavior of senior lenders, asset-based lenders, mezzanine funds, private equity groups, venture capital firms, angel investors, privately-held businesses, investment bankers, business brokers, limited partners, and business appraisers. The Pepperdine PCOC survey investigated, for each private capital market segment, the important benchmarks that must be met in order to qualify for capital, how much capital is typically accessible, what the required returns are for extending capital in today’s economic environment, and outlooks on demand for various capital types, interest rates, and the economy in general. Our findings indicate that the cost of capital for privately-held businesses varies significantly by capital type, size, and risk assumed. This relationship is depicted in the Pepperdine Private Capital Market Line, which appears below.

Figure 1. Private Capital Market Required Rates of Return

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

1 quartile Median 3 quartile Median 2015

Banks (3.0% - 6.0%)

ABL (3.0% - 11.0%)

PEG (20.0% - 26.0%)

VC (23.0% - 38.0%)

Mezz (9.0% - 22.0%)

Angel (20.5% - 35.5%)

Page 9: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 3

The cost of capital data presented below identifies medians, 25th percentiles (1st quartile), and 75th percentiles (3rd quartile) of annualized gross financing costs for each major capital type and its segments. The data reveal that loans have the lowest average rates while capital obtained from angels has the highest average rates. As the size of loan or investment increases, the cost of borrowing or financing from any of the following sources decreases.

Table 1. Private Capital Market Required Rates of Return

1st quartile Median 3rd quartile

Bank ($1M CF loan) 5.5% 6.0% 9.3%

Bank ($5M CF loan) 4.8% 5.5% 6.5%

Bank ($10M CF loan) 4.8% 5.5% 6.0%

Bank ($25M CF loan) 4.5% 5.0% 6.0%

Bank ($50M CF loan) 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%

ABL ($1M loan) 8.8% 11.0% 15.5%

ABL ($5M loan) 4.4% 7.5% 15.3%

ABL ($10M loan) 3.5% 6.3% 14.0%

ABL ($25M loan) 2.8% 3.3% 4.1%

ABL ($50M loan) 2.8% 3.0% 4.0%

Mezz ($1M loan) 19.0% 22.0% 25.0%

Mezz ($5M loan) 15.0% 16.5% 21.0%

Mezz ($10M loan) 14.5% 16.0% 20.0%

Mezz ($25M loan) 14.5% 16.0% 19.3%

Mezz ($50M loan) 14.0% 15.0% 18.0%

Mezz ($100M loan) 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%

PEG ($1M EBITDA) 23.5% 26.0% 38.0%

PEG ($5M EBITDA) 21.0% 25.0% 30.0%

PEG ($10M EBITDA) 20.0% 24.0% 30.0%

PEG ($25M EBITDA) 20.0% 24.0% 29.0%

PEG ($50M EBITDA) 20.3% 22.0% 28.8%

PEG ($100M EBITDA) 17.5% 20.0% 24.5%

VC (Seed) 23.5% 38.0% 43.0%

VC (Startup) 23.0% 33.0% 38.0%

VC (Early Stage) 23.0% 28.0% 37.0%

VC (Expansion) 20.5% 28.0% 30.5%

VC (Later Stage) 18.0% 23.0% 28.0%

Angel (Seed) 25.5% 35.5% 68.0%

Angel (Startup) 25.5% 35.5% 60.5%

Angel (Early Stage) 25.5% 25.5% 55.5%

Angel (Expansion) 18.0% 25.5% 35.5%

Angel (Later Stage) 15.5% 20.5% 28.0%

Page 10: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 4

INVESTMENT BANKER SURVEY INFORMATION The majority of the 120 respondents to the investment banker survey indicated increasing margin pressure on companies over the last twelve months. They also reported increases in deal flow, presence of strategic buyers, leverage and deal multiples, and slightly worsened business conditions. Domestic economic uncertainty was identified as the most important current and emerging issue facing privately-held businesses, following by access to capital, and government regulations and taxes. Other key findings include:

• Approximately 35% of respondents expect to close six or more deals in the next 12 months.

• The top three reasons for deals not closing were valuation gap (40%), unreasonable seller or buyer demand (21%), and lack of capital to finance (9%).

• Respondents indicated a general imbalance between companies worthy of financing and capital available for

the same. There is a reported shortage of capital for those companies with less than $5 million in EBITDA, but a general surplus for companies with $5 million in EBITDA or more.

• The most popular valuation methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses were discounted future earnings, guideline company transactions, and capitalization of earnings approaches.

• When using multiples to determine the value of a business, the most popular methods used by respondents

when valuing privately-held businesses were recast (adjusted) EBITDA multiple (59%), revenue multiple (13%), cash flow multiple (10%) and EBITDA (unadjusted) multiple (10%) approaches.

Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Approximately 8% of the respondents didn’t close any deals in the last twelve months; 64% closed between one and five deals, while 28% closed six deals or more.

Figure 2. Private Business Sales Transactions Closed in the Last 12 Months

8%

15%

22%

13%

8%6% 6%

3%1% 2%

4%

12%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Morethan 10

Page 11: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 5

INVESTMENT BANKER cont.

Figure 3. Business Types That Were Involved in the Transactions Closed in the Last 12 Months

The majority of deals (60%) took 6 to 12 months to close. 11% of closed deals take more than one year to close.

Figure 4. Average Number of Months to Close One Deal

Nearly 63% of respondents expect to close between one and five deals, while 35% expect to close 6 deals or more.

Figure 5. Private Business Transactions Expected to Close in the Next 12 Months

46%

36%

30%27%

25%

21%

21%

15% 11%7% 5%

Manufacturing

Business services

Health care & biotech

Consumer goods & services

Wholesale & distribution

Information technology

Financial services & real estate

Construction & engineering

Basic materials & energy

Media & entertainment

Other

1%

10%

19%24% 23%

13%8%

2% 1%0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

2 monthsor less

3 - 4months

5 - 6months

7 - 8months

9 - 10months

11 - 12months

13 - 18months

19 - 24months

more than24 months

2%

5%

15%

18%

13% 13%

5%3%

7%

1%3%

17%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Morethan 10

Page 12: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 6

INVESTMENT BANKER cont. Approximately 35% of deals terminated without transacting over the past year.

Figure 6. Percentage of Business Sales Engagements Terminated Without Transacting

Top three reasons for deals not closing: valuation gap in pricing (40%), unreasonable seller or buyer demand (22%) and lack of capital to finance (9%).

Figure 7. Reasons for Business Sales Engagements Not Transacting

Of those transactions that didn’t close due to a valuation gap in pricing, approximately 35% had a valuation gap in pricing between 21% and 30%.

Figure 8. Valuation Gap in Pricing for Transactions That Didn’t Close

65%

35%Transacted

Not transacted

40%

22%

9%

7%7%

6% 4% 5%Valuation gap in pricing

Unreasonable seller or buyer demand

Lack of capital to finance

Insufficient cash flow

Economic uncertainty

Seller misrepresentations

No market for business

Other

5%

34%

35%

15%

6% 6%1 - 10% 11 - 20%

21 - 30% 31 - 40%

41 - 50% Greater than 50%

Page 13: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 7

INVESTMENT BANKER cont. The weights of the various valuation methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses included 32% for discounted future earnings method.

Figure 9. Usage of Valuation Methods

The weights of the various multiple methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses included 59% for recast (adjusted) EBITDA multiple.

Figure 10. Usage of Multiple Methods

Average deal multiples on transactions from the prior twelve months as observed by respondents varied from 4.6 to 8.0.

Table 2. Median Deal Multiples by EBITDA Size of Company

EBITDA Manufacturing Construction

& engineering

Cons. goods & services

Wholesale &

distribution

Business services

Basic materials & energy

Health care & biotech

IT Financial services

Media & entertain. Avg.

$0K - $999K 4.5 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 8.0 4.5 5.5 4.6

$1M - $4.99M 5.5 4.5 5.5 5.0 5.0 3.0 6.0 8.0 5.0 5.8 5.3

$5M - $9.99M 5.8 5.0 7.0 6.0 5.5 4.0 7.0 8.0 5.5 6.8 6.1

$10M - $24.99M 6.0 5.3 7.0 7.0 6.5 4.0 7.5 8.8 5.5 7.0 6.5

$25M - $49.99M 6.5 5.5 7.5 8.0 7.3 5.3 7.8 9.3 6.0 7.3 7.1

$50M+ 10.0 6.0 10.0 7.3 6.0 8.0 9.5 6.5 8.5 8.0

32%

21% 21%

10%5% 4%

7%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

Discountedfuture

earningsmethod

Guidelinecompany

transactionsmethod

Capitalizationof earnings

method

Guidelinepublic

companymethod

Adjusted netasset method

Gut feel Other

59%

13% 10% 10%3% 3% 3%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Recast(Adjusted)

EBITDAmultiple

Revenuemultiple

Cash flowmultiple

EBITDA(unadjusted)

multiple

EBIT multiple Net incomemultiple

Other

Page 14: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 8

INVESTMENT BANKER cont. Average total leverage multiples observed by respondents varied from 2.8 to 5.4.

Table 3. Median Total Leverage Multiples by Size of Company

EBITDA Manufacturing Construction

& engineering

Cons. goods & services

Wholesale &

distribution

Business services

Basic materials & energy

Health care & biotech

IT Financial services

Media & entertain. Avg.

$0K - $999K 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 4.3 2.8

$1M - $4.99M 3.0 2.8 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.8 4.5 3.3

$5M - $9.99M 3.8 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.3 3.8 5.0 3.8

$10M - $24.99M 4.3 3.5 4.5 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.8 5.5 4.4

$25M - $49.99M 4.5 5.3 4.8 4.5 6.0 4.0 7.0 5.2

$50M+ 5.0 3.5 6.0 5.0 6.0 4.5 6.0 7.0 5.4

Average senior leverage multiples observed by respondents varied from 2.1 to 5.2.

Table 4. Median Senior Leverage Multiples by Size of Company

EBITDA Manufacturing Construction

& engineering

Cons. goods & services

Wholesale &

distribution

Business services

Basic materials & energy

Health care & biotech

IT Financial services

Media & entertain.

Median, all industries

$0K - $999K 2.3 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 2.1

$1M - $4.99M 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.5 3.0 3.3 2.7

$5M - $9.99M 3.0 2.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.5 3.2

$10M - $24.99M 3.5 2.8 3.5 4.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.0 3.7

$25M - $49.99M 4.5 3.0 4.5 4.0 3.0 4.5 4.0 5.0 5.0 4.2

$50M+ 6.0 3.0 7.3 4.5 5.0 4.5 5.0 6.3 5.2

Approximately 35% of business sales transactions closed in the last 12 months involved contingent earnout.

Figure 11. Components of Closed Deals

35%

27%24% 23%

16% 15%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Contingentearnout

Seller Financing /Seller Note

Rollover Lowered multipleof EBITDA

Adjusted amountof equity sold

Other

Page 15: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 9

INVESTMENT BANKER cont. Approximately 57% of closed business sales transactions over the past 12 months involved strategic buyers.

Figure 12. Percent of Transactions Involved Strategic and Financial Buyers

Approximately 27% of respondents didn’t witness any premium paid by strategic buyers, while 50% saw premiums between 1% and 20%.

Figure 13. Premium Paid by Strategic Buyers Relative to Financial Buyers

Approximately 64% of closed business sales transactions that involved financial buyers over the past 12 months were platform investments.

Figure 14. Percent of Transactions Involved Strategic and Financial Buyers

57%

43%Strategic buyers

Financial buyers

27%

21%

30%

9%

2% 2%

10%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

No premium Yes, 0-10%more

Yes, 11-20%more

Yes, 21-30%more

Yes, 31-40%more

Yes, 41-50%more

Yes, >50%more

64%

36%Platform investments

Follow-on investments

Page 16: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 10

INVESTMENT BANKER cont. Respondents indicated a general imbalance between companies worthy of financing and capital available for the same. There is a reported shortage of capital for those companies with less than $5 million in EBITDA but a general surplus for companies with $5 million in EBITDA or more.

Table 5. Balance of Available Capital with Quality Companies

EBITDA

Companies worthy of financing

GREATLY exceed capital available

Companies worthy of

financing exceed capital available

General balance

Capital available exceeds

companies worthy of financing

Capital available GREATLY exceeds

companies worthy of financing

Score (-2 to 2)

$0K - $999K 37% 29% 16% 14% 4% -0.8 $1M - $4.99M 11% 29% 31% 20% 10% -0.1 $5M - $9.99M 2% 13% 36% 34% 14% 0.4 $10M - $24.99M 0% 7% 28% 28% 38% 1.0 $25M - $49.99M 0% 5% 20% 30% 45% 1.2 $50M - $99.99M 0% 10% 10% 32% 48% 1.2 $100M+ 2% 7% 11% 23% 58% 1.3

Respondents indicated a general difficulty with arranging senior debt for businesses with less than $5 million in EBITDA.

Table 6. How Difficult to Arrange Senior Debt for Transactions over the Past 12 Months

EBITDA Extremely difficult Difficult Somewhat

difficult Neutral Somewhat easy Easy Extremely

easy Score

(-3 to 3) $0K - $999K 28% 30% 11% 17% 6% 6% 2% -1.3

$1M - $4.99M 7% 17% 21% 20% 23% 11% 1% -0.3

$5M - $9.99M 3% 7% 16% 23% 25% 21% 5% 0.4

$10M - $24.99M 2% 5% 14% 26% 16% 30% 7% 0.7

$25M - $49.99M 6% 3% 6% 25% 22% 28% 9% 0.8

$50M - $99.99M 8% 8% 4% 15% 15% 31% 19% 0.9

$100M+ 8% 8% 8% 16% 8% 24% 28% 0.9

Respondents indicated increasing margin pressure on companies over the last twelve months. They also reported increases in deal flow, increased presence of strategic buyers, leverage and deal multiples, and slightly worsened business conditions.

Table 7. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Deal flow 10% 13% 28% 40% 8% 48% 23% 25%

Leverage multiples 1% 20% 50% 26% 3% 29% 21% 8%

Deal multiples 3% 16% 48% 31% 3% 33% 19% 14%

Amount of time to sell business 0% 8% 56% 29% 7% 35% 8% 27%

Difficulty financing/selling business 1% 16% 48% 31% 5% 36% 17% 19%

General business conditions 6% 28% 40% 23% 3% 26% 34% -8%

Strategic buyers making deals 4% 12% 47% 35% 2% 37% 16% 21%

Margin pressure on companies 1% 6% 44% 38% 12% 50% 7% 43%

Buyer interest in minority transactions 10% 17% 52% 20% 2% 22% 26% -4%

Page 17: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 11

INVESTMENT BANKER cont. During the next twelve months, respondents expect further increases in deal flow, margin pressure on companies, strategic buyers making deals, decreasing leverage and deal multiples and worsening general business conditions.

Table 8. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly % increase %

decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Deal flow 5% 19% 34% 36% 5% 42% 25% 17%

Leverage multiples 3% 29% 55% 10% 2% 12% 33% -21%

Deal multiples 3% 29% 55% 11% 1% 12% 33% -21%

Amount of time to sell business 1% 8% 65% 19% 8% 27% 9% 18%

Difficulty financing/selling business 0% 12% 49% 33% 6% 39% 12% 27%

General business conditions 7% 47% 29% 16% 1% 17% 54% -37%

Strategic buyers making deals 3% 11% 54% 27% 4% 31% 15% 17%

Margin pressure on companies 1% 6% 39% 43% 11% 54% 7% 47%

Buyer interest in minority transactions 10% 15% 63% 11% 2% 13% 25% -13% Respondents believe domestic economic uncertainty is the most important current and emerging issue facing privately-held businesses.

Figure 15. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

30%

21%

18%

11%

8%

4%

2%

6%

28%

13%

14%

13%

15%

6%

9%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Access to capital

Government regulations and taxes

Economic uncertainty (International)

Political uncertainty / elections

Competition from foreign trade partners

Inflation

Other

Today's issue Emerging issue

Page 18: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 12

PRIVATE EQUITY SURVEY INFORMATION Approximately 45% of the 75 participants who responded to the private equity group survey indicated that they make investments in the $10 million to $25 million range. Nearly 42% of respondents said that demand for private equity is up from twelve months ago, this is down from 63% of respondents indicating increased demand in fall 2014. Other key findings include:

• Respondents indicated flat quality of companies seeking investment. They also reported decrease in expected returns on new investments, slightly worsened general business conditions and increase in expected investment holding period.

• Respondents expect further increases in demand for private equity, decreasing deal multiples, flat value of portfolio companies and worsening business conditions.

• The types of businesses respondents plan to invest in over next 12 months are very diverse with over 18%

targeting business services and another 17% planning to invest in manufacturing.

• Respondents believe domestic economic uncertainty is the most important current and emerging issue facing privately-held businesses.

• The most popular valuation methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses were discounted future earnings, guideline company transactions, and capitalization of earnings approaches.

• When using multiples to determine the value of a business, the most popular methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses were recast EBITDA multiple (38%) and EBITDA multiple (24%).

Operational and Assessment Characteristics

The largest concentration of checks written was in the $10 million - $25 million range (45%), followed by $1 - $5 million (35%), and $5 million - $10 million (35%).

Figure 16. Typical Investment Size

Respondents reported on business practices, and the results are reflected below.

Table 9. PEG Fund Data

1st Quartile Median 3rd Quartile

Vintage year (year in which first investment made) 2012 2013 2014

Size of fund ($ millions) 37.5 175 350

Targeted number of total investments 8 8 13

Target fund return (gross pretax cash on cash annual IRR %) 20% 25% 25%

Expected fund return (gross pretax cash on cash annual IRR%) 18% 23% 25%

8%

35%25%

45%

25%15% 13%

7%

0%10%20%30%40%50%

Less than$1M

$1M -$4.99M

$5M -$9.99M

$10M -$24.99M

$25M -$49.99M

$50M -$99.99M

$100M -$499.99M

$500M+

Page 19: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 13

PRIVATE EQUITY cont. The types of businesses respondents plan to invest in over next 12 months are very diverse with nearly 18% targeting business services and another 17% planning to invest in manufacturing.

Figure 17. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Approximately 69% of respondents made between one and three investments over the last twelve months.

Figure 18. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

Figure 19. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

18%

17%

12%11%

9%

8%

7%6%

3%2%

7%

Business services

Manufacturing

Wholesale & distribution

Health care & biotech

Consumer goods & services

Information technology

Financial services & real estate

Basic materials & energy

Media & entertainment

Construction & engineering

Other

8%

24% 23% 22%

4% 4% 4%1%

4% 5%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Morethan 10

33%

18% 19%

7% 5% 4%7%

3% 4%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 More than10

Page 20: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 14

PRIVATE EQUITY cont. The majority (66%) of respondents plan to make one to three investments over the next 12 months.

