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The Auditor-General Report No.20 2011–12 Assurance Report 2010–11 Major Projects Report Defence Materiel Organisation Australian National Audit Office

2010–11 Major Projects Report

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T h e A u d i t o r - G e n e r a l Report No.20 2011–12
Assurance Report
Defence Materiel Organisation
A u s t r a l i a n N a t i o n a l A u d i t O f f i c e
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 2
© Commonwealth
of Australia 2011 ISSN 1036–7632 ISBN 0 642 81222 5
COPYRIGHT INFORMATION This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part may be reproduced by any process without prior written permission from the Commonwealth. Requests and inquiries concerning reproduction and rights should be addressed to: Executive Director Corporate Management Branch Australian National Audit Office 19 National Circuit BARTON ACT 2600 Or via email: [email protected]
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report
3
Canberra ACT 20 December 2011 Dear Mr President Dear Mr Speaker The Australian National Audit Office has undertaken a review of the status of selected Defence equipment acquisition projects as at 30 June 2011 as presented by the Defence Materiel Organisation in accordance with the authority contained in the Auditor-General Act 1997. Pursuant to Senate Standing Order 166 relating to the presentation of documents when the Senate is not sitting, I present the report of this review to the Parliament. The report is titled 2010–11 Major Projects Report. Following its presentation and receipt, the report will be placed on the Australian National Audit Office’s Homepage—http://www.anao.gov.au. Yours sincerely Ian McPhee Auditor-General The Honourable the President of the Senate The Honourable the Speaker of the House of Representatives Parliament House Canberra ACT
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 2
© Commonwealth
of Australia 2011 ISSN 1036–7632 ISBN 0 642 81222 5
COPYRIGHT INFORMATION This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part may be reproduced by any process without prior written permission from the Commonwealth. Requests and inquiries concerning reproduction and rights should be addressed to: Executive Director Corporate Management Branch Australian National Audit Office 19 National Circuit BARTON ACT 2600 Or via email: [email protected]
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report
3
Canberra ACT 20 December 2011 Dear Mr President Dear Mr Speaker The Australian National Audit Office has undertaken a review of the status of selected Defence equipment acquisition projects as at 30 June 2011 as presented by the Defence Materiel Organisation in accordance with the authority contained in the Auditor-General Act 1997. Pursuant to Senate Standing Order 166 relating to the presentation of documents when the Senate is not sitting, I present the report of this review to the Parliament. The report is titled 2010–11 Major Projects Report. Following its presentation and receipt, the report will be placed on the Australian National Audit Office’s Homepage—http://www.anao.gov.au. Yours sincerely Ian McPhee Auditor-General The Honourable the President of the Senate The Honourable the Speaker of the House of Representatives Parliament House Canberra ACT
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 4
AUDITING FOR AUSTRALIA The Auditor-General is head of the Australian National Audit Office (ANAO). The ANAO assists the Auditor-General to carry out his duties under the Auditor-General Act 1997 to undertake performance audits, financial statement audits and assurance reviews of Commonwealth public sector bodies and to provide independent reports and advice for the Parliament, the Australian Government and the community. The aim is to improve Commonwealth public sector administration and accountability. For further information contact: The Publications Manager Australian National Audit Office GPO Box 707 Canberra ACT 2601 Telephone: (02) 6203 7505 Fax: (02) 6203 7519 Email: [email protected] ANAO audit reports and information about the ANAO are available at our internet address: http://www.anao.gov.au
Assurance Review Team
Dr Carolyn Cuello Ben Watson Sean Neubeck Anora Harris
Anne Kent Evan Moraitis
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report
5
Auditor-General’s Foreword .................................................................................. 11 Summary ................................................................................................................... 13
Introduction ........................................................................................................... 13 Report objective and review scope ....................................................................... 16 Overall conclusion ................................................................................................ 17
1. 2010–11 MPR Review .......................................................................................... 29 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 29 Report structure .................................................................................................... 29 Review approach .................................................................................................. 32 Review outcomes ................................................................................................. 36
2. Projects’ Performance .......................................................................................... 43 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 43 Cost performance ................................................................................................. 47 Schedule performance .......................................................................................... 58 Capability performance ......................................................................................... 71
3. Governance and Business Processes .................................................................. 81 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 81 Governance framework for Major Projects ............................................................ 81 Business Processes for Major Projects ................................................................. 84
Part 2.  DMO Major Projects Report ..................................................................... 93 
CEO DMO Foreword ................................................................................................. 95 Executive Summary ................................................................................................... 97 1. DMO Strategic Performance in 2010-11 ..............................................................109
Introduction ..........................................................................................................109 DMO Overview ....................................................................................................110 DMO Strategic Risk Environment ........................................................................115 DMO Wide Risk Management Framework ...........................................................120 Project Lessons Learned .....................................................................................121 Governance .........................................................................................................125 Other Business Improvements .............................................................................128 Base Date Dollar Budget Management ................................................................135 Out-turned Budget Management .........................................................................136
2. Summary of Major Project Performance in 2010-11 ...........................................139 Introduction ..........................................................................................................139 Performance Overview ........................................................................................140
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 4
AUDITING FOR AUSTRALIA The Auditor-General is head of the Australian National Audit Office (ANAO). The ANAO assists the Auditor-General to carry out his duties under the Auditor-General Act 1997 to undertake performance audits, financial statement audits and assurance reviews of Commonwealth public sector bodies and to provide independent reports and advice for the Parliament, the Australian Government and the community. The aim is to improve Commonwealth public sector administration and accountability. For further information contact: The Publications Manager Australian National Audit Office GPO Box 707 Canberra ACT 2601 Telephone: (02) 6203 7505 Fax: (02) 6203 7519 Email: [email protected] ANAO audit reports and information about the ANAO are available at our internet address: http://www.anao.gov.au
Assurance Review Team
Dr Carolyn Cuello Ben Watson Sean Neubeck Anora Harris
Anne Kent Evan Moraitis
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report
5
Auditor-General’s Foreword .................................................................................. 11 Summary ................................................................................................................... 13
Introduction ........................................................................................................... 13 Report objective and review scope ....................................................................... 16 Overall conclusion ................................................................................................ 17
