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Welcome to the 5 th Annual Commercial Real Estate Market Update Presented by

2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

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Page 1: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Welcome to the 5th AnnualCommercial Real Estate

Market UpdatePresented by

Page 2: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market UpdateProgram Emcee

Thomas Bernacchi, CPM

Towne Investments

Page 3: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

A special ‘Thank You’ to our generous Event Sponsors

Page 4: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Platinum Event Sponsor

Page 5: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Platinum Event Sponsor

Page 6: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Media Sponsor

Page 7: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Gold Event Sponsors

Page 8: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Corporate Sponsors

NAIOP-WI Gold Sponsors CARW Corporate Sponsor

Page 9: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Corporate Sponsors

NAIOP-WI Silver Sponsors

• Bank Mutual• Outlook Development• TOLD Development• Towne Realty• Wangard Partners

NAIOP-WI Bronze Sponsors

• BCI Group

• Berghammer Construction

• Chicago Title Insurance

•CenterPoint Properties

•GRAEF

• Liberty Property Trust

• Quarles & Brady

• RA Smith

•Sign*A*Rama

• Whyte Hirschboeck Dudek

Page 10: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Presenter

Michele Dugan, CCIMMid America Real Estate

Page 11: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Presenters

Daniel J. Jessup, CCIM

Grubb & Ellis/Apex Commercial

Dan Wroblewski

Inland Companies

Page 12: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Presenters

James M. Young Barry Chavin, SIORColliers-Barry NAI MLG Commercial

Page 13: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

2009Market Update

Page 14: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Retail Market Update

Page 15: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

2009 Market Update - Retail

Michele Dugan, CCIMMid America Real Estate

Page 16: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Milwaukee: Size of the Market

• According to Co-Star, Milwaukee ranks 25th relative to 65 other markets on a national basis.

• Milwaukee has approximately 34,256,969 square feet of shopping center space and we currently have a 11.2% vacancy rate.

Page 17: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

New Frontiers

• New areas seeing growth – Grafton, Waukesha and Kenosha.• Why are these markets seeing growth?• Barriers to entry.• Housing starts.• Demand for product.• Repositioning of tenants.• Mid-box & Big box generators.

Page 18: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Grafton Commons - Grafton

• Retailers include: Costco, Kohl’s, PetsMart, Best Buy, Dick’s Sporting Goods, AAA, Steinhafel’s Mattress, Qdoba, Verizon, Michael’s, Kohler Credit Union and Aldi Foods.

Page 19: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Grafton Commons

Page 20: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Shoppes at Fox River - Waukesha

• Retailers include: Target, Pick N Save, CVS, Petco, Maurice’s, Famous Footwear, Chili’s, Five Guys, BW3’s, Noodles & Co, and GameStop

CARW 2009 Retail Deal of the Year

Page 21: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Shoppes at Prairie Ridge - Kenosha

• Retailers include: JC Penny, PetsMart, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Target, Maurice’s, Tazinos, Cousin’s Subs, ULTA Cosmetics, Fed-Ex, Starbucks, Cost Cutters and Verizon Wireless.

Page 22: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Issues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets

1. Financing • Lack of new product – not enough tenants that are looking

to expand or relocate. • Few new developments.• Loan to value (LTV) have increased from 80/20 to 55/45.

2. Declining Store Openings• Starbucks – closed 600 stores in 2008-2009.• Target & Wal-Mart cut back on number of store openings

overall.• Retailers’ focus is improving existing store sales.

Page 23: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Issues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets

3. Retailer Bankruptcy • Increasing supply of retail space

– Former Linen’s and Things - Brookfield

Page 24: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Issues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets

• Circuit City – former Circuit City – South 76th Street

Page 25: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail MarketIssues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets

4. Rental Rates

• Declining - over the past year rental rates have declined due to poor retailer sales per square foot.

• Landlords forced to reset rates for tenants to achieve a feasible health ratio.

• Existing tenants continue to struggle because sales per square foot have declined.

• Negative affect on landlords – struggling to pay their mortgage.• Renegotiation of rental rates for existing tenants.

Page 26: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Challenges

• Few or no new shopping center developments.• Additional store closings which will increase the supply of space.• Financing – will continue to be difficult for both development

financing and operational financing.• Repositioning of tenants from B or C centers to A centers.• Mountain of loans coming to maturity in 2010.