Figure 20. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Figure 21. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Approximately 67% of buyout investments were in the range between $1 million and $10 million of EBITDA.

Figure 22. Size of Buyout Investments in the Last 12 Months

1%

11%

27% 28%

8% 9%7%

3% 1%4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 More than10

21%23%

14%

19%

5%

10%

3%1%

4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 More than10

9%

28% 29%

18%

6% 5% 4%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

$0K - $999KEBITDA

$1M - $4.99MEBITDA

$5M - $9.99MEBITDA

$10M -$24.99MEBITDA

$25M -$49.99MEBITDA

$50M -$99.99MEBITDA

$100M+EBITDA

Page 21: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 15

PRIVATE EQUITY cont. Average deal multiples for buyout deals for the prior twelve months vary from 5.0 to 8.5 times EBITDA depending on the size of the company. Expected returns vary from 20% to 27.5%.

Table 10. General Characteristics – Buyout Transactions (medians) EBITDA size $0K - $999K

$1M - $4.99M

$5M - $9.99M

$10M - $24.99M

$25M - $49.99M

Number of investments (total) 18 48 55 27 4

Average size of investment (in million USD) 2 3.5 15 25 70

Expected time to exit (years) (median) 3 5 5 5 5

Equity as % of new capital structure (median) 95% 45% 45% 35% 35%

% of total equity purchased (median) 85% 75% 70% 65% 60%

Average deal multiple (multiple of EBITDA) 5.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.5 Median total expected returns (gross cash on cash pre-tax IRR) 27.5% 25% 23% 21% 20%

Approximately 39% of non-buyout investments were in the range between $0 million and $1 million of EBITDA.

Figure 23. Size of Non-Buyout Investments in the Last 12 Months

Average expected returns on non-buyout deals vary from 15% to 30%.

Table 11. General Characteristics – Non-Buyout Transactions (medians)

$0K -

$999K $1M -

$4.99M $5M -

$9.99M $10M -

$24.99M $25M -

$49.99M $50M -

$99.99M Number of investments 60 32 9 8 7 14 Average size of investment in million USD 3 7.5 7.5 60 85 85 Expected time to exit (years) (medians) 4 4 3 4 4 4.5 Equity as % of new capital structure 80% 75% 35% 35% 35% 15% % of total equity purchased 55% 45% 35% 30% 15% 15% Average deal multiple (multiple of EBITDA) 5.5 6 6.5 7.5 8.5 n/a Total expected returns (gross cash on cash pre-tax IRR) 30% 25.0% 24% 21% 20% 15%

33%31%

10%13%

6% 6%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

$0K - $999KEBITDA

$1M - $4.99MEBITDA

$5M - $9.99MEBITDA

$10M - $24.99MEBITDA

$25M - $49.99MEBITDA

$50M - $99.99MEBITDA

Page 22: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 16

PRIVATE EQUITY cont. When valuing a business, approximately 22% of the weight is placed on discounted future earnings method.

Figure 24. Usage of Valuation Approaches

The weights of the various multiple methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses included 30% for recast (adjusted) EBITDA multiple and 30% for EBITDA multiple.

Figure 25. Usage of Multiple Methods

22%

19% 19%

11% 11%

8%

5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Discountedfuture

earningsmethod

Guidelinecompany

transactionsmethod

Capitalizationof earnings

method

Other Guidelinepublic

companymethod

Gut feel Adjusted netasset method

38%

24%

18%

11%

4% 3%1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Recast EBITDAmultiple

EBITDAmultiple

Cash flowmultiple

Revenuemultiple

EBIT multiple Net incomemultiple

Other

Page 23: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 17

PRIVATE EQUITY cont. Respondents reported on items required to close one deal.

Figure 26. Items Required to Close One Deal

Respondents reported exit strategies that include selling to another private equity group (32%), selling to a private company (30%), and selling to a public company (25%).

Figure 27. Exit Plans for Portfolio Companies

2810 3 1

73

11 5 2

200

2510 4

0

50

100

150

200

250

Business plans ormemorandums reviewed

Meetings with principalsconducted

Proposal letters or termsheets issued

Letters of intent signed

1st Quartile Median 3rd Quartile

32%

30%

25%

7%4% 2%

Sell to another PEG

Sell to a private company

Sell to a public company

IPO

Management buyout

Other

Page 24: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 18

PRIVATE EQUITY cont. Most of the respondents believe the number of companies “worthy of financing” exceeds “capital available” for the companies with less than $1M in EBITDA. Whereas for the larger companies, “capital available” exceeds the number of companies “worthy of financing.”

Table 12. The Balance of Available Capital with Quality Companies for the Following EBITDA Size

Companies worthy of financing GREATLY

exceed capital available

Companies worthy of

financing exceed capital available

General balance

Capital available exceeds

companies worthy of financing

Capital available GREATLY exceeds

companies worthy of financing

Score (-2 to 2)

$0K - $999K 13% 30% 37% 12% 8% -0.3

$1M - $4.99M 8% 20% 43% 18% 11% 0.0

$5M - $9.99M 5% 12% 27% 37% 20% 0.6

$10M - $14.99M 8% 8% 22% 22% 39% 0.7

$15M - $24.99M 5% 15% 16% 24% 40% 0.8

$25M - $49.99M 6% 9% 20% 20% 44% 0.9

$50M - $99.99M 7% 6% 20% 20% 46% 0.9

$100M+ 7% 4% 20% 20% 48% 1.1 Relative to twelve months ago, respondents indicated increases in demand for private equity, quality of companies seeking investment, amount of non-control investments and deal multiples. They also reported a decrease in expected returns on new investments, increase in expected investment holding period and slightly worsened general business conditions.

Table 13. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for private equity 1% 7% 50% 26% 16% 42% 8% 34%

Quality of companies seeking investment 5% 23% 43% 24% 4% 28% 28% 0%

Average investment size 1% 10% 60% 25% 4% 29% 11% 18%

Non-control investments 3% 5% 63% 18% 11% 29% 8% 21%

Expected investment holding period 0% 9% 49% 34% 8% 42% 9% 32%

Deal multiples 0% 16% 31% 36% 16% 53% 16% 36%

Exit opportunities 4% 25% 36% 23% 12% 36% 29% 7%

Expected returns on new investments 4% 41% 38% 14% 4% 18% 45% -27%

Value of portfolio companies 4% 18% 28% 30% 20% 50% 22% 28%

General business conditions 5% 31% 32% 30% 1% 31% 36% -5%

Size of private equity industry 0% 8% 32% 54% 6% 60% 8% 51%

Page 25: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 19

PRIVATE EQUITY cont. Respondents expect further increases in demand for private equity, decreasing deal multiples, and worsening general business conditions.

Table 14. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for private equity 0% 11% 42% 33% 14% 47% 11% 36%

Quality of companies seeking investment 1% 22% 50% 15% 11% 26% 24% 3%

Average investment size 0% 11% 60% 26% 3% 29% 11% 18%

Non-control investments 2% 15% 52% 22% 9% 31% 17% 14%

Expected investment holding period 0% 10% 44% 35% 11% 46% 10% 36%

Deal multiples 1% 38% 43% 14% 4% 18% 39% -21%

Exit opportunities 6% 36% 47% 8% 3% 11% 42% -31%

Expected returns on new investments 0% 32% 47% 18% 3% 21% 32% -11%

Value of portfolio companies 0% 31% 36% 28% 6% 33% 31% 3%

General business conditions 7% 43% 33% 14% 3% 17% 50% -33%

Size of private equity industry 0% 15% 50% 31% 4% 35% 15% 19%

Respondents believe government regulations and taxes is the most important issue facing privately-held businesses today.

Figure 28. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

34%

22%

14%

12%

8%

5%

4%

1%

28%

18%

16%

4%

15%

3%

7%

8%

Economic uncertainty (domestic)

Government regulations and taxes

Economic uncertainty (international)

Access to capital

Political uncertainty / elections

Other

Competition from foreign trade partners

Inflation

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Current issue Emerging issue

Page 26: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 20

BANK AND ASSET-BASED LENDING SURVEY INFORMATION There were 53 responses to the bank and asset-based lending surveys with community banks making up 44% in terms of individual lending function. Over 38% of respondents believe that general business conditions will improve over the next 12 months and over 43% said demand for loans will increase. Other key findings include:

• Over the last twelve months respondents were seeing increased credit quality of borrowers applying for credit, with increase in demand for business loans and improved general business conditions

• Respondents also expect increases in demand for business loans, lending capacity of banks, improving general business conditions, average loan size and loan maturity, and further increase in interest rates.

• Currently, 25% lenders see government regulations and taxes as the top issue facing privately-held businesses,

followed by domestic economic uncertainty (25%) and access to capital (16%).

Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Respondents reported on the type of entity that best describes their lending function.

Figure 28. Description of Lending Entity

The majority (70%) report participating in government loan programs.

Figure 30. Participation in Government Loan Programs

44%

33%

11%11% Community bank

Commercial bank

Corporate bank

Commercial finance company

70%

30%Yes

No

Page 27: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 21

BANKS cont. The largest concentration of loan sizes was between $1 million and $5 million (21%).

Figure 31. Typical Investment Size

Respondents reported on all-in rates for various industries and loan types.

Table 15. All-in Rates by Loan Size and Industry

Loan size Less than $1M $1M - $4.99M $5M - $9.99M $10M - $24.99M $25M+

Manufacturing 5.5% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 3.0%

Consumer goods and services 6.3% 5.5% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0%

Wholesale & distribution 5.5% 5.5% 4.8% 4.5% 3.0%

Business services 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 4.8% 3.0%

Basic materials & energy 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0%

Health care & biotech 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0%

Information technology 6.0% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 3.0%

Financial services 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 4.5% 3.0%

Typical Fixed-Rate Loan Term (months) 45 60 48 60 54

Table 16. All-in Rates by Loan Type

Less than $1M $1M - $4.99M $5M - $9.99M $10M - $24.99M $25M+

Cash flow loan 6.0% 5.5% 5.5% 5.0% 3.0%

Working capital loan 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.3% 3.0%

Equipment loan 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 3.0%

Real estate loan 5.3% 5.3% 4.5% 4.3% 3.0%

21% 21%

15% 15%

11%9%

7%

2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Less than $1million

$1-$5million

$6-$10million

$11-$25million

$25-$50million

$50-$100million

$100-$500million

Greater than$500 million

Page 28: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 22

BANKS cont. Senior leverage multiples are reported below for the various industries and EBITDA sizes.

Table 17. Senior Leverage Multiple by EBITDA Size

EBITDA size $0K - $999K $1M - $4.99M $5M - $9.99M $10M - $24.99M $25M - $49.99M $50M+

Manufacturing 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9

Construction & engineering 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6

Consumer goods & services 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.0

Wholesale & distribution 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0

Business services 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.0

Basic materials & energy 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8

Healthcare & biotech 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.6 2.0

Information technology 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.0

Financial services 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.6

Media & entertainment 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8

Total median 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.0

Various fees as reported by lenders are as follows.

Table 18. Fees Charged

1st Quartile Median 3rd Quartile % Reporting

Closing fee 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 16%

Modification fee 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 11%

Commitment fee 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 10%

Underwriting fee 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 11%

Arrangement fee 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 10%

Prepayment penalty (yr 1) 1.0% 2.0% 3.3% 16%

Prepayment penalty (yr 2) 0.3% 2.0% 3.0% 14%

Unused line fee 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 12%

Refinancing was the most commonly described financing by buyers at 34%, followed by expansion at 22%.

Figure 29. Borrower Motivation to Secure Financing (past 12 months)

34%

22%17%

10% 7%10%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

Refinancingexisting loans or

equity

Expansion Working capitalfluctuations

Financeworseningoperatingconditions

Managementbuyout

Other

Page 29: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 23

BANKS cont. Total debt-service coverage ratio was the most important factor when deciding whether to invest or not.

Table 19. Importance of Financial Evaluation Metrics

Unimportant Of little importance

Moderately important Important Very

important Score

(1 to 5)

Current ratio 31% 7% 29% 26% 7% 2.7

Senior DSCR or FCC ratio 12% 5% 19% 17% 48% 3.8

Total DSCR or FCC ratio 10% 3% 18% 20% 50% 4.0

Senior debt-to-cash flow 8% 11% 18% 34% 29% 3.7

Total debt-to-cash flow 10% 12% 24% 22% 32% 3.5

Debt-to-net worth 11% 14% 27% 32% 16% 3.3

Table 20. Financial Evaluation Metrics Average Data

Average borrower data Limit not to be exceeded

Current ratio 1.2 1.1

Senior DSCR or FCC ratio 1.3 1.2

Total DSCR or FCC ratio 1.3 1.1

Senior debt to cash flow 1.5 2.0

Total debt to cash flow 1.5 2.0

Debt to net worth 2.3 3.5

Respondents reported on the percentage of loans (by size) that require personal guarantee and collateral.

Table 21. Personal Guarantee and Collateral Percentage of Occurrence by Size of Loan (%)

Loan size Less than $1M $1M - $4.99M $5M - $9.99M $10M - $24.99M $50M - $99.99M $100M+ Personal guarantee 95% 95% 70% 38% 38% 30%

Collateral 95% 93% 90% 88% 73% 25%

Approximately 59% of cash flow applications were declined.

Table 22. Applications Data

Reviewed Offered Booked Declined

Cash flow based 554 78% 74% 59%

Collateral based 284 98% 50% 47%

Real estate 312 81% 59% 21%

Page 30: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 24

BANKS cont. Approximately 30% of applications were declined due to poor quality of earnings and/or cash flow followed by 22% that were declined due to insufficient collateral.

Figure 33. Reason for Declined Loans

Respondents believe government regulations and taxes and domestic economic uncertainty are the most important issues facing privately-held businesses today.

Figure 34. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

30%

22%

13%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

7%

Quality of earnings and/or cash flow

Insufficient collateral

Debt load

Insufficient credit

Size or availability of personal guarantees

Size of company

Weakening industry

Insufficient operating history

Customer concentrations

Economic concerns

Insufficient management team

Other

25%

25%

16%

14%

6%

6%

4%

3%

16%

18%

13%

10%

9%

22%

8%

4%

Government regulations and taxes

Economic uncertainty (domestic)

Access to capital

Economic uncertainty (international)

Competition from foreign trade partners

Political uncertainty / elections

Inflation

Other

Current issue Emerging issue

Page 31: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 25

BANKS cont. Respondents indicated increases in demand for business loans, percent of loans with personal guarantees, improved general business conditions, credit quality of borrowers applying for credit, decreased loan fees, and number/ tightness of financial covenants.

Table 23. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased

significantly Decreased

slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly % increase %

decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for business loans (applications) 10% 14% 36% 34% 6% 40% 24% 16%

Credit quality of borrowers applying for credit 0% 22% 46% 24% 8% 32% 22% 10%

Due diligence efforts 4% 29% 39% 25% 2% 27% 33% -6%

Average loan size 0% 0% 70% 20% 10% 30% 0% 30%

Average loan maturity (months) 0% 12% 45% 33% 10% 43% 12% 31%

Percent of loans with personal guarantees 0% 10% 72% 14% 4% 18% 10% 8%

Percent of loans requiring collateral 0% 13% 77% 9% 2% 11% 13% -2%

Size of interest rate spreads (pricing) 0% 4% 84% 4% 8% 12% 4% 8%

Loan fees 2% 39% 41% 14% 4% 18% 41% -24%

Senior leverage multiples 0% 31% 61% 8% 0% 8% 31% -24%

Total leverage multiples 4% 0% 88% 8% 0% 8% 4% 4%

Focus on collateral as backup means of payment 4% 8% 83% 4% 0% 4% 13% -8%

SBA lending 0% 6% 69% 25% 0% 25% 6% 19%

Lending capacity of bank 0% 26% 53% 16% 5% 21% 26% -5%

General business conditions 0% 4% 52% 36% 8% 44% 4% 40%

Appetite for risk 2% 28% 42% 26% 2% 28% 30% -2%

Loans outstanding 2% 18% 53% 25% 2% 27% 20% 8%

Nonaccrual loans 0% 4% 40% 40% 16% 56% 4% 52%

Number/ tightness of financial covenants 5% 14% 67% 14% 0% 14% 19% -5%

Standard advance rates 0% 8% 72% 20% 0% 20% 8% 12%

Page 32: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 26

BANKS cont. Respondents expect further increases in demand for business loans, percent of loans with personal guarantees, lending capacity of bank, improving general business conditions, focus on collateral as backup means of payment and number/ tightness of financial covenants, flat leverage multiples, decreasing due diligence efforts and appetite for risk.

Table 24. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for business loans (applications) 2% 18% 37% 37% 6% 43% 20% 22%

Credit quality of borrowers applying for credit 0% 14% 55% 29% 2% 31% 14% 16%

Due diligence efforts 2% 31% 55% 12% 0% 12% 33% -20%

Average loan size 0% 2% 67% 29% 2% 31% 2% 29%

Average loan maturity (months) 0% 6% 59% 33% 2% 35% 6% 29%

Percent of loans with personal guarantees 0% 8% 81% 8% 2% 10% 8% 2%

Percent of loans requiring collateral 0% 6% 87% 6% 0% 6% 6% 0%

Size of interest rate spreads (pricing) 0% 4% 87% 4% 4% 9% 4% 4%

Loan fees 0% 14% 55% 31% 0% 31% 14% 16%

Senior leverage multiples 2% 10% 78% 10% 0% 10% 12% -2%

Total leverage multiples 0% 0% 91% 9% 0% 9% 0% 9%

Focus on collateral as backup means of payment 0% 4% 78% 17% 0% 17% 4% 13%

SBA lending 2% 0% 77% 20% 0% 20% 2% 18%

Lending capacity of bank 0% 11% 67% 17% 6% 22% 11% 11%

General business conditions 0% 0% 63% 38% 0% 38% 0% 38%

Appetite for risk 2% 39% 49% 8% 2% 10% 41% -31%

Loans outstanding 2% 18% 65% 14% 0% 14% 20% -6%

Nonaccrual loans 0% 4% 36% 44% 16% 60% 4% 56%

Number/ tightness of financial covenants 0% 9% 64% 27% 0% 27% 9% 18%

Standard advance rates 0% 0% 75% 25% 0% 25% 0% 25%

Page 33: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 27

BANKS cont.

Asset-Based Lending Specific Characteristics

According to respondents approximately 19% of asset-based loans were issued for manufacturing companies.

Figure 35. Industries Served by Asset-Based Lenders

Approximately 68% of the companies that booked asset-based loans in the last twelve months had EBITDA size less than $5 million.

Figure 30. Typical EBITDA Sizes for Companies Booked

Respondents reported on all-in rates by type and size of current booked loans and the results are reported below.