1. 2010–11 MPR Review .......................................................................................... 29 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 29 Report structure .................................................................................................... 29 Review approach .................................................................................................. 32 Review outcomes ................................................................................................. 36
2. Projects’ Performance .......................................................................................... 43 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 43 Cost performance ................................................................................................. 47 Schedule performance .......................................................................................... 58 Capability performance ......................................................................................... 71
3. Governance and Business Processes .................................................................. 81 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 81 Governance framework for Major Projects ............................................................ 81 Business Processes for Major Projects ................................................................. 84
Part 2.  DMO Major Projects Report ..................................................................... 93 
CEO DMO Foreword ................................................................................................. 95 Executive Summary ................................................................................................... 97 1. DMO Strategic Performance in 2010-11 ..............................................................109
Introduction ..........................................................................................................109 DMO Overview ....................................................................................................110 DMO Strategic Risk Environment ........................................................................115 DMO Wide Risk Management Framework ...........................................................120 Project Lessons Learned .....................................................................................121 Governance .........................................................................................................125 Other Business Improvements .............................................................................128 Base Date Dollar Budget Management ................................................................135 Out-turned Budget Management .........................................................................136
2. Summary of Major Project Performance in 2010-11 ...........................................139 Introduction ..........................................................................................................139 Performance Overview ........................................................................................140
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 6
Part 3.  Auditor-General’s Review, CEO DMO Statement and Project Data Summary Sheets ........................................................................................173 
Independent Review Report by the Auditor-General .................................................175  Statement by the CEO DMO .....................................................................................179 Project Data Summary Sheets ..................................................................................183
AIR WARFARE DESTROYER .............................................................................................. 185 AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING AND CONTROL AIRCRAFT ............................................. 197 MULTI ROLE HELICOPTER ................................................................................................. 207 BRIDGING AIR COMBAT CAPABILITY ............................................................................... 219 OVERLANDER ...................................................................................................................... 235 AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS (LHD) PROJECT ............................................................................... 247 NEW AIR COMBAT CAPABILITY ......................................................................................... 259 ARMED RECONNAISSANCE HELICOPTER ...................................................................... 271 F/A-18 HORNET UPGRADE ................................................................................................. 281 C-17 GLOBEMASTER III HEAVY AIRLIFTER ..................................................................... 295 AIR TO AIR REFUELLING CAPABILITY .............................................................................. 303 GUIDED MISSILE FRIGATE UPGRADE IMPLEMENTATION ............................................ 317 F/A-18 HORNET UPGRADE STRUCTURAL REFURBISHMENT ...................................... 331 BUSHMASTER PROTECTED MOBILITY VEHICLE ........................................................... 339 NEXT GENERATION SATCOM CAPABILITY ..................................................................... 351 HIGH FREQUENCY MODERNISATION .............................................................................. 361 SM-1 MISSILE REPLACEMENT .......................................................................................... 373 ADDITIONAL MEDIUM LIFT HELICOPTERS ...................................................................... 385 ARMIDALE CLASS PATROL BOAT ..................................................................................... 395 ANZAC ANTI-SHIP MISSILE DEFENCE 2B ........................................................................ 407 COLLINS REPLACEMENT COMBAT SYSTEM .................................................................. 419 REPLACEMENT HEAVYWEIGHT TORPEDO .................................................................... 431 COLLINS CLASS SUBMARINE RELIABILITY AND SUSTAINABILITY .............................. 443 INDIAN OCEAN REGION UHF SATCOM ............................................................................ 455 ANZAC ANTI-SHIP MISSILE DEFENCE 2A ........................................................................ 465 FOLLOW ON STAND OFF WEAPON .................................................................................. 475 ARTILLERY REPLACEMENT PROJECT ............................................................................. 487 BATTLEFIELD COMMAND SUPPORT ................................................................................ 499
Appendices .............................................................................................................509
Appendix 1: Guidance for Readers of the DMO’s 2010-11 MPR Project Data Summary Sheet ....................................................................511
Appendix 2: Types of Acquisition Undertaken by the DMO ...............................522 Appendix 3: Categorising Acquisitions ..............................................................523 Appendix 4: Project Maturity Scores – Monitoring Progress .............................524 Appendix 5: JCPAA Report 422: REVIEW OF THE 2009-10 DEFENCE
MATERIEL ORGANISATION MAJOR PROJECTS REPORT .......529 Appendix 6: Glossary ........................................................................................533
Series Titles ..............................................................................................................541  Current Better Practice Guides .................................................................................544 
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report
7
Abbreviations
ANAO  Australian National Audit Office 
AOR  Acquisition Overview Report 
ARH  Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter 
ASMD  AntiShip Missile Defence 
AWD  Air Warfare Destroyer 
COTS  CommercialOffTheShelf 
DEFMIS  Defence Financial Management Information System 
DMO  Defence Materiel Organisation 
FFG  Fast Frigate Guided (Guided Missile Frigate) 
FIC  Fundamental Inputs to Capability 
FMR  Final Materiel Release 
FMS  Foreign Military Sales 
FOC  Final Operational Capability 
Hw  Heavyweight 
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 6
Part 3.  Auditor-General’s Review, CEO DMO Statement and Project Data Summary Sheets ........................................................................................173 
Independent Review Report by the Auditor-General .................................................175  Statement by the CEO DMO .....................................................................................179 Project Data Summary Sheets ..................................................................................183
