2011-2012 Report on Enrollments and Impaction

Academic Senate PresentationNovember 10, 2011

Steve Murray, Acting Vice President – Academic Affairs

1

College Year FTES (Actual vs. Target)

2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-1224,000

25,500

27,000

28,500

30,000

31,500

27704

28541

Actual CY FTES CY FTES BaselineTargetOriginal CY 2010-11 Baseline (September 2009) Revised 2010-11 Baseline Estimate (9/13/2010)CY 2010-11 Budgeted B (10/13/2010) CY 2010-11 ActualCY 2011-12 Baseline Target (July 2011) CY 2011-12 estimated (3% over Baseline Target)

CY F

TES

2

New UndergraduatesFall Spring

FTF UGT FTF UGT

2005-06 3,943 3,659 30 1,905

2006-07 3,851 3,895 18 1,998

2007-08 4,154 4,008 22 2,019

2008-09 4,697 3,082 11 2,681

2009-10* 4,065 3,800 8 33

2010-11** 3,912 4,165 5 2,124

2011-12***(exceed current budgeted targets by 3%) 4,195 3,532 5 1,100

2012-13 (preliminary –exceed current targets by 5%)

4,100 4,100 5 2,000

*The campus was required to reduce enrollment to budgeted target beginning in 2009-10 (very limited transfers in spring 2010). ** Target revisions October 2010 resulted in opportunities for spring 2011 transfers.***The campus is now fully impacted (all majors) at the undergraduate level.

4

Implementing CSU Impaction Criteria is Necessary to Control

Enrollments by Limiting The Admission of New Students

Types of CSU Admissions Impaction• Campus impaction

– A local area is established; – Applicants from outside that area must meet

supplemental admissions criteria– Usually criteria are implemented by "level", e.g., first-time

freshmen, transfers, etc.

• Program impaction– Supplemental admissions criteria such as competitive

admissions may be required of all applicants for specified (or all) majors/programs

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Principles for Implementing ImpactionAdmission criteria will be set to the degree possible to:

• Provide access to students consistent with the fiscal and campus resources required to maintain quality instruction and student and other services.

• Ensure the diversity of the CSU Fullerton student body - one that reflects our region’s population.

• Give admissions priority to applicants near the CSU Fullerton campus.– Give preference to students from our local admissions area. – Take into account students from outside our local admissions area,

many of whom live close to campus in areas historically served by CSU Fullerton.

7

Guiding Principles for ImpactionIn implementing our impaction plan, the campus

will attempt to adopt admissions strategies that:–do not inadvertently alter the mix of lower

and upper division students and majors. – take into consideration the historical balance

of freshmen and transfer students and the numbers of students enrolled in campus programs or majors.

Fall 2011 Admissions Outcomes• The university received 35,235 freshmen

applications for 3,900 anticipated enrolled seats

• We admitted 16,452 and enrolled 4,195 FTF• We denied admission to 4,652 CSU eligible FTF

• The university received 16,771 upper division transfer applications for 3,900 anticipated enrolled seats

• We admitted 7,447 and enrolled 3,532 UDTs• We denied admission to 3,539 CSU eligible UDTs

Current Admissions Areas for Campus Impaction

• Admissions Areas are defined by the campus and approved by the Chancellor’s Office– First-time Freshman local admissions area = all high

schools in Orange County, Walnut, Whittier, Chino Valley, Corona, Norco and Alvord School districts.

– New Upper Division Transfer local admissions area is defined as all Orange County Community Colleges.

• Students must have earned their majority of units from an Orange County Community College to be considered a local applicant.

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Upper Division Transfer Admissions Area with Community College and other CSU campus Locations

20 miles

LA Basin CSU Campus Local Admissions AreasCampus First-Time Freshman Upper-Division Transfer

Dominguez Hills State of California State of California

Fullerton All high schools in Orange County, Chino, Corona/Norco, Walnut, Whittier, and Alvord School District

Majority of courses from or in combination with each of the community colleges in Orange County

Long Beach The following school districts: ABC, Anaheim (Cypress and Oxford only), Bellflower, Compton, Downey, Huntington Beach, Long Beach, Los Alamitos, and Paramount

30 units of coursework from Long Beach City College and/or Orange Coast, Golden West or Coast Community College

Los Angeles All high schools located East to 605 freeway and the Los Angeles County Line, West to 405 freeway, South to Highway 42 (Firestone Blvd.), and North to LA County Line

