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2 0 1 6 E N E R G Y B A N K I N G S E C T O R : Y E A R I N R E V I E W
IPAA / TIPRO
Mike Lister
Managing Director & Energy Corporate Banking Group Head
Chase, J.P. Morgan, and JPMorgan Chase are marketing names for certain businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its subsidiaries worldwide (collectively, “JPMC”). This document was prepared solely and exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the party to whom it is directly addressed and delivered (the “Company”) in order to make a preliminary presentation to the Company regarding certain products or services that might be provided by JPMC. This document and any related presentation materials are for discussion purposes only and are incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, a related oral briefing provided by JPMC. This presentation does not constitute a commitment by any JPMC entity to extend or arrange credit or to provide any other services. The Materials and oral briefing (collectively the “Information”) contain information which is confidential and proprietary to JPMC and may only be used by the Company for the purpose of evaluating the products and services described in the Information and may not be copied, published, disclosed or used, in whole or in part, for any other purpose other than as expressly authorized by a JPMC entity. In preparing the Information, JPMC has relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of information available from public sources or provided to it by or on behalf of the Company. JPMC does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of that information. JPMC’s opinions and estimates contained herein reflect prevailing conditions and our views as of this date, which are accordingly subject to change, and should be regarded as indicative, preliminary and for illustrative purposes only. Our analyses are not and do not purport to be appraisals of the assets, stock, or business of the Company or any other entity. The Information is not intended and shall not be deemed to constitute or contain advice on legal, tax, investment, accounting, regulatory, technology or other matters on which the Company may rely, and the Company should consult with its own financial, legal, tax, accounting, compliance, treasury, technology, information system or similar advisors prior to entering into any agreement for JPMC products or services. The Company is responsible for its own independent assessment as to the cost, benefit, suitability and appropriateness of any products or services it obtains from JPMC. JPMC makes no representations as to the actual value which may be received in connection with any JPMC product or service or the legal, tax, or accounting implications of consummating any transaction contemplated by the Information. The Information contained herein is intended as general market and/or economic commentary, does not constitute and should not be treated as J.P. Morgan research. The Information may differ from that contained in J.P. Morgan research reports. The Information is not intended as nor shall it be deemed to constitute advice or a recommendation regarding the issuance of municipal securities or the use of any municipal financial products. JPMC is not providing any such advice or acting as the Company’s agent, fiduciary or advisor, including, without limitation, as a Municipal Advisor under Section 15B of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. The Information does not purport to set forth all applicable terms or issues and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial product or service or a commitment by JPMC as to the availability of any such product or service at any time. JPMC products and services are subject to applicable laws, regulations, service terms and policies of JPMC. Not all products and services are available in all geographic areas or to all customers. Eligibility for particular products and services is subject to satisfaction of applicable legal, tax, risk, credit and other due diligence, JPMC’s “know your customer,” anti-money laundering, anti-terrorism and other policies and procedures. Products and services may be provided by commercial bank affiliates, securities affiliates or other JPMC affiliates or entities. In particular, securities brokerage services other than those which can be provided by commercial bank affiliates under applicable law will be provided by registered broker/dealer affiliates such as J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Institutional Investments Inc. or by such other affiliates as may be appropriate to provide such services under applicable law. Such securities are not deposits or other obligations of any such commercial bank, are not guaranteed by any such commercial bank and are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. All trademarks, trade names and service marks appearing in the Information are the property of their respective registered owners. © 2016 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.
