2011 Final Election Results

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2011 Election Results Analysis © David Farrar, [email protected]

2011 NEW ZEALAND GENERAL ELECTION

ANALYSIS OF RESULTS BY ELECTORATE, AREA AND REGION

DECEMBER 2011

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CONTENTS CONTENTS ....................................................................................................................................................... 2 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................... 3 2011 OVERALL ELECTION RESULTS ............................................................................................................ 4 OVERALL ELECTION RESULTS CHANGES 2008 TO 2011 .......................................................................... 5 2011 PARTY VOTE BY REGION ...................................................................................................................... 6 2011 PARTY VOTE BY AREA .......................................................................................................................... 7 PARTY VOTE CHANGE 2008 – 2011 BY REGION ......................................................................................... 8 PARTY VOTE CHANGE 2008 – 2011 BY AREA .............................................................................................. 8 NATIONAL 2011 PARTY VOTE ........................................................................................................................ 9 NATIONAL 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ............................................................................................ 10 NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE .......................................................................................................... 11 NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE PERCENTAGE ................................................................................ 12 NATIONAL PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ............................................................................................. 13 NATIONAL PARTY VOTE RELATIVE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ........................................................................... 14 NATIONAL ELECTORATE VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ................................................................................. 15 NATIONAL ELECTORATE VOTE RELATIVE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ................................................................ 16 NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE/PARTY VOTE .................................................................................. 17 NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE MARGINS ................................................................................................... 18 2011 ELECTORATE MAJORITIES ................................................................................................................. 19 LABOUR 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ............................................................................................... 20 LABOUR 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE PERCENTAGE ................................................................................... 21 LABOUR 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE/PARTY VOTE ..................................................................................... 22 LABOUR 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE/LAB + GREEN PARTY VOTE ............................................................ 23 LABOUR PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11................................................................................................. 24 LABOUR ELECTORATE VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 .................................................................................... 25 GREENS 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ............................................................................................... 26 GREEN PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11.................................................................................................... 27 NZ FIRST 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE .............................................................................................. 28 NZ FIRST PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ................................................................................................ 29 CONSERVATIVE 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE .................................................................................. 30 MAORI PARTY 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ..................................................................................... 31 MAORI PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ..................................................................................................... 32 MANA PARTY 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ...................................................................................... 33 ACT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ....................................................................................................... 34 ACT PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ........................................................................................................ 35 UNITED FUTURE 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ................................................................................. 36 UNITED FUTURE PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 .................................................................................. 37 RIGHT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE (National/ACT/United Future) ................................................... 38 CENTRE 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE (Conservative/Maori) ............................................................ 39 LEFT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE (Labour/Greens/NZ First/Mana) .................................................. 40 RIGHT – LEFT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE ..................................................................................... 41 RIGHT PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ..................................................................................................... 42 LEFT PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11 ........................................................................................................ 43 2011 VALID (PARTY) VOTERS ...................................................................................................................... 44

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INTRODUCTION This document shows results for National, Labour, Greens, NZ First, Conservatives, Maori Party, Mana Party and ACT for the country, by region and area and for each of the 70 electorates. Generally each page has the electorates ranked in order from “best” to “worst” for that particular criterion. Electorates have been grouped into the five National Party Regions (plus a “Maori” Region) and also have been grouped into Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Provincial, and Rural areas so results can be compared for these groupings. Parties have also been grouped together for bloc analysis. The following definitions have been used:

R = Right = National + ACT + United Future C = Centre = Conservatives + Maori Party L = Left = Labour + Greens + NZ First + Mana (+ Progressive for 2008) R – L = Gap between votes for the right and the left parties Right parties are those who committed to a National-led Government. Centre parties are those who said they could support either National or Labour, and were not ruled out be either. Left parties are those who generally would not support a National-led Government. Note different definitions were used in my 2008 analysis, based on the different stances at the time. However in this document the above definitions have been used for both 2011 and 2008 so that any comparisons are valid. Inquiries or requests for further information are welcome. David Farrar 11 December 2011

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2011 OVERALL ELECTION RESULTS

Party Party Votes

% of all Party Votes

% of effective

party vote

Seat Entitlement

Electorate Seats

List Seats

Total Seats

National 1,058,638 47.31% 48.97% 59 41 18 59

Labour 614,936 27.48% 28.44% 34 23 11 34

Greens 247,370 11.06% 11.44% 14 0 14 14

NZ First 147,544 6.59% 6.82% 8 0 8 8

Maori 31,932 1.43% 1.48% 2 3 0 3

Mana 24,168 1.08% 1.12% 1 1 0 1

ACT 23,889 1.07% 1.10% 1 1 0 1

United Future 13,443 0.60% 0.62% 1 1 0 1

SUB-TOTAL 2,191,105 96.62% 100.00% 120 70 51 121

Conservative 59,236 2.65%

Legalise Cannabis

11,738 0.52%

Democrats 1,714 0.08%

Libertarianz 1,595 0.07%

Alliance 1,209 0.05%

TOTAL 2,344,566 100.00%

Right 1,095,970 46.75%

Centre 91,168 3.89%

Left 1,034,018 44.10%

R – L 163,160 6.96%

The four parliamentary parties of the left (Labour, Greens, NZ First and Mana) got 44.1%. The three of the right (National, ACT, United) got 46.7% and the two (incl. Conservatives who are not in Parliament) of the centre (Conservatives and Maori) got 3.9%. The wasted vote was 3.4% down from 6.6% in 2008. Conservatives were the highest of the parties that did not make it.

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OVERALL ELECTION RESULTS CHANGES 2008 TO 2011

Party Party Vote

Change %

2011 Party

Vote %

2008 Party

Vote %

Electorate Vote

Change %

2011 Electorate

Vote %

2008 Electorate

Vote %

National +2.38% 47.31% 44.93% +0.71% 47.31% 46.60%

Labour -6.51% 27.48% 33.99% -0.10% 35.12% 35.22%

Greens +4.34% 11.06% 6.72% +1.53% 7.16% 5.63%

NZ First +2.52% 6.59% 4.07% +0.15% 1.84% 1.69%

Maori -0.96% 1.43% 2.39% -1.53% 1.81% 3.34%

Mana +1.08% 1.08% +1.37% 1.37%

ACT -2.58% 1.07% 3.65% -1.56% 1.43% 2.99%

United Future -0.21% 0.60% 0.87% -0.26% 0.87% 1.13%

Progressive -0.91% 0.91% -1.13% 1.13%

SUB-TOTAL -0.85% 96.62% 97.53% -0.82% 96.91% 97.73%

Conservatives +2.65% 2.65% +2.38% 2.38%

Others -1.75% 0.73% 2.48% -1.53% 0.73% 2.26%

TOTAL 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Right -0.47% 48.98% 49.45% -1.11% 49.61% 50.72%

Centre +1.69% 4.08% 2.39% 0.85% 4.19% 3.34%

Left -0.52% 46.21% 45.69% 1.82% 45.49% 43.67%

R – L -0.99% 2.77% 3.76% -2.93% 4.12% 7.05%

The gap between right and left narrowed by almost 1%. This was mainly due to the drop in support for ACT and increase in support for NZ First. The centre vote grew due to the Conservatives.

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2011 PARTY VOTE BY REGION

Party Northern CNI LNI C/W Southern Maori

National 49.8% 54.0% 45.4% 51.0% 48.4% 8.6%

Labour 28.7% 20.3% 29.4% 25.1% 26.9% 41.0%

Greens 9.4% 9.2% 13.3% 12.9% 13.0% 10.3%

NZ First 5.9% 9.3% 5.9% 5.5% 6.0% 9.5%

Maori 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6%

Mana 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0%

ACT 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 0.2%

United Future 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1%

Conservatives 2.8% 3.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.2% 0.5%

Right 51.6% 56.0% 47.1% 52.6% 50.2% 8.9%

Centre 3.4% 4.2% 3.3% 3.0% 2.6% 16.1%

Left 44.5% 39.2% 49.0% 43.7% 46.1% 73.8%

R – L 7.1% 16.8% -1.8% 8.8% 4.1% -64.9%

The above figures are on the boundaries of the five National Party Regions. The seven Maori seats are treated as a de facto sixth Region to allow a cleaner comparison from Region to Region. National got over 50% in the CNI and C/W Regions. LNI was the lowest Region at 45.4% LNI Region is the best area for Labour at 29.4% followed by Northern at 28.7%. They are weakest in CNI at 20.3%. NZ First was strongest in CNI Region at 9.3% and the Maori seats at 9.5%. Maori and Mana parties were at or below 1% everywhere except the Maori seats where they got 15.6% and 13.0% of the party votes respectively ACT support is higher in Northern with 1.4%. Support for the Greens was best in LNI at 13.3%. United Future was lowest in Northern. Conservatives did best in the CNI Region. The gap between National and Labour for each Region was: Northern +21.1% CNI +33.7% LNI +16.0% C/W +25.8% Southern +21.5%

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2011 PARTY VOTE BY AREA

Party Auckland Wgtn Chch Provincial Rural Maori

National 49.1% 41.1% 49.4% 48.3% 56.2% 8.6%

Labour 30.4% 32.1% 26.7% 26.8% 18.8% 41.0%

Greens 9.4% 17.2% 13.7% 10.9% 9.9% 10.3%

NZ First 5.4% 4.7% 5.3% 7.6% 7.7% 9.5%

Maori 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 15.6%

Mana 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0%

ACT 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 0.2%

United Future 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%

Conservatives 2.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.7% 0.5%

Right 50.7% 42.8% 50.7% 50.0% 58.3% 8.9%

Centre 3.1% 2.3% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 16.1%

Left 45.6% 54.3% 45.9% 45.7% 36.7% 73.8%

R – L 5.2% -11.5% 4.8% 4.3% 21.6% -64.9%

Auckland is defined as the 20 seats in greater Auckland stretching from Rodney in the North to Papakura in the South.

Wellington is the six seats South of and including Mana and Rimutaka.

Christchurch is the six seats wholly or mainly in Christchurch including Waimakariri and Port Hills.

Provincial are those 17 seats which have more than 50% of their population in minor cities such as Nelson, New Plymouth, Dunedin, Hamilton, Napier etc.

Rural are the 14 seats where less than 50% of the population live in a city. Labour is strongest in Wellington at 32.1% and weakest in rural NZ at 18.8% National is lowest in Wellington at 41.1% and highest in rural NZ at 56.2%. NZ First does very well in provincial and rural NZ and worst in Wellington, the only area they got under 5%. ACT is strongest in Auckland and rural NZ. Greens are very high in Wellington at 17.2%. United Future also strongest in Wellington. Conservatives did best in rural NZ. The gap between National and Labour for each area was: Auckland +18.6% Wellington +9.0% Christchurch +22.7% Provincial +21.5% Rural +37.4%

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PARTY VOTE CHANGE 2008 – 2011 BY REGION

Party Northern CNI LNI C/W Southern Maori

National +0.7% +1.4% +2.6% +6.0% +3.8% +1.1%

Labour -3.1% -7.0% -7.3% -9.6% -9.4% -9.1%

Greens +3.8% +3.7% +4.7% +4.6% +5.1% +6.4%

NZ First +2.4% +3.4% +2.2% +2.1% +2.4% +3.4%

Maori -0.1% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -13.3%

Mana +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.2% +0.2% +13.0%

ACT -3.6% -2.6% -2.3% -2.0% -1.8% -0.3%

United Future -0.4% -0.2% -0.3% -0.2% -0.1% -0.0%

Conservatives +2.8% +3.5% +2.6% +2.6% +2.2% +0.5%

Right -3.3% -1.4% -0.1% +3.8% +1.9% +0.8%

Centre +2.7% +3.2% +2.4% +2.4% +2.1% -12.8%

Left +2.8% -0.1% -1.0% -4.5% -2.7% 13.4%

R – L -6.2% -1.4% +0.9% +8.3% +4.6% -12.5%

National had the biggest increases in C/W. Labour’s biggest declines were in C/W and Southern Regions. The Greens picked up most support in LNI and Southern. In terms of the gap between right and left, Northern had it close by 6.2% while at the other end it grew by 8.3% in C/W.

PARTY VOTE CHANGE 2008 – 2011 BY AREA

Party Auckland Wgtn Chch Provincial Rural Maori

National +0.7% +3.1% +7.3% +2.4% +2.2% +1.1%

Labour -2.5% -7.5% -10.3% -8.0% -7.2% -9.1%

Greens +3.7% +5.4% +4.9% +4.4% +3.8% +6.4%

NZ First +2.2% +1.9% +2.1% +2.9% +2.7% +3.4%

Maori -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -13.3%

Mana +0.4% +0.4% +0.2% +0.3% +0.3% +13.0%

ACT -3.6% -2.1% -1.8% -2.1% -2.9% -0.3%

United Future 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%

Conservatives +2.5% +1.6% +2.2% +2.9% +3.7% +0.5%

Right -3.36% +0.6% +5.1% +0.1% -0.7% +0.8%

Centre +2.4% +1.4% +2.1% +2.7% +3.5% -12.8%

Left +3.2% -0.5% -5.6% -1.2% -1.2% 13.4%

R – L -6.5% +1.1% +10.7% +1.3% +0.5% -12.5%

National gained the most in Christchurch – 7.3% followed by 3.1% in Wellington, 2.4% in provincial NZ and 2.2% in rural NZ. Auckland had the least gain at 0.7%. Labour lost the most in Christchurch – a large 10.3%. They lost the least support in Auckland – only 2.5%. Greens did best in Wellington with a 5.4% increase in their vote, plus 6.1% up in Maori seats. The right-left margin increased by 10.7% in Christchurch and shrank by 6.5% in Auckland.

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NATIONAL 2011 PARTY VOTE

1

Tamaki 24,338

2

Rodney 23,967

3

Epsom 23,725

4

Helensville 23,558

5

North Shore 23,113

6

Selwyn 23,086

7

Hunua 22,161

8

Waitaki 21,309

9

East Coast Bays 21,079

10

Bay of Plenty 20,853

11

Waimakariri 20,489

12

Pakuranga 20,471

13

Clutha Southland 20,020

14

Ilam 19,934

15

Tauranga 19,858

16

Rangitata 19,282

17

Taupo 19,003

18

Kaikoura 18,909

19

Waikato 18,875

20

Ohariu 18,764

21

Taranaki-King Country 18,759

22

New Plymouth 18,073

23

Wairarapa 18,046

24

Coromandel 18,021

25

Tukituki 17,935

26

Botany 17,749

27

Otaki 17,609

28

Whangarei 17,486

29

Northcote 17,263

30

Rangitikei 17,115

31

Hamilton East 17,085

32

Papakura 16,640

33

Napier 16,538

34

Northland 16,381

35

Rotorua 16,159

36

Invercargill 16,140

37

Nelson 16,016

38

West Coast Tasman 15,462

39

Rimutaka 15,364

40

Hamilton West 15,300

41

Whanganui 15,151

42

Wellington Central 15,128

43

East Coast 14,804

44

Maungakiekie 14,747

45

Palmerston North 14,577

46

Port Hills 14,532

47

Auckland Central 14,447

48

Wigram 14,357

49

Dunedin South 14,163

50

Mana 13,754

51

Hutt South 13,510

52

Christchurch East 13,252

53

New Lynn 13,211

54

Mt Roskill 12,781

55

Te Atatu 12,701

56

Waitakere 12,534

57

Christchurch Central 12,507

58

Rongotai 12,168

59

Mt Albert 12,102

60

Dunedin North 9,707

61

Manurewa 6,606

62

Manukau East 5,287

63

Mangere 3,592

64

Te Tai Tonga 2,631

65

Te Tai Tokerau 1,814

66

Tamaki Makaurau 1,569

67

Hauraki-Waikato 1,491

68

Te Tai Hauauru 1,421

69

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 1,091

70

Waiariki 1,068 Tamaki had the highest absolute party vote for National at 24,338 with Rodney second on 23,967. In total 13 electorates got a party vote over 20,000 – the same as 2008. 42 seats got a party vote over 15,000 and 59 seats had a party vote over 10,000. The median electorate was Rotorua on 16,159 votes and the worst electorates after the Maori seats were Mangere and Manukau East. The number of electors who vote in each electorate can vary by over 10,000 so generally the percentage National got is seen as a more useful comparison. West Coast-Tasman in 38

th place had the highest party vote of the seats we contested (excluding Epsom

and Ohariu) but did not win. Conversely Auckland Central in 47th place had the lowest party vote of the

seats National did win.