Majority of coursework from or in combination with these community colleges: East LA College, Glendale City College, Los Angeles CC, Los Angeles Trade Tech, Pasadena City College, Rio Hondo College, Santa Monica College, Los Angeles Southwest College, and West Los Angeles College

Northridge All high schools from main portion of Los Angeles County and all of Ventura County State of California

Pomona All high schools west of the 15 Freeway, north of the 60 Freeway, east of the 605 Freeway and south of the 210 Freeway (Walnut)

Majority of courses from Mt. San Antonio College or Citrus College or both

San Bernardino

The following school districts in San Bernardino County: Apple Valley, Chaffey, Colton, Fontana, Hesperia, Morongo, Redlands, Rialto, Rim of the World, San Bernardino City, Victor Valley, and Yucaipa. Riverside County: Banning, Beaumont, Coachella Valley, Desert Sands, Jurupa Valley, Moreno Valley, Palm Springs, and Riverside.

At least one unit from California Community Colleges in San Bernardino and Riverside Counties

*Bold Green denotes overlap with CSU Fullerton Local Admissions Area

Rebalancing In/Out Admissions Ratios

Impaction and Characteristics of the 2011 Freshman Class

FA 10 FA 11Admissions Standard (Local/non-Local) EI ≥ 2900/3600 EI ≥ 3200/3500

% Local 70% 57%Mean HS GPA (Local/non-Local) 3.19/3.47 3.29/3.47

Mean SAT (Local/non-Local) 991/1028 1020/1022ARTS 6.8% 7.9%CBE 16.4% 17.1%COMM 7.2% 8.8%ECS 9.1% 8.5%HHD 9.4% 10.7%H&SS 19.1% 18.0%NSM 11.2% 12.2%OTHER 20.7% 16.8%

Impaction and Characteristics of the 2011 Freshman Class

FA 10 FA 11CSU Eligible Deniedlocal/non-local 0/4,456 889/3,763

Women/Men 57%/43% 58%/42%

Black 2.7% 2.4%

Hispanic 40.9% 39.8%

Asian/PI 21.8% 22.9%

White 25.5% 24.9%

Unknown 3.2% 2.3%

International 1.9% 2.4%

Multiple Race 3.8% 5.1%

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CSU Eligible Denied First-time Freshmen by Admissions Area and HS District

HS District (local) FA11 HS District (outside) FA11 FA10

Anaheim Union High 118 Los Angeles Unified 392 373

Garden Grove Unified 115 Chaffey Joint Union High 117 141

Corona-Norco Unified 77 Downey Unified 101 86

Santa Ana Unified 72 Riverside Unified 77 82

Fullerton Joint Union High 72 Other Outside LA County district 71 47

Chino Valley Unified 56 Torrance Unified 70 95

Walnut Valley Unified 46 Pomona Unified 65 75

Whittier Union High 46 Long Beach Unified 63 88

Placentia-Yorba Linda Unified 42 San Gabriel Unified 61 52

Saddleback Valley Unified 37 ABC Unified 61 72

Huntington Beach Union High 37 Montebello Unified 56 42

Total (local area) 889 Total (outside) 3,763 4,456

FTF High School StatisticsFall Census

Impaction Zone Headcount HS GPA SAT VERB SAT MATH SAT TOTAL Eligibility Index

Local Area 2,398(2,727)

3.29(3.19)

500(485)

520(506)

1020(991)

3656(3540)

Outside Local Area 1,797(1,185)

3.47(3.47)

503(505)

519(523)

1022(1028)

3802(3808)

All First-Time Freshmen

4,195(3,912)

3.37(3.27)

501(491)

520(511)

1021(1002)

3719(3620)

(Fall 2010 data are shown in parentheses)

Effect of ImpactionFirst-time Freshmen

AY 2005-06 AY 2006-07 AY 2007-08 AY 2008-09 AY 2009-10 AY 2010-11 AY 2011-12(Fall 2011

only)

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

(2,421)(2,475)

(2,727)

(2,398)

(2,287)(1,598)

(1,190)

(1,797)

Local Area School Outside Local Area

First-time Full-time Freshman Six-Year Graduation Rate by Eligibility Index Range

(three cohort average rate = 51%)