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JPMorgan Overview 1
Debt Market Update 3
M&A Activity 15
Oil Market Outlook 18
Commodity Hedging
M&A and A&D Advisory
Interest Rate Risk Management/ Foreign Exchange
Corporate Trust/ Retirement Plan
Services
Leasing
Equity Capital Markets
Syndicated Finance/ Borrowing Base Lending
Cash Management
Debt Capital Markets
Debt Private Placements
Significant client coverage and capital deployed to the energy sector
One of the largest credit underwriting and engineering teams
Extensive expertise in North American reserves
Research, Lending, Equity, and Debt Underwriting – all energy focused
Diverse client base enables JPM to distribute industry-leading research
#1 Overall Cash Management Provider (2011-15)
J.P. Morgan’s extensive North American coverage model supporting the energy sector J
PM
OR
GA
N O
VE
RV
IEW
Global financial institution uniquely positioned to assist O&G clients
Extensive relationships with corporations, governments and other investors
#2 bookrunner in global and U.S. equity for last 7 years
#1 in U.S. E&P equity and equity-linked league table 2006 – YTD 2016
#1 in global high yield bonds nine years in a row: 2005 – 2015
#1 in E&P sector for high yield bonds each year from 2006 – 2015
#1 in syndicated loans for 23 years
#1 in high grade bonds: 2014 – YTD 2016
Industry leader in commodity derivatives
Investment Banking
Corporate Banking
Source: Dealogic
Oil & Gas
1
J.P. Morgan remains a financing leader in the E&P industry J
PM
OR
GA
N O
VE
RV
IEW
U.S. oil & gas high yield bookrunner: 2016YTD ($ millions)1
Range of reserve-based facility sizes ($ in millions)2
[2] J.P. Morgan as of 12/1/16 [1] J.P. Morgan as of 12/12/16, Equal split for bookrunners
24
20
14 12 4 9
13
23 16
11 12
57
37 28
15 21
< $100 $100 - $249 $250 - $499 $500 - $999 > $1,000
Sole Lender Admin Agent Non-Admin Agent
10.2%
8.0% 7.6%
7.0% 6.8% 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% 5.8%
4.4%
JPM MS CSFB Citi DB BAS RBC WFC GS Mitsubishi
Total market: $25,275mm
8 3 7 3 3 6 1 3 2 0
Number of Lead-Left Deals
2
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Debt Market Update 3
JPMorgan Overview 1
M&A Activity 15
Oil Market Outlook 18
U.S. high yield energy trading performance (2015 – 2016 YTD) D
EB
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Selected U.S. high yield energy indices (YTW%)
Source: Morgan Markets
11.68%
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
4.0%
10.0%
16.0%
22.0%
28.0%
34.0%
40.0%
46.0%
52.0%
Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16
WTI US HY US HY Energy US BB's Energy US B's Energy US CCC's Energy
$51.49
6.57% 6.63%
5.77% 4.72%
3
Energy, BB, B, and CCC rated bonds’ YTD performance D
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Selected global high yield energy indices (YTW%) Selected high yield BB , B and CCC indices (YTW%)
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16
WTI JPM HY Energy Services
JPM HY E&P Index JPM HY Midstream Index
JPM HY Energy
Source: Morgan Markets
$51.49
6.87%
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16
WTI JPM HY BB JPM HY B JPM HY CCC
$51.49
6.43%
4.79%
5.11%
13.04%
11.84%
7.08%
4
Global HY energy trading levels – an unexpected rebound D
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$5.3
$200.0
$14.6 $24.2
$28.0
$23.2 $15.8 $13.4
$16.8 $10.6
$30.3 $17.9
2.6% 9.9%
22.1%
36.1% 47.6%
55.5% 62.2%
70.6% 75.9%
91.0% 100.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
020406080
100120140160180200220
$100+ $90-99 $80-89 $70-79 $60-69 $50-59 $40-49 $30-39 $20-29 $10-19 $0-9 Total
% o
f tot
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l ($B
n)
> 75% of bonds trading lower than $80