Page 27: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Forecast – 2010 Challenges

According to the latest Emerging Trends Report from the Urban Land Institute, “Shopping center owners operate in Darwinian mode. We are seeing triage among the B & C properties” trying to retain tenants.”

Page 28: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued

• Re-use and redevelopment of existing mid and big boxes.• Consumer Confidence – University of Michigan Surveys of

Consumers.

Page 29: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued

• Consumer Confidence – University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

• The Index of Consumer Sentiment was 70.6 in the October 2009 survey, which is substantially above the 57.6 recorded last October.

• Report shared that consumers now put debt reduction and increased savings at the top of their agendas.

• Black Friday – According to the NRF, the average amount each consumer spent dropped to $343.31, down from $372.57 last year; total sales were flat at $42.1 billion.

Page 30: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation
Page 31: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued

• Competition for every dollar - $$$.• Cap Rates.

• More foreclosures in commercial real estate.

Page 32: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued

Page 33: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued

Commercial Mortgage Defaults

Page 34: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life

• Discount retailers and quick service restaurants continue to expand.• Retailers that are actively expanding in the Milwaukee Metro:

Page 35: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life

• Reuse of existing buildings/conversions.• Unconventional uses are backfilling vacant retail spaces office &

medical users.

Page 36: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life

Example: Former Sentry Foods converted to a Gold’s Gym

Page 37: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life

Example: Former Steinhafel’s converted to Froedtert & Medical

College of Wisconsin

Before

Page 38: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life

Example: Former Steinhafel’s converted to Froedtert & Medical

College of Wisconsin

After

Page 39: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life

Example: Former Sentry Foods – Oak Creek – converted to a TJ Maxx

and Petco

Before

Page 40: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life

Example: Former Sentry Foods – Oak Creek – converted to a TJ Maxx

and Petco

After

Page 41: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Retail Market

Forecast – 2010 – What you can do….

• Back to the basics.• Survival of the fittest.• React to deals and be open minded.• Think outside the box.• Unconventional times require hard work.• Work with your bank.

Page 42: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Office

Market Update

Page 43: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Markets – West & South

Daniel J. Jessup, CCIMGrubb & Ellis/Apex Commercial

Page 44: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Office West Market Update

Page 45: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 7,252,043 Square Feet

Occupied Space 6,126,690 Square Feet

Vacant Space 1,125,353 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 15.52%

Absorption -268,706 Square Feet

Page 46: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West Historical Statistics

Office Submarket West

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 6,967,076 7,192,790 7,227,535 5,927,538 7,252,043

Occupied Space 5,889,552 6,288,977 6,210,628 5,058,415 6,126,690

Vacant Space 1,077,524 903,813 1,016,907 869,123 1,125,353

Vacancy Rate 14.58% 12.57% 14.07% 14.66% 15.52%

Page 47: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 48: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket WestMajor Lease Transactions

Rausch, Sturm, Israel & Horchik Law Firm – Maplewood Executive Center• 22,957 Square Feet

Travelers Indemnity Insurance – Pinnacle I• 36,500 Square Feet

Herzing University – 555 S. Executive Drive• 13,144 Square Feet

M&I Bank – 235 N. Executive Drive• 44,000 Square Feet

Page 49: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West

West Submarket Development• ATC Corporate Offices. • Ridgeview Corporate Park. • Single Tenant, Three-story, Class A office building. • 152,000 Square Feet • Completed September, 2009 • Developer: Interstate Partners, Bill Schwartz.

Page 50: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West

West Submarket Development

• New fire station – Greenfield Avenue.

Page 51: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West

West Submarket Development

• New fire station – Calhoun Road.

Page 52: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West

West Submarket Proposed Development

• Former Quebecor site on Bluemound Road finalist for Astronautics Headquarters.

Page 53: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West

West Submarket Notable Trends

• Run on fire stations.• F.I.R.E tenants are active.

Page 54: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket West

Last Year’s Predictions• Continued soft throughout 2009 with landlords needing to provide

free rent and excess tenant improvement allowance to maintain their face rents.

