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2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION 27 November 2010 SUMMARY OF RESULTS Introduction ............................................................................................................. 1 Legislative Assembly Results Summary of Results.......................................................................................... 3 Detailed Results by District ............................................................................... 8 Summary of Two-Party Preferred Result ........................................................ 24 Regional Summaries....................................................................................... 30 By-elections and Casual Vacancies ................................................................ 34 Legislative Council Results Summary of Results........................................................................................ 35 Incidence of Ticket Voting ............................................................................... 38 Eastern Metropolitan Region .......................................................................... 39 Eastern Victoria Region.................................................................................. 42 Northern Metropolitan Region ........................................................................ 44 Northern Victoria Region ................................................................................ 48 South Eastern Metropolitan Region ............................................................... 51 Southern Metropolitan Region........................................................................ 53 Western Metropolitan Region ......................................................................... 56 Western Victoria Region................................................................................. 59 Comparison of Assembly and Council Vote by Party and Electorate .............. 62 Changes in Parliamentary Membership .............................................................. 66 Antony Green ABC Election Unit July 2014

2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

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Page 1: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION

27 November 2010

SUMMARY OF RESULTS

Introduction ............................................................................................................. 1

Legislative Assembly Results

Summary of Results.......................................................................................... 3

Detailed Results by District ............................................................................... 8

Summary of Two-Party Preferred Result ........................................................ 24

Regional Summaries....................................................................................... 30

By-elections and Casual Vacancies ................................................................ 34

Legislative Council Results

Summary of Results........................................................................................ 35

Incidence of Ticket Voting ............................................................................... 38

Eastern Metropolitan Region .......................................................................... 39 Eastern Victoria Region.................................................................................. 42 Northern Metropolitan Region ........................................................................ 44 Northern Victoria Region ................................................................................ 48 South Eastern Metropolitan Region ............................................................... 51 Southern Metropolitan Region ........................................................................ 53 Western Metropolitan Region ......................................................................... 56 Western Victoria Region................................................................................. 59

Comparison of Assembly and Council Vote by Party and Electorate .............. 62

Changes in Parliamentary Membership .............................................................. 66

Antony Green ABC Election Unit

July 2014

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Symbols

.. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting Member .... 'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 Party Abbreviations

ACP Christian Party ALP Australian Labor Party ASXP Australian Sex Party CA Country Alliance CDP Christian Democrats CEC Citizens Electoral Council DLP Democratic Labor Party FFP Family First GRN Australian Greens IND Independent L/NP Liberal/National (Joint tickets in Legislative Council) LIB Liberal Party NAT National Party OTH Others SA Socialist Alliance Important Dates Dissolution and Issue of Writs 2 November 2010 Close of Rolls 9 November 2010 Close of Nominations 12 November 2010 Election Day 27 November 2010 Return of Writs 18 December 2010

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 1

INTRODUCTION This paper contains a summary of the results of the 2010 elections for the Victorian Legislative Assembly and Legislative Council. The election was the second conducted following substantial reform of the Legislative Council.

The election resulted in the defeat of the Brumby Labor government, the Coalition led by Ted Baillieu taking office for the first time since 1999. Format for Legislative Assembly Results

First preference and two-candidate preferred counts are shown for all electorates as well as change in party support since the 2006 election. The following paragraphs explain the format for the results. First Count: The votes shown for each candidate are the total first preference votes received. Percentage votes are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote for each electorate. Swing is calculated by subtracting the percentage vote received by a party at the 2006 election from the percentage received in 2010. Where the parties contesting the district differ from 2006, ghost candidates indicated by "...." have been included representing candidates not contesting the 2010 election. As a result, all primary swings add to zero, subject to rounding errors. Final Count: Represents the two-candidate preferred count after the final distribution of preferences in an electorate. (See notes below on how preference counts are conducted in Victoria.) Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing a candidate’s two-candidate preferred vote by the the total two-candidate preferred vote for the electorate. Two-candidate preferred swings compare percentages at the 2006 and 2010 elections. 2-Party Preferred: Shown in six electorates, this represents a second count of preferences conducted between candidates representing the Labor and Liberal/National parties. These counts allow the preparation of the state-wide two-party preferred statistics shown on page 24. Summary tables of two party preferred results and swings can be found on page 24, and regional analysis of vote on page 30. Notes on how Preferences are Counted The Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) uses two different methods to conduct preference counts. In electorates where no candidate has 50% of the vote, the VEC undertakes a formal distribution of preference by successively excluding the lowest polling candidate, re-examining their ballot papers and distributing them according to the numbers marked on the ballot paper to candidates remaining in the count. These exclusions continue until one candidate reaches 50%. At the 2010 election there were 44 electorates where the winning candidate achieved 50% on first preference votes and a distribution was not required. In 13 electorates the formal distribution ended with more than two candidates remaining in the count, while in 31 electorates the count had to continue until only two candidates remained. In the 57 electorates where a full distribution of preferences was not completed, the VEC published final preference counts based on indicative preference counts. Based on nominating two final candidates in each electorate before election day, all ballot papers for other candidates were examined to determine which of the two nominated candidates received each ballot paper’s preference. This count was carried out in all polling places and with declaration votes in all electorates, but is not used as the final count in electorates where a full distribution of preferences was undertaken. These two methods mean that there can be discrepancies between the indicative count and formal preference count in electorates where both were conducted. There can also be differences between the preference tallies and the actual tally of first preference votes. These are minor differences are

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2010 Victorian Election

2 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

reflected in this publication, usually seen as a difference between the total formal vote in an electorate and total two candidate preferred vote. None of these differences are significant. The VEC also undertakes further ballot paper examination in electorates that did not finish as two-party contests between Labor and the Coalition. At the 2010 election, this resulted in additional two-party counts being conducted in six electorates, the four inner-city Labor-Green contests (Brunswick, Melbourne, Northcote, Richmond) and two National-Independent contests (Gippsland East, Mildura). In Bendigo West, this publication uses the actual Labor-National preference count rather than the alternative Labor-Liberal indicative preference count. Of the 35 electorates won by the Liberal Party, 23 were with a majority on first preferences and 12 after leading on first preferences. The National Party won eight seats with a majority on first preferences and two more after leading on first preferences. Of the 43 electorates won by Labor, only 13 were won with a majority on first preferences, 20 after leading on first preferences and 10 after trailing on first preferences. Format for Legislative Council Results

Results for the Legislative Council are provided in several formats beginning on page 35. Overall totals are provided along with vote share, change in vote and quotas recorded for each region. A more detailed breakdown of first preference votes by candidate is also provided followed by commentary on the preference distributions. A table summarising the incidence of Legislative Council ticket voting by party and region can be found on page 38, and a comparison of votes by party by electorate in the lower and upper house on page 62. By-elections

There were four Legislative Assembly by-elections and two legislative Council casual vacancies between 2006 and 2010. Details can be found on page 34. Analysis of swing for the 2010 election is based on comparisons with the 2006 results, not the results of by-elections. Acknowledgments and Disclaimer

All results are based on the official statistics published by the Victorian Electoral Commission. All calculations, including analysis of swing and Legislative Council preference distributions are the responsibility of the author. Antony Green ABC Election Analyst July 2014

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 3

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY STATE-WIDE TOTALS ROLL 3 582 232

Candi Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Votes Swing

Liberal 79 35 +12 1,203,654 38.03 +3.60 Labor 88 43 -12 1,147,348 36.25 -6.81 Greens 88 .. .. 354,697 11.21 +1.17 The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32 Family First 69 .. .. 72,354 2.29 -2.00 Country Alliance 29 .. .. 42,938 1.36 +1.36 Democratic Labor Party 36 .. .. 28,176 0.89 +0.89 Australian Sex Party 17 .. .. 17,252 0.55 +0.55 Socialist Alliance 4 .. .. 1,787 0.06 +0.02 Christian Democrats 2 .. .. 636 0.02 +0.02 Citizens Electoral Council .. .. .. .. .. -0.17 Others .. .. .. .. .. -0.51

Formal 502 .. .. 3,164,729 95.04 -0.40 Informal 165,136 4.96 +0.40 Total Votes 3,329,865 92.96 +0.23

Liberal gains for Labor (12) Bentleigh

Burwood Carrum Forest Hill Frankston Gembrook Mitcham Mordialloc Mount Waverley Prahran Seymour South Barwon

National gain from Independent (1) Gippsland East

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2010 Victorian Election

4 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTE BY ELECTORATE

Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP LIB NAT GRN OTH Votes Votes Turnout

Albert Park 12012 15234 .. 7218 5326 1568 41358 47148 Altona 22954 14944 .. 4516 2573 2529 47516 51138 Ballarat East 14076 15758 .. 5363 1109 1636 37942 40578 Ballarat West 16446 17230 .. 3876 1965 1740 41257 43964 Bass 12962 25098 .. 4845 1546 2243 46694 49279 Bayswater 10138 17597 .. 2873 2685 1579 34872 37101 Bellarine 16324 17140 .. 3123 3224 2231 42042 44369 Benalla 6124 .. 21072 2756 3350 1398 34700 36987 Benambra 7537 18424 .. 3658 3366 1447 34432 37242 Bendigo East 16079 12864 2196 2295 3233 1827 38494 40730 Bendigo West 14431 7343 7965 3999 2944 2127 38809 41682 Bentleigh 13643 16296 .. 3545 1188 1615 36287 38715 Box Hill 8978 20415 .. 4952 666 1155 36166 38898 Brighton 6661 21375 .. 5465 696 1215 35412 38366 Broadmeadows 19125 7761 .. 2304 1515 2517 33222 37424 Brunswick 13129 6209 .. 11023 6085 2018 38464 42321 Bulleen 8533 18849 .. 2712 1572 1611 33277 35488 Bundoora 14967 11859 .. 3285 2386 1770 34267 36644 Burwood 11732 17500 .. 4146 1832 1215 36425 38951 Carrum 14430 17539 .. 3593 2259 1840 39661 42415 Caulfield 7729 19018 .. 5307 880 1223 34157 37692 Clayton 15843 8833 .. 2782 1699 1808 30965 33843 Cranbourne 17803 16565 .. 3475 4061 2754 44658 48076 Dandenong 14934 8658 .. 2591 3374 2373 31930 35535 Derrimut 17076 7971 .. 5783 3437 2906 37173 40846 Doncaster 8500 20417 .. 2616 1015 1614 34162 36523 Eltham 13792 16047 .. 4747 1176 1494 37256 39389 Essendon 12867 12983 .. 5816 3587 1480 36733 39853 Evelyn 10677 20612 .. 2799 2217 1729 38034 40186 Ferntree Gully 11768 22020 .. 2850 3009 2189 41836 44213 Footscray 14611 8703 .. 7126 3854 1989 36283 40289 Forest Hill 12796 16043 .. 2501 1657 1271 34268 36414 Frankston 11603 14899 .. 2673 2669 1591 33435 36328 Geelong 14809 15472 .. 4131 1562 1528 37502 40062 Gembrook 12638 18427 904 3689 2789 2366 40813 43410 Gippsland East 2821 5368 16987 1976 10500 1242 38894 41418 Gippsland South 6647 .. 22479 3495 2602 1615 36838 39215 Hastings 12262 21656 .. 3073 3038 2356 42385 45194 Hawthorn 7218 21036 .. 5883 409 1047 35593 38753 Ivanhoe 12140 14413 .. 6240 1536 1613 35942 38781 Keilor 22943 14367 .. 3625 5095 3502 49532 52853 Kew 7750 19878 .. 4879 576 1145 34228 36904 Kilsyth 11172 19348 .. 2913 3175 1744 38352 40627 Kororoit 19891 8912 .. 3513 3320 3076 38712 42497 Lara 20778 11366 .. 3401 3213 2373 41131 44088 Lowan 7783 .. 23702 1966 1704 1363 36518 38478 Lyndhurst 19820 9946 .. 2191 3776 2715 38448 41578 Macedon 17282 18141 .. 3613 3834 2349 45219 47847 Malvern 6584 22160 .. 4807 390 1109 35050 37798 Melbourne 13116 10281 .. 11735 1635 1409 38176 43916 Melton 18520 11615 .. 3247 4078 2926 40386 43639 Mildura 4943 .. 15170 563 11836 2011 34523 37638 Mill Park 21861 9537 .. 2605 1901 2430 38334 41032 Mitcham 11669 15717 .. 4024 2353 1208 34971 37054 Monbulk 12318 14506 .. 5244 2020 1582 35670 37887 Mordialloc 13778 17223 .. 3443 2309 2368 39121 41690

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 5

Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP LIB NAT GRN OTH Votes Votes Turnout

Mornington 9119 22238 .. 3823 1017 1464 37661 40195 Morwell 9752 .. 19200 1645 3619 1838 36054 38648 Mount Waverley 11420 17126 .. 2548 2264 1289 34647 36917 Mulgrave 15392 11166 .. 2173 1637 2069 32437 34995 Murray Valley 7065 .. 18357 1598 7080 1845 35945 38342 Narracan 11161 21636 .. 2967 2415 1531 39710 42337 Narre Warren North 15043 14743 .. 2443 3148 2325 37702 40203 Narre Warren South 22007 17402 .. 3244 3239 3101 48993 52340 Nepean 9333 20700 .. 4176 439 1494 36142 39050 Niddrie 14435 11000 .. 2451 3711 2865 34462 36805 Northcote 15917 6863 .. 10927 1715 1567 36989 40423 Oakleigh 12888 12616 .. 4719 1234 1444 32901 35602 Pascoe Vale 18795 9823 .. 5683 679 2227 37207 40763 Polwarth 10432 21245 .. 3235 3497 1539 39948 42079 Prahran 9384 16197 .. 6685 1510 1128 34904 39257 Preston 17400 8593 .. 7058 .. 2219 35270 38662 Richmond 13328 8154 .. 10174 4117 1348 37121 42025 Ripon 14169 11596 3850 2084 1987 1640 35326 37619 Rodney 5290 .. 20524 1348 5569 1509 34240 36437 Sandringham 7313 20704 .. 5430 548 1314 35309 37827 Scoresby 10388 20745 .. 2821 1178 1627 36759 39121 Seymour 12813 12992 1391 3230 6036 1955 38417 41103 Shepparton 5245 .. 17609 1631 8785 1955 35225 38136 South Barwon 15759 20133 .. 4208 3737 1955 45792 48309 South-West Coast 9658 19316 .. 3228 6994 1644 40840 43344 Swan Hill 4802 .. 22086 1326 1219 1441 30874 33073 Tarneit 20521 13458 .. 3716 4116 2492 44303 47784 Thomastown 19190 7591 .. 2952 1576 2716 34025 36853 Warrandyte 9920 22150 .. 4221 1552 1448 39291 41472 Williamstown 15859 11023 .. 7040 .. 1965 35887 38966 Yan Yean 20990 19612 .. 4916 3412 2527 51457 54134 Yuroke 23537 13259 .. 4128 1702 2876 45502 48425

TOTAL 1147348 1203654 213492 354697 245538 165136 3329865 3582232

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2010 Victorian Election

6 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY ELECTORATE

Electoral Percentage of First PreferenceVotes Informal District ALP LIB NAT GRN OTH Votes Turnout

Albert Park 30.2 38.3 .. 18.1 13.4 3.8 87.7 Altona 51.0 33.2 .. 10.0 5.7 5.3 92.9 Ballarat East 38.8 43.4 .. 14.8 3.1 4.3 93.5 Ballarat West 41.6 43.6 .. 9.8 5.0 4.2 93.8 Bass 29.2 56.5 .. 10.9 3.5 4.8 94.8 Bayswater 30.5 52.9 .. 8.6 8.1 4.5 94.0 Bellarine 41.0 43.1 .. 7.8 8.1 5.3 94.8 Benalla 18.4 .. 63.3 8.3 10.1 4.0 93.8 Benambra 22.8 55.9 .. 11.1 10.2 4.2 92.5 Bendigo East 43.9 35.1 6.0 6.3 8.8 4.7 94.5 Bendigo West 39.3 20.0 21.7 10.9 8.0 5.5 93.1 Bentleigh 39.3 47.0 .. 10.2 3.4 4.5 93.7 Box Hill 25.6 58.3 .. 14.1 1.9 3.2 93.0 Brighton 19.5 62.5 .. 16.0 2.0 3.4 92.3 Broadmeadows 62.3 25.3 .. 7.5 4.9 7.6 88.8 Brunswick 36.0 17.0 .. 30.2 16.7 5.2 90.9 Bulleen 26.9 59.5 .. 8.6 5.0 4.8 93.8 Bundoora 46.1 36.5 .. 10.1 7.3 5.2 93.5 Burwood 33.3 49.7 .. 11.8 5.2 3.3 93.5 Carrum 38.2 46.4 .. 9.5 6.0 4.6 93.5 Caulfield 23.5 57.7 .. 16.1 2.7 3.6 90.6 Clayton 54.3 30.3 .. 9.5 5.8 5.8 91.5 Cranbourne 42.5 39.5 .. 8.3 9.7 6.2 92.9 Dandenong 50.5 29.3 .. 8.8 11.4 7.4 89.9 Derrimut 49.8 23.3 .. 16.9 10.0 7.8 91.0 Doncaster 26.1 62.7 .. 8.0 3.1 4.7 93.5 Eltham 38.6 44.9 .. 13.3 3.3 4.0 94.6 Essendon 36.5 36.8 .. 16.5 10.2 4.0 92.2 Evelyn 29.4 56.8 .. 7.7 6.1 4.5 94.6 Ferntree Gully 29.7 55.5 .. 7.2 7.6 5.2 94.6 Footscray 42.6 25.4 .. 20.8 11.2 5.5 90.1 Forest Hill 38.8 48.6 .. 7.6 5.0 3.7 94.1 Frankston 36.4 46.8 .. 8.4 8.4 4.8 92.0 Geelong 41.2 43.0 .. 11.5 4.3 4.1 93.6 Gembrook 32.9 47.9 2.4 9.6 7.3 5.8 94.0 Gippsland East 7.5 14.3 45.1 5.2 27.9 3.2 93.9 Gippsland South 18.9 .. 63.8 9.9 7.4 4.4 93.9 Hastings 30.6 54.1 .. 7.7 7.6 5.6 93.8 Hawthorn 20.9 60.9 .. 17.0 1.2 2.9 91.8 Ivanhoe 35.4 42.0 .. 18.2 4.5 4.5 92.7 Keilor 49.8 31.2 .. 7.9 11.1 7.1 93.7 Kew 23.4 60.1 .. 14.7 1.7 3.3 92.7 Kilsyth 30.5 52.9 .. 8.0 8.7 4.5 94.4 Kororoit 55.8 25.0 .. 9.9 9.3 7.9 91.1 Lara 53.6 29.3 .. 8.8 8.3 5.8 93.3 Lowan 22.1 .. 67.4 5.6 4.8 3.7 94.9 Lyndhurst 55.5 27.8 .. 6.1 10.6 7.1 92.5 Macedon 40.3 42.3 .. 8.4 8.9 5.2 94.5 Malvern 19.4 65.3 .. 14.2 1.1 3.2 92.7 Melbourne 35.7 28.0 .. 31.9 4.4 3.7 86.9 Melton 49.4 31.0 .. 8.7 10.9 7.2 92.5 Mildura 15.2 .. 46.7 1.7 36.4 5.8 91.7 Mill Park 60.9 26.6 .. 7.3 5.3 6.3 93.4 Mitcham 34.6 46.6 .. 11.9 7.0 3.5 94.4 Monbulk 36.1 42.6 .. 15.4 5.9 4.4 94.1 Mordialloc 37.5 46.9 .. 9.4 6.3 6.1 93.8

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 7

Electoral Percentage of First PreferenceVotes Informal District ALP LIB NAT GRN OTH Votes Turnout

Mornington 25.2 61.4 .. 10.6 2.8 3.9 93.7 Morwell 28.5 .. 56.1 4.8 10.6 5.1 93.3 Mount Waverley 34.2 51.3 .. 7.6 6.8 3.7 93.9 Mulgrave 50.7 36.8 .. 7.2 5.4 6.4 92.7 Murray Valley 20.7 .. 53.8 4.7 20.8 5.1 93.7 Narracan 29.2 56.7 .. 7.8 6.3 3.9 93.8 Narre Warren North 42.5 41.7 .. 6.9 8.9 6.2 93.8 Narre Warren South 48.0 37.9 .. 7.1 7.1 6.3 93.6 Nepean 26.9 59.7 .. 12.1 1.3 4.1 92.6 Niddrie 45.7 34.8 .. 7.8 11.7 8.3 93.6 Northcote 44.9 19.4 .. 30.8 4.8 4.2 91.5 Oakleigh 41.0 40.1 .. 15.0 3.9 4.4 92.4 Pascoe Vale 53.7 28.1 .. 16.2 1.9 6.0 91.3 Polwarth 27.2 55.3 .. 8.4 9.1 3.9 94.9 Prahran 27.8 48.0 .. 19.8 4.5 3.2 88.9 Preston 52.6 26.0 .. 21.4 .. 6.3 91.2 Richmond 37.3 22.8 .. 28.4 11.5 3.6 88.3 Ripon 42.1 34.4 11.4 6.2 5.9 4.6 93.9 Rodney 16.2 .. 62.7 4.1 17.0 4.4 94.0 Sandringham 21.5 60.9 .. 16.0 1.6 3.7 93.3 Scoresby 29.6 59.0 .. 8.0 3.4 4.4 94.0 Seymour 35.1 35.6 3.8 8.9 16.6 5.1 93.5 Shepparton 15.8 .. 52.9 4.9 26.4 5.6 92.4 South Barwon 35.9 45.9 .. 9.6 8.5 4.3 94.8 South-West Coast 24.6 49.3 .. 8.2 17.8 4.0 94.2 Swan Hill 16.3 .. 75.0 4.5 4.1 4.7 93.4 Tarneit 49.1 32.2 .. 8.9 9.8 5.6 92.7 Thomastown 61.3 24.2 .. 9.4 5.0 8.0 92.3 Warrandyte 26.2 58.5 .. 11.2 4.1 3.7 94.7 Williamstown 46.8 32.5 .. 20.8 .. 5.5 92.1 Yan Yean 42.9 40.1 .. 10.0 7.0 4.9 95.1 Yuroke 55.2 31.1 .. 9.7 4.0 6.3 94.0

TOTAL 36.3 38.0 6.7 11.2 7.8 5.0 93.0

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2010 Victorian Election

8 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY ELECTORATE RESULTS Albert Park Roll 47148

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Blakey ASXP 1404 3.5 +3.5 Foley * ALP 12012 30.2 -10.9 Lopez LIB 15234 38.3 +3.6 Young FFP 303 0.8 -0.3 Thomann IND 3619 9.1 +9.1 Birrell GRN 7218 18.1 -0.9 .... OTH 0.0 -4.2

Final Count Foley * ALP 20713 52.1 -7.6 Lopez LIB 19077 47.9 +7.6

Formal 39790 96.2 +0.5 Informal 1568 3.8 -0.5 Total / Turnout 41358 87.7

Note: See page 34 for details of 2007 by-election.

Altona Roll 51138

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Nain IND 991 2.2 +2.2 Hennessy * ALP 22954 51.0 -9.6 Strangward GRN 4516 10.0 +1.6 Rose LIB 14944 33.2 +9.3 Mumby FFP 1582 3.5 -3.6

Final Count

Hennessy * ALP 27886 62.0 -8.2 Rose LIB 17117 38.0 +8.2

Formal 44987 94.7 +0.8 Informal 2529 5.3 -0.8 Total / Turnout 47516 92.9

Note: See page 34 for details of 2010 by-election.

Ballarat East Roll 40578

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Zibell GRN 5363 14.8 +3.0 Taylor LIB 15758 43.4 +9.8 Howard * ALP 14076 38.8 -4.2 Greville FFP 1109 3.1 -2.0 .... OTH 0.0 -6.6

Final Count Taylor LIB 17604 48.5 +5.1 Howard * ALP 18702 51.5 -5.1

Formal 36306 95.7 -0.5 Informal 1636 4.3 +0.5 Total / Turnout 37942 93.5

Ballarat West Roll 43964

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Dwyer GRN 3876 9.8 -0.1 Coltman LIB 17230 43.6 +5.6 Knight ALP 16446 41.6 -5.5 Wesley CA 681 1.7 +1.7 Butterfield FFP 1284 3.2 -1.8

Final Count Coltman LIB 19342 48.9 +5.5 Knight ALP 20175 51.1 -5.5

Formal 39517 95.8 -0.6 Informal 1740 4.2 +0.6 Total / Turnout 41257 93.8

Note: Labor MP Karen Overington retired.