February 11, 2016
December 12, 2016
2.6% 7.3% 12.1% 14.0% 11.6% 7.9% 6.7% 8.4% 5.3% 15.1% 9.0% 100% Bond price range % of bonds in range
Note: J.P. Morgan HY Energy index includes E&P HY Index, Midstream HY Index, Energy Services HY Index, Propane HY Index, and Refining HY Index
$106.5
$219.2
$53.0 $16.0
$4.6 $5.5 $5.1 $9.5 $4.2 $3.0 $1.9 $9.9
48.6%
72.8% 80.1% 82.2% 84.7% 87.0% 91.3% 93.2% 94.6% 95.5% 100.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
020406080
100120140160180200220240
$100+ $90-99 $80-89 $70-79 $60-69 $50-59 $40-49 $30-39 $20-29 $10-19 $0-9 Total
% o
f tot
al
Not
iona
l ($B
n)
> 82% of bonds trading higher than $80
Bond price range % of bonds in range 48.6% 24.2% 7.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 4.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.9% 4.5% 100.0%
5
Strong correlation between oil and energy bank stock prices D
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Source: FactSet, SNL Financial; Market data as of 12/8/16 Note: Energy banks include all banks with funded energy commitments >1% of gross loans during at least one quarter since December 31, 2015, namely, ASB, BAC, BBT, BOKF, C, CFR, CIT, CMA, FFIN,
FIBK, FITB, FNBC, GNBC, HBCP, HBHC, HTH, IBKC, IBTX, JPM, KEY, LTXB, MSL, NBHC, PB, PNC, RF, SBSI, STI, TCBI, TRMK, WFC and ZION
(50%)
(25%)
0%
25%
50%
Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16
WTI Crude Oil
Energy Banks
KBW Nasdaq Bank Index
21.5%
Equities performance since December 2015
21.4%
29.0%
Pre-oil concerns 12/1/15 Median P/2016E 12.9x Median P/TBV 1.56x WTI Crude $41.85 / bbl
Oil bottom 2/11/16 Median P/2016E 10.0x Median P/TBV 1.10x WTI Crude $26.21 / bbl
Current 12/8/16 Median P/2017E 17.6x Median P/TBV 1.86x WTI Crude $50.84 / bbl
6
Bank energy portfolios stabilizing since Q1 2016 D
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Source: SNL Financial, FactSet, Company disclosures; Financial data as of September 30, 2016 Note: Energy banks include all banks with funded energy commitments >1% of gross loans during at least one quarter since December 31, 2015, namely, ASB, BAC, BBT, BOKF, C, CFR, CIT, CMA, FFIN, FIBK, FITB, FNBC, GNBC, HBCP, HBHC, HTH, IBKC, IBTX, JPM, KEY, LTXB, MSL, NBHC, PB, PNC, RF, SBSI, STI, TCBI, TRMK, WFC and ZION
Aggregate energy outstandings ($bn) and energy reserves (%) over time, by asset class
$72.5 $78.6 $77.1
$73.0
$19.9 $20.5 $18.8 $17.7
$9.8 $9.7 $9.1 $8.4
$1.8 $1.7 $1.6 $1.5
2015Q4 2016Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3
>$1tn $50bn-$1tn $10bn-$50bn <$10bn
5.2% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 4.7%
7.1% 7.4% 7.4%
3.5% 4.8% 4.8% 5.1%
5.0% 6.6% 6.7%
5.3%
Aggregate exposure ($bn)
$240 $249 $242 $236
$104 $111 $107 $101
$136 $139 $136 $135
Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16
Funded Unfunded
4.5%
5.8% 6.0% 5.6%
Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16
Median energy reserves (%)
Reserve ratio
7
High yield defaults & distressed exchanges by industry
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Summary1
OFS Bankruptcies
109 OFS bankruptcies since 2015 2015: 39 YTD 2016: 70
105 E&P bankruptcies since 2015 2015: 44 YTD 2016: 61
E&P Bankruptcies
Sources: Haynes & Boone Bankruptcy Tracker as of 10/25/16; Morgan Markets as of 12/6/16
2015 default and distressed exchanges by industry 2016 default and distressed exchanges by industry