Table 25. All-in Rates on Current Asset-Based Loans (medians)

Marketable Securities

Accounts Receivable Inventory Equipment Real estate Working

capital

Typical Fixed-Rate Loan

Term (months)

Less than $1 million 7.0% 11.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 12

$1-5 million 5.8% 6.5% 11.5% 8.5% 5.5% 5.5% 22

$5-$10 million n/a 6.3% 11.0% 7.5% 5.0% 4.0% 22

$10-25 million 2.0% 4.0% 4.5% 3.5% 3.5% 2.9% 48

$25-50 million n/a 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.3% 2.9% 36

$50-100 million n/a 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.5% 36

19%

17%

16%15%

8%

8%7%

4% 4%

1%1%

Manufacturing

Financial services & real estate

Wholesale & distribution

Consumer goods & services

Construction & engineering

Information technology

Business services

Basic materials & energy

Health care & biotech

Media & entertainment

Other

9%

59%

17%8% 8%

0%20%40%60%80%

Negative EBITDA $0 - $4.99 million inEBITDA

$5 - $9.99 million inEBITDA

$10 - $49.99 millionin EBITDA

$50+ million inEBITDA

Page 34: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 28

BANKS cont. Respondents reported on standard advance rates and the results are reflected below.

Table 26. Standard Advance Rate (or LTV ratio) for Assets (%)

Typical Loan Upper Limit

1st quartile Median 3rd quartile 1st quartile Median 3rd quartile

Marketable securities 9% 68% 94% 5% 70% 78%

Accounts receivable 84% 85% 85% 85% 90% 90%

Inventory - low quality 15% 25% 30% 16% 30% 50%

Inventory - intermediate quality 31% 40% 50% 40% 50% 65%

Inventory - high quality 50% 65% 70% 60% 65% 75%

Equipment 55% 70% 80% 58% 75% 80%

Real estate 39% 60% 70% 35% 70% 73%

Land 5% 20% 45% 5% 23% 50%

Respondents reported on valuation standards used to estimate LTV ratios.

Figure 37. Valuation Standards Used to Estimate LTV Ratio

According to respondents receivables, inventory and equipment based loans had the smallest decline rate (13%) over the last twelve months.

Figure 31. Asset-Based Loans Decline Rate

Purchase price DepreciatedValue (Book) Face value Fair Market

ValueForced

liquidationOrderly

liquidation Other

Equipment 5% 0% 0% 0% 37% 47% 0%

Real estate 4% 0% 0% 58% 8% 8% 0%

Accounts Receivable 5% 5% 40% 5% 0% 35% 10%

Inventory 10% 5% 5% 0% 5% 70% 5%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

13% 13% 13%

63%

20%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Receivables based Inventory based Equipment based Real estate based(only)

A/R + Inventory +Term Financing

Combined

Page 35: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 29

MEZZANINE SURVEY INFORMATION The majority of the 20 participants that responded to the mezzanine survey typically book deals in the $1 million to $25 million range. Over 20% plan on investing in business services companies over the next 12 months, followed by 18% in manufacturing. Other key findings include:

• Relative to 12 months ago, respondents indicated increases in demand for mezzanine capital, general underwriting standards, and flat leverage multiple. They also reported decreases in credit quality of borrowers, warrant coverage, general business conditions and appetite for risk.

• Respondents expect further increase in demand for mezzanine capital, general underwriting standards, warrant coverage, PIK features, loan fees and expected returns on new investments; and decrease in credit quality of borrowers, leverage multiples, appetite for risk, and general business conditions.

• Approximately 35% of respondents believe access to capital is the most important issue facing privately-held

businesses today.

Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Approximately 40% of respondents are SBIC Firms.

Figure 32. SBIC (small business investment) Firms

The largest concentration of typical loan sizes is between $10 million and $25 million.

Figure 40. Typical Investment Size

40%

60%

Yes

No

20%

30%

45%

65%

15% 15% 15%

5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Less than$1M

$1M -$4.99M

$5M -$9.99M

$10M -$24.99M

$25M -$49.99M

$50M -$99.99M

$100M -$499.99M

$500+million

Page 36: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 30

MEZZANINE cont. Respondents reported on business practices and the results are reflected below.

Table 27. Mezzanine Fund Data

1st quartile Median 3rd quartile

Vintage year (year in which first investment made) 2012 2013 2014

Size of fund ($ millions) 75 250 625

Targeted number of total investments 15 18 28

Target fund return (gross pretax cash on cash annual IRR %) 14.5% 16% 20%

Expected fund return (gross pretax cash on cash annual IRR %) 12% 15% 19%

The types of businesses respondents plan to invest in over next 12 months are very diverse with over 20% targeting business services, followed by 18% who plan to invest in manufacturing.

Figure 33. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Approximately 50% of respondents made 6 investments or more over the last 12 months.

Figure 34. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

20%

18%

12%12%

9%

7%7%

7%

2% 1% Business services

Manufacturing

Consumer goods & services

Health care & biotech

Information technology

Wholesale & distribution

Financial services & real estate

Basic materials & energy

Media & entertainment

Construction & engineering

5% 5% 5%

15%

5%

15%

5% 5% 5%

10%

25%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 Morethan 10

Page 37: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 31

MEZZANINE cont. Figure 35. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

Approximately 47% of respondents plan to make 6 investments or more over the next 12 months.

Figure 36. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Figure 37. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

15%

10%

20%

25%

5% 5% 5%

15%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 More than10

5% 5%

26%

16%

5% 5%

11%

26%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2 3 4 5 6 8 10 More than10

11%

6%

33%

22%

6% 6% 6%

11%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

0 1 2 3 4 5 7 More than10

Page 38: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 32

MEZZANINE cont. Approximately 29% of sponsored deals were in the range between $10 million and $25 million of EBITDA.

Figure 38. Size of Sponsored Deals in the Last 12 Months

Results of responses to sponsored deals based on size of investee EBITDA are reported below.

Table 28. Sponsored Deals by EBITDA Size (medians)

EBITDA size $0K - $999K

$1M - $4.99M

$5M - $9.99M

$10M - $24.99M

$25M - $49.99M $50M+

% of deals with warrants 67% 38% 8% 32% 48% 0%

Average loan terms (years) 1.5 5.5 5.5 5.8 6 5 Senior leverage ratio (multiple of EBITDA) 3 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 4

Total leverage ratio (multiple of EBITDA) 3 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.8 6

Average loan size ($ millions) 0.5 7.5 15 15 25 95

Cash interest rate 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 6%

PIK 1% 1% 2% 2% 2.0% 0% Warrants expected return (IRR contribution) 15% 3.0% n/a n/a n/a n/a

Total expected returns (gross cash on pre-tax IRR) 17% 16.5% 15% 15% 15% 9%

Table 29. Investment Type by Size of Investee Company, Sponsored Deals

Sub debt only Blended Sr. / Jr. Other

$0K - $999K EBITDA 0% 100% 0%

$1M - $4.99M EBITDA 29% 43% 29%

$5M - $9.99M EBITDA 29% 29% 43%

$10M - $24.99M EBITDA 40% 20% 40%

$25M - $49.99M EBITDA 50% 17% 33%

6%

21%24%

29%

18%

3%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

$0K - $999KEBITDA

$1M - $4.99MEBITDA

$5M - $9.99MEBITDA

$10M - $24.99MEBITDA

$25M - $49.99MEBITDA

$50M+ EBITDA

Page 39: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 33

MEZZANINE cont. Approximately 56% of sponsored deals were in the range between $1 million and $10 million of EBITDA.

Figure 39. Size of Non-Sponsored Deals in the Last 12 Months

Results of responses to non-sponsored deals based on size of investee EBITDA are reported below.

Table 30. Non-Sponsored Deals by EBITDA Size (medians)

EBITDA size $0K - $999K $1M -

$4.99M $5M - $9.99M $10M - $24.99M

$25M - $49.99M

% of deals with warrants 7% 9% 14% 12% 92% Average loan terms (years) 4.0 5 5 6 6.3 Senior leverage ratio (multiple of EBITDA) 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 Total leverage ratio (multiple of EBITDA) 3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 Average loan size ($ millions) 3 5 7.5 20 60 Cash interest rate 11% 11% 11% 11% 9% PIK 1% 2% 0% 1.5% 2% Warrants expected return (IRR contribution) 10% 4% 5.5% 8% 8% Total expected returns (gross cash on pre-tax IRR) 23% 22% 18% 18.5% 16%

Table 31. Investment Type by Size of Investee Company, Sponsored Deals

Senior debt only Sub debt only Blended Sr. / Jr. Other

$0K - $999K EBITDA 33% 33% 33% 0%

$1M - $4.99M EBITDA 40% 20% 20% 20%

$5M - $9.99M EBITDA 20% 20% 40% 20%

$10M - $24.99M EBITDA 0% 25% 50% 25%

$25M - $49.99M EBITDA 0% 50% 50% 0%

20%

32%

24%

16%

8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

$0K - $999K EBITDA $1M - $4.99MEBITDA

$5M - $9.99MEBITDA

$10M - $24.99MEBITDA

$25M - $49.99MEBITDA

Page 40: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 34

MEZZANINE cont. Management or owner buyout was reported by 22% of respondents as a motivation to secure mezzanine funding, followed by acquisition loan at 21%.

Figure 40. Borrower Motivation to Secure Mezzanine Funding (past 12 months)

Figure 41. Items Required to Close One Deal

Total debt service coverage ratio was the most important factor when deciding whether to invest or not, followed by total debt-to-cash flow ratio.

Table 32. Importance of Financial Evaluation Metrics

Unimportant Of little importance

Moderately important Important Very

important Score

(1 to 5) Senior DSCR or FCC ratio 12% 6% 35% 29% 18% 3.35 Total DSCR or FCC ratio 0% 0% 12% 29% 59% 4.47 Senior debt-to-cash flow ratio 0% 6% 39% 39% 17% 3.67 Total debt-to-cash flow ratio 0% 6% 11% 22% 61% 4.39

22%

21%

21%

13%

6%5% 8%

Management or owner buyout

Acquisition loan

Financing growth or construction

Refinancing

Finance worsening operations conditions or distress

Working capital fluctuations

Other

239 3.5 1

48

157 3

148

2011 5

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Business plans ormemorandums reviewed

Meetings with principalsconducted

Proposal letters or termsheets issued

Letters of intent signed

1st Quartile Median 3rd Quartile

Page 41: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 35

MEZZANINE cont.

Table 33. Financial Evaluation Metrics Average Data

Average borrower data Limit not to be exceeded

Senior DSCR or FCC ratio 1.5 1.2

Total DSCR or FCC ratio 1.4 1.1

Senior debt to cash flow ratio 3 3.6

Total debt to cash flow ratio 4.2 4.9

Respondents believe access to capital is the most important issue facing privately-held businesses today.

Figure 50. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

35%

35%

12%

8%

8%

4%

0%

0%

4%

36%

14%

18%

7%

7%

7%

7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Access to capital

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Economic uncertainty (International)

Government regulations and taxes

Political uncertainty / elections

Competition from foreign trade partners

Inflation

Other

Current issue Emerging issue

Page 42: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 36

MEZZANINE cont. Relative to 12 months ago, respondents indicated increases in demand for mezzanine capital, general underwriting standards and flat expected returns on new investments. They also reported decreases in credit quality of borrowers, warrant coverage, general business conditions, and appetite for risk.

Table 34. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased

significantly Decreased

slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly % increase %

decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for mezzanine capital 0% 17% 39% 39% 6% 44% 17% 28%

Credit quality of borrowers seeking investment 6% 50% 33% 6% 6% 11% 56% -44%

Average investment size 0% 11% 56% 28% 6% 33% 11% 22%

Average investment maturity (months) 0% 0% 94% 6% 0% 6% 0% 6%

General underwriting standards 0% 6% 44% 50% 0% 50% 6% 44%

Warrant coverage 0% 7% 93% 0% 0% 0% 7% -7%

PIK features 0% 0% 94% 6% 0% 6% 0% 6%

Loan fees 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Leverage multiples 0% 28% 44% 28% 0% 28% 28% 0%

Expected returns on new investments 0% 17% 61% 22% 0% 22% 17% 6%

General business conditions 6% 56% 28% 11% 0% 11% 61% -50%

Appetite for risk 0% 44% 39% 17% 0% 17% 44% -28%

Respondents expect further increases in all business characteristics except general underwriting standards, warrant coverage, loan fees and expected returns on new investments.

Table 35. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease

significantly Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly % increase %

decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for mezzanine capital 0% 0% 17% 61% 22% 83% 0% 83%

Credit quality of borrowers seeking investment 11% 22% 50% 17% 0% 17% 33% -17%

Average investment size 0% 0% 67% 33% 0% 33% 0% 33%

Average investment maturity (months) 0% 0% 94% 6% 0% 6% 0% 6%

General underwriting standards 0% 0% 44% 50% 6% 56% 0% 56%

Warrant coverage 0% 0% 85% 15% 0% 15% 0% 15%

PIK features 0% 0% 71% 29% 0% 29% 0% 29%

Loan fees 0% 0% 88% 12% 0% 12% 0% 12%

Leverage multiples 0% 44% 50% 6% 0% 6% 44% -39%

Expected returns on new investments 0% 6% 50% 39% 6% 44% 6% 39%

General business conditions 0% 59% 24% 18% 0% 18% 59% -41%

Appetite for risk 6% 18% 29% 41% 6% 47% 24% 24%

Page 43: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 37

LIMITED PARTNER SURVEY INFORMATION Approximately 26% of the 39 respondents in the limited partner survey reported direct investments as being the best risk/return trade-off investment class and another 23% reported real estate funds as being the best risk/return trade-off investment class. When asked about which industry currently offers the best risk/return trade-off, 25% of respondents reported information technology, followed by 22% reporting business services, and another 9% reporting basic materials and energy. Other key findings include:

• On average respondents target to allocate 21% of their assets to buyout private equity, 20% to real estate funds and 13% to direct investments. Respondents expect the highest returns of 12% from venture capital, 12% from growth private equity, 11% from investments in buyout private equity, and 9% from direct investments.

• Respondents indicated increased allocation to real estate funds, and direct investments, and decreased

allocation to all other alternative assets in the last twelve months. They also reported worsened business conditions and expected returns on new investments.

• Respondents also expect further increases in allocation to direct investments, and real estate funds, slightly

improving business conditions and increasing expected returns. Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Approximately 26% of respondents indicated being family office followed by fund of funds (26%).

Figure 42. Entity Type

Approximately 23% of respondents reported their asset category being less than $50 million, while 28% were between $50 million and $500 million.

Figure 43. Assets under Management or Investable Funds

26%

26%18%

8%8%

3%11%

Family office

Fund of funds

Private investor

Public pension fund

Investment company

Bank or investment bank

Other

23% 28%5%

18%5%

21%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

Page 44: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 38

LP cont. Respondents reported on their % of total asset allocations for “Alternative Assets”.

Figure 44. Current Asset Allocation for "Alternative Assets" (% of total portfolio)

Figure 45. Target Asset Allocation for "Alternative Assets" (% of total portfolio)

On average, respondents target to allocate 21% of their assets to buyout private equity, 20% to real estate funds, and 13% to direct investments.

Figure 46. Target Asset Allocation by Assets

23%8% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3%

33%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

1% - 10% 11%- 20% 21% -30%

31% -40%

41% -50%

51% -60%

61% -70%

71% -80%

81% -90%

91% -100%

3%15% 10% 10% 5% 13%

3% 3% 3% 3%

33%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

0% 1% - 10% 11%-20%

21% -30%

31% -40%

41% -50%

51% -60%

61% -70%

71% -80%

81% -90%

91% -100%

21%

20%

13%

10%

9%

8%

6%

4%

3%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Private equity - buyout

Real estate fund

Direct investments

Hedge fund

Venture capital

Private equity - growth

Private equity - distressed

Mezzanine

Secondary funds

Fund of funds

Page 45: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 39

LP cont. On average, respondents expect the highest returns from investments in venture capital, growth private equity, buyout private equity and direct investments.

Figure 47. Annual Return Expectations for New Investments

Approximately 26% of the 39 respondents in the limited partner survey reported direct investments as being the best risk/return trade-off investment class and another 23% reported real estate funds as being the best risk/return trade-off investment class.

Figure 48. Assets with the Best Risk/Return Trade-off Currently

12% 12% 11%9%

8%6%

4% 4% 4% 3%

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%

26%

23%15%

13%

8%5%

5%3% 3%

Direct investments

Real estate funds

Private equity - distressed

Private equity - buyouts

Private equity - growth

Venture capital

Hedge fund

Mezzanine investment

Secondary funds

Page 46: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 40

LP cont. When asked about which industry currently offers the best risk/return trade-off, 25% of respondents reported information technology, followed by 22% reporting business services, and another 9% reporting basic materials and energy.

Figure 49. Industry with the Best Risk/Return

In regard to the geographic regions with the best risk/return trade-offs, 84% of respondents reported North America.

Figure 50. Geographic Regions of the World Offering the Best Risk/Return Tradeoff Currently

In regard to the geographic regions with the best risk/return trade-offs in the US, 35% of respondents reported West Coast, and 13% reported Southeast.

Figure 60. Geographic Regions in the US Offering the Best Risk/Return Tradeoff Currently

25%

22%9%

9%

6%3%

3%3% 19%

Information technologyBusiness servicesBasic materials & energyHealth care & biotechManufacturingConstruction & engineeringConsumer goods & servicesFinancial servicesOther

84%

3% 3%3%8%

North America

Western Europe

Emerging Asia

Latin America

Other

35%

13%13%

13%

13%9% 4%

West Coast

Southeast

South

Mountain

Midwest

New England

Mid-Atlantic

Page 47: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 41

LP cont. According to respondents, general partner and specific strategy are the most important factors when evaluating investment followed by historical fund performance on all funds.

Table 36. Importance of Factors When Evaluating

Unimportant Of little importance

Moderately important Important Very important Score

(1 to 5)

Historical fund performance on all funds 3% 3% 23% 41% 31% 4.0

Returned capital from most recent fund (Distribution to Paid-in or DPI) 3% 3% 37% 42% 16% 3.7

Residual value of most recent fund (Residual Value to Paid-in or RVPI) 8% 0% 47% 37% 8% 3.4

General partner 0% 3% 11% 11% 76% 4.6

Specific strategy 3% 3% 13% 33% 49% 4.2

Specific location 3% 21% 45% 18% 13% 3.2

Gut feel/instinct 3% 15% 31% 36% 15% 3.5

Respondents believe international economic uncertainty is the most important current and emerging issue facing privately-held businesses.

