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20–1 Operations and Supply Chain Management CHASE | SHANKAR | JACOBS 14 e

20–1. 20–2 Chapter Twenty Copyright © 2014 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin

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Page 1: 20–1. 20–2 Chapter Twenty Copyright © 2014 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin

20–1

Operations andSupply Chain Management

CHASE | SHANKAR | JACOBS

14e

Page 2: 20–1. 20–2 Chapter Twenty Copyright © 2014 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin

20–2

INVENTORY MANAGEMENT

Chapter TwentyCopyright © 2014 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin

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Learning Objectives

• LO20–1: Explain how inventory is used and understand what it costs

• LO20–2: Analyze how different inventory control systems work

• LO20–3: Analyze inventory using the Pareto principle

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Inventory

• Inventory can be visualized as stacks of money sitting on forklifts, on shelves, and in trucks and planes while in transit.

• For many businesses, inventory is the largest asset on the balance sheet at any given time.

• Inventory can be difficult to convert back into cash.

• It is a good idea to try to get your inventory down as far as possible.– The average cost of inventory in the United States is

30 to 35 percent of its value.

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.Supply Chain Inventory Models

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Inventory Models

• Used when we are making a one-time purchase of an item

Single-period model

• Used when we want to maintain an item “in-stock,” and when we restock, a certain number of units must be ordered

Fixed-order quantity model

• Item is ordered at certain intervals of time

Fixed–time period model

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Definitions

• Inventory: the stock of any item or resource used in an organization– Includes raw materials, finished products, component

parts, supplies, and work-in-process

– Manufacturing inventory: refers to items that contribute to or become part of a firm’s product

• Inventory system: the set of policies and controls that monitor levels of inventory– Determines what levels should be maintained, when

stock should be replenished, and how large orders should be

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Purposes of Inventory

To maintain independence of

operations

To meet variation in product demand

To allow flexibility in production scheduling

To provide a safeguard for

variation in raw material delivery

time

To take advantage of economic

purchase order size

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Inventory Costs

Holding (or carrying) costs• Costs for storage, handling,

insurance, and so on

Setup (or production change) costs• Costs for arranging specific

equipment setups, and so on

Ordering costs• Costs of placing an order

Shortage costs• Costs of running out

Costs

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Demand TypesIndependent demand – the demands for various items are unrelated to each other• For example, a workstation may

produce many parts that are unrelated but meet some external demand requirement

Dependent demand – the need for any one item is a direct result of the need for some other item• Usually a higher-level item of which it

is part

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.Inventory Control-System Design Matrix

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.Inventory Systems – Comparison

Single-period inventory model• One-time purchasing decision

(e.g., vendor selling T-shirts at a football game)

• Seeks to balance the costs of inventory overstock and under stock

Multi-period inventory models• Fixed-order quantity models

• Event triggered (e.g., running out of stock)

• Fixed-time period models • Time triggered (e.g., monthly sales

call by sales representative)

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.Single Period Inventory Model

Consider the problem of deciding how many

newspapers to put in a hotel lobby

Too few papers and some customers will not be

able to purchase a paper, and profits associated

with these potential sales are lost.

Too many papers and the price paid for papers that were not sold during the

day will be wasted, lowering profit.

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.Solving the Newspaper Problem

• Consider how much risk we are willing to take of running out of inventory.

• Assume a mean of 90 papers and a standard deviation of 10 papers.

• Assume we want an 80 percent chance of not running out.

• Assume that the probability distribution associated of sales is normal, stocking 90 papers yields a 50 percent chance of stocking out.

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.Solving the Newspaper Problem

• From Appendix E, we see that we need approximately 0.85 standard deviation of extra papers to be 80 percent sure of not stocking out.– Using Excel, “=NORMSINV(0.8)” =

0.84162

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.Single-Period Inventory Models

Where:Co = cost per unit of demand over stocking level

Cu = cost per unit of demand under stocking level

P = probability that a given unit will be sold

• We should increase the size of the inventory so long as the probability of selling the last unit added is equal to or greater than the ratio𝐶𝑢

𝐶𝑜+𝐶𝑢

𝑃 ≤𝐶𝑢

𝐶𝑜+𝐶𝑢

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Example 20.1

• Mean demand is 5– Standard deviation of demand is 3

– Room rate is $80 (this is the cost if overbookings are less than cancelations - Cu)

– Penalty for overbooking is $200 (this is the cost if overbookings are more than cancelations - Co)

Excel: Overbooking

For the Excel template visit www.mhhe.com/sie-chase14e

𝑃 ≤𝐶𝑢

𝐶𝑜+𝐶𝑢¿

800200+80¿0.2857

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Example 20.1• From Appendix E, we see that our

desired level falls about 0.55 standard deviations below the mean (z = -0.55)– Using Excel,

“=NORMSINV(0.2857)” = 0.56599 

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Example 20.1 – Overbooking TableIf we overbook by 1

and we have zero no-shows, we incur the penalty of $200 – one person must be compensated for having no room.

If we overbook by 1 and we have three no-shows, we have lost sales of $80.

Total cost of a policy of overbooking by 9 rooms is the weighted average of the events (number of no-shows) and the outcome of those events.