Bass Roll 49279

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Lonergan ALP 12962 29.2 -5.8 Smith * LIB 25098 56.5 +10.1 Rankine GRN 4845 10.9 +2.0 Rogers CA 1546 3.5 +3.5 .... FFP 0.0 -4.5 .... NAT 0.0 -3.6 .... OTH 0.0 -1.7

Final Count

Lonergan ALP 16622 37.4 -7.1 Smith * LIB 27804 62.6 +7.1

Formal 44451 95.2 -0.3 Informal 2243 4.8 +0.3 Total / Turnout 46694 94.8

Bayswater Roll 37101

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Stratis ASXP 1256 3.8 +3.8 Prendergast DLP 456 1.4 +1.4 Tennant GRN 2873 8.6 +0.7 Coombes FFP 973 2.9 -1.1 Victoria * LIB 17597 52.9 +11.8 Lockwood ALP 10138 30.5 -5.7 .... OTH 0.0 -10.9

Final Count

Victoria * LIB 20178 60.6 +7.7 Lockwood ALP 13134 39.4 -7.7

Formal 33293 95.5 +1.2 Informal 1579 4.5 -1.2 Total / Turnout 34872 94.0

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 9

Bellarine Roll 44369

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Clapinski DLP 831 2.1 +2.1 Duff FFP 944 2.4 -2.3 Neville * ALP 16324 41.0 -7.5 Juhasz IND 510 1.3 +1.3 Baldacchino GRN 3123 7.8 -1.7 Cherry SA 274 0.7 +0.7 Reiter LIB 17140 43.1 +5.9 McCallum CA 665 1.7 +1.7

Final Count Neville * ALP 20449 51.4 -6.6 Reiter LIB 19362 48.6 +6.6

Formal 39811 94.7 -1.8 Informal 2231 5.3 +1.8 Total / Turnout 42042 94.8

Benalla Roll 36987

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Cordner Hunt GRN 2756 8.3 +1.2 Hunt CA 2546 7.6 +7.6 Allen ALP 6124 18.4 -6.8 Williams IND 804 2.4 +2.4 Sykes * NAT 21072 63.3 +21.1 .... LIB 0.0 -23.0 .... FFP 0.0 -2.5

Final Count Allen ALP 8978 26.9 -5.6 Sykes * NAT 24354 73.1 +5.6

Formal 33302 96.0 -0.4 Informal 1398 4.0 +0.4 Total / Turnout 34700 93.8

Benambra Roll 37242

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count O'Connor GRN 3658 11.1 +4.4 Tilley * LIB 18424 55.9 +17.2 Macaulay CA 2241 6.8 +6.8 Cavedon FFP 1125 3.4 +0.7 Williams ALP 7537 22.8 -10.1 .... NAT 0.0 -18.1 .... OTH 0.0 -0.9

Final Count Tilley * LIB 21909 66.5 +8.8 Williams ALP 11045 33.5 -8.8

Formal 32985 95.8 -0.9 Informal 1447 4.2 +0.9 Total / Turnout 34432 92.5

Bendigo East Roll 40730

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Leunig CA 1275 3.5 +3.5 Allan * ALP 16079 43.9 -3.0 Hillier ASXP 824 2.2 +2.2 Veitz CDP 275 0.7 +0.7 Langdon LIB 12864 35.1 +0.5 Guerra FFP 447 1.2 -3.1 Bardsley GRN 2295 6.3 -0.9 Stewart DLP 412 1.1 +1.1 Schwarz NAT 2196 6.0 -0.4 .... OTH 0.0 -0.7

Final Count

Allan * ALP 19797 53.8 -1.6 Langdon LIB 16989 46.2 +1.6

Formal 36667 95.3 -1.1 Informal 1827 4.7 +1.1 Total / Turnout 38494 94.5

Bendigo West Roll 41682

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Phillips CA 1328 3.6 +3.6 Wintle FFP 671 1.8 -3.3 Oliver NAT 7965 21.7 +15.4 Foster CDP 361 1.0 +1.0 Radford GRN 3999 10.9 -0.1 Edwards ALP 14431 39.3 -9.1 Donlon LIB 7343 20.0 -9.2 Caddy DLP 584 1.6 +1.6

Final Count Oliver NAT 17265 47.1 +47.1 Edwards ALP 19417 52.9 -7.6 Donlon LIB 0 0.0 -39.4

Formal 36682 94.5 -1.6 Informal 2127 5.5 +1.6 Total / Turnout 38809 93.1

Note: Labor MP Bob Cameron retired.

Page 12: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

10 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Bentleigh (LIB gain) Roll 38715

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Miller LIB 16296 47.0 +7.3 Coutts DLP 524 1.5 +1.5 Hedger GRN 3545 10.2 .. Hudson * ALP 13643 39.3 -7.6 Graber FFP 364 1.0 -1.7 Myers IND 300 0.9 +0.9 .... OTH 0.0 -0.4

Final Count Miller LIB 17597 50.8 +7.1 Hudson * ALP 17075 49.2 -7.1

Formal 34672 95.5 -0.6 Informal 1615 4.5 +0.6 Total / Turnout 36287 93.7

Box Hill Roll 38898

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Clark * LIB 20415 58.3 +8.8 Baxter GRN 4952 14.1 .. Chandler ALP 8978 25.6 -7.1 Ong FFP 666 1.9 -0.8 .... OTH 0.0 -1.0

Final Count

Clark * LIB 22346 63.8 +8.6 Chandler ALP 12677 36.2 -8.6

Formal 35011 96.8 +0.1 Informal 1155 3.2 -0.1 Total / Turnout 36166 93.0

Brighton Roll 38366

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Asher * LIB 21375 62.5 +7.6 Giddings FFP 353 1.0 -0.8 Daley ALP 6661 19.5 -6.3 Thompson IND 343 1.0 +1.0 Beavis GRN 5465 16.0 +2.7 .... OTH 0.0 -4.2

Final Count Asher * LIB 23091 67.6 +6.6 Daley ALP 11089 32.4 -6.6

Formal 34197 96.6 -0.6 Informal 1215 3.4 +0.6 Total / Turnout 35412 92.3

Broadmeadows Roll 37424

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Brumby * ALP 19125 62.3 -5.4 De Loma-Osorio GRN 2304 7.5 +0.9 Byrne IND 737 2.4 +2.4 Ozturk LIB 7761 25.3 +12.4 Butler DLP 778 2.5 +2.5 .... FFP 0.0 -4.7 .... OTH 0.0 -8.1

Final Count Brumby * ALP 21811 71.0 -10.9 Ozturk LIB 8919 29.0 +10.9 Exhausted -25 -0.1

Formal 30705 92.4 +0.7 Informal 2517 7.6 -0.7 Total / Turnout 33222 88.8

Brunswick Roll 42321

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Mulcahy ASXP 1418 3.9 +3.9 Dawes GRN 11023 30.2 +0.5 Garrett ALP 13129 36.0 -11.7 Dadleh LIB 6209 17.0 -0.4 Cawte IND 348 1.0 +1.0 Hawkins SA 405 1.1 -0.8 Cleary IND 3914 10.7 +10.7 .... FFP 0.0 -1.7 .... OTH 0.0 -1.5

Final Count Dawes GRN 17033 46.7 +0.4 Garrett ALP 19411 53.3 -0.4

2-Party Preferred Garrett ALP 27404 75.2 -2.7 Dadleh LIB 9042 24.8 +2.7

Formal 36446 94.8 +0.9 Informal 2018 5.2 -0.9 Total / Turnout 38464 90.9

Note: Labor MP Carlo Carli retired.

Page 13: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 11

Bulleen Roll 35488

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Tan FFP 1030 3.3 -1.8 Mackenzie GRN 2712 8.6 -0.1 Reid ALP 8533 26.9 -6.6 Kotsiras * LIB 18849 59.5 +6.8 Eldridge IND 542 1.7 +1.7

Final Count

Reid ALP 11199 35.3 -6.2 Kotsiras * LIB 20509 64.7 +6.2

Formal 31666 95.2 -0.8 Informal 1611 4.8 +0.8 Total / Turnout 33277 93.8

Bundoora Roll 36644

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

McColl IND 764 2.4 +2.4 Brooks * ALP 14967 46.1 -7.0 Brar LIB 11859 36.5 +6.5 Roberts GRN 3285 10.1 -1.0 Conlon FFP 915 2.8 -2.1 O'Farrell DLP 707 2.2 +2.2 .... OTH 0.0 -1.0

Final Count

Brooks * ALP 18706 57.6 -7.6 Brar LIB 13791 42.4 +7.6

Formal 32497 94.8 -0.6 Informal 1770 5.2 +0.6 Total / Turnout 34267 93.5

Burwood (LIB gain) Roll 38951

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Cowan GRN 4146 11.8 -0.8 Chan FFP 536 1.5 -2.5 De Summa DLP 545 1.5 +1.5 Watt LIB 17500 49.7 +8.5 Stensholt * ALP 11732 33.3 -8.8 Cole-Flynn ASXP 751 2.1 +2.1

Final Count Watt LIB 19710 55.9 +9.6 Stensholt * ALP 15574 44.1 -9.6

Formal 35210 96.7 -0.6 Informal 1215 3.3 +0.6 Total / Turnout 36425 93.5

Carrum (LIB gain) Roll 42415

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Churchward FFP 939 2.5 -1.1 Bauer LIB 17539 46.4 +8.3 Losinski DLP 873 2.3 +2.3 Garland IND 447 1.2 +1.2 Lindell * ALP 14430 38.2 -9.8 Kelsall GRN 3593 9.5 +0.6 .... OTH 0.0 -1.5

Final Count Bauer LIB 19681 52.0 +8.7 Lindell * ALP 18140 48.0 -8.7

Formal 37821 95.4 +0.1 Informal 1840 4.6 -0.1 Total / Turnout 39661 93.5

Caulfield Roll 37692

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Labonne FFP 490 1.5 .. Brohier IND 163 0.5 +0.5 Sapphire IND 227 0.7 +0.7 Walker GRN 5307 16.1 +0.9 Abramson ALP 7729 23.5 -5.8 Southwick LIB 19018 57.7 +3.8

Final Count Abramson ALP 12672 38.5 -3.9 Southwick LIB 20267 61.5 +3.9

Formal 32934 96.4 +0.1 Informal 1223 3.6 -0.1 Total / Turnout 34157 90.6

Note: Liberal MP Helen Shardey retired.

Clayton Roll 33843

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Bolling DLP 976 3.3 +3.3 Lim * ALP 15843 54.3 -7.9 Billman GRN 2782 9.5 +0.1 Reid FFP 723 2.5 -0.9 Scott LIB 8833 30.3 +6.5 .... OTH 0.0 -1.3

Final Count Lim * ALP 19071 65.3 -5.0 Scott LIB 10129 34.7 +5.0

Formal 29157 94.2 -0.1 Informal 1808 5.8 +0.1 Total / Turnout 30965 91.5

Page 14: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

12 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Cranbourne Roll 48076

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Bray GRN 3475 8.3 +2.6 Halsall IND 372 0.9 +0.9 O'Connor DLP 1358 3.2 +3.2 Ablett LIB 16565 39.5 +6.5 Stapledon IND 921 2.2 +2.2 Perera * ALP 17803 42.5 -12.6 Funke FFP 1410 3.4 -2.8

Final Count Ablett LIB 20177 48.2 +9.4 Perera * ALP 21727 51.8 -9.4

Formal 41904 93.8 -0.5 Informal 2754 6.2 +0.5 Total / Turnout 44658 92.9

Dandenong Roll 35535

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Blackburn DLP 2037 6.9 +6.9 Kirwan GRN 2591 8.8 +0.5 Pandazopoulos * ALP 14934 50.5 -8.0 Key LIB 8658 29.3 +4.4 Latcham FFP 1337 4.5 -3.8

Final Count

Pandazopoulos * ALP 18887 63.9 -4.8 Key LIB 10686 36.1 +4.8

Formal 29557 92.6 -0.5 Informal 2373 7.4 +0.5 Total / Turnout 31930 89.9

Derrimut Roll 40846

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Brooks GRN 5783 16.9 +8.9 Moyle FFP 2001 5.8 -1.6 Tseng LIB 7971 23.3 +4.3 Languiller * ALP 17076 49.8 -13.6 Deverala DLP 1436 4.2 +4.2 .... OTH 0.0 -2.2

Final Count Tseng LIB 12254 35.6 +9.9 Languiller * ALP 22123 64.4 -9.9

Formal 34267 92.2 +0.7 Informal 2906 7.8 -0.7 Total / Turnout 37173 91.0

Doncaster Roll 36523

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Wooldridge * LIB 20417 62.7 +12.2 Smithies FFP 1015 3.1 -1.2 Pick ALP 8500 26.1 -6.6 Carson GRN 2616 8.0 +0.6 .... OTH 0.0 -5.1

Final Count

Wooldridge * LIB 22020 67.6 +9.5 Pick ALP 10549 32.4 -9.5

Formal 32548 95.3 -0.7 Informal 1614 4.7 +0.7 Total / Turnout 34162 93.5

Eltham Roll 39389

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Hart LIB 16047 44.9 +5.7 Herbert * ALP 13792 38.6 -5.8 Porter FFP 619 1.7 -1.3 Aiashi DLP 557 1.6 +1.6 Searle GRN 4747 13.3 -0.1

Final Count Hart LIB 17589 49.2 +5.7 Herbert * ALP 18173 50.8 -5.7

Formal 35762 96.0 -0.7 Informal 1494 4.0 +0.7 Total / Turnout 37256 94.6

Essendon Roll 39853

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Madden * ALP 12867 36.5 -13.4 Notaro DLP 1047 3.0 +3.0 Giuliano IND 2540 7.2 +7.2 Iser GRN 5816 16.5 +4.3 Gauci LIB 12983 36.8 +3.5 .... FFP 0.0 -3.0 .... OTH 0.0 -1.6

Final Count Madden * ALP 18476 52.4 -9.3 Gauci LIB 16770 47.6 +9.3

Formal 35253 96.0 +0.7 Informal 1480 4.0 -0.7 Total / Turnout 36733 92.2

Note: Labor MP Judy Maddigan retired. Contested by

Justin Madden, Labor MLC for Western Melbourne Region.

Page 15: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 13

Evelyn Roll 40186

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Harris ALP 10677 29.4 -8.9 Jenkin CA 972 2.7 +2.7 Fyffe * LIB 20612 56.8 +10.9 Szabo FFP 1245 3.4 -4.0 Giles GRN 2799 7.7 +0.7 .... OTH 0.0 -1.4

Final Count Harris ALP 13286 36.5 -10.7 Fyffe * LIB 23095 63.5 +10.7

Formal 36305 95.5 -0.2 Informal 1729 4.5 +0.2 Total / Turnout 38034 94.6

Ferntree Gully Roll 44213

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Leahy ASXP 1492 3.8 +3.8 Rouse FFP 957 2.4 -2.2 Wakeling * LIB 22020 55.5 +11.4 Bullock GRN 2850 7.2 +0.1 Cullinan ALP 11768 29.7 -12.4 Murphy DLP 560 1.4 +1.4 .... OTH 0.0 -2.1

Final Count Wakeling * LIB 24591 62.0 +12.0 Cullinan ALP 15070 38.0 -12.0

Formal 39647 94.8 +0.1 Informal 2189 5.2 -0.1 Total / Turnout 41836 94.6

Footscray Roll 40289

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Betts LIB 8703 25.4 +8.7 Thomson * ALP 14611 42.6 -9.9 Rice GRN 7126 20.8 +8.7 Cumming IND 3240 9.4 -5.5 Windisch SA 614 1.8 +0.3 .... FFP 0.0 -2.3

Final Count

Betts LIB 11580 33.8 +8.4 Thomson * ALP 22714 66.2 -8.4

Formal 34294 94.5 +1.4 Informal 1989 5.5 -1.4 Total / Turnout 36283 90.1

Forest Hill (LIB gain) Roll 36414

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Marshall * ALP 12796 38.8 -3.3 Fung DLP 411 1.2 +1.2 Henley GRN 2501 7.6 -1.1 Irwin ASXP 614 1.9 +1.9 Angus LIB 16043 48.6 +4.3 Stratov FFP 632 1.9 -3.0

Final Count Marshall * ALP 15458 46.8 -3.9 Angus LIB 17550 53.2 +3.9

Formal 32997 96.3 -0.1 Informal 1271 3.7 +0.1 Total / Turnout 34268 94.1

Frankston (LIB gain) Roll 36328

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count De Graaff DLP 753 2.4 +2.4 Tiller GRN 2673 8.4 -1.6 Bennett ASXP 797 2.5 +2.5 Pleiter FFP 467 1.5 -2.5 Harkness * ALP 11603 36.4 -7.0 McCormack IND 652 2.0 +2.0 Shaw LIB 14899 46.8 +6.0 .... OTH 0.0 -1.8

Final Count Harkness * ALP 15263 47.9 -5.3 Shaw LIB 16581 52.1 +5.3

Formal 31844 95.2 -0.5 Informal 1591 4.8 +0.5 Total / Turnout 33435 92.0

Geelong Roll 40062

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Thomson LIB 15472 43.0 +7.7 Lindsay GRN 4131 11.5 +2.4 Trezise * ALP 14809 41.2 -7.8 Schultz IND 444 1.2 +1.2 Lengyel FFP 688 1.9 -2.9 Schmidt CA 430 1.2 +1.2 .... OTH 0.0 -1.7

Final Count Thomson LIB 17217 47.9 +6.2 Trezise * ALP 18757 52.1 -6.2

Formal 35974 95.9 -0.4 Informal 1528 4.1 +0.4 Total / Turnout 37502 93.6

Page 16: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

14 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Gembrook (LIB gain) Roll 43410

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Filliponi FFP 1032 2.7 -1.1 Battin LIB 18427 47.9 +7.8 Krstic CA 871 2.3 +2.3 Ostrom Brown IND 227 0.6 +0.6 McConachy NAT 904 2.4 -1.6 Norman DLP 372 1.0 +1.0 Hall GRN 3689 9.6 -1.4 Belcher IND 142 0.4 +0.4 Lobato * ALP 12638 32.9 -6.4 Dean IND 145 0.4 -0.4 .... OTH 0.0 -1.1

Final Count Battin LIB 21926 56.8 +7.5 Lobato * ALP 16707 43.2 -7.5

Formal 38447 94.2 -1.5 Informal 2366 5.8 +1.5 Total / Turnout 40813 94.0

Gippsland East (NAT gain) Roll 41418

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Bull NAT 16987 45.1 +26.3 Buckley LIB 5368 14.3 -7.5 Ingram * IND 9528 25.3 -13.1 Redwood GRN 1976 5.2 +0.3 Cook ALP 2821 7.5 -4.2 Meester CA 972 2.6 +2.6 .... FFP 0.0 -3.3 .... OTH 0.0 -1.1

Final Count Bull NAT 23348 62.0 +62.0 Buckley LIB 0 0.0 -40.9 Ingram * IND 14304 38.0 -21.1

2-Party Preferred Bull NAT 27529 73.1 +9.6 Cook ALP 10123 26.9 -9.6

Formal 37652 96.8 +0.9 Informal 1242 3.2 -0.9 Total / Turnout 38894 93.9

Gippsland South Roll 39215

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Ryan * NAT 22479 63.8 +22.4 Jackson GRN 3495 9.9 +3.3 Boyce ALP 6647 18.9 -3.4 Hirt CA 2602 7.4 +7.4 .... LIB 0.0 -18.3 .... FFP 0.0 -4.1 .... OTH 0.0 -7.2

Final Count Ryan * NAT 25573 72.6 +6.8 Boyce ALP 9655 27.4 -6.8

Formal 35223 95.6 +0.2 Informal 1615 4.4 -0.2 Total / Turnout 36838 93.9

Hastings Roll 45194

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Hosking ALP 12262 30.6 -9.8 Martin CA 670 1.7 +1.7 Jones DLP 381 1.0 +1.0 Mavrikos ASXP 994 2.5 +2.5 Marcin FFP 775 1.9 -2.9 Martin IND 218 0.5 +0.5 Burgess * LIB 21656 54.1 +9.6 Manning GRN 3073 7.7 +0.7 .... NAT 0.0 -2.3 .... OTH 0.0 -1.0

Final Count Hosking ALP 15728 39.2 -9.8 Burgess * LIB 24379 60.8 +9.8

Formal 40029 94.4 -1.6 Informal 2356 5.6 +1.6 Total / Turnout 42385 93.8

Hawthorn Roll 38753

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count McNally ALP 7218 20.9 -4.8 Baillieu * LIB 21036 60.9 +4.8 Henty GRN 5883 17.0 +0.8 Grounds FFP 409 1.2 -0.8

Final Count McNally ALP 11493 33.3 -4.5 Baillieu * LIB 23060 66.7 +4.5

Formal 34546 97.1 -0.4 Informal 1047 2.9 +0.4 Total / Turnout 35593 91.8

Page 17: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 15

Ivanhoe Roll 38781

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Smith DLP 1185 3.5 +3.5 Kennedy GRN 6240 18.2 +3.7 Schorel-Hlavka IND 351 1.0 +1.0 Carbines ALP 12140 35.4 -6.4 Ziebell LIB 14413 42.0 +10.2 .... FFP 0.0 -2.2 .... OTH 0.0 -9.7

Final Count Carbines ALP 17739 51.7 -8.8 Ziebell LIB 16590 48.3 +8.8

Formal 34329 95.5 +0.1 Informal 1613 4.5 -0.1 Total / Turnout 35942 92.7

Note: Labor MP Craig Langdon resigned ahead of the

election but a by-election was not held.

Keilor Roll 52853

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Amberley FFP 2627 5.7 -2.5 Ryder LIB 14367 31.2 +6.3 Hutchins ALP 22943 49.8 -8.6 Asbury GRN 3625 7.9 -0.6 Walia IND 2468 5.4 +5.4

Final Count Ryder LIB 18269 39.7 +9.1 Hutchins ALP 27788 60.3 -9.1

Formal 46030 92.9 -0.8 Informal 3502 7.1 +0.8 Total / Turnout 49532 93.7

Note: Labor MP George Seitz retired.

Kew Roll 36904

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count McIntosh * LIB 19878 60.1 +6.3 Jackson ALP 7750 23.4 -4.0 Hunter FFP 576 1.7 -0.2 Henley GRN 4879 14.7 -1.3 .... OTH 0.0 -0.8

Final Count McIntosh * LIB 21560 65.2 +5.6 Jackson ALP 11512 34.8 -5.6

Formal 33083 96.7 -0.6 Informal 1145 3.3 +0.6 Total / Turnout 34228 92.7

Kilsyth Roll 40627

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count McKenzie IND 546 1.5 +1.5 Haughton-Greene ASXP 1145 3.1 +3.1 Sammons GRN 2913 8.0 -0.7 Hodgett * LIB 19348 52.9 +9.2 Dekter DLP 319 0.9 +0.9 Harrison FFP 1165 3.2 -3.6 Setches ALP 11172 30.5 -8.4 .... OTH 0.0 -2.1

Final Count Hodgett * LIB 22122 60.4 +10.0 Setches ALP 14503 39.6 -10.0

Formal 36608 95.5 -0.6 Informal 1744 4.5 +0.6 Total / Turnout 38352 94.4

Kororoit Roll 42497

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Kesic LIB 8912 25.0 +9.0 Smietanka GRN 3513 9.9 +2.6 Kairouz * ALP 19891 55.8 -5.8 Majdlik IND 1888 5.3 +5.3 Rozec FFP 1432 4.0 -9.0 .... OTH 0.0 -2.2

Final Count Kesic LIB 11203 31.4 +7.0 Kairouz * ALP 24453 68.6 -7.0

Formal 35636 92.1 -0.1 Informal 3076 7.9 +0.1 Total / Turnout 38712 91.1

Note: See page 34 for details of 2008 by-election.

