71
'i 1111~lllllIlIlln~llm m #103188# by DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES ENGINEERING In partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Roll No: 040216013 (P) PARTHA PRATIM SAHA Master of Engineering in Water Resources Engineering BANGLADESH UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY, .~T-,~:f."'_. ~ ......•. __ - .... __ ... r_~ DHA:~. j ;> ;j ~-_ .. ~-~-- _. APRllr2007.----.~---.-. AN ASSESSMENT OF INSTREAM FLOW !REQUIREMENT OF GORAl RIVER CONSIDERING SALINITY i~kuSION AND FISH HABITAT

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'i

1111~lllllIlIlln~llmm#103188#

by

DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES ENGINEERING

In partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of

Roll No: 040216013(P)

PARTHA PRATIM SAHA

Master of Engineering in Water Resources Engineering

BANGLADESH UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY,.~T-,~:f."'_.~......•.__ - ....__...r_~DHA:~.

j;>;j ~-_ .. ~-~-- _.

APRllr2007.----.~---.-.

AN ASSESSMENT OF INSTREAM FLOW !REQUIREMENT OFGORAl RIVER CONSIDERING SALINITY i~kuSION AND FISH

HABITAT

BANGLADESH UNIVERSITY OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGYDEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES ENGINEERING

Member

Member

Chairman(Supervisor)

April 2007

(Dr. M Fazlul Bari)Professor and Head,Department of Water Resources Engineering,BUET, Dhaka

The project work titled An Assessment of Instream Flow Requirement of GoraiRiver Considering Salinity Intrusion and Fish Habitat submitted by ParthaPratim Saha, Roll No. 040216013 (P), Session April 2002, has been accepted assatisfactory in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master ofEngineering in Water Resources Engineering on 12th April 2007.

&--(Dr. A B M Faruquzzaman Bhuiyan)Associate Professor,Department of Water Resources Engineering,BUET, Dhaka

(Hossain Shahid Mozaddad Faruque)Director General,Bangladesh Water Development Board,Dhaka, Bangladesh

CANDIDATE'S DECLARATION

It is hereby declared that this project work or any part of it has not been submitted

elsewhere for the award of any degree or diploma.

Signature

(Partha Pratim Saha)

?

. ,

"

(

T

j

••

\..\\

Abstract

Flows in the Gorai river have been considerably altered since the commission of

Farakka Barrage on the Ganges river in 1975. Effects of this flow alteration on

livelihood, environment and ecology have been significant. Gorai is the main source

of fresh water flow in the southwest estuarine area. Since Gorai flow is important for

fishery, agriculture, mangrove forest and prevention of salinity intrusion, knowledge

of instream flow is necessary for undertaking adequate river restoration and

resuscitation work.

The objective of this study is to gam experience m investigating instream flow

requirement of Gorai river considering river problems and functional requirements,

quantifying the impact of changing flows and developing techniques for

recommending flow regimes for altcrnative uses. For investigation of salinity

intrusion the entire reach of Gorai from its headwaters at the Ganges upto the

downstream limit and the interconnected channels were co~sidered. For analyzing the

habitat requirement for dominant fish species using Physical Habitat Simulation

(PHABSlM) model, a reach -of about 26 km of the river was selected. One-

dimensional unsteady salinity intrusion in a tidal estuary was based on salt balance

equation while the tidal hydrodynamics was solved using a system of one-

dimensional unsteady flow continuity and momentum equations. Taking the salinity

, concentrations observed in the April-May 2002 period when the minimum discharge

was 6.7 m)/s considered as the base condition, salinity concentrations were simulated

for discharge values ranging from 100 m)/s to 250 m3/s to quantify the effect of

changing flows. It was found that discharge of about i00 m3/s and 160 m)Is,

respectively are required to keep salinity level upto Khulna station (about 247 km

downstream of Gorai river headwaters) within allowable limits for irrigation water

and source of drinking water supply. Furthermore a discharge of about 250 m3/s is

needed to maintain salinity level within allowable limits for the part of mangrove

forest influenced by Gorai river. On the other hand PHABSIM simulation for two

selected fish species, Ayeer (Aorichthy oar) and Bacha (Eutropiichthes vacha),

yielded flow requirements of about 256 and 597 m3/s respectively. This shows that

flow needed to provide habitat for the selected target fish species also suffices to

maintain salinity concentration within tolerable limits for the specified uses. Since

there is no alJ encompassing method that wilJ provide for alJ needs, it is appropriate to

apply alternative flow assessment methods considering prevailing problems and

functions of a river in order to be able to present results and alternative scenarios tothe decision makers.

v

...

Acknowledgement

I express my immense gratitude and profound respect to my thesis supervisor Dr. M.

Fazlul Bari, Professor, Department of Water Resources Engineering, BUET for his

invaluable guidance, constant encouragement and keen interest at every stage of this

study. I consider it as a great opportunity to have a share of some of his knowledge

and expertise and find myself to be proud of working with him.

I am also grateful to Dr. A. B. M. Faruquzzaman Bhuiyan, Associate Professor,

Department of Water Resources Engineering, BUET and Mr. H. S. Mozaddad

Faruque, Director General, BWDB for their valuable comments and suggestions forthis research.

I am very much thankful to Engr. Emaduddin Ahmed, Executive Director, IWM,

Dhaka for providing me the working facilities in IWM. I would like to express my

sincere thanks and deep gratitude to Mr. Sohel Masud, Associate Specialist, IWM for

his valuable suggestions and very sincere cooperation regarding my work.

Special thanks are attributed to Mr. A. B. M. Baki, Lecturer, Dept of WRE, BUET,

Mr. Md. Imranul Haque and Mr. M. Mukteruzzaman, Research Assistants of BUET-

DUT Linkage Project for their support and continuous encouragement during thework.

At last but not the least, I express my heartfelt gratitude to my parents, sisters and

brother for their continuous encouragement, which helped me to complete the study.

.4-

I,

Abstract iv

Acknow ledgcmen t vi

Ta ble of Contents vi i

List of Tables ix

ListofF~~ x

List of Abbreviations xi

1. Introduction I

1.1 Importance of the Study : 1

J.2 Study Area and Scope 2

1.3 Objectives of the Study : 3

2. Literatu re Review 5

2.1 Introduction 5

2.2 Instream Flow Methods 6

2.2. I Hydrological Methods 7

2.2.2 Hydraulic Rating Methods 9

2.2.4 Holistic Approach J3

2.2.5 Ecotope Method 14

2.3 Instream Flow Requirements from Salinity Consideration 15

2.4 Related studies in Bangladesh 16

2.4:1 Instream flow studies 16

2.4.2 Sal inity Related Studies.............................................................................. I 7

2.5 Choice of Instream Flow Methods 18

2.6 Important Definitions : 19

3. Methodology 20

3.1 Approach of the Study 20

3.2 Selection of Study Reach 20

3.3 Data Collection 21

3.4 Simul ation of Sal inily Intrusion 22

3.5 Fish Habitat Simulation 22 -

3.6 Comparative Analysis of the Instream Flow Requirements AsSessed by

Alternative Methods 23

4. Instream Flow Requirement Based on Salinity Consideration 24

4.1 Influence of Salinity intrusion on in-river Functions 24

4.2 Salinity Intrusion 24

4.3 Allowable Limits of Salinity 25

4.4 Mathematical Simulation of Salinity Concentration 25

4.4.1 Basic Modules of MIKE II 26

4.5 Simulation of Salinity Concentration in Southwest Estuary 28

4.5.1 Model Schematization 28

4.5.2 Model Calibration 33

4.6 Effect ofIncremental Changes of Flow on Salinity Intrusion 36

4.7 Results of Salinity Simulation 37

5. Comparison of Flow Requirements Based on Salinity and Fish Habitat.. 41

5.1 Introduction 41

5.2 Insteam Flow Assessment using PHABSIM Method 41

5.3 Results of PHABSIM Simulations 47

5.4 Comparative Analysis 49

5.5 Limitations of the Study : 50

6. Conclusions and Recommendations 52

6.1 Conclusions 52

6.2 Recommendations 53

References 54

Appendix A 57

Vlll

2.1

4.1

4.2

4.3

4.4

4.5

4.6

4.7

4.8

5.1

List of Tables

Percentage of mean annual flow required to achieve

different objectives based on the Tennant method

Classification of Saline water

List of boundaries used in Hydrodynamic module

List of boundaries used in the salinity module

Values ofM used in Hydrodynamic module

Values of Calibration parameters (Kmix• and D) in the

Salinity module

Options selected for simulation of salinity concentration

Simulated salinity concentrations for Option 1 and 2

Simulated salinity concentrations for Option 3 and 4

Flow (ml/s) for indicated species for various exceedence

probabilities of WUA in different seasons of the year at

Gorai river

8

25

31

3233

34

36

37

39

49

1.1

2.1

2.2

2.3

3.1

4.1

4.2

4.3

4.4

5.1

5.2

5.3

5.4

5.5

5.6

5.7

List of Figures

Gorai- Nabaganga-Atai -Rupsa- Kazibancha-Pussur riversystem.Relation between wetted perimeter, cross-section anddischargeWeighted Usable Area vs Discharge functions

Ecotope modeling framework in setting environmental flow

requirements

PHABSIM study reach of Gorai river

Southwest region location map

South west region showing study river network

Comparison of Simulated and Observed Salinity of Pussur

river at Mongla, Passakhali and Hiron point on indicated date

and time

The variation of maximum salinity for different options along

the Gorai-Nabaganga-Atai-Rupsa-Kazibancha-Pussur flVer

system

Conceptualization of PHABSIM procedure of developing

discharge versus habitat value

Matrix of habitat cell attributes in a PHABSIM study

Habitat suitability criteria attributes for a habitat cell, showing

multiplicative aggregation option

Ingredients for constructing habitat time series

Duration analysIs of habitat available under baseline

conditions, with-project and after mitigation of project

Weighted Usable Area vs Discharge functions for Ayeer and

Bacha fish

Mean monthly habitat for Ayeer and Bacha fish

4

10

12

15

21

29

30

35

38

43

4445

4647

48

48

10

AD

BUET

EPA

FAO

GRB

GRRP

-"", HD

HSC

IFR

lWM

MIKEll

PHABSIM

ppm

ppt

RRI

SWMC

WARPO

WUA

't-

List of Abbreviations

One Dimensional

Advection-Dispersion

Bangladesh University of Engineering and Thecnology

Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program

Food and Agricultural Organization

Gorai Railway Bridge

Gorai River Restoration Project

Hydrodynamic

Habitat Suitability Criteria

Instream Flow Requirement

Institute of Water Modelling

DHI's One Dimensional Modelling Software

Physical Habitat Simulation

Parts per Million

Parts per Thousand

River Research Institute

Surface Water Modelling Centre

Water Resources Planning Organization

Weighted Usable Area

Chapter 1

Introduction

1.1 Importance of the Study

River system plays an important role in the overall economy and lifestyle of

Bangladesh. However. the river flow is decreasing during the dry season due to

sedimentation, upstream withdrawal or diversions by constructing Barrages and Dams

and some other human interventions. The uses of river water specially through

diversion or storage have created significant impact on the natural flow regimes of the

affected rivers. These changes in flow regimes have in turn caused changes in the

dynamics of the aquatic system often with adverse impact on the ecological andenvironmental conditions in the rivers.