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NATIONAL 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Helensville 65.8%

2

Epsom 64.5%

3

Tamaki 64.4%

4

Clutha Southland 62.9%

5

East Coast Bays 62.9%

6

Pakuranga 62.8%

7

Selwyn 62.6%

8

Hunua 62.6%

9

North Shore 62.2%

10

Rodney 62.2%

11

Botany 61.1%

12

Taranaki-King Country 60.4%

13

Waikato 60.0%

14

Ilam 58.3%

15

Bay of Plenty 57.6%

16

Waimakariri 56.9%

17

Taupo 56.3%

18

Kaikoura 55.4%

19

Waitaki 55.3%

20

Tauranga 54.2%

21

Rangitikei 53.9%

22

Rangitata 53.7%

23

New Plymouth 53.3%

24

Papakura 52.6%

25

Tukituki 52.6%

26

Northcote 52.3%

27

Coromandel 52.1%

28

Wairarapa 51.5%

29

Hamilton East 51.4%

30

Rotorua 51.3%

31

Whangarei 50.7%

32

Northland 50.1%

33

Invercargill 49.9%

34

East Coast 49.8%

35

Ohariu 49.6%

36

Napier 48.8%

37

Hamilton West 47.7%

38

Whanganui 47.6%

39

Otaki 46.8%

40

Christchurch East 46.1%

41

West Coast Tasman 45.8%

42

Nelson 45.4%

43

Rimutaka 44.7%

44

Christchurch Central 44.6%

45

Wigram 44.5%

46

Palmerston North 44.1%

47

Port Hills 43.7%

48

Maungakiekie 43.6%

49

Auckland Central 42.2%

50

Te Atatu 41.2%

51

Hutt South 41.0%

52

Waitakere 40.3%

53

Dunedin South 40.2%

54

Mana 40.0%

55

Mt Roskill 39.5%

56

New Lynn 39.2%

57

Wellington Central 38.4%

58

Mt Albert 36.7%

59

Rongotai 33.0%

60

Dunedin North 32.4%

61

Manurewa 26.1%

62

Manukau East 19.6%

63

Te Tai Tonga 14.9%

64

Mangere 14.4%

65

Te Tai Tokerau 9.2%

66

Tamaki Makaurau 8.4%

67

Hauraki-Waikato 8.3%

68

Te Tai Hauauru 7.8%

69

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 6.0%

70

Waiariki 5.7%

On a percentage basis Helensville had the best party vote for National at 65.8% followed by Epsom and Tamaki. 13 electorates (up from six in 2008) got over 60% party vote, and 32 electorates got over 50% party vote. 51 electorates got over 40% party vote. Christchurch East in 40

th place was the highest polling seat of those National did not win but contested.

Auckland Central in 49th place had the lowest party vote percentage of the seats National did win.

The median electorate is Ohariu on 49.6%. Apart from the Maori seats Mangere, Manukau East and Manurewa were worse for National on 14.4%, 19.6% and 26.1%.

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NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE

1

Helensville 26,011

2

Selwyn 24,963

3

Tamaki 24,837

4


5

Waitaki 23,219

6

North Shore 22,709

7

Hunua 22,563

8

Tauranga 21,971

9


10


11

Taupo 20,934

12


13

Pakuranga 20,694

14

Rodney 20,253

15

Ilam 20,070

16

Whangarei 20,049

17

Kaikoura 19,961

18

Waikato 19,817

19

Rangitata 19,580

20

Tukituki 19,378

21

Otaki 19,151

22

Northcote 18,908

23

Coromandel 18,571

24


25

Nelson 18,360

26

Rangitikei 18,284

27

Northland 18,188

28

Papakura 18,096

29

Wairarapa 17,881

30

Botany 17,780

31

New Plymouth 17,644

32

Napier 17,337

33

Invercargill 17,275

34

Rotorua 17,188

35

Waimakariri 16,787

36

Whanganui 16,743

37


38

Maungakiekie 16,189

39


40

Mana 14,093

41

East Coast 14,003

42

Rimutaka 13,885

43

Epsom 13,574

44

Waitakere 13,457

45


46


47


48

Port Hills 12,640

49

Wigram 12,580

50


51


52

New Lynn 11,809

53

Hutt South 11,003

54

Mt Roskill 10,635

55

Te Atatu 10,444

56


57

Dunedin North 9,487

58

Rongotai 9,132

59

Mt Albert 8,695

60

Ohariu 6,907

61

Manurewa 6,351

62

Manukau East 3,561

63

Mangere 3,018

No surprise that Helensville had the highest electorate vote for National at 26,011 with Selwyn and Tamaki following. 16 (was 25 in 2008) National MPs managed attracted over 20,000 votes. The median electorate was Napier on 17,337 votes and the worst electorates (Maori seats were not contested) were Mangere and Manukau East. The number of electors who vote in each electorate can vary by over 10,000 so generally the percentage National got is seen as a more useful comparison. Mana in 40

th place had the highest electorate vote of the seats National contested but did not win.

Conversely East Coast in 41st place had the lowest electorate vote of the seats National did win.

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NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Helensville 74.4%

2


3

Selwyn 69.1%

4


5

Tamaki 67.7%

6

Bay of Plenty 67.5%

7

Pakuranga 65.9%

8

Hunua 65.6%

9


10

Waikato 64.9%

11

Botany 64.0%

12

Taupo 63.7%

13

North Shore 62.4%

14

Waitaki 61.4%

15

Tauranga 61.4%

16

Ilam 60.4%

17

Kaikoura 60.2%

18

Papakura 59.6%

19

Whangarei 59.2%

20

Rangitikei 58.9%

21

Northcote 58.5%

22

Tukituki 58.4%

23

Northland 57.5%

24

Hamilton East 57.1%

25

Rotorua 56.2%

26

Rangitata 55.8%

27

Coromandel 55.0%

28

Invercargill 54.6%

29

Whanganui 53.7%

30

Rodney 53.5%

31

New Plymouth 53.3%

32

Hamilton West 53.3%

33

Nelson 53.1%

34

Wairarapa 52.6%

35

Napier 52.1%

36

Otaki 51.6%

37

Maungakiekie 49.9%

38

East Coast 48.3%

39

Waimakariri 47.3%

40


41

Waitakere 44.7%

42


43

Mana 42.0%

44

Rimutaka 41.7%

45


46

Wigram 40.3%

47


48

Port Hills 38.9%

49

Epsom 37.8%

50

Dunedin South 36.8%

51


52

New Lynn 36.2%

53

Te Atatu 35.4%

54

Hutt South 34.3%

55

Mt Roskill 33.9%

56


57

Dunedin North 32.4%

58

Mt Albert 27.5%

59

Manurewa 26.9%

60

Rongotai 25.4%

61

Ohariu 18.6%

62

Manukau East 14.2%

63

Mangere 12.6%

Helensville is the only National seat with over 70% of the vote – 74.4%. Following that are Taranaki-King Country and Selwyn. 17 seats (up two) had electorate votes of over 60% and 36 seats had an absolute majority of over 50%. Waitakere on 44.7% in 41

st place had the highest electorate vote percentage of any seat which National did not win.

Auckland Central in 40th place had the lowest percentage on 45.4% of a seat National did win.

National’s electorate vote percentage was lowest in Mangere, Manukau East, Ohariu and Rongotai.

- 13 -


NATIONAL PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Christchurch East 10.4% 46.1% 35.7%

2

Selwyn 7.7% 62.6% 54.9%

3

Waimakariri 7.5% 56.9% 49.4%

4

Christchurch Central 7.0% 44.6% 37.6%

5

Wigram 6.6% 44.5% 37.9%

6

Port Hills 6.0% 43.7% 37.7%

7

Dunedin South 6.0% 40.2% 34.2%

8

Ilam 5.5% 58.3% 52.8%

9

Rangitata 5.1% 53.7% 48.6%

10

Tamaki 4.2% 64.4% 60.2%

11

North Shore 4.1% 62.2% 58.1%

12

Rimutaka 4.1% 44.7% 40.7%

13

Waitaki 3.9% 55.3% 51.4%

14

Te Tai Tonga 3.8% 14.9% 11.1%

15

Kaikoura 3.6% 55.4% 51.8%

16

Palmerston North 3.5% 44.1% 40.7%

17

Ohariu 3.3% 49.6% 46.3%

18

Mana 3.3% 40.0% 36.7%

19

Hutt South 3.2% 41.0% 37.8%

20

Rodney 3.2% 62.2% 59.0%

21

Pakuranga 3.1% 62.8% 59.7%

22

Dunedin North 3.0% 32.4% 29.4%

23

Clutha Southland 3.0% 62.9% 59.9%

24

Wellington Central 3.0% 38.4% 35.4%

25

Nelson 3.0% 45.4% 42.5%

26

Wairarapa 2.9% 51.5% 48.7%

27

New Plymouth 2.8% 53.3% 50.5%

28

Taupo 2.7% 56.3% 53.6%

29

Waikato 2.5% 60.0% 57.4%

30

Tukituki 2.4% 52.6% 50.2%

31

Invercargill 2.3% 49.9% 47.5%

32

Auckland Central 2.2% 42.2% 40.1%

33

East Coast 2.1% 49.8% 47.6%

34

Helensville 2.1% 65.8% 63.7%

35

Otaki 2.0% 46.8% 44.8%

36

Hunua 1.9% 62.6% 60.6%

37

Epsom 1.9% 64.5% 62.6%

38

Hamilton East 1.9% 51.4% 49.5%

39

Northcote 1.9% 52.3% 50.4%

40

Hamilton West 1.8% 47.7% 46.0%

41

West Coast Tasman 1.7% 45.8% 44.1%

42

Rongotai 1.6% 33.0% 31.4%

43

Napier 1.5% 48.8% 47.3%

44

Rangitikei 1.5% 53.9% 52.4%

45

East Coast Bays 1.5% 62.9% 61.4%

46

Whanganui 1.3% 47.6% 46.3%

47

Te Tai Hauauru 1.2% 7.8% 6.6%

48

Papakura 1.1% 52.6% 51.5%

49

Hauraki-Waikato 1.1% 8.3% 7.2%

50

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 1.1% 6.0% 4.9%

51

Maungakiekie 1.1% 43.6% 42.5%

52

Mt Albert 1.0% 36.7% 35.7%

53

Tamaki Makaurau 1.0% 8.4% 7.4%

54

Rotorua 0.9% 51.3% 50.3%

55

Taranaki-King Country 0.9% 60.4% 59.5%

56

Whangarei 0.6% 50.7% 50.0%

57

Coromandel 0.5% 52.1% 51.7%

58

Waiariki 0.2% 5.7% 5.5%

59

Tauranga -0.1% 54.2% 54.3%

60

Botany -0.1% 61.1% 61.2%

61

Te Tai Tokerau -0.2% 9.2% 9.3%

62

Te Atatu -0.3% 41.2% 41.5%

63

New Lynn -0.9% 39.2% 40.1%

64

Waitakere -0.9% 40.3% 41.2%

65

Bay of Plenty -1.1% 57.6% 58.7%

66

Northland -1.6% 50.1% 51.7%

67

Mangere -2.1% 14.4% 16.4%

68

Mt Roskill -2.6% 39.5% 42.1%

69

Manurewa -4.2% 26.1% 30.3%

70

Manukau East -4.6% 19.6% 24.2%

58 of 70 electorate increased the party vote. Chch East had the largest increase at 10.4%, followed by Selwyn at 7.7%, Waimakariri at 7,5% and Chch Central on 7.0%. The seat with the largest decreases for National were Manukau East, Manurewa and Mt Roskill. Nine seats had an increase of 5% or more, and 35 seats an increase of 2% or more. The median electorate was Otaki with an 2.0% increase.

- 14 -


NATIONAL PARTY VOTE RELATIVE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Te Tai Tonga 33.9% 14.9% 11.1%

2


3


4


5


6

Wigram 17.5% 44.5% 37.9%

7

Dunedin South 17.5% 40.2% 34.2%

8

Port Hills 15.9% 43.7% 37.7%

9


10

Waimakariri 15.1% 56.9% 49.4%

11

Selwyn 14.1% 62.6% 54.9%

12


13

Rangitata 10.5% 53.7% 48.6%

14

Ilam 10.4% 58.3% 52.8%

15

Dunedin North 10.4% 32.4% 29.4%

16

Rimutaka 10.1% 44.7% 40.7%

17

Mana 9.0% 40.0% 36.7%

18


19


20

Hutt South 8.5% 41.0% 37.8%

21

Waitaki 7.6% 55.3% 51.4%

22

Ohariu 7.2% 49.6% 46.3%

23

North Shore 7.1% 62.2% 58.1%

24

Tamaki 7.0% 64.4% 60.2%

25

Nelson 7.0% 45.4% 42.5%

26

Kaikoura 6.9% 55.4% 51.8%

27

Wairarapa 5.9% 51.5% 48.7%

28

New Plymouth 5.5% 53.3% 50.5%

29


30

Rodney 5.4% 62.2% 59.0%

31

Pakuranga 5.2% 62.8% 59.7%

32

Rongotai 5.2% 33.0% 31.4%

33

Taupo 5.1% 56.3% 53.6%

34

Clutha 5.1% 62.9% 59.9%

Southland

35


36

Tukituki 4.7% 52.6% 50.2%

37

East Coast 4.5% 49.8% 47.6%

38

Otaki 4.5% 46.8% 44.8%

39

Waikato 4.4% 60.0% 57.4%

40


41


42


43

Northcote 3.7% 52.3% 50.4%

44

Helensville 3.3% 65.8% 63.7%

45

Waiariki 3.2% 5.7% 5.5%

46

Hunua 3.2% 62.6% 60.6%

47

Napier 3.2% 48.8% 47.3%

48

Epsom 3.1% 64.5% 62.6%

49

Mt Albert 2.8% 36.7% 35.7%

50

Rangitikei 2.8% 53.9% 52.4%

51

Whanganui 2.7% 47.6% 46.3%

52


53


54

Papakura 2.2% 52.6% 51.5%

55

Rotorua 1.8% 51.3% 50.3%

56


57

Whangarei 1.3% 50.7% 50.0%

58

Coromandel 0.9% 52.1% 51.7%

59

Tauranga -0.2% 54.2% 54.3%

60

Botany -0.2% 61.1% 61.2%

61

Te Atatu -0.8% 41.2% 41.5%

62

Bay of Plenty -1.8% 57.6% 58.7%

63


64

New Lynn -2.2% 39.2% 40.1%

65

Waitakere -2.3% 40.3% 41.2%

66

Northland -3.0% 50.1% 51.7%

67

Mt Roskill -6.1% 39.5% 42.1%

68

Mangere -12.6% 14.4% 16.4%

69

Manurewa -13.8% 26.1% 30.3%

70

Manukau East -18.9% 19.6% 24.2%

The key difference between this table and the previous is the percentage change is not shown as an absolute shift in the percentage of the party vote, but the relative change as a percentage of the 2005 vote. As the Maori seats were on such a small base, they top the table. Next is Christchurch East which saw the party vote increase 29.1% relative to 2008.. The median increase was 4.9% in Invercargill.

