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NIGERIA BY THE NUMBERS

2012 trends presentation

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Macro trends presentation about Nigeria, focusing on the consumer market.

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NIGERIA  BY  THE  NUMBERS  

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TRENDS  

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BNN  

ᵠ  Nigerians  are  getting  their  information  from  the  Blackberry  News  Network    

ᵠ  Big  stories,  real  and  fake  break  over  BBM  networks,  Twitter  and  even  Facebook    before  the  traditional  media  has  a  chance  to  file  a  story  

ᵠ  From  fake  tsunami  warning,  to  where  and  where  the  occupy  protests  were  going  to  happen,  Nigeria  is  getting  its  news  on  the  move,  in  real  time  

RIP

News  (including  pictures)  of  the  murder  of  Suzie  Q,  a  Lagos  socialite  were  on  BBM  &  twi?er  within  the  hour  

The  full  document  of  the  House’s  recommendaCons  on  the  fuel  subsidy  probe  were  emailed  and  tweeted  within  hours  of  the  report’s  release  

“I  joined  a  group  on  BlackBerry  group    called  ‘Occupy  Nigeria’  and  almost  every  second,  somebody  would  broadcast  messages  to  the  forum.  The  forum  was  also  a  major  avenue  for  discourse.  It  was  through  the  forum  that  we  got  so  many  people  to  be  a  part  of  the  protest  and  it  was  through  it  that  we  learnt  about  those  who  were  killed  in  the  crisis.”  

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Social  [media]  Activism  

ᵠ  One  result  of  all  this  technology  is  a  greater  degree  of  transparency,  there’s  no  hiding  anymore.  The  minute  something  happens,  it’s  out  there  on  the  social  networks  

ᵠ  As  far  back  as  2008,  a  viral  video  of  naval  officers  beating  Uzoma  Okere  led  to  the  almost  unprecedented  prosecution  and  sanction  of  armed  forces  personnel  in  an  assault  on  a  civilian  

ᵠ  It  is  giving  young  people  a  pulpit  and  an  organizing  tool.  They  don’t  just  complain  in  their  offices  and  dorms  anymore  

ᵠ  This  is  causing  a  new  level  of  engagement,  fuelled  by  frustration  and  in  some  cases  incredulous  anger  at  our  situation  

ᵠ  Light  up  Nigeria  was  the  first  ‘movement’  to  really  utilize  social  networks  

8  of  the  top10  topics  trending  on  Twi?er  were  issues  emanaCng  from  the  protests  against  removal  of  fuel  subsidy  

#lightupnigeria  

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Think  Local,  Act  Global  

ᵠ  Next  to  oil,  popular  culture  is  our  main  export  

ᵠ  Nigerian  film  makers,  artists,  designers,  musicians  are  aggressively  pursuing  regional  and  international  opportunities  

ᵠ  For  young  Nigerians,  the  ‘global  village’  has  always  been  a  reality,  our  content/style/culture  is  seen  as  worthy  of  a  global  stage  –  no  one  is  interested  in  just    being  a  local  champion  

ᵠ  YouTube  etc  gives  them  a  platform  to  broadcast  themselves  internationally,  and  the  world  is  watching/listening/buying  

Rob  Marrio?,  Complex  Magazine,    on  D’Banj  show  at  Irving  Plaza  

“Prior  to  this  event,  the  American  market  was  small  money  to  D’Banj—a  genuine  global  phenom  from  the  urgent,  populous  city  of  Lagos.  But  now  that  he’s  a  G.O.O.D.  Music  arEst,  D’Banj  is  looking  to  add  the  U.S.  to  his  list  of  conquests”  

The London ���Pop- Up Dress Shop

Afropolitan  Victoria  and  Albert  Museum  

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Local  Content  

ᵠ  Nigerians  understand  the  value  we  represent  as  a  market  and    more  and  more  are  demanding  content  be  customised  for  us  

ᵠ  And  international  brands  are  complying:  Nigerians  don’t  really  eat  fries,  so    KFC  serves  Jollof  rice  

ᵠ  Young  people  are  customising  on  their  own,  adding  local  flair  to  international  brands,  items:  ankara  print  Toms  

ᵠ  After  years  of  jealously  guarding  its  platform,  Blackberry  is  actively  engaging  programmers  to  develop  local  apps  (as  is  Nokia)  

ᵠ  Increasingly,  international  brands  are  producing  products,  content,  communications  for  a  local  audience…  and  producing  it  locally  

Nigerian  ConsCtuCon  App  for  Blackberry  Hits  10,000  Downloads  in  72  hours  

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Styling  Streets  

ᵠ  According  to  McKinsey  research  52%  of  Africans  16-­‐24  feel  its  VERY  important  to  follow  the  latest  fashion  and  trends  vs.  33%  of  those  45  and  over  