Lara Roll 44088

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Colla FFP 2324 6.0 -2.2 Leach GRN 3401 8.8 +2.1 Eren * ALP 20778 53.6 -5.6 McDermott CA 889 2.3 +2.3 Eyton LIB 11366 29.3 +3.4

Final Count Eren * ALP 25299 65.4 -2.4 Eyton LIB 13387 34.6 +2.4

Formal 38758 94.2 +0.3 Informal 2373 5.8 -0.3 Total / Turnout 41131 93.3

Page 18: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

16 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Lowan Roll 38478

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Reimer FFP 1704 4.8 +1.5 Wilkie GRN 1966 5.6 +1.3 Kirsopp ALP 7783 22.1 -0.2 Delahunty * NAT 23702 67.4 +19.8 .... LIB 0.0 -22.4

Final Count

Kirsopp ALP 9812 27.9 .. Delahunty * NAT 25337 72.1 ..

Formal 35155 96.3 -0.2 Informal 1363 3.7 +0.2 Total / Turnout 36518 94.9

Lyndhurst Roll 41578

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Wheatley FFP 1744 4.9 -1.5 Springle GRN 2191 6.1 +1.7 Vo IND 1277 3.6 +3.6 Ford IND 311 0.9 -0.3 Holland LIB 9946 27.8 +5.1 Wang DLP 444 1.2 +1.2 Holding * ALP 19820 55.5 -9.8

Final Count

Holland LIB 12941 36.1 +7.6 Holding * ALP 22912 63.9 -7.6

Formal 35733 92.9 -0.4 Informal 2715 7.1 +0.4 Total / Turnout 38448 92.5

Macedon Roll 47847

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Hungerford FFP 1049 2.4 -0.2 Duncan * ALP 17282 40.3 -5.1 Greaves CA 683 1.6 +1.6 Samararatna IND 886 2.1 +2.1 Lane DLP 700 1.6 +1.6 Haslinghouse GRN 3613 8.4 +0.4 Beyer IND 516 1.2 +1.2 Weston LIB 18141 42.3 +11.0 .... OTH 0.0 -12.7

Final Count Duncan * ALP 21975 51.3 -6.9 Weston LIB 20895 48.7 +6.9

Formal 42870 94.8 -1.4 Informal 2349 5.2 +1.4 Total / Turnout 45219 94.5

Malvern Roll 37798

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count O'Brien * LIB 22160 65.3 +8.4 de la Masse-Homsy FFP 390 1.1 -0.4 Voulanas ALP 6584 19.4 -7.7 Hibbins GRN 4807 14.2 +1.6 .... OTH 0.0 -1.9

Final Count

O'Brien * LIB 23881 70.4 +9.1 Voulanas ALP 10023 29.6 -9.1

Formal 33941 96.8 -0.2 Informal 1109 3.2 +0.2 Total / Turnout 35050 92.7

Melbourne Roll 43916

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Pike * ALP 13116 35.7 -8.9 Lazzari IND 231 0.6 +0.6 Fensom IND 142 0.4 +0.4 Martin LIB 10281 28.0 +5.9 Walters GRN 11735 31.9 +4.5 Killen ASXP 1061 2.9 +2.9 Perkins IND 201 0.5 +0.5 .... OTH 0.0 -5.9

Final Count Pike * ALP 20653 56.2 +4.2 Walters GRN 16114 43.8 -4.2

2-Party Preferred

Pike * ALP 23683 64.4 -7.0 Martin LIB 13084 35.6 +7.0

Formal 36767 96.3 .. Informal 1409 3.7 .. Total / Turnout 38176 86.9

Melton Roll 43639

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Deleon IND 1260 3.4 +3.4 Guy SA 494 1.3 +1.3 Mangion CA 893 2.4 +2.4 Bradfield GRN 3247 8.7 +2.2 Sabeh FFP 1431 3.8 -2.8 Nardella * ALP 18520 49.4 -5.0 Kean LIB 11615 31.0 +3.2 .... OTH 0.0 -4.7

Final Count Nardella * ALP 23525 62.8 -0.8 Kean LIB 13947 37.2 +0.8

Formal 37460 92.8 -1.3 Informal 2926 7.2 +1.3 Total / Turnout 40386 92.5

Page 19: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 17

Mildura Roll 37638

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Gray FFP 999 3.1 -0.5 Milne IND 5209 16.0 +16.0 Rees GRN 563 1.7 -0.4 Cupper ALP 4943 15.2 +8.5 Crisp * NAT 15170 46.7 +6.4 Tonge IND 4696 14.4 +14.4 Douglass DLP 475 1.5 +1.5 Connell IND 457 1.4 +1.4 .... IND 0.0 -34.0 .... LIB 0.0 -11.6 .... OTH 0.0 -1.8

Final Count Milne IND 13312 40.8 +40.8 Crisp * NAT 19310 59.2 +3.1 .... IND 0.0 -43.9

2-Party Preferred Cupper ALP 12095 37.2 +7.9 Crisp * NAT 20417 62.8 -7.9

Formal 32512 94.2 -0.9 Informal 2011 5.8 +0.9 Total / Turnout 34523 91.7

Mill Park Roll 41032

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count D'Ambrosio * ALP 21861 60.9 -1.2 Cogger FFP 1901 5.3 -2.2 Sekhon GRN 2605 7.3 +1.2 Chugha LIB 9537 26.6 +4.3 .... OTH 0.0 -2.2

Final Count D'Ambrosio * ALP 24966 69.5 -1.3 Chugha LIB 10982 30.5 +1.3

Formal 35904 93.7 -0.7 Informal 2430 6.3 +0.7 Total / Turnout 38334 93.4

Mitcham (LIB gain) Roll 37054

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count O'Shea DLP 632 1.9 +1.9 Ha FFP 758 2.2 -2.3 Robinson * ALP 11669 34.6 -5.6 Elliott ASXP 963 2.9 +2.9 Lewis GRN 4024 11.9 +0.3 Ryall LIB 15717 46.6 +7.1 .... OTH 0.0 -4.3

Final Count Robinson * ALP 15946 47.2 -4.7 Ryall LIB 17817 52.8 +4.7

Formal 33763 96.5 +0.1 Informal 1208 3.5 -0.1 Total / Turnout 34971 94.4

Monbulk Roll 37887

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Coyne DLP 618 1.8 +1.8 Gunasekera FFP 610 1.8 -2.4 Mobsby IND 264 0.8 +0.8 Merlino * ALP 12318 36.1 -4.5 Tenner GRN 5244 15.4 -0.8 Picknell CA 528 1.5 +1.5 Mills LIB 14506 42.6 +5.2 .... OTH 0.0 -1.7

Final Count Merlino * ALP 17684 51.9 -4.8 Mills LIB 16404 48.1 +4.8

Formal 34088 95.6 -0.3 Informal 1582 4.4 +0.3 Total / Turnout 35670 94.1

Mordialloc (LIB gain) Roll 41690

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Feteiha GRN 3443 9.4 -0.7 Carty IND 225 0.6 +0.6 Hoult IND 152 0.4 +0.4 Killen ASXP 764 2.1 +2.1 Nowland FFP 552 1.5 -2.4 Munt * ALP 13778 37.5 -7.9 Wreford LIB 17223 46.9 +6.1 Leach DLP 514 1.4 +1.4 Denvir IND 102 0.3 +0.3

Final Count Munt * ALP 17616 47.9 -5.6 Wreford LIB 19137 52.1 +5.6

Formal 36753 93.9 -2.0 Informal 2368 6.1 +2.0 Total / Turnout 39121 93.8

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2010 Victorian Election

18 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Mornington Roll 40195

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Morris * LIB 22238 61.4 +5.7 Dooley ALP 9119 25.2 -3.0 Taylor IND 606 1.7 +1.7 Schafer CA 411 1.1 +1.1 Rush GRN 3823 10.6 +0.4 .... FFP 0.0 -3.3 .... OTH 0.0 -2.7

Final Count Morris * LIB 23915 66.0 +4.2 Dooley ALP 12305 34.0 -4.2

Formal 36197 96.1 -0.4 Informal 1464 3.9 +0.4 Total / Turnout 37661 93.7

Morwell Roll 38648

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Gardner IND 574 1.7 +1.7 Jordan GRN 1645 4.8 -0.3 Baker IND 851 2.5 +2.5 Kelly CA 1226 3.6 +3.6 Sigmund IND 968 2.8 +2.8 Northe * NAT 19200 56.1 +28.5 Middlemiss ALP 9752 28.5 -12.1 .... LIB 0.0 -14.0 .... FFP 0.0 -3.8 .... OTH 0.0 -8.9

Final Count Northe * NAT 22726 66.3 +14.1 Middlemiss ALP 11572 33.7 -14.1

Formal 34216 94.9 -0.9 Informal 1838 5.1 +0.9 Total / Turnout 36054 93.3

Mount Waverley (LIB gain) Roll 36917

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Canavan FFP 815 2.4 -1.0 Khan IND 336 1.0 +1.0 Fergeus GRN 2548 7.6 -0.4 Gidley LIB 17126 51.3 +7.0 Morand * ALP 11420 34.2 -7.6 Chevallier ASXP 578 1.7 +1.7 Kelly DLP 535 1.6 +1.6 .... OTH 0.0 -2.3

Final Count Gidley LIB 19177 57.4 +7.8 Morand * ALP 14204 42.6 -7.8

Formal 33358 96.3 +0.2 Informal 1289 3.7 -0.2 Total / Turnout 34647 93.9

Mulgrave Roll 34995

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Andrews * ALP 15392 50.7 -8.1 Mann LIB 11166 36.8 +8.2 Johnson FFP 1041 3.4 -2.8 Janetzki GRN 2173 7.2 +0.7 Kokoszka DLP 596 2.0 +2.0

Final Count

Andrews * ALP 17779 58.5 -7.1 Mann LIB 12623 41.5 +7.1

Formal 30368 93.6 -0.4 Informal 2069 6.4 +0.4 Total / Turnout 32437 92.7

Murray Valley Roll 38342

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Enshaw ALP 7065 20.7 -1.2 Hungerford FFP 1073 3.1 -1.0 Watson CA 2668 7.8 +7.8 McCurdy NAT 18357 53.8 +2.9 Paino IND 3339 9.8 +9.8 Ralph GRN 1598 4.7 -0.8 .... LIB 0.0 -17.6

Final Count

Enshaw ALP 10587 31.0 +2.7 McCurdy NAT 23604 69.0 -2.7

Formal 34100 94.9 -1.4 Informal 1845 5.1 +1.4 Total / Turnout 35945 93.7

Note: National MP Ken Jasper retired.

Narracan Roll 42337

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Rogers GRN 2967 7.8 +0.6 Webb IND 777 2.0 +2.0 Dungey CA 1638 4.3 +4.3 Flynn ALP 11161 29.2 -10.6 Blackwood * LIB 21636 56.7 +14.6 .... NAT 0.0 -5.9 .... FFP 0.0 -3.9 .... OTH 0.0 -1.2

Final Count Flynn ALP 14353 37.6 -9.7 Blackwood * LIB 23814 62.4 +9.7

Formal 38179 96.1 .. Informal 1531 3.9 .. Total / Turnout 39710 93.8

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 19

Narre Warren North Roll 40203

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Sant DLP 1094 3.1 +3.1 Schilling GRN 2443 6.9 .. Richardson IND 604 1.7 +1.7 Donnellan * ALP 15043 42.5 -9.8 McKenzie FFP 1222 3.5 -2.5 Hassan IND 228 0.6 +0.6 Frazer LIB 14743 41.7 +8.0 .... OTH 0.0 -1.1

Final Count Donnellan * ALP 18739 53.0 -6.3 Frazer LIB 16638 47.0 +6.3

Formal 35377 93.8 -1.6 Informal 2325 6.2 +1.6 Total / Turnout 37702 93.8

Narre Warren South Roll 52340

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Endres GRN 3244 7.1 +0.6 Graley * ALP 22007 48.0 -4.9 Rowe LIB 17402 37.9 +4.1 George IND 493 1.1 +1.1 Dunleavy IND 416 0.9 +0.9 Dodd DLP 685 1.5 +1.5 Konkel FFP 1645 3.6 -3.4

Final Count Graley * ALP 26109 56.7 -4.3 Rowe LIB 19910 43.3 +4.3

Formal 45892 93.7 -2.1 Informal 3101 6.3 +2.1 Total / Turnout 48993 93.6

Nepean Roll 39050

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Dixon * LIB 20700 59.7 +5.2 Vigenser GRN 4176 12.1 +1.2 Lyon CA 439 1.3 +1.3 Lannan ALP 9333 26.9 -5.0 .... FFP 0.0 -2.7

Final Count Dixon * LIB 22288 64.3 +4.9 Lannan ALP 12370 35.7 -4.9

Formal 34648 95.9 +0.3 Informal 1494 4.1 -0.3 Total / Turnout 36142 92.6

Niddrie Roll 36805

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Markovic FFP 1263 4.0 -1.6 Hulls * ALP 14435 45.7 -8.1 Nott IND 140 0.4 +0.4 Roberts IND 162 0.5 +0.5 Little IND 1516 4.8 +4.8 Livesay IND 131 0.4 +0.4 Medcraft IND 499 1.6 +1.6 Bauch LIB 11000 34.8 +3.3 Black GRN 2451 7.8 -1.4

Final Count Hulls * ALP 18105 56.9 -4.3 Bauch LIB 13687 43.1 +4.3

Formal 31597 91.7 -2.1 Informal 2865 8.3 +2.1 Total / Turnout 34462 93.6

Northcote Roll 40423

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Martinelli GRN 10927 30.8 +3.4 Bishop ASXP 1098 3.1 +3.1 Marino IND 213 0.6 +0.6 Richardson * ALP 15917 44.9 -7.6 Moran LIB 6863 19.4 +4.1 Lewin-Hill IND 404 1.1 -0.4 .... FFP 0.0 -3.2

Final Count

Martinelli GRN 13946 39.4 -2.1 Richardson * ALP 21476 60.6 +2.1

2-Party Preferred Richardson * ALP 26833 75.9 -4.4 Moran LIB 8525 24.1 +4.4

Formal 35422 95.8 +0.4 Informal 1567 4.2 -0.4 Total / Turnout 36989 91.5

Oakleigh Roll 35602

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Barker * ALP 12888 41.0 -8.9 Whyte GRN 4719 15.0 +1.4 Ide IND 323 1.0 +1.0 Zographos LIB 12616 40.1 +6.6 Grigas FFP 423 1.3 -1.8 Grinter DLP 488 1.6 +1.6

Final Count Barker * ALP 17210 54.7 -7.7 Zographos LIB 14247 45.3 +7.7

Formal 31457 95.6 -0.5 Informal 1444 4.4 +0.5 Total / Turnout 32901 92.4

Page 22: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

20 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Pascoe Vale Roll 40763

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Campbell * ALP 18795 53.7 -6.5 Tomisich LIB 9823 28.1 +4.6 Hickey IND 679 1.9 +1.9 Farrelly GRN 5683 16.2 +4.0 .... FFP 0.0 -3.4 .... OTH 0.0 -0.7

Final Count Campbell * ALP 23738 67.8 -5.0 Tomisich LIB 11272 32.2 +5.0

Formal 34980 94.0 +0.5 Informal 2227 6.0 -0.5 Total / Turnout 37207 91.3

Polwarth Roll 42079

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Modra FFP 1211 3.2 -1.1 Kerr CA 1502 3.9 +3.9 Mulder * LIB 21245 55.3 +1.8 Crook ALP 10432 27.2 -2.0 Atherden GRN 3235 8.4 -1.2 Beale IND 784 2.0 +2.0 .... NAT 0.0 -3.5

Final Count Mulder * LIB 24351 63.3 +2.6 Crook ALP 14127 36.7 -2.6

Formal 38409 96.1 -0.3 Informal 1539 3.9 +0.3 Total / Turnout 39948 94.9

Prahran (LIB gain) Roll 39257

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Newton-Brown LIB 16197 48.0 +6.1 Christofakis GRN 6685 19.8 -0.3 Anderson IND 239 0.7 +0.7 Ronchi FFP 198 0.6 -0.7 Vega ASXP 1073 3.2 +3.2 Lupton * ALP 9384 27.8 -8.9

Final Count

Newton-Brown LIB 18333 54.3 +7.8 Lupton * ALP 15443 45.7 -7.8

Formal 33776 96.8 +0.5 Informal 1128 3.2 -0.5 Total / Turnout 34904 88.9

Preston Roll 38662

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count McCarthy GRN 7058 21.4 +7.7 Scott * ALP 17400 52.6 -8.9 McGarvie LIB 8593 26.0 +5.7 .... FFP 0.0 -3.5 .... OTH 0.0 -0.9

Final Count

Scott * ALP 23250 70.4 -4.9 McGarvie LIB 9783 29.6 +4.9

Formal 33051 93.7 +0.5 Informal 2219 6.3 -0.5 Total / Turnout 35270 91.2

Richmond Roll 42025

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Wynne * ALP 13328 37.3 -9.1 Jolly IND 3097 8.7 +3.0 McFeely LIB 8154 22.8 +2.9 Maltzahn GRN 10174 28.4 +3.8 White ASXP 1020 2.9 +2.9 .... FFP 0.0 -1.4 .... OTH 0.0 -2.0

Final Count

Wynne * ALP 20114 56.2 +2.6 Maltzahn GRN 15652 43.8 -2.6

2-Party Preferred Wynne * ALP 25130 70.2 -4.9 McFeely LIB 10643 29.8 +4.9

Formal 35773 96.4 +0.8 Informal 1348 3.6 -0.8 Total / Turnout 37121 88.3

Ripon Roll 37619

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count McIvor NAT 3850 11.4 +2.9 Helper * ALP 14169 42.1 -4.7 Boer FFP 776 2.3 -1.2 Dunn LIB 11596 34.4 -0.8 Watts CA 1211 3.6 +3.6 Morse GRN 2084 6.2 +0.2

Final Count Helper * ALP 17755 52.7 -1.6 Dunn LIB 15931 47.3 +1.6

Formal 33686 95.4 -0.9 Informal 1640 4.6 +0.9 Total / Turnout 35326 93.9

Page 23: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 21

Rodney Roll 36437

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Moore FFP 1872 5.7 +2.3 Christoe GRN 1348 4.1 +0.9 D'Angelo CA 3697 11.3 +11.3 Langford ALP 5290 16.2 -2.0 Weller * NAT 20524 62.7 +22.5 .... LIB 0.0 -31.8 .... OTH 0.0 -3.3

Final Count Langford ALP 7809 23.8 +23.8 Weller * NAT 24947 76.2 +21.8 .... LIB 0.0 -45.6

Formal 32731 95.6 +0.8 Informal 1509 4.4 -0.8 Total / Turnout 34240 94.0

Sandringham Roll 37827

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Reid FFP 548 1.6 -0.5 Nyaguy ALP 7313 21.5 -7.9 Thompson * LIB 20704 60.9 +8.3 Wilson GRN 5430 16.0 +3.2 .... OTH 0.0 -3.1

Final Count Nyaguy ALP 11584 34.1 -7.3 Thompson * LIB 22417 65.9 +7.3

Formal 33995 96.3 -0.7 Informal 1314 3.7 +0.7 Total / Turnout 35309 93.3

Scoresby Roll 39121

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Nightingale ALP 10388 29.6 -2.8 Craig GRN 2821 8.0 +1.5 Wells * LIB 20745 59.0 +5.9 Hanna FFP 1178 3.4 -3.4 .... OTH 0.0 -1.2

Final Count Nightingale ALP 12598 35.9 -3.0 Wells * LIB 22529 64.1 +3.0

Formal 35132 95.6 -0.4 Informal 1627 4.4 +0.4 Total / Turnout 36759 94.0

Seymour (LIB gain) Roll 41103

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Slater GRN 3230 8.9 -0.5 Hardman * ALP 12813 35.1 -11.3 Beer IND 3738 10.3 +10.3 McLeish LIB 12992 35.6 -2.8 Taurian CA 1587 4.4 +4.4 Rolando NAT 1391 3.8 +3.8 Guerra FFP 711 1.9 -1.4 .... OTH 0.0 -2.5

Final Count Hardman * ALP 17811 48.7 -7.9 McLeish LIB 18728 51.3 +7.9 Exhausted -77 -0.2

Formal 36462 94.9 -1.2 Informal 1955 5.1 +1.2 Total / Turnout 38417 93.5

Shepparton Roll 38136

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Powell * NAT 17609 52.9 +4.5 Smith IND 232 0.7 +0.7 Slade GRN 1631 4.9 +0.2 Wickham IND 958 2.9 +2.9 Moore FFP 769 2.3 +0.3 Patterson CA 6826 20.5 +20.5 Fullarton ALP 5245 15.8 -3.2 .... LIB 0.0 -25.9

Final Count Powell * NAT 25376 76.0 +9.3 Fullarton ALP 8027 24.0 +24.0 .... LIB 0.0 -33.3

2-Party Preferred

Powell * NAT 25376 76.0 +1.3 Fullarton ALP 8027 24.0 -1.3

Formal 33270 94.4 -1.6 Informal 1955 5.6 +1.6 Total / Turnout 35225 92.4

Page 24: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

22 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

South Barwon (LIB gain) Roll 48309

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Dobinson IND 323 0.7 +0.7 Barron DLP 577 1.3 +1.3 Oakley IND 295 0.7 +0.7 Katos LIB 20133 45.9 +4.8 O'Connor FFP 810 1.8 -2.8 Crutchfield * ALP 15759 35.9 -8.0 Wellington IND 1185 2.7 +2.7 Leen CA 547 1.2 +1.2 Northeast GRN 4208 9.6 +0.6 .... OTH 0.0 -1.2

Final Count

Katos LIB 23675 53.9 +6.2 Crutchfield * ALP 20218 46.1 -6.2

Formal 43837 95.7 -1.2 Informal 1955 4.3 +1.2 Total / Turnout 45792 94.8

South-West Coast Roll 43344

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Napthine * LIB 19316 49.3 +4.0 Howard GRN 3228 8.2 +2.9 Haberfield FFP 1081 2.8 -0.6 Herbertson ALP 9658 24.6 -13.7 Arscott CA 1394 3.6 +3.6 Purcell IND 4519 11.5 +11.5 .... NAT 0.0 -4.2 .... OTH 0.0 -3.4

Final Count Napthine * LIB 24252 61.9 +7.9 Herbertson ALP 14926 38.1 -7.9

Formal 39196 96.0 +0.2 Informal 1644 4.0 -0.2 Total / Turnout 40840 94.2

Swan Hill Roll 33073

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Walsh * NAT 22086 75.0 +27.6 Garrick ALP 4802 16.3 -2.2 Pearse FFP 1219 4.1 +0.8 Russell GRN 1326 4.5 +0.6 .... LIB 0.0 -25.0 .... OTH 0.0 -1.8

Final Count Walsh * NAT 23343 79.3 +5.9 Garrick ALP 6081 20.7 -5.9

Formal 29433 95.3 .. Informal 1441 4.7 .. Total / Turnout 30874 93.4

Tarneit Roll 47784

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Freeman DLP 1988 4.8 +4.8 McLean FFP 2128 5.1 -1.3 Pallas * ALP 20521 49.1 -4.3 Goodfellow LIB 13458 32.2 +4.6 Sheffield-Brotherton GRN 3716 8.9 +2.5 .... OTH 0.0 -6.3

Final Count Pallas * ALP 25553 61.1 -1.3 Goodfellow LIB 16248 38.9 +1.3

Formal 41811 94.4 -0.3 Informal 2492 5.6 +0.3 Total / Turnout 44303 92.7

Thomastown Roll 36853

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Burge LIB 7591 24.2 +9.5 McIntosh FFP 1576 5.0 +0.4 Calleja GRN 2952 9.4 +2.9 Halfpenny ALP 19190 61.3 -12.7

Final Count Burge LIB 9356 29.8 +10.9 Halfpenny ALP 22025 70.2 -10.9

Formal 31309 92.0 +0.1 Informal 2716 8.0 -0.1 Total / Turnout 34025 92.3

Note: Labor MP Peter Batchelor retired.