Figure 51. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

27%

25%

17%

12%

8%

5%

3%

2%

18%

18%

15%

6%

17%

5%

9%

12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Economic uncertainty (International)

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Government regulations and taxes

Access to capital

Competition from foreign trade partners

Other

Political uncertainty / elections

Inflation

Current issue Emerging Issue

Page 48: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 42

LP cont. Respondents indicated increased allocation to direct investments and real estate funds, and decreased allocation to all other alternative assets in the last twelve months. They also reported decreased general business conditions and expected returns on new investments.

Table 37. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Characteristics Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Allocation to venture capital 3% 19% 69% 8% 0% 8% 22% -14%

Allocation to private equity 0% 11% 78% 11% 0% 11% 11% 0%

Allocation to mezzanine 0% 10% 90% 0% 0% 0% 10% -10%

Allocation to hedge funds 10% 17% 70% 3% 0% 3% 27% -23%

Allocation to secondary funds 6% 9% 81% 3% 0% 3% 16% -13%

Allocation to real estate funds 0% 9% 65% 18% 9% 26% 9% 18%

Direct investments 0% 6% 51% 37% 6% 43% 6% 37%

General business conditions 3% 24% 59% 14% 0% 14% 27% -14%

Expected returns on new capital deployed 0% 30% 49% 19% 3% 22% 30% -8%

Respondents also expect further increases in allocation to direct investments, and real estate funds, improving business conditions and increasing expected returns.

Table 38. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Characteristics Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly % increase % decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Allocation to venture capital 3% 19% 72% 6% 0% 6% 22% -17%

Allocation to private equity 0% 21% 64% 10% 5% 15% 21% -5%

Allocation to mezzanine 0% 16% 77% 6% 0% 6% 16% -10%

Allocation to hedge funds 9% 22% 63% 6% 0% 6% 31% -25%

Allocation to secondary funds 6% 15% 76% 3% 0% 3% 21% -18%

Allocation to real estate funds 0% 9% 62% 21% 9% 29% 9% 21%

Direct investments 0% 0% 69% 23% 9% 31% 0% 31%

General business conditions 3% 19% 47% 31% 0% 31% 22% 8%

Expected returns on new capital deployed 0% 14% 54% 29% 3% 31% 14% 17%

Page 49: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 43

VENTURE CAPITAL SURVEY INFORMATION Of the 65 participants who responded to the venture capital survey, approximately 66% of respondents expect an increasing size of the venture capital industry. The majority (69%) of respondents plan to make four investments or more over the next 12 months. Other key findings include:

• The types of businesses respondents plan to invest in the next 12 months are very diverse with over 38% targeting information technology and another 22% planning to invest in health care and biotech.

• Respondents’ exit strategies include selling to a public company (35%) followed by selling to a private company (30%).

• Respondents believe access to capital is the most important issue facing privately-held businesses today. Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Approximately 50% of respondents made five investments or more over the last twelve months.

Figure 52. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

Figure 53. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

11%9%

6%9%

14%

8%5% 5%

11%

2%

20%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 Morethan 10

8%

13%15%

11%

18%

10%8%

2%

5%

11%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 Morethan 10

Page 50: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 44

VENTURE CAPITAL cont. The majority (69%) of respondents plan to make four investments or more over the next 12 months.

Figure 54. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Figure 55. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Respondents reported on business practices and the results are reflected below.

Table 39. VC Fund Data

1st quartile Median 3rd quartile

Vintage year (year in which first investment made) 2008 2013 2014

Size of fund ($ millions) $10 $38 $125

Targeted number of total investments 13 18 28

Target fund return (gross pretax cash on cash annual IRR %) 25% 25% 35%

Expected fund return (gross pretax cash on cash annual IRR %) 15% 25% 35%

The types of businesses respondents plan to invest in over next 12 months are very diverse with over 39% targeting Information technology, and another 22% planning to invest in health care and biotech.

Figure 56. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

6% 5%9% 11%

16%11%

6%2%

13%

6%

16%

0%5%

10%15%20%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 Morethan 10

10% 10% 11% 13% 15% 13%

8%

2%5% 5%

10%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 Morethan 10

38%

22%

8% 8% 6% 6% 3% 2% 1%5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Informationtechnology

Health care &biotech

Consumer goods& services

Businessservices

Basic materials& energy

Financialservices

Media &entertainment

Manufacturing Wholesale &distribution

Other

Page 51: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 45

VENTURE CAPITAL cont. Respondents reported on a variety of stats pertaining to their investments.

Table 40. General Information on Investments by Company Stages

Seed Startup Early Stage Expansion Later Stage

Number of Investments Made in Last twelve months

146 102 154 64 29

Average Size of Investment ($ million)

1st Quartile 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.75

Median 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 2.5

3rd Quartile 0.5 1.5 1.5 3.25 8.5

Average % of Total Equity Purchased (fully diluted basis)

1st Quartile 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Median 5% 10% 15% 5% 5%

3rd Quartile 15% 15% 15% 15% 5%

Total expected Returns (gross cash on cash pretax IRR) on new investments 1st Quartile 23% 24% 23% 18% 18%

Median 38% 33% 28% 28% 23%

3rd Quartile 43% 36% 38% 30% 28%

Expected Time to Exit (years)

1st Quartile 4.3 4 3 3 3

Median 5 5 4 4 3

3rd Quartile 5 6 6 5 3

Average company 'pre-money' value ($ million)

1st Quartile 1.8 3.3 7.5 15.0 52.5

Median 4 5 7.5 25 100

3rd Quartile 7.5 15 25 55 100

Average Company Value at Time of Investment (post-money $ millions) 1st Quartile 1.0 1.3 7.0 20.0 25.0

Median 3.0 8.0 15.0 40.0 70.0

3rd Quartile 8.0 10.0 15.0 72.5 100.0

Page 52: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 46

VENTURE CAPITAL cont. Respondents reported on where they plan to invest over the next 12 months. The results reflect investment throughout the U.S.

Figure 57. Geographic Location of Planned Investment over Next 12 Months

When valuing the company, approximately 22% of respondents use gut feel when valuing privately-held businesses.

Figure 58. Usage of Valuation Methods

The weights of the various multiple methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses included 50% for revenue multiple and 12% for recast (adjusted) EBITDA multiple methods.

Figure 59. Usage of Multiple Methods

31%

15%11% 10% 8% 6% 6%

2% 1%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

West Coast NewEngland

Mid-Atlantic Midwest Southeast Mountain Outside ofUS

Great Lakes South

22%18% 18% 16%

9%5%

11%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Gut feel Guidelinepublic

companymethod

Guidelinecompany

transactionsmethod

Discountedfuture

earningsmethod

Capitalizationof earnings

method

Adjusted netasset method

Other

50%

12% 12% 11%5% 5% 6%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%

Revenuemultiple

Recast(Adjusted)

EBITDAmultiple

EBITDA(unadjusted)

multiple

Cash flowmultiple

EBIT multiple Net incomemultiple

Other

Page 53: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 47

VENTURE CAPITAL cont. Respondents reported on items required to close one deal.

Figure 70. Items Required to Close One Deal

Respondents’ exit strategies include selling to a public company (35%) followed by selling to a private company (30%).

Figure 60. Exit Plans for Portfolio Companies

Respondents believe access to capital is the most important issue facing privately-held businesses today.

Figure 61. Current Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

15 5 2 1

4810 2 1

150

20 4 2.50

50

100

150

200

Business plans ormemorandums reviewed

Meetings with principalsconducted

Proposal letters or termsheets issued

Letters of intent signed

1st Quartile Median 3rd Quartile

35%30%

13%7% 5% 3% 2% 1%

6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Sell to a publiccompany

Sell to aprivate

company

IPO Sell to privateequity group

Liquidate orbankrupt

Managementbuyout

Sell to anotherVC

Sell to a hedgefund

Other

33%

24%

14%

11%

7%

4%

4%

5%

22%

22%

11%

13%

13%

7%

6%

5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Access to capital

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Government regulations and taxes

Political uncertainty / elections

Economic uncertainty (International)

Competition from foreign trade partners

Inflation

Other

Today issue Emerging issue

Page 54: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 48

VENTURE CAPITAL cont. Respondents indicated increases in demand for venture capital, follow-on investments, value of portfolio companies, presence of super angels in space formerly occupied by VCs, and worsened general business conditions.

Table 41. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for venture capital 0% 8% 37% 29% 27% 56% 8% 48%

Quality of companies seeking investment 3% 10% 49% 24% 14% 38% 13% 25%

Follow-on investments 0% 9% 36% 41% 14% 55% 9% 45%

Average investment size 2% 11% 55% 19% 14% 33% 13% 20%

Exit opportunities 6% 33% 34% 20% 6% 27% 39% -13%

Time to exit deals 2% 11% 39% 36% 13% 48% 13% 36%

Expected returns on new investments 2% 15% 50% 26% 8% 34% 16% 18%

Value of portfolio companies 0% 17% 24% 38% 21% 59% 17% 41%

General business conditions 6% 36% 34% 19% 5% 23% 42% -19%

Presence of super angels in space formerly occupied by VCs 5% 19% 29% 34% 13% 47% 24% 23%

Size of venture capital industry 3% 16% 38% 33% 10% 43% 19% 24%

Appetite for risk 13% 32% 35% 11% 8% 19% 45% -26%

Respondents expect further worsening general business conditions.

Table 42. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for venture capital 0% 2% 33% 48% 18% 66% 2% 64%

Quality of companies seeking investment 3% 7% 61% 23% 7% 30% 10% 20%

Follow-on investments 0% 11% 38% 41% 10% 51% 11% 39%

Average investment size 2% 23% 49% 25% 2% 26% 25% 2%

Exit opportunities 2% 39% 39% 20% 0% 20% 41% -21%

Time to exit deals 3% 2% 45% 40% 10% 50% 5% 45%

Expected returns on new investments 0% 13% 56% 20% 11% 31% 13% 18%

Value of portfolio companies 0% 30% 30% 31% 10% 41% 30% 11%

General business conditions 5% 39% 36% 18% 2% 20% 44% -25%

Presence of super angels in space formerly occupied by VCs 13% 27% 35% 18% 7% 25% 40% -15%

Size of venture capital industry 3% 48% 34% 10% 5% 15% 51% -36%

Appetite for risk 22% 38% 27% 13% 0% 13% 60% -47%

Page 55: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 49

ANGEL INVESTOR SURVEY INFORMATION Of the 54 participants who responded to the angel investor survey, the majority (56%) of respondents plan to make between one and four investments. Other key findings include:

• Approximately 30% of respondents base valuations on gut feel when valuing privately-held businesses.

• When using multiples to determine the value of a business, the most popular methods used by respondents were revenue multiple (37%), EBITDA multiple (20%) and net income multiple (12%).

• The types of businesses respondents plan to invest in over next 12 months are very diverse with 36% targeting information technology and another 20% planning to invest in health care or biotech.

• Respondents indicated a sharp increase in demand for angel capital, increases in size of angel industry, follow-on investments, and quality of companies seeking investment. They also reported worsened and decreased expected returns on new investments.

• Respondents’ exit strategies include selling to a public company (38%) and selling to a private company (30%).

Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Approximately 44% of respondents made either five investments or more over the last twelve months.

Figure 62. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

Figure 63. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months

11%9%

17%

11%

7%

13%

6% 6%4%

6%

11%

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%16%18%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Morethan 10

25% 25%23%

4% 4%6%

4% 4%2%

4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Page 56: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 50

ANGEL cont. The majority (44%) of respondents plan to make between two and four investments over the next 12 months.

Figure 64. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

Figure 65. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

The types of businesses respondents plan to invest in over next 12 months are very diverse with over 36% targeting information technology and another 20% planning to invest in health care & biotech.

Figure 66. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months

2%

11%

28%

11%

6%

11%

17%

4% 2% 2%

7%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 Morethan 10

22%

27%

14% 14%

6%8%

4%2% 2% 2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10 Morethan 10

36%

20%10%

8%

8%5% 4%

4% 2% 1% 2% Information technologyHealth care & biotechManufacturingMedia & entertainmentBusiness servicesConsumer goods & servicesBasic materials & energyFinancial services & real estateWholesale & distributionConstruction & engineeringOther

Page 57: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 51

ANGEL cont. Respondents reported on a variety of stats pertaining to their investments.

Table 43. General Information on Investments by Company Stages Seed Startup Early Stage Expansion Later Stage

Number of Investments Made in Last twelve months

1st Quartile 144 77 40 12 3

Average Size of Investment (in thousands)

1st Quartile $25 $25 $25 $25 $62.5 Median $25 $75 $75 $150 $250 3rd Quartile $150 $250 $250 $275 $500 Average % of Total Equity Purchased (fully diluted basis)

1st Quartile 3% 2% 2% 1.8% 1.5%

Median 5% 5% 2.5% 3.5% 2%

3rd Quartile 11% 11% 8.5% 5.5% 3.5% Total EXPECTED Returns (gross cash on cash pretax IRR) on New Investments (%)

1st Quartile 25% 25% 25% 17.5% 15%

Median 35% 35% 25% 25% 20%

3rd Quartile 67.5% 60% 55% 35% 27.5%

Expected Time to Exit (years)

1st Quartile 4,5 4 3 4 5

Median 5 5 4 5 5

3rd Quartile 6 5 5 6.5 5

Average company 'pre-money' value (in thousands)

1st Quartile $750 $750 $1,000 $1,500 $4,500 Median $750 $1,500 $2,500 $7,500 $10,000 3rd Quartile $750 $2,750 $3,500 $7,500 $10,000 Average Company Value at Time of Investment (post-money $ thousands)

1st Quartile $1,000 $1,500 $4,000 $7,500 $7,500 Median $2,000 $3,000 $6,000 $20,000 $20,000 3rd Quartile $4,000 $4,250 $8,000 $20,000 $20,000

Respondents reported on where they plan to invest over the next 12 months. The results reflect investment throughout the U.S.

Figure 67. Geographic Location of Planned Investment over Next 12 Months

40%

12%10%

10%

9%

7% 6% 5%

1%

West Coast Mid-Atlantic

Midwest Southeast

Outside of US Mountain

New England Great Lakes

South

Page 58: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 52

ANGEL cont. Respondents reported on their geographical limits for investments.

Figure 68. Geographical Limit for Investment

Approximately 30% of respondents base valuations on gut feel when valuing privately-held businesses followed by discounted future earnings method (12%).

Figure 80. Usage of Valuation Methods

The weights of the various multiple methods used by respondents when valuing privately-held businesses included 37% for revenue multiple and 20% for EBITDA multiple methods.

Figure 69. Usage of Multiple Methods

11% 7%

11%

19%

52%

2-hour drive

4-hour drive

State/province

Region

No restriction

30%

12%12%9%

5%4%

28%Gut feel

Discounted future earnings method

Guideline company transactions method

Capitalization of earnings method

Guideline public company method

Adjusted net asset method

Other

37%

20%12%

11%

9%

1%10% Revenue multiple

EBITDA multiple

Net income multiple

Cash flow multiple

Recast EBITDA multiple

EBIT multiple

Other

Page 59: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 53

ANGEL cont. Respondents reported on items required to close one deal.

Figure 70. Items Required to Close One Deal

Respondents’ exit strategies include selling to a public company (38%) and selling to a private company (30%).

Figure 71. Exit Plans for Portfolio Companies

Respondents believe access to capital is the most important current issue facing privately-held businesses.

Figure 84. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

5 4 1 120

5 2 1

47.5

123 2

0

20

40

60

Business plans ormemorandums reviewed

Meetings with principalsconducted

Proposal letters or termsheets issued

Letters of intent signed

1st Quartile Median 3rd Quartile

38%

30%

10%6%

6%3% 3%

4% Sell to a public company

Sell to a private company

Sell to private equity group

IPO

Liquidate or bankrupt

Sell to a venture capital fund

Management buyout

Other

39%

22%

20%

8%

6%

2%

0%

3%

18%

18%

27%

15%

9%

3%

4%

6%

Access to capital

Government regulations and taxes

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Economic uncertainty (International)

Political uncertainty / elections

Competition from foreign trade partners

Inflation

Other

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Current issue Emerging issue

Page 60: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 54

ANGEL cont. Respondents indicated a sharp increase in demand for angel capital, increases in size of angel industry, follow-on investments and time to exit deals. They also reported decreased expected returns on new investments and worsened general business conditions.

Table 44. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for angel capital 4% 4% 28% 30% 34% 64% 8% 57%

Size of angel finance industry 4% 10% 31% 39% 16% 55% 14% 41%

Quality of companies seeking investment 6% 17% 42% 29% 6% 35% 23% 12%

Follow-on investments 2% 12% 50% 35% 2% 37% 13% 23%

Average investment size 4% 4% 60% 25% 8% 33% 8% 25%

Exit opportunities 9% 32% 45% 8% 6% 13% 42% -28%

Time to exit deals 8% 8% 42% 31% 12% 42% 15% 27%

Expected returns on new investments 2% 20% 67% 10% 2% 12% 22% -10%

Value of portfolio companies 2% 21% 42% 19% 17% 36% 23% 13%

General business conditions 6% 35% 31% 29% 0% 29% 40% -12%

Appetite for risk 4% 40% 40% 13% 2% 15% 44% -29%

Respondents expect further increases in business characteristics except exit opportunities, general business conditions and appetite for risk.

Table 45. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for angel capital 2% 8% 39% 31% 20% 51% 10% 41%

Size of angel finance industry 2% 20% 36% 32% 10% 42% 22% 20%

Quality of companies seeking investment 2% 20% 53% 24% 2% 25% 22% 4%

Follow-on investments 0% 14% 51% 29% 6% 35% 14% 22%

Average investment size 2% 12% 55% 31% 0% 31% 14% 18%

Exit opportunities 4% 37% 33% 25% 0% 25% 41% -16%

Time to exit deals 0% 6% 51% 29% 14% 43% 6% 37%

Expected returns on new investments 0% 18% 57% 22% 4% 25% 18% 8%

Value of portfolio companies 0% 18% 45% 31% 6% 37% 18% 20%

General business conditions 12% 27% 31% 29% 0% 29% 39% -10%

Appetite for risk 8% 33% 51% 8% 0% 8% 41% -33%

Page 61: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 55

BUSINESS APPRAISER SURVEY INFORMATION

According to the 168 business appraiser survey respondents domestic economic uncertainty is the most important issue facing privately-held business today. Respondents indicated increases in number of engagements, fees for services, competition, and improved general business conditions over the last twelve months. They also expect decreases in all general business characteristics over the next year except cost of capital and discounts for lack of marketability. Other key findings include:

• When using valuation methods to determine the value of a business, the most popular methods used by respondents were discounted future earnings method (33%), capitalization of earnings method (27%) and guideline company transactions method (16%).

• Recast (adjusted) EBITDA multiple is the most popular when using multiple valuation method • Respondents use an average risk-free rate of 2.99% and a market (equity) risk premium of 6.35% • Average long-term terminal growth is estimated at 3.11%

Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Most of the companies valued by respondents have annual revenues from $1 million to $50 million.