AIR WARFARE DESTROYER .............................................................................................. 185 AIRBORNE EARLY WARNING AND CONTROL AIRCRAFT ............................................. 197 MULTI ROLE HELICOPTER ................................................................................................. 207 BRIDGING AIR COMBAT CAPABILITY ............................................................................... 219 OVERLANDER ...................................................................................................................... 235 AMPHIBIOUS SHIPS (LHD) PROJECT ............................................................................... 247 NEW AIR COMBAT CAPABILITY ......................................................................................... 259 ARMED RECONNAISSANCE HELICOPTER ...................................................................... 271 F/A-18 HORNET UPGRADE ................................................................................................. 281 C-17 GLOBEMASTER III HEAVY AIRLIFTER ..................................................................... 295 AIR TO AIR REFUELLING CAPABILITY .............................................................................. 303 GUIDED MISSILE FRIGATE UPGRADE IMPLEMENTATION ............................................ 317 F/A-18 HORNET UPGRADE STRUCTURAL REFURBISHMENT ...................................... 331 BUSHMASTER PROTECTED MOBILITY VEHICLE ........................................................... 339 NEXT GENERATION SATCOM CAPABILITY ..................................................................... 351 HIGH FREQUENCY MODERNISATION .............................................................................. 361 SM-1 MISSILE REPLACEMENT .......................................................................................... 373 ADDITIONAL MEDIUM LIFT HELICOPTERS ...................................................................... 385 ARMIDALE CLASS PATROL BOAT ..................................................................................... 395 ANZAC ANTI-SHIP MISSILE DEFENCE 2B ........................................................................ 407 COLLINS REPLACEMENT COMBAT SYSTEM .................................................................. 419 REPLACEMENT HEAVYWEIGHT TORPEDO .................................................................... 431 COLLINS CLASS SUBMARINE RELIABILITY AND SUSTAINABILITY .............................. 443 INDIAN OCEAN REGION UHF SATCOM ............................................................................ 455 ANZAC ANTI-SHIP MISSILE DEFENCE 2A ........................................................................ 465 FOLLOW ON STAND OFF WEAPON .................................................................................. 475 ARTILLERY REPLACEMENT PROJECT ............................................................................. 487 BATTLEFIELD COMMAND SUPPORT ................................................................................ 499
Appendices .............................................................................................................509
Appendix 1: Guidance for Readers of the DMO’s 2010-11 MPR Project Data Summary Sheet ....................................................................511
Appendix 2: Types of Acquisition Undertaken by the DMO ...............................522 Appendix 3: Categorising Acquisitions ..............................................................523 Appendix 4: Project Maturity Scores – Monitoring Progress .............................524 Appendix 5: JCPAA Report 422: REVIEW OF THE 2009-10 DEFENCE
MATERIEL ORGANISATION MAJOR PROJECTS REPORT .......529 Appendix 6: Glossary ........................................................................................533
Series Titles ..............................................................................................................541  Current Better Practice Guides .................................................................................544 
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report
7
Abbreviations
ANAO  Australian National Audit Office 
AOR  Acquisition Overview Report 
ARH  Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter 
ASMD  AntiShip Missile Defence 
AWD  Air Warfare Destroyer 
COTS  CommercialOffTheShelf 
DEFMIS  Defence Financial Management Information System 
DMO  Defence Materiel Organisation 
FFG  Fast Frigate Guided (Guided Missile Frigate) 
FIC  Fundamental Inputs to Capability 
FMR  Final Materiel Release 
FMS  Foreign Military Sales 
FOC  Final Operational Capability 
Hw  Heavyweight 
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 8
IMR  Initial Materiel Release 
IOC  Initial Operational Capability 
JSF  Joint Strike Fighter 
LHD  Landing Helicopter Docks 
MAA  Materiel Acquisition Agreement 
MOTS  MilitaryOffTheShelf 
MOU  Memorandum Of Understanding 
MPR  Major Projects Report 
MRH90  MultiRole Helicopter 
MRM  Materiel Release Milestone 
RCS  Replacement Combat System 
R&S  Reliability and Sustainability 
SADI  Skilling Australia’s Defence Industry 
SATCOM  Satellite Communication 
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
9
Part 1: ANAO Overview
ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 8
IMR  Initial Materiel Release 
IOC  Initial Operational Capability 
JSF  Joint Strike Fighter 
LHD  Landing Helicopter Docks 
MAA  Materiel Acquisition Agreement 
MOTS  MilitaryOffTheShelf 
MOU  Memorandum Of Understanding 
MPR  Major Projects Report 
MRH90  MultiRole Helicopter 
MRM  Materiel Release Milestone 
RCS  Replacement Combat System 
R&S  Reliability and Sustainability 
SADI  Skilling Australia’s Defence Industry 
SATCOM  Satellite Communication 
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
9
Part 1: ANAO Overview
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 10
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
11
Auditor-General’s Foreword Managing  major  Defence  equipment  acquisitions  that  successfully  deliver  front  line  capability  for  the Australian Defence Force  represents a  significant  challenge, not unique  to Australia. As major Defence equipment acquisitions  are  often  expensive  and  technically  complex,  there  are  significant  risks,  not  only  to delivering within budget and on schedule, but also  to delivering  the  required capability. 
This  fourth  review  of  the  status  of  selected Defence  equipment  acquisition  projects builds on the work undertaken by the Defence Materiel Organisation  (DMO)  and  the  Australian  National  Audit  Office  (ANAO)  to  improve  the  transparency  and  public  accountability  for  major  Defence  equipment  acquisitions.  The  2010–11 Major  Projects  Report  (MPR)  includes  28  projects  with  approved  budgets  totalling  $46.1  billion,  which  is  over  half  of  the  approved  budget  for  the  DMO’s  major  capital  investment  program   ($79.5 billion). 
The  preparation  of  the MPR  has  received  strong  ongoing  support  from  the  Government and the Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit (JCPAA).  In April 2011, the second examination of the MPR by the JCPAA culminated in  the  publishing  of  JCPAA  Report  422,  Review  of  the  2009–10 Defence Materiel  Organisation Major Projects Report. Report 422 made nine recommendations  to  further  progress  and  improve  the  transparency  and  accountability  of major  Defence  equipment  acquisitions.  Action  already  taken  by  the  DMO  to  implement  the JCPAA’s recommendations contributed to the enhancement of  this MPR, in terms of improved reporting on each of the three key elements of  the MPR:  cost,  schedule  and  capability. As  the DMO  further progresses  the  implementation of these recommendations, future MPRs will also benefit. 
In addition,  the Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade References Committee  is  currently undertaking an inquiry into Procurement procedures for Defence capital  projects. This report, which covers DMO’s most significant procurements, along  with  other  ANAO  reports  on  Defence  acquisitions,  provides  relevant  information to assist the Committee in its deliberations. 
   
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 10
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
11
Auditor-General’s Foreword Managing  major  Defence  equipment  acquisitions  that  successfully  deliver  front  line  capability  for  the Australian Defence Force  represents a  significant  challenge, not unique  to Australia. As major Defence equipment acquisitions  are  often  expensive  and  technically  complex,  there  are  significant  risks,  not  only  to delivering within budget and on  schedule, but also  to delivering  the  required capability. 
This  fourth  review  of  the  status  of  selected Defence  equipment  acquisition  projects builds on the work undertaken by the Defence Materiel Organisation  (DMO)  and  the  Australian  National  Audit  Office  (ANAO)  to  improve  the  transparency  and  public  accountability  for  major  Defence  equipment  acquisitions.  The  2010–11 Major  Projects  Report  (MPR)  includes  28  projects  with  approved  budgets  totalling  $46.1  billion,  which  is  over  half  of  the  approved  budget  for  the  DMO’s  major  capital  investment  program   ($79.5 billion). 
The  preparation  of  the MPR  has  received  strong  ongoing  support  from  the  Government and the Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit (JCPAA).  In April 2011, the second examination of the MPR by the JCPAA culminated in  the  publishing  of  JCPAA  Report  422,  Review  of  the  2009–10 Defence Materiel  Organisation Major Projects Report. Report 422 made nine recommendations  to  further  progress  and  improve  the  transparency  and  accountability  of major  Defence  equipment  acquisitions.  Action  already  taken  by  the  DMO  to  implement  the JCPAA’s recommendations contributed to the enhancement of  this MPR, in terms of improved reporting on each of the three key elements of  the MPR:  cost,  schedule  and  capability. As  the DMO  further progresses  the  implementation of these recommendations, future MPRs will also benefit. 
In addition,  the Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade References Committee  is  currently undertaking an inquiry into Procurement procedures for Defence capital  projects. This report, which covers DMO’s most significant procurements, along  with  other  ANAO  reports  on  Defence  acquisitions,  provides  relevant  information to assist the Committee in its deliberations. 
