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Ivory J. Sostand
Advanced Technical Intelligence Center
Unclas (808) 753-3111
This Briefing is:
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Russian views on NATO missile
defense in light of upcoming
summit
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(U) Overview
• (U) BLUF
• (U) Alternative Scenario
• (U) Map of Western Russia
• (U) Map of Southwest Asia
• (U) Assessment
• (U) Questions
• (U) Back up Slides
• (U) Sources
• (U) Concluding Remarks
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(U) BLUF
(U) Russia is unlikely to change its opposition to the NATO missile defense shield. Russia views the deployment of the missile shield near it’s borders a U. S. attempt to gain more regional influence in Eastern European states once controlled by Russia.
Russia Fears that the Missile Defense Shield will undermine its own Nuclear Deterrent
Moscow agreed in 2010 to consider NATO’s proposal to cooperate on the U.S.-led missile shield, Russia has insisted that it should be run jointly, which NATO has rejected
Russia opposes the placement of Interceptor missiles in Romania and Poland
Wants written document stating that The missile defense system will not be used against Russia in any way
Russia activated a new incoming missile early warning system in Kaliningrad in response to US plans for a missile shield in Europe
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(U) Alternative Scenario
(U) Russia agrees to cooperate on the U.S.-led missile shield
Insisted that it should be run jointly
Wants control of system deployed along it’s borders
Written statement from U.S. that missile system would not be used against Russia
Joint computer-simulated missile defense exercises in Germany in March 2012
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(U) Map of Western Russia
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(U) Map of Southwest Asia
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(U) Assessment
(U) It is likely that Russia will not change it’s stance on opposing the missile defense shield deployment in Poland and Romania
(U) It is possible that Russia would work jointly on a missile defense shield if they could control their portion or if The U.S. signed an agreement that the system would not be used against Russia
(U) It is highly unlikely other members of NATO would agree to jointly run the missile shield with Russia
Questions
Ivory J Sostand
Advanced Technical Intelligence Center
Unclas (808) 753-3111
This Briefing was:
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Backup slides
(U) Back up Slides
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(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
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UNCLASSIFIED (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) Infrared satellite system picks up heat signatures of hostile ballistic missiles launched towards NATO target.
(U) Information is transmitted to ground stations for processing.
(U) Processed information is then sent to NATO command and control network.
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(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
cont.
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UNCLASSIFIED (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) The command and control network relays information to sensor and weapons systems in the region.
(U) Once the missiles' engines burn out, the infrared satellite can no longer detect them.
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(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
cont.
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unclassified (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) Long-range sensors such as the US AN/TPY-2 high-resolution radar and the Dutch sea-based Air Defense and Command Frigate (ADCF), continue to track the missile to help command system calculate options for destroying them.
(U) Information is constantly shared among the sensors and weapons systems
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(U) Proposed NATO missile shield
cont.
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unclassified (U) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
(U) Command system has the option of shooting down the hostile missiles while in the upper or lower layers of the atmosphere. As tracking continues, greater accuracy is achieved.Lower-layer shooter systems include the German or Dutch Patriot battery systems connected to the Nato network.
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Key Personnel
(U) http://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/president-obama
(U) President of the United States Barrack Obama (U) http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natolive/who_is_who_56703.htm
(U) NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen
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Key Personnel cont.
(U) http://politicalkudzu.com/2008/03/02/dimtry-medvedev-is-the-new-russian-president/ (U) http://02varvara.wordpress.com/category/sergei-lavrov/
(U) Russian President Dmitry Medvedev (U) Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov
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(U) The Group of 8 Counsel
(U) Provides an important occasion for busy leaders to discuss major, complex international issues, and to the develop the personal relations that help them respond in effective collective fashion to sudden crises or shocks. The summit also gives direction to the international community by setting priorities, defining new issues and providing guidance to established international organizations
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(U)Members of the Group of 8
Counsel
(U) Member Nations
United States
Germany
Japan
Britain
Canada
France
Italy
Russia
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(U) Sources
(U) All information is drawn from Unclassified, open source research. Regional newspaper referenced is The Moscow News, RT.com, RIA Novosti; Western newspapers and periodicals referenced are WBEZ Chicago public media, BBC News and The New York times
NATO: Going ahead with missile shield despite Russian concerns, threats
By Associated Press, Published: February 4, 2012
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/nato-going-ahead-with-missile-shield-despite-russian-concerns-threats/2012/02/04/gIQAIjJIpQ_story.html
A Leaner NATO Needs a Tighter Focus
Hans Binnendijk
Published: February 3, 2012
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/04/opinion/a-leaner-nato-needs-a- tighter-focus.html
Russia, NATO May Hold Missile Defense Drills in March
MOSCOW February 2 (RIA Novosti)
http://en.rian.ru/world/20120202/171092506.html
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(U) Sources cont.
Russia, NATO May Hold Missile Defense Drills in March
MOSCOW February 2 (RIA Novosti)
http://en.rian.ru/world/20120202/171092506.html
White House officials in Chicago to talk NATO, G-8 agenda
Alex Keefe | Jan. 31, 2012
http://www.wbez.org/story/white-house-officials-chicago-talk- nato-g-8-agenda-95990
U.S. says will give no missile defense assurances to Russia
MOSCOW, January 13 (RIA Novosti)
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20120113/170733294.html
Russia may drop NATO summit over missile defense
Published: 30 November, 2011, 18:05
http://rt.com/politics/nato-summit-chicago-russia-577/
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(U) Sources cont.
Russia launches new missile defense to cover Atlantic
Published: 29 November, 2011, 14:10
Edited: 29 November, 2011, 18:40
http://rt.com/politics/opens-kaliningrad-radar-station-459/
Missile defense sparks diplomatic offensive
Published: 28 November, 2011, 16:36
http://rt.com/politics/nato-afghanistan-missile-defense-365/
Russia activates missile early warning radar system
BBC News Europe
29 November 2011 Last updated at 09:22 ET
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15938494
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(U) Sources cont.
G-8 Information Center
http://www.g8.utoronto.ca/what_is_g8.html
Western Russia
http://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.merriam-webster.com/maps/images/maps/russia-west_map.gif&imgrefurl=http://www.merriam-webster.com/maps/russia1.html&h=435&w=370&sz=79&tbnid=zG_xZJI4iJwmrM:&tbnh=86&tbnw=73&zoom=1&docid=3zXpTOsa70szKM&hl=en&sa=X&ei=UP8zT47DKpPMsQKD5rzwAQ&sqi=2&ved=0CDQQ9QEwAg&dur=3052
Map of Southwest Asia
https://www.google.com/search?q=map+of+southwest+asia&hl=en&prmd=imvns&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ei=y_0zT9TmN6uksQLour3wAQ&sqi=2&ved=0CCsQsAQ&biw=1372&bih=702