Figure 72. Annual Revenues of Companies Valued

Appraisers, on average, apply a 33% weight to discounted future earnings method when valuing a privately-held business.

Figure 73. Usage of Valuation Methods

28%38%

60% 63% 69%

45%30%

15%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Less than$500K inrevenues

$500K -$999K inrevenues

$1M -$4.99M inrevenues

$5M -$9.99M inrevenues

$10M -$49.99M inrevenues

$50M -$99.99M inrevenues

$100M -$499.99M in

revenues

$500M+ inrevenues

33%

27%

16%

12%8%

3% 1% Discounted future earnings method

Capitalization of earnings method

Guideline company transactions method

Guideline public company method

Adjusted net asset method

Other

Gut feel

Page 62: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 56

APPRAISERS cont. Respondents using multiples-based approaches indicate a preference for using recast (adjusted) EBITDA multiples (40%), followed by revenue multiples (22%).

Figure 74. Usage of Multiple Methods

Respondents indicated using an average risk-free rate of 2.99%, average market (equity) risk premium of 6.35% and average long-term growth rate of 3.11%.

Figure 75. Average Risk-Free Rat and Market (equity) Risk Premium and Long-Term Growth Rate

Figure below indicates considerable differences in DLOMs across sizes of companies and subject interests.

Figure 76. Discount for Lack of Marketability (DLOM) by Revenue Sizes

40%

22%

16%

8%6%

5% 3% Recast (Adjusted) EBITDA multiple

Revenue multiple

Cash flow multiple

EBITDA (unadjusted) multiple

EBIT multiple

Net income multiple

Other

2.99%

6.35%

3.11%

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7%

Risk-free rate

Market (equity) risk premium

Average Long-term terminal growth rate (%)

9.3%

12.2%

14.9%

17.0%

21.4%

25.0%

28.8%

32.9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

$250M in revenues

$25M in revenues

$1M in revenues

$100,000 in revenues

Control interest Minority interest

Page 63: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 57

APPRAISERS cont. Only 25% of respondents are comfort applying public cost of capital to privately-held companies with annual revenues less than $1 million.

Figure 77. Overall Comfort Level with Applying Public Cost of Capital to Privately-held Companies of Various Sizes

Figure 78. Explicit Forecast Period for High-Growth Companies by Revenue Sizes (years)

Respondents indicated increases in number of engagements, fees for services, competition, and improved general business conditions over the last twelve months.

Table 46. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Characteristics Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/decrease

Number of engagements 2% 13% 32% 35% 18% 52% 16% 36%

Time to complete a typical appraisal 0% 10% 72% 12% 6% 18% 10% 8%

Fees for services 1% 8% 52% 35% 5% 40% 9% 31%

Competition 0% 4% 61% 28% 7% 35% 4% 31%

Cost of capital 0% 14% 65% 20% 1% 22% 14% 8%

Market (equity) risk premiums 0% 9% 73% 16% 2% 18% 9% 9%

Discounts for lack of marketability (DLOM) 0% 10% 81% 7% 2% 9% 10% -1%

Company specific risk premiums 1% 8% 70% 18% 3% 21% 9% 12%

General business conditions 2% 11% 49% 33% 6% 38% 13% 26%

Appetite for risk 1% 17% 52% 27% 3% 30% 18% 13%

25% 32%41%

57%

77% 83% 83%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

< $1M $1M - $5M $5M - $25M $25M -$100M

$100M -$500M

$500M - $1B >$1B

5.8

5.8

5.7

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Private operating company with $1M in EBITDA

Private operating company with $25M in EBITDA

Private operating company with $250M in EBITDA

Page 64: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 58

APPRAISERS cont. Respondents expect decreases in all general business characteristics over the next year except DLOMs and cost of capital.

Table 47. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Characteristics Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/decrease

Number of engagements 2% 8% 37% 42% 8% 2% 10% -8%

Time to complete a typical appraisal 1% 12% 73% 10% 3% 1% 13% -13%

Fees for services 1% 5% 50% 41% 1% 2% 6% -4%

Competition 1% 4% 66% 25% 2% 2% 4% -2%

Cost of capital 1% 4% 54% 35% 2% 5% 4% 1%

Market (equity) risk premiums 1% 5% 60% 29% 2% 4% 5% -2%

Discounts for lack of marketability (DLOM) 1% 2% 79% 12% 1% 5% 3% 2%

Company specific risk premiums 1% 5% 62% 24% 3% 4% 6% -2%

General business conditions 2% 21% 42% 29% 2% 4% 23% -18%

Appetite for risk 4% 20% 51% 18% 3% 4% 24% -20%

Respondents believe domestic economic uncertainty is the most important issue facing privately-held businesses today.

Figure 79. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

33%

23%

14%

13%

9%

4%

3%

1%

26%

11%

10%

19%

15%

7%

4%

8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Government regulations and taxes

Access to capital

Political uncertainty / elections

Economic uncertainty (International)

Competition from foreign trade partners

Other

Inflation

Today's issue Emerging issue

Page 65: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 59

BROKER SURVEY INFORMATION Approximately 36% of the 378 participants for the broker survey said they expect to close six deals or more in the next 12 months. Other key findings include:

• Approximately 16% of business listings/ engagements terminated without closing in the last 12 months.

• Respondents indicated increases in deal flow, ratio of businesses sold to total listings, business exit opportunities and difficulty selling business.

• Top three reasons for sellers to go to market: retirement, burn out, and new opportunity.

Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Approximately 20% of the respondents didn’t close any deal in the last twelve months; 62% closed between one to five deals, while 19% closed six or more transactions.

Figure 80. Private Business Sales Transactions Closed in the Last Twelve Months

Approximately 62% of respondents are planning to close between one and five business sales transactions in the next 12 months.

Figure 81. Private Business Sales Transactions Expected to Close in the Next Twelve Months

20%

16%14%

13%10%

8% 8%

2% 1% 1%2%

5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Morethan 10

1%3%

12%15%

17%15%

14%

2%5%

1%

5%

10%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Morethan 10

Page 66: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 60

BROKER cont. Respondents indicated typical sizes of transactions they are currently working on.

Figure 82. Typical Size of Business Transactions

Respondents indicate out of all business transactions they worked on in the last 12 months 33% were closed, 44% are continued marketing, 6% are in escrow and 16% were terminated without closing.

Figure 83. Business Transactions in the Last 12 Months

Nearly 45% of respondents closed more transactions in 2015 than in 2014, 14% of respondents closed equal amount.

Figure 84. Did Respondents Close More Transactions in 2015 than in Previous Years

Deals valuedunder $499,999

Deals valuedfrom $500,000

to $999,999

Deals valuedfrom $1 millionto $1.99 million

Deals valuedfrom $2 millionto $4.99 million

Deals valuedfrom $5 millionto $50 million

Whole sample 56% 48% 44% 36% 26%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

44%

6%33%

16% continued marketing

in escrow

closed

terminated without closing

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

Yes No Equal amount2014 45% 41% 14%

2013 45% 44% 11%

2012 42% 47% 10%

2011 43% 46% 10%

2010 45% 41% 14%

2009 43% 45% 11%

Page 67: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 61

BROKER cont. Approximately 29% of business transactions valued under $2 million contain SBA components.

Figure 85. Percentage of Closed Business Transactions Valued under $2 million Utilized SBA Components

Respondents indicate difficulty to arrange senior debt for transactions with annual revenues under $100 thousands.

Table 48. How Difficult to Arrange Senior Debt for Transactions over the Past 12 Months

Revenue size Extremely

difficult Difficult Somewhat difficult Neutral Somewhat

easy Easy Extremely easy

Score (-2 to 2)

$100K 32% 19% 11% 12% 11% 7% 8% -1.0

$500K 8% 14% 17% 18% 17% 15% 10% 0.1

$1M 3% 11% 21% 17% 24% 12% 12% 0.3

$5M 2% 7% 20% 16% 24% 18% 13% 0.6

$10M 4% 4% 11% 27% 31% 14% 8% 0.5

$15M 4% 4% 17% 23% 21% 21% 11% 0.6

$25M+ 9% 11% 9% 22% 17% 17% 15% 0.4

Approximately 61% of respondents indicate best clients arrived by referrals.

Figure 86. In 2015, Best Client Arrived By:

71%

29% Business transactions valued under $2million without SBA components

Business transactions valued under $2million with SBA components

61%7%

7%

6%4%

4%3% 6%

Referral

Target mailer

Networking

Cold calling

General mailer

Company branding

Publication/media source

Other

Page 68: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 62

BROKER cont. Nearly 43% of referrals were past clients.

Figure 87. Types of Referrals

Figure 88. Types of Publication/ Media Source

Approximately 72% of respondents indicated it was ‘buyer’s market’ for deals valued under $500 thousands, whereas only 18% of respondents indicated it was ‘buyer’s market’ for deals valued between $5 million and $50 million.

Figure 89. Was It Buyer's or Seller’s Market in the Last 3 Months

42%

16%

14%

6%3%

18% Past client

Accountant

Attorney

Financial advisor

Lender

Other

67%

22%

11% Web

Media

Article

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

Deals valuedunder

$499,999

Deals valuedfrom

$500,000 to$999,999

Deals valuedfrom $1

million to$1.99

million

Deals valuedfrom $2

million to$4.99

million

Deals valuedfrom $5

million to$50 million

Buyer's market 72% 56% 45% 33% 18%Seller's market 28% 44% 55% 67% 82%

Page 69: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 63

BROKER cont. Median number of months from listing/ engagement to close varies from 6 to 11 months.

Figure 90. Median Number of Months from Listing/ Engagement to Close by Deal Size

Median number of months from LOI/ Offer to close varies from 2 to 3 months.

Figure 91. Median Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close by Deal Size

Median SDE multiple paid varies between 2 and 4.5.

Figure 92. Median SDE Multiple Paid by Deal Size

6

8

1110

8

0

5

10

15

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M

23 3 3 3

0

5

10

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M

2.02.5

3.3 3.5

4.5

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M

Page 70: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 64

BROKER cont. Median EBITDA multiple paid varies between 1.5 and 5.1.

Figure 93. Median EBITDA Multiple Paid by Deal Size

SDE not including working capital was the most popular multiple type used for deals valued under $2 million, while EBITDA including working capital was the most popular type for deals valued between $2 million and $50 million.

Figure 94. Multiple Types by Deal Size

1.5

3.34.0 4.0

5.1

0.0

5.0

10.0

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M

SDE including working capital 24.8% 19.7% 20.0% 28.6% 0.0%

SDE not including working capital 68.8% 62.3% 56.7% 9.5% 3.7%

EBITDA including working capital 0.5% 9.8% 3.3% 38.1% 55.6%

EBITDA not including working capital 5.0% 4.9% 13.3% 9.5% 18.5%

TTM EBITDA including working capital 0.0% 1.6% 3.3% 14.3% 11.1%

TTM EBITDA not including working capital 0.9% 1.6% 3.3% 0.0% 11.1%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

Page 71: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 65

BROKER cont. For deals valued under $1 million first time individual was the most popular buyer type, existing company/ strategic buyer was the most popular buyer type for deals valued between $1 million and $5 million, while PE firm – platform was the most popular buyer type for deals valued between $5 million and $50 million.

Figure 95. Buyer Type by Deal Size

Reason number one for sellers to go to market was retirement.

Figure 96. Reason for Seller to Go to Market by deal Size

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M1st time individual 53% 37% 27% 24% 7%individual who owned a business 28% 35% 20% 33% 7%existing company/strategic buyer 17% 28% 40% 33% 33%PE firm - Platform 0% 0% 7% 10% 37%PE firm - Add-on 0% 0% 7% 0% 11%Other 2% 0% 0% 0% 4%

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M

Recapitalization 0% 5% 3% 5% 15%Burnt out 19% 15% 0% 24% 11%Family issues 14% 7% 3% 0% 0%Health 7% 8% 7% 0% 0%New opportunity 12% 10% 3% 5% 4%Potential taxes increases 0% 0% 0% 5% 0%Relocation/moving 11% 3% 10% 5% 0%Retirement 30% 50% 57% 52% 52%Unsolicited offer 0% 0% 0% 0% 7%Other 7% 2% 17% 5% 11%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

Page 72: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 66

BROKER cont. Buying a job was the number one motivation for buyer for deals valued under $1 million, while horizontal add-on was the number one motivation for buyer for deals valued between $1 million and $50 million.

Figure 97. Number One Motivation for Buyer by Deal Size

Average percentage of final/ selling price realized to asking/ benchmark price was 92%.

Figure 98. Median Percentage of Final/ Selling Price Realized to Asking/ Benchmark Price by Deal Size

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M

Buying a job 51% 38% 10% 19% 11%Better ROI than other investment 7% 13% 17% 24% 11%Vertical add-on 9% 15% 13% 10% 15%Horizontal add-on 21% 30% 50% 38% 37%Other 11% 3% 10% 10% 26%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

90% 93% 90%99% 100%

92%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

< 500K 500K - 1M 1M - 2M 2M - 5M 5M - 50M All

Page 73: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 67

BROKER cont.

Business Transactions Valued Under $499 Thousand

Figure 99. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close

Figure 100. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close

Figure 101. Industry Type

< 1month 1 month 2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months 6 months 7 months 8 months 9 months 10

months11

months12

months1.1 - 1.5

years1.6 - 2years > 2 years

Deals under 500K 3% 4% 10% 11% 10% 6% 15% 5% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4% 6% 2% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

< 1month 1 month 2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months 6 months 7 months 8 months 9 months 12

months

Deals under 500K 18% 16% 28% 17% 6% 4% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Restaurants Services -personal

Businessservices

Consumergoods &

Retail

Health care &biotech Manufact.

Construction&

engineering

Services -financial

Wholesale &distribution

Informationtechnology Other

Deals under 500K 27% 19% 14% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Page 74: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 68

BROKER cont. Figure 102. SDE Multiple Paid

Figure 103. EBITDA Multiple Paid

Figure 104. Multiple Paid

0.25 0.5 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2 2.25 2.5 2.75 3 3.25 5 8.25

Deals under 500K 3% 2% 12% 6% 12% 9% 17% 9% 10% 4% 7% 2% 2% 1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1 1.25 1.5 2 2.75

Deals under 500K 33% 11% 22% 11% 22%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

SDE includingworking capital

SDE notincluding

working capital

EBITDAincluding

working capital

EBITDA notincluding

working capital

TTM EBITDAnot including

working capital

Deals under 500K 24.8% 68.8% 0.5% 5.0% 0.9%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Page 75: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 69

BROKER cont. Figure 105. Buyer Type

Figure 106. Reason for Seller to Go to Market

Figure 107. Buyer Location

53.3%27.6%

17.3%

1.9%

1st time individual

individual who owned a business

existing company/strategic buyer

Other

Retirement Burnt out Family issues New/betteropportunity

Relocation/moving Health Other

Deals under 500K 30% 19% 14% 12% 11% 7% 7%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

within 20 miles within 50 miles within 100 miles more than 100miles

Deals under 500K 66% 14% 5% 15%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Page 76: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 70

BROKER cont. Figure 108. Number One Motivation for Buyer

Business Transactions Valued from $500 to $999 Thousand

Figure 109. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close

Figure 110. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close

Buying a job Horizontal add-on Vertical add-on

Better ROI thanother

investmentOther

Deals under 500K 51% 21% 9% 7% 11%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

1 month 2months

3months

4months

5months

6months

7months

8months

9months

10months

11months

12months

1.1 - 1.5years

1.6 - 2years

Deals from $500K to $1M 2% 5% 11% 5% 8% 8% 7% 5% 10% 3% 5% 10% 16% 5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

< 1month 1 month 2

months3

months4

months5

months6

months7

months8

months10

months

Deals from $500K to $1M 5% 8% 33% 25% 15% 2% 7% 3% 2% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Page 77: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 71

BROKER cont. Figure 111. Industry Type

Figure 112. SDE Multiple Paid

Figure 113. EBITDA Multiple Paid

Businessservices Manufact. Services -

personalHealth care& biotech

Construction &

engineering

Consumergoods &

Retail

Services -financial

Wholesale&

distribution

Informationtechnology Restaurants

Basicmaterials &

energyOther

Deals under 500K 18% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 3% 3% 2% 3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1.5 1.75 2 2.25 2.5 2.75 3 3.25 3.5 4 8.25

Deals from $500K to $1M 2% 10% 24% 6% 14% 14% 12% 8% 4% 2% 4%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

0.5 2.75 3 3.25 3.5 4 4.25 6

Deals from $500K to $1M 9% 9% 27% 9% 9% 9% 18% 9%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Page 78: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 72

BROKER cont. Figure 114. Multiple Paid

Figure 115. Buyer Type

Figure 116. Reason for Seller to Go to Market

SDEincludingworkingcapital

SDE notincludingworkingcapital

EBITDAincludingworkingcapital

EBITDA notincludingworkingcapital

TTMEBITDA

includingworkingcapital

TTMEBITDA notincludingworkingcapital

Deals from $500K to $1M 19.7% 62.3% 9.8% 4.9% 2% 1.6%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

36.7%

35.0%

28.3% 1st time individual

individual who owned a business

existing company/strategic buyer

Retirement Burnt out New/betteropportunity Health Family issues Recapitalization Relocation/movin

g Other

Deals from $500K to $1M 50% 15% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Page 79: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 73

BROKER cont. Figure 117. Buyer Location

Figure 118. Number One Motivation for Buyer

Business Transactions Valued from $1 to $1.99 Million

Figure 119. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close

within 20 miles within 50 miles within 100 miles more than 100miles

Deals from $500K to $1M 47% 22% 12% 20%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Buying a job Horizontaladd-on

Vertical add-on

Better ROIthan otherinvestment

Other

Deals from $500K to $1M 38% 30% 15% 13% 3%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

< 1month

1month

3months

4months

5months

6months

8months

9months

10months

12months

1.1 - 1.5years

Deals from $1M to $2M 3% 3% 3% 3% 10% 7% 7% 7% 7% 27% 23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Page 80: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 74

BROKER cont. Figure 120. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close

Figure 121. Industry Type

Figure 122. SDE Multiple Paid

1 month 2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months 7 months 8 months 1.1 - 1.5years

1.6 - 2years

Deals from $1M to $2M 3% 23% 33% 17% 10% 3% 3% 3% 3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Businessservices

Consumergoods &

Retail

Health care& biotech

Services -personal Restaurants

Construction&

engineering

Wholesale &distribution Manufact. Services -

financial

Basicmaterials &

energyOther

Deals from $1M to $2M 17% 13% 13% 10% 10% 7% 7% 7% 7% 3% 7%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

1.75 2.25 2.5 2.75 3 3.25 3.5 4 4.25 5 7.5 8 8.25

Deals from $1M to $2M 4% 4% 9% 13% 17% 9% 9% 13% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Page 81: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 75

BROKER cont. Figure 123. EBITDA Multiple Paid

Figure 124. Multiple Paid

Figure 125. Buyer Type

1 3.75 4 5 5.5

Deals from $1M to $2M 14% 14% 29% 29% 14%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

SDEincludingworkingcapital

SDE notincludingworkingcapital

EBITDAincludingworkingcapital

EBITDAnot

includingworkingcapital

TTMEBITDA

includingworkingcapital

TTMEBITDA

notincludingworkingcapital

Deals from $1M to $2M 20% 57% 3% 13% 3% 3.3%

27%

20%40%

7%7% 1st time individual

individual who owned a business

existing company/strategic buyer

PE firm - Platform

PE firm - Add-on

Page 82: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 76

BROKER cont. Figure 126. Reason for Seller to Go to Market

Figure 127. Buyer Location

Figure 128. Number One Motivation for Buyer

Retirement Relocation/moving Health New/better

opportunity Family issues Recapitalization Other

Deals from $1M to $2M 57% 10% 7% 3% 3% 3% 17%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

within 20 miles within 50 miles within 100 miles more than 100miles

Deals from $1M to $2M 53% 7% 7% 33%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Horizontal add-on Better ROI thanother investment Vertical add-on Buying a job Other

Deals from $1M to $2M 50% 17% 13% 10% 10%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Page 83: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 77

BROKER cont.