2010 Outlook• Continued soft throughout 2010 with landlords needing to provide

MORE free rent and MORE excess tenant improvement allowances to maintain their face rents.

• No speculative development. • Any new development preleased.

Page 55: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Office South Market Update

Page 56: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 1,842,256 Square Feet

Occupied Space 1,535,705 Square Feet

Vacant Space 306,551 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 16.64%

Absorption -179,623 Square Feet

Page 57: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South Historical Statistics

Office Submarket South

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 1,843,725 1,843,725 1,976,451 1,747,829 1,841,125

Occupied Space 1,635,545 1,670,185 1,417,080 1,526,474 1,535,705

Vacant Space 208,180 173,540 177,317 221,355 306,551

Vacancy Rate 11.29% 9.41% 8.97% 12.66% 16.64%

Page 58: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 59: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South

South Submarket New Development

Oakwood Park Commons• 4202 S. Oakwood Park Court, Franklin• Three-story, Class A, multi-tenant office/retail building• 50,427 total square feet• 23,046 square feet available

Page 60: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South

South Submarket New Development

Liberty Corporate Preserve I• 10050 S. 27th Street, Oak Creek• Single-story, Class A office building• 44,000 total square feet• 33,191 square feet available

Page 61: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South

Major Lease Transaction

• Lakeshore Medical - 14,773 Square Feet• United States Air Force - 7,000 Square Feet• GSA – 12,100 Square Feet

Page 62: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South

South Market Information• New Inventory: 94,427 SF – 5.5% increase.

• Absorption: -179,623 SF.

• Smaller average tenant size.

• Several years of available inventory based on historical data.

Page 63: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South

Last Year’s Predictions

• Increased leasing based on current level of interest, tours and RFP’s.

• 440th Air Force Base land will have a positive impact on the market.

• More talk about and maybe progress on rail.

Page 64: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South

2010 Outlook• Negative absorption likely to continue – hopefully at a much slower

pace. • Significant lease incentives with minimal velocity. • KRM moving forward – likely no impact in 2010; future impact

significant.• Future of 440th Air Force Base still undecided; significant leasing

obstacles to overcome.

Page 65: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket SouthOffice Market 2009 Notable Trends

• Market numbers likely worse than indicated. • Subleases not included.• Tenant excess capacity; 2009 staff reductions. • Excess capacity will slow the office market recovery.

• Landlords offering/preferring short term renewals with no TI costs.• Stable tenants blending and extending; great opportunity to secure

additional space for anticipated growth at reduced rates.• Tenants are EXTREMELY aggressive.• Significant lease incentives.

• Landlords aggressively pursue every prospect.

Page 66: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket South

How do we fix this?

• Four letter word – JOBS!• Elect/Re-Elect pro-business leadership at all levels of government.

Page 67: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Markets – North & Central

Dan WroblewskiInland Companies

Page 68: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Office North Market Update

Page 69: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket North 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 4,317,719 Square Feet

Occupied Space 3,394,959 Square Feet

Vacant Space 922,760 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 21.37%

Absorption -85,799 Square Feet

Page 70: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket North Historical Statistics

Office Submarket North

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 4,600,905 4,274,894 4,423,995 4,418,909 4,317,719

Occupied Space 3,830,270 3,487,342 3,404,793 3,648,948 3,394,959

Vacant Space 770,635 787,552 1,019,202 769,961 922,760

Vacancy Rate (%) 16.75% 18.42% 23.04% 17.42% 21.37%

Page 71: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket North Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

0

5

10

15

20

25

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 72: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket NorthMajor Lease Transactions

Bryant & Stratton College – Bayshore Town Center• 37,000 Square Feet

Restat – Liberty Park Place• 30,000 Square Feet

ARI – Two Park• 20,000 Square Feet

Kelly Services – Liberty Park Place• 20,000 Square Feet

Page 73: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket North

North Submarket Notable Trends

• The North Shore office market is beginning to compete for Downtown tenants more frequently.– Population growth in the North.– Tenants looking to reduce occupancy costs.– Some companies feel they no longer need a downtown office.– Bayshore effect.

• If this trend continues, it will provide an additional avenue in growth for this submarket.

Page 74: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket North

North Submarket Notable Trends

• Park Place submarkets lack of diversification causes constant instability during economic downturns.