Many fivers 111 Bangladesh are subject to significant alterations due to human

activities, withdrawal by upper riparian country and natur~l causes, such as siltation.

It has been stated that out of about 230 large and medium rivers flowing through

Bangladesh, most of the rivers have deteriorated severely due to decreasing tributary

flows in the head reaches of catchments. These changes in the natural flow regimes in

turn are causing adverse changes in the ecological and environmental conditions of

rivers. Rivers are also experiencing significantly increased temporal variation in flows

leading to large fluctuation between monsoon and dry season flow rates and thus

causing aggravated floods and river erosion on the one hand and widespread siltation

and dry bed conditions on the other hand in many rivers in winter and dry season.

Knowledge of instream flow is necessary for undertaking any river restoration and

resuscitation task. Provision for instream flows is central to integrated water resourcesmanagement

Instream flows are the minimum amounts of water necessary to preserve a river and

safeguard in-river functions and values. Here the word 'river' includes not just the

river channel but the connected floodplains, wetlands and estuaries including aquatic

environment. Thus a comprehensive term 'instream flow' is often used to account for

all components of the river including natural flow variability, social and economic

'"'fill

issues, and ecological valucs. In addition to protection of ecology of a river. flows are

needed to protect basic human needs and rights of downstream users, navigation, to

prevent salinity intrusion and maintain channel diversity and flood carrying capacity.

The purpose of this research is to assess the instream flow requirement of Gorai river

in consideration of Salinity intrusion control and dominant Fish habitat requirement.

MIKE 11 Salinity model was used to determine the minimum amount of Gorai river

flow required for maintaining the salinity conditions within acceptable limits. Then

the flow requirement results were compared with habitat requirements obtained by

Bari and Marchand (2006) using PHABSIM approach to assess instream' flow

requirements from alternative functional needs.

1.2 Study Area and Scope

Bangladesh is the biggest delta formed by Ganges Meghna Bramhaputra (GMB)

basin. All the flows of this basin fall into Bay of Bengal through this country whereas

only 8% of the basin area lies in the territory of Bangladl')sh. Due to this huge flow

Bangladesh has to face a serious problem of flood almost every year. For this, the

water resource management of Bangladesh has so far mainly focused on flood

management and irrigation development without much attention to low flow

management. But reduction of flow during dry season in a number of rivers due to

upstream withdrawal and diversion causing a serious impact on the environment.

Instream flow assessment is necessary to quantifY water requirement for sustenance of

river to protect aquatic environment and safeguard subsistence use of river resources

by riparian people. The need for instrem flow requirement is explicitly recognized in

the National Water Policy (Ministry of Water Resources, 1999) and the National

Water Management Plan (WARPO, 2001).

For the present study the Gorai river is chosen for assessment of instream flow

requirement using two alternative approaches: (I) control of salinity intrusion and

(2) fish habitat requirement. The selection of the Gorai river is based on the changing

scenario of flow reduction resulting in increased salinity intrusion which has created

adverse impacts on the whole southwest region of the country. Gorai is the main

2 i

'>t'

source of freshwater in the southwest region. Gorai river is the major tributary of the

Ganges and falls into Bay of Bengal creating Gorai-Nabaganga-Atai-Rupsa-

Kazibancha-Pussur river system. The river started to receive less and less water in the

dry season due to upstream withdrawal at Farakka Barrage, which was commissioned

in 1975. Through progressive deterioration, the overall condition of the river

approaching the lower limit of its environmental state and ecosystem.

Results of such studies are expected to be useful for decision makers in undertaking

river restoration and resuscitation measures. Water Resources Planning Organization

and Bangladesh Water Development Board can use such information for the

allocation of water for different uses. Also results can be useful for Joint Rivers

Commission in negotiation on river water sharing with riparian countries.

1.3 Objectives of the Study

The main objective of this study was to understand the issue of environmental flow

requirements of Gorai river in terms of its functions an.d problems. The specific

objectives of the study were as follows:

I. To assess flow requirement to maintain salinity level within tolerable limits;

2. To make a comparative analysis of flow requirement for prevention of

salinity intrusion and fish habitat requirement assessed using Physical

Habitat Simulation (PHABSIM) method.

3

(

RiverHydrometric Stations

o Water Level

EI Wate~Level & Discharge

..... ":~,

60 Kilometersi

\

International BoundaryNLEGEND:

..............,~ti60 0

j

1:3,000,000

. ' .J'"'tf'~•••;,

'''',of

4

... - -...•....

"''->1''

Figure 1.1 Gorai-Nabaganga-Atai-Rupsa-Kazibancha_Pussur river system.

(Source: Institute a/Water Modelling)

--,(

Chapter 2

Literature Review

2.1 Introduction

To meet the ever-increasing human needs, the flows of the rivers are increasingly

being modified through storage, abstractions for agriculture and urban supply, and

structures for flood control. These interventions have had significantly impacts,

reducing the total flow of many rivers and affecting both the seasonality of flows and

the magnitude and frequency of floods. In many cases, these modifications had

adversely affected the ecological and hydrological regimes, which in turn have

increased the vulnerability of the people, especially the poor, who are the subsistence

users of the river resources. There is now an increasing recognition that modification

to river flows need to be balanced with maintenance of essential ecological functionsand values.

Deteriorating water dependant ecosystems not only threaten environmental values,

such as maintenance of biodiversity and protection of threatened species, but it

directly affects many economic sectors that rely on such ecosystems. In many parts of

the world, people depend on properly functioning rivers and estuaries for fish and

navigation; floodplain vegetation for grazing, fibre, and food; and wetlands for

sediment trapping and pollution removal. Biographical changes impact livelihood.

Incorporation of social data into flow assessment is necessary.

In developing regions such as Africa, south America and Asia, where large number of

poor people rely directly on rivers for subsistence, flow assessments should include

consideration of the social and economic implications of change in river flow. In

some cases these will be obvious, such as loss of a food fish or plant, deterioration of

the potable water, or filling in of a pool used for ceremonies. In others, the impacts

will be less obvious. Vitamins and minerals supplied by riparian plant may contribute

to the overall health of a community, or celiain levels of flow may dilute or aid

decomposition of wastes entering the river, so that the water can be drunk withoutincurring health risks.

During 1960s through 1990s water resources management in Bangladesh was focused

on flood management rather than low flow management. With increased concern for

environment, impacts of water resources developments on environment have come

under close scrutiny. Consequently explicit considerations of instream flow

requirement have now become mandatory in many countries. In Bangladesh water for

nature and instream uses are also explicitly recognized in the National Water Policy

(Ministry of Water Resources, 1999) and National Water Management Plan

(WARPO, 200 1). Although apparently there seems to be plenty of water in rivers of

Bangladesh over the annual cycle, river flows falls bellow critical limits in the dry

season. Typically rivers in this country are dynamic exhibiting high seasonal flow

variability and cause extensive inundation of flood plains in monsoon and severe low

flow conditions in the dry seasons. This phenomenon has further been exacerbated by

human interferences, such as deforestation and land use changes as well as

implementations and abstraction of water in the upper catchments by dams andbarrages.

2.2 Instream Flow Methods

A large number of methods have been developed to determine instream flow

requirement in the rivers. These are called instream flow methods because they deal

with flows 'in the stream'. There is no universally accepted method for all rivers.

Traditionally, some methods have been used to define a minimum flow, below which

no human influence should take place. However, currently attention has shifted from

methods that set one minimum flow towards. methods that consider the flow regime

with some degree of variability to maintain the natural morphology and ecosystem.

Attention has shifted because single minimum instream flows are commonly

inadequate to protect aquatic resources (Zappia and Hayes, 1998).

Since many different types of instream flow assessment methods are used in different

parts of the world, these methods can be classified in one or other way. Following the

classification schemes proposed by Jowett (1997), Gordon et al. (1992) and King et

6

"I. (2000), different approaches used worldwide for quantifying instream flows andcan be grouped into four main categories:

• Hydrological methods

• Hydraulic rating methods

o Habitat simulation methods

o Holistic approaches

Recently another approach of instream flow assessment has been developed, known

as the ecotope method, which enables integration of river and floodplain ecosystems

and their functions. The ecotope approach of assessing instream flow is based on the

premise that the environmental functions of a river are determined by the entire river

dynamics in time and heterogeneity in space (Poff el al., 1997; Richter el al., 1997;King el al., 2000)

2.2.1 Hydrological Methods

A hydrological method is based on historic flow records and uses a statistics to

specify a minimum flow. There are four types of hydrological methods:

• Mean annual flow method

• Constant Yield method

• Flow duration curve method

• Range of variability approach (RVA)

Mean annual flow method, also known as Tenant method, requires that MAF can be

calculated from an historic or synthetic flow records. A flow recommendation is

established by selecting the desired classification and multiplying MAF by the

corresponding percentage or percentage range. Table 2.1 shows Tennant's

recommendations for instream flow to support varying qualities of fish habitat based

on his observations of how to best mimic nature's hydrology (Stalnaker el al., 1995).

7

8

Table 2.1 Percentage of mean annual flow required to achieve different objectivesbased on the Tennant method

The Constant Yield Method (Loar and Sale, 1981) developed in the USA uses a

combination of the median flow and constant yield statistics to represent watershed

hydrology. For unregulated streams with a drainage area greater than 130 km2 and

historic flow records greater than 25 years with a :t 10% accuracy of gauge, the

median monthly flow serves as the datum for evaluating instream flow needs.

Percent of mean annual flowLow flow season

20060-] 004030201010<10

Habitat qualityFlushing or maximumOptimumOutstandingExcellentGoodFairPoorSevere degradation

The Flow Duration Curve (FDC) Method utilizes historical records to construct flow

duration curves for each month to provide cumulative probabilities of exceedance for

various flows. Based on at least 20 years of daily flow records, a flow

recommendation is made for each month. This method includes the provision to

eliminate abnormal events, after which the recommended flow for instream protection

may be set at the 90th percentile (flow equaled or exceeded 90% of the time) for

normal months and the 50th percentile during high flow months. Since the level of

protection is implicit in the magnitude of percentage, different exceedance

probabilities have been used in specifYing flow.

The range of variability approach (RVA), relatively a new methodology (Richter et al.