Business Transactions Valued from $2 to $4.99 Million

Figure 129. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close

Figure 130. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close

Figure 131. Industry Type

BROKER cont.

< 1month 1 month 6

months7

months8

months9

months10

months11

months12

months1.1 - 1.5

years1.6 - 2years

> 2years

Deals from $2M to $5M 5% 5% 5% 19% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 19% 5% 14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

< 1 month 2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months 6 months 7 months 1.1 - 1.5years

Deals from $2M to $5M 5% 19% 33% 14% 10% 5% 5% 10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Manufact. Businessservices

Wholesale&

distribution

Construction &

engineering

Healthcare &biotech

Services -personal

Information

technology

Restaurants

Services -financial

Deals from $2M to $5M 33% 19% 14% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

0%10%20%30%40%50%

Page 84: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 78

Figure 132. SDE Multiple Paid

Figure 133. EBITDA Multiple Paid

Figure 134. Multiple Paid

BROKER cont.

2.25 2.5 2.75 3.5 4 4.25 5

Deals from $2M to $5M 13% 13% 13% 25% 13% 13% 13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2.25 2.5 3 4 4.5 5 5.5

Deals from $2M to $5M 8% 8% 23% 31% 8% 15% 8%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

SDE includingworkingcapital

SDE notincludingworkingcapital

EBITDAincludingworkingcapital

EBITDA notincludingworkingcapital

TTM EBITDAincludingworkingcapital

Deals from $2M to $5M 28.6% 9.5% 38.1% 9.5% 14%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Page 85: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 79

Figure 135. Buyer Type

Figure 136. Reason for Seller to Go to Market

Figure 137. Buyer Location

BROKER cont.

23.8%

33.3%

33.3%

9.5% 1st time individual

individual who owned a business

existing company/strategic buyer

PE firm - Platform

Retirement Burnt out New/betteropportunity Relocation/moving Recapitalization Potential taxes

increases Other

Deals from $2M to $5M 52% 24% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

within 20 miles within 50 miles within 100 miles more than 100miles

Deals from $2M to $5M 19% 14% 24% 43%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Page 86: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 80

Figure 138. Number One Motivation for Buyer

Business Transactions Valued from $5 to $50 Million

Figure 139. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close

Figure 140. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close

BROKER cont.

Horizontaladd-on

Better ROIthan otherinvestment

Buying a job Vertical add-on Other

Deals from $2M to $5M 38% 24% 19% 10% 10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

3months

4months

6months

7months

8months

9months

10months

12months

1.1 - 1.5years

1.6 - 2years

> 2years

Deals from $5M to $50M 7% 4% 4% 19% 19% 4% 4% 11% 22% 4% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months 6 months 7 months 9 months 1.1 - 1.5years

Deals from $5M to $50M 15% 37% 11% 4% 19% 4% 7% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Page 87: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 81

Figure 141. Industry Type

Figure 142. SDE Multiple Paid

Figure 143. EBITDA Multiple Paid

BROKER cont.

Manufact. Businessservices

Construction&

engineering

Informationtechnology

Health care &biotech

Wholesale &distribution

Consumergoods &

Retail

Services -personal

Basicmaterials &

energyOther

Deals from $5M to $50M 30% 15% 15% 11% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4% 7%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

1.5 4.5 5.5

Deals from $5M to $50M 33% 33% 33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2.5 3 3.5 3.75 4 4.25 4.5 5 5.25 5.5 5.75 6 6.5 7.25 7.5 7.75 >10

Deals from $5M to $50M 4% 8% 8% 4% 4% 8% 8% 4% 4% 4% 8% 13% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Page 88: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 82

Figure 144. Multiple Paid

Figure 145. Buyer Type

Figure 146. Reason for Seller to Go to Market

BROKER cont.

SDE notincludingworkingcapital

EBITDAincludingworkingcapital

EBITDA notincludingworkingcapital

TTM EBITDAincludingworkingcapital

TTM EBITDAnot including

workingcapital

Deals from $5M to $50M 4% 56% 19% 11% 11%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

7.4%7.4%

33%37.0%

11% 4%1st time individual

individual who owned a business

existing company/strategic buyer

PE firm - Platform

PE firm - Add-on

Other

Retirement Recapitalization Burnt out Unsolicited offer New/betteropportunity Other

Deals from $5M to $50M 52% 15% 11% 7% 4% 11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Page 89: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 83

Figure 147. Buyer Location

Figure 148. Number One Motivation for Buyer

within 20 miles within 50 miles within 100 miles more than 100miles

Deals from $5M to $50M 22% 15% 4% 59%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Horizontaladd-on

Vertical add-on

Better ROIthan otherinvestment

Buying a job Other

Deals from $5M to $50M 37% 15% 11% 11% 26%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Page 90: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 84

BROKER cont.

Table 49. Expectations of Business Listings/ Engagements from New Clients in the Next 3 Months

Deal size Greatly decrease Decrease Stay the same Increase Greatly

increase Score

(1 to 5)

Deals valued under $499,999 1.8% 6.7% 38.1% 45.7% 7.6% 3.5

Deals valued from $500,000 to $999,999 1.0% 6.4% 34.0% 53.2% 5.4% 3.6

Deals valued from $1 million to $1.99 million 0.6% 2.2% 34.8% 58.6% 3.9% 3.6

Deals valued from $2 million to $4.99 million 0.0% 7.2% 34.6% 54.2% 3.9% 3.6

Deals over $5 million 0.8% 7.3% 46.3% 43.1% 2.4% 3.4

Table 50. Expectations for Business Valuation Multiples in the Next 3 Months

Deal size Greatly

decrease Decrease Stay the same Increase Greatly increase

Score (1 to 5)

Deals valued under $499,999 1.8% 6.7% 38.1% 45.7% 7.6% 3.5

Deals valued from $500,000 to $999,999 1.0% 6.4% 34.0% 53.2% 5.4% 3.6

Deals valued from $1 million to $1.99 million 0.6% 2.2% 34.8% 58.6% 3.9% 3.6

Deals valued from $2 million to $4.99 million 0.0% 7.2% 34.6% 54.2% 3.9% 3.6

Deals over $5 million 0.8% 7.3% 46.3% 43.1% 2.4% 3.4

Compared to twelve months ago, respondents indicated increases in deal flow, ratio of businesses sold to total listings, business exit opportunities and improved general business conditions. During the next twelve months, respondents expect further increases in deal flow, margin pressure on companies, and improving general business conditions.

Table 51. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase

Deal flow 6% 14% 35% 32% 14% 46% 20% 26%

Ratio of businesses sold / total listings 6% 15% 42% 28% 9% 37% 21% 16%

Deal multiples 1% 9% 64% 23% 3% 25% 10% 15%

Business exit opportunities 1% 8% 56% 30% 5% 35% 9% 26%

Amount of time to sell business 2% 11% 48% 30% 9% 39% 13% 26%

Difficulty selling business 2% 12% 51% 27% 8% 35% 14% 21%

Business opportunities for growth 1% 8% 51% 37% 3% 40% 9% 31%

General business conditions 3% 13% 44% 38% 2% 40% 16% 24%

Margin pressure on companies 1% 6% 61% 28% 3% 31% 8% 23%

Page 91: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 85

BROKER cont.

Table 52. General Business and Industry Assessment: Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease

significantly Decrease

slightly Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly % increase %

decrease Net

increase

Deal flow 1% 5% 30% 48% 17% 65% 6% 59%

Ratio of businesses sold / total listings 1% 4% 42% 42% 12% 53% 5% 49%

Deal multiples 0% 10% 68% 21% 1% 22% 10% 12%

Business exit opportunities 0% 3% 57% 34% 5% 39% 4% 36%

Amount of time to sell business 1% 12% 63% 21% 4% 25% 13% 12%

Difficulty selling business 0% 13% 64% 20% 2% 22% 13% 9%

Business opportunities for growth 1% 8% 57% 31% 3% 35% 9% 26%

General business conditions 2% 18% 46% 31% 2% 34% 20% 13%

Margin pressure on companies 0% 6% 64% 26% 3% 29% 7% 22%

Page 92: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 86

FACTOR SURVEY INFORMATION Approximately 58% of 18 respondents to the factor survey said the primary uses of factoring facilities are financing working capital fluctuations, followed by expansion (23%), and finance worsening operations conditions (11%). Factoring facilities are relatively short-term compared to other investments with respondents reporting approximately 50% of factoring facilities have less than or equal to 12 months term. Other key findings include:

• Respondents reported approximately 23% of their company’s gross invoices over the last twelve months were originated from business services. Wholesale and distribution were responsible for 17% of invoices followed by manufacturing at 15%.

• When asked about conditions compared to twelve months ago nearly 50% of respondents said they saw an increased demand for business factoring lines in the last 12 months. Approximately 53% of lenders indicated worsened general business conditions in the last twelve months.

• Nearly 37% of respondents believe economic uncertainty is the most important issue facing privately-held

businesses today, followed by access to capital (26%) and government regulations and taxes (11%). Operational and Assessment Characteristics

Approximately 58% of respondents indicated working capital fluctuations as the primary uses of factoring facilities.

Figure 149. Primary Use of the Factoring Facilities Over the Last 12 Months

Respondents reported approximately 23% of their company’s gross invoices over the last twelve months were originated from business services.

Figure 150. Industries for Gross Invoices for the Last 12 Months

58%23%

11% 6% 2%Finance working capital fluctuations

Expansion

Finance worsening operationsconditionsProject Financing

23%

17%

15%10%

8%

7%4%

2%2%12% Business services

Wholesale & distributionManufacturingConstruction & engineeringBasic materials & energyHealth care & biotechInformation technologyRetail & consumer servicesMedia & entertainmentOther

Page 93: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 87

FACTOR cont. Factoring facilities are relatively short-term compared to other investments with respondents reporting approximately 50% of factoring facilities have less than or equal to 12 months term.

Figure 151. Term of Current Typical Factoring Facility

Respondents reported average advance rates charged for various-sized facilities range from 23% to 70% on a monthly basis.

Figure 152. Current Average Advance Rates for Various-Sized Facilities

Nearly 100% of respondents charge wire transfer / ACH fee, while 59% of respondents charge due diligence fee.

Table 53. Fees Charged

6%

44%22%

11%

17%1 - 6 months

7 - 12 months

13 - 18 months

19 - 24 months

More than 24 months

70% 65% 66%52%

28% 23%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

$100,000 $500,000 $1,000,000 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 Greater than$10,000,000

100%

59%

31% 25% 19% 19% 17% 13% 13% 6%0%

20%40%60%80%

100%

Page 94: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 88

FACTOR cont. Table 54. Median Percentage or Amount Charged

Percentage or Amount

Application fees n/a $1,500 Due diligence fees 1% $500 Invoice processing 1.5% n/a Wire transfer / ACH fees 1% $50 Filing fees n/a $10 UCC Search n/a $25 Line fee 1% n/a Same day funding fee 1% $100

Approximately 53% of respondents are using prime rate to price items.

Figure 153. Usage of Reference Rates

Table 55. Spread (%)

1st quartile Median 3rd quartile Tied to prime 2 1.25 1.25 Tied to three-month LIBOR 2.5 2.5 2.5 Tied to six-month LIBOR 3.25 3.75 3.75

Figure 154. Percentage of Factoring Business - Recourse vs Non-recourse

53%

8% 8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Tied to Prime Tied to 3 Month LIBOR Tied to 6 Month LIBOR

61%34%

5% Recourse

Non-recourse

Other

Page 95: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 89

FACTOR cont. Respondents reported 91% of their current purchases were on a notification basis.

Figure 155. Percentage of Purchases on a Non-notification Basis

Nearly 100% of respondents require a lien on A/R assets and 94.4% require a background check.

Table 56. Typical Current Requirements

Requirement % Lien on A/R assets 100.0% Background check 94.4% Personal guarantee 88.9% Financial statements 77.8% Lien on all assets 55.6% Performance guarantee 37.5% Audit 31.3%

Table 57. Discount fee (%) on Outstanding Invoices for Notification Basis

First 30 days invoice outstanding

31 - 45 days invoice outstanding

46 - 60 days invoice outstanding

1st quartile Median 3rd

quartile 1st

quartile Median 3rd quartile

1st quartile Median 3rd

quartile

$0K - $24.99K 2.3% 2.8% 3.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8%

$25K - $49.99K 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8%

$50K - $99.99K 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8%

$100K - $249.99K 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9%

$250K - $999.99K 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8%

$1M - $4.99M 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4%

$5M - $9.99M 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5%

$10M - $24.99M 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5%

$25M - $49.99M 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0%

$50M - $99.99M 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0%

$100M+ 0.6% 1.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8%

9%

91%

Non-notifcation

Notification

Page 96: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 90

FACTOR cont.

Table 58. Expected Total Write-off – Percentage of Receivables Purchased on New Arrangements (%)

1st quartile Median 3rd quartile

Expected total write-off 1% 1% 2%

Table 59. Average Number of Days Outstanding Receivables

1st quartile Median 3rd quartile During Last 12 Months 40 45 54 Expected for Next 12 Months 40 45 54

According to the 43% of respondents, the most significant concern to factoring business is lack of quality businesses or poor financial health.

Figure 156. Most Significant Concern to Factoring Business

Respondents believe domestic economic uncertainty is the most important current and emerging issue facing privately-held businesses.

Figure 157. Current Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses

43%

17%

6%

6%

28%

Lack of quality businesses / poorfinancial health

Businesses lack of understanding offactoring as a financing source

Lack of capital to deploy

Return of traditional business lending

Other

37%

26%

11%

11%

5%

5%

5%

0%

36%

18%

23%

9%

0%

0%

0%

14%

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Access to capital

Government regulations and taxes

Political uncertainty / elections

Competition from foreign trade partners

Inflation

Other

Economic uncertainty (International)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Current issue Emerging issue

Page 97: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 91

FACTOR cont. Respondents indicated increases in demand for business factoring lines and standard advance rates on receivables, decreases in credit quality of borrowers, interest rate spreads, fees and worsened general business conditions.

Table 60. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago

Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about the

same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for business factoring lines (applications) 17% 11% 22% 44% 6% 50% 28% 22%

Credit quality of borrowers applying for credit 6% 33% 44% 11% 6% 17% 39% -22%

Time to process Facility 0% 17% 56% 17% 11% 28% 17% 11%

Average facility size 6% 0% 44% 39% 11% 50% 6% 44%

Average facility term (months) 0% 12% 71% 12% 6% 18% 12% 6%

Size of interest rate spreads (pricing) 6% 56% 31% 6% 0% 6% 63% -56%

Fees 17% 33% 50% 0% 0% 0% 50% -50%

Standard advance rates on receivables 0% 0% 76% 24% 0% 24% 0% 24%

General business conditions 18% 35% 29% 12% 6% 18% 53% -35%

Respondents expect further decreases in interest rate spreads, fees and worsening general business conditions.

Table 61. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months

Decrease significantly

Decrease slightly

Stay about the same

Increase slightly

Increase significantly

% increase

% decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Demand for business factoring lines (applications) 6% 6% 28% 44% 17% 61% 11% 50%

Credit quality of borrowers applying for credit 0% 33% 33% 22% 11% 33% 33% 0%

Time to process Facility 0% 22% 50% 22% 6% 28% 22% 6%

Average facility size 0% 0% 50% 44% 6% 50% 0% 50%

Average facility term (months) 0% 0% 76% 24% 0% 24% 0% 24%

Size of interest rate spreads (pricing) 0% 38% 38% 25% 0% 25% 38% -13%

Fees 0% 22% 67% 11% 0% 11% 22% -11%

Standard advance rates on receivables 0% 0% 94% 6% 0% 6% 0% 6%

General business conditions 11% 22% 44% 17% 6% 22% 33% -11%

Page 98: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 92

BUSINESS OWNER SURVEY INFORMATION

Of the 1,372 privately-held businesses that responded to the survey, 12% had businesses that involved manufacturing, 11% were in professional, scientific or technical services, another 9% were in business service, followed by construction and engineering (9%). Approximately 52% of businesses have annual revenues less than $1 million. Nearly 88% of business owners report having the enthusiasm to execute growth strategies, yet just 50% report having the necessary financial resources to successfully execute growth strategies. Of the respondents who were seeking financing in the last 12 months, approximately 51% anticipated to raise less than $100,000 in capital. Approximately 45% of respondents reported that they were seeking bank business loans or business credit card financing as a source of funding, followed by friends and family (13%). Of all financing options, bank loans emerged as the financing source with the highest “willingness” for small business to use, followed by grants and lease. Results also showed that 74% of privately-held businesses that sought bank loans over the past 12 months were successful. Survey results indicated that business owners who raised capital on average contacted 2.08 banks. Nearly three quarters of businesses (72%) are planning to hire additional workers. Approximately 25% of respondents believe government regulations and taxes are the number one issue small businesses face today, another 18% believe domestic economic uncertainty is the most important current issue, followed by access to capital (17%). According to small businesses, of those policies most likely to lead to job creation in 2016, increased access to capital emerged as number one (23%) followed by regulatory reform (21%), and tax incentives (18%). The study showed that of those that do plan to hire, sales and marketing skills are in greatest demand (51%) followed by skilled labor (45%) and service/customer service (37%). Also, 83% of companies planning to hire indicate they’d need to train those they hire. 49% of respondents believe that general business conditions improved in the twelve months compared to 37% surveyed year ago. Operational and Assessment Characteristics

The privately-held business survey results were generated from 1,372 participants. The locations of businesses are distributed over all regions of the United States.