Warrandyte Roll 41472

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Padgham GRN 4221 11.2 -3.2 De Zilwa FFP 1106 2.9 -2.7 Slattery IND 446 1.2 +1.2 Hopper ALP 9920 26.2 -3.0 Smith * LIB 22150 58.5 +7.7

Final Count Hopper ALP 13675 36.1 -4.9 Smith * LIB 24176 63.9 +4.9

Formal 37843 96.3 -0.4 Informal 1448 3.7 +0.4 Total / Turnout 39291 94.7

Page 25: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 23

Williamstown Roll 38966

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Fogarty GRN 7040 20.8 +8.4 McConnell LIB 11023 32.5 +11.8 Noonan * ALP 15859 46.8 -14.9 .... FFP 0.0 -4.4 .... OTH 0.0 -0.8

Final Count

McConnell LIB 12953 38.2 +12.4 Noonan * ALP 20969 61.8 -12.4

Formal 33922 94.5 +0.1 Informal 1965 5.5 -0.1 Total / Turnout 35887 92.1

Note: See page 34 for details of 2007 by-election.

Yan Yean Roll 54134

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Shea DLP 1728 3.5 +3.5 Gange LIB 19612 40.1 +5.4 McPherson FFP 1684 3.4 .. Green * ALP 20990 42.9 -4.5 Geradts GRN 4916 10.0 +0.5 .... OTH 0.0 -4.9

Final Count

Gange LIB 22458 45.9 +3.8 Green * ALP 26472 54.1 -3.8

Formal 48930 95.1 -1.1 Informal 2527 4.9 +1.1 Total / Turnout 51457 95.1

Yuroke Roll 48425

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Dawson GRN 4128 9.7 +2.1 Beattie * ALP 23537 55.2 -8.0 Cranson FFP 1702 4.0 -1.3 Cutler LIB 13259 31.1 +7.2

Final Count Beattie * ALP 27841 65.3 -4.9 Cutler LIB 14802 34.7 +4.9

Formal 42626 93.7 -1.4 Informal 2876 6.3 +1.4 Total / Turnout 45502 94.0

Page 26: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

24 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY ELECTORATE

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor Coalition Labor Coalition Swing

Albert Park 20713 19077 52.1 47.9 7.6 to Coalition Altona 27886 17117 62.0 38.0 8.2 to Coalition Ballarat East 18702 17604 51.5 48.5 5.1 to Coalition Ballarat West 20175 19342 51.1 48.9 5.5 to Coalition Bass 16622 27804 37.4 62.6 7.1 to Coalition Bayswater 13134 20178 39.4 60.6 7.7 to Coalition Bellarine 20449 19362 51.4 48.6 6.6 to Coalition Benalla 8978 24354 26.9 73.1 5.6 to Coalition Benambra 11045 21909 33.5 66.5 8.8 to Coalition Bendigo East 19797 16989 53.8 46.2 1.6 to Coalition Bendigo West 19417 17265 52.9 47.1 7.6 to Coalition Bentleigh 17075 17597 49.2 50.8 7.1 to Coalition Box Hill 12677 22346 36.2 63.8 8.6 to Coalition Brighton 11089 23091 32.4 67.6 6.6 to Coalition Broadmeadows 21811 8919 71.0 29.0 10.9 to Coalition Brunswick (1) 27404 9042 75.2 24.8 2.7 to Coalition Bulleen 11199 20509 35.3 64.7 6.2 to Coalition Bundoora 18706 13791 57.6 42.4 7.6 to Coalition Burwood 15574 19710 44.1 55.9 9.6 to Coalition Carrum 18140 19681 48.0 52.0 8.7 to Coalition Caulfield 12672 20267 38.5 61.5 3.9 to Coalition Clayton 19071 10129 65.3 34.7 5.0 to Coalition Cranbourne 21727 20177 51.8 48.2 9.4 to Coalition Dandenong 18887 10686 63.9 36.1 4.8 to Coalition Derrimut 22123 12254 64.4 35.6 9.9 to Coalition Doncaster 10549 22020 32.4 67.6 9.5 to Coalition Eltham 18173 17589 50.8 49.2 5.7 to Coalition Essendon 18476 16770 52.4 47.6 9.3 to Coalition Evelyn 13286 23095 36.5 63.5 10.7 to Coalition Ferntree Gully 15070 24591 38.0 62.0 12.0 to Coalition Footscray 22714 11580 66.2 33.8 8.4 to Coalition Forest Hill 15458 17550 46.8 53.2 3.9 to Coalition Frankston 15263 16581 47.9 52.1 5.3 to Coalition Geelong 18757 17217 52.1 47.9 6.2 to Coalition Gembrook 16707 21926 43.2 56.8 7.5 to Coalition Gippsland East (1) 10123 27529 26.9 73.1 9.6 to Coalition Gippsland South 9655 25573 27.4 72.6 6.8 to Coalition Hastings 15728 24379 39.2 60.8 9.8 to Coalition Hawthorn 11493 23060 33.3 66.7 4.5 to Coalition Ivanhoe 17739 16590 51.7 48.3 8.8 to Coalition Keilor 27788 18269 60.3 39.7 9.1 to Coalition Kew 11512 21560 34.8 65.2 5.6 to Coalition Kilsyth 14503 22122 39.6 60.4 10.0 to Coalition Kororoit 24453 11203 68.6 31.4 7.0 to Coalition Lara 25299 13387 65.4 34.6 2.5 to Coalition Lowan 9812 25337 27.9 72.1 (No swing) Lyndhurst 22912 12941 63.9 36.1 7.6 to Coalition Macedon 21975 20895 51.3 48.7 6.9 to Coalition Malvern 10023 23881 29.6 70.4 9.1 to Coalition Melbourne (1) 23683 13084 64.4 35.6 7.0 to Coalition Melton 23525 13947 62.8 37.2 0.8 to Coalition Mildura (1) 12095 20417 37.2 62.8 7.9 to Labor Mill Park 24966 10982 69.5 30.5 1.3 to Coalition Mitcham 15946 17817 47.2 52.8 4.7 to Coalition Monbulk 17684 16404 51.9 48.1 4.8 to Coalition Mordialloc 17616 19137 47.9 52.1 5.6 to Coalition

Page 27: 2010 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 2006 was absent in 2010 ... The Nationals 15 10 +1 213,492 6.75 +1.58 Independent 75 .. -1 82,395 2.60 +0.32

2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 25

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor Coalition Labor Coalition Swing

Mornington 12305 23915 34.0 66.0 4.2 to Coalition Morwell 11572 22726 33.7 66.3 14.1 to Coalition Mount Waverley 14204 19177 42.6 57.4 7.8 to Coalition Mulgrave 17779 12623 58.5 41.5 7.3 to Coalition Murray Valley 10587 23604 31.0 69.0 2.7 to Labor Narracan 14353 23814 37.6 62.4 9.7 to Coalition Narre Warren North 18739 16638 53.0 47.0 6.3 to Coalition Narre Warren South 26109 19910 56.7 43.3 4.2 to Coalition Nepean 12370 22288 35.7 64.3 4.9 to Coalition Niddrie 18105 13687 56.9 43.1 4.3 to Coalition Northcote (1) 26833 8525 75.9 24.1 4.4 to Coalition Oakleigh 17210 14247 54.7 45.3 7.7 to Coalition Pascoe Vale 23738 11272 67.8 32.2 5.0 to Coalition Polwarth 14127 24351 36.7 63.3 2.6 to Coalition Prahran 15443 18333 45.7 54.3 7.8 to Coalition Preston 23250 9783 70.4 29.6 4.9 to Coalition Richmond (1) 25130 10643 70.2 29.8 4.9 to Coalition Ripon 17755 15931 52.7 47.3 1.6 to Coalition Rodney 7809 24947 23.8 76.2 1.3 to Coalition Sandringham 11584 22417 34.1 65.9 7.3 to Coalition Scoresby 12598 22529 35.9 64.1 3.0 to Coalition Seymour 17782 18680 48.8 51.2 7.9 to Coalition Shepparton 8027 25376 24.0 76.0 1.3 to Coalition South Barwon 20218 23675 46.1 53.9 6.2 to Coalition South-West Coast 14926 24252 38.1 61.9 7.9 to Coalition Swan Hill 6081 23343 20.7 79.3 5.9 to Coalition Tarneit 25553 16248 61.1 38.9 1.3 to Coalition Thomastown 22025 9356 70.2 29.8 10.9 to Coalition Warrandyte 13675 24176 36.1 63.9 4.9 to Coalition Williamstown 20969 12953 61.8 38.2 12.4 to Coalition Yan Yean 26472 22458 54.1 45.9 3.8 to Coalition Yuroke 27841 14802 65.3 34.7 4.9 to Coalition

Total 1533225 1633312 48.4 51.6 6.0 to Coalition

(1) Separate two-party preferred count carried out by VEC, See below for actual two-candidate preferred result.

Underlining indicates seats that changed party at the 2010 election. LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ACTUAL TWO-CANDIDATE PREFERRED RESULTS

Winning Candidate Defeated Candidate Electorate Party Vote % Party Vote %

Brunswick ALP 19411 53.3 GRN 17033 46.7 Gippsland East NAT 23348 62.0 IND 14304 38.0 Melbourne ALP 20653 56.2 GRN 16114 43.8 Mildura NAT 19310 59.2 IND 13312 40.8 Northcote ALP 21476 60.6 GRN 13946 39.4 Richmond ALP 20114 56.2 GRN 15652 43.8

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26 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY NEW MARGINS

Electoral Margin Electorate Margin

Coalition (Lib 35 / Nat 10) Swan Hill (NAT) 29.3 Rodney (NAT) 26.2 Shepparton (NAT) 26.0 Gippsland East (NAT) (12.0 v IND) 23.1 Benalla (NAT) 23.1 Gippsland South (NAT) 22.6 Lowan (NAT) 22.1 Malvern 20.4 Murray Valley (NAT) 19.0 Doncaster 17.6 Brighton 17.6 Hawthorn 16.7 Benambra 16.5 Morwell (NAT) 16.3 Mornington 16.0 Sandringham 15.9 Kew 15.2 Bulleen 14.7 Nepean 14.3 Scoresby 14.1 Warrandyte 13.9 Box Hill 13.8 Evelyn 13.5 Polwarth 13.3 Mildura (NAT) (9.2 v IND) 12.8 Bass 12.6 Narracan 12.4 Ferntree Gully 12.0 South-West Coast 11.9 Caulfield 11.5 Hastings 10.8 Bayswater 10.6 Kilsyth 10.4 Mount Waverley 7.4 Gembrook 6.8 Burwood 5.9 Prahran 4.3 South Barwon 3.9 Forest Hill 3.2 Mitcham 2.8 Frankston 2.1 Mordialloc 2.1 Carrum 2.0 Seymour 1.2 Bentleigh 0.8

Labor (43) Northcote (10.7 v GRN) 25.9 Brunswick (3.3 v GRN) 25.2 Broadmeadows 21.0 Preston 20.4 Richmond (6.2 v GRN) 20.2 Thomastown 20.2 Mill Park 19.5 Kororoit 18.6 Pascoe Vale 17.8 Footscray 16.2 Lara 15.4 Clayton 15.3 Yuroke 15.3 Melbourne (6.2 v GRN) 14.4 Derrimut 14.4 Lyndhurst 13.9 Dandenong 13.9 Melton 12.8 Altona 12.0 Williamstown 11.8 Tarneit 11.1 Keilor 10.3 Mulgrave 8.5 Bundoora 7.6 Niddrie 6.9 Narre Warren South 6.7 Oakleigh 4.7 Yan Yean 4.1 Bendigo East 3.8 Narre Warren North 3.0 Bendigo West 2.9 Ripon 2.7 Essendon 2.4 Geelong 2.1 Albert Park 2.1 Monbulk 1.9 Cranbourne 1.8 Ivanhoe 1.7 Ballarat East 1.5 Bellarine 1.4 Macedon 1.3 Ballarat West 1.1 Eltham 0.8

Underlining indicates seats that changed party at the 2010 election. All seats are shown based on their two-party preferred margins. In seats that were not two-party contests, the two-candidate preferred margin is shown in brackets.

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 27

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY TWO-PARTY SWING

2-Party 2-Party Electorate Swing Electorate Swing

Swing to Labor Mildura (NAT) 7.9 Murray Valley (NAT) 2.7 Lowan (NAT) (No swing) Swing to Coalition Melton 0.8 Shepparton (NAT) 1.3 Tarneit 1.3 Mill Park 1.3 Rodney (NAT) 1.3 Bendigo East 1.6 Ripon 1.6 Lara 2.5 Polwarth 2.6 Brunswick 2.7 Scoresby 3.0 Yan Yean 3.8 Caulfield 3.9 Forest Hill 3.9 Mornington 4.2 Narre Warren South 4.2 Niddrie 4.3 Northcote 4.4 Hawthorn 4.5 Mitcham 4.7 Dandenong 4.8 Monbulk 4.8 Warrandyte 4.9 Yuroke 4.9 Preston 4.9 Richmond 4.9 Nepean 4.9 Clayton 5.0 Pascoe Vale 5.0 Ballarat East 5.1 Frankston 5.3 Ballarat West 5.5 Benalla (NAT) 5.6 Mordialloc 5.6 Kew 5.6 Eltham 5.7 Swan Hill (NAT) 5.9 Geelong 6.2 South Barwon 6.2 Bulleen 6.2

Narre Warren North 6.3 Bellarine 6.6 Brighton 6.6 Gippsland South (NAT) 6.8 Macedon 6.9 Kororoit 7.0 Melbourne 7.0 Bass 7.1 Bentleigh 7.1 Sandringham 7.3 Mulgrave 7.3 Gembrook 7.5 Bundoora 7.6 Lyndhurst 7.6 Albert Park 7.6 Bendigo West 7.6 Oakleigh 7.7 Bayswater 7.7 Mount Waverley 7.8 Prahran 7.8 Seymour 7.9 South-West Coast 7.9 Altona 8.2 Footscray 8.4 Box Hill 8.6 Carrum 8.7 Ivanhoe 8.8 Benambra 8.8 Keilor 9.1 Malvern 9.1 Essendon 9.3 Cranbourne 9.4 Doncaster 9.5 Gippsland East (NAT) 9.6 Burwood 9.6 Narracan 9.7 Hastings 9.8 Derrimut 9.9 Kilsyth 10.0 Evelyn 10.7 Thomastown 10.9 Broadmeadows 10.9 Ferntree Gully 12.0 Williamstown 12.4 Morwell (NAT) 14.1

Underlining indicates seats that changed party at the 2010 election.

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28 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN

2-Party 2-Party Electorate (Margin) Swing Electorate (Margin) Swing

Broadmeadows (ALP 31.9%) -10.9 Thomastown (ALP 31.1%) -10.9 Northcote (ALP 30.3%) -4.4 Brunswick (ALP 27.9%) -2.7 Kororoit (ALP 25.6%) -7.0 Preston (ALP 25.3%) -4.9 Richmond (ALP 25.2%) -4.9 Footscray (ALP 24.7%) -8.4 Derrimut (ALP 24.3%) -9.9 Williamstown (ALP 24.3%) -12.4 Pascoe Vale (ALP 22.8%) -5.0 Lyndhurst (ALP 21.5%) -7.6 Melbourne (ALP 21.4%) -7.0 Mill Park (ALP 20.8%) -1.3 Clayton (ALP 20.3%) -5.0 Altona (ALP 20.2%) -8.2 Yuroke (ALP 20.2%) -4.9 Keilor (ALP 19.4%) -9.1 Dandenong (ALP 18.7%) -4.8 Lara (ALP 17.9%) -2.5 Mulgrave (ALP 15.8%) -7.3 Bundoora (ALP 15.1%) -7.6 Melton (ALP 13.5%) -0.8 Tarneit (ALP 12.5%) -1.3 Oakleigh (ALP 12.4%) -7.7 Essendon (ALP 11.7%) -9.3 Cranbourne (ALP 11.3%) -9.4 Niddrie (ALP 11.2%) -4.3 Narre Warren South (ALP 10.9%) -4.2 Bendigo West (ALP 10.6%) -7.6 Ivanhoe (ALP 10.4%) -8.8 Albert Park (ALP 9.7%) -7.6 Narre Warren North (ALP 9.2%) -6.3 Geelong (ALP 8.3%) -6.2 Macedon (ALP 8.2%) -6.9 Bellarine (ALP 7.9%) -6.6 Yan Yean (ALP 7.9%) -3.8 Carrum (ALP 6.7%) -8.7 Monbulk (ALP 6.7%) -4.8 Seymour (ALP 6.7%) -7.9 Ballarat East (ALP 6.6%) -5.1 Ballarat West (ALP 6.5%) -5.5 Eltham (ALP 6.5%) -5.7 Bentleigh (ALP 6.3%) -7.1 Bendigo East (ALP 5.4%) -1.6

Ripon (ALP 4.3%) -1.6 Burwood (ALP 3.7%) -9.6 Prahran (ALP 3.6%) -7.8 Mordialloc (ALP 3.5%) -5.6 Frankston (ALP 3.2%) -5.3 South Barwon (ALP 2.3%) -6.2 Mitcham (ALP 2.0%) -4.7 Forest Hill (ALP 0.8%) -3.9 Gembrook (ALP 0.7%) -7.5 Mount Waverley (ALP 0.3%) -7.8 Ferntree Gully (LIB 0.0%) -12.0 Kilsyth (LIB 0.4%) -10.0 Hastings (LIB 1.0%) -9.8 Morwell (NAT 2.2%) -14.1 Narracan (LIB 2.7%) -9.7 Evelyn (LIB 2.8%) -10.7 Bayswater (LIB 2.9%) -7.7 South-West Coast (LIB 4.0%) -7.9 Box Hill (LIB 5.2%) -8.6 Bass (LIB 5.5%) -7.1 Caulfield (LIB 7.6%) -3.9 Benambra (LIB 7.7%) -8.8 Doncaster (LIB 8.1%) -9.5 Bulleen (LIB 8.4%) -6.2 Sandringham (LIB 8.7%) -7.3 Warrandyte (LIB 9.0%) -4.9 Nepean (LIB 9.4%) -4.9 Kew (LIB 9.6%) -5.6 Polwarth (LIB 10.7%) -2.6 Brighton (LIB 10.9%) -6.6 Scoresby (LIB 11.2%) -3.0 Malvern (LIB 11.3%) -9.1 Mornington (LIB 11.9%) -4.2 Hawthorn (LIB 12.3%) -4.5 Gippsland East (IND held) -9.6 Gippsland South (NAT 15.8%) -6.8 Benalla (NAT 17.5%) -5.6 Mildura (NAT 20.7%) +7.9 Murray Valley (NAT 21.8%) +2.7 Lowan (NAT 22.1%) 0.0 Swan Hill (NAT 23.4%) -5.9 Shepparton (NAT 24.7%) -1.3 Rodney (NAT 24.8%) -1.3

All seats are shown with and ordered by their two-party preferred margin after the 2006 election. Seats held by Independent are indicated. Underlining indicates seats that changed party status at the 2010 election. '+' indicates a two-party preferred swing to Labor, '-' a two-party preferred swing away from Labor and towards the Liberal and National Parties.

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 29

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: TWO-PARTY SUMMARY BY ELECTORATE PARTY STATUS

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor Coalition Labor Coalition Swing

Marginal Labor (14) 260198 239595 52.1 47.9 5.2 to Coalition Safe Labor (20) 403242 355468 53.1 46.9 6.5 to Coalition Very Safe Labor (21) 478506 266489 64.2 35.8 6.5 to Coalition Labor (55) 1141946 861552 57.0 43.0 6.1 to Coalition Marginal Liberal (9) 130299 212581 38.0 62.0 9.3 to Coalition Safe Liberal (13) 154748 292913 34.6 65.4 5.8 to Coalition Very Safe Liberal (1) 11493 23060 33.3 66.7 4.5 to Coalition Liberal (23) 296540 528554 35.9 64.1 7.1 to Coalition Marginal National (1) 11572 22726 33.7 66.3 14.1 to Coalition Very Safe National (8) 73044 192951 27.5 72.5 1.2 to Coalition National (9) 84616 215677 28.2 71.8 2.7 to Coalition Safe Others (1) 10123 27529 26.9 73.1 9.6 to Coalition Others (1) 10123 27529 26.9 73.1 9.6 to Coalition All electorates have been classified by pre-election holding party and margin. Electorates with margins up to 6% are classified as ‘Marginal’. Electorates with margins between 6% and 12% are classified as ‘Safe’, while electorates above 12 are classified as ‘Very Safe’.

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30 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

REGIONAL SUMMARIES The tables on the following pages summarise the Legislative Assembly election result by region. Two different classifications of seats have been used. Electorates have been classified into three broad regions, Metropolitan Melbourne (60 seats), Regional Cities (15) and Rural (13). The second classification uses the eight Legislative Council regions. The Council Region totals are also used when examining Legislative Council results to compare support by party in the two houses of Parliament. The table below lists electorates and holding party as well as the regions in which each electorate is classified. Seats that changed party status at the 2010 election are underlined.