- 15 -


NATIONAL ELECTORATE VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Epsom 16.0% 37.8% 21.8%

2

Wigram 9.7% 40.3% 30.7%

3

Selwyn 8.7% 69.1% 60.5%

4

Botany 7.8% 64.0% 56.2%

5

Mana 7.0% 42.0% 35.0%

6


7

Taupo 5.7% 63.7% 57.9%

8

New Plymouth 5.1% 53.3% 48.2%

9

Rimutaka 4.6% 41.7% 37.1%

10

Tauranga 4.6% 61.4% 56.8%

11


12


13

Pakuranga 4.3% 65.9% 61.6%

14

Waimakariri 4.2% 47.3% 43.0%

15


16

Ilam 3.5% 60.4% 56.9%

17

Otaki 2.9% 51.6% 48.7%

18

Bay of Plenty 2.6% 67.5% 64.9%

19


20

Kaikoura 2.5% 60.2% 57.8%

21

Rotorua 2.3% 56.2% 53.9%

22


23

Tamaki 1.9% 67.7% 65.7%

24

Port Hills 1.7% 38.9% 37.1%

25


26

Wairarapa 1.6% 52.6% 51.0%

27

Waikato 1.5% 64.9% 63.4%

28

Waitaki 1.3% 61.4% 60.1%

29

Tukituki 1.2% 58.4% 57.2%

30

Hunua 1.2% 65.6% 64.4%

31


32

Clutha 1.0% 68.8% 67.9%

Southland

33

Helensville 0.8% 74.4% 73.6%

34

North Shore 0.6% 62.4% 61.8%

35

Northcote 0.6% 58.5% 57.9%

36


37

Papakura -0.1% 59.6% 59.7%

38

Waitakere -0.2% 44.7% 44.9%

39

Manurewa -0.2% 26.9% 27.1%

40

Te Atatu -0.8% 35.4% 36.2%

41

Mt Albert -1.3% 27.5% 28.8%

42

Mangere -1.3% 12.6% 14.0%

43

Invercargill -1.4% 54.6% 56.0%

44

Hamilton East -1.5% 57.1% 58.6%

45

Northland -1.6% 57.5% 59.1%

46

Rangitata -2.1% 55.8% 57.9%

47

Palmerston North -2.4% 41.1% 43.5%

48

New Lynn -2.4% 36.2% 38.7%

49

Whanganui -2.6% 53.7% 56.3%

50

Mt Roskill -2.6% 33.9% 36.6%

51

Hutt South -2.9% 34.3% 37.2%

52

Rongotai -3.0% 25.4% 28.3%

53

Nelson -4.0% 53.1% 57.1%

54

East Coast -4.2% 48.3% 52.5%

55

Manukau East -4.3% 14.2% 18.4%

56

Wellington Central -5.0% 32.5% 37.5%

57

Whangarei -5.0% 59.2% 64.2%

58

West Coast Tasman -6.7% 39.9% 46.5%

59

Rangitikei -6.8% 58.9% 65.7%

60

Rodney -6.9% 53.5% 60.4%

61

Napier -7.6% 52.1% 59.7%

62

Ohariu -8.0% 18.6% 26.5%

63

Coromandel -8.0% 55.0% 63.0%

Epsom had the largest electorate vote increase at 16.0% followed by Wigram on 9.7% and Selwyn on 8.7%. The biggest increase for a seat National did not win after Wigram was Mana at 7.0% and Rimutaka on 4.6%. National increased the electorate vote % in 36 seats and had it drop in 27 seats. The median electorate was Clutha-Southland with a 1.0% increase. The largest drops were in Coromandel and Ohariu at 8.0% each, then Napier, Rodney and Rangitikei.

- 16 -


NATIONAL ELECTORATE VOTE RELATIVE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Epsom 73.1% 37.8% 21.8%

2

Wigram 31.5% 40.3% 30.7%

3

Mana 19.9% 42.0% 35.0%

4

Selwyn 14.3% 69.1% 60.5%

5

Botany 13.9% 64.0% 56.2%

6

Rimutaka 12.4% 41.7% 37.1%

7

East Coast Bays 11.9% 65.0% 58.1%

8

New Plymouth 10.6% 53.3% 48.2%

9

Taupo 9.9% 63.7% 57.9%

10

Waimakariri 9.9% 47.3% 43.0%

11


12


13


14

Tauranga 8.1% 61.4% 56.8%

15

Pakuranga 6.9% 65.9% 61.6%

16

Ilam 6.2% 60.4% 56.9%

17

Otaki 6.0% 51.6% 48.7%

18


19


20


21

Port Hills 4.7% 38.9% 37.1%

22

Kaikoura 4.3% 60.2% 57.8%

23

Rotorua 4.2% 56.2% 53.9%

24

Bay of Plenty 4.0% 67.5% 64.9%

25

Wairarapa 3.2% 52.6% 51.0%

26

Tamaki 2.9% 67.7% 65.7%

27

Waikato 2.3% 64.9% 63.4%

28

Waitaki 2.2% 61.4% 60.1%

29

Tukituki 2.2% 58.4% 57.2%

30

Hunua 1.8% 65.6% 64.4%

31


32

Taranaki-King 1.4% 69.6% 68.7%

Country

33


34

Helensville 1.0% 74.4% 73.6%

35

Northcote 1.0% 58.5% 57.9%

36

North Shore 1.0% 62.4% 61.8%

37

Papakura -0.2% 59.6% 59.7%

38

Waitakere -0.4% 44.7% 44.9%

39

Manurewa -0.9% 26.9% 27.1%

40

Te Atatu -2.2% 35.4% 36.2%

41


42

Hamilton East -2.5% 57.1% 58.6%

43

Northland -2.7% 57.5% 59.1%

44

Rangitata -3.6% 55.8% 57.9%

45

Whanganui -4.6% 53.7% 56.3%

46

Mt Albert -4.7% 27.5% 28.8%

47


48

New Lynn -6.3% 36.2% 38.7%

49

Nelson -7.0% 53.1% 57.1%

50

Mt Roskill -7.2% 33.9% 36.6%

51

Hutt South -7.8% 34.3% 37.2%

52

Whangarei -7.8% 59.2% 64.2%

53

East Coast -8.0% 48.3% 52.5%

54

Mangere -9.7% 12.6% 14.0%

55

Rangitikei -10.4% 58.9% 65.7%

56

Rongotai -10.4% 25.4% 28.3%

57

Rodney -11.4% 53.5% 60.4%

58

Coromandel -12.7% 55.0% 63.0%

59

Napier -12.7% 52.1% 59.7%

60


61


62

Manukau East -23.1% 14.2% 18.4%

63

Ohariu -30.0% 18.6% 26.5%

The key difference between this table and the previous is the percentage change is not shown as an absolute shift in the percentage of the party vote, but the relative change as a percentage of the 2005 vote. Epsom had the largest relative change with a 73% increase, followed by Wigram, Mana and Selwyn. The median relative increase was TKC with a 1.4% relative increase.

- 17 -


NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE/PARTY VOTE

EV/PV EV PV

1

Bay of Plenty 117.1% 67.5% 57.6%

2

Nelson 117.0% 53.1% 45.4%

3

Whangarei 116.8% 59.2% 50.7%

4


5

Northland 114.8% 57.5% 50.1%

6

Maungakiekie 114.4% 49.9% 43.6%

7

Papakura 113.2% 59.6% 52.6%

8

Tauranga 113.2% 61.4% 54.2%

9

Helensville 113.1% 74.4% 65.8%

10

Taupo 113.0% 63.7% 56.3%

11

Whanganui 112.9% 53.7% 47.6%

12

Northcote 111.9% 58.5% 52.3%

13

Hamilton West 111.6% 53.3% 47.7%

14

Hamilton East 111.1% 57.1% 51.4%

15

Waitaki 111.1% 61.4% 55.3%

16

Tukituki 111.1% 58.4% 52.6%

17

Waitakere 111.1% 44.7% 40.3%

18

Selwyn 110.4% 69.1% 62.6%

19

Otaki 110.2% 51.6% 46.8%

20

Rotorua 109.6% 56.2% 51.3%

21


22

Invercargill 109.4% 54.6% 49.9%

23

Rangitikei 109.1% 58.9% 53.9%

24

Kaikoura 108.7% 60.2% 55.4%

25

Waikato 108.2% 64.9% 60.0%

26


27

Napier 106.8% 52.1% 48.8%

28

Coromandel 105.6% 55.0% 52.1%

29

Tamaki 105.1% 67.7% 64.4%

30

Mana 105.0% 42.0% 40.0%

31

Pakuranga 104.9% 65.9% 62.8%

32

Hunua 104.8% 65.6% 62.6%

33

Botany 104.7% 64.0% 61.1%

34

Rangitata 103.9% 55.8% 53.7%

35

Ilam 103.5% 60.4% 58.3%

36

East Coast Bays 103.4% 65.0% 62.9%

37

Manurewa 102.8% 26.9% 26.1%

38

Wairarapa 102.2% 52.6% 51.5%

39

North Shore 100.4% 62.4% 62.2%

40

New Plymouth 100.1% 53.3% 53.3%

41

Dunedin North 99.9% 32.4% 32.4%

42


43

East Coast 97.0% 48.3% 49.8%

44

Rimutaka 93.2% 41.7% 44.7%

45


46

New Lynn 92.4% 36.2% 39.2%

47

Dunedin South 91.5% 36.8% 40.2%

48

Wigram 90.5% 40.3% 44.5%

49

Port Hills 89.1% 38.9% 43.7%

50

Mangere 87.7% 12.6% 14.4%

51


52

Rodney 86.1% 53.5% 62.2%

53

Te Atatu 86.1% 35.4% 41.2%

54

Mt Roskill 85.9% 33.9% 39.5%

55


56

Hutt South 83.6% 34.3% 41.0%

57

Waimakariri 83.1% 47.3% 56.9%

58


59

Rongotai 76.9% 25.4% 33.0%

60

Mt Albert 75.0% 27.5% 36.7%

61

Manukau East 72.2% 14.2% 19.6%

62

Epsom 58.6% 37.8% 64.5%

63

Ohariu 37.4% 18.6% 49.6%

This shows how National did in the electorate vote relative to the party vote in each seat. At 100% it means the electorate vote was exactly equal to the party vote. Bay of Plenty just pipped Nelson as the seat where the candidate was most popular relative to the party vote at 117%. This was followed by Whangarei and TKC at 117% and 115% respectively. Waitakere was the highest of the general electorate seats National did not win at 111%. The median seat was Hunua at 104.8%. The lowest ratio for a seat National did win was Waimakariri at 83.1%.

- 18 -


NATIONAL 2011 ELECTORATE MARGINS

1

Helensville 21,066

2

Selwyn 19,451

3

Tamaki 17,786

4


5

Tauranga 17,360

6

Hunua 16,797

7


8

North Shore 15,228

9


10

Rodney 15,083

11


12

Waikato 14,198

13

Waitaki 14,143

14

Taupo 14,115

15

Pakuranga 13,846

16

Ilam 13,312

17

Coromandel 12,740

18

Whangarei 12,447

19

Kaikoura 11,445

20

Northland 11,362

21

Botany 10,741

22

Papakura 9,890

23

Tukituki 9,660

24

Rangitikei 9,382

25

Northcote 9,379

26

Hamilton East 8,275

27

Rotorua 7,357

28

Wairarapa 7,135

29

Nelson 7,088

30

Rangitata 6,537

31

Invercargill 6,263

32

Otaki 5,231

33

Whanganui 5,046

34

East Coast 4,774

35

Hamilton West 4,418

36

New Plymouth 4,270

37

Napier 3,701

38

Maungakiekie 3,021

39

Auckland Central 717

40

Waimakariri 642

41

Christchurch Central 45

42

Waitakere - 11

43

Wigram - 1,500

44

Mana - 2,230

45

Epsom - 2,261

46

West Coast Tasman - 2,539

47

Port Hills - 3,097

48

Palmerston North - 3,285

49

Rimutaka - 3,286

50

Dunedin North - 3,489

51

Dunedin South - 4,175

52

Hutt South - 4,825

53

New Lynn - 5,190

54

Christchurch East - 5,334

55

Te Atatu - 5,416

56

Wellington Central - 6,376

57

Mt Roskill - 7,271

58

Ohariu - 7,450

59

Manurewa - 8,610

60

Rongotai - 9,047

61

Mt Albert - 10,021

62

Mangere - 15,159

63

Manukau East - 15,838

Please note this is the margin between the National Candidate and either the 2

nd place getter or the person

who won the seat. In some seats National came third or lower so the margin shown here is not necessarily the margin the seat was won by – that is on another table. John Key in Helensville has the largest majority at 21,066. In total National won 41 seats and have margins of over 10,000 in 21 of them and over 5,000 in a further 12. National’s most marginal seat is Christchurch Central on 45 votes, followed by Waimakariri and Auckland Central. There are no National held seats with a majority of between 1,000 and 3,000. So there are 33 quite safe seats, five reasonably safe seats and three distinctly marginal seats. In three seats the National candidate was more than 10,000 votes behind the winning candidate. In a total of 11 seats the National candidate was more than 5,000 votes behind the winning candidate. There are five seats (Waitakere, Wigram, Mana, Epsom and WCT) National lost by less than 3.000 votes.