Industry IndustryAutomotive 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Automotive 400 0.6% 1 1.2%Chemicals 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Chemicals 448 0.7% 1 1.2%Consumer 968 2.0% 3 5.1% Consumer 331 0.5% 1 1.2%Diversified 3,249 6.8% 4 6.8% Diversified 383 0.6% 2 2.3%Energy 23,235 48.7% 33 55.9% Energy 45,907 69.4% 52 60.5%Financial 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Financial 1,793 2.7% 4 4.7%Food and Beverages 211 0.4% 1 1.7% Food 144 0.2% 1 1.2%Gaming Lodging 150 0.3% 1 1.7% Gaming 295 0.4% 1 1.2%Healthcare 2,105 4.4% 2 3.4% Healthcare 361 0.5% 1 1.2%Housing 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Housing 0 0.0% 0 0.0%Industrials 250 0.5% 1 1.7% Industrials 355 0.5% 1 1.2%Metals and Mining 2,101 4.4% 3 5.1% Metals and Mining 8,675 13.1% 7 8.1%Metals and Mining (Coal) 12,241 25.6% 6 10.2% Paper & Packaging 2,712 4.1% 2 2.3%Paper and Packaging 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Retail 1,620 2.4% 6 7.0%Retail 575 1.2% 1 1.7% Services 1,000 1.5% 2 2.3%Services 2,500 5.2% 3 5.1% Technology 767 1.2% 1 1.2%Technology 140 0.3% 1 1.7% Telecommunications 141 0.2% 1 1.2%Telecommunications 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Transportation 225 0.3% 1 1.2%Transportation 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Utility 594 0.9% 1 1.2%Utility 0 0.0% 0 0.0%Total 47,725 59 Total 66,150 86
No. of actionsNo. of actionsAmt affected ($mn) Amt affected ($mn)
8
Oil & gas restructuring processes continue on… D
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General takeaways
E&P
Midstream
Oilfield Services
“Minimal losses of principal expected”
“Limited restructurings; Uncertainty about MLP structures”
“Rough road ahead; Jury still out”
9
2016 – Balancing act for large energy banks
Distressed Credits Well Capitalized Existing Credits New Transactions
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Chapter 11 filings / restructurings
Distressed debt exchanges
Revised OCC guidance
Bank loan loss reserves
Post-restructuring credit facilities
Decisively raised capital when available
Non-core asset sales
Generally operating in more attractive basins
Evaluating opportunistic acquisitions
Driven by private equity-backed E&Ps
Conservative capital structures
Free cash flow positive drilling plan
Significant upfront, multi-year hedging
Moderate transaction sizes executed to date
Improving bank market capacity for larger transactions if well structured
10
Seasonal changes in Borrowing Bases… D
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Spring 2016 Significant stress hits balances sheets (loan losses spike)
Lending price decks revised downward for new reality
Most banks in pause or ‘reduce exposure’ mode
Confusion over revised OCC guidelines
Borrowing base significantly affected – 63% decreased – 23% reaffirmed – 14% increased
Fall 2016 New private equity-backed deals
OCC clarity
Moderate increase in lender appetite
Hedging activity picks up
Improved market for borrowing base redeterminations – 44% reaffirmed – 28% increased – 28% decreased
Spring 2016 Structural amendments
Higher pricing
Hedge protection rolling off
Fall 2016 Borrowing base redeterminations stabilize
Assets are trading – increased M&A
Significant acquisition hedging
Institutional investor appetite rebounds
Lenders
Borrowers
11
Recently revised OCC Oil & Gas Handbook potential impact to borrowers
Following the 2015 annual review by the Shared National Credit Program (“SNC”), the Agencies (FDIC & OCC) reported a high level of credit risk and increased weakness in oil & gas loans: “Aggressive acquisition and exploration strategies from 2010 through 2014 led to increases in
leverage, making many borrowers more susceptible to a protracted decline in commodity prices. …Classified commitments - a credit rated as substandard, doubtful, or loss - among oil and gas borrowers totaled $34.2 billion, or 15 percent, of total classified commitments, compared with $6.9 billion, or 3.6 percent, in 2014.”