Figure 158. Respondents Distribution by State

Page 99: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 93

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Businesses involved in manufacturing accounted for 12% of respondents followed by professional, scientific or technical services (11%) and business services (9%).

Figure 159. Description of Entity

Approximately 49% of businesses have less than or equal to five employees.

Figure 160. Number of Employees

12%11%

9%

9%8%

7%6%

6%

5%5%

2%

2%2%

2%1%

10%

2%ManufacturingProfessional, scientific or technical servicesBusiness servicesConstruction & engineeringFinance & real estateRetail tradeInformation technology or servicesHealth care & biotechWholesale & distributionConsumer goods & servicesEducational servicesArts, entertainment or recreationForestry, fishing, hunting or agricultureTransportation and warehousingBasic materials & energyOther servicesOther

6%23%

22%12%

12%

10%

6%6%

2%

0

1 - 2

3 - 5

6 - 10

11 - 20

21 - 50

51 - 100

101 - 500

more than 500

Page 100: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 94

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Approximately 64% of the respondents are active control owners of their businesses.

Figure 161. Ownership Role

Approximately 50% of respondents have less than or equal to $1M in annual revenues, followed by 24% reporting between $1M and $5M.

Figure 162. Annual Revenues

66%

2%

8%

12%

1% 9%

2%

Control owner (>50%) who actively operates thebusinessControl owner (>50%) who passively manages thebusinessShared-control owner (exactly 50%) who activelyoperates the businessShared-control owner (exactly 50%) who passivelymanages the business)Non-control owner (<50%) who actively operates thebusinessNon-control owner (< 50%) who passively manages thebusinessManager or executive with no ownership interest in thebusinessOther

2%

16%

22%

11%24%

7%7%

3%

6%

$0

$1 - $99K

$100K - $499K

$500K - $999K

$1M - $4.99M

$5M - $9.99M

$10M - $24.99M

$25M - $49.99M

Greater than $50 million

Page 101: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 95

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Average change in annual revenues in the last 12 months was 1.9%.

Figure 163. Annual Revenues Change in the Last 12 Months

On average respondents expect their annual revenues to grow by 8.4% in the next 12 months.

Figure 164. Annual Revenues Change Expectations in the Next 12 Months

Approximately 76% of businesses have net income less than or equal to $500,000, 8% of those have negative net income.

Figure 165. Net Income

3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 3%

25%

9% 7% 8%5% 4% 5%

2% 2%5%

1.9%

-4%1%6%

11%16%21%26%31%

Decline Increase

2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2%

20%

13% 11%14%

6% 5% 4% 2% 3%8% 8.4%

-4%1%6%

11%16%21%26%

Decline Increase

8%

36%

31%

8%10%

2% 4%Negative

$0 - $99K

$100K - $499K

$500K - $999K

$1M - $4.99M

$5M - $9.99M

Greater than 10 million

Page 102: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 96

BUSINESS OWNER cont.

Approximately 36% of respondents are currently not financed by any external capital sources. Nearly 32% and 24% of respondents’ businesses are financed by bank business loans and business credit card financing, respectively.

Figure 166. Current Sources of Financing

Among the businesses that tried to raise capital in the last 12 months 30% applied for bank business loan and 74% were successful, whereas 38% of respondents didn’t try to raise capital from any source.

Figure 167. Capital Sources Contacted To Raise Capital in the Last 12 Months

19%

4%1%

11%15% 15%

24%

10%

32%

1%5%

1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3%

36%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

13%

5%2%

7% 9% 9%15%

6%

30%

3%7%

3% 2% 2%5% 5% 5%

2% 4%

38%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

Page 103: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 97

BUSINESS OWNER cont.

Figure 168. Success Rates

Among respondents who successfully raised capital the average number of capital providers contacted was 2.02.

Figure 169. Average Number of Capital Providers Contacted

82%

36% 41%

86% 89%

73%84%

91%

74%

32%

56%

38%

67%74% 77%

51%

23%32%

50%

33%

48%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

3.522.71

4.58

5.64

1.92.33

1.93 1.932.08 2

3.18 2.86

1.52.18

3.75

6.075.28

4.81

3.81 3.5

5.75

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Page 104: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 98

BUSINESS OWNER cont.

Approximately 77% of respondents attempted to raise less than $1 million in the last 12 months.

Figure 170. Amount of Capital Attempted to Raise in the last 12 Months

Approximately 35% of respondents took less than 7 days to complete financing process.

Figure 171. Average Time to Complete Financing Process in Days

34% of respondents spent less than one day during the process to successfully obtain financing (time spent by all employees and hired outsiders making inquiries, submitting proposals, meeting with capital providers, furnishing documents).

Figure 172. Days Spent During the Process to Successfully Obtain Financing

51%

20%

6%8%

5% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2%less than $100K$100K - $499K$500K - $999K$1M - $1.99M$2M - $4.99M$5M - $9.99M$10M - $24.99M$25M - $49.99M$50M - $99.99M$100M+

35%

15% 18%12%

7%3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Less than7 days

7 days -15 days

15 days -1 month

1 - 2months

2 - 3months

3 - 4months

4 - 5months

5 - 6months

6 - 8months

10 - 12months

Morethan 12months

34%

14% 13%8%

3% 5% 3% 1% 4% 3% 2% 2%9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Lessthan 1

day

1 day 2 days 3 days 4 days 5 days 7 days 8 days 10 days 11 - 15days

16 - 20days

21 - 30days

Morethan 30

days

Page 105: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 99

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Among those respondents who were not able to obtain external financing in the last 12 months 41% are planning to improve the financial health of their businesses before attempting to raise capital in the future.

Figure 173. Next Steps to Satisfy Financial Needs

Among those respondents who didn’t attempt to obtain any external financing in the last 12 months, 26% said their businesses would be rejected for funding, followed by 21% of respondents who have sufficient financing already in place, and 16% of respondents whose businesses are generating enough cash flows to fund operations (including growth and expansion).

Figure 174. Reasons for Not Trying to Obtain Capital in the Last 12 Months

41%

14%

13%

12%

5%

4%

2%

10%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Improve financial 'health' of the company to obtain…

Look for alternative sources of financing

Continue looking for traditional capital providers

Look for a partner/equity investor

Sell part of a business

Sell a whole business

Cease operations/liquidate

Other

26%21%

16%10%

9%5%5%

2%1%

6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

My business would be rejected for funding

Sufficient financing already in place

My business is generating enough cash flow to fund operations

I do not have the knowledge / expertise to pursue external…

Unfavorable economic conditions or low demand for…

Loss of control / flexibility

Cost of financing / waiting for cheaper financing

I do not have the time to pursue external financing

Ceasing operations / liquidating

Other

Page 106: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 100

BUSINESS OWNER cont. According to the respondents, “bank loans” as a category is the most appealing option to obtain financing.

Figure 175. Willingness to Obtain Financing

Approximately 49% of respondents indicated increasing revenues from current products or services as the area their businesses are most focused on today.

Figure 176. The Most Important Area to Focus On

2.61

3.713.56

2.812.63

2.96

3.533.7

4.13

3.613.33

2.79

2.192.392.31

3 2.983.092.84

2.59

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

Frie

nds a

nd fa

mily

Gra

nts (

SBIR

, STT

R,…

Crow

d fu

ndin

g

Trad

e cr

edit

Cred

it ca

rd -

pers

.

Loan

- pe

rs.

Cred

it ca

rd -

biz.

Leas

e

Bank

loan

- bi

z.

CDFI

/Cre

dit u

nion

Asse

t bas

ed le

nder

Busin

ess o

nlin

e…

Tax

prep

arat

ion…

Fact

or

Mer

chan

t cas

h ad

vanc

e

Ange

l cap

ital

Vent

. cap

ital

Priv

ate

equi

ty g

roup

Mez

z. le

nder

Hedg

e fu

nd

Not willing

Somewhat unwilling

Neutral

Somewhat willing

Willing to use

49%

21%

9% 8% 8% 5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Increasing revenuesfrom current

products/services

Expandingproduct/service lines

Reducing expenses Finding talentedpeople

Raisingfinancing/securing

capital

Other

Page 107: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 101

BUSINESS OWNER cont.

Approximately 28% of respondents are not planning to hire additional employees in the next 12 months, while 32% of respondents are planning to hire one or two additional employees in the next twelve months.

Figure 177. Amount of Employees Planned to be Hired

Approximately 37% of respondents believe economic uncertainty in the U.S. market is the number one reason preventing them from hiring, followed by government regulations and taxes (25%).

Figure 178. Reasons Preventing Privately-Held Businesses from Hiring

28%32%

17%

8%4% 4%

1% 1%4%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

0 1 - 2 3 - 5 6 - 10 11 - 20 21-50 51-100 More than100

Unknown

37%

25%

21%

15%

14%

7%

3%

2%

34%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Economic uncertainty/confidence (domestic)

Government regulations and taxes

Consumer/business demand (spending)

Ability to find qualified employees

Access to capital

International economic uncertainty

Competitiveness with foreign trade partners

Inflation

Other

Page 108: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 102

BUSINESS OWNER cont. For those businesses which do plan to hire, sales and marketing skills are in greatest demand (51%) followed by skilled labor (45%) and service/customer service (37%).

Figure 179. The Skills in Demand for New Hires

83% of businesses planning to hire indicate need to train those they hire.

Figure 180. Need for Training of New Hires

51%45%

37%27%

23%22%

19%13%

11%9%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Sales & marketingSkilled labor

Service/customer serviceInformation technology

ManagementFinance/financial management

EntrepreneurshipUnskilled labor

OtherGlobal business

Human resources

83%

17%

Yes

No

Page 109: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 103

BUSINESS OWNER cont. According to respondents, of those policies most likely to lead to job creation in 2016, increased access to capital emerged as number one (23%) followed by regulatory reform (21%).

Figure 181. Government Policies to Lead to Job Creation

Approximately 16% of respondents indicated their business cost of equity capital is in the range of 9% - 10%.

Figure 182. Cost of Equity Capital

23%

21%

18%

18%

6%5% 9%

Increased access to capital

Regulatory reform

Tax incentives

Repeal or modify Affordable Care Act

Education reform

Increased competitiveness with foreign tradepartnersOther

6% 6%

10% 10%

16%

7%

2%

9%

2%

9%

1% 1%

5%

2%1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%16%18%

Page 110: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 104

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Privately-held businesses with revenues less than $5 million on average have almost the same desire to execute growth strategies (86%) as privately-held businesses with revenues greater than $5 million (94%). However, privately-held businesses with smaller revenues report lower levels of necessary resources (people, money, etc.) to grow (46%) as compared to privately-held businesses with higher revenues (64%).

Figure 183. Usage of Financial Analysis by Revenue Sizes

Respondents reported on their level of knowledge financing components (scale 0-4: none, some, moderate, very, completely).

Figure 184. Level of Knowledge of Financing Components

60%

45%

65%

73%

12%

60%

61%

46%

86%

77%

72%

74%

79%

27%

80%

78%

64%

94%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Prepare an annual budget

Have financial statements audited or reviewed (not…

Have a mission and vision statement made known

Engage in planning beyond the current year

Have an outside board of directors

Have key performance indicators reviewed

Have a solid growth strategy

Have necessary resources (people, money, etc.) to…

Have the desire, drive, and enthusiasm to grow and…

Revenues less than $5 million Revenues more than $5 million

Types offinancing

Process toobtain

financing

"Costs ofcapital"

Advantages/disadvantages

of various typesof financing

Specificbenchmarks to

qualify forfinancing

Specific firms tocontact to seekvarious types of

financing

Financingacceptance

rates

Whole sample 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.7

< $5 million 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6

$5 - $100 million 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Page 111: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 105

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Most of the respondents are planning to transfer their ownership interest in more than five years from now while only 3% plan to transfer their ownership at the first available opportunity.

Figure 185. Anticipation of the Ownership Transfer

Assuming respondents businesses were eligible to raise financing from both private equity and a public stock offering (IPO), 59% of them would choose private equity.

Figure 186. Private Equity vs Initial Public Offering

When asked about general view, 54% of respondents indicated private equity as favorable financing source.

Figure 187. General Views on Initial Public Offering and Private Equity

3% 3%7% 9%

3%

14%

25%

13%

7%

17%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

In lessthan one

year

1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years Between5 and 10

years

Between10 and 15

years

Between15 and 20

years

After 20years

Private equity Initial public offering (IPO) Unsure

Whole sample 59% 14% 27%< $5 million 57% 13% 30%$5 - $100 million 63% 13% 24%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

Favorable Neither favorable norunfavorable Unfavorable

IPO 35% 30% 35%PE 54% 25% 21%

35% 30% 35%54%

25% 21%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

Page 112: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 106

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Privately-held businesses with annual revenues less than $5 million are more concerned about access to capital than those with revenues greater than $5 million. Larger privately-held businesses are more concerned about government regulations and taxes.

Figure 188. The Number One Issue Facing Privately-Held Businesses Today by Revenue Sizes

Figure 189. The Number One Emerging Issue Facing Privately-Held Businesses by Revenue Sizes

24%

18%

18%

13%

9%

7%

5%

4%

3%

33%

19%

13%

12%

9%

7%

2%

4%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Government regulations and taxes

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Access to capital

Health care costs

Political uncertainty / elections

Economic uncertainty (International)

Inflation

Competition from foreign trade partners

Other

Revenues less than $5 million Revenues more than $5 million

18%

15%

15%

13%

12%

9%

9%

8%

2%

22%

18%

12%

13%

12%

7%

8%

6%

2%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Economic uncertainty (Domestic)

Government regulations and taxes

Political uncertainty / elections

Economic uncertainty (International)

Health care costs

Access to capital

Inflation

Competition from foreign trade partners

Other

Revenues less than $5 million Revenues more than $5 million

Page 113: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 107

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Most of respondents indicated increased unit sales and prices of labor and materials, flat access to capital, and slightly improved general business conditions.

Table 62. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today Versus Twelve Months Ago

Characteristics Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about

the same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly % increase %

decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Unit sales 9% 15% 26% 29% 20% 49% 24% 25%

Prices of labor and materials 1% 6% 37% 46% 10% 56% 7% 49%

Net income 10% 18% 24% 32% 16% 48% 28% 21%

Inventory levels 4% 18% 49% 22% 7% 29% 22% 7%

Capital expenditures 6% 11% 46% 25% 11% 37% 17% 19%

Opportunities for growth 5% 10% 28% 35% 23% 57% 15% 43%

Access to bank loans 9% 10% 57% 16% 8% 24% 19% 6%

Access to equity capital 10% 11% 59% 13% 7% 20% 21% -1%

Prices of your products or services 2% 8% 46% 39% 6% 45% 10% 35%

Time to collect receivables 2% 8% 63% 20% 7% 27% 10% 18%

Number of employees 2% 9% 60% 24% 4% 28% 12% 16%

Competition 2% 9% 55% 25% 9% 34% 11% 24%

General business conditions 8% 20% 40% 27% 6% 33% 28% 5%

Appetite for risk 5% 15% 52% 23% 5% 29% 20% 9%

Probability of business closure 19% 17% 48% 12% 4% 16% 36% -20%

Time worrying about economy 6% 11% 44% 23% 17% 39% 17% 22%

Page 114: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 108

BUSINESS OWNER cont. Participants of the survey believe almost all general business characteristics will increase in the next 12 months.

Table 63. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations Over the Next 12 Months

Characteristics Decreased significantly

Decreased slightly

Stayed about

the same

Increased slightly

Increased significantly % increase % decrease

Net increase/ decrease

Unit sales 2% 6% 22% 46% 24% 69% 8% 61%

Prices of labor and materials 1% 4% 41% 49% 6% 54% 5% 50%

Net income 2% 9% 22% 45% 22% 68% 11% 57%

Inventory levels 3% 8% 55% 26% 8% 34% 11% 23%

Capital expenditures 4% 8% 50% 29% 10% 39% 11% 27%

Opportunities for growth 2% 6% 26% 41% 25% 66% 8% 58%

Access to bank loans 4% 6% 62% 20% 7% 28% 10% 17%

Access to equity capital 5% 7% 59% 19% 11% 30% 11% 19%

Prices of your products or services 1% 5% 43% 46% 4% 51% 6% 44%

Time to collect receivables 1% 6% 73% 16% 4% 20% 7% 14%

Number of employees 1% 3% 45% 44% 7% 51% 4% 48%

Competition 1% 7% 59% 26% 7% 33% 8% 25%

General business conditions 4% 17% 45% 28% 6% 34% 21% 14%

Appetite for risk 5% 12% 54% 24% 6% 30% 16% 14%

Probability of business closure 19% 19% 50% 8% 4% 12% 38% -26%

Time worrying about economy 7% 11% 51% 18% 13% 31% 18% 14%

Page 115: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 109

ABOUT THE AUTHOR Craig R. Everett, PhD Director, Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project Craig R. Everett is an assistant professor of finance at Pepperdine University Graziadio School of Business and Management and Director of the Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project. His teaching and research interests include entrepreneurial finance, private capital markets, business valuation and behavioral corporate finance. He holds a PhD in finance from Purdue University, an MBA from George Mason University, and a BA in quantitative economics from Tufts University. Dr. Everett is the author of the best-selling children's fantasy novel, Toby Gold and the Secret Fortune, which incorporates such financial literacy topics as saving, investing, banking, entrepreneurship, interest rates, return on investment, and net worth. His research has appeared in the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, USA Today, and the New York Times, been published in a number of journals and been presented at domestic and international conferences. Craig Everett is member of the Beta Gamma Sigma Honor Society, Financial Executives International, and the Los Angeles World Affairs Council. Dr. Everett is a certified mergers & acquisitions advisor (CM&AA), and a registered investment advisor (RIA) with the state of California. Contact: [email protected]

ABOUT THE PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT

A leader in cultivating entrepreneurship and digital innovation, the Pepperdine University Graziadio School of Business and Management focuses on the real-world application of MBA-level business concepts. The Graziadio School provides student-focused, globally-oriented education through part-time, full-time, and executive MBA programs at our five Southern California locations and Silicon Valley, Santa Barbara and Dallas campuses, as well as through online and hybrid formats. In addition, the Graziadio School offers a variety of master of science programs, a bachelor of science in management degree-completion program, and the Presidents and Key Executives MBA, as well as executive education certificate programs. Follow the Graziadio School on Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/pepperdine.graziadio), Twitter at @GraziadioSchool (https://twitter.com/graziadioschool) , and LinkedIn (https://www.linkedin.com/edu).

