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1
2016FLORIDA YOUTHSUBSTANCE ABUSE SURVEY
October 4, 2016
Presentation Outline
1. Methodology
2. ATOD prevalence rate comparisons
3. Three key findings from the2002-2016 FYSAS
4. ATOD trend summary
5. Special FYSAS topics2
Methodology Survey administration: February of 2016
Sampling strategy: schools were selected to generatestatistically representative state-level and county-levelestimates
Students surveyed in all 67 Florida counties
Final sample size was 65,776 across grades 6 through12
The margin of error is less than 1.0 percentage pointfor M.S. and H.S. prevalence rates
3
Survey Validation
ATOD exaggeration—1,085
Antisocial behavior exaggeration—500
Inconsistency—1,249
Fictitious drug—1,756
No response for more than 75% of the surveyquestions—1,100
3,391 respondents (4.9%) identified and eliminated byone or more of five validation tests:
4
5
ATOD Prevalence RateComparisons
Lifetime prevalence—one or moreuses in student’s lifetime Indicates percentage of students who have
tried or experimented
Past-30-day prevalence—one or moreuses in past 30 days Indicates percentage of students who are
current users
Lifetime PrevalenceMiddle School
21.814.6
8.0 7.0 6.4 3.3 3.2 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.40%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
6
Lifetime PrevalenceHigh School
51.4
33.9 31.7
18.5 15.9
6.5 5.8 5.3 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.40%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
7
Past-30-Day PrevalenceMiddle School
8.3 5.1 3.2 3.2 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.10%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
8 Past Two Weeks
Past-30-Day PrevalenceHigh School
25.517.0
12.8 10.94.8 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
9 Past Two Weeks
10
Key Long-Term Finding #1
Reduced alcohol use
Higher-risk alcohol use also down
Reduced cigarette use
Early initiation becoming lesscommon
11
Changes Have Been:
Dramatic Falling by nearly half or more than half for
most indicators
Continuous Reductions in the majority of survey years,
trend line continuing down
Widespread Occurring across demographic groups
AlcoholPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
19.7 20.3
10.1 8.3
40.8 42.0
28.425.5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School
12
AlcoholPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
34.532.1
23.3 22.2
39.4 40.2
26.623.3
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS13
Early Alcohol UseInitiation by Age 13—High School
37.7
21.8
19.4
7.3
3.9 3.50%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Try Alcohol Regular Alcohol Use14
Binge DrinkingPrevalence by Grade Cohort
8.6
3.93.2
22.3 23.0
13.7
10.9
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School15
Binge DrinkingPrevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
19.7 18.0
12.010.9
21.9 22.4
12.6
9.9
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS16
CigarettesPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
7.1
2.0
1.4
14.9
7.1
4.8
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School17
CigarettesPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
18.4
8.37.1
14.7
6.6
4.6
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS18
Early Cigarette UseInitiation by Age 13—High School
31.4
11.9
9.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Smoked a Cigarette, Even Just a Puff
19
20
Key Long-Term Finding #2
All illicit drugs (other than marijuana)show reductions in use over the longterm
Almost all illicit drugs (other thanmarijuana) show reductions in use since2014
Reductions not as large as alcohol andcigarettes
Use of Any Illicit Drug (Other than Marijuana)Past-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
9.6
10.9
6.25.6
10.6
8.57.7
0%
5%
10%
15%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School21
InhalantsPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
5.1
6.6
3.1
2.22.3
2.8
1.31.2
0%
5%
10%
15%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School22
InhalantsPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th Graders
3.8
4.5
1.3 1.3
5.2
6.2
3.1
1.5
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS23
11.9 13.0
10.4
8.8
6.24.9
3.34.3
1.8 1.4 1.0 1.0
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Synthetic MarijuanaLifetime and Past-30-Day Prevalence
among High School Students
24Lifetime Prevalence Past-30-Day Prevalence
25
Key Long-Term Finding #3
Marijuana trend different than otherATODs
Short-term reduction in use, butlong-term pattern is mixed
Attitudes toward marijuana use aredifferent than other ATODs
MarijuanaPast-30-Day Prevalence by Grade Cohort
5.9 5.7
4.23.2
17.218.6 18.6
17.0
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School High School26
MarijuanaPast-30-Day Prevalence for 8th, 10th and 12th Graders
15.9 14.8 14.2
15.7 16.5
14.4
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MTF FYSAS27
Early Marijuana UseInitiation by Age 13—High School
13.4
10.6 11.410.6
0%
10%
20%
30%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Smoked Marijuana28
38.542.5 42.8
63.7
69.168.4
30.032.5
25.3 24.9
20%
40%
60%
80%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Alcohol Cigarettes Try Marijuana
29
Risk of HarmPercentage Reporting “Great Risk”
77.9
88.6
91.0
66.462.8
73.2
74.7
79.9
74.0
73.8
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Cigarettes Alcohol Marijuana30
Disapproval of ATOD Use“Wrong” or “Very Wrong”
31
Overall ATOD Use
Dramatic reductions since 2004
Rate of decline has increased since2010
Reductions occurring in both M.S.and H.S.