   
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 12
 
 
 
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
13
Summary Introduction 1. Major Defence equipment acquisition projects  (Major Projects) are  the  subject of considerable Parliamentary and public interest, in view of their high  cost, planned contribution to national security and the challenges  involved in  completing Major Projects within budget, on time and to the required level of  capability. 
2. The  Defence  Materiel  Organisation  (DMO)  contributes  to  the  development and  sustainment of  capability  for  the Australian Defence Force  (ADF) and expended some $5.6 billion on major and minor capital acquisition  projects in 2010–11.1 
3. Over the next 15 years, the Government intends to replace or upgrade  up  to 55 per cent of  the ADF’s equipment.2 This will  include  the purchase of  equipment in all of the major elements of ADF capability, including Land, Air,  Sea  and  Joint  capabilities,  as  publicised  in  the Defence White  Paper.  These  procurements  by  the DMO  do  not  generate  new  capability  for  the Defence  Organisation until they have been successfully introduced into service with the  ADF. Thus, while the DMO’s role is only part of the introduction into service  of new capability, it is a significant one. 
2010–11 Major Projects Report projects 4. This fourth report covers 28 of the DMO’s Major Projects, an increase of  six projects on last year’s report and an increase of 19 projects when compared  to  the  first Major Projects Report  (MPR), which was  tabled  in Parliament  in  November 2008. The 28 Major Projects and their approved budgets are set out  in Table 1. 
5. In  total,  the  approved  budgets  for  the  28 Major  Projects  amount  to  $46.1 billion, as at 30 June 2011. This represents over half of the budget for the  DMO’s approved major capital investment program ($79.5 billion). 
1 Department of Defence, Defence Annual Report 2010–11, Volume 2 Defence Materiel Organisation,
p. 25. 2 Minister for Defence Materiel, the Hon. Jason Clare MP, Defence Skills Plan to Meet the Challenges
Ahead, Brisbane 2011.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 12
 
 
 
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
13
Summary Introduction 1. Major Defence equipment acquisition projects  (Major Projects) are  the  subject of considerable Parliamentary and public interest, in view of their high  cost, planned contribution to national security and the challenges  involved in  completing Major Projects within budget, on time and to the required level of  capability. 
2. The  Defence  Materiel  Organisation  (DMO)  contributes  to  the  development and  sustainment of  capability  for  the Australian Defence Force  (ADF) and expended some $5.6 billion on major and minor capital acquisition  projects in 2010–11.1 
3. Over the next 15 years, the Government intends to replace or upgrade  up  to 55 per cent of  the ADF’s equipment.2 This will  include  the purchase of  equipment in all of the major elements of ADF capability, including Land, Air,  Sea  and  Joint  capabilities,  as  publicised  in  the Defence White  Paper.  These  procurements  by  the DMO  do  not  generate  new  capability  for  the Defence  Organisation until they have been successfully introduced into service with the  ADF. Thus, while the DMO’s role is only part of the introduction into service  of new capability, it is a significant one. 
2010–11 Major Projects Report projects 4. This fourth report covers 28 of the DMO’s Major Projects, an increase of  six projects on last year’s report and an increase of 19 projects when compared  to  the  first Major Projects Report  (MPR), which was  tabled  in Parliament  in  November 2008. The 28 Major Projects and their approved budgets are set out  in Table 1. 
5. In  total,  the  approved  budgets  for  the  28 Major  Projects  amount  to  $46.1 billion, as at 30 June 2011. This represents over half of the budget for the  DMO’s approved major capital investment program ($79.5 billion). 
1 Department of Defence, Defence Annual Report 2010–11, Volume 2 Defence Materiel Organisation,
p. 25. 2 Minister for Defence Materiel, the Hon. Jason Clare MP, Defence Skills Plan to Meet the Challenges
Ahead, Brisbane 2011.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 14
6. The ANAO’s review of these Major Projects is in addition to its regular  program of performance audits and financial statement audit work conducted  in the Defence portfolio. 
Role of the Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit
7. The  Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit  (JCPAA) has been  influential  in  establishing  the  MPR,  and  has  taken  an  active  role  in  the  development of the MPR program.3 In April 2011 the Committee published its  second  report  on  its  review  of  the  annual  MPR.4  The  report  made  nine  recommendations  to  further  progress  and  improve  the  accountability  and  transparency of major Defence equipment acquisitions  including with respect  to  the presentation  of  financial data  by  the DMO, which was  the  subject  of  audit qualification in prior years.  
 
3 The guidelines for the 2010–11 MPR, which were endorsed by the JCPAA in May 2011, set out the
requirements for the DMO project offices to provide complete and accurate Project Data Summary Sheets and supporting information for the ANAO to review.
4 Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit, Report 422, Review of the 2009–10 Defence Materiel Organisation Major Projects Report, April 2011, p. iii.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
15
Table 1 2010–11 MPR projects and approved budgets at 30 June 2011
Project DMO Abbreviation Approved
Budget $m
Air Warfare Destroyer Build (SEA 4000 Ph 3) AWD Ships 7 931.8
Airborne Early Warning and Control Aircraft (AIR 5077 Ph 3) Wedgetail 3 859.5
Multi-Role Helicopter (AIR 9000 Ph 2/4/6) MRH90 Helicopters 3 753.7
Bridging Air Combat Capability (AIR 5349 Ph 1/2)* Super Hornet 3 578.5
Field Vehicles and Trailers (LAND 121 Ph 3) Overlander Vehicles 3 263.9
Amphibious Ships (LHD) (JP 2048 Ph 4A/4B) LHD Ships 3 122.6
New Air Combat Capability (AIR 6000 Ph 2A/2B)* Joint Strike Fighter 2 666.8
Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter (AIR 87 Ph 2) ARH Tiger Helicopters 2 060.3
F/A-18 Hornet Upgrade (AIR 5376 Ph 2) Hornet Upgrade 1 917.5
C-17 Globemaster III Heavy Airlifter (AIR 8000 Ph 3) C-17 Heavy Airlift 1 848.9
Air to Air Refuelling Capability (AIR 5402) Air to Air Refuel 1 828.5
Guided Missile Frigate Upgrade Implementation (SEA 1390 Ph 2.1) FFG Upgrade 1 528.9
F/A-18 Hornet Upgrade Structural Refurbishment (AIR 5376 Ph 3.2) Hornet Refurb 951.3
Bushmaster Protected Mobility Vehicle (LAND 116 Ph 3) Bushmaster Vehicles 929.8
Next Generation SATCOM Capability (JP 2008 Ph 4) Next Gen Satellite 880.9
High Frequency Modernisation (JP 2043 Ph 3A) HF Modernisation 670.8
SM-1 Missile Replacement (SEA 1390 Ph 4B)* SM-2 Missile 612.0
Additional Medium Lift Helicopters (AIR 9000 Ph 5C)* Additional Chinook 584.6
Armidale Class Patrol Boat (SEA 1444 Ph 1) Armidales 537.2
ANZAC Anti-Ship Missile Defence (SEA 1448 Ph 2B) ANZAC ASMD 2B 462.0
Collins Replacement Combat System (SEA 1439 Ph 4A) Collins RCS 450.4
Replacement Heavyweight Torpedo (SEA 1429 Ph 2) Hw Torpedo 425.4
Collins Class Submarine Reliability and Sustainability (SEA 1439 Ph 3) Collins R&S 411.4
Indian Ocean Region UHF SATCOM (JP 2008 Ph 5A)* UHF SATCOM 407.2
ANZAC Anti-Ship Missile Defence (SEA 1448 Ph 2A) ANZAC ASMD 2A 389.5
Follow On Stand Off Weapon (AIR 5418 Ph 1) Stand Off Weapon 343.3
Artillery Replacement (LAND 17 Ph 1A)* 155mm Howitzer 326.1
Battlefield Command Support (LAND 75 Ph 3.4) * Battle Comm. Sys. 325.9
Total 46 068.7
Source: 2010–11 MPR, Part 3, Project Data Summary Sheets.