Page 116: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 110

INDEX OF TABLES Table 1. Private Capital Market Required Rates of Return ............................................................................................................ 3

Table 2. Median Deal Multiples by EBITDA Size of Company ........................................................................................................ 7

Table 3. Median Total Leverage Multiples by Size of Company ..................................................................................................... 8

Table 4. Median Senior Leverage Multiples by Size of Company ................................................................................................... 8

Table 5. Balance of Available Capital with Quality Companies..................................................................................................... 10

Table 6. How Difficult to Arrange Senior Debt for Transactions over the Past 12 Months .......................................................... 10

Table 7. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................... 10

Table 8. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ..................................................... 11

Table 9. PEG Fund Data .................................................................................................................................................................. 12

Table 10. General Characteristics – Buyout Transactions (medians) ............................................................................................ 15

Table 11. General Characteristics – Non-Buyout Transactions (medians) .................................................................................... 15

Table 12. The Balance of Available Capital with Quality Companies for the Following EBITDA Size........................................... 18

Table 13. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 18

Table 14. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 19

Table 15. All-in Rates by Loan Size and Industry ........................................................................................................................... 21

Table 16. All-in Rates by Loan Type ............................................................................................................................................... 21

Table 17. Senior Leverage Multiple by EBITDA Size ...................................................................................................................... 22

Table 18. Fees Charged .................................................................................................................................................................. 22

Table 19. Importance of Financial Evaluation Metrics .................................................................................................................. 23

Table 20. Financial Evaluation Metrics Average Data ................................................................................................................... 23

Table 21. Personal Guarantee and Collateral Percentage of Occurrence by Size of Loan (%) ..................................................... 23

Table 22. Applications Data ........................................................................................................................................................... 23

Table 23. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 25

Table 24. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 26

Table 25. All-in Rates on Current Asset-Based Loans (medians)................................................................................................... 27

Table 26. Standard Advance Rate (or LTV ratio) for Assets (%) .................................................................................................... 28

Table 27. Mezzanine Fund Data ..................................................................................................................................................... 30

Table 28. Sponsored Deals by EBITDA Size (medians) .................................................................................................................. 32

Page 117: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 111

Table 29. Investment Type by Size of Investee Company, Sponsored Deals ................................................................................ 32

Table 30. Non-Sponsored Deals by EBITDA Size (medians) .......................................................................................................... 33

Table 31. Investment Type by Size of Investee Company, Sponsored Deals ................................................................................ 33

Table 32. Importance of Financial Evaluation Metrics .................................................................................................................. 34

Table 33. Financial Evaluation Metrics Average Data ................................................................................................................... 35

Table 34. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 36

Table 35. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 36

Table 36. Importance of Factors When Evaluating ....................................................................................................................... 41

Table 37. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 42

Table 38. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 42

Table 39. VC Fund Data .................................................................................................................................................................. 44

Table 40. General Information on Investments by Company Stages ............................................................................................ 45

Table 41. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 48

Table 42. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 48

Table 43. General Information on Investments by Company Stages ............................................................................................ 51

Table 44. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 54

Table 45. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 54

Table 46. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 57

Table 47. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 58

Table 48. How Difficult to Arrange Senior Debt for Transactions over the Past 12 Months ........................................................ 61

Table 49. Expectations of Business Listings/ Engagements from New Clients in the Next 3 Months ......................................... 84

Table 50. Expectations for Business Valuation Multiples in the Next 3 Months .......................................................................... 84

Table 51. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 84

Table 52. General Business and Industry Assessment: Expectations over the Next 12 Months.................................................. 85

Table 53. Fees Charged .................................................................................................................................................................. 87

Table 54. Median Percentage or Amount Charged ....................................................................................................................... 88

Table 55. Spread (%) ...................................................................................................................................................................... 88

Table 56. Typical Current Requirements ....................................................................................................................................... 89

Table 57. Discount fee (%) on Outstanding Invoices for Notification Basis .................................................................................. 89

Table 58. Expected Total Write-off – Percentage of Receivables Purchased on New Arrangements (%) ................................... 90

Page 118: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 112

Table 59. Average Number of Days Outstanding Receivables ...................................................................................................... 90

Table 60. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today versus 12 Months Ago ................................................................. 91

Table 61. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations over the Next 12 Months ................................................... 91

Table 62. General Business and Industry Assessment: Today Versus Twelve Months Ago ....................................................... 107

Table 63. General Business and Industry Assessment Expectations Over the Next 12 Months ................................................ 108

Page 119: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 113

INDEX OF FIGURES Figure 1. Private Capital Market Required Rates of Return ...................................................................................................... 2

Figure 2. Private Business Sales Transactions Closed in the Last 12 Months ............................................................................. 4

Figure 3. Business Types That Were Involved in the Transactions Closed in the Last 12 Months .............................................. 5

Figure 4. Average Number of Months to Close One Deal ......................................................................................................... 5

Figure 5. Private Business Transactions Expected to Close in the Next 12 Months ................................................................... 5

Figure 6. Percentage of Business Sales Engagements Terminated Without Transacting ........................................................... 6

Figure 7. Reasons for Business Sales Engagements Not Transacting ......................................................................................... 6

Figure 8. Valuation Gap in Pricing for Transactions That Didn’t Close....................................................................................... 6

Figure 9. Usage of Valuation Methods ..................................................................................................................................... 7

Figure 10. Usage of Multiple Methods ..................................................................................................................................... 7

Figure 11. Components of Closed Deals ................................................................................................................................... 8

Figure 12. Percent of Transactions Involved Strategic and Financial Buyers ............................................................................ 9

Figure 13. Premium Paid by Strategic Buyers Relative to Financial Buyers .............................................................................. 9

Figure 14. Percent of Transactions Involved Strategic and Financial Buyers ............................................................................ 9

Figure 15. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses ..................................................................................................................11

Figure 16. Typical Investment Size ..........................................................................................................................................12

Figure 17. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ............................................................................13

Figure 18. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months ....................................................................................13

Figure 19. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months .............................................................................13

Figure 20. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months .................................................................................14

Figure 21. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ..........................................................................14

Figure 22. Size of Buyout Investments in the Last 12 Months ..................................................................................................14

Figure 23. Size of Non-Buyout Investments in the Last 12 Months ..........................................................................................15

Figure 24. Usage of Valuation Approaches ..............................................................................................................................16

Figure 25. Usage of Multiple Methods ....................................................................................................................................16

Figure 26. Items Required to Close One Deal ..........................................................................................................................17

Figure 27. Exit Plans for Portfolio Companies .........................................................................................................................17

Figure 28. Description of Lending Entity .................................................................................................................................20

Page 120: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 114

Figure 29. Borrower Motivation to Secure Financing (past 12 months) ...................................................................................22

Figure 30. Typical EBITDA Sizes for Companies Booked ...........................................................................................................27

Figure 31. Asset-Based Loans Decline Rate .............................................................................................................................28

Figure 32. SBIC (small business investment) Firms ..................................................................................................................29

Figure 33. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ............................................................................30

Figure 34. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months ....................................................................................30

Figure 35. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months .............................................................................31

Figure 36. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months .................................................................................31

Figure 37. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ..........................................................................31

Figure 38. Size of Sponsored Deals in the Last 12 Months .......................................................................................................32

Figure 39. Size of Non-Sponsored Deals in the Last 12 Months ...............................................................................................33

Figure 40. Borrower Motivation to Secure Mezzanine Funding (past 12 months) ....................................................................34

Figure 41. Items Required to Close One Deal ..........................................................................................................................34

Figure 42. Entity Type .............................................................................................................................................................37

Figure 43. Assets under Management or Investable Funds .....................................................................................................37

Figure 44. Current Asset Allocation for "Alternative Assets" (% of total portfolio) ..................................................................38

Figure 45. Target Asset Allocation for "Alternative Assets" (% of total portfolio) ....................................................................38

Figure 46. Target Asset Allocation by Assets ...........................................................................................................................38

Figure 47. Annual Return Expectations for New Investments ..................................................................................................39

Figure 48. Assets with the Best Risk/Return Trade-off Currently .............................................................................................39

Figure 49. Industry with the Best Risk/Return ........................................................................................................................40

Figure 50. Geographic Regions of the World Offering the Best Risk/Return Tradeoff Currently ..............................................40

Figure 51. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses ..................................................................................................................41

Figure 52. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months ....................................................................................43

Figure 53. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months .............................................................................43

Figure 54. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months .................................................................................44

Figure 55. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ..........................................................................44

Figure 56. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ............................................................................44

Figure 57. Geographic Location of Planned Investment over Next 12 Months .........................................................................46

Figure 58. Usage of Valuation Methods ..................................................................................................................................46

Page 121: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 115

Figure 59. Usage of Multiple Methods ....................................................................................................................................46

Figure 60. Exit Plans for Portfolio Companies .........................................................................................................................47

Figure 61. Current Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses .....................................................................................................47

Figure 62. Total Number of Investments Made in the Last 12 Months ....................................................................................49

Figure 63. Number of Follow-on Investments Made in the Last 12 Months .............................................................................49

Figure 64. Number of Total Investments Planned over Next 12 Months .................................................................................50

Figure 65. Number of Follow-on Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ..........................................................................50

Figure 66. Type of Business for Investments Planned over Next 12 Months ............................................................................50

Figure 67. Geographic Location of Planned Investment over Next 12 Months .........................................................................51

Figure 68. Geographical Limit for Investment .........................................................................................................................52

Figure 69. Usage of Multiple Methods ....................................................................................................................................52

Figure 70. Items Required to Close One Deal ..........................................................................................................................53

Figure 71. Exit Plans for Portfolio Companies .........................................................................................................................53

Figure 72. Annual Revenues of Companies Valued .................................................................................................................55

Figure 73. Usage of Valuation Methods ..................................................................................................................................55

Figure 74. Usage of Multiple Methods ....................................................................................................................................56

Figure 75. Average Risk-Free Rat and Market (equity) Risk Premium and Long-Term Growth Rate .........................................56

Figure 76. Discount for Lack of Marketability (DLOM) by Revenue Sizes .................................................................................56

Figure 77. Overall Comfort Level with Applying Public Cost of Capital to Privately-held Companies of Various Sizes ..............57

Figure 78. Explicit Forecast Period for High-Growth Companies by Revenue Sizes (years) .......................................................57

Figure 79. Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses ..................................................................................................................58

Figure 80. Private Business Sales Transactions Closed in the Last Twelve Months ...................................................................59

Figure 81. Private Business Sales Transactions Expected to Close in the Next Twelve Months ................................................59

Figure 82. Typical Size of Business Transactions ......................................................................................................................60

Figure 83. Business Transactions in the Last 12 Months .........................................................................................................60

Figure 84. Did Respondents Close More Transactions in 2015 than in Previous Years .............................................................60

Figure 85. Percentage of Closed Business Transactions Valued under $2 million Utilized SBA Components ............................61

Figure 86. In 2015, Best Client Arrived By: ..............................................................................................................................61

Figure 87. Types of Referrals ..................................................................................................................................................62

Figure 88. Types of Publication/ Media Source .......................................................................................................................62

Page 122: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 116

Figure 89. Was It Buyer's or Seller’s Market in the Last 3 Months ...........................................................................................62

Figure 90. Median Number of Months from Listing/ Engagement to Close by Deal Size ..........................................................63

Figure 91. Median Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close by Deal Size ..........................................................................63

Figure 92. Median SDE Multiple Paid by Deal Size ..................................................................................................................63

Figure 93. Median EBITDA Multiple Paid by Deal Size .............................................................................................................64

Figure 94. Multiple Types by Deal Size ....................................................................................................................................64

Figure 95. Buyer Type by Deal Size .........................................................................................................................................65

Figure 96. Reason for Seller to Go to Market by deal Size .......................................................................................................65

Figure 97. Number One Motivation for Buyer by Deal Size .....................................................................................................66

Figure 98. Median Percentage of Final/ Selling Price Realized to Asking/ Benchmark Price by Deal Size .................................66

Figure 99. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close ..........................................................................................67

Figure 100. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close ........................................................................................................67

Figure 101. Industry Type .......................................................................................................................................................67

Figure 102. SDE Multiple Paid .................................................................................................................................................68

Figure 103. EBITDA Multiple Paid ...........................................................................................................................................68

Figure 104. Multiple Paid ........................................................................................................................................................68

Figure 105. Buyer Type ...........................................................................................................................................................69

Figure 106. Reason for Seller to Go to Market ........................................................................................................................69

Figure 107. Buyer Location .....................................................................................................................................................69

Figure 108. Number One Motivation for Buyer .......................................................................................................................70

Figure 109. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close ........................................................................................70

Figure 110. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close ........................................................................................................70

Figure 111. Industry Type .......................................................................................................................................................71

Figure 112. SDE Multiple Paid .................................................................................................................................................71

Figure 113. EBITDA Multiple Paid ...........................................................................................................................................71

Figure 114. Multiple Paid ........................................................................................................................................................72

Figure 115. Buyer Type ...........................................................................................................................................................72

Figure 116. Reason for Seller to Go to Market ........................................................................................................................72

Figure 117. Buyer Location .....................................................................................................................................................73

Figure 118. Number One Motivation for Buyer .......................................................................................................................73

Page 123: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 117

Figure 119. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close ........................................................................................73

Figure 120. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close ........................................................................................................74

Figure 121. Industry Type .......................................................................................................................................................74

Figure 122. SDE Multiple Paid .................................................................................................................................................74

Figure 123. EBITDA Multiple Paid ...........................................................................................................................................75

Figure 124. Multiple Paid ........................................................................................................................................................75

Figure 125. Buyer Type ...........................................................................................................................................................75

Figure 126. Reason for Seller to Go to Market ........................................................................................................................76

Figure 127. Buyer Location .....................................................................................................................................................76

Figure 128. Number One Motivation for Buyer .......................................................................................................................76

Figure 129. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close ........................................................................................77

Figure 130. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close ........................................................................................................77

Figure 131. Industry Type .......................................................................................................................................................77

Figure 132. SDE Multiple Paid .................................................................................................................................................78

Figure 133. EBITDA Multiple Paid ...........................................................................................................................................78

Figure 134. Multiple Paid ........................................................................................................................................................78

Figure 135. Buyer Type ...........................................................................................................................................................79

Figure 136. Reason for Seller to Go to Market ........................................................................................................................79

Figure 137. Buyer Location .....................................................................................................................................................79

Figure 138. Number One Motivation for Buyer .......................................................................................................................80

Figure 139. Number of Months from Engagement/ Listing to Close ........................................................................................80

Figure 140. Number of Months from LOI/ Offer to Close ........................................................................................................80

Figure 141. Industry Type .......................................................................................................................................................81

Figure 142. SDE Multiple Paid .................................................................................................................................................81

Figure 143. EBITDA Multiple Paid ...........................................................................................................................................81

Figure 144. Multiple Paid ........................................................................................................................................................82

Figure 145. Buyer Type ...........................................................................................................................................................82

Figure 146. Reason for Seller to Go to Market ........................................................................................................................82

Figure 147. Buyer Location .....................................................................................................................................................83

Figure 148. Number One Motivation for Buyer .......................................................................................................................83

Page 124: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 118

Figure 149. Primary Use of the Factoring Facilities Over the Last 12 Months ...........................................................................86

Figure 150. Industries for Gross Invoices for the Last 12 Months ............................................................................................86

Figure 151. Term of Current Typical Factoring Facility .............................................................................................................87

Figure 152. Current Average Advance Rates for Various-Sized Facilities ..................................................................................87

Figure 153. Usage of Reference Rates .....................................................................................................................................88

Figure 154. Percentage of Factoring Business - Recourse vs Non-recourse ..............................................................................88

Figure 155. Percentage of Purchases on a Non-notification Basis ............................................................................................89

Figure 156. Most Significant Concern to Factoring Business ....................................................................................................90

Figure 157. Current Issues Facing Privately-Held Businesses ...................................................................................................90

Figure 158. Respondents Distribution by State .......................................................................................................................92

Figure 159. Description of Entity .............................................................................................................................................93

Figure 160. Number of Employees ..........................................................................................................................................93

Figure 161. Ownership Role ....................................................................................................................................................94

Figure 162. Annual Revenues .................................................................................................................................................94

Figure 163. Annual Revenues Change in the Last 12 Months ...................................................................................................95

Figure 164. Annual Revenues Change Expectations in the Next 12 Months .............................................................................95

Figure 165. Net Income ..........................................................................................................................................................95

Figure 166. Current Sources of Financing ................................................................................................................................96

Figure 167. Capital Sources Contacted To Raise Capital in the Last 12 Months ........................................................................96

Figure 168. Success Rates .......................................................................................................................................................97

Figure 169. Average Number of Capital Providers Contacted ..................................................................................................97

Figure 170. Amount of Capital Attempted to Raise in the last 12 Months ...............................................................................98

Figure 171. Average Time to Complete Financing Process in Days ...........................................................................................98

Figure 172. Days Spent During the Process to Successfully Obtain Financing ..........................................................................98

Figure 173. Next Steps to Satisfy Financial Needs ...................................................................................................................99

Figure 174. Reasons for Not Trying to Obtain Capital in the Last 12 Months ...........................................................................99

Figure 175. Willingness to Obtain Financing ......................................................................................................................... 100

Figure 176. The Most Important Area to Focus On ................................................................................................................ 100

Figure 177. Amount of Employees Planned to be Hired ........................................................................................................ 101

Figure 178. Reasons Preventing Privately-Held Businesses from Hiring ................................................................................. 101

Page 125: 2016 Private Capital Markets Report - Business Programs€¦ · Pepperdine University Pepperdine Digital Commons Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Report 3-15-2016 2016 Private Capital

PEPPERDINE PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS PROJECT | PRIVATE CAPITAL MARKETS REPORT – 2016

© 2015-2016| PEPPERDINE UNIVERSITY GRAZIADIO SCHOOL OF BUSINESS AND MANAGEMENT. All Rights Reserved. | 119

Figure 179. The Skills in Demand for New Hires .................................................................................................................... 102

Figure 180. Need for Training of New Hires .......................................................................................................................... 102

Figure 181. Government Policies to Lead to Job Creation ..................................................................................................... 103

Figure 182. Cost of Equity Capital ......................................................................................................................................... 103

Figure 183. Usage of Financial Analysis by Revenue Sizes ..................................................................................................... 104

Figure 184. Level of Knowledge of Financing Components .................................................................................................... 104

Figure 185. Anticipation of the Ownership Transfer .............................................................................................................. 105

Figure 186. Private Equity vs Initial Public Offering ............................................................................................................... 105

Figure 187. General Views on Initial Public Offering and Private Equity ................................................................................ 105

Figure 188. The Number One Issue Facing Privately-Held Businesses Today by Revenue Sizes .............................................. 106

Figure 189. The Number One Emerging Issue Facing Privately-Held Businesses by Revenue Sizes ......................................... 106