- 19 -


2011 ELECTORATE MAJORITIES

Majority Party

1

Helensville 21,066 NAT

2

Selwyn 19,451 NAT

3

Tamaki 17,786 NAT

4

Bay of Plenty 17,760 NAT

5

Tauranga 17,360 NAT

6

Hunua 16,797 NAT

7

Clutha Southland 16,168 NAT

8

Manukau East 15,838 LAB

9

North Shore 15,228 NAT

10

Taranaki-King Country 15,089 NAT

11

Rodney 15,083 NAT

12

East Coast Bays 14,641 NAT

13

Waikato 14,198 NAT

14

Waitaki 14,143 NAT

15

Taupo 14,115 NAT

16

Pakuranga 13,846 NAT

17

Ilam 13,312 NAT

18

Coromandel 12,740 NAT

19

Whangarei 12,447 NAT

20

Kaikoura 11,445 NAT

21

Northland 11,362 NAT

22

Botany 10,741 NAT

23

Mt Albert 10,021 LAB

24

Papakura 9,890 NAT

25

Tukituki 9,660 NAT

26

Rangitikei 9,382 NAT

27

Northcote 9,379 NAT

28

Rongotai 9,047 LAB

29

Manurewa 8,610 LAB

30

Hamilton East 8,275 NAT

31

Rotorua 7,357 NAT

32

Mt Roskill 7,271 LAB

33

Wairarapa 7,135 NAT

34

Mangere 7,126 LAB

35

Nelson 7,088 NAT

36

Hauraki-Waikato 6,852 LAB

37

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 6,541 LAB

38

Rangitata 6,537 NAT

39

Wellington Central 6,376 LAB

40

Invercargill 6,263 NAT

41

Te Atatu 5,416 LAB

42

Christchurch East 5,334 LAB

43

Otaki 5,231 NAT

44

New Lynn 5,190 LAB

45

Whanganui 5,046 NAT

46

Hutt South 4,825 LAB

47

East Coast 4,774 NAT

48

Hamilton West 4,418 NAT

49

New Plymouth 4,270 NAT

50

Dunedin South 4,175 LAB

51

Napier 3,701 NAT

52

Dunedin North 3,489 LAB

53

Waiariki 3,296 MAO

54

Rimutaka 3,286 LAB

55

Palmerston North 3,285 LAB

56

Te Tai Hauauru 3,221 MAO

57

Port Hills 3,097 LAB

58

Maungakiekie 3,021 NAT

59

West Coast Tasman 2,539 LAB

60

Epsom 2,261 ACT

61

Mana 2,230 LAB

62

Wigram 1,500 LAB

63

Te Tai Tonga 1,475 LAB

64

Ohariu 1,392 UFNZ

65

Te Tai Tokerau 1,165 MANA

66

Tamaki Makaurau 936 MAO

67

Auckland Central 717 NAT

68

Waimakariri 642 NAT

69

Christchurch Central 45 NAT

70

Waitakere 11 LAB

National has the top seven majorities. Ross Robertson for Labour in Manukau East is the 8

th,

There are 23 majorities over 10,000 – 21 National, and two Labour. Of the nine majorities below 2,000 three are National held, three are Labour held, one is Maori Party held one is Mana held, and one is United held. The median majority is Nelson on 7,088.

- 20 -


LABOUR 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Mangere 71.8%

2

Manukau East 66.7%

3

Manurewa 57.4%

4

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 49.6%

5


6

Mt Roskill 43.6%

7

Te Tai Hauauru 42.0%

8


9

Te Atatu 38.9%

10

Te Tai Tonga 38.5%

11

Mana 37.8%

12

Waitakere 37.2%

13

Mt Albert 37.1%

14

New Lynn 37.0%

15

Maungakiekie 36.9%

16

Hutt South 35.7%

17

Waiariki 35.0%

18

Dunedin South 35.0%

19

Te Tai Tokerau 34.7%

20

Rongotai 34.2%

21


22

Dunedin North 33.8%

23

Rimutaka 33.1%

24


25

Wigram 30.6%

26

Otaki 29.6%

27


28

Napier 29.3%

29

Hamilton West 29.1%

30

Invercargill 28.7%

31

Port Hills 27.6%

32

Whanganui 27.4%

33

Nelson 27.3%

34


35

Papakura 27.2%

36

Rangitata 27.0%

37


38

Ohariu 26.5%

39

New Plymouth 25.8%

40


41

Northcote 25.0%

42

Hamilton East 24.7%

43

Botany 24.5%

44

Tukituki 24.1%

45

East Coast 23.9%

46

Waimakariri 23.4%

47

Wairarapa 23.3%

48

Rotorua 22.0%

49

Waitaki 21.4%

50

Rangitikei 21.2%

51

Whangarei 20.3%

52

Taupo 20.3%

53

Kaikoura 19.9%

54

Ilam 19.2%

55

Pakuranga 18.6%

56

Coromandel 18.1%

57

Northland 17.6%

58

Tamaki 17.6%

59


60

Waikato 16.4%

61

North Shore 16.2%

62


63

Selwyn 16.1%

64

Hunua 16.1%

65


66

Epsom 15.5%

67

Tauranga 15.0%

68

Helensville 14.3%

69

Bay of Plenty 13.7%

70

Rodney 13.4%

Mangere had the best party vote for Labour at 71.8% followed by Manukau East. Labour got over 50% party vote in just three seats, and over 40% in just 8 seats. In 25 seats they got over 30%, and in 29 seats under 25%. Their median seat was Papakura at 27.2%. The seat they did best in that National won was Maungakiekie at 36.9%. Wellington Central had the lowest party vote of any seat they won. It was 37

th with 26.6%, followed by WCT

and Port Hills.

- 21 -


LABOUR 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Manukau East 77.1%

2

Mangere 75.9%

3

Manurewa 63.3%

4


5

Mt Albert 59.2%

6


7

Mt Roskill 57.1%

8


9

Te Atatu 53.8%

10

New Lynn 52.1%

11

Rimutaka 51.6%

12


13

Rongotai 50.5%

14

Hutt South 49.4%

15


16

Dunedin South 48.9%

17

Mana 48.6%

18

Port Hills 48.4%

19


20

Waimakariri 45.5%

21

Wigram 45.1%

22

Waitakere 44.8%

23


24

Dunedin North 44.3%

25


26

Napier 41.0%

27

Te Tai Tonga 40.6%

28

Maungakiekie 40.6%

29

New Plymouth 40.4%

30

Hamilton West 39.1%

31

Whanganui 37.5%

32

Otaki 37.5%

33

Rangitata 37.1%

34


35


36

Ohariu 34.8%

37

Invercargill 34.8%

38

Nelson 32.6%

39

Rotorua 32.1%

40

East Coast 31.8%

41

Wairarapa 31.6%

42

Hamilton East 31.6%

43


44

Northcote 29.5%

45

Tukituki 29.3%

46

Rangitikei 28.7%

47

Papakura 27.0%

48

Kaikoura 25.7%

49

Botany 25.3%

50

Waiariki 24.5%

51

Waitaki 24.0%

52

Whangarei 22.4%

53

Pakuranga 21.8%

54

Northland 21.6%

55

Taupo 20.7%

56

North Shore 20.6%

57

Ilam 20.3%

58


59


60

Tamaki 19.2%

61

Waikato 18.4%

62

Coromandel 17.3%

63

Bay of Plenty 16.9%

64


65

Hunua 16.8%

66

Selwyn 15.3%

67

Helensville 14.1%

68

Rodney 13.7%

69

Tauranga 13.2%

70

Epsom 10.4% Manukau East had the highest electorate vote for Labour at 77.1% followed by Mangere at 75.9%. Labour received over 50% of the EV in 13 seats. Their median seat was Tamaki Makaurau at 35.1%. Their lowest percentage for a seat which they won was Te Tai Tonga at 40.6%% and then Dunedin North at 44.3%. Conversely their best result in a seat they did not win was Waimakariri at 45.5%. Their worst seat was Epsom at 10.4% and then Tauranga with the candidate getting under 13.2%. In 21 seats their candidate got under 25%.

- 22 -


LABOUR 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE/PARTY VOTE

EV/PV EV PV

1

Waimakariri 194.3% 45.5% 23.4%

2


3


4

Port Hills 175.2% 48.4% 27.6%

5


6


7

Mt Albert 159.6% 59.2% 37.1%

8

New Plymouth 156.5% 40.4% 25.8%

9

Rimutaka 155.7% 51.6% 33.1%

10


11


12

Rongotai 147.8% 50.5% 34.2%

13

Wigram 147.4% 45.1% 30.6%

14

Rotorua 146.4% 32.1% 22.0%

15

New Lynn 140.9% 52.1% 37.0%

16

Napier 140.1% 41.0% 29.3%

17

Dunedin South 139.8% 48.9% 35.0%

18

Te Atatu 138.3% 53.8% 38.9%

19

Hutt South 138.3% 49.4% 35.7%

20

Rangitata 137.8% 37.1% 27.0%

21

Whanganui 136.8% 37.5% 27.4%

22

Wairarapa 135.8% 31.6% 23.3%

23

Rangitikei 135.3% 28.7% 21.2%

24

Hamilton West 134.1% 39.1% 29.1%

25

East Coast 133.3% 31.8% 23.9%

26

Ohariu 131.3% 34.8% 26.5%

27

Mt Roskill 131.1% 57.1% 43.6%

28

Dunedin North 130.9% 44.3% 33.8%

29

Kaikoura 129.5% 25.7% 19.9%

30

Mana 128.7% 48.6% 37.8%

31

Hamilton East 127.8% 31.6% 24.7%

32

North Shore 126.7% 20.6% 16.2%

33

Otaki 126.7% 37.5% 29.6%

34


35

Bay of Plenty 123.4% 16.9% 13.7%

36

Northland 122.7% 21.6% 17.6%

37

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 122.5% 60.7% 49.6%

38

Tukituki 121.4% 29.3% 24.1%

39

Invercargill 121.1% 34.8% 28.7%

40


41

Waitakere 120.3% 44.8% 37.2%

42

Nelson 119.4% 32.6% 27.3%

43

Northcote 117.8% 29.5% 25.0%

44

Pakuranga 117.1% 21.8% 18.6%

45

Manukau East 115.6% 77.1% 66.7%

46

East Coast Bays 115.6% 19.9% 17.2%

47

Waitaki 112.1% 24.0% 21.4%

48

Waikato 111.9% 18.4% 16.4%

49

Whangarei 110.4% 22.4% 20.3%

50

Manurewa 110.2% 63.3% 57.4%

51

Maungakiekie 110.1% 40.6% 36.9%

52

Tamaki 109.3% 19.2% 17.6%

53

Te Tai Tokerau 107.1% 37.1% 34.7%

54

Ilam 106.1% 20.3% 19.2%

55

Mangere 105.7% 75.9% 71.8%

56

Te Tai Tonga 105.4% 40.6% 38.5%

57

Hunua 104.0% 16.8% 16.1%

58

Botany 103.5% 25.3% 24.5%

59


60

Taupo 102.2% 20.7% 20.3%

61

Rodney 101.8% 13.7% 13.4%

62

Papakura 99.3% 27.0% 27.2%

63

Helensville 98.5% 14.1% 14.3%

64

Coromandel 95.8% 17.3% 18.1%

65

Selwyn 94.7% 15.3% 16.1%

66

Tauranga 87.6% 13.2% 15.0%

67


68

Te Tai Hauauru 71.0% 29.8% 42.0%

69

Waiariki 69.9% 24.5% 35.0%

70

Epsom 67.2% 10.4% 15.5%

This shows how Labour did in the electorate vote relative to the party vote in each seat. At 100% it means the electorate vote was exactly equal to the party vote. Waimakariri is the seat where the candidate was most popular relative to the party vote at 194%. This was followed by Wellington Central and Christchurch East at 185% and 176% respectively. The median seat was Bay of Plenty at 123.4%. The lowest ratio was in Epsom at 67% and Waiariki at 70%.

- 23 -


LABOUR 2011 ELECTORATE VOTE/LAB + GREEN PARTY VOTE

EV/PV EV PV

1

Waimakariri 142.7% 45.5% 31.9%

2


3

Rimutaka 119.7% 51.6% 43.1%

4

Te Atatu 116.6% 53.8% 46.1%

5


6


7

New Plymouth 113.9% 40.4% 35.5%

8

Mt Roskill 112.3% 57.1% 50.9%

9

Manukau East 110.1% 77.1% 70.1%

10

Mt Albert 109.1% 59.2% 54.2%

11

Rangitata 106.1% 37.1% 35.0%

12

New Lynn 106.1% 52.1% 49.1%

13


14

Rotorua 105.3% 32.1% 30.5%

15

Napier 104.9% 41.0% 39.1%

16

Hutt South 103.6% 49.4% 47.7%

17

Whanganui 103.1% 37.5% 36.4%

18

Manurewa 103.1% 63.3% 61.4%

19

Wigram 103.1% 45.1% 43.8%

20

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 103.0% 60.7% 58.9%

21

Hamilton West 102.8% 39.1% 38.0%

22

Port Hills 102.5% 48.4% 47.2%

23

Dunedin South 100.6% 48.9% 48.6%

24

Mangere 100.3% 75.9% 75.7%

25


26

Mana 96.2% 48.6% 50.5%

27

Otaki 95.6% 37.5% 39.2%

28

Wairarapa 95.5% 31.6% 33.1%

29


30

Waitakere 93.6% 44.8% 47.8%

31

Rangitikei 93.6% 28.7% 30.6%

32

East Coast 92.3% 31.8% 34.5%

33


34


35

Pakuranga 87.8% 21.8% 24.8%

36

Botany 87.7% 25.3% 28.9%

37


38

Tukituki 86.7% 29.3% 33.8%

39

Rongotai 86.6% 50.5% 58.4%

40

Hamilton East 86.3% 31.6% 36.6%

41

Te Tai Tokerau 85.7% 37.1% 43.3%

42

Ohariu 85.1% 34.8% 40.9%

43

Kaikoura 83.1% 25.7% 30.9%

44

Papakura 82.7% 27.0% 32.7%

45

Northcote 81.9% 29.5% 36.0%

46


47

East Coast Bays 78.7% 19.9% 25.3%

48

Waikato 78.5% 18.4% 23.5%

49

Dunedin North 77.4% 44.3% 57.2%

50

North Shore 75.9% 20.6% 27.1%

51

Bay of Plenty 75.6% 16.9% 22.4%

52

Nelson 75.2% 32.6% 43.4%

53

Te Tai Tonga 74.7% 40.6% 54.3%

54

Taupo 74.5% 20.7% 27.8%

55

Northland 73.5% 21.6% 29.4%

56

Tamaki 72.9% 19.2% 26.4%

57

Hunua 72.9% 16.8% 23.0%

58

Whangarei 72.4% 22.4% 31.0%

59

Waitaki 72.1% 24.0% 33.3%

60


61


62

Rodney 62.4% 13.7% 21.9%

63

Ilam 62.4% 20.3% 32.6%

64

Helensville 61.5% 14.1% 23.0%

65

Coromandel 58.8% 17.3% 29.4%

66

Te Tai Hauauru 56.1% 29.8% 53.2%

67

Waiariki 55.8% 24.5% 43.9%

68

Selwyn 55.4% 15.3% 27.6%

69

Tauranga 55.3% 13.2% 23.8%

70

Epsom 37.9% 10.4% 27.6%

In this table we compare the Labour electorate vote to the combined party vote for Labour and Greens. This removes the impact of Green voters who tactically voted for the Labour candidate to get a better idea of which Labour candidates attracted support beyond the main left party vote. Waimakariri is the seat where the candidate was most popular relative to the L/G party vote at 143%. This was followed by Christchurch East and Rimutaka at 128% and 120% respectively. In only 24 seats did the Labour candidate get more votes than the combined party vote for Labour and Greens. The median seat was Pakuranga at 88%. The lowest ratio was in Epsom at 38% and Tauranga at 55%.