1996, 1997), is intended for flow target setting on rivers where protection of the

natural ecosystem is the primary objective. It examines the whole river flow regime

rather than pre-derived statistics. A fundamental principle is to maintain integrity,

natural seasonality and variability of flows, including floods and low flows. The

method identifies the important components of a natural flow regime for the river,

indexed by magnitude (of both high and low flows), timing (indexed by monthly

statistics), frequency (number of events) and duration (indexed by moving average

minima and maxima). It uses gauged or modeled discharges, and a set of 32 statistical

parametcrs based upon them (mean annual 7, 30, 60 day minima and maxima, etc.)

may be included. A range of variation of the statistics is then set, based on +/_1

standard deviation from the mean or between the 25'h and 75th percentile. It is

intended to define interim standards, which can then be monitored and revised

(Dunbar et al., 1998; Dayson, et al., 2003).

2.2.2 Hydraulic Rating Methods

Hydraulic rating methods relate various parameters of the hydraulic geometry of the

stream channels to discharge. These are stated to be a little more than basic standard-

setting techniques but not quite incrementa!. One of the most commonly used

hydraulic methods considers the variation in wetted perimeter with discharge. The

wetted perimeter-discharge relationships as shown in Figure 2.1 are constructed from

measuring the length of the wetted perimeter at different'discharges in the river of

interest. The method is based on the assumption that fish rearing is related to food

production, which in turn is related to how much of the river bed is wet. It uses

relationships between wetted perimeter and discharge, depth and velocity to set

minimum discharges for fish food production and rearing (including spawning). The

wetted perimeter technique selects the narrowest wetted bottom of the stream cross-

section that is estimated to protect the minimum habitat needs. The relation of wetted

perimeter to cross-section is shown in Figure 2.1. The analyst selects an area assumed

to be critical for the stream's functioning (typically a riffle). When a riffle is used in

the analysis, the assumption is that minimum flow satisfies the needs for food

production, fish passage and spawning. Once this level of flow is estimated, other

habitat areas, such as pools and runs are also assumed to be satisfactorily protected.

The usual procedure is to choose the break or 'point of diminishing returns' in the

stream's wetted perimeter versus discharge relation as a surrogate for minimally

accepted habitat. This inflection point represents that flow above which the rates of

wetted perimeter gains begin to slow. Because the shape of the channel can influence

9

10

.<

Bank TOll

Ilruk [Hllnu In ~l(lpc

Dischuge

Wetted Perimeter Discharge relationshipTypical river cross-section

Figure 2.1 Relation between wetted perimeter, cross:section and discharge(Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)

It is relatively a quick and cost-effective method and useful as a planning tool at

catchment scale or greater. Because it is widely used in the United States, there is a

great deal of expertise and experience to draw upon.

2.2.3 Habitat Simulation Method

W.ler level, cllrresp"ndlUJ::10bruk pollll~

the results of the analysis, this technique is usually applied to streams with cross-

sections that are wide, shallow and relatively rectangular.

Habitat simulation methods are the most advanced and an extension of hydraulic

methods. Their great strength is that they quantifY the loss and/or gain of habitat

caused by changes in flow regime, which helps the evaluation of alternative flow

proposals. The aim of habitat based methods is to maintain or even improve the

physical habitat for the biota or to avoid limitations of physical habitat. They require

detailed hydraulic data as well as knowledge of the ecosystem and the physical

requirement of stream biota. Within such methods, changes in physical microhabitat

with discharge are modeled using data on one or more hydraulic variables, most

commonly depth, velocity, substrate, cover and, more recently benthic shear stress

(Tharme, 1996). These data are collected at multiple cross sections within the study

reach. Simulated available habitat conditions are linked with information on suitable

and unsuitable microhabitat conditions for the target species. The final outputs,

usually in the form of habitat- discharge curves for the target biota, are used to predict

optimum discharges as instream flow recommendations.

Tharme (1996) and Dunbar et al (1998) provide an overview of some of the vast

number of habitat rating methods that in the past have been used and in some

instances, still are used to calculate instream flows. Commonly used habitat rating

methods are I) Usable Width method, 2) Weighted Usable Width method and 3)

lnstream Flow Incremental Methodology (IFIM).

Of the available habitat simulation methods, IFIM is considered to be the most

sophisticated and scientifically and legally defensible methodology available for

qualitatively assessing IFRs for rivers (Gore and Nestler, 1998). It is therefore the

most commonly used instream flow methodology worldwide, particularly in the USA

where it was developed (King and Thanne, J 994). The IFIM is an interdisciplinary

framework for the technical side of river flow management. It is termed a

methodology because the framework encompasses more. than one method. It IS

incremental because the procedure is to examine how stream characteristics change

incrementally with flow to determine acceptable levels to compare alternatives. The

evaluation of physical habitat (usually depth, velocity and substrate) is one of the

main components of IFIM, but the process of assessing the impact of varying flow

and determining an appropriate flow regime should be considered whether other

ecologically important characteristics change with flow.

IFIM comprises a set of analytical procedures and computer models, including its

main component, the Physical Habitat Simulation (PHABSIM) model. In its basic

form, PHABSIM comprises two sets of procedures, hydraulic simulation and habitat

simulation. The results of the simulation procedures are linked to produce an output of

Weighted Usable Area (WUA) versus discharge (Figure 2.2), showing losses or gains

in habitat, described by some combination of depth, velocity, substrate and cover, as a

function of discharge for the target species. Breakpoints on the WUA-discharge

curves are used to recommend instream flow.

Recently, several other habitat simulation models similar to and with many of the

same data requirements as the PHABSIM have emerged (Dunbar et aI 1998). The first

of these is the River Hydraulics and Habitat Simulation (RHYHABSIM) program

J I

Weighted Usable Area V5 Discharge

12

500035002000 2500 3000

Discharge (m'/s)

15001000500

Figure 2.2 Weighted Usable Area vs Discharge functions

(Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)

oo

500000

." 3500000

6'~ 3OOCXXlO

1!'0 2500000E=g 200000o

4500000

developed in New Zealand. It is essentially a simplified version of PHABSIM and

possesses a similar though somewhat reduced scope for application, has similar data

requirement and comprises the same kind of procedure. The Riverine Habitat

Simulation (RHABSIM) is a commercial version of PHABSIM, developed in the

USA by Thomas R. Payne & Associates. It includes the habitat time series program in

addition to other PHABSIM programs. The Computer Aided Simulation Model for

InstreamFlow Requirement (CASIMIR) in regulated streams is a habitat simulation

methodology that has been developed for assessment of instream flows under

condition of hydropower. The River System Simulator (RSS) is a habitat simulation

program system developed in Norway for specific application to rivers regulated by

hydropower schemes. The RSS provides for the integration of several established

hydrological, hydraulic and habitat simulation models, for spatially and temporally

dynamic habitat modeling. The French Evaluation of Habitat Method (EVHA) and

Canadian microhabitat modeling system HABIOSIM are other habitat simulation

methodologies bearing some resemblance ofPHABSIM.

400000o

Habitat simulation methodologies provide a means of assessing instream flows in

situations where competition between instream and offstream uses is likely to be

highly controversial (Estes and Osborn, 1986), or where the river system and some of

its components are of exceptional importance.

As habitat simulation methodologies are able to assess the impact of incremental

changes in flow, and typically have dynamic hydrological and habitat time series

components, they can be used to examine a variety of alternative instream flow

scenarios for several species. Moreover, as they are computer based, they are able to

efficiently process large amount of hydrological, hydraulic and biological data in a

standardized, flexible and interactive manner. In addition, the outputs are produced at

increasingly high degree of resolution, particularly as advances are made in the field

of multidimensional hydraulic modeling. Such modeling more accurately reflects the

hydraulic conditions that are experienced by the biota and by different types of rivers

Stewart (2000) applied two dimensional hydraulic modeling using RMA2 model to

map mesohabitat units, which were then correlated with adult fish abundance

estimated by electro fishing.

Modeling approaches like PHABSIM are sufficiently flexible to enable alternative

hydraulic variables to be incorporated in future, provided that they can be objectively

quantified and that the way their influence changes with increments in discharge can

be accurately modeled. The methodologies are also highly adaptable. For example,

IFIM has been modified for and applied in several new contexts in recent years, such

as instream flows for peaking hydropower and sediment flushing. Advances are being

made in linking the outputs from habitat simulation methodologies with current water

quality and temperature models in more structured and sophisticated ways.

2.2.4 Holistic Approach

Holistic approaches are essentially ways of organizing and using flow-related data

and knowledge. They often incorporate some of the methods described above,

particularly the expert panel methods. They are better described as methodologies,

which implies the linking of several distinct procedures or methods to produce an

13

output that none could have produced alone. The Holistic Method in Australia

(Arthington, 1995, cited in Dunbar el al., 1998) and the Building Block Methodology

(BBM) in South Africa (King el aI., 2000) were developed in collaboration and share

the same basic tenets and assumptions. Both require early identification of the future

desired condition of the river. An instream flow regime is then constructed on a

month by month basis, through separate consideration of different components of the

flow regime to achieve and maintain this condition. Each flow component is intended

to achieve a particular ecological, geomorphologic or water-quality objective.

The family of holistic approach and expert panel based methods has the common

feature that they use a team of experts to make judgments on the flow needs of

different aquatic biota. The composition of the panel will depend on the specific

environmental and social features of the river in question, but typically includes a

hydrologist, geomorphologist, aquatic botanist and fish biologist. In many cases, one

or more community representatives will join the panel. The collective experience of

the panel members is used in the absence of reliable, predictive flow-ecology models.

By putting these experts on a panel, rather than employing them independently, it is

expected that an integrated assessment of flow needs will emerge.

2.2.5 Ecotope Method

To evaluate the impacts of a changed flow regime on the production function an

approach is used in which the concept of the ecotope plays a key role. The concept of

Ecotope originates from landscape ecology and was introduced by Tansley (1939).

Ecotopes are land units that are determined by various aspects and processes

occurring in the landscape. These involve physical aspects such as erosion and

sedimentation, soil development and flooding, as well as vegetation structure and

faunal species including crop growth and fisheries related activities by human.

Applying the ecotope concept thus allows integration of the physical, ecological andlivelihood functions ofrivers.

Such a method seems useful in lowland rivers systems such as in Bangladesh where

the floodplain fonus an intricate part of the riverine ecosystem (Bari and Marchand,

14

15

Remote sensingImages

SRTM LaserAltimetry

ID-2DHydrodynamic

Model

Digital ElevationModel

Remote sensingImages

IRSB&W+IRS Color

Landuse Map

Ecotope Map(future

situation)

Hydrological Data

Fish & Crop yield /Habitat evaluation

Habitat andLandusc

Suitability Rules

Field SurveysVegetation /Crops/ Fish

(ground truthing)

Ecotope modeling framework in setting instream flow requirements

(Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)

Figure 2.3

2006). They presented the general procedure in thc ecotope approach for assessinginstream flow requirements as shown in Figure 2.3.