New assessment ratings standards include the analysis of: The borrower’s ability to repay secured debt with considerations for total debt repayment within
Reserve Life Total funded debt / EBITDAX leverage ratios Total funded debt / capital Total committed debt / total proved future net revenue (unrisked and undiscounted; current NYMEX
prices)
“Because the new guidelines represent a course change for evaluating energy banks’ portfolios, the impact of the new guidelines could be more like a tsunami than a ripple.” – Haynes & Boone LLC
E&P companies have experienced more difficulty obtaining bank financing or amendments, waivers, or extensions
Loans with lower credit ratings increase the loss reserves banks must set aside, increasing the costs to carry an adversely rated loan on its books
At a time when producers are in need of flexibility from their lenders, possible solutions are more limited
“The tougher standards will require greater scrutiny and analysis by bankers and their credit officers” – Haynes & Boone LLC
2015 SNC Annual Review Summary
Sources: OCC Handbook March 2016 & Haynes & Boone LLC’s “New OCC Oil and Gas Loan Review Guidelines” published March 28, 2016
OCC Credit Assessment Standards
Industry Impact
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Effect on oil & gas borrowers from new guidelines
Regulatory focus on leveraged loans increases banks’ loan loss reserves
Limited appetite for additional exposure
Banks re-rating portfolios given regulatory guidance and commodity prices
Focus on structures and free cash flow
Risk appetite for commodity hedging exposure impacted
Focus shifts from collateral coverage to free cash flow
Emphasis on maintenance “replacement” CAPEX Lower maintenance capital results in more liquidity for CAPEX to hold or grow production, or to repay
debt, etc.
Given the banks’ requirement to hold more capital, energy companies have experienced the following: Increasing borrowing costs Tightened credit structures Stricter hedging requirements
Capital
Appetite
Bank
Flexibility
Credit Metrics
Costs
“Regulatory pressure could force [banks] to tighten the purse strings [on energy companies]” - WSJ
“The effects… can cascade through companies' capital structures and require them to look elsewhere for [capital]” – WSJ
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2014 - 2018 Natural Gas and Crude Hedge Ratios – Mean and Median
Snapshot of E&P hedging position by market capitalization as of 3Q16
42%
61%
49%
23%
42%
51%
4%
15%20%
66%60%
28%
44%52%
26%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap
2014 Realized 2015 Realized 2016 Hedges
2017 Hedges 2018 Hedges
Natural Gas – Mean Hedge Percentages by Year
Summary
Source: Company reports and J.P. Morgan estimates as published by J.P. Morgan North America Equity Research OR as estimated by J.P.Morgan Global Commodities Group when research model is unavailable; Companies with less than 5% oil or gas production are not included in calculated median for respective commodity.
53%
72%65%
16%
43%
3% 6% 6%
72% 71%
29%
66% 68%
30%
42%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap
2014 Realized 2015 Realized 2016 Hedges
2017 Hedges 2018 Hedges
Crude – Mean Hedge Percentages by Year
% Gas Hedged
% Oil Hedged
% Gas Hedged
% Oil Hedged
% Gas Hedged
% Oil Hedged
% Gas Hedged
% Oil Hedged
% Gas Hedged
% Oil Hedged
Large Cap Median 34% 65% 25% 22% 20% 26% 26% 9% 1% 0%
Large Cap Mean 42% 53% 28% 29% 26% 30% 23% 16% 4% 3%
Mid Cap Median 76% 81% 50% 68% 51% 65% 49% 49% 4% 0%
Mid Cap Mean 61% 72% 49% 65% 44% 66% 42% 42% 15% 6%
Small Cap Median 71% 79% 68% 75% 52% 70% 51% 40% 0% 0%
Small Cap Mean 66% 72% 60% 71% 52% 68% 51% 43% 20% 6%
201820172014 Realized 2015 Realized 2016
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M&A Activity 15
Debt Market Update 3
JPMorgan Overview 1
Oil Market Outlook 18