•Made up of large users.

•No real small user options.

•Large users flip-flop between Park Place buildings.

Page 75: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket North

Last Year’s Predictions

• Rental rates remain flat with increased concessions.– Rates down, concessions up.

• Continued positive absorption.– Did not occur.

• Cross pollination between three areas (East, Brown Deer and Northwest). In other words, any of the three areas can see tenants coming from the other 2 (which has not usually occurred).

Page 76: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket North

2010 Outlook

• Rental rates will hold at their already deflated levels with similar lease concessions.

• We will see negative absorption again in 2010 in this submarket. Recovering should begin in Q3/Q4 but not enough to turn to the positive.

Page 77: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Office Central Market Update

Page 78: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 15,470,375 Square Feet

Occupied Space 12,145,958 Square Feet

Vacant Space 3,324,417 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 21.49%

Absorption -293,165 Square Feet

Page 79: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central Historical Statistics

Office Submarket Central

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 15,791,221 15,794,356 16,192,174 14,948,519 15,470,375

Occupied Space 13,297,961 12,874,227 12,817,566 12,046,551 12,145,958

Vacant Space 2,493,260 2,920,129 3,374,608 2,901,968 3,324,417

Vacancy Rate 15.79% 18.49% 20.84% 19.41% 21.49%

Page 80: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

0

5

10

15

20

25

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 81: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central

Class Warfare: Class A vs. Class B• Downtown Class A vacancy: 10.46% (True Class A Towers)• Downtown Class B vacancy: 26.50%

Page 82: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central

Class Warfare: Class A vs. Class B

• Class A rental rates, which dictate the overall market, have been getting compressed over the past 12-18 months.

• Class A buildings are aggressively pursuing Class B tenants.

• Well capitalized Class A buildings have an advantage.

• Class B buildings have had to get extremely aggressive to remain relevant in this market.

• The influx of short-term deals in Class B buildings is simply allowing them to buy time in the hope that a recovery is on its way.

Page 83: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central

There Are Opportunities• Educational users have been the most active segment in the

Milwaukee market in 2009 leading to over 250,000 SF of new activity market wide.

• There are a number of significant deals in the market today and some large lease expirations coming in the next 12-36 months that could lead to new development.

• The recent flurry of short-term leases will lead to pent-up demand and an active future.

Page 84: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central

Last Year’s Predictions

• Downtown: Rates and occupancy will increase for A and well positioned B buildings. The rest of the market will remain slow with concessions for any new tenants.– Occupancy stable in Class A, rates were down.– Class B suffered across the board.

• Mayfair: Rate and TI concessions will continue for the first half to ¾ of 2009 after which landlords will be able to remain more firm as occupancy increases. – Rates & TI concessions present all year. Has yet to stablize.

Page 85: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central

2010 Outlook• We will hit the bottom in 2010 and start the slow climb back up.

• Rental rates will begin to recover for Class A buildings in the 3Q/4Q, followed by the Class B rates.

• Landlord concessions will continue at current levels throughout 2010.

• We will see flat to slight negative absorption through Q1/Q2 as the economy struggles to recover. We will turn to the positive in the second half of the year.

Page 86: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Office Submarket Central

How do we fix this?• Banks need to begin lending again.

• Aggressive leadership in our local government.

• Post-recession development trend of the past.

Page 87: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Industrial Market Update

Page 88: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Markets – Central & West

Jim YoungColliers - Barry

Page 89: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Industrial Central

Market Update

Page 90: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 23,717,565 Square Feet

Occupied Space 19,601,998 Square Feet

Vacant Space 4,115,567 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 17.35%

Absorption -16,130 Square Feet

Page 91: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central Historical Statistics

Industrial Submarket Central

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 20,655,165 20,442,487 20,590,963 23,538,615 23,717,565

Occupied Space 17,881,277 18,329,302 18,077,078 19,902,731 19,601,998

Vacant Space 2,733,888 2,093,185 2,513,885 3,635,884 4,115,567

Vacancy Rate 13.24% 10.24% 12.21% 15.45% 17.35%

Page 92: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

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16

18

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 93: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central

Central Building Sales

• Primarily comprised of older buildings

• Buyers faced with limited high quality inventory

Page 94: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Central Building Sales