2.3 Instream Flow Requirements from Salinity Consideration

Increased salinities and vertical stratification of the water column and penetration of

the salt-wedge farther upstream are attributable to reduced inflows (Peirsoon, et aI,

2002). Salinity not only degrades the water quality to use it as a source of drinking

and irrigation water but also hampers the suitability of the aquatic environment. The

Ecotopc Classificationand Map

(present situation)

Present situation

Future situation

Remote sensingImages

IRS 13&W + RadarFlood

--y

US EPA recognises salinity as a common habitat indicator (abiotic condition

indicator) for use in estuaries. Salinity is well-defined and measurable, and has

ecological significance encompassing a number of estuarine properties and processes(Jassby et aI, 1995).

Corbett (2000) noted the use of an indicator species (Vallisneria americana) to

detcrmine the overall health of the Caloosahatchee River estuary in Florida. The

species was found to be especially sensitive to salinity and its growth steadily declines

with increasing salinity until approximately 8-9 ppt. It will survive in waters with 11-

13 ppt, but its density declines when salinity is over 10ppt. It was determined that

fresh water flows between 400-600 cubic feet per second from upstream keep the

salinity near healthy levels for this species of sea grass at a designated point.

2.4 Related studies in Bangladesh

Research and studies on instream flow is relatively new in Bangladesh and a few

studies have been conducted in recent years. Salinity intrusion is a major problem for

the south west region of the country. Related studies are reviewed in this section.

2.4.1 lnstream flow studies

Assessment of instream flow requirement of the Ganges river based on hydrologic

approach (Rahman, 1998) was the first application of instream flow methods in

Bangladesh. The study shows that the minimum instream flow requirement of the

Ganges is about 1154 mJ Is whereas the observed minimum flow of Ganges ranged

between 221 and 889 mJ/s. The minimum flow during the pre-Farakka was 1190 m3/s

which is found to be very close to the calculated instream flow requirement. Based on

the results obtained, instream flow requirement was indicted to range from 1150 to

2000 mJIs in order to restore and sustain the natural environment of the Ganges.

Zobayer (2004) applied Physical Habitat Simulation (PHABSIM) method to

determine the instream flow requirement of Surma river for three selected fish species

Ghagot, Baghair and Bhaca. The study demonstrates the use of the weighted usable

16

'~.'

area versus discharge function for recommending month wise instream flowrequirements.

Bari and Marchand (2006) applied various methods of instream flow requirements in

Teesta, Surma-Kushiyara and Gorai river in a research undertaken within the

framework of the BUET-Delft University of Technology Linkage Project. They

applied hydrologic, physical habitat simulation and ecotope approach for assessing

instream flow requirements for the selected rivers.

2.4.2 Salinity Related Studies

Environmental degradation in the Sundarban due to deterioration of water eco-

systems was studied under Sundarban Biodiversity Conservation Project (IWM,

2003). The Sundarban Reserve Forest is a complex ecosystem comprising the largest

diversified mangrove forest of the world, located in the southwest region of

Bangladesh. The area in general comprises a coastal flood plain criss-crossed by

numerous rivers, creeks and depressions. The study indicated that the biodiversity has

been affected by the adverse effects of salinity, pollution and siltation in the water and

soil. These adverse situations were said to be due to the insufficient freshwater inflow

to the region, long term effect of global warming and sea level rise. MIKE 11 model

was used for assessing the amount of fresh water inflow required to maintain the

salinity level within tolerable limit in the Sundarban.

Various options for protecting the Ganges Dependant Area from environmental

degradation were studied in the National Water Management Plan (Halcrow and Mott

MacDonald, 2001). The objective of the study was to test the impact of increasing

flow in Gorai, Mathabhanga and other spill channel on the Ganges dependent area

including the Sundarban through implementation of the Ganges Barrage.

In an effort to restore Gorai river by dredging the river mouth to increase inflow from

the Ganges, the Gorai River Restoration Project was taken and pilot scale dredging

was done during 1998-2001 (BWDB, 2000). The overall objective project was to

prevent environmental degradation in the southwest region, specially around Khulna,

17

the coastal belt and in the Sundarban by augmenting Gorai flow and thereby

increasing fresh water flow in the southwest region.

River Research Tnstitute and SWMC (1995) jointly studied to develop the Hydraulic

model for integrated Resource development of the Sundarban reserve Forest. Tn that

study they tried to develop a methodology to provide a qualitative assessment of the

hydraulic parameters like tidal range, ideal circulation and salinity distribution in the

river. The study also tested few options like the impact of Gorai river discharge and

sea level rise inside Sundarban Reserve Forest.

2.5 Choice of Instream Flow Methods

ln choosing an appropriate method for assessing instream flow, understanding of

several factors is required. The purpose of a flow assessment and the intended use of

the results should guide the selection of the assessment method. Project-specific flow

assessments for large or controversial projects, which are likely to call for

considerable negotiation and tradeoffs between environment and development issues,

require a more comprehensive approach than do flow assessments for coarse-scale

planning studies, where a single number might suffice.

Dunbar el al. (1998) observed that given the wide variety of river types and sizes in

existence, it is unlikely that one method could be appropriate in all cases. Since there

is no single all encompassing method, a range of approaches should be appropriate.

They cited Saccardo et al. (1994) who undertook a pilot TFTM/PHABSTMstudy on the

Arzino river and compared with a suite of standard-setting methods, based on daily

and annual mean flows, and flow percentiles.

Since no one method will provide for all needs and required flow assessment should

be reevaluated with changing demands and management strategies, a range of

approaches requiring different levels of expertise and amount of data should beappropriate.

18

~.

2.6 Important Definitions

Definitions of some important terms regarding this study are summarized In thissection.

Instream Flow Requirement (IFR): Instream flow or environmental flow requirements

are defined as those flows that are essential within a stream to maintain its natural

resources and dynamics at desired or specified level.

Salinity intrusion: Salinity intrusion is defined as the introduction, accumulation or

formation of saline water in a water of lesser salinity.

Habitat: A river or a stream which is the living place for many different types of

living organisms is known as habitat.

Weighted Usable Area (WUA): Weighted usable area is expressed as square meter of

habitat area estimated to be available per 1000 linear meter of stream reach at a givenflow.

Substrate preference: Substrate is the bed material of a river or stream. So substrate

preference is the suitability of the bed material for a specific species.

Habitat Suitability Criteria (HSC): The HSC are used to describe the adequacy of

various combinations of depth, velocity and channel index conditions in each habitat

computational cell to produce an estimate of the quantity of habitat in terms of surfacearea.

19

Chapter 3

Methodology

3.1 Approach of the Study

Two different Methods were involved in this study to assess the instream flow

requirement of Gorai river. Firstly the one dimensional salinity simulation was

performed considering salinity intrusion for assessing the flow requirement of Gorai

river to keep the salinity within allowable limits for Irigation and household use of

water and to support Sundari tree growth in Sundarban. Secondly the flow

requirement in Gorai river assessed by Bari and Marchand (2006) using PHABSIM

considering two dominant fish habitat, Ayeer and Bacha, was compared with thatassessed from salinity considertations.

The steps of the methodology of this research may be stated as follows:

3.2 Selection of Study Reach

For investigation of salinity intrusion, the entire reach of Gorai river from its

headwaters at the Ganges river upto its downstream limit including the interconnected

river system leading to the Bay of Bengal was considered. For application of

PHABSIM model, about a 26 km reach of Gorai river from just upstream of Gorai

Railway Bridge towards downstream direction was considered (Figure 3. I). Results of

PHABSIM method are available in Bari and Merchand (2006) which was used for

comparison in the present study.

3.3 Data Collection

WJ I~'

Gorai RailwayBridge

21

N

A

Cross-section

''''I'.

"'J'"

2 024,~ .__ .- ----1 kill

Figure 3.1 PHABSIM study reach of Gorai river(Source: Sari and Marchand, 2006)

?:

~.

• For simulation of salinity intrusion, data required include discharge, water

level, cross-sections and salinity concentration at various locations. These data

were collected from BWDB and Institute of Water Modeling as appropriate.

• For PHABSIM modeling discharge, cross-section and depth, velocity and

substrate preference data for dominant fish species are required. These data are

reported in Bari and Marchand (2006).

3.4 Simulation of Salinity Intrusion

Salinity concentration was simulated at various points along the Gorai river from

Bardia to Hiron Point as well as at several locations on Sibsa, Kobadak, Pussur,

Harintana and different interconnected rivers and khals. This was done using the

Salinity module of MIKE II.

Initially a salinity model for Gorai river including the interconnected rivers in the

southwest region was developed by IWM using an MIKE II version 200 I. Later

updated versions of MIKE 11 were available in IWM but they did not recalibrate the

salinity model as there was no specific project for application.

For the purpose of present study this salinity model was recalibrated using MIKE 11

version 2005 and was used for assessment of flow requirement for keeping salinity

concentration within the tolerable limits at different locations for different uses of

water, such as for irrigation, source of drinking water supply, and mangrove forestrequirement.

3.5 Fish Habitat Simulation

Physical Habitat Simulation (PHABSIM) model, first presented by Bovee and

Milhous (1978), discussed by Bovee (1982) and Milhous et al. (1984), is designed to

calculate the amount of habitat available for different life stages of selected fish

species at different flow levels. Habitat is an encompassing ten11 used to describe the

physical surroundings of plants and animals. In the PHABSIM analysis hydraulic

model is used to determine the characteristics of stream in terms of depth and velocity

as a function of discharge for the full range of discharges to be considered. In habitat

modeling process this information is integrated with habitat suitability criteria, i.e.

depth, velocity and substrate preference of selected fish species, to produce a measure

of available physical habitat as function of discharge, known as weighted usable area

versus discharge (WUA-Q) function. This curve is then used to define a flow range or

minimum flow for selected fish species. Bari and Marchand (2006) assessed flow

requirement in Gorai river to support two selected fish species: Ayeer (Aorichthyst ..:"••

22

aor) and Bacha (Eutropiichthys vacha). These results were used for a comparative

analysis of instream flow requirements from alternative functional needs.

3.6 Comparative Analysis of the Instream Flow Requirements Assessed byAlternative Methods

Finally flow requirement of Gorai river assessed from consideration to limit salinity

intrusion and to support selected fish species was compared. Since there is no all

encompassing method that will provide for all needs, it is appropriate to apply

alternative flow assessment methods in order to be able to present alternative flowscenarios to decision makers.

,, .,• •

23

Chapter 4

Instream Flow Requirement Based on SalinityConsideration

4.1 Influence of Salinity intrusion on in-river Functions

Salinity of water restricts its use for irrigation and drinking. Fish habitat availability of

river also changes with salinity according the suitability of specific fish species. Thus

in-river functions not only depend on the quantity of flow but also on salinityconcentration of water.