Electorate Won By Demographic Region Council Region

Albert Park Labor Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Altona Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Ballarat East Labor Regional City Western Victoria Ballarat West Labor Regional City Western Victoria Bass Liberal Regional City Eastern Victoria Bayswater Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Bellarine Labor Regional City Western Victoria Benalla National Rural Northern Victoria Benambra Liberal Rural Northern Victoria Bendigo East Labor Regional City Northern Victoria Bendigo West Labor Regional City Northern Victoria Bentleigh Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Box Hill Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Brighton Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Broadmeadows Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Brunswick Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Bulleen Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Bundoora Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Burwood Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Carrum Liberal Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Caulfield Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Clayton Labor Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Cranbourne Labor Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Dandenong Labor Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Derrimut Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Doncaster Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Eltham Labor Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Essendon Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Evelyn Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Victoria Ferntree Gully Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Footscray Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Forest Hill Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Frankston Liberal Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Geelong Labor Regional City Western Victoria Gembrook Liberal Regional City Eastern Victoria Gippsland East National Rural Eastern Victoria Gippsland South National Rural Eastern Victoria Hastings Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Victoria Hawthorn Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Ivanhoe Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Keilor Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Kew Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Kilsyth Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan

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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 31

Electorate Won By Demographic Region Council Region

Kororoit Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Lara Labor Regional City Western Victoria Lowan National Rural Western Victoria Lyndhurst Labor Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Macedon Labor Regional City Northern Victoria Malvern Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Melbourne Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Melton Labor Regional City Western Victoria Mildura National Rural Northern Victoria Mill Park Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Mitcham Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Monbulk Labor Metropolitan Eastern Victoria Mordialloc Liberal Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Mornington Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Victoria Morwell National Regional City Eastern Victoria Mount Waverley Liberal Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Mulgrave Labor Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Murray Valley National Rural Northern Victoria Narracan Liberal Regional City Eastern Victoria Narre Warren North Labor Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Narre Warren South Labor Metropolitan South Eastern Metropolitan Nepean Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Victoria Niddrie Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Northcote Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Oakleigh Labor Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Pascoe Vale Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Polwarth Liberal Rural Western Victoria Prahran Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Preston Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Richmond Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Ripon Labor Rural Western Victoria Rodney National Rural Northern Victoria Sandringham Liberal Metropolitan Southern Metropolitan Scoresby Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Seymour Liberal Regional City Northern Victoria Shepparton National Rural Northern Victoria South Barwon Liberal Regional City Western Victoria South West Coast Liberal Rural Western Victoria Swan Hill National Rural Northern Victoria Tarneit Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Thomastown Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Warrandyte Liberal Metropolitan Eastern Metropolitan Williamstown Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan Yan Yean Labor Metropolitan Northern Metropolitan Yuroke Labor Metropolitan Western Metropolitan

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Metropolitan Roll 2432179

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (27) 902490 42.2 +6.6 Labor (33) 831002 38.9 -7.5 Greens 272201 12.7 +1.3 Family First 48025 2.2 -2.1 D.L.P. 24225 1.1 +1.1 Country Alliance 3020 0.1 +0.1 Sex Party 16428 0.8 +0.8 Others 40047 1.9 -0.3

Labor 2PP 1106855 51.8 -6.6 Coalition 2PP 1031756 48.2 +6.6

Formal 2137438 94.9 -0.3 Informal 113862 5.1 +0.3 Total / Turnout 2251300 92.6

Regional City Seats Roll 650045

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (5) 225215 38.9 +4.4 National (1) 31656 5.5 +2.0 Labor (9) 223830 38.6 -7.2 Greens 53632 9.3 +0.6 Family First 12500 2.2 -2.5 D.L.P. 3476 0.6 +0.6 Country Alliance 14259 2.5 +2.5 Sex Party 824 0.1 +0.1 Others 14245 2.5 -0.5

Labor 2PP 285350 49.2 -6.4 Coalition 2PP 294633 50.8 +6.4

Formal 579637 95.0 -0.9 Informal 30625 5.0 +0.9 Total / Turnout 610262 93.9

Country Seats Roll 500008

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (3) 75949 17.0 -11.8 National (9) 181836 40.6 +9.6 Labor (1) 92516 20.7 -3.6 Greens 28864 6.4 +1.0 Family First 11829 2.6 -0.7 D.L.P. 475 0.1 +0.1 Country Alliance 25659 5.7 +5.7 Others 30526 6.8 -0.3

Labor 2PP 141020 31.5 -3.2 Coalition 2PP 306923 68.5 +3.2

Formal 447654 95.6 -0.3 Informal 20649 4.4 +0.3 Total / Turnout 468303 93.7

East Metropolitan Seats Roll 426300

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (10) 209348 54.5 +8.3 Labor (1) 117654 30.6 -6.2 Greens 37230 9.7 -0.2 Family First 10099 2.6 -2.1 D.L.P. 2935 0.8 +0.8 Sex Party 5470 1.4 +1.4 Others 1534 0.4 -2.0

Labor 2PP 152982 39.8 -7.0 Coalition 2PP 231427 60.2 +7.0

Formal 384270 95.8 -0.2 Informal 16940 4.2 +0.2 Total / Turnout 401210 94.1

Eastern Victoria Roll 456819

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (7) 170241 41.6 +3.3 National (3) 59570 14.5 +5.2 Labor (1) 109690 26.8 -6.7 Greens 37732 9.2 +0.6 Family First 3662 0.9 -3.3 D.L.P. 1371 0.3 +0.3 Country Alliance 11875 2.9 +2.9 Sex Party 994 0.2 +0.2 Others 14300 3.5 -2.7

Labor 2PP 150405 36.7 -8.1 Coalition 2PP 259453 63.3 +8.1

Formal 409435 95.5 -0.4 Informal 19460 4.5 +0.4 Total / Turnout 428895 93.9

Northern Metropolitan Roll 452215

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal 110873 28.3 +6.2 Labor (11) 181163 46.3 -7.9 Greens 73219 18.7 +2.6 Family First 6076 1.6 -1.8 D.L.P. 4398 1.1 +1.1 Sex Party 4597 1.2 +1.2 Others 10807 2.8 -1.3

Labor 2PP 258019 66.0 -6.2 Coalition 2PP 133173 34.0 +6.2

Formal 391133 94.6 +0.1 Informal 22134 5.4 -0.1 Total / Turnout 413267 91.4

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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 33

Northern Victoria Roll 429217

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (2) 69764 18.3 -9.8 National (6) 126370 33.2 +6.9 Labor (3) 101611 26.7 -4.0 Greens 26017 6.8 +0.5 Family First 9935 2.6 -0.8 D.L.P. 2171 0.6 +0.6 Country Alliance 22851 6.0 +6.0 Sex Party 824 0.2 +0.2 Others 21471 5.6 +0.4

Labor 2PP 143593 37.7 -3.1 Coalition 2PP 237779 62.3 +3.1

Formal 381014 95.0 -0.9 Informal 19864 5.0 +0.9 Total / Turnout 400878 93.4

South Eastern Metropolitan Roll 443920

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (4) 154100 39.7 +6.3 Labor (7) 172073 44.4 -8.4 Greens 31156 8.0 +0.4 Family First 11895 3.1 -2.2 D.L.P. 9865 2.5 +2.5 Sex Party 2139 0.6 +0.6 Others 6536 1.7 +0.9

Labor 2PP 210447 54.2 -6.5 Coalition 2PP 177680 45.8 +6.5

Formal 387764 94.1 -0.8 Informal 24233 5.9 +0.8 Total / Turnout 411997 92.8

Southern Metropolitan Roll 427013

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (9) 202014 53.5 +6.4 Labor (2) 102914 27.3 -7.5 Greens 58084 15.4 +0.7 Family First 4590 1.2 -0.9 D.L.P. 1557 0.4 +0.4 Sex Party 3228 0.9 +0.9 Others 5214 1.4 ..

Labor 2PP 154388 40.9 -6.9 Coalition 2PP 223240 59.1 +6.9

Formal 377601 96.4 -0.3 Informal 14023 3.6 +0.3 Total / Turnout 391624 91.7

Western Metropolitan Roll 480219

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal 126443 30.4 +6.6 Labor (11) 203489 49.0 -9.1 Greens 53397 12.9 +3.5 Family First 12735 3.1 -3.0 D.L.P. 4471 1.1 +1.1 Others 14868 3.6 +1.0

Labor 2PP 259646 62.4 -7.2 Coalition 2PP 156155 37.6 +7.2

Formal 415403 93.7 -0.1 Informal 27907 6.3 +0.1 Total / Turnout 443310 92.3

Western Victoria Roll 466529

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Liberal (3) 160871 38.5 +2.3 National (1) 27552 6.6 +0.9 Labor (7) 158754 38.0 -5.7 Greens 37862 9.1 +1.1 Family First 13362 3.2 -1.7 D.L.P. 1408 0.3 +0.3 Country Alliance 8212 2.0 +2.0 Others 10088 2.4 +0.9

Labor 2PP 203745 48.7 -3.9 Coalition 2PP 214405 51.3 +3.9

Formal 418109 95.3 -0.6 Informal 20575 4.7 +0.6 Total / Turnout 438684 94.0

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Assembly By-Elections and Council Casual Vacancies 2006-2010 Williamstown Roll 38034 (15 Sep 2007 – Resignation of Steve Bracks)

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Cumming IND 2703 9.0 +9.0 Rossiter IND 648 2.2 +2.2 Rice GRN 6595 21.9 +9.5 Noonan ALP 16784 55.7 -6.0 Hughes DLP 780 2.6 +2.6 Assaf IND 312 1.0 +0.2 Hayes FFP 1473 4.9 +0.4 Tavendale IND 331 1.1 +1.1 Millington IND 485 1.6 +1.6 .... LIB 0.0 -20.7

Final Count Rice GRN 10801 35.9 +35.9 Noonan ALP 19288 64.1 -10.1 .... LIB 0.0 -25.7

Formal 30111 Informal 2193 6.8 +1.2 Total / Turnout 32304 84.9 -6.9

Albert Park Roll 45320 (15 Sep 2007 – Resignation of John Thwaites)

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Middleton GRN 8453 28.5 +9.4 Marinakis IND 1422 4.8 +4.8 Dobinson IND 297 1.0 +1.0 Strauss IND 1703 5.7 +5.7 Kavanagh DEM 1706 5.8 +5.8 McCarthy DLP 512 1.7 +1.7 Jackson IND 356 1.2 -0.1 Eastman FFP 1307 4.4 +3.3 Foley ALP 13881 46.8 +5.8 .... LIB 0.0 -34.6

Final Count

Rice GRN 12788 42.9 +42.9 Noonan ALP 17000 57.1 -2.6 .... LIB 0.0 -40.3

Formal 29637 Informal 2392 7.5 3.1 Total / Turnout 32029 70.7 -15.1

Kororoit Roll 40609 (28 Jun 2008 – Resignation of Andre Haermeyer)

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Twentyman IND 6456 20.4 +20.4 Power GRN 1466 4.6 -2.6 Kozlowski CEC 432 1.4 -0.8 Kairouz ALP 15354 48.5 -13.1 Walters IND 1292 4.1 +4.1 Matic LIB 6659 21.0 +5.1 .... FFP 0.0 -13.0

Final Count

Twentyman IND 13044 41.0 +41.0 Kairouz ALP 18738 59.0 -16.6 Matic LIB 0 0.0 -24.4

Formal 31659 Informal 2129 6.3 -1.5 Total / Turnout 33788 83.2 -8.9

Note: A 2-party preferred percentage of 71.5% was

calculated, representing a 4.6% swing against Labor.

Altona Roll 47680 (13 Feb 2010 – Resignation of Lynne Kosky)

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count

Nain IND 649 1.7 +1.7 Mumby IND 711 1.8 +1.8 Windisch SA 567 1.5 +1.5 Rose LIB 13672 35.1 +11.2 Strangward GRN 4110 10.5 +2.1 Rixon IND 187 0.5 +0.5 Shaw IND 639 1.6 +1.6 Hennessy ALP 18443 47.3 -13.3 .... FFP 0.0 -7.1

Final Count Rose LIB 16490 42.3 +12.5 Hennessy ALP 22488 57.7 -12.5

Formal 38978 Informal 2.34 5.0 -1.2 Total / Turnout 41012 86.0 -7.7

Legislative Council Casual Vacancies Evan Thornley resigned and was replaced by Jennifer Huppert as a Labor representative for South Metropolitan Region. (Joint sitting 3 February 2009) Theo Theophanous resigned and was replaced by Nathan Murphy as a Labor representative for Northern Metropolitan Region. (Joint Sitting 9 March 2010)

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 35

Summary of Legislative Council Result State-Wide Totals Roll 3 582 232

MLCs Party (Candidates/Regions) Votes % Vote Swing Elected Change

Liberal/National Party (40/8) 1 388 032 43.16 +4.18 21 +4 Labor Party (40/8) 1 137 461 35.36 -6.09 16 -3 Greens (40/8) 386 172 12.01 +1.43 3 .. Family First (22/)8) 91 982 2.86 -0.99 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (31/8) 75 080 2.33 +0.36 .. -1 Sex Party (8/4) 61 542 1.91 +1.91 .. .. Country Alliance (8/4) 53 149 1.65 +1.20 .. .. Christian Party (8/4) 12 322 0.38 +0.19 .. .. Others (12/3) 10 646 0.33 -2.19 .. ..

Formal (209/8) 3 216 386 Informal 112 475 3.38 -0.91 Total Votes / Turnout 3 328 861 92.93 +0.19

Note: The Liberal and National Parties ran joint tickets in the three country regions in 2010 where they had run

separate tickets in 2006. The 21 Coalition members elected were 18 Liberal (+3) and 3 National (+1). In 2006 the Liberal Party polled 34.55% and the National Party 4.43%.

Seats Changing Party: The Liberal Party gained three seats from Labor, one each in Northern Metropolitan Region, Southern Metropolitan Region and Western Metropolitan Region. The National Party gained a seat from the Democratic Labor Party in Western Victoria. Elected MLCs by Party by Region

Region LIB NAT ALP GRN Total

Eastern Metropolitan 3 .. 2 .. 5 Eastern Victoria 2 1 2 .. 5 Northern Metropolitan 2 .. 2 1 5 Northern Victoria 2 1 2 .. 5 South Eastern Metropolitan 2 .. 3 .. 5 Southern Metropolitan 3 .. 1 1 5 Western Metropolitan 2 .. 2 1 5 Western Victoria 2 1 2 5

Legislative Council 18 3 16 3 40

Quotas by Party by Region

Region L/NP ALP GRN FFP DLP OTH

Eastern Metropolitan 3.10 1.83 0.69 0.19 0.16 0.04 Eastern Victoria 3.17 1.70 0.63 0.20 0.12 0.19 Northern Metropolitan 1.63 2.52 1.15 0.14 0.16 0.40 Northern Victoria 2.94 1.63 0.48 0.18 0.10 0.68 South Eastern Metropolitan 2.46 2.60 0.53 0.19 0.16 0.07 Southern Metropolitan 3.09 1.52 0.98 0.06 0.11 0.24 Western Metropolitan 1.78 2.81 0.72 0.22 0.19 0.28 Western Victoria 2.60 2.30 0.61 0.20 0.13 0.16

Total Quotas 20.77 16.91 5.79 1.38 1.13 2.06

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2010 Victorian Election

36 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Eastern Metropolitan Roll 426 300

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Liberal Party (F) 5 201 337 51.68 +6.83 3.10 3 .. Labor Party (C) 5 118 679 30.46 -5.52 1.83 2 .. Greens (E) 5 44 621 11.45 +0.92 0.69 .. .. Family First (D) 4 12 153 3.12 -1.31 0.19 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (A) 5 10 161 2.61 +1.06 0.16 .. .. Others 4 2 660 0.68 -1.98 0.04 .. ..

Formal 28 389 611 5 Informal 11 465 2.86 -0.28 Total Vote / Turnout 401 076 94.08 +0.10 Quota 64 936

Eastern Victoria Roll 456 819

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Liberal/National (C) 5 219 990 52.82 +5.00 3.17 3 .. Labor Party (D) 5 118 141 28.37 -6.53 1.70 2 .. Greens (F) 5 43 425 10.43 +1.26 0.63 .. .. Family First (A) 2 13 626 3.27 -1.18 0.20 .. .. Country Alliance (E) 2 13 032 3.13 +2.51 0.19 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (B) 2 8 243 1.98 +0.80 0.12 .. .. Christian Party 0 0.00 -0.39 0.00 .. .. Others 0 0.00 -1.48 0.00 .. ..

Formal 21 416 457 5 Informal 12 295 2.87 -0.35 Total Vote / Turnout 428 752 93.86 +0.04 Quota 69 410

Note: The Liberal/National joint ticket elected two Liberal members and one National, the same result as in 2006.

The two parties ran separate tickets in 2006 when the Liberal Party polled 39.22% and the National Party 8.60%.

Northern Metropolitan Roll 452 215

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Labor Party (I) 5 165 259 41.94 -7.01 2.52 2 -1 Liberal Party (J) 5 106 905 27.13 +3.91 1.63 2 +1 Greens (F) 5 75 648 19.20 +2.13 1.15 1 .. Sex Party (G) 2 14 290 3.63 +3.63 0.22 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (H) 5 10 655 2.70 -2.46 0.16 .. .. Family First (D) 3 9 132 2.32 -0.49 0.14 .. .. Christian Party (B) 2 3 533 0.90 +0.90 0.05 .. .. Country Alliance (E) 2 2 072 0.53 +0.53 0.03 .. .. Others 5 6 541 1.66 -1.13 0.10 .. ..

Formal 34 394 035 5 Informal 19 235 4.65 -1.04 Total Votes / Turnout 413 270 91.39 +0.27 Quota 65 673

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 37

Northern Victoria Roll 429 217

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Liberal/National Party (E) 5 190 894 48.99 -1.34 2.94 3 .. Labor Party (F) 5 105 765 27.14 -2.97 1.63 2 .. Greens (D) 5 31 199 8.01 +0.73 0.48 .. .. Country Alliance (A) 2 26 646 6.84 +4.79 0.41 .. .. Sex Party (G) 2 14 880 3.82 +3.82 0.23 .. .. Family First (C) 2 11 444 2.94 -0.73 0.18 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (H) 2 6 292 1.61 -0.53 0.10 .. .. Christian Party (B) 2 2 553 0.66 +0.14 0.04 .. .. Others 0 0.00 -3.91 0.00 .. ..

Formal 25 389 673 5 Informal 11 220 2.80 -1.25 Total Votes / Turnout 400 893 93.40 +0.07 Quota 64 946

Note: The Liberal/National joint ticket elected two Liberal members and one National, the same result as in 2006.

The two parties ran separate tickets in 2006 when the Liberal Party polled 29.14% and the National Party 21.19%.

South Eastern Metropolitan Roll 443 920

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Labor Party (B) 5 172 306 43.41 -6.38 2.60 3 .. Liberal Party (A) 5 162 517 40.94 +7.28 2.46 2 .. Greens (F) 5 34 754 8.76 +1.53 0.53 .. .. Family First (E) 2 12 560 3.16 -2.10 0.19 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (C) 5 10 292 2.59 +1.70 0.16 .. .. Christian Party (D) 2 4 510 1.14 +0.46 0.07 .. .. Others 0 0.00 -2.49 0.00 .. ..

Formal 24 396 939 5 Informal 14 758 3.58 -1.65 Total Votes / Turnout 411 697 92.74 -0.67 Quota 66 157

Southern Metropolitan Roll 427 013

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Liberal Party (G) 5 196 676 51.57 +5.36 3.09 3 +1 Labor Party (I) 5 96 404 25.28 -5.89 1.52 1 -1 Greens (F) 5 62 285 16.33 +0.63 0.98 1 .. Sex Party (A) 2 12 364 3.24 +3.24 0.19 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (B) 2 6 849 1.80 +0.63 0.11 .. .. Family First (C) 2 3 620 0.95 -1.23 0.06 .. .. Christian Party (D) 2 1 726 0.45 +0.45 0.03 .. .. Others 3 1 445 0.38 -3.19 0.02 .. ..

Formal 26 381 369 Informal 10 071 2.57 -0.49 Total Votes / Turnout 391 440 91.67 +1.43 Quota 63 562

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2010 Victorian Election

38 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Western Metropolitan Roll 480 219

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Labor Party (B) 5 198 100 46.86 -11.82 2.81 2 -1 Liberal Party (F) 5 125 267 29.63 +5.17 1.78 2 +1 Greens (E) 5 50 715 12.00 +2.60 0.72 1 .. Sex Party (A) 2 20 008 4.73 +4.73 0.28 .. .. Family First (C) 2 15 282 3.62 -0.40 0.22 .. .. Democratic Labor Party (D) 5 13 336 3.15 +2.08 0.19 .. .. Others 0 0.00 -2.36 0.00 .. ..

Formal 24 422 708 Informal 20 549 4.64 -1.64 Total Votes / Turnout 443 257 92.30 -0.20 Quota 70 452

Western Victoria Roll 466 529

Candi- MLCs Party (Group) dates Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Elected Change

Liberal/National Party 5 184 446 43.34 +2.52 2.60 3 +1 Labor Party 5 162 807 38.25 -3.75 2.30 2 0 Greens 5 43 525 10.23 +1.60 0.61 .. .. Family First 5 14 165 3.33 -0.60 0.20 .. .. Democratic Labor Party 5 9 252 2.17 -0.48 0.13 .. -1 Country Alliance 2 11 399 2.68 +1.79 0.16 .. .. Others 0 0.00 -1.07 0.00 .. ..

Formal 27 425 594 Informal 12 882 2.94 -0.63 Total Votes / Turnout 438 476 93.99 +0.53 Quota 70 933

Note: The Liberal/National joint ticket elected two Liberal members and one National, a gain for the National

Party compared to 2006. The two parties ran separate tickets in 2006 when the Liberal Party polled 35.27% and the National Party 5.55%.

Incidence of Ticket Voting by Party and Region

Region L/NP ALP GRN FFP CA DLP ASXP ACP OTH Total

Eastern Metro 98.0 97.9 89.6 92.2 .. 85.0 .. .. 77.0 96.3 Eastern Victoria 97.6 98.0 89.8 91.0 92.3 93.3 .. .. .. 96.4 Northern Metro 97.6 97.6 87.5 93.9 90.9 90.7 88.0 87.2 58.4 94.3 Northern Victoria 97.7 97.8 89.4 94.1 92.1 93.5 95.3 82.8 .. 96.4 South-East Metro 97.4 98.0 92.0 94.8 .. 89.8 .. 91.0 .. 96.9 Southern Metro 97.4 96.2 87.1 87.9 .. 88.9 83.2 85.5 59.1 94.5 Western Metro 97.1 97.3 90.4 94.9 .. 90.8 90.4 .. .. 95.8 Western Victoria 97.8 98.3 92.2 93.9 93.4 91.3 .. .. .. 97.0

State 97.6 97.7 89.4 93.3 92.4 90.3 89.6 87.5 63.1 96.0

Notes: Numbers represent ticket votes as a percentage of votes by party and/or region.

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EASTERN METROPOLITAN REGION Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A DLP - Democratic Labor Party 10 161 2.61 0.1565 85.0 Ticket Votes DLP 8 638 2.22 0.1330 La Manna, Pat DLP 1 131 0.29 0.0174 Kos, Stefan DLP 132 0.03 0.0020 Price, Beverley DLP 95 0.02 0.0015 Costa, Simon DLP 86 0.02 0.0013 Byrne, Gregory DLP 79 0.02 0.0012 B Group B 1 079 0.28 0.0166 76.9 Ticket Votes IND 830 0.21 0.0128 Osborne, Anthony Charles IND 197 0.05 0.0030 Osborne, Laurinda Ann IND 52 0.01 0.0008 C Labor 118 679 30.46 1.8276 97.9 Ticket Votes ALP 116 177 29.82 1.7891 * Leane, Shaun (Re-elected 2) ALP 1 529 0.39 0.0235 * Tee, Brian (Re-elected 5) ALP 167 0.04 0.0026 Paul, Anne ALP 181 0.05 0.0028 Clarke, Hayley ALP 521 0.13 0.0080 Vout, Paul ALP 104 0.03 0.0016 D Family First 12 158 3.12 0.1872 92.2 Ticket Votes FFP 11 210 2.88 0.1726 Lake, Peter FFP 678 0.17 0.0104 Schwab, Gillian FFP 82 0.02 0.0013 Goodman, Phil FFP 80 0.02 0.0012 Goh, Yuli FFP 108 0.03 0.0017 E Greens 44 621 11.45 0.6871 89.6 Ticket Votes GRN 39 982 10.26 0.6157 Magner, Damian GRN 3 118 0.80 0.0480 Laos, Linda GRN 436 0.11 0.0067 Howell, David GRN 300 0.08 0.0046 Potter, Nell GRN 411 0.11 0.0063 Tankey, Howard GRN 374 0.10 0.0058 F Liberal 201 337 51.68 3.1005 98.0 Ticket Votes LIB 197 334 50.65 3.0389 * Dalla-Riva, Richard (Re-elected 1) LIB 2 318 0.59 0.0357 * Atkinson, Bruce (Re-elected 3) LIB 607 0.16 0.0093 * Kronberg, Jan (Re-elected 4) LIB 454 0.12 0.0070 Tse, Grace LIB 225 0.06 0.0035 Rawson, Miriam LIB 399 0.10 0.0061 G Group G 1 581 0.41 0.0243 77.0 Ticket Votes IND 1 218 0.31 0.0188 Hartmann, Elizabeth IND 247 0.06 0.0038 Leggo, Leane IND 116 0.03 0.0018 Formal 389 616 96.3 Informal 11 465 2.86 Total Votes 401 081 94.08 Roll 426 300 Quota 64 937

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2010 Victorian Election

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On the first preference count the Liberal Party polled more than three quotas while Labor fell short of two quotas. Four members were re-elected on the initial counts, in order Richard Dalla-Riva (LIB Elected 1), Shaun Leane (ALP Elected 2), Bruce Atkinson (LIB Elected 3) and Jan Kronberg (LIB Elected 4). The exclusion of candidates continued until by Count 109 only six candidates remained, one candidate each from six of the seven groups on the ballot paper. Both Group B Independents had been excluded by this count, with the group’s 830 ticket votes flowing to the Greens. The table below shows the totals at Count 109 as well as changes in party totals since Count 1. After Count 109

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Tee, Brian ALP -216 53527 13.74 0.8243 Magner, Damian GRN +690 45311 11.63 0.6978 Lake, Peter FFP +55 12208 3.13 0.1880 La Manna, Pat DLP -60 10101 2.59 0.1556 Tse, Grace LIB -217 6312 1.62 0.0972 Hartmann, Elizabeth IND +343 1924 0.49 0.0296 Osborne, Anthony Charles IND -1079 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +402 402 0.10 0.0062

At this point only two candidates were in the race for the final seat, sitting Labor member Brian Tee and Green candidate Damian Magner. The total of votes with other candidates adds to less the total for the second placed Green candidate, so it is not possible for one of the other candidates to be elected. Counts 110-115 excluded Elizabeth Harman, the remaining Independent candidate in Group G. Her 1218 ticket votes had next available preferences for the DLP’s Pat La Manna. After Count 115

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Tee, Brian ALP +55 53582 13.75 0.8252 Magner, Damian GRN +138 45449 11.67 0.6999 Lake, Peter FFP +75 12283 3.15 0.1892 La Manna, Pat DLP +1301 11402 2.93 0.1756 Tse, Grace LIB +89 6401 1.64 0.0986 Hartmann, Elizabeth IND -1924 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +272 674 0.17 0.0104

Counts 116-121 excluded the fourth and final Liberal candidate Grace Tse, the Liberal Party’s 5441 ticket votes flowing to Family First’s Pater Lake. After Count 121

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Tee, Brian ALP +87 53669 13.78 0.8265 Magner, Damian GRN +122 45571 11.70 0.7018 Lake, Peter FFP +5599 17882 4.59 0.2754 La Manna, Pat DLP +105 11507 2.95 0.1772 Tse, Grace LIB -6401 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +493 1167 0.30 0.0180

Counts 122-127 excluded the lead DLP candidate Pat La Manna. Two preference tickets were included in the DLP total, with the 8638 DLP ticket votes having next preference for Family First, while 1218 Group G ticket votes had next preference for the Greens.