Use of Alcohol, Tobacco, or Any Illicit DrugPast-30-Day Prevalence Among Middle School Students
26.7 27.5
15.012.7
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School
32
Middle School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Decrease = 14.8
Use of Alcohol, Tobacco, or Any Illicit DrugPast-30-Day Prevalence Among High School Students
46.6 48.0
37.3
33.330%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
High School
High School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Decrease = 14.7
33
Students Reporting No ATOD Usein the Past 30 Days
73.3 72.5
85.087.3
60%
70%
80%
90%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Middle School34
Middle School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Increase = 14.8
Students Reporting No ATOD Usein the Past 30 Days
53.4
52.0
62.7
66.7
40%
50%
60%
70%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
High School
35
High School 2004-2016
Percentage Point Increase = 14.7
Percentage Point Change 2014-2016Past-30-Day Prevalence
-2.2-1.8
-1.5 -1.2
-0.5 -0.4-0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
0.0 0.00.3
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
36 High School Only
Percentage Point Change 2002-2016Past-30-Day Prevalence
-12.9
-8.3 -8.0
-2.0 -1.7 -1.1-0.9
-0.5 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
37
Special FYSAS Topics
ATOD Use and DrivingATOD Use by Gender/Race/Ethnicity
Symptoms of DepressionATOD Use at School
38
ATODs and DrivingPast-30-Day Prevalence Among High School Students
16.4
5.4
22.7
10.3
0%
20%
40%
60%
Riding with a DUI Driver Driving Under the Influence
Alcohol Marijuana39
21.4 18.116.4
25.423.5 22.7
8.16.6 5.4
11.2 10.9 10.3
0%
20%
40%
60%
2012 2014 2016 2012 2014 2016 2012 2014 2016 2012 2014 2016
40
Riding withDrinkingDriver
ATODs and Driving TrendsPast-30-Day Prevalence Among High School Students
Riding withMarijuana
Driver
Drivingafter
Drinking
Drivingafter
Marijuana
Riding with a Drinking DriverPast-30-Day Prevalence Among Non-Drinkers and Drinkers
10.2
33.5
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Non-Drinkers Drinkers41
Riding with a Marijuana-Using DriverPast-30-Day Prevalence Among Non-Users and Users
12.3
71.9
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Marijuana Non-Users Marijuana Users42
ATOD Use and GenderPast-30-Day and Lifetime Prevalence
19.917.0 16.5 15.4
8.4 10.6 10.9 11.5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
43
Alcohol Vaping/E-Cigs MarijuanaBlacking Out
ATOD Use and Race/EthnicityPast-30-Day Prevalence
12.4
18.6 21.4
5.59.6
11.89.1
10.712.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
44
Alcohol Vaping/E-Cigs Marijuana
ATOD Use and Race/EthnicityCigarettes: Risk of Harm and Disapproval
64.165.7 71.2
93.7 91.4 89.5 93.1 91.5 88.3
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
45
Perceived Risk Personal Disapproval Peer Disapproval
Symptoms of Depression“yes” or “YES!”
23.5
35.7
21.5
39.7
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Life Not Worth It I Think I Am No Good I Am a Failure Sad or DepressedMost Days
46
Symptoms of DepressionBy Gender
31.1
46.2
27.6
50.5
15.8
25.2
15.3
29.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Life Not Worth It I Think I Am No Good I Am a Failure Sad or DepressedMost Days
Female Male47
DepressionNumber of Symptoms
49.2
17.0
11.6 9.712.6
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
No Symptoms 1 Symptom 2 Symptoms 3 Symptoms 4 Symptoms
48
15.0
28.0
7.7
16.3
8.9
16.7
4.3
15.4
0%
10%
20%
30%
0 Symptoms 1 Symptom 2 Symptoms 3 Symptoms 4 Symptoms
Alcohol Vaping/E-Cigs Marijuana Any Illicit (No Marijuana)49
Symptoms of DepressionPast-30-Day ATOD Use
3.3 3.21.4
6.5
12.2
3.9
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Alcohol Marijuana Another Drug
Middle School High School50
ATOD Use Before or During SchoolPast-12-Month Prevalence