Salinity is defined as the relative concentration of dissolved salt found in a sample of

water. The salts dissolved in such water, are usually dominated by the carbonates,

chlorides and sulphates of calcium, magnesium and sodium. Seawater has an average

salinity of about 35000 ppm or 35 kg/m3. Salinity is most commonly measured by

salinometer. Generally, the units of salinity are used ~s kglm\ppt), mg/I(ppm),

mmohs/cm, Ilmohs/cm etc., kg/m3 or mg/I indicates the concentration, whereas

mmohs/cm or Ilmohs/cm indicates the electrical conductivity of salinity. The

conductivity of salinity varies with temperature.

4.2 Salinity Intrusion

Salinity intrusion is defined as the introduction, accumulation or formation of saline

water in a water of lesser salinity. Salinity intrusion refers to surface water

contamination while salinity encroachment refers to the contamination of ground

water (Louisiana, 1993).

Mixing of salt and fresh water is directly dependent upon the density difference

between them. At a temperature of 20°C, seawater has a density of about 1025 kg/m3,

whereas freshwater has a density of 1000 kg/m3• Because of its lesser density,

freshwater tends to float on top of the seawater (stratification). Turbulence generated

by the movement of the water over the bed of estuary causes visual mixing, which

tends to breakdown any saline freshwater stratification. The faster the water

movement, the stronger the turbulence and greater the resultant mixing

4.3 Allowable Limits of Salinity

Allowable limit of salinity for growth of Sundari tree in the Sundarban has been stated

as 10-15 ppt (Halcrow-Mott Macdonald, 2001). Water salinity for different uses is

defined by FAa. The allowable limits of salinity as prescribed by FAa are given in

Table 4.1.

-"'\' .Table 4. 1 Classification of saline water..Water class Electrical Salt Type of water

conductivity at concentration

25T(flmohs/cm) (kg/m30r ppt)

Non saline <750 <0.50 Drinking and irrigation

water

Slightly saline 750-3000 0.50-1.50 Irrigation water

Moderately 3000-10000 1.50-7.00 Primary drainage watersaline and ground waterHighly saline 10000-25000 7.00-15.00 Secondary drainage water

~and ground water

Very highly 25000-45000 15.00-35.00 Very saline ground watersaline

Brine >45000 >35.00 Sea water

Source: Soil and Salinity Monitoring Report. 1990-97, SRD1

4.4 Mathematical Simulation of Salinity Concentration

,.,The purpose of this study is to investigate the salinity variation and quantify the

amount of freshwater flow required for keeping the salinity within tolerable range in

the study river system. One-dimensional, unsteady salinity intrusion process in a tidal

estuary is solved using a salt balance equation while the tidal hydrodynamics is solved

25

USIng a system of one dimensional, unsteady flow continuity and momentum

equation. Both tidal hydrodynamic equations and salt balance equations are solved

using implicit schemes of finite difference methods. The tidal hydrodynamics are

calibrated by varying Manning's roughness coefficient and the salt balance equation

is calibrated by varying dispersion coefficient until the model computed values

matches with the measured values of selected variables. Stage-discharge relationships

are used for calibration of hydrodynamic model and salt concentration for salinity

modelling.

For the present study MIKE 11 was used for necessary hydrodynamic and salinity

concentration simulation in Gorai and interconnected rivers in the southwestern

estuary upto Hiron point on Pus sur river.

4.4.1 Basic Modules of MIKE 11

The primary features of the modeling system are its integrated modular struetures and

shared databases for the topographic and time series data. Tne related modules are:

• Rainfall-runoff (NAM)

• Hydrodynamics (HD)

• Advection-dispersion (AD)

Hydrodynamic Module

The hydrodynamic module is the nucleus of the MIKE 11 modelling system and it

forms the basis for most modules, advection-dispersion (AD). MIKE II

hydrodynamic module solves the vertically integrated equations of conservation of

mass and momentum (the Saint-Venant equation).

Data Requirements -- The following data are required for setting up HD module:

• River and channel network

• River cross-sectional data

• Water level and discharge time series for boundaries.

• Time series for lateral inflows.

• Initial conditions (water levels and flows in the entire module area)

26

River network includes the information of

• Shape of the river and channel cross-section

• Length of each river /channel

• Description of the river and channel network, i.e., the location of junctions.

• Catchment areas and drainage.

Advection-Dispersion (AD) module

The module is based on one-dimensional equation of conservation of mass of a

dissolved or suspended material and uses the results of the hydrodynamic module.

MIKE 11 AD module applies two transport mechanisms, advective or convective

transport with the mean volume of flow and dispersive transport for concentration

gradient. The movement of salts in the module depends on flow velocities and the

amount of mixing, which occurs with water of differing salinity.

Data requirements -- The data required for the simulation of AD module are:

• Result file from the hydrodynamic (HD) module, which provides the

discharges and water levels.

• The module boundaries, i.e., water level and discharge boundaries of the

hydrodynamic module must be specified as either open or closed for salinity.

Usually downstream water level boundaries are open connection boundaries

whereas upstream discharge boundaries are closed.

• The initial condition of salinity module, the time series of salinity or

constant salinity concentration needs to be specified in open boundaries,

where salt can either enter or leave the module. In closed boundaries, it is

assumed that no net transport of salt occurs.

Calibration parameters -- In advection-dispersion modeule, the variation of the

concentration of open boundaries depends upon the parameter Km;x, after a change

from outward to inward flow. The physical meaning of the Km;x is that, after the

current reversal, the concentration in the inward flow will be dominated by the

concentrations that occurred in the case of flow removal. Another important

27

-~-

calibration parameter is the dispersion coefficient, D, that is determined by the

function of flow velocity and channel conveyance, which is another turn lead to the

volume of flow passing through the channel section.

4.5 Simulation of Salinity Concentration in Southwest Estuary

4.5.1 Model Schematization

Initial schematization for the simulation of salinity concentration in the southwest

estuary was done by IWM in 2002 using an earlier version of MIKE II covering an

area of 37,330 square kilometers approximately bounded by the Padma and Meghna

rivel' on the north and north-east, lower Meghna and Shahbazpur channel on the east,

Indian boarder on the west and the Bay of Bengal on the south. The region covered in

the model is shown in Figure. 4.1.

As mentioned in Chapter I, an updated MIKEl I version 2005 was later available at

lWM, but the salinity model was not updated and recalibrated as there was no specific

project for application. In the presented study the model schematization was updated

and recalibrated for the April-May, 2002 period. The calibrated model was then

employed to simulate salinity concentration for discharge varying from 100 to 250

m3/s at various locations from Bardia where Gorai river is bifurcated into Nabaganga

and Madumati and other locations on the interconnected rivers and link channels upto

Hiron point. The southwest region river network including Gorai river and

interconnected river system is shown in Figure 4.2.

The hydrodynamic module of the southwest region contains 40 boundaries, of which

29 are upstream and II are downstream as shown in the Table 4.2. Eighteen of the

upstream boundaries are closed (Q = 0 m3/s), where runoff generated by NAM

module have been assigned as point inflows. The downstream boundaries are

provided with tidal water level. Phase correction of some boundary points are made

based on the time difference of tide with respect to Hiron point. At the three open

upstream boundaries, discharges are calculated from water level using rating curves.

The main calibration factor in the hydrodynamic module is the resistance factor.

28

29

60 Kilometers

I

---J\

LEGEND:

I N-~rirAeo 0i

-••••

.'

N International Boundary

N RiverHyd romaine Stations

• ' Water level

• Water leYeI & Discharge

,------ --------~-------!

-

'.South Wes

Region

o , ,

-~--

1------

I-

I

Figure 4.1 Southwest region location map

(Sollrce: institllte of Water Modelling)

II. /~" , ....•,"! I V1f8 '--'~J I ••~' • , I' \..,)'! "',~, "\~Id,.,'I J ,j', .' :'-,'I.~ iI I! ,r II II iII !I '

:I .,...1,L;_, ---== _=:

Figure 4.2 South west Region showing study river network

(Sollrce: 1nstitllte of Water Modelling)

j_:

!

10 20 )(I i{ij(llndm

Sa.~:

10 0

.......+ + .

e Water Level & Baflrity StatiM!! (IWM)II (8ch8rge. S&d:ment. DO and

Water 0ua6ty Sta1IOM (IVVM)• Wat&r Level Station (Other)II Water level & D1lchmge Station (Other)It> Forestomce

30

LEGEND:

/\/ lntemstional boUnciary/\/ SchemBtized Rtver

m Sundarban Resmv8d Forest

-~-

Table 4.2: List of boundaries used in Hydrodynamic module.r~"

SI. River Chainage Type Station RemarksNo (km.)1 Fatki 0.00 Q, Bishaykhali Open boundary2 Betna-Ext 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary3 Bhairab U 0.00 H, Satmile Open boundary4 Buribhadra 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary5 Chandana 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary6 Chitra 41.00 Q, Hazidanga Open boundary7 Gorai II. 90 Q, GoraiRB Open boundary8 Bhadra 1.00 Qc=] Closed boundary9 Harihar 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary10 Haringhata 17.00 H, Hiron Point -30min phase corr.II Hatia 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary-{ 12 Kaliganga U 5.00 Qc=O Closed boundary13 Kaskshiali 17.00 H, Bsantapur Open boundary14 Kobadak 0.00 Q, Tahirpur Open boundary15 Kobadak 180.00 Qc=O Closed boundary16 Kumar 0.00 H, Gangabati Closed boundary17 Kumar F2 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary18 KumarK 22.00 Qc=O Closed boundary19 Labangabati 0.00 H, Oumdom Closed boundary20 Malancha 55.70 H, Hiron Point -45min Phase corr.21 Hari-River 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary22 Nabaganga U 42.00 Qc=O Closed boundary23 Old pissir 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary24 Pusur 98.21 H, Hiron Point Open boundary25 Sitalakhya 0.00 Q, Faridpur Open boundary26 U-Solmari 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary27 Oaudkhali 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary28 Padma 12.00 Q, Baruria Open boundary29 Upper Meghna 0.00 H, Bhairab Bazar Open boundary30 Shahbazpur-] 21.00 H, Oaulatkhan 20 sim. boundary31 Tentulia 90.00 H, Khepupara 20 sim. boundary32 Jamuna 61.74 H, Hiron Point -30min phase corr." Pussur Khal 30.83 H, Hiron Point No Phase corr.