ᵠ  Cool  is  very  important  to  a  population  as  young  as  ours.  It’s  Target  or  IKEA  principle,  just  because  it’s  cheap  doesn’t  mean  it  should  be  ugly  or  stripped  down  

ᵠ  This  means  that  form  is  as  important  as  function  at  the  bottom  of  the  pyramid  

ᵠ  Tecno,  a  Chinese  phone  brand,  has  been  gaining  popularity  with  little  marketing  because  it  offers  Blackberry  looks  and  [almost]  functionality  at  pure  water  pricing  

ᵠ  Cheap  Chinese  imports  of  on  trend  clothing  mean  anyone  can  match  the  look  of  their  favourite  local  and  international  celebrities  

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Click  &  [no]  mortar  

ᵠ  All  these  ecommerce  sites  were  launched  within  the  last  12  months  

ᵠ  It’s  to  early  to  tell  if  they  will  be  able  to  get  over  Nigerians  security  fears.  But  if  they  do,  this  will  mark  a  huge  change  in  retail  in  this  country  

ᵠ  Most  are  integrating  mobile  payments,  so  that  even  the  unbanked  can  access  ecommerce    

ᵠ  Interestingly,  Kasuwai  and  Sabunta  are  backed  by  Rocket  Internet,  who  have  been  very  successfully  across  the  world  with  Amazon  clones  

ᵠ  Jobberman  isn’t  an  ecommerce  site,  but  it  is  the  14th  most  visited  site  in  Nigeria  and  is  rapidly  changing  the  way  young  Nigerians  approach  job  search  

ᵠ  Slim  Trader  is  tackling  ecommerce  for  the  bottom  of  the  pyramid  with  SMS  based  e-­‐tail  and  payments  

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Single  Serve  Society  

ᵠ  Nigeria  is  a  sachet  society,  everything  from  toothpaste  to  gin  comes  in  single  serve  packaging  

ᵠ  This  is  not  only  about  cash  management,  but  a  result  of  a  younger,  more  mobile,  more  urban  consumer  –  less  space  to  store  things,  more  time  spent  out  of  home  

ᵠ  Our  power  situation  contributes,  storage  is  a  problem  once  something  is  opened  (no  power  for  refrigeration)  

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FUTURE  VIEW  

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While  experts  esCmate  a  significant  growth  in  populaCon  over  the  next  10  years,  about  48  million,  the  make  up  of  the  populaCon  remains  fairly  stable.  82%  of  the  populaCon  has  at  least  had  access  to  GSM  since  adulthood,  most  for  their  whole  lives  (those  in  their  50s  were  in  their  30s  when  GSM  launched  in  Nigeria)  

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10  year  projecCons  are  dependent  on  many  variables  –  if  the  power  sector  is  fixed,  for  instance,  tariffs  should  fall  significantly,  as  will  bandwidth  (as  providers  turn  their  money  to  improving  quality  rather  than  powering  base  staCons)  

Smartphone  penetraCon  driven  by  second  hand  market  and  value  entrants  from  Asia  

Combined  with  our  demographic  shib,  the  major  implicaCon  is  a  consumer  that  expects  interacCvity  and  immediacy  -­‐-­‐  but  be  warned,  even  with  growth  in  Smartphone/feature  phones,  Nigeria  will  sCll  be  an  SMS  based  market  in  2015  

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UrbanizaCon  generally  results  in  a  savvier  consumer,  with  greater  choice  

Time  constraints/convenience  will  play  an  increasing  role  in  purchase  decisions  –  a  significant  opportunity  in  convenience  foods  

UrbanizaCon  also  has  significant  implicaCons  for  entertainment  and  hospitality  industries  as  a  result  of  more  Cme  spent  outside  the  home  

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The  consumer  space  conCnues  to  offer  significant  opportuniCes  

A  young,  urban  populaCon  with  discreConary  income  will  drive  a  consumer  culture  –  understanding  the  right  price  point  and  lifestyle  triggers  will  be  key  to  success  

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70%  CBN’s  goal  for  percentage  of  financially  included  

382  CBN’s  goal  for  number  of  POS  terminals  per  100,000  Nigerians  by  2020  

65,000  CBN’s  goal  for  the  number  of  mobile  money  agents  by  2020  

Given  populaCon  projecCons  and  cost  issues,  even  CBN  acknowledges  that  extensive  brand  rollout  is  not  the  pracCcal  answer  

In  their  financial  inclusion  strategy,  they  point  out  that  agent  banking  is  the  obvious  soluCon  and  that  policy  supporCng  it  is  vital  for  it  to  meet  its  own  goals  

If  the  ‘cashless’  policy  is  successful,  ecommerce  soluCons  (SMS  and  internet  based)  could  radically  transform  both  retail  landscape    and  supply  chain  management  

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DALU  Ẹ  SE  

NA  GODE  [THANK  YOU]