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 41

After Count 127

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Tee, Brian ALP +276 53945 13.85 0.8307 Magner, Damian GRN +1397 46968 12.06 0.7233 Lake, Peter FFP +9085 26967 6.92 0.4153 La Manna, Pat DLP -11507 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +759 1926 0.49 0.0297

Count 128 now excluded the first preferences for Family First candidate Peter Lake, including the party’s 11210 ticket votes with next preference for Labor’s Brian Tee who reached a quota at this count (ALP Elected 5). Remaing undistributed at this point were DLP and Liberal ticket votes, both of which also had next preference for Brian Tee. After Count 128

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Tee, Brian (Elected 5) ALP +11552 65497 16.81 1.0086 Magner, Damian GRN +63 47031 12.07 0.7243 Lake, Peter FFP -11883 15084 3.87 0.2323 (Exhausted) +268 2194 0.56 0.0338

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2010 Victorian Election

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EASTERN VICTORIA REGION

Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A Family First 13 626 3.27 0.1963 91.0 Ticket Votes FFP 12 398 2.98 0.1786 Stokes, Linden FFP 1 106 0.27 0.0159 Aeschlimann, Terry FFP 122 0.03 0.0018 B D.L.P. Democratic Labor Party 8 243 1.98 0.1188 93.3 Ticket Votes DLP 7 687 1.85 0.1107 Ius, Walter DLP 421 0.10 0.0061 Wyatt, Robyn DLP 135 0.03 0.0019 C Liberal/National 219 990 52.82 3.1694 97.6 Ticket Votes L/NP 214 740 51.56 3.0938 * Davis, Philip (Re-elected 1) LIB 2 424 0.58 0.0349 * Hall, Peter (Re-elected 3) NAT 1 298 0.31 0.0187 * O'Donohue, Edward (Re-elected 4) LIB 903 0.22 0.0130 Hopgood, Rosemary LIB 384 0.09 0.0055 Crawford-Wynd, Jo NAT 241 0.06 0.0035 D Labor Party 118 141 28.37 1.7021 98.0 Ticket Votes ALP 115 729 27.79 1.6673 * Viney, Matt (Re-elected 2) ALP 1 707 0.41 0.0246 * Scheffer, Johan (Re-elected 5) ALP 195 0.05 0.0028 Anderson, Maida ALP 208 0.05 0.0030 Moffat, Hedley ALP 61 0.01 0.0009 Maxfield, Ben ALP 241 0.06 0.0035 E Country Alliance 13 032 3.13 0.1878 92.3 Ticket Votes CA 12 028 2.89 0.1733 Jones, Andrew CA 867 0.21 0.0125 Murphy, Euan CA 137 0.03 0.0020 F Greens 43 425 10.43 0.6256 89.8 Ticket Votes GRN 38 977 9.36 0.5615 Dunn, Samantha GRN 3 088 0.74 0.0445 Wragg, Cheryl GRN 400 0.10 0.0058 Swales, Penelope GRN 374 0.09 0.0054 Buckley, Francine GRN 306 0.07 0.0044 Millsom, Andrea GRN 280 0.07 0.0040 Formal 416 457 96.4 Informal 12 295 2.87 Total Votes 428 752 93.86 Roll 456 819 Quota 69 410 On the first preference count the Coalition ticket polled more than three quotas while Labor was short of two quotas. The initial counts re-elected Philip Davis (LIB Elected 1), Matt Viney (ALP Elected 2), Peter Hall (NAT Elected 3) and Edward O’Donohue (LIB Elected 4). By Count 69, only one candidate remained from each of the six groups on the ballot paper. The two candidates well in front for the final seat were Labor’s Johan Scheffer and the Green’s Samantha Dunn. However, the ticket votes for the other four groups had preferences for Andrew Jones of the Country Alliance ahead of both Labor and the Greens. Labor’s ticket also listed the Country Alliance ahead of the Greens, which meant that Jones was still in the race for the final seat if he could pass Labor’s total. The totals at Count 69 and the change in party totals since Count 1 are shown in the next table.

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2010 Victorian Election

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After Count 69

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Scheffer, Johan ALP -135 48596 11.67 0.7001 Dunn, Samantha GRN -231 43194 10.37 0.6223 Stokes, Linden FFP +182 13808 3.32 0.1989 Jones, Andrew CA +274 13306 3.20 0.1917 Hopgood, Rosemary LIB -425 11335 2.72 0.1633 Ius, Walter DLP +68 8311 2.00 0.1197 (Exhausted) +188 188 0.05 0.0027

Counts 70-75 excluded Walter Ius of the DLP. His 7687 ticket votes had next preference for Andrew Jones of the Country Alliance, pushing Jones into third place ahead of Family First’s Linden Stokes. After Count 75

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Scheffer, Johan ALP +93 48689 11.69 0.7015 Dunn, Samantha GRN +50 43244 10.38 0.6230 Jones, Andrew CA +7794 21100 5.07 0.3040 Stokes, Linden FFP +203 14011 3.36 0.2019 Hopgood, Rosemary LIB +82 11417 2.74 0.1645 Ius, Walter DLP -8311 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +92 280 0.07 0.0040

Counts 76-81 now excluded the remaining Liberal candidate Rosemary Hopgood, with 10243 Coalition ticket votes also directed to Andrew Jones of the Country Alliance. After Count 81

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Scheffer, Johan ALP +63 48752 11.71 0.7024 Dunn, Samantha GRN +85 43329 10.40 0.6242 Jones, Andrew CA +10525 31625 7.59 0.4556 Stokes, Linden FFP +199 14210 3.41 0.2047 Hopgood, Rosemary LIB -11417 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +548 828 0.20 0.0119

Counts 82-87 excluded Linden Stokes of Family First, with 12398 Family First ticket votes flowing to the Country Alliance’s Andrew Jones, putting him ahead of the Green’s Samantha Dunn. Jones’s only chance of victory required him to be ahead of Labor at this point. After Count 87

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Scheffer, Johan ALP +258 49010 11.77 0.7061 Jones, Andrew CA +13313 44938 10.79 0.6474 Dunn, Samantha GRN +112 43441 10.43 0.6259 Stokes, Linden FFP -14210 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +533 1361 0.33 0.0196

Count 88 now excluded the first preference votes of the Greens, including 38977 tickets votes with next preference for Johan Scheffer (ALP Elected 5). A small number Green votes remained undistributed at the end of the count. After Count 88

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Scheffer, Johan (Elected 5) ALP +40712 89722 21.54 1.2926 Jones, Andrew CA +491 45429 10.91 0.6545 Dunn, Samantha GRN -42065 1376 0.33 0.0198 (Exhausted) +862 2223 0.53 0.0320

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NORTHERN METROPOLITAN REGION

Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A Group A 2 331 0.59 0.0355 76.1 Ticket Votes IND 1 774 0.45 0.0270 Stuart, Joanne IND 477 0.12 0.0073 Lee, April IND 80 0.02 0.0012 B Christian Party 3 533 0.90 0.0538 87.2 Ticket Votes ACP 3 081 0.78 0.0469 Janson, Vickie ACP 373 0.09 0.0057 Arthur, Saleem ACP 79 0.02 0.0012 C Group C 3 862 0.98 0.0588 53.0 Ticket Votes IND 2 046 0.52 0.0312 Mayne, Stephen IND 1 763 0.45 0.0268 Piccinini, Paula IND 53 0.01 0.0008 D Family First 9 132 2.32 0.1391 93.9 Ticket Votes FFP 8 577 2.18 0.1306 Conlon, Andrew FFP 401 0.10 0.0061 Kerin, Peter FFP 104 0.03 0.0016 Dawson, Rod FFP 50 0.01 0.0008 E Country Alliance 2 072 0.53 0.0316 90.9 Ticket Votes CA 1 884 0.48 0.0287 Archibald, Kevin CA 161 0.04 0.0025 Morris, Chris CA 27 0.01 0.0004 F Greens 75 648 19.20 1.1519 87.5 Ticket Votes GRN 66 222 16.81 1.0084 * Barber, Greg (Re-elected 3) GRN 6 700 1.70 0.1020 Bhathal, Alexandra GRN 1 178 0.30 0.0179 Brindley, Fraser GRN 367 0.09 0.0056 Ratnam, Samantha GRN 669 0.17 0.0102 Air, Alister GRN 512 0.13 0.0078 G Sex Party 14 290 3.63 0.2176 88.0 Ticket Votes ASXP 12 569 3.19 0.1914 Patten, Fiona ASXP 1 594 0.40 0.0243 Leitch, Douglas ASXP 127 0.03 0.0019 H Democratic Labor Party 10 655 2.70 0.1622 90.7 Ticket Votes DLP 9 668 2.45 0.1472 Kavanagh, John DLP 663 0.17 0.0101 Thatcher, Monica DLP 83 0.02 0.0013 Cashin, Bridget DLP 65 0.02 0.0010 Anderson, Angela DLP 123 0.03 0.0019 Travers, Michael DLP 53 0.01 0.0008 I Labor Party 165 259 41.94 2.5164 97.6 Ticket Votes ALP 161 246 40.92 2.4553 * Mikakos, Jenny (Re-elected 1) ALP 2 656 0.67 0.0404 * Elasmar, Nazih (Re-elected 4) ALP 470 0.12 0.0072 Murphy, Nathan (Defeated) ALP 228 0.06 0.0035 Platt, Rhianon ALP 209 0.05 0.0032 Smythe, Peter ALP 450 0.11 0.0069

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Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket

J Liberal Party 106 905 27.13 1.6278 97.6 Ticket Votes LIB 104 332 26.48 1.5887 * Guy, Matthew (Re-elected 2) LIB 1 691 0.43 0.0257 Ondarchie, Craig (Elected 5) LIB 245 0.06 0.0037 Granleese, Sam LIB 221 0.06 0.0034 Parsons, Daniel LIB 184 0.05 0.0028 Townson, Jemma LIB 232 0.06 0.0035 UNG Whitehead, Adrian IND 348 0.09 0.0053 0.0 Formal 394 035 94.3 Informal 19 235 4.65 Total Votes 413 270 91.39 Roll 452 215 Quota 65 673 The first preference totals had three parties polling above a quota, resulting in the re-election of four members, Jenny Mikakos (ALP Elected 1), Matthew Guy (LIB Elected 2), Greg Barber (GRN Elected 3) and Nazih Elasmar (ALP Elected 4). The third Labor and second Liberal candidates were competing for the final seat, but with eight other groups on the ballot paper and complex preference deals, there was an outside possibility of a minor party winning the final seat by passing one of the major parties. By Count 119 the ungrouped candidate Adrian Whitehead had been excluded, as well as all but one candidate from each group on the ballot paper. The totals at Count 119 and change in party totals since Count 1 are shown in the table below. After Count 119

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ondarchie, Craig LIB -212 41020 10.41 0.6246 * Murphy, Nathan ALP -432 33481 8.50 0.5098 Patten, Fiona ASXP +323 14613 3.71 0.2225 Kavanagh, John DLP -12 10643 2.70 0.1621 Bhathal, Alexandra GRN +29 10004 2.54 0.1523 Conlon, Andrew FFP -6 9126 2.32 0.1390 Mayne, Stephen IND +172 4034 1.02 0.0614 Janson, Vickie ACP +36 3569 0.91 0.0543 Stuart, Joanne IND +38 2369 0.60 0.0361 Archibald, Kevin CA +58 2130 0.54 0.0324 Whitehead, Adrian IND -348 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +222 222 0.05 0.0032

The following exclusion took place from this point.

Counts 120-125 excluded the Country Alliance’s Kevin Archibald whose 1884 ticket votes had next preference for the Sex Party.

Counts 126-131 excluded Group A Independent Joanne Stuart whose 1774 ticket preferences flowed to Group C Independent Stephen Mayne.

Counts 132-137 excluded Australian Christian candidate Vickie Janson whose 3081 ticket votes had next preference for the DLP.

Counts 138-143 excluded Group C Independent Stephen Mayne, whose 2046 tickets had next preference for the Sex Party, while 1774 Group A ticket votes had next preference for the Greens.

At the end of Count 143 the totals were as follows, including changes in total vote by party since Count 119.

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After Count 143

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ondarchie, Craig (Elected 5) LIB +277 41297 10.48 0.6288 Murphy, Nathan ALP +323 33804 8.58 0.5147 Patten, Fiona ASXP +4383 18996 4.82 0.2893 Kavanagh, John DLP +3270 13913 3.53 0.2119 Bhathal, Alexandra GRN +2701 12705 3.22 0.1935 Conlon, Andrew FFP +631 9757 2.48 0.1486 Mayne, Stephen IND -4034 0 0.00 0.0000 Janson, Vickie ACP -3569 0 0.91 0.0543 Stuart, Joanne IND -2369 0 0.60 0.0361 Archibald, Kevin CA -2130 0 0.54 0.0324 (Exhausted) +520 742 0.18 0.0107

Counts 144-149 excluded Family First’s Andrew Conlon, with the party’s 8577 ticket votes having next preference for DLP, putting the DLP’s John Kavanagh ahead of the Sex Party’s Fiona Patten for the first time. After Count 149

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ondarchie, Craig LIB +186 41483 10.53 0.6317 * Murphy, Nathan ALP +37 33841 8.59 0.5153 Kavanagh, John DLP +8730 22643 5.75 0.3448 Patten, Fiona ASXP +126 19122 4.85 0.2912 Bhathal, Alexandra GRN +123 12828 3.26 0.1953 Conlon, Andrew FFP -9757 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +561 1303 0.31 0.0188

Counts 150-155 excluded the Greens. The 6582 Green ticket votes now had next preference for the Sex Party, while 1774 Group A ticket votes had next preference for the DLP. Many below the line votes flowed to Labor at this point with the exclusion of the final Green candidate. After Count 155

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ondarchie, Craig LIB +195 41678 10.58 0.6346 * Murphy, Nathan ALP +1248 35089 8.91 0.5343 Patten, Fiona ASXP +7810 26932 6.83 0.4101 Kavanagh, John DLP +1948 24591 6.24 0.3744 Bhathal, Alexandra GRN -12828 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +1641 2944 0.71 0.0424

Counts 156-161 now excluded the DLP. At this point the DLP total included 9668 DLP ticket votes, 3081 Australian Christian ticket votes and 8577 Family First ticket votes, all with next preference for the Liberal Party. There were also 1774 Group A ticket votes with next preference for the Sex Party’s Fiona Patten. The table below shows the new totals, with a strong flow of preferences to the Liberal Party’s Craig Ondarchie, and a smaller number flowing to the Sex Party’s Fiona Patten. After Count 161

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ondarchie, Craig LIB +21579 63257 16.05 0.9632 * Murphy, Nathan ALP +254 35343 8.97 0.5382 Patten, Fiona ASXP +1914 28846 7.32 0.4392 Kavanagh, John DLP -24591 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +853 3797 0.91 0.0547

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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 47

Count 162 now excluded the first preference votes for Fiona Patten, which included 12569 Sex Party ticket votes with next preference for Labor’s Nathan Murphy. Three hundred below the line preferences flowing to the Liberal Party’s Ondarchie, and another 562 below the line votes exhausted their preferences at this point. Even though Ondarchie was short of a quota at this point, he had more votes than the Labor and Sex Parties combined, which meant it was impossible for Ondarchie to be passed at this point of the count. After Count 162

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ondarchie, Craig LIB +300 63557 16.13 0.9678 Murphy, Nathan ALP +13301 48644 12.35 0.7407 Patten, Fiona ASXP -14163 14683 3.73 0.2236 (Exhausted) +562 4359 1.11 0.0664

Count 163 now distributed all full value preferences received by Patten during the count. This included 1774 Group A ticket votes and 1884 Country Alliance ticket votes with next preference for Labor’s Nathan Murphy, and 2046 Group C ticket votes with next preference for the Liberal Party’s Craig Ondarchie. This was enough to elect Craig Ondarchie (LIB Elected 5), defeating Labor’s Nathan Murphy and representing a Liberal gain from Labor. Reduced transfer value votes, including the residual Green ticket votes, remained undistributed with Patten at the end of the count as shown below. After Count 163

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ondarchie, Craig (Elected 5) LIB +2297 65854 16.71 1.0028 Murphy, Nathan ALP +4596 53240 13.51 0.8107 Patten, Fiona ASXP -7783 6900 1.75 0.1051 (Exhausted) +890 5249 1.33 0.0799

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NORTHERN VICTORIA REGION

Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A Country Alliance 26 646 6.84 0.4103 92.1 Ticket Votes CA 24 546 6.30 0.3779 Threlfall, Steven CA 1 950 0.50 0.0300 Gaylard, Frank CA 150 0.04 0.0023 B Christian Party 2 553 0.66 0.0393 82.8 Ticket Votes ACP 2 114 0.54 0.0326 McDonald, Ewan ACP 349 0.09 0.0054 Flanagan, Steve ACP 90 0.02 0.0014 C Family First 11 444 2.94 0.1762 94.1 Ticket Votes FFP 10 773 2.76 0.1659 Wintle, Laurie FFP 504 0.13 0.0078 Hunter, Neville FFP 167 0.04 0.0026 D Greens 31 199 8.01 0.4804 89.4 Ticket Votes GRN 27 893 7.16 0.4295 Jones, David GRN 2 249 0.58 0.0346 Robinson, Helen GRN 368 0.09 0.0057 Paas, Hans GRN 187 0.05 0.0029 Toll, Kate GRN 304 0.08 0.0047 Robertson, Ben GRN 198 0.05 0.0030 E Liberal/National 190 894 48.99 2.9393 97.7 Ticket Votes L/NP 186 582 47.88 2.8729 * Lovell, Wendy (Re-elected 1) LIB 2 205 0.57 0.0340 * Drum, Damian (Re-elected 3) NAT 1 175 0.30 0.0181 * Petrovich, Donna (Re-elected 5) LIB 371 0.10 0.0057 Mather, Reid NAT 235 0.06 0.0036 Ireland, Martin LIB 326 0.08 0.0050 F Labor Party 105 765 27.14 1.6285 97.8 Ticket Votes ALP 103 490 26.56 1.5935 * Broad, Candy (Re-elected 2) ALP 1 349 0.35 0.0208 * Darveniza, Kaye (Re-elected 4) ALP 361 0.09 0.0056 Byron, Jamie ALP 207 0.05 0.0032 Rosaia, Shaun ALP 212 0.05 0.0033 Sheridan, Anthony ALP 146 0.04 0.0022 G Sex Party 14 880 3.82 0.2291 95.3 Ticket Votes ASXP 14 174 3.64 0.2182 Chellew, Tristram ASXP 567 0.15 0.0087 Arfaras, Justine ASXP 139 0.04 0.0021 H Democratic Labor Party 6 292 1.61 0.0969 93.5 Ticket Votes DLP 5 885 1.51 0.0906 Royal, Mark DLP 319 0.08 0.0049 Carty, John DLP 88 0.02 0.0014 Formal 389 673 96.4 Informal 11 220 2.80 Total Votes 400 893 93.40 Roll 429 217 Quota 64 946

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The first preference tallies re-elected three members, Wendy Lovell (LIB Elected 1), Candy Broad (ALP Elected 2) and Damian Drum (NAT Elected 3). The third Liberal candidate Donna Petrovich was very close to a third quota and the second Labor candidate was also well placed for election, but minor party preferences heavily favoured the Country Alliance, meaning the race for the final seat remained in doubt as the exclusion of candidates began. By Count 72 only eight candidates remained in the count, one representing each group on the ballot paper. The totals and the change in party totals since Count 1 are shown in the table below. After Count 72

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Petrovich, Donna LIB -575 60427 15.51 0.9304 * Darveniza, Kaye ALP -119 40700 10.44 0.6267 Jones, David GRN -156 31043 7.97 0.4780 Threlfall, Steven CA +272 26918 6.91 0.4145 Chellew, Tristram ASXP +148 15028 3.86 0.2314 Wintle, Laurie FFP +69 11513 2.95 0.1773 Royal, Mark DLP +88 6380 1.64 0.0982 McDonald, Ewan ACP +50 2603 0.67 0.0401 (Exhausted) +111 111 0.03 0.0016

Counts 73-77 excluded the final Australian Christian candidate Ewan McDonald, whose 2114 ticket votes had next preference for the DLP’s Mark Royal. After Count 77

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Petrovich, Donna LIB +57 60484 15.52 0.9313 * Darveniza, Kaye ALP +8 40708 10.45 0.6268 Jones, David GRN +32 31075 7.97 0.4785 Threlfall, Steven CA +68 26986 6.93 0.4155 Chellew, Tristram ASXP +8 15036 3.86 0.2315 Wintle, Laurie FFP +257 11770 3.02 0.1812 Royal, Mark DLP +2145 8525 2.19 0.1313 McDonald, Ewan ACP -2603 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +27 138 0.03 0.0020

Counts 78-82 excluded the DLP’s Mark Royal. The DLP’s 5885 ticket votes had next preference for the Country Alliance’s Steven Thelfall, while 2114 Australian Christian ticket votes had next preference for Family First’s Laurie Wintle. After Count 82

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Petrovich, Donna LIB +112 60596 15.55 0.9330 * Darveniza, Kaye ALP +57 40765 10.46 0.6277 Threlfall, Steven CA +5966 32952 8.46 0.5074 Jones, David GRN +32 31107 7.98 0.4790 Chellew, Tristram ASXP +44 15080 3.87 0.2322 Wintle, Laurie FFP +2234 14004 3.59 0.2156 Royal, Mark DLP -8525 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +83 221 0.05 0.0032

Counts 83-87 now excluded Family First’s Laurie Wintle. His tally included 10773 Family First ticket votes with next preference for the Country Alliance’s Steven Threlfall, and 2114 Australian Christian ticket votes with next preference for the Liberal Party’s Donna Petrovich.