~~34 Sela Gang 73.29 H, Hiron Point -10 min Phase corr.35 Betmar Gang 36.89 H, Hiron Point -3Omin phase corr.36 Supoti Khal 28.63 H, Hiron Point -30min phase corr.37 Link-3 10.00 Qc=O.1 Closed boundary38 Link-4 10.00 Qc=O.1 Closed boundary39 Bhubaneswar 0.00 Qc=O Closed boundary40 Jamuna 0.00 H, Kaikhali Closed boundaryl'

~iI.

31

There are a total of 35 salinity boundaries in the module of which 22 are closed-- upstream boundaries while 13 are treated as open boundaries. The locations of the

boundaries of the salinity model are the same as that of hydrodynamic module with

minor changes in the nature of boundaries. There is no net transport of salt assigned at

closed boundaries, whereas salinity concentration changes with changes in the volume

of flow at open boundaries. All the tidal boundaries of hydrodynamic module are

considered as open, where salinity concentrations have been specified from the

observed data. A list of boundaries is given in Table 4.3.

Table 4.3: List of boundaries used in the salinity module

Sl. No. River Name Chainage (km.) Type of BoundaryI. Pus sur 98.21

•••• 2. Haringhata 173. Malancha 62.74. Tentulia 905. Shahabaz-I 21 Downstream open6. Jamuna 61.74 boundaries7. Pussur Khal 30.83 (salinity changes with8. Sela Gang 73.29 flow)9. Betmar Gang 36.8910. Suporti Khal 28.63II. Kanksiali 1712. Jamuna 013. Padma 1214. Sitalakhya 015. Gorai 11.916. Upper Meghna 0

~ 17. Kumar 918. Begabati 4819. Setma 020. Bhairab U 021. Buribhadra 0 Upstream closed22. Chitra 50 boundaries23. Bhadra I (no change in salinity)24. Haruhar 025. Hatia 026. Kobadak 027. Kobadak 18028. Labangabati 029. Chitra 12030. Old Pussur 031. U-Solmari 032. Daudkhali 033. Hari river 0

~'- 34. Atharobanki 3235. Channel-X 0

32

4.5.2 Model Calibration

Calibration of Hydrodynamic Model -- Hydrodynamic module was calibrated for

the period of April-May 2002. Discharge at Gorai Railway Bridge on the Gorai river

and water level at Hironpoint on the Pussur river was taken as upstream and

downstream boundaries respectively. Channel roughness was the controlling

calibration parameter of hydrodynamic module. The M (M=I1n, where n= Manning's

roughness coefficient) values were used as the calibration parameter in the

computation of hydrodynamic module for the river system as shown in the Table 4.4

Table 4.4: Values ofM used in Hydrodynamic module--(.

River Station Distance from Gorai offtake M value

(km) ml/3/sGorai Gorai Railway Bridge 12 30

Nabaganga Bardia 199 35Rupsha Khulna 247 50Pussur Mongla 292 50Pussur Hironpoint 374 60

Calibration of Salinity Model -- In salinity module, the calibration parameters are

Kmixand dispersion coefficient, D. The values of Kmixused for calibration varies from

0.043 to 0.083 and dispersion coefficient, D varies from 10 - 2400 m2/s. The higher

value of dispersion coefficient near the outfall of Pus sur in the Bay of Bengal signifies

that the dispersion process is more significant there than in the upper reaches. The

result from hydrodynamic module was used for the calibration of the salinity module.

The salinity module was calibrated for the period of April-May 2002. Hironpoint on

the Pus sur river was taken as an open boundary with a salinity of 28 ppt and Gorai

railway bridge on Gorai was taken as a closed boundary with zero salinity. The values

of Kmixand dispersion coefficient, D used in calibration is shown in the Table 4.5.

33

Table 4.5: Values of Calibration parameters (Kml>.and D) used in Salinity module.'.l.-- ___

River Station Distance from Gorai Kmix Dmin Dmax

offtake (Km)

Nabaganga Bardia 199 0.083 10 100

Rupsa Khulna 247 10 250

Pussur Mongla 292 200 500

Pussur Hironpoint 374 700 2400

The simulated and observed salinity concentration values in Pussur river at Mongla,

Passakhali and Hironpoint are plotted in Figure 4.3(a), (b) and (c) for May 9-29, 2002,

April 4-24, 2002 and May 4-20, 2002 respectively. In Figure 4.3(a) the observed

salinity values are seen to be slightly higher than the simulated values. In Figure

4.3(b) and (c) observed salinity values are found to fall both below and above the

simulated values. The overall the calibration was reasonably good .

34

,~

c-

00:0005-29

00;0004-24

00:0005-20

00;0005-18

.j...

Oh ••.•.•-rdSillIUbr.-d

00:0004-19

00;0005-24

00:0005-16

_.~,..

............. Om,c •••.t'dSb.ulahod

00:0005-14

....J

00:0004.14

,.......--'T'"

Time

00:0005-12

00;0005-19

Tim,

.; - .__ !.

00:0005-10

00:00Q4.<)9

(a) Pu:\s:urRiver at Mongla (Ma~' 9-29. 20(2)

(b) PlIS')Uf Rivet al Pas~lkh•.l[i(ApriI4-24. 20(2)

Time

(c) PUSSUf River III Hiron P<linl(M,y 4-20.20(2)

00;0005-14

00:00054)8

""--.j ..•..

00:0005-06

00:002002-<>4-04

....... - .. f ....

: ! ! c! "

I' ~l:R r 1\ 11\ i' rJ" "/vv\jVlJ''r,!\/Vv.VVV''rjJ,,J\/\/V\P,fvVVV'\/V\!\JyJ\/V \/~\iV\/IJV'J'v v VL'U ! [J ! ! .._- ..!._... - - - ..- --, - _- . -'.' - _, ..

30r----;----~---~---~-----C----,--- -,

20

18

16

= 14nEo

~ 12

!l 10

8

6

4

2

00;002002-05-09

10

00:002002..()5..()4

35

5

20

25

15

!"~ 10

I.~' 1S _ i

"~

Fig 4.3 Comparison of Simulated and Observed Salinity of Pussur river at Mongla,

Passakhali, and Hiron point on indicated date and time

4.6 Effect of Incremental Changes of Flow on Salinity Intrusion

The options for this simulation scheme is given below in Table 4.6. The first two

options were selected to quantify the minimum amount of flow required through the

Gorai river for keeping the salinity level upto Khulna station within tolerable range

for irrigation and drinking water uses. The third and fourth options were selected to

quantify the minimum amount of Gorai river flow required to keep to salinity in the

allowable range for Sundari tree growth in the Sundarbans.

The discharge of Gorai river has a considerable impact on the salinity intrusion

process in southwest estuary. Reduced freshwater flow through Gorai has led to

significant changes in the salinity regime. For investigation the effect of changing

flow regime on salinity concentration, the dry season of 2001-02 was considered as

base condition. During this period the salinity concentration at Khulna was observed

to be 5.924 ppt corresponding discharge of 6.7 m3/s in Gorai at Gorai railway bridge.

The salinity concentration at different locations were simulated for discharge values

of 100, 160, 200 and 250 m3Is at Gorai railway bridge

Purpose

Safeguard irrigation

and household use

Safeguard Sundari tree

Description

Minimum observed discharge 6.7 m3 Is inGorai river at Gorai Railway Bridgedruring April-May 2002

36

Minimum discharge of200 m3/s at GoraiRailway Bridge

Minimum discharge of 160 m3/s at GoraiRailway Bridge

'Minimum discharge of 100 m3 Is at GoraiRailway Bridge

2

3

4 Minimum discharge of250 m3/s at GoraiRailway Bridge

Option

No.

Basecondition

Table 4.6 Options selected for simulation of salinity concentration

-l(,

4.7 Results of Salinity Simulation

For four chosen options of upland freshwater flow (100 mJ/s, 160 mJ/s, 200 mJ/s and

250 mJ/s), salinity simulation for southwest region was conducted to assess the

minimum amount of Gorai flow required for two different purposes:

• To keep the salinity level upto Khulna station within allowable limits for

irrigation (1.0 to 1.5 ppt) and as a source of drinking water (less than 0.50

ppt).• To keep the salinity within the allowable range (10.0 to 15.0 ppt) for Sundari

tree growth in Sundarban.

The simulated salinity concentration values at different locations including

Nabaganga at Bardia, Rupsa at Khulna, pussur at Mongla and Hiron point for Option

1 and 2 together with the base condition are presented in rable 4.7. these simulated

values of salinity concentration from Bardia to Hiron point are plotted in Figure 4.4.

37

38

20016016014080 100 120

Distance from Bardla60402Q

oo

5

Variation of Salinity for Different Options

It is observed from the Figure 3.4 that the rate of increase of salinity along the river

near to Khulna is low but after that a sharp increase in salinity is found upto 12 km

downstream ofKhulna. Salinity increases at a lower rate further downstream followed

by sharp increment again near the sea. For the simulated discharges of 100 m3

/s and160 m3Is, the decrease in salinity concentration is prominent upto Khulna.

Downstream of Khulna the rate of reduction in salinity decreases and no significant

change in salinity is found near the sea.

Figure 4.4 The variation of maximum salinity for different options along the Gorai-

Nabaganga_Atai-Rupsa-Kazibancha-Pussur river system

25

1i:2Qic

m 15E,E"~10

From the Table 4.7, it is observed that the minimum amount of discharge in the Gorai

at GRB should be 100 m3/s (Option 1) for keeping the salinity level within the

allowable limit for irrigation (1.0 to 1.Sppt) and 160 m3/s (Option 2) to meet the

requirement for drinking and domestic uses (less than O.sppt) upto Khulna station. In

the lower estuary from downstream of Khulna, the impact of upland freshwater flow

diminishes due to dominance of tidal influence. Consiquently for any any further

incrase of flow avove 160 m3Is , the rate of reduction in salinity decresses in the lower

reaches of rupsa beyond Khulna.

Next, simulation results for keeping the salinity concentrations within the allowable

range (10.0 to 15.0 ppt) to support Sundari tree growth in Sundarban is presented in

Table 4.8 along with the base condition.

