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BUDGET WORKSHOP 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal

2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

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Page 1: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

BUDGET WORKSHOP

2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal

Page 2: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

Budget AssumptionsBalanced Budget, no structural shortfall in

2013-2014 and beyondModest, steady growth in next five yearsLower debt service with repayments to

special fundsHigher revenue projections of over $6 billion

Prop 30 (temporary)Prop 39 (permanent)

5% spending increase in education and Medi-Cal

Page 3: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

Affects on California Community CollegesIncrease in Prop 98 spending by $587 million

Increase of 5% over 2012-2013 Funding to grow over next several years

Increases in percentage of Prop 98 fund due to shifting of Adult Education to Community Colleges

Page 4: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

Affects on California Community CollegesMulti-year Education Plan

Pushes down decisions to the local levelDecrease in student completion timeContinue to pay down the “wall of debt”

Page 5: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

Reforms for rebuilding the system90 unit state subsidized cap on credit unitsReinvest apportionment funds based on

completionRequire BOG Fee Waiver applicants to

complete a FAFSAIncrease number of online coursesContinue to pay down “wall of debt”Implement Prop 39

Page 6: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

Implementation issues still to be resolved

Page 7: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

Theme of the budget:

Build an efficient educational system

Page 8: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

ThreatsRevenue Volatility

Percentage of state revenue from income taxes has risen from 33% to 61%

Top one percent of income earners pay approximately 40% of income tax revenue

Capital Gains has historically fluctuated between $29 billion and $100 billion

Prop 30 (2012) raises incomes taxes for high income earners through 2018 only

Page 9: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

ThreatsCalifornia economic recovery sputtersRising health care costsSequester/Debt Limit fightLocal revenue shortfalls

Page 10: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth

Timeline for State BudgetJanuary – May: Legislative HearingsEnd of January: Legislative Analyst Office

(LAO) releases its analyst of this budgetMay 14: May ReviseJune 15: Constitutional deadline for

Legislator to send budget to Governor

Page 11: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth
Page 12: 2013-2014 Governor's January Budget Proposal. Budget Assumptions Balanced Budget, no structural shortfall in 2013-2014 and beyond Modest, steady growth