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.Single Period Model Applications

Overbooking of airline flights

Ordering of clothing and other fashion items

One-time order for events – e.g., t-shirts for a concert

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Multi-Period ModelsFixed-order quantity models- Also called the economic order quantity, EOQ, and Q- model- Event triggered

Fixed–time period models- Also called the periodic system,

periodic review system, fixed- order interval system, and P-mode- Time triggered

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Multi-Period Models – Comparison

– Inventory remaining must be continually monitored

– Has a smaller average inventory

– Favors more expensive items

– Is more appropriate for important items

– Requires more time to maintain – but is usually more automated

– Is more expensive to implement

– Counting takes place only at the end of the review period

– Has a larger average inventory

– Favors less expensive items– Is sufficient for less-

important items– Requires less time to

maintain– Is less expensive to

implement

• Fixed-Order Quantity • Fixed-Time Period

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Multi-Period Models – Comparison

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.Multi-Period Models – Process

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Fixed-Order Quantity Models – Assumptions

• Demand for the product is constant and uniform throughout the period.

• Lead time (time from ordering to receipt) is constant.

• Price per unit of product is constant.

• Inventory holding cost is based on average inventory.

• Ordering or setup costs are constant.

• All demands for the product will be satisfied.

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.Fixed-Order Quantity Model

Always order Q units when inventory reaches reorder point (R).

Inventory arrives after lead time (L). Inventory is raised to maximum level (Q).

Inventory is consumed at a constant rate, with a new order placed when the reorder point (R) is reached once again.

 

 

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.Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)

The optimal order quantity (Qopt) occurs where total costs are at their minimum

 

 

 

 

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Example 20.2

Excel: Economic Order QuantityFor the Excel template visit

www.mhhe.com/sie-chase14e

• Annual demand (D) = 1,000 units– Average daily demand

= = 2.74 units– Ordering cost (S) = $5

per order– Holding cost (H) =

$1.25 per unit per year– Lead time (L) = 5 days– Cost per unit (C) =

$12.50

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.Establishing Safety Stock Levels

• Safety stock can be determined based on many different criteria.

Safety stock – refers to the amount of inventory carried in addition to expected demand.

A common approach is to simply keep a certain number of weeks of supply.

• Assume demand is normally distributed.• Assume we know mean and standard deviation.• To determine probability, we plot a normal distribution for expected demand

and note where the amount we have lies on the curve.

A better approach is to use probability.

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.Fixed-Order Quantity Model with Safety Stock

Demand is variable, but follows a known distribution/

After the reorder is placed, demand during the lead time may be higher than expected, consuming some (or all) of the safety stock/

 

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Example 20.4 

 

 

Policy – place a new order for 936 units whenever stock falls to 388 units on hand. This results in a 95% probability of not stocking out during the lead time.

For 95% probability, z = 1.64.

Excel: Reorder Point

• Average daily demand

() = 60

• Annual demand (D) = 60(365) = 21,900

• Standard deviation of demand during lead time (σD) = 7

• Ordering cost (S) = $10 per order

• Holding cost (H) = $0.50 per unit per year

• Lead time (L) = 6 days

For the Excel template visit www.mhhe.com/sie-chase14e

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.Fixed-Time Period Model

• q = quantity to be ordered• T = number of days between reviews• L = lead time in days• = forecast average daily demand• Z = number of standard deviations required for

specific service level

• σT+L= standard deviation of demand during the review and lead time

• I = current inventory level (including items on order)

𝑞=𝑑 (𝑇+𝐿)+𝑧 𝜎𝑇+𝐿

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.Fixed-Time Period Model

Time periods are equal, but ending inventory varies.

Reorder quantity varies, depending upon ending inventory level. Beginning inventory is always the same.

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Example 20.5

 

 

Excel: Fixed Time Period Model

• Daily demand () of 10 units

• Daily standard deviation () of 3 units

• Review period (T) of 30 days

• Lead time (L) of 14 days

• 98 percent of demand should be met from items in stock

• 150 units in inventory (I)

For the Excel template visit www.mhhe.com/sie-chase14e

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.Inventory Control and Supply Chain Management

• Average inventory – expected amount of inventory over time

• Inventory turns – number of times inventory is cycled through over time – a measure of how efficiently inventory is used

 

 

 

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Inventory Models with Price Breaks

• Price varies with the order size.

• To find the lowest-cost, calculate the order quantity for each price and see if the quantity is feasible.– Sort prices from lowest to highest and calculate the

order quantity for each price until a feasible order quantity is found.

– If the first feasible order quantity is the lowest price, this is best; otherwise, calculate the total cost for the first feasible quantity and calculate total cost at each price lower than the first feasible order quantity.

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Inventory Models with Price Breaks

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Example 20.8

• Annual demand (D ) = 10,000

• Ordering cost (S ) = $20 per order

• Interest/carrying cost (i ) = 20%

• Cost per unit (C )– 1–499 → $5.00

– 500–999 → $4.50

– 1000 or more → $3.90

 

 

 

 

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Example 20.8

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ABC Classification

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.Inventory Management

Inventory accuracy –

refers to how well the

inventory records

agree with physical

count

Cycle counting – a

physical inventory-

taking technique in

which inventory is

counted on a frequent

basis rather than once or twice a year