Table 4.8: Simulated salinity concentrations for Option 3 and 4

Simulated maximum salinityRiver (ppt) during April-May for

Place (Chainage) Reach Location indicated flowBase Option-3 Option-4

Condition Q=200 Q=250

Q=6.7rnJ/s rn3/s rn'/s

Ji', Nalianala Sibsa Northwest 18.020 17.024 16.708(21915.00)

Mongla Pussur Upper North 14.326 12.055 11.416(16835.00) Sundarban

Mrigamari Mrigamari Northeast 15.547 13.797 13.29(8300.00)

Kaikhali Jamuna Northwest 24.700 24.697 24.695(0.00)

Kobadak Kobadak Northwest 24.191 24.124 24.102(244000.0) Middle

Nandbala Pussur Sundarban Center 15.598 13.871 13.37(31000.00)

Harintana Harintana K East 15.436 15.115 15.000(3600.0)

Hiron piont Pussur South 26.323 25.885 25.818~ (98210.00)

Katka Betmargang3 Lower Southeast 19.547 19.542 J 9.540(6890.0) Sundarban

Supoti Supoti East 12.572 12.567 12.564(0.00)

In Table 4.8 maximum salinity at different locations of Sundarban are presented from

simulation result for two different discharges: 200 m3/s (Option 3) and 250 m3/s

(Option 4) at Gorai Railway Bridge. It is observed that the discharge of Gorai does

not have any major effect in the salinity of the east and west part of the Sundarban but

it has a significant impact on the salinity of the central part of the Saundarban. Due to

the presence of Bay of Bengal and impact of tide, the salinity at the lower boundary of

the Sundarban does not vary too much with the fresh water flow from upstream. As--"(.

there is no major source of freshwater at the western part of Sundarban the salinity of

that zone remains almost unchanged and the value is much higher than the critical

39

J.

j

range for sundari growth (10.0 to 15.0 ppt). Although the Gorai flow don't have any

significant impact on the salinity in the east part of Sundarban but the discharge of

Baleswar keeps the salinity of that zone within the acceptable limit for sundari

growth.

40

Chapter 5

Comparison of Flow Requirements Based on Salinity andFish Habitat

5.1 Introduction

In Chapter 3 flow requirements in Gorai River was assessed to maintain salinity

concentrations within specified limits to safeguard irrigation and domestic uses upto

Khulna and to support growth of Sundari tree in the Sundarban. In a recent study Bari

and Marchand (2006) investigated flow requirements to support selected fish species

considering a 26 km reach of Gorai river starting from just upstream of Gorai Railway

Bridge towards downstream direction. In this chapter efforts are made to make a

comparison of flow requirements obtained from these alternative considerations.

Firstly physical habitat simulation procedure for selected fish specIes usmg

PHABSIM model is briefly presented. Then the results obtained by Bari and

Marchand (2006) for Gorai river considering two species Ayeer (Aarichthys aar) and

Bacha (Eutrapiichthys vacha) are discussed. Finally flow requirement for alternative

functions, such as salinity control and support fish habitats are compared.

5.2 Insteam Flow Assessment using PHABSIM Method

Habitat simulation using PHABSIM compnses two sets of procedures: hydraulic

simulation and habitat simulation. PHABSIM is a specific model designed to

calculate an index to the amount of microhabitat available for different life stages at

different flow levels. The results of the simulation procedures are linked to produce an

output of Weighted Usable Area (WUA) versus discharge. Application of PHABSIM

involves four basic steps: (I) Study site selection and representation, (2) Development

of habitat suitability criteria, (3) Hydraulic simulation and (4) Habitat simulation.

Study Site Selection and Representation

The criteria that have to be taken into account in selecting the study sites include: (i)

availability of a discharge measuring station, cross-section and other hydraulic data,

and (ii) a stream segment having fish potential. Two approaches are available to select

a study reach for PHABSIM. One is representative reach approach in which a reach of

is selected approximately 10-IS channel widths in length and is assumed to contain all

of the mesohabitat types of the river segment (Bovee, 1982). Another is mesohabitat

type approach for irregular distribution of meso habitat throughout the reach Morhardt

el at. (1983). The stream segment is represented by a synthetic reach developed using

the data collected on each mesohabitat type, weighted by the proportion of the

mesohabitat type in the stream segment (Zobeyer, 2004).

Development of Habitat Suitability Criteria

Successful implementation of PHABSIM requires the acquisition and realistic habitat

suitability criteria for the selected species. The basic form for the expression of

suitability is a habitat suitability curve, or other categories of curve called utilization

curves or preference curves. The habitat criteria are derived from life history studies

in the literature, based on frequency analysis of microhabitat conditions utilized by

different life stages and species or from professional experience and judgment.

Suitabilty curves developed for Ayeer and Bacha for Gorai river are given inappendix A.

Hydraulic Simulation

PI-IABSIM has two major analytical components: stream hydraulics and life stage-

specific habitat requirements as shown in Figure 5.1. The stream hydraulics

component predicts depths and water velocities at specific locations on a cross-section

of stream. Field measurements of depth, velocity, substrate material and cover at

specific sampling points on a cross-section are taken at different flows. Hydraulic

measurements, such as water surface elevations, are also collected during the field

inventory. These data are used to calibrate the hydraulic models. The models are then

used to predict depths and velocities at flows different from those measured. The

42

DepHI (ft)

l1Jo I ! J .l

B: "Hahilul Suil:Jhilil.\' criteria

Ion

L'[TIo,~ _ll,~

lo..!

V', 11.2"

0,0Q I 1 .\ ~

Velociry (rtlscc)

II

~t~[Ill,n.:

" ,0 1 .1 ~ X lij

'-- (_;'_",.cr_'_"_"_li,O_"_, J}~------

C; Sellson:!1 relation Ill'tween disl'll:lr~('H1H.OUUanti mi{:mhnhit:lt rur cal'll life st.age

I'HABSJi\1

Crllss se(:lion n

~,III ,m"~II, : . , I ,

)) IIIIIIII! IIV'I vi \'} _~__. V('I,,<I,)"

I)] n~II,' 1l0l'lh

Cl .:: '-'.1 COl",-r.'1 "1.\.' ~ .._ 1\'00

IL , _---------

hydraulic models have two major steps. The first is to calculate the water surface

elevation for a specific flow, thus predicting the depth. The second is to simulate thevelocities across the cross-section

Figure 5.1 Conceptualization of PHABSIM procedure of developing discharge

versus habitat value curve (Source: Stalnaker et al. 1995)

43

Habitat Simulation

In the habitat modelling process the relation of depth and velocity with discharge

determined by hydraulic modelling is integrated with habitat suitability criteria to

produce a measure of available physical habitat as a function of discharge.

Habitat Model Computational Cells --Figure 5.2 shows a generalized representation

of a river segment for a transect that define a matrix of habitat cells with their

associated attributes of depth, velocity and substrate. The hydraulic models simulate

depths and velocities, dl, d2, VI and V2 as shown in Figure 5.2 at the verticals used inthe habitat models.

44

V2

Idi =(d] + d2)!2

Vi =(V] + V2)/2

WUA = I.A,*C;:1

The combined suitability of the cell is derived from the component attribute of each

cell which is evaluated against the species and life stage' habitat suitability curve

coordinates for each attribute to derive the component suitabilities as illustrated in

Figure 4.3, Once the individual component suitabilities have been determined, these

are then aggregated into single composite cell suitability,

Figure 5.2 Matrix of habitat cell attributes in a PHABSIM study

(Source: Zobeyer, 2004)

The 1110stcommon method is to use multiplicative composite index given by:Ci = Vi*Di*Si

where, Ci = composite suitability of cell i

Vi = suitability associated with velocity in cell i

Di = suitability associated with depth in cell i

Si = suitability associated with substrate in cell i

Once the composite suitability index Ci has been determined, then the amount of

WUA using all cells at this specific discharge is computed according to the followingequation:

where, WUA = total weighted usable area in stream at specified discharge

Ai = surface area of cell i

Ci = combined suitability index of cell i (composite of depth, velocity and

channel index individual suitabilities)

Depth

Velocity

Channel index

//

/I

,/

//

,/

o

Di

o

o

Vi

SiChannel index i

Figure 5.3 Habitat suitability criteria attributes for a habitat cell, showingmultiplicative aggregation option (Source: Zobeyer, 2004)

45

This procedure is repeated for a range of discharges to obtain a WUA versus

discharge function. WUA is expressed as square meter of habitat area estimated to be

availableper 1000 linear meter of stream reach at a given flow. Figure 5.1 (c) is an

example of a typical habitat versus flow function showing how incremental changes

in flow result in quantifiable changes in habitat values.

Habitat Time Series Analysis --The major premise of habitat time senes is that

habitat is a function of stream flow and that stream flow varies over time. The basic

steps to calculate habitat time series are illustrated in Figure 5.4 where the habitat

versus flow function (WUA vs. discharge) is integrated with the flow at each time

step to derive habitat availability at each time step. The habitat time series can be

analyzed to derive a habitat duration curve. 0...•-

46

(B)

DischargeQ1

Time

Time

"

"

A1

Figure 5.4 Ingredients for constructing habitat time series: (A) the dischargeassociated with a time step is read from the hydrologic time series, (B) the WUA forthe selected discharge is obtained from the habitat-discharge relationship and (C) theWUA for the time step is entered into the habitat time series.

(Source: Bari and Marchand. 2006)

Habitat Duration Analysis -- A duration curve, whether for flow, habitat or another

instream variable, displays the relationship between the variable and the percentage of

time it is exceeded. Duration curves are constructed by sorting the data (time series or

habitat values) from highest to lowest and expressing each data point as a percentage

of total number of values. These methods are of particular use in the analysis of how

varying and alternative flow regimes affect habitat available to individual life stage of

a species. Figure 5.5 illustrates the concept of habitat duration analysis which

summarizes the availability of habitat values across time under baseline condition,

with projects and after mitigation of project impacts. This information makes it

possible to analyze the effects of changes in flow on each life stage of every species

for which habitat suitability data is available.

Units of availlable hahilat

47

5.3 Results of PHABSIM Simulations

1'"I ..... Bast~linc

: - -----}Ji,.o'1 leel "-;11

! """',. "0" ~

1\L--- !~)l."~___ •L

---h1

0;03.006.2 9.3 12.4 15.518.6 21.724.S27.93 .0

Figure 5.5 Duration analysis of habitat available under baseline conditions, with-project and after mitigation of project (Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)

The PHABSIM Simulation results of two selected fish species, Ayeer and Bacha is

presented in the form of WUA vs. discharge graph in Fig. 5.6 for the discharge values

from 20 m3/s to 3500 m3/s. The optimum WUA being observed corresponding to 400 .

m3/s and 1000 m3/s of flow for Ayeer (Aorichlhys aor) and Bacha (Eulropiichthys

vacha) respectively. Also habitat time series for each of 12 months for the selected

species are presented in Figure 5.7. From this figure it is seen that the maximum and

minimum mean habitat values for Ayeer occur in August and October and for Bacha

in August and March, respectively.