Note: *Indicates the project is included in the MPR program for the first time in the 2010–11 Report. For Bridging Air Combat Capability (AIR 5349), only Phase 2 was reported for the first time in 2010–11.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 14
6. The ANAO’s review of these Major Projects is in addition to its regular  program of performance audits and financial statement audit work conducted  in the Defence portfolio. 
Role of the Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit
7. The  Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit  (JCPAA) has been  influential  in  establishing  the  MPR,  and  has  taken  an  active  role  in  the  development of the MPR program.3 In April 2011 the Committee published its  second  report  on  its  review  of  the  annual  MPR.4  The  report  made  nine  recommendations  to  further  progress  and  improve  the  accountability  and  transparency of major Defence equipment acquisitions  including with respect  to  the presentation  of  financial data  by  the DMO, which was  the  subject  of  audit qualification in prior years.  
 
3 The guidelines for the 2010–11 MPR, which were endorsed by the JCPAA in May 2011, set out the
requirements for the DMO project offices to provide complete and accurate Project Data Summary Sheets and supporting information for the ANAO to review.
4 Joint Committee of Public Accounts and Audit, Report 422, Review of the 2009–10 Defence Materiel Organisation Major Projects Report, April 2011, p. iii.
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2010–2011 Major Projects Report
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Table 1 2010–11 MPR projects and approved budgets at 30 June 2011
Project DMO Abbreviation Approved
Budget $m
Air Warfare Destroyer Build (SEA 4000 Ph 3) AWD Ships 7 931.8
Airborne Early Warning and Control Aircraft (AIR 5077 Ph 3) Wedgetail 3 859.5
Multi-Role Helicopter (AIR 9000 Ph 2/4/6) MRH90 Helicopters 3 753.7
Bridging Air Combat Capability (AIR 5349 Ph 1/2)* Super Hornet 3 578.5
Field Vehicles and Trailers (LAND 121 Ph 3) Overlander Vehicles 3 263.9
Amphibious Ships (LHD) (JP 2048 Ph 4A/4B) LHD Ships 3 122.6
New Air Combat Capability (AIR 6000 Ph 2A/2B)* Joint Strike Fighter 2 666.8
Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter (AIR 87 Ph 2) ARH Tiger Helicopters 2 060.3
F/A-18 Hornet Upgrade (AIR 5376 Ph 2) Hornet Upgrade 1 917.5
C-17 Globemaster III Heavy Airlifter (AIR 8000 Ph 3) C-17 Heavy Airlift 1 848.9
Air to Air Refuelling Capability (AIR 5402) Air to Air Refuel 1 828.5
Guided Missile Frigate Upgrade Implementation (SEA 1390 Ph 2.1) FFG Upgrade 1 528.9
F/A-18 Hornet Upgrade Structural Refurbishment (AIR 5376 Ph 3.2) Hornet Refurb 951.3
Bushmaster Protected Mobility Vehicle (LAND 116 Ph 3) Bushmaster Vehicles 929.8
Next Generation SATCOM Capability (JP 2008 Ph 4) Next Gen Satellite 880.9
High Frequency Modernisation (JP 2043 Ph 3A) HF Modernisation 670.8
SM-1 Missile Replacement (SEA 1390 Ph 4B)* SM-2 Missile 612.0
Additional Medium Lift Helicopters (AIR 9000 Ph 5C)* Additional Chinook 584.6
Armidale Class Patrol Boat (SEA 1444 Ph 1) Armidales 537.2
ANZAC Anti-Ship Missile Defence (SEA 1448 Ph 2B) ANZAC ASMD 2B 462.0
Collins Replacement Combat System (SEA 1439 Ph 4A) Collins RCS 450.4
Replacement Heavyweight Torpedo (SEA 1429 Ph 2) Hw Torpedo 425.4
Collins Class Submarine Reliability and Sustainability (SEA 1439 Ph 3) Collins R&S 411.4
Indian Ocean Region UHF SATCOM (JP 2008 Ph 5A)* UHF SATCOM 407.2
ANZAC Anti-Ship Missile Defence (SEA 1448 Ph 2A) ANZAC ASMD 2A 389.5
Follow On Stand Off Weapon (AIR 5418 Ph 1) Stand Off Weapon 343.3
Artillery Replacement (LAND 17 Ph 1A)* 155mm Howitzer 326.1
Battlefield Command Support (LAND 75 Ph 3.4) * Battle Comm. Sys. 325.9
Total 46 068.7
Source: 2010–11 MPR, Part 3, Project Data Summary Sheets.
Note: *Indicates the project is included in the MPR program for the first time in the 2010–11 Report. For Bridging Air Combat Capability (AIR 5349), only Phase 2 was reported for the first time in 2010–11.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 16
Report objective and review scope 9. The objective of this report is to provide: 
• a formal conclusion on the review of the Project Data Summary Sheets  (PDSSs) by the AuditorGeneral (contained in Part 3 of this report); 
• comprehensive information on the status of projects as reflected in the  PDSSs prepared by the DMO; 
• ANAO analysis on  the  three key elements of  the MPR: cost, schedule  and capability, in particular longitudinal analysis of projects over time;  and 
• further insights and context by the DMO on issues highlighted during  the year (not included in the scope of the review by the ANAO). 
10. The ANAO’s review of the PDSSs was conducted under an agreement  with  the  DMO,  and  was  performed  in  accordance  with  the  Australian  Standard on Assurance Engagements  (ASAE) 3000.5 The agreement excluded  from the scope of the ANAO’s review PDSS data on the achievement of future  dates or events  (including  forecasts on delivering key capabilities, also called  Measures of Materiel Capability Performance), and major risks and issues. By  its nature, this information relates to events and depends on circumstances that  have not yet occurred  or may not occur,  or have occurred but have not yet  been  identified. Accordingly,  the  conclusion of  this  review does not provide  any assurance in relation to this information.6 
11. While our work  is appropriate  for  the purpose of providing a  review  report  in  accordance  with  ASAE  3000,  our  review  is  not  as  extensive  as  individual project performance audits conducted by the ANAO, in terms of the  nature and scope of project issues covered, and the extent to which evidence is  required by the ANAO. Consequently, the level of assurance provided by this  review  in relation to the 28 Major Projects  is less than that typically provided  by our performance audits. 