2015: U.S. upstream M&A market led by Permian and SCOOP / STACK… M
&A
AC
TIV
ITY
Number of transactions in 2015 (>$50mm)
56
38
28
26
18
16 16
14
6
6
16
7 6 6
5 4
3 4
3 2
2
2 3
1
1 1
1
1
1
1
1
19
10 9
7 7
5 5 4
3 2
0
5
10
15
20
25
Permian MidCon Rockies Appalachia Diversified ETX/Haynesville Bakken Eagle Ford GOM Other
0$-$500mm
$500mm-$1bn
$1bn-$1.5bn
>$1.5bn
Total transaction value ($bn) $7,780 $4,718 $3,154 $1,957 $5,533 $1,852 $2,614 $436 $598 $318
12
4
1
1 1
13
6
Midland Delaware$3,671 $4,109
Basin: Tot. V.:
Source: IHS Herold, PLS as of 11/28/16
2 1 1
2 1
1
1 1
3
2 2 2
1
W. Anadarko SCOOP STACK Arkoma Hunton/Miss
$1,040 $1,021
Play:
Tot. V.: $1,982 $604 $72
15
2016 YTD: Permian dominance accelerates M
&A
AC
TIV
ITY
Number of transactions 2016 YTD (>$50mm)
56 38
28
26
18 16
16
14
6
6
18 18
3
11
3 2
5
9
1 3
4
1
3
1
1
1
1 1
1
7
1
1
1
29
19
6
13
3
5 6
10
2
4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Permian MidCon Rockies Appalachia Diversified ETX/Haynesville Bakken Eagle Ford GOM Other
0$-$500mm
$500mm-$1bn
$1bn-$1.5bn
>$1.5bn
Total transaction value ($bn) $21,377 $4,174 $2,113 $5,003 $678 $6,198 $1,321 $3,157 $2,425 $1,642
9 9
1 3 2
5 12
17
Midland Delaware$7,026 $14,351
Basin: Tot. V.:
Source: IHS Herold, PLS as of 11/28/16
4 6 6
2
1 4
6
2
W. Anadarko SCOOP STACK Arkoma Hunton/Miss
7
$1,013 $1,106
Play:
Tot. V.: $1,785 $0 $270
16
Permian continues to dominate the equity market, but other basins are gaining traction M
&A
AC
TIV
ITY
3.0
0.1
1.9
3.6
1.2
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.6
1.7
2.5
0.9 0.2
4.5
3.5
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.4 0.4
0.2
0.8
2.2
0.9
1.4
0.6
2.5
3.0
5.4
1.1
$10.9
$3.5
$2.3
$0.8
$10.6
$7.2
$10.6
$2.5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Appalachia Bakken Diversified DJ Mid-Con SCOOP/Stack Permian
E&P equity/equity-linked capital raised ($bn) E&P equity/equity-linked offerings 2016YTD
Source: Dealogic, Factset as at 11/22/16. Note: excludes MLP issuance
2015 2016
% Permian % Permian
20% 25% 61% 71% 23% 42% 51% 42%
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Oil Market Outlook 18
Debt Market Update 3
M&A Activity 15
JPMorgan Overview 1
Tighter markets ahead! Price outlook supported by OPEC deal. End-’16 Brent at $54/bbl, end-’17 at $60/bbl. WTI end’17 at $58/bbl
OIL
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OPEC fails to agree terms for its production initiative, Competition for market share resumes
Macroeconomic growth shock results in much weaker demand growth
US shale producers have reduced costs/improved well productivity to compete in a $40/bbl world. Technology/ productivity improvements exceed our assumptions.
Uncompleted well inventory falls more rapidly than assumed, boosting US production
OPEC implements more aggressive production cuts. Addition of non-OPEC producers to production initiative adds to upside risks
Geopolitical instability increases in the key petroleum exporting countries
Steeper-than-expected decline in mature oil fields
Demand growth accelerates on lower prices pushing refinery margins higher
Source: ICE, NYMEX, Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan Commodities Research. Note: LT means long-term forecast. All Forecasts are period averages. Actual to date prices are as of November 30, 2016.
J.P. Morgan crude oil price forecast ($/bbl)
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 2016 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 2017
Brent - av erage 50.00 44.81 52.00 54.00 57.00 60.00 55.75
Brent - end of period 39.60 49.60 50.00 54.00 54.00 53.50 56.00 60.00 60.00 60.00
Brent Actual To Date 35.21 47.03 46.99 49.17 … … … … … …
WTI - av erage 48.00 43.05 50.00 52.00 55.00 58.00 53.75
WTI - end of period 38.34 48.33 49.00 54.00 54.00 51.50 54.00 58.00 58.00 58.00
WTI Actual To Date 33.63 45.64 44.94 47.83 … … … … …
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