Goodwill Industries

• 12121 W. Feerick St., Wauwatosa• 65,240 Square Feet• $2,400,000 ($36.79 SF)

Page 95: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Central Building Sales

SRS Enterprises

• 203 S. Curtis Road, West Allis• 20,360 Square Feet• $1,200,000 ($58.94 SF)

Page 96: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Central Building Sales

Badger Trailer

• 401 S. 3rd Street & 422 S. 4th Street, Milwaukee• 2 Buildings – 54,273 Square Feet• $1,023,000 ($18.85 SF)

Page 97: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central

Central Building Leases

• Few noteworthy leases in this submarket – many smaller, short term transactions.

• Quality buildings outperformed older inventory – Suburban markets offered competitive alternatives.

Page 98: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Central Building Leases

Daily Direct

• 4600 N. 124th Street, Wauwatosa• 55,000 Square Feet• $3.50 psf NNN

Page 99: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Central Building Leases

ARG Machining

• 4630 S. Brust Ave., St. Francis• 16,050 Square Feet• $8.50 psf NNN

Page 100: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Central Building Leases

ILLCO, Inc.

• 3930 W. Burnham St., Milwaukee• 13,057 Square Feet• $4.65 psf NNN

Page 101: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central

Last Year’s Predictions

• Smaller tenants in the 5,000 to 10,000 SF are looking to buy.– Yes, but paralyzed by a fear of the market.

• Smaller tenants yet, 2,000 to 3,000 SF are moving up from operations they’ve been running out of a garage or makeshift space and looking for functionality and some image (at a reasonable price).– Many remain in garages

Page 102: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central

Last Year’s Predictions Continued• Some users were having us search to “flee” the market to be West

of 124th Street – specifically for maintaining their business as a profitable venture.– Uncertainty about “sick leave” referendum, high tax climate

and limited quality supply continued to push users N/S/W.

• REDEVELOPMENT – displacement of existing tenants/owners.– Very limited due to condition of development market and

unavailability of money.

• Both real estate and our economy are cyclical (this is a time of opportunity).– Selective opportunity.

Page 103: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Central

2010 Outlook

• Static/absorption.• No new speculative development due to land limitations.• Strategic buys to reposition assets.• Continued migration from central submarket to suburbs.

– Price pressure on central submarket as value of suburban markets “steal” tenant/prospects.

• Thinking positive.– Great values for tenants.– Buildings can be had at a discount.

• Quality product will see activity but at a lower price point.• Concessions.

Page 104: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Industrial West

Market Update

Page 105: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 29,628,312 Square Feet

Occupied Space 27,557,970 Square Feet

Vacant Space 2,070,342 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 6.99%

Absorption 65,293 Square Feet

Page 106: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West Historical Statistics

Industrial Submarket West

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 27,390,340 28,030,926 27,390,338 27,525,506 29,628,312

Occupied Space 24,663,980 25,328,745 23,373,020 25,865,997 27,557,970

Vacant Space 2,726,350 2,702,181 2,294,839 1,659,509 2,070,342

Vacancy Rate 9.95% 9.64% 8.38% 6.02% 6.99%

Page 107: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

0123456789

10

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 108: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West

West Building Sales

• 2009 was dominated by user transactions and limited investment sales compared to years past.

• Key transactions – quality real estate.

Page 109: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

West Building Sales

Valeo-Prestwick

• 5449 N. Executive Drive, Sussex• 58,134 Square Feet• $3,900,000 ($67.09 SF)

Page 110: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

West Building Sales

Painters Union

• S68 W22665 National Ave., Vernon• 63,000 Square Feet• $2,450,000 ($38.89 SF)

Page 111: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

West Building Sales

Denali Flavors

• 3100 S. 166th Street, New Berlin• 29,000 Square Feet• $1,415,000 ($48.80 SF)

Page 112: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West

West Building Leases

• Few large leases done in 2009

Page 113: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

West Building Leases

Sunburst Apparel

• 340 Maple Ave., Hartland• 35,000 Square Feet• $3.75 psf NNN

Page 114: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

West Building Leases

Tire Centers, Inc.