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After Count 87

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Petrovich, Donna LIB +2413 63009 16.17 0.9702 Threlfall, Steven CA +11194 44146 11.33 0.6797 * Darveniza, Kaye ALP +67 40832 10.48 0.6287 Jones, David GRN +67 31174 8.00 0.4800 Chellew, Tristram ASXP +41 15121 3.88 0.2328 Wintle, Laurie FFP -14004 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +230 451 0.11 0.0065

The exclusion of Tristram Chellew of the Australian Sex Party at Counts 88-92 delivered 14174 Sex Party ticket votes to the Country Alliance’s Steven Threlfall, putting him above 0.90 quotas and competing with the remaining Labor and Liberal candidates for the final two seats. After Count 92

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Petrovich, Donna LIB +128 63137 16.20 0.9721 Threlfall, Steven CA +14382 58528 15.02 0.9012 * Darveniza, Kaye ALP +145 40977 10.52 0.6309 Jones, David GRN +283 31457 8.07 0.4844 Chellew, Tristram ASXP -15121 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +190 641 0.15 0.0092

The exclusion of the Green’s David Jones at Count 93 saw 27893 Green ticket votes flow by next preference to Labor’s Kaye Darveniza, putting her over the quota (ALP Elected 4). Jones’s 2249 below the line first preferences were also distributed at Count 93, most also flowing to Labor. Counts 94-97 distributed 1218 votes that had been received by Jones as preferences. As Darveniza had been elected at Count 93, these further preferences either exhausted or flowed to Petrovich or Threlfall. The totals at the end of Count 97 shown below have Labor’s 5132 vote surplus waiting to be distributed. This was not enough votes to put either remaining candidate over the quota, but would determine whether Petrovich or Threlfall won the last seat. After Count 97

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Darveniza, Kaye (Elected 4) ALP +29101 70078 17.98 1.0790 * Petrovich, Donna LIB +500 63637 16.33 0.9798 Threlfall, Steven CA +541 59069 15.16 0.9095 Jones, David GRN -31457 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +1326 1967 0.47 0.0283

Count 98 now distributed the Labor surplus, which included 3935 Labor ticket votes with next preference for the Country Alliance, and 1060 Green ticket votes with next preference for the Liberals. Once all votes had been distributed, neither remaining candidate reached the quota due to ballot papers with exhausted preferences. Donna Petrovich (LIB Elected 5) was declared elected with the highest remaining vote, narrowly winning the final seat. After Count 98

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Darveniza, Kaye (Elected 4) ALP -5132 64946 16.67 1.0000 * Petrovich, Donna (Elected 5) LIB +1093 64730 16.61 0.9967 Threlfall, Steven CA +3972 63041 16.18 0.9707 (Exhausted) +66 2033 0.49 0.0293

Note that had the Australian Christian’s 2114 ticket votes flowed to Threlfall rather than Petrovich at Count 84, then Threlfall would have won the final seat.

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SOUTH EASTERN METROPOLITAN REGION

Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A Liberal Party 162 517 40.94 2.4565 97.4 Ticket Votes LIB 158 323 39.89 2.3931 * Rich-Phillips, Gordon (Re-elected 2) LIB 2 667 0.67 0.0403 * Peulich, Inga (Re-elected 4) LIB 572 0.14 0.0086 Liu, Gladys LIB 278 0.07 0.0042 Ashokkumar, Ashton LIB 334 0.08 0.0050 Cincotta, Tim LIB 343 0.09 0.0052 B Labor Party 172 306 43.41 2.6045 98.0 Ticket Votes ALP 168 903 42.55 2.5531 * Jennings, Gavin (Re-elected 1) ALP 1 763 0.44 0.0266 * Somyurek, Adem (Re-elected 3) ALP 500 0.13 0.0076 * Tarlamis, Lee (Elected 5) ALP 453 0.11 0.0068 Liu, Kelly ALP 205 0.05 0.0031 Kaylock, Janet ALP 482 0.12 0.0073 C Democratic Labor Party 10 292 2.59 0.1556 89.8 Ticket Votes DLP 9 242 2.33 0.1397 Gonsalvez, Geraldine DLP 623 0.16 0.0094 Dodd, Catherine DLP 153 0.04 0.0023 Chlipala, Agnieszka DLP 108 0.03 0.0016 Cattell, Genevieve DLP 76 0.02 0.0011 O'Loghlen, Helen DLP 90 0.02 0.0014 D Christian Party 4 510 1.14 0.0682 91.0 Ticket Votes ACP 4 105 1.03 0.0620 Hill, Vivian ACP 335 0.08 0.0051 Voigt, Wolf ACP 70 0.02 0.0011 E Family First 12 560 3.16 0.1899 94.8 Ticket Votes FFP 11 908 3.00 0.1800 Hemmersbach, Felicity FFP 556 0.14 0.0084 Pleiter, Jadah FFP 96 0.02 0.0015 F Greens 34 754 8.76 0.5253 92.0 Ticket Votes GRN 31 988 8.06 0.4835 Long, Colin GRN 1 782 0.45 0.0269 Kelly, Dee-Ann GRN 371 0.09 0.0056 Carman, Chris GRN 151 0.04 0.0023 McIver, Linda GRN 294 0.07 0.0044 Tymms, Daniela GRN 168 0.04 0.0025 Formal 396 939 96.9 Informal 14 758 3.58 Total Votes 411 697 92.74 Roll 443 920 Quota 66 157 Four members were re-elected following the initial count of first preferences. In order these were Gavin Jennings (ALP Elected 1), Gordon Rich-Phillips (LIB Elected 2), Adem Somyurek (ALP Elected 3) and Inga Peulich (LIB Elected 4). By Count 86 only one candidate remained from each of the six groups on the ballot paper. The table below shows the progressive totals at this point and the change in party totals since Count 1.

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After Count 86

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Tarlamis, Lee ALP -320 39672 9.99 0.5997 Long, Colin GRN -32 34722 8.75 0.5248 Liu, Gladys LIB -498 29705 7.48 0.4490 Hemmersbach, Felicity FFP +222 12782 3.22 0.1932 Gonsalvez, Geraldine DLP +132 10424 2.63 0.1576 Hill, Vivian ACP +168 4678 1.18 0.0707 (Exhausted) +215 215 0.05 0.0031

Counts 87-92 excluded the Australian Christian’s candidate Vivian Hill, the party’s 4105 ticket votes putting the DLP’s Geraldine Gonsalvez ahead of Family First’s Felicity Hemmersbach. After Count 92

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Tarlamis, Lee ALP +27 39699 10.00 0.6001 Long, Colin GRN +31 34753 8.76 0.5253 Liu, Gladys LIB +43 29748 7.49 0.4497 Gonsalvez, Geraldine DLP +4176 14600 3.68 0.2207 Hemmersbach, Felicity FFP +328 13110 3.30 0.1982 Hill, Vivian ACP -4678 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +77 292 0.07 0.0042

Counts 93-98 now excluded Family First’s Felicity Hemmersbach, sending another 11908 ticket votes the way of the DLP’s Geraldine Gonsalvez, but leaving her in fourth place. After Count 98

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Tarlamis, Lee ALP +103 39802 10.03 0.6016 Long, Colin GRN +102 34855 8.78 0.5269 Liu, Gladys LIB +321 30069 7.58 0.4545 Gonsalvez, Geraldine DLP +12200 26800 6.75 0.4051 Hemmersbach, Felicity FFP -13110 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +396 688 0.17 0.0099

Counts 99-104 now excluded the DLP’s Geraldine Gonsalvez. Her total included the 4105 Australian Christian ticket votes, 11908 Family First ticket votes, and 9242 DLP ticket votes, all with next preferences for the Liberal Party’s Gladys Liu. This distribution pushed the Liberal Party from third to first place at the end of Count 104, the Greens slipping to third place. After Count 104

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Liu, Gladys LIB +25527 55596 14.01 0.8404 Tarlamis, Lee ALP +203 40005 10.08 0.6047 Long, Colin GRN +239 35094 8.84 0.5305 Gonsalvez, Geraldine DLP -26800 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +845 1533 0.37 0.0221

Count 105 now excluded the first preference votes for the Green’s Colin Long, including 31988 with next preference for Labor’s Lee Tarlamis and putting him over the quota (ALP Elected 5), elected in place of Labor’s Bob Smith who contested Western Metropolitan Region. After Count 105

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Tarlamis, Lee (Elected 5) ALP +32968 72973 18.38 1.1030 Liu, Gladys LIB +248 55844 14.07 0.8441 Long, Colin GRN -33770 1324 0.33 0.0200 (Exhausted) +554 2087 0.50 0.0301

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SOUTHERN METROPOLITAN REGION Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A Sex Party 12 364 3.24 0.1945 83.2 Ticket Votes ASXP 10 287 2.70 0.1618 Hill, Ken ASXP 1 745 0.46 0.0275 Payne, Danyel ASXP 332 0.09 0.0052 B Democratic Labor Party 6 849 1.80 0.1078 88.9 Ticket Votes DLP 6 089 1.60 0.0958 Murphy, Michael DLP 671 0.18 0.0106 Prendergast, Brendan DLP 89 0.02 0.0014 C Family First 3 620 0.95 0.0570 87.9 Ticket Votes FFP 3 183 0.83 0.0501 Truter, Ashley FFP 371 0.10 0.0058 Khoo, Joyce FFP 66 0.02 0.0010 D Christian Party 1 726 0.45 0.0272 85.5 Ticket Votes ACP 1 476 0.39 0.0232 Rogerson, Mansel ACP 221 0.06 0.0035 Levick, Ray ACP 29 0.01 0.0005 E Group E 1 229 0.32 0.0193 69.5 Ticket Votes IND 854 0.22 0.0134 Hughes, Vern IND 269 0.07 0.0042 Gallagher, Suzette IND 106 0.03 0.0017 F Greens 62 285 16.33 0.9799 87.1 Ticket Votes GRN 54 245 14.22 0.8534 * Pennicuik, Sue (Re-elected 5) GRN 6 369 1.67 0.1002 Pilling, Neil GRN 371 0.10 0.0058 Pilcher, Clare GRN 620 0.16 0.0098 McPhate, Bruce GRN 212 0.06 0.0033 Benson, Des GRN 468 0.12 0.0074 G Liberal Party 196 676 51.57 3.0942 97.4 Ticket Votes LIB 191 532 50.22 3.0133 * Davis, David (Re-elected 1) LIB 3 231 0.85 0.0508 * Coote, Andrea (Re-elected 3) LIB 694 0.18 0.0109 Crozier, George (Elected 4) LIB 414 0.11 0.0065 Hume, Jane LIB 339 0.09 0.0053 Held, Adam LIB 466 0.12 0.0073 H Labor Party 96 404 25.28 1.5167 96.2 Ticket Votes ALP 92 698 24.31 1.4584 * Lenders, John (Re-elected 1) ALP 2 530 0.66 0.0398 * Huppert, Jennifer (Defeated) ALP 610 0.16 0.0096 Edwards, Zoe ALP 188 0.05 0.0030 Salina, Pabb ALP 175 0.05 0.0028 Suss, Michael ALP 203 0.05 0.0032 UNG Cockburn, Mike 216 0.06 0.0034 0.0 Formal 381 369 94.5 Informal 10 071 2.57 Total Votes 391 440 91.67 Roll 427 013 Quota 63 562

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Four members were elected from the initial tally and distribution of surplus to quota first preferences. These were David Davis (LIB Elected 1), John Lenders (ALP Elected 2), Andrea Coote (LIB Elected 3) and George Crozier (LIB Elected 4). Crozier’s election represented a seat gained by the Liberal Party, with counting to confirm the gain was at the expense of Labor’s Jennifer Huppert. At this point sitting Green MLC Sue Pennicuik was only just short of a quota, but many candidates and groups needed to be excluded before preferences eventually elected Pennicuik to the final seat. By the end of Count 84, the ungrouped candidate had been excluded, and only one candidate remained from each of the eight groups on the ballot paper. The totals and change in party totals since Count 1 are shown below. After Count 84

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Pennicuik, Sue GRN -12 62273 16.33 0.9797 * Huppert, Jennifer ALP -99 32743 8.59 0.5151 Hill, Ken ASXP +136 12500 3.28 0.1967 Murphy, Michael DLP +93 6942 1.82 0.1092 Hume, Jane LIB -363 5627 1.48 0.0885 Truter, Ashley FFP +66 3686 0.97 0.0580 Rogerson, Mansel ACP +65 1791 0.47 0.0282 Hughes, Vern +118 1347 0.35 0.0212 Cockburn, Mike -216 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +106 106 0.03 0.0015

The exclusion of Group E Independent Vern Hughes at Counts 85-90 saw 854 ticket votes flow to the Sex Party’s Ken Hill.. After Count 90

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Pennicuik, Sue GRN +113 62386 16.36 0.9815 * Huppert, Jennifer ALP +57 32800 8.60 0.5160 Hill, Ken ASXP +931 13431 3.52 0.2113 Murphy, Michael DLP +38 6980 1.83 0.1098 Hume, Jane LIB +53 5680 1.49 0.0894 Truter, Ashley FFP +45 3731 0.98 0.0587 Rogerson, Mansel ACP +39 1830 0.48 0.0288 Hughes, Vern -1347 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +71 177 0.04 0.0026

Counts 91-96 excluded the Australian Christian’s Mansel Rogerson, with 1476 ticket preferences flowed to the DLP’s Michael Murphy. After Count 96

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Pennicuik, Sue GRN +28 62414 16.37 0.9819 * Huppert, Jennifer ALP +21 32821 8.61 0.5164 Hill, Ken ASXP +20 13451 3.53 0.2116 Murphy, Michael DLP +1514 8494 2.23 0.1336 Hume, Jane LIB +30 5710 1.50 0.0898 Truter, Ashley FFP +171 3902 1.02 0.0614 Rogerson, Mansel ACP -1830 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +46 223 0.05 0.0032

Counts 97-102 excluded Family First’s Ashley Truter, and resulted in 3183 ticket votes also flowing to the DLP.

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After Count 102

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Pennicuik, Sue GRN +55 62469 16.38 0.9828 * Huppert, Jennifer ALP +29 32850 8.61 0.5168 Hill, Ken ASXP +49 13500 3.54 0.2124 Murphy, Michael DLP +3368 11862 3.11 0.1866 Hume, Jane LIB +192 5902 1.55 0.0929 Truter, Ashley FFP -3902 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +213 436 0.10 0.0063

The fourth and only remaining Liberal candidate Jane Hume was excluded at Counts 103-108. The Liberal 4520 ticket votes had preferences for the DLP, pushing Michael Murphy ahead of the Sex Party’s Ken Hill. After Count 108

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Pennicuik, Sue GRN +167 62636 16.42 0.9854 * Huppert, Jennifer ALP +157 33007 8.65 0.5193 Murphy, Michael DLP +4723 16585 4.35 0.2609 Hill, Ken ASXP +208 13708 3.59 0.2157 Hume, Jane LIB -5902 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +651 1087 0.26 0.0157

Count 109 excluded the first preference votes of the Sex Party’s Ken Hill, and his 10287 ticket votes now produced a strong flow of preferences to the Greens electing Sue Pennicuik to the final seat (GRN Elected 5). The balance of Sex Party votes remained undistributed at the end of the count. After Count 109

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Pennicuik, Sue (Elected 5) GRN +11165 73801 19.35 1.1611 * Huppert, Jennifer (Defeated) ALP +275 33282 8.73 0.5236 Murphy, Michael DLP +317 16902 4.43 0.2659 Hill, Ken ASXP -12032 1676 0.44 0.0264 (Exhausted) +275 1362 0.33 0.0196

Labor’s Jennifer Huppert was defeated, the Liberal Party gaining a seat in the region at Labor’s expense. Huppert had been appointed to her seat at a joint sitting in February 2009 following the resignation of Labor’s Evan Thornley.

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56 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

WESTERN METROPOLITAN REGION

Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A Sex Party 20 008 4.73 0.2840 90.4 Ticket Votes ASXP 18 094 4.28 0.2568 Murray, Joel ASXP 1 378 0.33 0.0196 Davis, Merinda ASXP 536 0.13 0.0076 B Labor Party 198 100 46.86 2.8118 97.3 Ticket Votes ALP 192 803 45.61 2.7367 * Pakula. Martin (Re-elected 1) ALP 2 686 0.64 0.0381 * Eideh, Khalil (Re-elected 3) ALP 679 0.16 0.0096 * Smith, Bob (Defeated) ALP 557 0.13 0.0079 Rees, Llewellyn ALP 723 0.17 0.0103 Spinner, Claudine ALP 652 0.15 0.0093 C Family First 15 282 3.62 0.2169 94.9 Ticket Votes FFP 14 505 3.43 0.2059 Mumby, Daniel FFP 635 0.15 0.0090 Garay, Lisa FFP 142 0.03 0.0020 D Democratic Labor Party 13 336 3.15 0.1893 90.8 Ticket Votes DLP 12 108 2.86 0.1719 Farrell, Mark DLP 631 0.15 0.0090 Mazzarella, Stephanie DLP 274 0.06 0.0039 Byrne, Georga DLP 121 0.03 0.0017 Notaro, Samuel DLP 89 0.02 0.0013 Kavanagh, Marguerita DLP 113 0.03 0.0016 E Greens 50 715 12.00 0.7199 90.4 Ticket Votes GRN 45 848 10.85 0.6508 * Hartland, Colleen (Re-elected 5) GRN 3 439 0.81 0.0488 Humphreys, Robert Allan GRN 429 0.10 0.0061 Ingham, Liz GRN 595 0.14 0.0084 Crawford, Simon GRN 199 0.05 0.0028 Gale, Owen GRN 205 0.05 0.0029 F Liberal Party 125 267 29.63 1.7780 97.1 Ticket Votes LIB 121 649 28.78 1.7267 * Finn, Bernie (Re-elected 2) LIB 2 051 0.49 0.0291 Elsbury, Andrew (Elected 4) LIB 386 0.09 0.0055 Fairbairn, Victoria LIB 603 0.14 0.0086 Barth, Jeremy LIB 269 0.06 0.0038 Kenny, William LIB 309 0.07 0.0044 Formal 422 708 95.8 Informal 20 549 4.64 Total Votes 443 257 92.30 Roll 480 219 Quota 70 452 On the initial count and distribution of surplus to quota votes, three candidates were declared re-elected, Martin Pakula (ALP Elected 1), Bernie Finn (LIB Elected 2) and Khalil Eideh (ALP Elected 3). Labor’s ticket had changed compared to the 2006 election, with Justin Madden successfully contested the lower house seat of Essendon, while the third Labor candidate Bob Smith was a sitting MLC for South Eastern Metropolitan Region.

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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 57

By Count 78 only six candidates remained, one candidate each from the six groups on the ballot paper. The table below shows the totals at Count 78 and the change in party totals vote since Count 1. Three candidates remain in the race for the final two seat. After Count 78

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Smith, Bob ALP -769 56427 13.35 0.8009 Elsbury, Andrew LIB -325 54490 12.89 0.7734 * Hartland, Colleen GRN +155 50870 12.03 0.7221 Murray, Joel ASXP +84 20092 4.75 0.2852 Mumby, Daniel FFP +390 15672 3.71 0.2224 Farrell, Mark DLP -48 13288 3.14 0.1886 (Exhausted) +422 422 0.10 0.0061

Counts 79-83 excluded the DLP’s Mark Farrell. His total included 12108 ticket votes with next preference for Family First’s Daniel Mumby, putting him ahead of the Sex Party’s Joel Murray. After Count 83

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Smith, Bob ALP +66 56493 13.36 0.8019 Elsbury, Andrew LIB +78 54568 12.91 0.7745 * Hartland, Colleen GRN +126 50996 12.06 0.7238 Mumby, Daniel FFP +12280 27952 6.61 0.3968 Murray, Joel ASXP +68 20160 4.77 0.2862 Farrell, Mark DLP -13288 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +675 1097 0.26 0.0158

Counts 84-88 excluded and distributed the preference of the Sex Party’s Joel Murray. His total included 18094 ticket votes with next preference for Green MLC Colleen Hartland. At this point Hartland remained just short of a quota. After Count 88

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

* Hartland, Colleen GRN +18760 69756 16.50 0.9901 * Smith, Bob ALP +459 56952 13.47 0.8084 Elsbury, Andrew LIB +233 54801 12.96 0.7778 Mumby, Daniel FFP +425 28377 6.71 0.4028 Murray, Joel ASXP -20160 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +287 1384 0.33 0.0199

Count 89 began the exclusion of Family First’s Daniel Mumbey, the distribution including 14505 ticket votes with next preference for Liberal Andrew Elsbury. This left Elsbury on 69554 votes, 898 votes short of the quota. Count 90 then distributed all full value preferences received by Mumby, including 12108 DLP ticket votes with next preference for Elsbury. At the end of Count 90, Andrew Elsbury had passed the quota (LIB Elected 4). Counts 91-93 then distributed Mumby’s remaining 214 votes, consisting of reduced transfer value ballot papers with first preference for one of the three candidates already elected. With Elsbury already elected, these votes were distributed between Labor’s Bob Smith and the Green’s Colleen Hartland with 87 exhausting. The totals at the end of Count 93 stood at - After Count 93

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Elsbury, Andrew (Elected 4) LIB +27007 81808 19.35 1.1612 * Hartland, Colleen GRN +549 70305 16.63 0.9979 * Smith, Bob ALP +227 57179 13.53 0.8116 Mumby, Daniel FFP -28377 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +607 1991 0.48 0.0287

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58 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

Count 94 now distributed the Liberal surplus. These votes included 9082 Liberal, 903 DLP and 1082 Family First ticket votes, all with next preference for Labor over the Greens. However, the preference flows were not enough to allow Smith to pass Hartland. The number of votes that had exhausted through the count meant that Hartland (GRN Elected 5) was declared elected with less than a quota of votes. After Count 94

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Elsbury, Andrew (Elected 4) LIB -11356 70452 16.67 1.0000 * Hartland, Colleen (Elected 5) GRN +44 70349 16.64 0.9985 * Smith, Bob (Defeated) ALP +11135 68314 16.16 0.9697

(Exhausted) +176 2167 0.52 0.0312

The result represented a gain for the Liberal Party’s Andrew Elsbury at the expense of the Labor Party’s Bob Smith. Note that Smith was a sitting MLC for South Eastern Metropolitan Region, while sitting Western Metropolitan Region MLC Justin Madden was elected to the Legislative Assembly for Essendon at the 2010 election.

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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 59

WESTERN VICTORIA REGION

Group Candidate Party Vote % Vote Quotas % Ticket A Liberal/National 184 446 43.34 2.6003 97.8 Ticket Votes L/NP 180 336 42.37 2.5423 * Koch, David (Re-elected 1) LIB 2 815 0.66 0.0397 * Ramsay, Simon (Re-elected 3) LIB 330 0.08 0.0047 O'Brien, David (Elected 5) NAT 412 0.10 0.0058 Dow, Melanie LIB 334 0.08 0.0047 Cameron, Ruby NAT 219 0.05 0.0031 B Family First 14 165 3.33 0.1997 93.9 Ticket Votes FFP 13 308 3.13 0.1876 Reimer, Joshua FFP 550 0.13 0.0078 Presser, Graeme FFP 103 0.02 0.0015 Pearce, Trevor FFP 83 0.02 0.0012 Concepcion, Jahzeel FFP 57 0.01 0.0008 Rainey, Jim FFP 64 0.02 0.0009 C Labor Party 162 807 38.25 2.2952 98.3 Ticket Votes ALP 160 084 37.61 2.2568 * Pulford, Jaala (Re-elected 1) ALP 1 610 0.38 0.0227 * Tierney, Gayle (Re-elected 4) ALP 538 0.13 0.0076 Morrow, Richard ALP 302 0.07 0.0043 Dawson, Geoff ALP 148 0.03 0.0021 Romas, Paul ALP 125 0.03 0.0018 D Democratic Labor Party 9 252 2.17 0.1304 91.3 Ticket Votes DLP 8 446 1.98 0.1191 * Kavanagh, Peter (Defeated) DLP 644 0.15 0.0091 Campbell, Steve DLP 52 0.01 0.0007 Byrne, Jane DLP 38 0.01 0.0005 Mazzarella, Maria DLP 24 0.01 0.0003 Crockett, Max DLP 48 0.01 0.0007 E Greens 43 525 10.23 0.6136 92.2 Ticket Votes GRN 40 128 9.43 0.5657 Ward, Marcus GRN 2 168 0.51 0.0306 Cameron, Judy GRN 240 0.06 0.0034 Blakkarly, Jamal GRN 384 0.09 0.0054 Perron, Susan GRN 312 0.07 0.0044 Christie, Jean GRN 293 0.07 0.0041 F Country Alliance 11 399 2.68 0.1607 93.4 Ticket Votes CA 10 643 2.50 0.1500 Hodge, Miles CA 632 0.15 0.0089 Heath, Ron CA 124 0.03 0.0017 Formal 425 594 97.0 Informal 12 882 2.94 Total Votes 438 476 93.99 Roll 466 529 Quota 70 933

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Four members were elected on the initial tally of first preferences and distribution of surplus to quota preferences. In order these were David Koch (LIB Elected 1), Jaala Pulford (ALP Elected 2), Simon Ramsay (LIB Elected 3) and Gayle Tierney (ALP Elected 4). By the end of Count 104, only one candidate from each of the six groups on the ballot paper remained. The lowest polling of these candidates was sitting DLP member Peter Kavanagh. The table below shows the totals at the end of Count 104, and change in party totals since Count 1. After Count 104

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ward, Marcus GRN -154 43371 10.19 0.6114 O'Brien, David NAT -549 42031 9.88 0.5925 Morrow, Richard ALP -90 20851 4.90 0.2940 Reimer, Joshua FFP +35 14200 3.34 0.2002 Hodge, Miles CA +223 11622 2.73 0.1638 * Kavanagh, Peter DLP +100 9352 2.20 0.1318 (Exhausted) +332 332 0.08 0.0048

Counts 105-110 excluded the DLP’s Peter Kavanagh, and his 8446 ticket votes had next preferences for the Country Alliance’s Miles Hodge, putting him ahead of Family First’s Joshua Reimer. After Count 110

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ward, Marcus GRN +92 43463 10.21 0.6127 O'Brien, David NAT +166 42197 9.91 0.5949 Morrow, Richard ALP +72 20923 4.92 0.2950 Hodge, Miles CA +8557 20179 4.74 0.2845 Reimer, Joshua FFP +168 14368 3.38 0.2026 * Kavanagh, Peter (Defeated) DLP -9352 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +297 629 0.15 0.0091

Having been passed at the last exclusion, counts 111-116 now excluded Family First’s Joshua Reimer. His 13308 ticket votes also had next preference for the Country Alliance’s Miles Hodge, pushing him into third place ahead of the remaining Labor candidate. After Count 116

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ward, Marcus GRN +103 43566 10.24 0.6142 O'Brien, David NAT +310 42507 9.99 0.5993 Hodge, Miles CA +13538 33717 7.92 0.4753 Morrow, Richard ALP +71 20994 4.93 0.2960 Reimer, Joshua FFP -14368 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +350 979 0.24 0.0141

Counts 117-122 now excluded the third Labor candidate Richard Morrow. His 19897 ticket votes had next preference for the Green’s Marcus Ward. In 2006 Labor had put the DLP ahead of the Greens on its tickets, allowing the DLP to win the last seat at the expense of the Greens. In 2010 Labor and the Greens did not poll well enough to allow Ward to win the final seat for the Greens. Had Labor’s ticket given preferences to the Country Alliance’s Miles Hodge at this point, Hodge would have passed the National candidate and been elected on Coalition preferences.