- 24 -


LABOUR PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Mangere 10.2% 71.8% 61.6%

2

Manukau East 7.4% 66.7% 59.3%

3

Manurewa 5.2% 57.4% 52.2%

4

Mt Roskill 1.0% 43.6% 42.6%

5

Botany -0.7% 24.5% 25.2%

6

Papakura -2.1% 27.2% 29.3%

7

Waitakere -2.6% 37.2% 39.8%

8

Te Atatu -2.6% 38.9% 41.5%

9

Maungakiekie -2.7% 36.9% 39.5%

10

New Lynn -3.3% 37.0% 40.3%

11

Tamaki -3.6% 17.6% 21.2%

12

Hunua -3.6% 16.1% 19.7%

13

Pakuranga -3.7% 18.6% 22.3%

14

Helensville -4.1% 14.3% 18.5%

15

East Coast Bays -4.4% 17.2% 21.6%

16

Epsom -4.5% 15.5% 20.1%

17

Northcote -4.7% 25.0% 29.7%

18

North Shore -5.2% 16.2% 21.4%

19

Taranaki-King Country -5.2% 15.9% 21.2%

20

Mt Albert -5.5% 37.1% 42.6%

21

New Plymouth -5.6% 25.8% 31.4%

22

Hamilton East -6.1% 24.7% 30.8%

23

Waikato -6.1% 16.4% 22.6%

24

Mana -6.2% 37.8% 43.9%

25


26

Napier -6.3% 29.3% 35.6%

27

Rangitikei -6.3% 21.2% 27.5%

28

Hauraki-Waikato -6.4% 46.1% 52.6%

29

Bay of Plenty -6.5% 13.7% 20.2%

30

Hamilton West -6.5% 29.1% 35.6%

31


32

Ohariu -6.8% 26.5% 33.3%

33

Hutt South -7.1% 35.7% 42.8%

34

Rodney -7.2% 13.4% 20.6%

35

Otaki -7.4% 29.6% 37.0%

36

Northland -7.4% 17.6% 25.0%

37

Tauranga -7.6% 15.0% 22.6%

38

Ikaroa-Rawhiti -7.6% 49.6% 57.2%

39

Clutha Southland -7.7% 16.2% 23.9%

40

East Coast -7.8% 23.9% 31.7%

41

Rangitata -7.9% 27.0% 34.8%

42

Wairarapa -7.9% 23.3% 31.2%

43

Coromandel -7.9% 18.1% 26.0%

44

Tukituki -8.0% 24.1% 32.1%

45


46

Rotorua -8.1% 22.0% 30.0%

47

Whanganui -8.1% 27.4% 35.5%

48


49

Rimutaka -8.2% 33.1% 41.3%

50

Tamaki Makaurau -8.2% 41.5% 49.7%

51

Whangarei -8.3% 20.3% 28.6%

52

Ilam -8.3% 19.2% 27.5%

53

Kaikoura -8.3% 19.9% 28.2%

54

Rongotai -8.5% 34.2% 42.7%

55

Te Tai Hauauru -8.6% 42.0% 50.7%

56

Waitaki -8.7% 21.4% 30.1%

57

Taupo -8.9% 20.3% 29.2%

58

Auckland Central -9.4% 25.1% 34.6%

59

Selwyn -9.5% 16.1% 25.6%

60

Port Hills -9.5% 27.6% 37.1%

61

Wigram -9.6% 30.6% 40.2%

62

Christchurch Central -10.0% 29.4% 39.4%

63

Dunedin North -10.4% 33.8% 44.2%

64

Waimakariri -10.5% 23.4% 33.9%

65

Nelson -10.5% 27.3% 37.8%

66

Waiariki -10.5% 35.0% 45.6%

67

Te Tai Tokerau -11.0% 34.7% 45.6%

68

Te Tai Tonga -11.1% 38.5% 49.6%

69

Dunedin South -11.8% 35.0% 46.7%

70

Christchurch East -13.6% 31.7% 45.3%

Labour lost party vote in 66 of 70 seats. They increased it in Mangere, Manukau East, Manurewa and Mt Roskill. Overall 13 seats had a party vote decrease of less than 5%, 34 seats had a decrease of or over 7.5% The median change was in Otaki on -7.4% Labour’s largest drops were Christchurch East, Dunedin South and Te Tai Tonga.

- 25 -


LABOUR ELECTORATE VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Wigram 30.0% 45.1% 15.1%

2

Mangere 23.5% 75.9% 52.4%

3

Rimutaka 12.3% 51.6% 39.3%

4

Manukau East 11.0% 77.1% 66.1%

5

Manurewa 9.3% 63.3% 54.0%

6


7


8

Te Tai Tokerau 7.7% 37.1% 29.4%

9

Napier 7.1% 41.0% 33.9%

10


11


12

Tauranga 5.4% 13.2% 7.7%

13

Ohariu 4.9% 34.8% 29.9%

14


15


16

Botany 4.3% 25.3% 21.1%

17


18


19


20

Waitakere 1.9% 44.8% 42.8%

21

New Lynn 1.8% 52.1% 50.3%

22

Port Hills 1.7% 48.4% 46.7%

23

Waimakariri 1.4% 45.5% 44.1%

24

Mt Roskill 1.3% 57.1% 55.8%

25

Bay of Plenty 0.9% 16.9% 16.1%

26

Rangitata 0.9% 37.1% 36.3%

27


28


29

Te Tai Hauauru 0.4% 29.8% 29.4%

30

Te Atatu 0.4% 53.8% 53.4%

31

Pakuranga 0.2% 21.8% 21.6%

32

Hutt South 0.1% 49.4% 49.3%

33

Papakura -0.1% 27.0% 27.1%

34

Whanganui -0.1% 37.5% 37.6%

35

Mt Albert -0.1% 59.2% 59.3%

36

East Coast -0.2% 31.8% 32.0%

37


38

Hamilton East -0.4% 31.6% 32.0%

39

Kaikoura -0.7% 25.7% 26.4%

40

Rangitikei -0.7% 28.7% 29.4%

41

Wairarapa -0.8% 31.6% 32.4%

42

Nelson -0.9% 32.6% 33.5%

43

Whangarei -0.9% 22.4% 23.4%

44

Hunua -1.1% 16.8% 17.8%

45

Te Tai Tonga -1.2% 40.6% 41.8%

46

Northcote -1.5% 29.5% 31.0%

47

Tamaki -1.5% 19.2% 20.7%

48

Rongotai -1.9% 50.5% 52.4%

49


50

Helensville -3.0% 14.1% 17.1%

51

Epsom -3.1% 10.4% 13.6%

52

Dunedin South -3.4% 48.9% 52.3%

53

North Shore -3.4% 20.6% 24.0%

54

Ilam -3.8% 20.3% 24.1%

55

Mana -4.5% 48.6% 53.1%

56

Waikato -4.5% 18.4% 22.9%

57


58

Hamilton West -4.8% 39.1% 43.9%

59

Rodney -5.1% 13.7% 18.8%

60

Coromandel -5.2% 17.3% 22.5%

61

Tukituki -5.7% 29.3% 35.0%

62

Rotorua -6.4% 32.1% 38.5%

63

Waiariki -7.3% 24.5% 31.8%

64

New Plymouth -7.5% 40.4% 47.9%

65

Northland -7.6% 21.6% 29.2%

66

Otaki -7.7% 37.5% 45.2%

67

Waitaki -8.0% 24.0% 32.1%

68

Dunedin North -8.4% 44.3% 52.6%

69

Selwyn -14.5% 15.3% 29.8%

70

Taupo -18.7% 20.7% 39.4%

Labour’s increased the electorate vote in 32 seats. The biggest were Wigram, Mangere, Rimutaka and Manukau East. The median change was Mt Albert on -0.1% (from 2008) Labour lost EV in 38 seats. The biggest drops were 18.7% in Taupo, 14.5% in Selwyn, 8.4% in Dunedin North and 8.0% in Waitaki.

- 26 -


GREENS 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1


2

Rongotai 24.2%

3

Dunedin North 23.4%

4


5

Port Hills 19.6%

6

Mt Albert 17.2%

7


8

Nelson 16.0%

9

Te Tai Tonga 15.8%

10

Ohariu 14.4%

11


12

Dunedin South 13.6%

13

Ilam 13.4%

14

Wigram 13.2%

15

Mana 12.8%

16

New Lynn 12.2%

17

Epsom 12.0%

18

Hutt South 12.0%

19

Waitaki 11.9%

20

Hamilton East 11.9%

21

Northland 11.8%

22


23

Selwyn 11.4%

24

Coromandel 11.4%

25


26

Kaikoura 11.1%

27

Northcote 10.9%

28

North Shore 10.9%

29

Whangarei 10.6%

30

Waitakere 10.6%

31

East Coast 10.6%

32


33

Rimutaka 10.0%

34

Wairarapa 9.8%

35

Napier 9.8%

36


37

Tukituki 9.7%

38

New Plymouth 9.7%

39

Otaki 9.6%

40

Maungakiekie 9.5%

41

Rangitikei 9.4%

42

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 9.4%

43


44

Whanganui 9.0%

45

Hamilton West 8.8%

46

Waiariki 8.8%

47

Tamaki 8.8%

48

Tauranga 8.8%

49

Bay of Plenty 8.7%

50


51

Helensville 8.6%

52

Te Tai Tokerau 8.6%

53

Rotorua 8.6%

54

Waimakariri 8.5%

55

Rodney 8.5%

56

Invercargill 8.4%

57


58


59

Rangitata 8.1%

60

Taupo 7.6%

61

Mt Roskill 7.3%

62

Te Atatu 7.2%

63

Waikato 7.0%

64

Hunua 6.9%

65

Pakuranga 6.2%

66

Papakura 5.5%

67

Botany 4.4%

68

Manurewa 3.9%

69

Mangere 3.8%

70

Manukau East 3.4%

The Greens again did exceptionally well in Wellington achieving 27.7% in Wellington Central (beating Labour in the party vote) and 24.2% in Rongotai. Also above 20% was Dunedin North and Auckland Central. In nine seats they got over 15%, and in 33 seats, over 10%. Their median seat was Napier on 9.8%. This is less than their average of 11.1% so their stronger seats drags them up considerably. Their worst seats were Manukau East and Mangere. They were below 5% in four seats.

- 27 -


GREEN PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Te Tai Tonga 8.6% 15.8% 7.2%

2


3


4


5

Rongotai 7.2% 24.2% 17.0%

6


7

Nelson 6.6% 16.0% 9.4%

8

Wigram 6.2% 13.2% 6.9%

9


10

Waiariki 6.2% 8.8% 2.7%

11

Mt Albert 6.2% 17.2% 11.0%

12


13

Port Hills 5.8% 19.6% 13.8%

14


15


16

Ohariu 5.3% 14.4% 9.1%

17

Ilam 5.2% 13.4% 8.2%

18

Epsom 5.1% 12.0% 6.9%

19

Te Tai Tokerau 5.1% 8.6% 3.5%

20


21

Waitaki 4.9% 11.9% 7.0%

22


23

Whangarei 4.6% 10.6% 6.0%

24

New Lynn 4.5% 12.2% 7.6%

25


26

Northland 4.4% 11.8% 7.3%

27

Mana 4.4% 12.8% 8.4%

28

Hutt South 4.3% 12.0% 7.7%

29

Napier 4.3% 9.8% 5.5%

30

Northcote 4.2% 10.9% 6.7%

31

East Coast 4.2% 10.6% 6.4%

32

North Shore 4.2% 10.9% 6.6%

33

Tauranga 4.2% 8.8% 4.6%

34


35

Waitakere 4.2% 10.6% 6.5%

36

Kaikoura 4.1% 11.1% 7.0%

37

Wairarapa 4.1% 9.8% 5.7%

38


39

Rimutaka 4.0% 10.0% 5.9%

40

Rangitikei 4.0% 9.4% 5.4%

41


42


43

Otaki 4.0% 9.6% 5.6%

44

Selwyn 3.9% 11.4% 7.5%

45

Rangitata 3.8% 8.1% 4.2%

46

Bay of Plenty 3.8% 8.7% 4.9%

47

Coromandel 3.8% 11.4% 7.6%

48


49

Helensville 3.7% 8.6% 4.9%

50

Whanganui 3.7% 9.0% 5.3%

51

Tukituki 3.6% 9.7% 6.0%

52

Rotorua 3.6% 8.6% 5.0%

53


54

Hunua 3.5% 6.9% 3.4%

55

Tamaki 3.5% 8.8% 5.3%

56


57

Rodney 3.3% 8.5% 5.2%

58


59

Te Atatu 3.2% 7.2% 4.0%

60

New Plymouth 3.2% 9.7% 6.4%

61

Waikato 3.1% 7.0% 3.9%

62

Taupo 3.0% 7.6% 4.5%

63

Waimakariri 3.0% 8.5% 5.4%

64

Mt Roskill 3.0% 7.3% 4.3%

65

Pakuranga 2.6% 6.2% 3.6%

66

Papakura 2.5% 5.5% 3.0%

67

Botany 2.0% 4.4% 2.4%

68

Mangere 1.8% 3.8% 2.0%

69

Manurewa 1.7% 3.9% 2.2%

70

Manukau East 1.6% 3.4% 1.8%

The Greens gained support in all 70 seats. Their biggest increases were two of the Maori seats at and then Dunedin North and Auckland Central. Overall 20 seats had a party vote increase of over 5%. The median increase was Waitakere on 4.2%. The smallest increases were the three South Auckland seats.

- 28 -


NZ FIRST 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Tauranga 14.9%

2

Bay of Plenty 12.6%

3

Coromandel 11.0%

4

Waiariki 10.9%

5

Rotorua 10.6%

6


7

Northland 10.2%

8

Te Tai Tokerau 9.9%

9


10

Whangarei 9.7%

11

Whanganui 9.5%

12

Te Tai Tonga 8.8%

13

East Coast 8.5%

14

Papakura 8.5%

15

Taupo 8.4%

16

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 8.3%

17

Otaki 8.1%

18

Waikato 8.1%

19

Te Tai Hauauru 7.9%

20

Wairarapa 7.8%

21

Hamilton West 7.7%

22

Hunua 7.4%

23

Manurewa 7.4%

24

Rangitikei 7.3%

25


26

Dunedin South 7.2%

27

Rodney 7.0%

28

Invercargill 6.8%

29

Te Atatu 6.7%

30

Kaikoura 6.6%

31

Waitakere 6.5%

32

Manukau East 6.3%

33

New Plymouth 6.3%

34


35

Rimutaka 6.3%

36

New Lynn 6.2%

37

Wigram 6.0%

38

Hutt South 6.0%

39

Waimakariri 5.9%

40

Mangere 5.9%

41

Tukituki 5.9%

42

Rangitata 5.8%

43


44

Dunedin North 5.7%

45

Pakuranga 5.7%

46


47

Northcote 5.6%

48

Napier 5.6%

49

Nelson 5.4%

50

Hamilton East 5.4%

51

Waitaki 5.2%

52

Maungakiekie 5.2%

53


54


55


56

North Shore 4.9%

57

Mana 4.8%

58

Port Hills 4.8%

59

Selwyn 4.7%

60

Mt Roskill 4.7%

61

Helensville 4.6%

62

Mt Albert 4.5%

63

Rongotai 4.4%

64

Botany 4.4%

65


66

Ilam 4.0%

67

Ohariu 3.9%

68

Tamaki 3.8%

69


70

Epsom 2.6% Seven seats got into double digits for NZ First. In total 53 out of 70 seats had NZ First over the 5% threshold. Their median seat was Rimutaka at 6.3%. Their lowest support was in central city seats such as Epsom and Wellington Central – at 2.6% and 2.9%.