5 Australian Standard on Assurance Engagements (ASAE) 3000 Assurance Engagements other than
Audits or Reviews of Historical Financial Information, issued by the Australian Auditing and Assurance Standards Board.
6 Further information on the scope of the review is set out in paragraphs 1.9 and 1.10.
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Overall conclusion 12. This  fourth  MPR  has  progressed  the  development  of  an  annual  reporting program  focused on  improved  transparency and accountability  for  performance relating to cost, schedule and progress towards delivering the key  capabilities of Defence Major Projects. The  report builds on  the data analysis  introduced  in  the 2008–09 MPR and provides a basis  for greater  longitudinal  analysis of project performance in future years. 
13. Overall,  the program  is well placed  to  incorporate a  further  two new  projects in the 2011–12 MPR and the removal of one project, to bring the total  number of Major Projects reported to 29.7 
Review conclusion 14. Under arrangements with  the DMO,  the ANAO has agreed  to review  specified PDSS data and present a formal review conclusion. 
15. The  conclusion  of  the  review  of  the  PDSSs was  that,  except  for  the   noninclusion of project  expenditure history  in Section  2.2  expressed  in base  date dollars8  for  three of  the  11 Major Projects  specified  in  the guidelines  as  being required to report expenditure in base date dollars (as explained further  in paragraph 1.23), nothing has come to the attention of the ANAO that causes  us to believe that the information in the PDSSs, within the scope of our review,  has  not  been  prepared,  in  all  material  respects,  in  accordance  with  the  guidelines on completing the PDSSs.  
Projects’ performance 16. The data  reviewed  in  the PDSSs centre on  three major dimensions of  project performance:  cost,  schedule, and  the progress  towards delivering  the  planned capability.  7 The JCPAA endorsed the inclusion of the Future Naval Aviation Combat System Helicopter project
(AIR 9000 Phase 8) and Counter Rocket Artillery & Mortar project (LAND 19 Phase 7A) and the removal of the Hornet Structural Refurbishment project (AIR 5376 Phase 3.2), in September 2011, as proposed by the DMO in consultation with the ANAO.
8 By converting the actual expenditure on a project to base date dollars, an assessment is able to be made of the performance of the project against its originally approved budget (base date dollars). Base date dollars is the amount, adjusted for the impact of inflation (prices) and foreign exchange movement over the period from a specified date (usually Second Pass Approval). In order that the initial budgeted cost of a project can be compared to the actual expenditure over time, in like terms, the financial tables in the PDSSs also adjust for real variations to budgeted costs, which involve: changes in the quantities of equipment or capability; transfers to the Defence Support Group to fund the acquisition of facilities and transfers to other projects; and budgetary adjustments such as the impact of efficiency dividends.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 16
Report objective and review scope 9. The objective of this report is to provide: 
• a formal conclusion on the review of the Project Data Summary Sheets  (PDSSs) by the AuditorGeneral (contained in Part 3 of this report); 
• comprehensive information on the status of projects as reflected in the  PDSSs prepared by the DMO; 
• ANAO analysis on  the  three key elements of  the MPR: cost, schedule  and capability, in particular longitudinal analysis of projects over time;  and 
• further insights and context by the DMO on issues highlighted during  the year (not included in the scope of the review by the ANAO). 
10. The ANAO’s review of the PDSSs was conducted under an agreement  with  the  DMO,  and  was  performed  in  accordance  with  the  Australian  Standard on Assurance Engagements  (ASAE) 3000.5 The agreement excluded  from the scope of the ANAO’s review PDSS data on the achievement of future  dates or events  (including  forecasts on delivering key capabilities, also called  Measures of Materiel Capability Performance), and major risks and issues. By  its nature, this information relates to events and depends on circumstances that  have not yet occurred  or may not occur,  or have occurred but have not yet  been  identified. Accordingly,  the  conclusion of  this  review does not provide  any assurance in relation to this information.6 
11. While our work  is appropriate  for  the purpose of providing a  review  report  in  accordance  with  ASAE  3000,  our  review  is  not  as  extensive  as  individual project performance audits conducted by the ANAO, in terms of the  nature and scope of project issues covered, and the extent to which evidence is  required by the ANAO. Consequently, the level of assurance provided by this  review  in relation to the 28 Major Projects  is less than that typically provided  by our performance audits. 
5 Australian Standard on Assurance Engagements (ASAE) 3000 Assurance Engagements other than
Audits or Reviews of Historical Financial Information, issued by the Australian Auditing and Assurance Standards Board.
6 Further information on the scope of the review is set out in paragraphs 1.9 and 1.10.
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Overall conclusion 12. This  fourth  MPR  has  progressed  the  development  of  an  annual  reporting program  focused on  improved  transparency and accountability  for  performance relating to cost, schedule and progress towards delivering the key  capabilities of Defence Major Projects. The  report builds on  the data analysis  introduced  in  the 2008–09 MPR and provides a basis  for greater  longitudinal  analysis of project performance in future years. 
13. Overall,  the program  is well placed  to  incorporate a  further  two new  projects in the 2011–12 MPR and the removal of one project, to bring the total  number of Major Projects reported to 29.7 
Review conclusion 14. Under arrangements with  the DMO,  the ANAO has agreed  to review  specified PDSS data and present a formal review conclusion. 
15. The  conclusion  of  the  review  of  the  PDSSs was  that,  except  for  the   noninclusion of project  expenditure history  in Section  2.2  expressed  in base  date dollars8  for  three of  the  11 Major Projects  specified  in  the guidelines  as  being required to report expenditure in base date dollars (as explained further  in paragraph 1.23), nothing has come to the attention of the ANAO that causes  us to believe that the information in the PDSSs, within the scope of our review,  has  not  been  prepared,  in  all  material  respects,  in  accordance  with  the  guidelines on completing the PDSSs.  
Projects’ performance 16. The data  reviewed  in  the PDSSs centre on  three major dimensions of  project performance:  cost,  schedule, and  the progress  towards delivering  the  planned capability.  7 The JCPAA endorsed the inclusion of the Future Naval Aviation Combat System Helicopter project
(AIR 9000 Phase 8) and Counter Rocket Artillery & Mortar project (LAND 19 Phase 7A) and the removal of the Hornet Structural Refurbishment project (AIR 5376 Phase 3.2), in September 2011, as proposed by the DMO in consultation with the ANAO.