• 16800 W. Ryerson Rd., New Berlin• 42,000 Square Feet• $3.95 psf NNN

CARW 2009 Industrial Deal of the Year

Page 115: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

West Building Leases

Friction Stir Link

• 19775 W. Somer Dr., Brookfield• 35,000 Square Feet

Page 116: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West

Last Year’s Predictions

• Cautious Optimism. – Very definitively.

• Best areas for growth will be along the I-94 Corridor – Pewaukee and Pabst Farms.– Pabst has remained stagnant as good opportunities have

become available closer to employee bases – further east.

Page 117: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West

Last Year’s Predictions Continued

• Slow growth in New Berlin, Muskego and Southern Waukesha

County. – New Berlin/Muskego corridor is slow growth but the one

area where we’re seeing speculative development.• Briohn and Luterbach.• Potential expansion of Buy Season space.• Relatively good leasing activity in the New

Berlin/Muskego area on smaller sites.

Page 118: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West

2010 Outlook

• Predicated on stabilized economy.• Continued drive to quality product.

– Consolidation and image upgrade.• Continued trend of lower vacancy rate relative to past and other

markets due to submarket constraints.– Limited speculative construction in 2007 and 2008.– Limited planned projects in 2009-2010.– Vacancy could rise to 8-9% if the market overall has not yet

bottomed out.• Still well below other submarket vacancy rates.

– Inconsistent velocity.• Symptom of overall market confidence.

Page 119: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket West

2010 Outlook Continued

• Great deals/compelling reasons to move.– Free rent.– Rental rate concessions.

Page 120: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Markets – North & South

Barry Chavin, SIORNAI MLG Commercial

Page 121: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Industrial North Market Update

Page 122: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket North 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 40,355,792 Square Feet

Occupied Space 35,881,442 Square Feet

Vacant Space 4,474,350 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 11.1%

Absorption -619,243 Square Feet

Page 123: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket North Historical Statistics

Industrial Submarket North

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 37,623,390 38,984,952 41,238,883 40,006,870 40,355,792

Occupied Space 33,565,000 34,996,792 37,336,849 36,766,302 35,881,442

Vacant Space 4,058,380 3,998,160 3,902,034 3,240,568 4,474,350

Vacancy Rate 10.79% 10.23% 9.46% 8.10% 11.1%

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Industrial Submarket North Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 125: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket North

Now for the 2009 Highlights

It’s over!

Page 126: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial North Notable Transactions

Tramont Properties/Avergeris & Associates

• 3701 N. Humboldt Blvd., Milwaukee• 172,344 Square Feet• $3,000,000 ($17.40 SF)• Brokered by The Dickman Company

Page 127: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Coakley/Mirvac

• 3511 W. Green Tree Rd., Milwaukee• 175,000 Square Feet• $4,257,000 ($24.33 SF)• Brokered by The Dickman Company & Colliers Barry

Industrial North Notable Transactions

Page 128: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial North Notable TransactionsHolland Beauty Flower & Bulb Corp/

Carlisle Tire & Wheel Company

• 8480 N. 87th Street, Milwaukee• 91,626 Square Feet• $2,700,000 ($29.46/SF)• Brokered by CBRE & The Boerke Company

Page 129: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial North Submarket

Last Year’s

Predictions

Page 130: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket North

Last Year’s Predictions

• In 2009, the industrial market will realize the negative absorption.• Zero to negative absorption.• New construction will be limited to Germantown, West Bend and

Jackson.• Rental concessions will increase as landlords compete for fewer

deals.

Page 131: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket North

2010 Outlook

• We will turn the corner and have positive absorption.• New construction will occur but be limited to a few projects and

owner occupied.• Rental rates will be pressured lower. Landlords will fight hard to

retain tenants and attract new ones.

• 2010 will truly be a TENANT/BUYER MARKET.