- 29 -


NZ FIRST PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Tauranga 4.8% 14.9% 10.1%

2

Coromandel 4.7% 11.0% 6.3%

3


4

Whanganui 4.4% 9.5% 5.1%

5

Bay of Plenty 4.4% 12.6% 8.3%

6


7

Rotorua 4.2% 10.6% 6.3%

8

Northland 3.8% 10.2% 6.4%

9

Whangarei 3.5% 9.7% 6.2%

10


11


12

Papakura 3.4% 8.5% 5.1%

13

Taupo 3.3% 8.4% 5.1%

14

Te Tai Tonga 3.2% 8.8% 5.6%

15

Waiariki 3.1% 10.9% 7.8%

16

Wigram 3.1% 6.0% 3.0%

17

Hunua 3.0% 7.4% 4.4%

18


19

Waitakere 2.9% 6.5% 3.6%

20

Manurewa 2.8% 7.4% 4.5%

21

Waikato 2.8% 8.1% 5.3%

22


23


24

Tukituki 2.7% 5.9% 3.2%

25

East Coast 2.7% 8.5% 5.8%

26

Manukau East 2.6% 6.3% 3.7%

27

Otaki 2.6% 8.1% 5.5%

28

New Lynn 2.6% 6.2% 3.6%

29


30

Te Atatu 2.6% 6.7% 4.2%

31

Mangere 2.6% 5.9% 3.3%

32

Hutt South 2.5% 6.0% 3.5%

33

Northcote 2.5% 5.6% 3.2%

34

Rodney 2.4% 7.0% 4.5%

35


36

Nelson 2.4% 5.4% 3.0%

37

Christchurch 2.3% 6.3% 3.9%

East

38


39

Wairarapa 2.3% 7.8% 5.6%

40

Botany 2.3% 4.4% 2.1%

41

New Plymouth 2.3% 6.3% 4.0%

42


43

Pakuranga 2.2% 5.7% 3.5%

44

Rangitikei 2.2% 7.3% 5.1%

45

Rimutaka 2.2% 6.3% 4.1%

46


47

Port Hills 2.1% 4.8% 2.8%

48


49


50

Rangitata 2.0% 5.8% 3.8%

51


52

Kaikoura 2.0% 6.6% 4.6%

53

Waimakariri 2.0% 5.9% 4.0%

54

Rongotai 1.9% 4.4% 2.5%

55

North Shore 1.9% 4.9% 2.9%

56


57

Napier 1.9% 5.6% 3.7%

58

Mt Roskill 1.9% 4.7% 2.8%

59

Mana 1.9% 4.8% 3.0%

60

Mt Albert 1.9% 4.5% 2.7%

61


62

Ohariu 1.8% 3.9% 2.1%

63


64

Selwyn 1.7% 4.7% 3.0%

65


66

Waitaki 1.6% 5.2% 3.6%

67

Ilam 1.5% 4.0% 2.4%

68


69

Tamaki 1.3% 3.8% 2.5%

70

Epsom 1.2% 2.6% 1.5%

NZ First gained party vote in all 70 seats. Their biggest increase was Tauranga and Coromandel. The median increase was Te Tai Tokerau at 2.4% Their smallest increase was Epsom at 1.2%.

- 30 -


CONSERVATIVE 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Rodney 6.4%

2

Northland 5.2%

3

Whangarei 4.2%

4

Rangitikei 4.2%

5

Bay of Plenty 4.1%

6

Tauranga 4.1%

7

Waikato 4.1%

8

Coromandel 3.9%

9


10

Tukituki 3.8%

11

Kaikoura 3.8%

12

Wairarapa 3.8%

13


14

Hunua 3.7%

15

Taupo 3.7%

16

Pakuranga 3.5%

17

Helensville 3.5%

18

Hamilton East 3.4%

19

Napier 3.4%

20

Waimakariri 3.3%

21

Whanganui 3.2%

22

Otaki 3.2%

23

Hamilton West 3.2%

24


25


26

Papakura 3.1%

27

East Coast 3.0%

28


29

Rotorua 3.0%

30

Waitaki 2.9%

31

Rimutaka 2.8%

32

Te Atatu 2.8%

33

Nelson 2.7%

34

Botany 2.7%

35

New Lynn 2.6%

36

Northcote 2.5%

37

Selwyn 2.5%

38

Mt Roskill 2.4%

39

Waitakere 2.4%

40

Rangitata 2.4%

41

Wigram 2.4%

42

Manurewa 2.3%

43

North Shore 2.2%

44


45

Ilam 2.1%

46

Hutt South 2.0%

47

Invercargill 2.0%

48

New Plymouth 2.0%

49

Mana 1.8%

50


51

Maungakiekie 1.7%

52

Ohariu 1.7%

53

Port Hills 1.6%

54

Mt Albert 1.6%

55

Mangere 1.6%

56

Tamaki 1.5%

57

Dunedin South 1.5%

58

Manukau East 1.5%

59

Dunedin North 1.4%

60

Epsom 1.1%

61

Rongotai 1.1%

62


63


64

Te Tai Tonga 0.7%

65

Te Tai Tokerau 0.5%

66


67


68

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 0.4%

69

Te Tai Hauauru 0.4%

70

Waiariki 0.3% Conservative’s highest party vote was in Rodney where Colin Craig stood – at 6.4%. Northland at 5.2% is the only other seat in which they broke the 5% threshold. They got over 3% party vote in 29 seats. Their median seat was New Lynn on 2.6%. The Maori seats were their worse seats followed by Wellington Central and Auckland Central.

- 31 -


MAORI PARTY 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Waiariki 21.2%

2


3


4


5

Te Tai Tonga 13.5%

6


7


8


9

Rotorua 1.3%

10

East Coast 1.1%

11

Northland 0.8%

12

Rangitikei 0.8%

13

Tukituki 0.8%

14

Whanganui 0.7%

15


16

Rongotai 0.7%

17


18

Taupo 0.7%

19

Mana 0.7%

20

Manurewa 0.6%

21

Maungakiekie 0.6%

22

Te Atatu 0.6%

23

Wairarapa 0.6%

24

Whangarei 0.6%

25

Napier 0.6%

26

New Plymouth 0.6%

27

North Shore 0.6%

28

Hutt South 0.6%

29

Waikato 0.6%

30

Epsom 0.6%

31

Bay of Plenty 0.6%

32

Hamilton West 0.6%

33

Hamilton East 0.6%

34

Papakura 0.6%

35

Otaki 0.6%

36

Rimutaka 0.6%

37

Northcote 0.6%

38

Waitakere 0.5%

39

Mangere 0.5%

40

Ohariu 0.5%

41

Hunua 0.5%

42

Mt Albert 0.5%

43

Helensville 0.5%

44

Tamaki 0.5%

45


46

Invercargill 0.5%

47

Ilam 0.5%

48

Tauranga 0.5%

49


50

Manukau East 0.5%

51

Nelson 0.5%

52

New Lynn 0.4%

53

Wigram 0.4%

54

Coromandel 0.4%

55

Kaikoura 0.4%

56


57


58

Dunedin North 0.4%

59

Port Hills 0.4%

60


61

Mt Roskill 0.4%

62

Selwyn 0.4%

63

Rodney 0.4%

64

Waitaki 0.4%

65

Rangitata 0.3%

66

Pakuranga 0.3%

67

Dunedin South 0.3%

68


69

Botany 0.3%

70

Waimakariri 0.3%

As expected the Maori Party did best amongst the seven Maori seats. They had considerable variation though ranging from 21.2% in Waiariki to 11.2% in Te Tai Tokerau. Their next best seats were Auckland Central and Rotorua on 1.6% and 1.3%. In only 10 seats did they get over 1% Their median seat was Otaki on 0.6%. Their worst seats were Waimakariri, Botany, Chch East and Dunedin South on 0.3%.

- 32 -


MAORI PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1


2

Pakuranga 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%

3

Rangitata 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%

4


5

Epsom 0.0% 0.6% 0.6%

6


7

North Shore 0.0% 0.6% 0.6%

8

Tamaki 0.0% 0.5% 0.5%

9


10

Hunua 0.0% 0.5% 0.5%

11

Botany 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%

12

Ilam 0.0% 0.5% 0.5%

13

Selwyn 0.0% 0.4% 0.4%

14

Nelson -0.1% 0.5% 0.5%

15


16

Tauranga -0.1% 0.5% 0.6%

17


18

Northcote -0.1% 0.6% 0.6%

19

Mt Roskill -0.1% 0.4% 0.5%

20

Tukituki -0.1% 0.8% 0.9%

21

Wairarapa -0.1% 0.6% 0.7%

22

Bay of Plenty -0.1% 0.6% 0.7%

23

Waimakariri -0.1% 0.3% 0.4%

24

Rodney -0.1% 0.4% 0.5%

25

Dunedin South -0.1% 0.3% 0.4%

26

Wigram -0.1% 0.4% 0.6%

27

Rangitikei -0.1% 0.8% 0.9%

28

Kaikoura -0.1% 0.4% 0.6%

29

Waikato -0.1% 0.6% 0.7%

30

New Plymouth -0.1% 0.6% 0.7%

31


32

Waitaki -0.1% 0.4% 0.5%

33

Napier -0.2% 0.6% 0.8%

34

Rimutaka -0.2% 0.6% 0.7%

35

Ohariu -0.2% 0.5% 0.7%

36


37


38


39

Te Atatu -0.2% 0.6% 0.8%

40


41

Waitakere -0.2% 0.5% 0.8%

42

Rongotai -0.2% 0.7% 0.9%

43

Taupo -0.2% 0.7% 0.9%

44

Hutt South -0.3% 0.6% 0.8%

45

Mt Albert -0.3% 0.5% 0.8%

46

New Lynn -0.3% 0.4% 0.7%

47

Otaki -0.3% 0.6% 0.8%

48

Dunedin North -0.3% 0.4% 0.7%

49

Port Hills -0.3% 0.4% 0.7%

50

Whanganui -0.3% 0.7% 1.0%

51

Whangarei -0.3% 0.6% 0.9%

52

Coromandel -0.3% 0.4% 0.7%

53


54

Papakura -0.3% 0.6% 0.9%

55

Hamilton East -0.4% 0.6% 1.0%

56

Mana -0.4% 0.7% 1.0%

57

East Coast -0.4% 1.1% 1.4%

58

Mangere -0.4% 0.5% 1.0%

59

Hamilton West -0.5% 0.6% 1.1%

60

Rotorua -0.5% 1.3% 1.8%

61

Manukau East -0.5% 0.5% 1.0%

62

Manurewa -0.6% 0.6% 1.3%

63

Northland -0.7% 0.8% 1.5%

64

Te Tai Tonga -8.8% 13.5% 22.3%

65

Te Tai Hauauru -9.7% 21.1% 30.8%

66

Ikaroa-Rawhiti -11.9% 15.0% 26.9%

67

Waiariki -14.1% 21.2% 35.3%

68


69


70

Te Tai Tokerau -19.6% 11.2% 30.8%

The Maori Party increased their vote in Auckland Central only. Their median decrease was Ohariu on -0.2%. Their biggest decrease was Te Tai Tokerau on -19.6%.

- 33 -


MANA PARTY 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1


2

Waiariki 16.6%

3


4


5

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 9.6%

6

Te Tai Hauauru 8.2%

7

Te Tai Tonga 5.9%

8

Northland 1.3%

9

Rotorua 1.0%

10

Mangere 1.0%

11

Manukau East 0.9%

12

Manurewa 0.9%

13

East Coast 0.8%

14


15

Whangarei 0.7%

16


17

Dunedin North 0.6%

18

Mt Albert 0.6%

19

Waitakere 0.6%

20

Rongotai 0.5%

21

Te Atatu 0.5%

22

Papakura 0.5%

23

Mana 0.5%

24

New Lynn 0.4%

25

Taupo 0.4%

26

Maungakiekie 0.4%

27

Hutt South 0.4%

28

Hamilton West 0.4%

29


30

Tukituki 0.3%

31

Northcote 0.3%

32

Port Hills 0.3%

33

Waikato 0.3%

34


35

Tamaki 0.3%

36


37

Hamilton East 0.3%

38


39

Coromandel 0.3%

40

Bay of Plenty 0.3%

41

Botany 0.2%

42

Epsom 0.2%

43

Napier 0.2%

44

Whanganui 0.2%

45

Rimutaka 0.2%

46


47

Wairarapa 0.2%

48

Otaki 0.2%

49

New Plymouth 0.2%

50

Hunua 0.2%

51

Wigram 0.2%

52

Mt Roskill 0.2%

53

Rangitikei 0.2%

54

Invercargill 0.2%

55

Ohariu 0.2%

56


57

Nelson 0.2%

58

Dunedin South 0.2%

59

Helensville 0.2%

60

North Shore 0.2%

61

Tauranga 0.2%

62

Ilam 0.2%

63


64

Rodney 0.2%

65

Selwyn 0.1%

66

Waitaki 0.1%

67

Kaikoura 0.1%

68

Pakuranga 0.1%

69

Waimakariri 0.1%

70

Rangitata 0.1%

As expected the Mana Party did best amongst the seven Maori seats. They had considerable variation though ranging from 24.5% in Te Tai Tokerau to 5.9% in Te Tai Tonga. Their next best seats were Northland and Rotorua on 1.3% and 1.0%. In only 10 seats did they get over 1%. They got below 0.5% in 47 seats. Their median seat was Tamaki on 0.3%. Their worst seats were Rangitata and Waimakariri on 0.1%.

- 34 -


ACT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Epsom 2.6%

2

Tamaki 2.4%

3

Waikato 1.9%

4

North Shore 1.9%

5


6

Pakuranga 1.8%

7

Whangarei 1.7%

8

Botany 1.6%

9

Northland 1.6%

10


11

Rangitikei 1.5%

12


13

Northcote 1.5%

14

Tukituki 1.5%

15

Hunua 1.5%

16

Helensville 1.4%

17

Coromandel 1.4%

18

Wairarapa 1.3%

19

Invercargill 1.2%

20

Rodney 1.2%

21

Maungakiekie 1.2%

22


23


24

Taupo 1.2%

25

Tauranga 1.2%

26

Bay of Plenty 1.2%

27

Ilam 1.2%

28

Waitaki 1.1%

29

Kaikoura 1.1%

30

Whanganui 1.1%

31

Mt Roskill 1.1%

32

Napier 1.1%

33

Papakura 1.0%

34

Hamilton East 1.0%

35

New Plymouth 1.0%

36

Rangitata 1.0%

37

New Lynn 1.0%

38

East Coast 0.9%

39

Mt Albert 0.9%

40

Selwyn 0.9%

41

Hamilton West 0.9%

42

Te Atatu 0.9%

43

Rotorua 0.9%

44

Waitakere 0.8%

45


46


47

Hutt South 0.8%

48

Ohariu 0.8%

49


50

Port Hills 0.7%

51

Nelson 0.7%

52

Dunedin North 0.7%

53

Rimutaka 0.7%

54

Otaki 0.7%

55

Rongotai 0.6%

56

Wigram 0.6%

57

Manurewa 0.6%

58

Dunedin South 0.6%

59

Waimakariri 0.5%

60

Manukau East 0.5%

61

Mana 0.5%

62


63

Mangere 0.3%

64

Te Tai Tokerau 0.2%

65


66

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 0.2%

67

Te Tai Tonga 0.2%

68


69

Waiariki 0.1%

70

Te Tai Hauauru 0.1% Act’s highest party vote was in Epsom where John Banks stood – at 2.8%. They got over 1.2% party vote (enough for a second MP) in 18 seats. Their median seat was New Plymouth on 1.0%. The Maori seats were their worse seats followed by Mangere, Christchurch East and Mana.