100...••..-- 90 -

SO -

70 --."~'tl 60 -

'"-" 50'"""'"" 40 -:;

30 ----'" 20 -::':< 10 -

0

4000350030001500 2000 2500Discharge (m'/s)

1- Ayeer - Bacha I

Weighted Usable Area vs Discharge

I

r, ;

; l;L I , I

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

ISAyeer IDBacha I

1000500

~ 300000jj 250000S8 200000S8. 150000

NS 100000~~ 50000

oo

500000

450000

50000

oApr May Jun

48

IVJl;;lUIIV1UllUUY ruwmnlOf t'l.yl;;tll

~400000i~350000~•= 300000~!250000~~ 200000;C•; 150000

i100000••

Figure 5.6 Weighted Usable Area vs Discharge functions for Ayeer and Bacha fish

(Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)

Figure 5.7 Mean monthly habitat for Ayeer and Bacha fish

(Source: Bari andMarchand, 2006)

The ranges of the computed flows for 50"' and 75th percentile values of WUA are

summarized in Table 5.1 for high flow, intermediate flow and low flow months. The

bottom row of Table 5.1 shows that the maximum amount WUAs are obtained at

discharge values of 400 m3/s and,! 000 m3/s, respectively for Ayeer and Bacha fish.

Table 5.1 Flow (m3/s) for indicated species for various exceedence probabilities ofWUA in different seasons of the year at Gorai river

WUA (m'/ 1000 m Flow (m'/s) for indicated fish speciesSeason reach length) Ayeer Bacha

High flow (Jun, Jul, 50'" percentile 660 - 1900 1310-1920Aug, Sep) 75'10 '1 891-2500 1402-2530percentt e

Intermediate flow 50thpercentile 194-1610 194-1630(May, Oct) 75'10percentile 107-2280 106-2310

Low flow (Apr, Nov, 50'" percentile 120 -300 117 -750Dec, Jan, Feb, Mar) 75'10percentile 46-256 46-597

Optimum 400 1000

5.4 Comparative Analysis

An instream requirement depends on different in-river functions: Different approach

emphasizes on different functions. To include more river function in consideration it

is better \0 use alternative methodologies for the assessment of flow requirements.

Instream flow assessment based on alternative approaches, to limit salinity intrusion

and to support selected fish species, are compared.

Considering salinity, the freshwater flow requirement in Gorai for specified uses are

presented in Table 4.7 and Table 4.8. From fish habitat considerations, flow

requirement corresponding to indicated exceedence probalities of WUA are presented

in Table 5.1.

Salinity simulation result shows that minimum discharges of 100 m]/s and 160 m]/s of

Gorai is required respectively to keep the salinity within allowable limits for

irrigation, drinking and domestic uses of river water at Khulna station, whereas a

discharge of about 250 m3/s is needed to maintain salinity level within tolerable limits

49

to support Sundari tree growth for the part of Sundarban forest influenced by Gorai

river flow.

On the other hand physical habitat simulation for two selected fish species, Ayeer

(Aorichthyaor) and Bacha (Eutropiichthes vacha), yielded 400 m3/s and 1000 m3/s

of Gorai flow respectively for optimum habitat condition. During low flow months

when the salinity value remain maximum and considering 75th percentile vale of

WUA, the flow requirement for Ayeer is 256 m3/s and for Bacha is 597 m3/s.

Thus flow requirement of Gorai river considering salinity intrusion falls within that

obtained by habitat requirements for selected fish species, Ayeer and Bacha. The

minimum flow requirement to sustain Sundari tree growth in Sundarban is 250 m3/s

which approaches to the upper value of flow requirement for Ayeer fish. The flow

required for Bacha yielded 597 m3/s which suffices both habitat and salinity

requirements.

Since there is no all encompassmg method that will provide for all needs, it is

appropriate to apply alternative flow assessment methods considering prevailing

problems and functions of a river in order to be able to present results and alternative

scenarios to the decision makers.

5.5 Limitations of the Study

The limitations of the study are as follows:

• In the salinity model it is assumed that substance (salt) is completely mixed

over the cross-section, implying that a source/sink term is considered to mix

instantaneously over the cross-section.

• Only two values of salinity concentrations over a day were available for input

at boundary points. More observations during a day would improve the

salinity simulation results in tidal rivers.

50

• In the hydrodynamic model vertical acceleration is neglected and a static

pressure variation along the vertical is assumed. The computation of salinity

model is sensitive to the computation of discharge in the hydrodynamic model.

As hydrodynamic model is not accurate to mimic the actual situations, the

salinity model has got some obvious limitations to reproduce the salinity

concentrations as observed at different locations.

• Cross-sections of some rivers were not concurrent for the period of discharge

and in some rivers only a few cross-sections were available to represent the

river reach. Discharge and cross-sections for concurrent periods and of recent

years and closer intervals would improve simulation results.

51

•...;-~,~~~~ .<

~",. .I.J"

Chapter 6

Conclusions and Recommendations

6.1 Conclusions

In this study an attempt was made to assess the flow requirement in Gorai river, the

main source of fresh water in the southwest region of Bangladesh, to limit the salinity

within allowable limits for irrigation and domestic uses and to support Sundari tree

growth in Sundarban area. The results are compared with the flow requirements

obtained considering dominant fish species.

From the study, the following conclusions can be drawn:

• Usually the maximum salinity occurs in April and early May, at the end of dry

season. During this time the water is neither usable as a source of drinking

water nor for irrigation even at Khulna which is 127 km upstream from the

coast. The discharges required at Gorai railway bridge to keep the salinity

within the acceptable limits for above uses were found 160 mJ Is and 100 mJ Isrespectively.

• The Gorai flow is not the only influencing factor to control the salinity of

SUndarban for the sustainability of Mangrove forest, the other factors of

influence being tidal phenomenon in the lower estuary and discharges from

other upland freshwater sources. A flow of250 mJ/s of Gorai at Gorai railway

bridge reduces the salinity only of the central part of Sundarban to acceptable

limits of Sundari tree growth.

• The PHABSIM simulation shows a range of discharges for two dominant fish

species-Ayeer and Bacha. For 751h percentile value of WUA the required

discharge are 256 ml/s and 597 ml/s respectively .

~.--

• Alternative methods give a range of flow requirement values for selected

purposes. Considering salinity intrusion and fish habitat a range of instream

flow requirement values can be obtained. It shows that the habitat requirement

for the selected species Bacha (597 ml/s) suffices both requirements as a

source of irrigation, domestic uses and to support Sundari tree growth. Such an

approach of instream flow requirement enables analyst to present a range of

alternatives for the decision makers to choose.

6.2 Recommendations

On the basis of this study, the following recommendations can be made for further

studies:• This study was limited to the impact of Gorai riv,er discharge only. As the

South west region of Bangladesh is very complicated with intricate

interconnected river system comprising tidal channels, further studies would

provide better insight considering the impact of discharges from other sources

offreshwater, specially for the western part of the region

• In this study the MIKE 11 salinity model was calibrated for two months April

and May only considering the extreme buildup of salinity during this time. A

model considering more months would enable to characterize the variation of

salinity concentration with the seasonal changes of freshwater flow

• For PHABSIM, 26 km upstream reach of Gorai was considered in this study.

Efforts may be made to extend physical habitat modelling to assess instreaml

environmental flow requirement in estuaries.

53

References

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Estes, C.C. and Orsborn, J. F., 1986, Review and analysis of methods for quantifyinginstream flow requirements. Water Resources Bulletin 22(30:389-398), AmericanWater Resources Association.FPCO, 1994, Fishpass pilot project implementation plan, Northeast regional WaterManagement Project (FAP 6).

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56

200

200

1eo

180

100

180

Hiron point

140

Hiron point

140

.....-Mongla

80 100 120

D1atance fJ"Om Bardla(km)

80 100 120Distance from Banlia(km)

....--Mongla

60

80

+-- Khulna

....-- Khulna

40

4020oo

5

5

oo

25

10

30

Comparison of MIKE11 Version 2001 and 2005 Results

35

Comparison of MIKE11 Version 2001 and 2006 results

.....- MIKE11(2005)-MIKE11(2001)

_ MlKE11 (2CXJ5)_MIKE11(2001)

Appendix A

30

~ .--Bardia"20

i~B 15

i

25

!20 .....-Bardia

~c

i 15E~J

10

Figure A.1(b) Comparison of MIKE 11 version 2001 and2005 results for Q=lOO m3/s.

Figure A. 1(a) Comparison of MIKE 11 version 2001 and 2005 results for base condition

12

---- -- ----- --II

Ii

10

---- ---- .... --- ... -.,'. I

0_8

8

0_6

6

Depth (m)

--._....._-_.__ .+_-_._-_. -.- ..

OA

4

0_2

Velocity Suitability curve for Ayeer

Velocity (m/s)

2

..---"-. -~----.--_.

~ 0: r~--=-=------- -:-=-~-=__=--~~-----------1III ' 1~ 061-- 1~ OA/ -_ _:l!! 0.2 r---c _" --en Io __

o

2Substrate index

58

-~ 1 <-----I ---------------------------- .. J

r~ 08 i--- - -- -_ ____,"tl ,c: 0_6 I

;, i

; :: r=-=---~---~-=----~-=-~-~-=---==------------== ~-::-:-':; 0 IrJ) 0

r-- ------------- --- -------- ------------ _Depth Suitability curve for Ayeer

-._- ..._--_ .. --'--_. __..+,--~-_. - ---+-+

---------------- - ------------------------ --.._--- ----------- ------------------ --- - -,Substrate Suitability for Ayeer I

IiI,

Figure A. 2 (a) Habitat suitability curves for Gorai river reach for Ayeer fish(Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)

862

Depth Suitability Curve fur Bacha------- ----.---------------.i

Iiio j:;: 0.5. _.---._ -.----.-- -..__ . .._ _. _ .1~ i

~ 0-, !;:l

C/l 0

[==~==----~-==--=--! !O~ 1' -~----------.--.-----.---- 'm_. -II

a 1 2

Depth (m)

Velocity Suitability curve for Bacha

._--_ ..•_---- - ..._-_. " .._.- ..---- ..._-----_._- ---------------,

1 r-- ----_. ._.__ .. ..-,

(jj I !'; 0.8 . '.' . . i.~ 0.61-- .. - .. _......_ ... - ...-.. ..j I<l' I I II::f~~:~~~~~.:.~----=--===-.=:~~:=-:~.--== I I

a 0.2 0.4 06 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.6 I. VeIOC~~.~m:~!._.____ __ .. .I

59

Substrate index

-~ 0.8~~ 0.6

~ 0.4:c.lS':;Ul

f-.--.- ..--------~ . .. ,I II Substrate Suitability for Bacha . !

Ii

II

I

Figure A.2(b) Habitat suitability curves for Gorai river reach for Bacha fish(Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)

60

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

S 3000000 25000000- 200000•..•Q)0.. 150000

"'s 100000-<" 50000

~ 00

1-. Ayeer - Bacha I

o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Exceedance probability

Habitat duration Curve for April

Exceedance probability

Habitat Duration Curve for May

I-Ayeer -Bacha I

S 300000og 250000

- 200000li)0.. 150000

'" S 100000

~" 5000~

Figure A. 3 Habitat duration curve for Ayeer and Bacha in the Gorai river for themonth of April and May (Source: Bari and Marchand, 2006)