Page 132: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Industrial South Market Update

Page 133: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket South 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 24,927,503 Square Feet

Occupied Space 21,902,625 Square Feet

Vacant Space 3,024,878 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 12.1%

Absorption -578,720 Square Feet

Page 134: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket South Historical Statistics

Industrial Submarket South

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Total Universe 26,300,486 26,442,921 26,438,781 27,840,965 24,927,503

Occupied Space 24,567,860 24,150,521 23,225,368 24,372,829 21,902,625

Vacant Space 1,732,626 2,292,400 3,213,413 3,468,168 3,024,878

Vacancy Rate 6.59% 8.67% 12.15% 12.46% 12.10%

Page 135: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket South Historical Vacancy Rates (%)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 136: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial South Notable Transactions

Former Delphi Plant

• 7929 S. Howell Ave., Oak Creek• 1,500,000 Square Feet

Page 137: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

TechTrans/CenterPoint Properties

• 5235 S. International Drive, Cudahy• 37,000 Square Feet• Brokered by CBRE & NAI MLG Commercial

Industrial South Notable Transactions

Page 138: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial South Notable Transactions

CenterPoint Properties/Liberty Property Trust

• Rexnord Building: 5150 S. International, Drive Cudahy• 150,000 Square Feet• $6,400,000 ($42.67/SF)• Brokered by RFP Commercial

Page 139: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial South Notable Transactions

First Industrial/WE Energies

• 7420 S. Howell Avenue, Oak Creek• 81,325 Square Feet• Brokered by CBRE

Page 140: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial South Notable Transactions

OPUS North/Yaskawa

• 100 W. Oakwood Road, Oak Creek• 107,249 Square Feet• Brokered by RFP Commercial & The Boerke Company

Page 141: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket South

Last Year’s Predictions

• South market will remain a tenant market• Allowances and concessions will persist.

• Growth will come from the South.

Page 142: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket South

2010 Outlook

• Absorption will occur.• Very limited new construction as the market will need to absorb

existing space.• Downward pressure on lease rates and an increase in concessions. • Velocity of deals will increase from 2009.

Page 143: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update

Kenosha Market Update

Page 144: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Kenosha 2009 Statistics

Total Universe 16,878,286 Square Feet

Occupied Space 14,383,895 Square Feet

Vacant Space 2,494,391 Square Feet

Vacancy Rate 14.8%

Absorption 108,062 Square Feet

Page 145: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Ozburn-Hessey Logistics/Liberty Property Trust & Towne Investments

• 8691 109th Street, Pleasant Prairie• 239,376 Square Feet – Brokered by Lee & Associates• 8330 107th Street, Pleasant Prairie• 54,000 Square Feet – Brokered by Lee & Associates

Industrial Submarket Kenosha Notable Transactions

Page 146: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Uline Headquarters

• I-94 and Hwy. Q• 1,100, 000 Square Feet Distribution Center• 200,000 Square Feet Office• CenterPoint Properties Fee Developed Project

Industrial Submarket Kenosha Notable Transactions

Page 147: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Arvato Digital Services/CenterPoint Properties

• 8505 100th Street, Pleasant Prairie• 100,000 Square Feet• CenterPoint Properties leased to Arvato Digital

• 11500 80th Street Kenosha• 400,000 Square Feet• $17,600,000 ($44/SF)• Brokered by Paine-Wetzel

Industrial Submarket Kenosha Notable Transactions

Page 148: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Kenosha Market

Last Year’s Predictions

• Growth• Speculative Development

Page 149: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Kenosha

2010 Outlook

• Increase velocity of deals compared to 2009.• Lower lease rates with more concessions.• Landlords will have a “live to fight another day”

attitude.

Page 150: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Industrial Submarket Kenosha

Kenosha Summary

We are going to suck up space!

• Simplicize it all in 2010

Page 151: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

2009 Commercial Real Estate

Market UpdatePresented by

Page 152: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Thank You to our Sponsors!

Page 153: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Thank You to our Sponsors!

Page 154: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Corporate Sponsors

NAIOP-WI Gold Sponsors CARW Corporate Sponsor

Page 155: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Corporate Sponsors

NAIOP-WI Silver Sponsors

• Bank Mutual

• Outlook Development

• TOLD Development

• Towne Realty

• Wangard Partners

Page 156: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

Corporate Sponsors

NAIOP-WI Bronze Sponsors• BCI Group

• Berghammer Construction

• Chicago Title

• CenterPoint Properties

• GRAEF

• Liberty Property Trust

• Quarles & Brady

• RA Smith

• Sign *A* Rama

• Whyte Hirschboeck Dudek

Page 157: 2009 MASTER Power Point Presentation

2010 Market Update

ThursdayDecember 9, 2010

Mark your calendar!