- 35 -


ACT PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1


2

Waiariki -0.1% 0.1% 0.2%

3

Te Tai Hauauru -0.3% 0.1% 0.4%

4


5


6

Te Tai Tonga -0.5% 0.2% 0.7%

7


8

Mangere -0.8% 0.3% 1.1%

9

Manukau East -1.1% 0.5% 1.6%

10

Wigram -1.2% 0.6% 1.9%

11


12

Rongotai -1.3% 0.6% 2.0%

13


14


15


16


17

East Coast -1.6% 0.9% 2.6%

18

Port Hills -1.6% 0.7% 2.4%

19

Tauranga -1.7% 1.2% 2.9%

20

Nelson -1.8% 0.7% 2.5%

21

Bay of Plenty -1.8% 1.2% 2.9%

22

Rotorua -1.8% 0.9% 2.6%

23

Manurewa -1.8% 0.6% 2.4%

24

Rimutaka -1.9% 0.7% 2.6%

25

Mana -1.9% 0.5% 2.4%

26

Otaki -1.9% 0.7% 2.6%

27


28

Kaikoura -2.0% 1.1% 3.1%

29

Whanganui -2.0% 1.1% 3.1%

30


31

Hutt South -2.0% 0.8% 2.8%

32


33


34

Whangarei -2.1% 1.7% 3.8%

35

New Plymouth -2.2% 1.0% 3.2%

36

Te Atatu -2.3% 0.9% 3.2%

37

Mt Roskill -2.3% 1.1% 3.4%

38

Taupo -2.3% 1.2% 3.5%

39

Waitaki -2.5% 1.1% 3.6%

40

Waitakere -2.6% 0.8% 3.4%

41

Northland -2.6% 1.6% 4.2%

42

Mt Albert -2.6% 0.9% 3.5%

43

Napier -2.6% 1.1% 3.7%

44

Ohariu -2.7% 0.8% 3.4%

45

Ilam -2.7% 1.2% 3.8%

46

New Lynn -2.7% 1.0% 3.7%

47

Rangitata -2.7% 1.0% 3.8%

48

Selwyn -2.8% 0.9% 3.7%

49


50

Rangitikei -2.8% 1.5% 4.3%

51


52

Tukituki -2.9% 1.5% 4.4%

53


54

Coromandel -3.0% 1.4% 4.4%

55


56

Botany -3.2% 1.6% 4.8%

57

Wairarapa -3.2% 1.3% 4.5%

58


59


60

Epsom -3.7% 2.6% 6.2%

61

Northcote -3.8% 1.5% 5.3%

62

East Coast Bays -4.1% 1.6% 5.7%

63

Waikato -4.5% 1.9% 6.5%

64

Papakura -5.0% 1.0% 6.1%

65

Helensville -5.3% 1.4% 6.7%

66

Rodney -5.4% 1.2% 6.6%

67

Pakuranga -5.4% 1.8% 7.2%

68

North Shore -5.6% 1.9% 7.5%

69

Tamaki -5.6% 2.4% 7.9%

70

Hunua -6.8% 1.5% 8.2%

ACT lost support in every seat. Their smallest decreases were the Maori seats as there was less vote to lose. The median drop was New Plymouth on 2.2% Seven seats had a drop of over 5% with the largest being Hunua which dropped 6.8%.

- 36 -


UNITED FUTURE 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Ohariu 1.8%

2


3


4

Rimutaka 1.0%

5

Nelson 1.0%

6

Taupo 0.9%

7

East Coast 0.9%

8

Kaikoura 0.9%

9

Hutt South 0.9%

10

Rangitata 0.9%

11

Waitaki 0.8%

12

Rangitikei 0.8%

13

Rotorua 0.8%

14

Invercargill 0.8%

15


16

Hamilton East 0.8%

17

Wigram 0.8%

18

Waikato 0.8%

19

Ilam 0.7%

20

Hamilton West 0.7%

21

Otaki 0.7%

22

Selwyn 0.7%

23

Coromandel 0.7%

24

Mana 0.7%

25

Wairarapa 0.7%

26


27

Tukituki 0.6%

28


29

Dunedin North 0.6%

30

Napier 0.6%

31

Rongotai 0.6%

32

Northcote 0.6%

33

Waimakariri 0.6%

34

Bay of Plenty 0.6%

35

Tauranga 0.6%

36


37


38

Dunedin South 0.5%

39

Whangarei 0.5%

40

North Shore 0.5%

41

Hunua 0.5%

42

Port Hills 0.5%

43

Pakuranga 0.5%

44

Northland 0.5%

45

Helensville 0.5%

46

New Plymouth 0.5%

47

Whanganui 0.4%

48


49

Papakura 0.4%

50

Tamaki 0.4%

51

Waitakere 0.4%

52

Rodney 0.4%

53

Te Atatu 0.4%

54

Mt Roskill 0.4%

55

Maungakiekie 0.4%

56

New Lynn 0.4%

57

Mt Albert 0.3%

58

Botany 0.3%

59

Epsom 0.3%

60

Te Tai Tonga 0.2%

61

Manurewa 0.2%

62


63

Mangere 0.2%

64


65

Manukau East 0.2%

66

Te Tai Hauauru 0.1%

67

Waiariki 0.1%

68

Te Tai Tokerau 0.1%

69

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 0.1%

70

Tamaki Makaurau 0.1% United’s highest party vote was in Ohariu where Peter Dunne stood – at 1.8%. Second was West Coast-Tasman at 1.4% They got 1.0% party vote or higher in just 5 seats. Their median seat was Tauranga on 0.6%. Six of the Maori seats were their worse seats followed by Manukau East, Mangere and Auckland Central

- 37 -


UNITED FUTURE PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1


2


3

Taupo 0.1% 0.9% 0.8%

4

Waitaki 0.1% 0.8% 0.7%

5

Tukituki 0.1% 0.6% 0.5%

6


7

Te Tai Tonga 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%

8


9


10

Wairarapa 0.0% 0.7% 0.7%

11

Napier 0.0% 0.6% 0.6%

12


13

Rangitata 0.0% 0.9% 0.9%

14

Waiariki 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%

15

Rotorua 0.0% 0.8% 0.8%

16

Kaikoura 0.0% 0.9% 0.9%

17


18

Coromandel -0.1% 0.7% 0.7%

19


20

Nelson -0.1% 1.0% 1.1%

21


22

Waikato -0.1% 0.8% 0.9%

23

Tauranga -0.1% 0.6% 0.7%

24

Bay of Plenty -0.1% 0.6% 0.7%

25


26

Whangarei -0.2% 0.5% 0.7%

27

New Plymouth -0.2% 0.5% 0.7%

28

Whanganui -0.2% 0.4% 0.7%

29

Northland -0.2% 0.5% 0.7%

30


31

Wigram -0.2% 0.8% 1.0%

32


33

Rongotai -0.3% 0.6% 0.9%

34

Otaki -0.3% 0.7% 1.0%

35

Waitakere -0.3% 0.4% 0.7%

36

Manukau East -0.3% 0.2% 0.5%

37

East Coast Bays -0.3% 0.4% 0.7%

38

Mt Albert -0.3% 0.3% 0.7%

39

Helensville -0.3% 0.5% 0.8%

40

Rangitikei -0.3% 0.8% 1.1%

41


42


43

Hunua -0.3% 0.5% 0.8%

44


45

Tamaki -0.4% 0.4% 0.8%

46

Epsom -0.4% 0.3% 0.7%

47

Rodney -0.4% 0.4% 0.8%

48

Botany -0.4% 0.3% 0.7%

49


50

Northcote -0.4% 0.6% 1.0%

51


52

Papakura -0.4% 0.4% 0.8%

53

Rimutaka -0.4% 1.0% 1.4%

54

Port Hills -0.4% 0.5% 0.9%

55

Manurewa -0.4% 0.2% 0.6%

56

Ohariu -0.4% 1.8% 2.2%

57

Selwyn -0.5% 0.7% 1.1%

58

New Lynn -0.5% 0.4% 0.8%

59

North Shore -0.5% 0.5% 0.9%

60

Mt Roskill -0.5% 0.4% 0.9%

61

Te Atatu -0.5% 0.4% 0.9%

62

Pakuranga -0.5% 0.5% 1.0%

63

Hutt South -0.5% 0.9% 1.4%

64


65


66

Mana -0.6% 0.7% 1.3%

67

Ilam -0.7% 0.7% 1.4%

68

Mangere -0.7% 0.2% 0.9%

69


70

East Coast -1.3% 0.9% 2.2%

United Future gained votes in 17 seats, with the largest gains being Taranaki-King Country and West Coast-Tasman. The median drop was Waitakere on -0.3% Seven seats had a drop of over -0.5% with the largest being East Coast which dropped 1.3%.

- 38 -


RIGHT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE (National/ACT/United Future)

1

Helensville 67.6%

2

Epsom 67.4%

3

Tamaki 67.2%

4


5

Pakuranga 65.1%

6


7

North Shore 64.6%

8

Hunua 64.5%

9

Selwyn 64.3%

10

Rodney 63.7%

11

Botany 63.1%

12


13

Waikato 62.7%

14

Ilam 60.2%

15

Bay of Plenty 59.4%

16

Taupo 58.4%

17

Waimakariri 58.0%

18

Kaikoura 57.4%

19

Waitaki 57.2%

20

Rangitikei 56.3%

21

Tauranga 56.0%

22

Rangitata 55.5%

23

New Plymouth 54.7%

24

Tukituki 54.7%

25

Northcote 54.3%

26

Coromandel 54.2%

27

Papakura 54.1%

28

Wairarapa 53.5%

29

Hamilton East 53.2%

30

Rotorua 52.9%

31

Whangarei 52.9%

32

Northland 52.2%

33

Ohariu 52.1%

34

Invercargill 51.9%

35

East Coast 51.6%

36

Napier 50.4%

37

Hamilton West 49.4%

38

Whanganui 49.1%

39

Otaki 48.2%

40


41

Nelson 47.1%

42


43

Rimutaka 46.4%

44

Wigram 46.0%

45


46


47

Maungakiekie 45.2%

48

Port Hills 44.9%

49


50

Hutt South 42.7%

51

Te Atatu 42.5%

52

Waitakere 41.5%

53

Dunedin South 41.3%

54

Mana 41.1%

55

Mt Roskill 41.0%

56

New Lynn 40.6%

57


58

Mt Albert 37.9%

59

Rongotai 34.2%

60

Dunedin North 33.7%

61

Manurewa 27.0%

62

Manukau East 20.3%

63

Te Tai Tonga 15.3%

64

Mangere 14.9%

65

Te Tai Tokerau 9.5%

66


67


68

Te Tai Hauauru 8.1%

69

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 6.2%

70

Waiariki 5.9%

Helensville at 67.6% had the highest right vote followed by Epsom. 14 seats in total had a right vote over 60% and 36 seats had a right vote of over 50%. The median electorate was East Coast on 51.6%. 13 seats had a right vote of below 40%. The lowest electorates after the Maori seats and South Auckland were Dunedin North, Rongotai and Mt Albert. The seat with the highest right party vote that Labour won was West Coast-Tasman at 48.0%. The seat with the lowest right party vote that National won was Auckland Central at 43.6%.

- 39 -


CENTRE 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE (Conservative/Maori)

1

Waiariki 21.5%

2


3


4


5

Te Tai Tonga 14.2%

6


7


8

Rodney 6.7%

9

Northland 6.0%

10

Rangitikei 5.0%

11

Whangarei 4.8%

12

Bay of Plenty 4.7%

13

Waikato 4.7%

14

Tauranga 4.6%

15

Tukituki 4.6%

16


17

Wairarapa 4.4%

18

Coromandel 4.3%

19

Taupo 4.3%

20

Rotorua 4.3%

21

Hunua 4.3%

22

Kaikoura 4.2%

23


24

East Coast 4.1%

25

Helensville 4.0%

26

Hamilton East 4.0%

27

Napier 4.0%

28

Whanganui 3.9%

29

Pakuranga 3.9%

30

Hamilton West 3.8%

31

Otaki 3.8%

32

Papakura 3.6%

33


34


35


36

Waimakariri 3.5%

37

Te Atatu 3.4%

38

Rimutaka 3.3%

39

Waitaki 3.2%

40

Nelson 3.2%

41

Northcote 3.0%

42

New Lynn 3.0%

43

Botany 3.0%

44

Waitakere 3.0%

45

Manurewa 2.9%

46

Selwyn 2.8%

47

North Shore 2.8%

48

Mt Roskill 2.8%

49

Wigram 2.8%

50

Rangitata 2.7%

51

Hutt South 2.6%

52

Ilam 2.6%

53

New Plymouth 2.6%

54

Invercargill 2.5%

55


56


57

Mana 2.4%

58

Maungakiekie 2.4%

59


60

Ohariu 2.2%

61

Mangere 2.1%

62

Mt Albert 2.1%

63

Port Hills 2.1%

64

Tamaki 2.0%

65

Manukau East 1.9%

66

Rongotai 1.8%

67

Dunedin South 1.8%

68

Dunedin North 1.8%

69

Epsom 1.7%

70


The combination of Conservatives and Maori as centre parties may seem strange but they were the only two parties saying they could support either National or Labour, and in turn not ruled out by either. After the Maori seats Rodney is next highest with 6.7% for centre parties, followed by Northland and Rangitikei. The median electorate was Palmerston North on 3.5% The lowest electorates for the centre were Wellington Central and Epsom.

- 40 -


LEFT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE (Labour/Greens/NZ First/Mana)

1

Mangere 82.5%

2


3

Manukau East 77.3%

4


5


6


7

Waiariki 71.4%

8

Manurewa 69.6%

9


10

Te Tai Tonga 69.0%

11

Dunedin North 63.5%

12

Rongotai 63.4%

13

Mt Albert 59.3%

14


15

Dunedin South 55.9%

16

Mana 55.9%

17

New Lynn 55.8%

18

Mt Roskill 55.8%

19

Waitakere 54.8%

20

Hutt South 54.0%

21

Te Atatu 53.4%

22


23

Port Hills 52.4%

24

Maungakiekie 52.0%

25


26


27

Wigram 50.0%

28


29

Rimutaka 49.6%

30

Nelson 49.0%

31

Otaki 47.5%

32


33

Whanganui 46.1%

34

Hamilton West 46.1%

35

Ohariu 45.0%

36

Napier 44.9%

37

Invercargill 44.2%

38

East Coast 43.8%

39

Hamilton East 42.2%

40

Rotorua 42.1%

41

New Plymouth 42.0%

42

Northcote 41.9%

43

Papakura 41.7%

44

Whangarei 41.3%

45

Wairarapa 41.2%

46

Rangitata 40.9%

47

Northland 40.9%

48

Coromandel 40.7%

49

Tukituki 40.0%

50

Tauranga 38.8%

51

Waitaki 38.7%

52

Rangitikei 38.1%

53

Waimakariri 37.9%

54

Kaikoura 37.6%

55

Ilam 36.7%

56

Taupo 36.6%

57

Bay of Plenty 35.3%

58

Botany 33.5%

59

Selwyn 32.5%

60

North Shore 32.1%

61

Waikato 31.8%

62


63

Hunua 30.6%

64

Pakuranga 30.6%

65

Epsom 30.4%

66


67

Tamaki 30.4%

68


69

Rodney 29.0%

70

Helensville 27.8%

Mangere at 82.5% had the highest left vote followed by Te Tai Tokerau and Manukau East. 27 seats in total had a left vote over 50%. The median electorate was Ohariu on 45.0%. 21 seats have a total left vote of under 40%. The lowest electorates were Helensville, Rodney and Clutha-Southland, all under 30%.