8 By converting the actual expenditure on a project to base date dollars, an assessment is able to be made of the performance of the project against its originally approved budget (base date dollars). Base date dollars is the amount, adjusted for the impact of inflation (prices) and foreign exchange movement over the period from a specified date (usually Second Pass Approval). In order that the initial budgeted cost of a project can be compared to the actual expenditure over time, in like terms, the financial tables in the PDSSs also adjust for real variations to budgeted costs, which involve: changes in the quantities of equipment or capability; transfers to the Defence Support Group to fund the acquisition of facilities and transfers to other projects; and budgetary adjustments such as the impact of efficiency dividends.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 18
Overview
17. The management of projects’ budgeted  cost has been,  to a  significant  degree,  assisted  by  routine  budget  supplementation  to  deal with  both  price  changes (via price  indexation) and  foreign exchange movement (via a whole ofgovernment ‘no win/no loss’ policy9); and the coverage of certain operating  costs,  such as  staffing,  from outside projects’ budgeted  cost.    In  this  context,  while projects’ budgeted cost requires careful management by  the DMO,  this  dimension of project performance has not been a major issue to date.10  
18. From 1 July 2010, all projects’ approved budgets include the total price  indexation, adjusted  for  the Specialist Military Equipment Weighted Average  (SMEWA)11  or  other  appropriate  index,  to  the point  of  the project’s  forecast  Final  Operational  Capability  (FOC).  This  is  defined  as  the  budget  being   ‘out  turned’.12  In  2010–11,  this  indexation  adjustment  resulted  in  a  oneoff  variation to projects’ total approved budgets of $1.16 billion. Under this model  of  price  indexation,  projects  will  only  receive  further  indexation  for  fluctuations  in  the  agreed  index,  or  by  Government  approved  real  cost  increase, where contingency funding has been exhausted or cannot be sourced  internally  by  the DMO. Once  the  forecast  FOC  has  passed,  projects will  be  expected  to  manage  price  increases  beyond  the  agreed  index  within  their  existing  budget.  This will  require  close management  by  the DMO  to  avoid  project  budget  deficits,  particularly  in  an  environment  of  regular  project  slippage. 
19. While  none  of  the  Major  Projects  in  this  report  has  exceeded  its  approved budgeted cost13,  the ANAO’s analysis  identified  that  the DMO had  received a  total of $295 million  in price  indexation, between  the forecast FOC  and  the year ending 30  June 2011,  for projects  in  the MPR sample, which are  yet to achieve FOC. 
9 Defence Portfolio Budget Statements 2010–11, p. 26. 10 In the 2010–11 MPR, the DMO is reporting less than one per cent negative variation in the total
approved budgeted cost and the total current budgeted cost for the 28 Major Projects. The net variation involves budgeted cost movements between Second Pass Approval to 30 June 2011 that are not due to price indexation, foreign exchange, government approved scope changes and transfers to other areas of Defence. See 2010–11 MPR, Part 2, DMO Executive Summary, Table 1, p. 106.
11 Australian National Audit Office, 2010–11 Major Projects Report, Part 2, paragraph 2.9, p. 148. 12 Australian National Audit Office, 2010–11 Major Projects Report, Part 2, paragraph 1.79, p. 136. 13 See Table 4, p. 51.
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20. Maintaining Major Projects on schedule, the second major dimension of  project performance, remains the most significant challenge for the DMO and  industry contractors; in turn affecting when the capability is made available for  operational  release  and  deployment.  The  DMO  data  indicates  that  at   30 June 2011, the total time for the 28 Major Projects to achieve their FOC date  is expected to be almost onethird longer than was originally planned.14 
21. In  relation  to  the  third  major  dimension  of  project  performance,  capability,  the DMO expects  to deliver almost all capabilities associated with  the Major Projects  in  this  report.15 This assessment by  the DMO was outside  the scope of  the ANAO’s review as explained  in paragraph 10. Nevertheless,  the ANAO  continues  to  engage with  the DMO  on  developments  regarding  materiel capability measures and the revised Materiel Acquisition Agreement  (MAA)  framework  in  order  to  enhance  our  understanding  of  the  DMO’s  assessment of  its own performance  in  the delivery of  the materiel element of  key capabilities. 
22. There are  some  indications  that  the assessment of capability  is overly  optimistic  in  some cases. Analysis of  the  information available  indicates  that  some critical capabilities have been unavailable or are expected to be delivered  below  that  initially  approved.  For  example,  numerous  recent  issues  in  the  sustainment  of  the  submarine  capability  have  gained  significant  public  and  political  attention,  and  have  limited  the  availability  of  this  capability  to  the  Navy. Similarly, in respect of the MRH90 Helicopters, ARH Tiger Helicopters  and  Air  to  Air  Refuel  projects,  the  DMO’s  assessment  of  the  capability  expected  to be delivered has declined  in 2010–11 as compared  to  the original  planned key capabilities for these platforms (refer to PDSSs in Part 3). 
23. Table 2 provides aggregate DMO data on the approved budgeted cost,  schedule  performance  and  progress  toward  delivering  capabilities  for  the  Major Projects covered in this year’s report.    
14 FOC is the point in time at which the final subset of a capability system that can be operationally
employed is realised. FOC is a capability state endorsed by the government at Second Pass Approval and reported as having been reached by Defence’s capability manager (usually the Service Chief). Major capital equipment can be in Defence service use before formally achieving FOC, such as in the case of Bushmaster Vehicles which are in active use by the ADF but have not achieved FOC.
15 This is discussed further in paragraphs 37 to 39.
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Overview
17. The management of projects’ budgeted  cost has been,  to a  significant  degree,  assisted  by  routine  budget  supplementation  to  deal with  both  price  changes (via price  indexation) and  foreign exchange movement (via a whole ofgovernment ‘no win/no loss’ policy9); and the coverage of certain operating  costs,  such as  staffing,  from outside projects’ budgeted  cost.    In  this  context,  while projects’ budgeted cost requires careful management by  the DMO,  this  dimension of project performance has not been a major issue to date.10  
18. From 1 July 2010, all projects’ approved budgets include the total price  indexation, adjusted  for  the Specialist Military Equipment Weighted Average  (SMEWA)11  or  other  appropriate  index,  to  the point  of  the project’s  forecast  Final  Operational  Capability  (FOC).  This  is  defined  as  the  budget  being   ‘out  turned’.12  In  2010–11,  this  indexation  adjustment  resulted  in  a  oneoff  variation to projects’ total approved budgets of $1.16 billion. Under this model  of  price  indexation,  projects  will  only  receive  further  indexation  for  fluctuations  in  the  agreed  index,  or  by  Government  approved  real  cost  increase, where contingency funding has been exhausted or cannot be sourced  internally  by  the DMO. Once  the  forecast  FOC  has  passed,  projects will  be  expected  to  manage  price  increases  beyond  the  agreed  index  within  their  existing  budget.  This will  require  close management  by  the DMO  to  avoid  project  budget  deficits,  particularly  in  an  environment  of  regular  project  slippage. 