< 2900 2900-2999

3000-3099

3100-3199

3200-3299

3300-3399

3400-3499

3500-3599

3600-3699

3700-3799

3800-3899

3900 or more

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

FA 2004 Cohort39%

FA 2004 Cohort45%

FA 2004 Cohort54%

FA 2004 Cohort67%

FA 2002 Cohort FA 2003 Cohort FA 2004 Cohort

Impaction and Characteristics of the 2011 UG Transfer Class

FA 10 FA 11Admissions Standard (Local/non-Local) TranGPA ≥ 2.00/3.70 TranGPA ≥ 2.30/3.30

% Local 90% 78%Mean Transfer GPA (Local/non-Local) 2.98/3.47 3.03/3.37

ARTS 6.6% 6.8%

CBE 30.7% 27.7%

COMM 12.1% 12.7%

ECS 3.0% 3.7%

HHD 14.7% 16.2%

H&SS 28.2% 27.5%

NSM 4.8% 5.3%

Impaction and Characteristics of the 2011 UG Transfer Class

FA 10 FA 11

CSU Eligible Deniedlocal/non-local 0/6,374 107/3,432

Women/Men 53%/47% 55%/45%

Black 1.6% 1.8%

Hispanic 26.4% 27.6%

Asian/PI 19.7% 19.8%

White 35.1% 34.3%

Unknown 7.9% 6.8%

International 5.9% 6.1%

Multiple Race 3.3% 3.4%

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CSU Eligible Denied Community College Transfers by Admissions AreaFA11 FA11 FA10

Fullerton College 29 Mount San Antonio College 331 716

Orange Coast College 20 Pasadena City College 237 337

Santa Ana College 12 Cerritos Community College 189 391

Irvine Valley College 11 Riverside Community College 173 361

Saddleback College 8 El Camino College 169 327

Cypress College 7 Citrus Community College 144 295

Santiago Canyon College 7 East Los Angeles College 130 161

Golden West College 7 Long Beach City College 118 297

Coastline College 0 Rio Hondo Community College 110 252

Santa Monica College 110 160

Chaffey Community College 81 164

Total (local area Community Colleges) 101 Total (outside Community Colleges) 3,013 5,493

Effect of ImpactionNew Undergraduate Transfers

AY 2005-06 AY 2006-07 AY 2007-08 AY 2008-09 AY 2009-10 AY 2010-11 AY 2011-12(Fall 2011

only)

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

(3,436)(2,189)

(4,693) (2,746)

(2,327)

(1,644)

(1,596)(786)

Local Area School Outside Local Area

New UG Transfer Six-Year Graduation Rate by Transfer GPA at Entry Range

(three cohort average rate = 72%)

2.00-2.29

2.30-2.39

2.40-2.49

2.50-2.69

2.70-2.79

2.80-2.89

2.90-2.99

3.00-3.19

3.20-3.29

3.30-3.39

3.40-3.49

3.50-3.69

3.70 and

above

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

FA 2004 Cohort56%

FA 2004 Cohort60%

FA 2004 Cohort71%

FA 2004 Cohort76%

FA 2004 Cohort76%

FA 2004 Cohort81%

FA 2002 Cohort FA 2003 Cohort FA 2004 Cohort

The Future: 2012-2013

New UndergraduatesFall Spring

FTF UGT FTF UGT

2005-06 3,943 3,659 30 1,905

2006-07 3,851 3,895 18 1,998

2007-08 4,154 4,008 22 2,019

2008-09 4,697 3,082 11 2,681

2009-10* 4,065 3,800 8 33

2010-11** 3,912 4,165 5 2,124

2011-12***(exceed current budgeted targets by 3%)

4,195 3,532 5 1,100

2012-13 (preliminary –exceed current targets by 5%) 4,100 4,100 5 2,000

*The campus was required to reduce enrollment to budgeted target beginning in 2009-10 (very limited transfers in spring 2010). ** Target revisions October 2010 resulted in opportunities for spring 2011 transfers.***The campus is now fully impacted (all majors) at the undergraduate level.

Impaction Approach for 2012-13will be similar to 2011-12(Approved by CSU Chancellor’s Office 9/21/2010)

• Campus Impaction for students outside of our local admissions area – Threshold will be higher than that required of local students

under major/program impaction

• Major/Program impaction for local admissions area students– Plan to apply a common threshold across all majors above

CSU minimum threshold and less than the outside of local admissions area campus impaction threshold