- 41 -


RIGHT – LEFT 2011 PARTY VOTE PERCENTAGE

1

Helensville 39.9%

2

Epsom 37.0%

3

Tamaki 36.8%

4


5

Rodney 34.7%

6


7

Pakuranga 34.4%

8

Hunua 33.9%

9

North Shore 32.5%

10

Selwyn 31.8%

11


12

Waikato 30.8%

13

Botany 29.6%

14

Bay of Plenty 24.1%

15

Ilam 23.5%

16

Taupo 21.8%

17

Waimakariri 20.1%

18

Kaikoura 19.8%

19

Waitaki 18.6%

20

Rangitikei 18.2%

21

Tauranga 17.1%

22

Tukituki 14.7%

23

Rangitata 14.6%

24

Coromandel 13.5%

25

New Plymouth 12.8%

26

Papakura 12.4%

27

Northcote 12.4%

28

Wairarapa 12.4%

29

Whangarei 11.6%

30

Northland 11.4%

31

Hamilton East 11.0%

32

Rotorua 10.8%

33

East Coast 7.9%

34

Invercargill 7.7%

35

Ohariu 7.1%

36

Napier 5.5%

37

Hamilton West 3.3%

38

Whanganui 3.0%

39

Otaki 0.6%

40


41

Nelson -1.9%

42

Christchurch East -2.8%

43

Rimutaka -3.2%

44

Wigram -4.1%

45

Palmerston North -4.8%

46

Christchurch Central -5.0%

47

Maungakiekie -6.8%

48

Port Hills -7.5%

49

Auckland Central -9.1%

50

Te Atatu -11.0%

51

Hutt South -11.3%

52

Waitakere -13.3%

53

Dunedin South -14.6%

54

Mana -14.8%

55

Mt Roskill -14.8%

56

New Lynn -15.2%

57

Wellington Central -17.5%

58

Mt Albert -21.4%

59

Rongotai -29.1%

60

Dunedin North -29.8%

61

Manurewa -42.6%

62

Te Tai Tonga -53.7%

63

Manukau East -57.0%

64

Te Tai Hauauru -61.3%

65

Waiariki -65.5%

66

Tamaki Makaurau -66.7%

67

Hauraki-Waikato -67.6%

68

Mangere -67.7%

69

Te Tai Tokerau -68.1%

70

Ikaroa-Rawhiti -70.6%

Helensville had the largest margin between the vote for the right and the left at 39.9%. They are followed by Epsom and Tamaki. 17 seats have a greater than 20% gap, and 40 seats (out of 70) have the right with more votes than the left. In 30 seats the left got more votes than the right, In 21 of those seats, by more than 10%. The median electorate was Ohariu with the right 7.1% ahead of the left. The seven Maori seats and South Auckland are most favourable to the left with party vote margins of over 40%. The seat with the highest right-left margin Labour won was West Coast-Tasman at +0.6%. The seat with the lowest right-left margin that National won was Auckland Central at -9.1%.

- 42 -


RIGHT PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1


2

Wigram 5.2% 46.0% 40.8%

3

Waimakariri 5.1% 58.0% 52.9%

4


5

Selwyn 4.5% 64.3% 59.7%

6


7

Port Hills 3.9% 44.9% 40.9%

8

Te Tai Tonga 3.4% 15.3% 12.0%

9

Rangitata 2.3% 55.5% 53.2%

10

Ilam 2.2% 60.2% 58.1%

11

Rimutaka 1.8% 46.4% 44.6%

12

Kaikoura 1.6% 57.4% 55.9%

13

Waitaki 1.6% 57.2% 55.7%

14


15

Nelson 1.1% 47.1% 46.0%

16


17


18


19


20


21

Mana 0.7% 41.1% 40.4%

22


23

Hutt South 0.7% 42.7% 42.0%

24


25

Taupo 0.5% 58.4% 57.9%

26

New Plymouth 0.4% 54.7% 54.3%

27


28

Ohariu 0.2% 52.1% 51.9%

29

Waiariki 0.1% 5.9% 5.8%

30

Rongotai 0.0% 34.2% 34.2%

31


32

Otaki -0.2% 48.2% 48.4%

33

Wairarapa -0.3% 53.5% 53.9%

34

Tukituki -0.4% 54.7% 55.1%

35

Te Tai Tokerau -0.5% 9.5% 10.0%

36

East Coast -0.8% 51.6% 52.4%

37

Rotorua -0.9% 52.9% 53.8%

38

Whanganui -0.9% 49.1% 50.0%

39


40

Napier -1.1% 50.4% 51.5%

41

Hamilton West -1.5% 49.4% 50.8%

42

Rangitikei -1.6% 56.3% 57.9%

43

Whangarei -1.6% 52.9% 54.5%

44

Tamaki -1.7% 67.2% 68.9%

45

Hamilton East -1.8% 53.2% 55.0%

46

Mt Albert -1.9% 37.9% 39.8%

47

North Shore -1.9% 64.6% 66.5%

48

Tauranga -1.9% 56.0% 57.9%

49

Epsom -2.1% 67.4% 69.5%

50

Waikato -2.1% 62.7% 64.8%

51


52

Northcote -2.4% 54.3% 56.7%

53

Rodney -2.6% 63.7% 66.3%

54

Coromandel -2.6% 54.2% 56.8%

55

Pakuranga -2.8% 65.1% 67.8%

56

Bay of Plenty -2.9% 59.4% 62.3%

57

East Coast Bays -2.9% 64.9% 67.8%

58


59

Te Atatu -3.1% 42.5% 45.6%

60

Helensville -3.5% 67.6% 71.2%

61

Mangere -3.5% 14.9% 18.4%

62

Botany -3.7% 63.1% 66.8%

63

Waitakere -3.8% 41.5% 45.3%

64

New Lynn -4.1% 40.6% 44.6%

65

Papakura -4.3% 54.1% 58.4%

66

Northland -4.3% 52.2% 56.6%

67

Hunua -5.2% 64.5% 69.7%

68

Mt Roskill -5.4% 41.0% 46.4%

69

Manukau East -6.0% 20.3% 26.3%

70

Manurewa -6.4% 27.0% 33.4%

The largest increase in right vote was Christchurch East at 8.4% and then Wigram at 5.2%. The top five increases are all in or by Christchurch. Next after that was Dunedin South. 30 of 70 electorates had an increase in the party vote for the right. The median change was Te Tai Tokerau on -0.5% The largest drops in support for the right was Manurewa, Manukau East, Mt Roskill and Hunua – all over 5% drops.

- 43 -


LEFT PARTY VOTE CHANGE 08 TO 11

Change 2011 2008

1

Te Tai Tokerau 20.7% 77.6% 56.9%

2


3

Waiariki 15.3% 71.4% 56.2%

4

Mangere 14.9% 82.5% 67.6%

5


6

Manukau East 11.2% 77.3% 66.2%

7


8

Te Tai Hauauru 9.8% 69.4% 59.6%

9

Manurewa 9.5% 69.6% 60.1%

10

Te Tai Tonga 6.1% 69.0% 63.0%

11

Mt Roskill 5.2% 55.8% 50.5%

12

Waitakere 4.3% 54.8% 50.5%

13

Papakura 3.5% 41.7% 38.1%

14

New Lynn 3.4% 55.8% 52.4%

15

Botany 3.1% 33.5% 30.4%

16


17

Te Atatu 2.9% 53.4% 50.5%

18

Hunua 2.6% 30.6% 28.0%

19

Mt Albert 2.4% 59.3% 57.0%

20

Epsom 1.6% 30.4% 28.8%

21

Bay of Plenty 1.5% 35.3% 33.8%

22

Northcote 1.5% 41.9% 40.4%

23

Helensville 1.3% 27.8% 26.4%

24

Northland 1.3% 40.9% 39.5%

25


26

Tauranga 1.0% 38.8% 37.8%

27

Tamaki 1.0% 30.4% 29.4%

28

North Shore 0.7% 32.1% 31.4%

29

Pakuranga 0.5% 30.6% 30.1%

30


31


32

Rongotai 0.4% 63.4% 62.9%

33


34


35

Coromandel 0.2% 40.7% 40.5%

36

Rotorua 0.1% 42.1% 42.0%

37

Mana -0.2% 55.9% 56.1%

38

Ohariu -0.2% 45.0% 45.3%

39


40

Whanganui -0.5% 46.1% 46.7%

41

Waikato -0.5% 31.8% 32.4%

42

New Plymouth -0.6% 42.0% 42.6%

43

Napier -0.7% 44.9% 45.6%

44

East Coast -0.7% 43.8% 44.5%

45

Hutt South -0.8% 54.0% 54.9%

46

Whangarei -0.9% 41.3% 42.2%

47

Rangitikei -0.9% 38.1% 39.0%

48

Dunedin North -0.9% 63.5% 64.4%

49


50


51

Otaki -1.7% 47.5% 49.2%

52

Rodney -1.8% 29.0% 30.8%

53

Wairarapa -2.1% 41.2% 43.2%

54

Nelson -2.1% 49.0% 51.1%

55


56

Tukituki -2.2% 40.0% 42.2%

57


58

Rimutaka -2.7% 49.6% 52.3%

59

Rangitata -2.8% 40.9% 43.7%

60

Taupo -2.9% 36.6% 39.5%

61

Ilam -2.9% 36.7% 39.6%

62

Kaikoura -2.9% 37.6% 40.6%

63

Waitaki -3.0% 38.7% 41.7%

64

Port Hills -3.9% 52.4% 56.3%

65

Dunedin South -4.6% 55.9% 60.5%

66


67

Selwyn -5.6% 32.5% 38.0%

68

Wigram -5.8% 50.0% 55.8%

69

Waimakariri -6.4% 37.9% 44.3%

70


The largest increase in left vote were five of the Maori seats, plus Mangere and Manukau East. They all went up by over 10%, with Mana making an impact there. 36 of 70 electorates had an increase in the party vote for the left. The median change was Coromandel on +0.2% The largest drops in support for the left was the Christchurch seats and Dunedin South.

- 44 -


2011 VALID (PARTY) VOTERS

1


2

Rodney 38,563

3

Waitaki 38,541

4

Ohariu 37,828

5

Tamaki 37,782

6

Otaki 37,633

7

North Shore 37,181

8

Rongotai 36,879

9

Selwyn 36,851

10

Epsom 36,769

11

Tauranga 36,620

12


13

Waimakariri 36,016

14

Rangitata 35,931

15

Helensville 35,809

16

Hunua 35,411

17

Nelson 35,267

18


19

Wairarapa 35,021

20

Coromandel 34,564

21

Whangarei 34,512

22

Mana 34,425

23

Rimutaka 34,333

24


25

Ilam 34,169

26

Kaikoura 34,128

27

Tukituki 34,098

28

New Plymouth 33,932

29

Napier 33,907

30

Maungakiekie 33,831

31


32

Taupo 33,747

33

New Lynn 33,685

34


35

Port Hills 33,282

36


37


38

Northcote 33,030

39

Mt Albert 32,999

40

Hutt South 32,914

41

Northland 32,665

42

Pakuranga 32,595

43

Invercargill 32,355

44

Mt Roskill 32,330

45

Wigram 32,230

46


47

Whanganui 31,858

48


49

Rangitikei 31,731

50

Papakura 31,621

51

Rotorua 31,517

52

Waikato 31,467

53

Waitakere 31,118

54


55

Te Atatu 30,835

56

Dunedin North 29,965

57

East Coast 29,743

58

Botany 29,034

59


60


61

Manukau East 26,960

62

Manurewa 25,277

63

Mangere 25,007

64

Te Tai Tokerau 19,782

65

Waiariki 18,807

66

Tamaki Makaurau 18,648

67

Ikaroa-Rawhiti 18,262

68

Te Tai Hauauru 18,188

69

Hauraki-Waikato 17,893

70

Te Tai Tonga 17,629 Wellington Central again had the highest number of valid voters at 39,372 followed by Rodney and Waitaki. The median electorate was Port Hills with 33,282 votes. The mean was 31,964. After the seven Maori seats which traditionally always have the lowest turnouts, we have South Auckland and then Christchurch Central.

- 45 -


2011 PARTY VOTE PLACINGS

NAT LAB GRE NZF CON MAO MAN ACT UF

1st 56 14

2nd

7 55 2 5 1

3rd

1 1 51 12 1 4

4th

0 13 55 1 1

5th

1 3 3 58 1 3 1

6th

5 1 3 4 4 44 9

7th

9 16 6 12 27

8th

41 6 8 15

9th

1 48 3 18

This shows the number of seats in which each party came 1

st, 2

nd, 3

rd etc. in the party vote. This is out of the

seven parliamentary parties plus NZ First only. National won the party vote in 56 of the 70 seats, was 2

nd in 7 and 3

rd to 6

th or the seven Maori seats.

Labour won the party vote in 14 seats and was 2

nd in 55 seats. In Wellington Central they came third.

The Greens were 2

rd in 2 seats and 3rd in 51 seats. Median placing was 3

rd.

NZ First were 3

rd in the party vote in 12 seats Median placing was 4th.

Conservatives were 5

th in 58 seats. Median placing was 5th.

The Maori Party were 2

nd in five seats. Median placing was 8

th.

Mana was 2

nd in one seat and 3

rd in 4 seats, Median placing was 9

th.

ACT were 5

th in 3 seats. Median placing was 6

th.

United Future were 5

th in 3 seats. Median placing was 7

th.

- 46 -


2011 ELECTORATE VOTE PLACINGS

NAT LAB GRE NZF CON MAO MAN ACT UF

1st 41 23 3 1 1 1

2nd

21 44 1 2 2

3rd

1 3 53 7 2 2 2

4th

6 18 26 3 9 3

5th

5 22 5 19 5

6th

2 1 2 6 16 6

7th

2 1 3 5

8th

1 2 This shows the number of seats in which each party came 1

st, 2

nd, 3

rd etc. in the electorate vote. This is out

of the parliamentary parties (and Conservatives) only. National won the electorate vote in 41 seats, was 2

nd in 21 of them and 3

rd in one seat (Ohariu-Belmont).

Labour won the electorate vote in 23 of the 70 seats, was 2

nd in 44 seats and 3

rd in three seats (Epsom,

Rodney and Waiariki). The Greens were 3

rd in 53 seats.

NZ First were 3

rd in seven seats.

The Maori Party won three Maori seats, were 2

nd in two others and 3

rd in the remaining two.

Mana won one seat, were 2

nd in two seats, 3

rd in two seats and 4

th in three seats (including Manukau East).

Conservatives were 2

nd in one seat (Rodney) and 3

rd in two further seats (Botany and Pakuranga).

Documents

2011 Final Election Results