19. While  none  of  the  Major  Projects  in  this  report  has  exceeded  its  approved budgeted cost13,  the ANAO’s analysis  identified  that  the DMO had  received a  total of $295 million  in price  indexation, between  the forecast FOC  and  the year ending 30  June 2011,  for projects  in  the MPR sample, which are  yet to achieve FOC. 
9 Defence Portfolio Budget Statements 2010–11, p. 26. 10 In the 2010–11 MPR, the DMO is reporting less than one per cent negative variation in the total
approved budgeted cost and the total current budgeted cost for the 28 Major Projects. The net variation involves budgeted cost movements between Second Pass Approval to 30 June 2011 that are not due to price indexation, foreign exchange, government approved scope changes and transfers to other areas of Defence. See 2010–11 MPR, Part 2, DMO Executive Summary, Table 1, p. 106.
11 Australian National Audit Office, 2010–11 Major Projects Report, Part 2, paragraph 2.9, p. 148. 12 Australian National Audit Office, 2010–11 Major Projects Report, Part 2, paragraph 1.79, p. 136. 13 See Table 4, p. 51.
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2010–2011 Major Projects Report
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20. Maintaining Major Projects on schedule, the second major dimension of  project performance, remains the most significant challenge for the DMO and  industry contractors; in turn affecting when the capability is made available for  operational  release  and  deployment.  The  DMO  data  indicates  that  at   30 June 2011, the total time for the 28 Major Projects to achieve their FOC date  is expected to be almost onethird longer than was originally planned.14 
21. In  relation  to  the  third  major  dimension  of  project  performance,  capability,  the DMO expects  to deliver almost all capabilities associated with  the Major Projects  in  this  report.15 This assessment by  the DMO was outside  the scope of  the ANAO’s review as explained  in paragraph 10. Nevertheless,  the ANAO  continues  to  engage with  the DMO  on  developments  regarding  materiel capability measures and the revised Materiel Acquisition Agreement  (MAA)  framework  in  order  to  enhance  our  understanding  of  the  DMO’s  assessment of  its own performance  in  the delivery of  the materiel element of  key capabilities. 
22. There are  some  indications  that  the assessment of capability  is overly  optimistic  in  some cases. Analysis of  the  information available  indicates  that  some critical capabilities have been unavailable or are expected to be delivered  below  that  initially  approved.  For  example,  numerous  recent  issues  in  the  sustainment  of  the  submarine  capability  have  gained  significant  public  and  political  attention,  and  have  limited  the  availability  of  this  capability  to  the  Navy. Similarly, in respect of the MRH90 Helicopters, ARH Tiger Helicopters  and  Air  to  Air  Refuel  projects,  the  DMO’s  assessment  of  the  capability  expected  to be delivered has declined  in 2010–11 as compared  to  the original  planned key capabilities for these platforms (refer to PDSSs in Part 3). 
23. Table 2 provides aggregate DMO data on the approved budgeted cost,  schedule  performance  and  progress  toward  delivering  capabilities  for  the  Major Projects covered in this year’s report.    
14 FOC is the point in time at which the final subset of a capability system that can be operationally
employed is realised. FOC is a capability state endorsed by the government at Second Pass Approval and reported as having been reached by Defence’s capability manager (usually the Service Chief). Major capital equipment can be in Defence service use before formally achieving FOC, such as in the case of Bushmaster Vehicles which are in active use by the ADF but have not achieved FOC.
15 This is discussed further in paragraphs 37 to 39.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12 2010–2011 Major Projects Report 20
Table 2 Longitudinal analysis of schedule performance
2007–08
Total Approved Budgeted Cost
Approved Budgeted Cost Increase/Decrease (In-year)1
$1.1 billion (8.5 per cent)
$4.8 billion (14.5 per cent)
-$3.3 billion (-7.5 per cent)
-$0.1 billion (-0.3 per cent)
Schedule Slippage (Total)1
increase)
increase)
increase)
increase)
39 months 25 months 34 months 30 months
Schedule Slippage (In-year)
Progress toward Delivering Key Capabilities • High level of
confidence that will be delivered (Green)
80 per cent
86 per cent
89 per cent
94 per cent
• Under threat but still considered manageable (Amber)
13 per cent 13 per cent 10 per cent 5 per cent
• At this stage unlikely to be met (Red)
7 per cent 1 per cent 1 per cent 1 per cent
Sources: 2007–08, 2008–09, 2009–10 and 2010–11 MPRs, Parts 2 and 3.
Note 1: As the data for the 28 Major Projects in the 2010–11 MPR compares results with subsets of projects in the 2009–10 MPR (22 of the current 28 Major Projects), the 2008–09 MPR (15 of the current 28 Major Projects) and the 2007–08 MPR (nine of the current 28 Major Projects), a comparison of the data across years should be interpreted in this context.
Note 2: Based on the same 15 projects from the 2008–09 MPR.
Note 3: Based on the same 22 projects from the 2009–10 MPR.
Note 4: The grey section of the table covers data that is not within the scope of the ANAO’s assurance review. It should also be noted that the measures used to record progress towards delivering the key capabilities in the grey section of the table can change from year to year. Any comparison of the data across years should therefore be treated with caution.
ANAO Overview ANAO Report No.20 2011–12
2010–2011 Major Projects Report
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Cost
24. The  total budgeted costs  for  the Major Projects  included  in  this year’s  MPR have  increased by $7.8 billion  (20 per cent) since  these projects received  Second Pass Approval. The  $7.8 billion  is  comprised  of price  (materials  and  labour)  variation  increases  of  $7.6 billion16,  real  variation  (such  as  scope  changes  and budget  transfers between projects)  increases of  $3.7 billion,  and  foreign exchange rate movement decreases of $3.5 billion.17 Three projects have  had a real budgeted cost increase since Second Pass Approval of greater than   $500 million,  namely  the  MRH90  Helicopters,  the  Hornet  Refurb  and  Bushmaster Vehicles (additional quantities/upgrades). 
25. Compared  to  2009–10,  the  strengthening  Australian  dollar  had  less  impact on project budgeted costs in 2010–11. In 2009–10, the budgeted cost of  the  22  projects  decreased  by  $3.8 billion  (11  per  cent)  as  a  result  of  foreign  exchange movements. In 2010–11, the reduction of the total budgeted cost for  the  28  projects  as  a  result  of  foreign  exchange movements was  $1.1 billion   (three  per  cent),  although  this  was  offset  by  a  $1.1 billion  increase  in  the  budgeted  cost  due  to  price  indexation.  In  general,  this  again  highlights  the  yeartoyear volatility that can arise with projects exposed to foreign currency  movements.18 
26. In terms&