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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 61

After Count 122

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

Ward, Marcus GRN +20173 63739 14.98 0.8986 O'Brien, David NAT +113 42620 10.01 0.6008 Hodge, Miles CA +109 33826 7.95 0.4769 Morrow, Richard ALP -20994 0 0.00 0.0000 (Exhausted) +615 1594 0.38 0.0230

Count 123 excluded the first preference votes of Country Alliance candidate Richard Morrow, including 10643 Country Alliance ticket votes with next preference for the National Party’s David O’Brien. Count 124 then excluded the preferences received from the DLP and Family First. This included 8446 DLP ticket votes and 13308 Family First ticket votes, both with next preference for the National Party’s David O’Brien. This put O’Brien over the quota (NAT Elected 5), leaving a small number of Hodge’s preferences undistributed at the end of the count. After Count 124

Candidate Party Transfers Votes % Vote Quotas

O'Brien, David (Elected 5) NAT +33040 75660 17.78 1.0666 Ward, Marcus GRN +209 63948 15.03 0.9015 Hodge, Miles CA -33661 165 0.04 0.0023 (Exhausted) +412 2006 0.48 0.0289

O’Brien’s victory represented a gain for the National Party at the expense of the Democratic Labor Party’s Peter Kavanagh.

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Comparison of % Party Vote by Electorate in Legislative Assembly and Legislative Council Lib/Nat Labor Greens Family First D.L.P. Country All. Others Informal Electorate LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC

Bayswater 52.9 50.0 30.5 31.8 8.6 10.9 2.9 4.0 1.4 2.6 .. .. 3.8 0.7 4.5 3.0 Box Hill 58.3 53.5 25.6 25.5 14.1 15.9 1.9 2.0 .. 2.5 .. .. .. 0.5 3.2 2.1 Bulleen 59.5 56.4 26.9 27.7 8.6 9.4 3.3 2.5 .. 3.3 .. .. 1.7 0.7 4.8 3.7 Doncaster 62.7 57.1 26.1 26.7 8.0 9.1 3.1 3.1 .. 3.6 .. .. .. 0.5 4.7 3.5 Eltham 44.9 44.5 38.6 34.8 13.3 15.8 1.7 2.2 1.6 2.3 .. .. .. 0.5 4.0 2.5 Ferntree Gully 55.5 51.1 29.7 32.7 7.2 9.2 2.4 3.4 1.4 2.5 .. .. 3.8 1.1 5.2 3.6 Forest Hill 48.6 48.9 38.8 35.2 7.6 9.7 1.9 2.7 1.2 2.8 .. .. 1.9 0.7 3.7 2.8 Kilsyth 52.9 50.1 30.5 32.2 8.0 10.4 3.2 4.2 0.9 2.3 .. .. 4.6 0.8 4.5 3.0 Mitcham 46.6 46.3 34.6 33.4 11.9 14.6 2.2 2.9 1.9 2.3 .. .. 2.9 0.5 3.5 2.3 Scoresby 59.0 55.1 29.6 28.7 8.0 8.9 3.4 3.7 .. 2.7 .. .. .. 1.0 4.4 2.8 Warrandyte 58.5 55.8 26.2 26.0 11.2 12.1 2.9 3.4 .. 2.1 .. .. 1.2 0.5 3.7 2.3

Eastern Metropolitan 54.5 51.7 30.6 30.5 9.7 11.5 2.6 3.1 0.8 2.6 .. .. 1.8 0.7 4.2 2.9

Bass 56.5 52.3 29.2 28.0 10.9 10.5 .. 3.8 .. 2.6 3.5 2.8 .. .. 4.8 3.2 Evelyn 56.8 53.5 29.4 28.3 7.7 8.6 3.4 4.6 .. 2.4 2.7 2.5 .. .. 4.5 3.0 Gembrook (L+N) 50.3 49.6 32.9 30.5 9.6 12.1 2.7 3.0 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.9 1.3 .. 5.8 2.8 Gippsland East (L+N) 59.4 60.2 7.5 22.0 5.2 8.4 .. 3.4 .. 1.6 2.6 4.4 25.3 .. 3.2 2.3 Gippsland South (NAT) 63.8 58.0 18.9 21.6 9.9 9.4 .. 3.3 .. 1.5 7.4 6.2 .. .. 4.4 2.6 Hastings 54.1 51.7 30.6 30.5 7.7 9.5 1.9 3.5 1.0 2.6 1.7 2.2 3.0 .. 5.6 3.4 Monbulk 42.6 42.5 36.1 33.1 15.4 18.1 1.8 2.6 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.9 0.8 .. 4.4 2.8 Mornington 61.4 59.1 25.2 24.6 10.6 11.8 .. 1.8 .. 1.5 1.1 1.2 1.7 .. 3.9 2.7 Morwell (NAT) 56.1 47.7 28.5 34.9 4.8 6.2 .. 3.7 .. 2.3 3.6 5.1 7.0 .. 5.1 3.1 Narracan 56.7 51.8 29.2 30.4 7.8 8.0 .. 3.8 .. 1.7 4.3 4.3 2.0 .. 3.9 2.7 Nepean 59.7 54.3 26.9 28.2 12.1 12.5 .. 2.3 .. 1.7 1.3 1.1 .. .. 4.1 2.9

Eastern Victoria 56.1 52.8 26.8 28.4 9.2 10.4 0.9 3.3 0.3 2.0 2.9 3.1 3.7 .. 4.5 2.9

(NAT) – National candidate in Assembly, (L+N) – Liberal and National candidates in Assembly.

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Liberal/National Labor Greens Family First D.L.P. Country Alliance Others Informal Electorate LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC

Broadmeadows 25.3 22.2 62.3 54.0 7.5 7.9 .. 3.7 2.5 4.1 .. 0.7 2.4 7.4 7.6 7.5 Brunswick 17.0 19.1 36.0 35.3 30.2 34.8 .. 1.4 .. 2.5 .. 0.4 16.7 6.6 5.2 4.5 Bundoora 36.5 35.8 46.1 41.3 10.1 10.5 2.8 2.7 2.2 2.6 .. 0.6 2.4 6.5 5.2 4.3 Ivanhoe 42.0 38.8 35.4 33.3 18.2 17.3 .. 1.5 3.5 2.2 .. 0.4 1.0 6.6 4.5 3.7 Melbourne 28.0 27.1 35.7 31.5 31.9 32.5 .. 1.0 .. 1.7 .. 0.3 4.4 6.0 3.7 2.4 Mill Park 26.6 25.3 60.9 52.4 7.3 7.2 5.3 4.6 .. 3.6 .. 0.6 .. 6.3 6.3 5.1 Northcote 19.4 19.2 44.9 40.7 30.8 31.0 .. 1.1 .. 2.0 .. 0.3 4.8 5.7 4.2 3.9 Preston 26.0 23.9 52.6 47.7 21.4 16.9 .. 2.1 .. 3.1 .. 0.6 .. 5.7 6.3 5.6 Richmond 22.8 23.4 37.3 33.5 28.4 34.1 .. 0.9 .. 1.7 .. 0.3 11.5 6.0 3.6 3.1 Thomastown 24.2 20.3 61.3 56.2 9.4 7.9 5.0 3.8 .. 5.2 .. 0.7 .. 5.9 8.0 8.1 Yan Yean 40.1 38.5 42.9 40.1 10.0 9.9 3.4 3.0 3.5 2.0 .. 0.8 .. 5.7 4.9 3.9

Northern Metropolitan 28.3 27.1 46.3 41.9 18.7 19.2 1.6 2.3 1.1 2.7 .. 0.5 3.9 6.2 5.4 4.7

Benalla (NAT) 63.3 55.2 18.4 20.8 8.3 9.1 .. 2.2 .. 1.3 7.6 7.6 2.4 3.8 4.0 2.5 Benambra 55.9 49.9 22.8 23.0 11.1 10.0 3.4 3.6 .. 1.8 6.8 6.6 .. 5.2 4.2 2.5 Bendigo East (L+N) 41.1 40.6 43.9 39.4 6.3 8.6 1.2 2.0 1.1 1.5 3.5 3.4 3.0 4.4 4.7 2.3 Bendigo West (L+N) 41.7 36.6 39.3 39.3 10.9 12.4 1.8 2.1 1.6 1.6 3.6 3.1 1.0 4.8 5.5 2.7 Macedon 42.3 41.9 40.3 36.9 8.4 10.7 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 3.3 4.7 5.2 3.1 Mildura (NAT) 46.7 56.6 15.2 22.2 1.7 4.4 3.1 4.8 1.5 1.9 .. 5.0 31.9 5.1 5.8 2.9 Murray Valley (NAT) 53.8 54.2 20.7 22.3 4.7 6.1 3.1 3.2 .. 1.9 7.8 7.9 9.8 4.3 5.1 2.9 Rodney (NAT) 62.7 58.5 16.2 18.1 4.1 4.3 5.7 3.8 .. 1.2 11.3 10.1 .. 4.0 4.4 2.7 Seymour (L+N) 39.4 43.6 35.1 32.1 8.9 10.4 1.9 2.5 .. 1.4 4.4 5.3 10.3 4.6 5.1 3.1 Shepparton (NAT) 52.9 44.8 15.8 19.2 4.9 5.7 2.3 2.9 .. 1.7 20.5 21.6 3.6 4.1 5.6 3.2 Swan Hill (NAT) 75.0 63.8 16.3 18.0 4.5 4.2 4.1 3.4 .. 1.7 .. 4.9 .. 4.1 4.7 2.7

Northern Victoria 51.5 49.0 26.7 27.1 6.8 8.0 2.6 2.9 0.6 1.6 6.0 6.8 5.9 4.5 5.0 2.8

(NAT) – National candidate in Assembly, (L+N) – Liberal and National candidates in Assembly.

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Liberal/National Labor Greens Family First D.L.P. Country Alliance Others Informal Electorate LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC

Carrum 46.4 46.1 38.2 37.9 9.5 11.0 2.5 2.2 2.3 2.2 .. .. 1.2 0.6 4.6 3.1 Clayton 30.3 32.1 54.3 51.0 9.5 10.2 2.5 2.8 3.3 2.7 .. .. .. 1.1 5.8 4.4 Cranbourne 39.5 40.1 42.5 43.9 8.3 8.1 3.4 4.0 3.2 2.9 .. .. 3.1 1.1 6.2 3.7 Dandenong 29.3 31.7 50.5 49.7 8.8 7.8 4.5 4.5 6.9 4.6 .. .. .. 1.7 7.4 4.9 Frankston 46.8 47.6 36.4 36.5 8.4 11.0 1.5 2.3 2.4 1.8 .. .. 4.6 0.8 4.8 3.0 Lyndhurst 27.8 30.8 55.5 54.1 6.1 6.8 4.9 4.0 1.2 3.1 .. .. 4.4 1.2 7.1 4.5 Mordialloc 46.9 48.2 37.5 36.6 9.4 10.5 1.5 1.9 1.4 2.0 .. .. 3.4 0.7 6.1 2.9 Mount Waverley 51.3 52.3 34.2 32.9 7.6 9.9 2.4 2.0 1.6 2.0 .. .. 2.7 0.9 3.7 2.4 Mulgrave 36.8 38.1 50.7 47.0 7.2 7.7 3.4 3.3 2.0 2.8 .. .. .. 1.2 6.4 4.4 Narre Warren North 41.7 42.8 42.5 42.6 6.9 7.2 3.5 3.5 3.1 2.4 .. .. 2.4 1.6 6.2 3.3 Narre Warren South 37.9 38.9 48.0 46.4 7.1 6.9 3.6 3.9 1.5 2.3 .. .. 2.0 1.5 6.3 3.3

South Eastern Metro 39.7 40.9 44.4 43.4 8.0 8.8 3.1 3.2 2.5 2.6 .. .. 2.2 1.1 5.9 3.6

Albert Park 38.3 41.5 30.2 29.1 18.1 22.5 0.8 0.7 .. 1.9 .. .. 12.6 4.3 3.8 2.8 Bentleigh 47.0 45.7 39.3 34.6 10.2 11.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 2.4 .. .. 0.9 4.3 4.5 3.4 Brighton 62.5 59.7 19.5 19.3 16.0 15.3 1.0 0.7 .. 1.4 .. .. 1.0 3.6 3.4 2.2 Burwood 49.7 49.4 33.3 30.1 11.8 13.2 1.5 1.4 1.5 2.1 .. .. 2.1 3.8 3.3 2.7 Caulfield 57.7 54.8 23.5 23.0 16.1 16.4 1.5 0.7 .. 1.3 .. .. 1.2 3.8 3.6 2.6 Hawthorn 60.9 56.5 20.9 19.6 17.0 17.6 1.2 0.8 .. 1.4 .. .. .. 4.1 2.9 1.8 Kew 60.1 56.7 23.4 21.3 14.7 15.2 1.7 1.3 .. 1.7 .. .. .. 3.8 3.3 2.4 Malvern 65.3 61.7 19.4 18.6 14.2 13.9 1.1 0.6 .. 1.4 .. .. .. 3.8 3.2 2.5 Oakleigh 40.1 39.8 41.0 35.6 15.0 15.6 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.6 .. .. 1.0 5.0 4.4 3.5 Prahran 48.0 45.9 27.8 25.2 19.8 22.0 0.6 0.7 .. 1.6 .. .. 3.9 4.6 3.2 2.1 Sandringham 60.9 56.7 21.5 21.3 16.0 15.2 1.6 1.0 .. 2.1 .. .. .. 3.7 3.7 2.3

Southern Metropolitan 53.5 51.6 27.3 25.3 15.4 16.3 1.2 0.9 0.4 1.8 .. .. 2.2 4.1 3.6 2.6

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2010 Victorian Election

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 65

Liberal/National Labor Greens Family First D.L.P. Country Alliance Others Informal Electorate LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC

Altona 33.2 31.0 51.0 47.4 10.0 9.9 3.5 3.9 .. 2.7 .. .. 2.2 5.0 5.3 3.9 Derrimut 23.3 21.9 49.8 52.8 16.9 11.0 5.8 5.2 4.2 4.5 .. .. .. 4.5 7.8 6.3 Essendon 36.8 38.8 36.5 36.4 16.5 16.5 .. 1.6 3.0 2.8 .. .. 7.2 3.9 4.0 2.7 Footscray 25.4 24.7 42.6 43.9 20.8 21.3 .. 2.7 .. 2.8 .. .. 11.2 4.6 5.5 4.3 Keilor 31.2 30.6 49.8 48.8 7.9 7.7 5.7 4.6 .. 3.3 .. .. 5.4 5.1 7.1 5.0 Kororoit 25.0 22.5 55.8 55.0 9.9 8.7 4.0 5.0 .. 4.2 .. .. 5.3 4.6 7.9 6.3 Niddrie 34.8 36.8 45.7 44.0 7.8 9.0 4.0 2.8 .. 3.2 .. .. 7.7 4.3 8.3 5.1 Pascoe Vale 28.1 27.9 53.7 45.8 16.2 16.2 .. 2.4 .. 2.9 .. .. 1.9 4.8 6.0 4.7 Tarneit 32.2 31.0 49.1 46.9 8.9 8.6 5.1 4.9 4.8 3.0 .. .. .. 5.5 5.6 3.8 Williamstown 32.5 29.8 46.8 42.8 20.8 18.8 .. 1.9 .. 2.3 .. .. .. 4.3 5.5 4.1 Yuroke 31.1 30.3 55.2 49.8 9.7 7.9 4.0 4.0 .. 3.1 .. .. .. 4.9 6.3 4.9

Western Metropolitan 30.4 29.6 49.0 46.9 12.9 12.0 3.1 3.6 1.1 3.2 .. .. 3.6 4.7 6.3 4.6

Ballarat East 43.4 39.5 38.8 38.1 14.8 15.0 3.1 2.9 .. 2.2 .. 2.4 .. .. 4.3 2.7 Ballarat West 43.6 40.9 41.6 41.5 9.8 10.4 3.2 3.2 .. 2.1 1.7 1.9 .. .. 4.2 2.9 Bellarine 43.1 42.7 41.0 40.8 7.8 10.2 2.4 2.7 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.7 2.0 .. 5.3 2.7 Geelong 43.0 41.7 41.2 39.3 11.5 13.0 1.9 2.5 .. 2.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 .. 4.1 2.6 Lara 29.3 29.5 53.6 51.5 8.8 8.9 6.0 5.0 .. 2.8 2.3 2.2 .. .. 5.8 3.9 Lowan (NAT) 67.4 59.0 22.1 25.1 5.6 6.0 4.8 4.3 .. 1.6 .. 4.0 .. .. 3.7 2.4 Melton 31.0 32.7 49.4 48.0 8.7 9.7 3.8 4.2 .. 3.0 2.4 2.4 4.7 .. 7.2 4.6 Polwarth 55.3 53.2 27.2 28.3 8.4 9.5 3.2 2.8 .. 2.0 3.9 4.2 2.0 .. 3.9 2.4 Ripon (L+N) 45.9 42.9 42.1 40.8 6.2 7.4 2.3 2.8 .. 2.1 3.6 3.9 .. .. 4.6 3.0 South Barwon 45.9 46.2 35.9 36.3 9.6 11.9 1.8 2.5 1.3 1.6 1.2 1.5 4.1 .. 4.3 2.0 South-West Coast 49.3 49.0 24.6 30.6 8.2 9.9 2.8 3.9 .. 2.3 3.6 4.3 11.5 .. 4.0 3.2

Western Victoria 45.1 43.3 38.0 38.3 9.1 10.2 3.2 3.3 0.3 2.2 2.0 2.7 2.4 .. 4.7 2.9

(NAT) – National candidate in Assembly, (L+N) – Liberal and National candidates in Assembly.

Liberal/National Labor Greens Family First D.L.P. Country Alliance Others Informal Electorate LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC LA LC

Country Regions 50.8 48.3 30.6 31.4 8.4 9.6 2.2 3.2 0.4 1.9 3.6 4.1 3.9 1.4 4.7 2.9 Metroplitan Regions 41.0 39.9 39.7 37.8 12.9 13.5 2.3 2.7 1.2 2.6 .. 0.1 2.8 3.4 5.1 3.7 Victoria 44.8 43.2 36.3 35.4 11.2 12.0 2.3 2.9 0.9 2.3 1.4 1.7 3.2 2.6 5.0 3.4

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2010 Victorian Election

66 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit

New and Departing Members Of the 88 Legislative Assembly members, 66 were re-elected (ALP 36, LIB 22, NAT 8), 13 defeated (ALP 12 IND 1) and nine retired (ALP 7, LIB 1, NAT 1). There were 13 seats that changed party status (12 LIB gains from ALP and 1 NAT gain from IND) and 22 new members (ALP 7, LIB 13, NAT 2). One of Labor’s new members, Justin Madden, transferred from the Legislative Council. Legislative Assembly Changes

Electorate Departing MP (Party) Reason New MP (Party)

Ballarat West Karen Overington (ALP) Retired Sharon Knight (ALP) Bendigo West Bob Cameron (ALP) Retired Maree Edwards (ALP) Bentleigh Rob Hudson (ALP) Defeated Elizabeth Miller (LIB) Brunswick Carlo Carli (ALP) Retired Jane Garrett (ALP) Burwood Bob Stensholt (ALP) Defeated Graham Watt (LIB) Carrum Jenny Lindell (ALP) Defeated Donna Bauer (LIB) Caulfield Helen Shardey (LIB) Retired David Southwick (LIB) Essendon Judy Maddigan (ALP) Retired Justin Madden (ALP) (ex-MLC) Forest Hill Kirstie Marshall (ALP) Defeated Neil Angus (LIB) Frankston Alistair Harkness (ALP) Defeated Geoff Shaw (LIB) Gembrook Tammy Lobato (ALP) Defeated Brad Battin (LIB) Gippsland East Craig Ingram (IND) Defeated Tim Bull (NAT) Ivanhoe Craig Langdon (ALP) Resigned Anthony Carbines (ALP) Keilor George Seitz (ALP) Retired Natalie Hutchins (ALP) Mitcham Tony Robinson (ALP) Defeated Dee Ryall (LIB) Mordialloc Janice Munt (ALP) Defeated Lorraine Wreford (LIB) Mount Waverley Maxine Morand (ALP) Defeated Michael Gidley (LIB) Murray Valley Ken Jasper (NAT) Retired Tim McCurdy (NAT) Prahran Tony Lupton (ALP) Defeated Clem Newton-Brown (LIB) Seymour Ben Hardman (ALP) Defeated Cindy McLeish (LIB) South Barwon Michael Crutchfield (ALP) Defeated Andrew Katos (LIB)

Thomastown Peter Batchelor Retired Bronwyn Halfpenny

Note: Entries in bold indicate electorates that changed party status at the 2010 election. Note that Craig

Langdon resigned as Labor MP for Ivanhoe before the election but a by-election was not held.

OF the 40 Legislative Councillors, 35 were re-elected (ALP 15, LIB 15, NAT 2, GRN 3), one was elected to the Legislative Assembly (ALP 1) and four were defeated (ALP 3, DLP 1). There were five new members (ALP 1, LIB 3, NAT 1) Legislative Council Changes

Region Member (Party) Status Change

Northern Metropolitan Nathan Murphy (ALP) Defeated Northern Metropolitan Greg Ondarchie (LIB) Elected South Eastern Metropolitan Bob Smith (ALP) Defeated contesting Western Metro South Eastern Metropolitan Lee Tarlamis (ALP) Elected Southern Metropolitan Jennifer Huppert (ALP) Defeated Southern Metropolitan Georgie Crozier (LIB) Elected Western Metropolitan Justin Madden (ALP) Ellected to Assembly Western Metropolitan Andrew Elsbury (LIB) Elected Western Victoria Peter Kavanagh (DLP) Defeated Western Victoria David O’Brien (NAT) Elected