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Welcome to the 5th AnnualCommercial Real Estate
Market UpdatePresented by
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market UpdateProgram Emcee
Thomas Bernacchi, CPM
Towne Investments
A special ‘Thank You’ to our generous Event Sponsors
Platinum Event Sponsor
Platinum Event Sponsor
Media Sponsor
Gold Event Sponsors
Corporate Sponsors
NAIOP-WI Gold Sponsors CARW Corporate Sponsor
Corporate Sponsors
NAIOP-WI Silver Sponsors
• Bank Mutual• Outlook Development• TOLD Development• Towne Realty• Wangard Partners
NAIOP-WI Bronze Sponsors
• BCI Group
• Berghammer Construction
• Chicago Title Insurance
•CenterPoint Properties
•GRAEF
• Liberty Property Trust
• Quarles & Brady
• RA Smith
•Sign*A*Rama
• Whyte Hirschboeck Dudek
Retail Presenter
Michele Dugan, CCIMMid America Real Estate
Office Presenters
Daniel J. Jessup, CCIM
Grubb & Ellis/Apex Commercial
Dan Wroblewski
Inland Companies
Industrial Presenters
James M. Young Barry Chavin, SIORColliers-Barry NAI MLG Commercial
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
2009Market Update
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Retail Market Update
2009 Market Update - Retail
Michele Dugan, CCIMMid America Real Estate
Retail Market
Milwaukee: Size of the Market
• According to Co-Star, Milwaukee ranks 25th relative to 65 other markets on a national basis.
• Milwaukee has approximately 34,256,969 square feet of shopping center space and we currently have a 11.2% vacancy rate.
Retail Market
New Frontiers
• New areas seeing growth – Grafton, Waukesha and Kenosha.• Why are these markets seeing growth?• Barriers to entry.• Housing starts.• Demand for product.• Repositioning of tenants.• Mid-box & Big box generators.
Retail Market
Grafton Commons - Grafton
• Retailers include: Costco, Kohl’s, PetsMart, Best Buy, Dick’s Sporting Goods, AAA, Steinhafel’s Mattress, Qdoba, Verizon, Michael’s, Kohler Credit Union and Aldi Foods.
Retail Market
Grafton Commons
Retail Market
Shoppes at Fox River - Waukesha
• Retailers include: Target, Pick N Save, CVS, Petco, Maurice’s, Famous Footwear, Chili’s, Five Guys, BW3’s, Noodles & Co, and GameStop
CARW 2009 Retail Deal of the Year
Retail Market
Shoppes at Prairie Ridge - Kenosha
• Retailers include: JC Penny, PetsMart, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Target, Maurice’s, Tazinos, Cousin’s Subs, ULTA Cosmetics, Fed-Ex, Starbucks, Cost Cutters and Verizon Wireless.
Retail Market
Issues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets
1. Financing • Lack of new product – not enough tenants that are looking
to expand or relocate. • Few new developments.• Loan to value (LTV) have increased from 80/20 to 55/45.
2. Declining Store Openings• Starbucks – closed 600 stores in 2008-2009.• Target & Wal-Mart cut back on number of store openings
overall.• Retailers’ focus is improving existing store sales.
Retail Market
Issues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets
3. Retailer Bankruptcy • Increasing supply of retail space
– Former Linen’s and Things - Brookfield
Retail Market
Issues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets
• Circuit City – former Circuit City – South 76th Street
Retail MarketIssues Effecting Commercial Retail Markets
4. Rental Rates
• Declining - over the past year rental rates have declined due to poor retailer sales per square foot.
• Landlords forced to reset rates for tenants to achieve a feasible health ratio.
• Existing tenants continue to struggle because sales per square foot have declined.
• Negative affect on landlords – struggling to pay their mortgage.• Renegotiation of rental rates for existing tenants.
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Challenges
• Few or no new shopping center developments.• Additional store closings which will increase the supply of space.• Financing – will continue to be difficult for both development
financing and operational financing.• Repositioning of tenants from B or C centers to A centers.• Mountain of loans coming to maturity in 2010.
Forecast – 2010 Challenges
According to the latest Emerging Trends Report from the Urban Land Institute, “Shopping center owners operate in Darwinian mode. We are seeing triage among the B & C properties” trying to retain tenants.”
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued
• Re-use and redevelopment of existing mid and big boxes.• Consumer Confidence – University of Michigan Surveys of
Consumers.
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued
• Consumer Confidence – University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
• The Index of Consumer Sentiment was 70.6 in the October 2009 survey, which is substantially above the 57.6 recorded last October.
• Report shared that consumers now put debt reduction and increased savings at the top of their agendas.
• Black Friday – According to the NRF, the average amount each consumer spent dropped to $343.31, down from $372.57 last year; total sales were flat at $42.1 billion.
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued
• Competition for every dollar - $$$.• Cap Rates.
• More foreclosures in commercial real estate.
Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued
Forecast – 2010 Challenges Continued
Commercial Mortgage Defaults
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life
• Discount retailers and quick service restaurants continue to expand.• Retailers that are actively expanding in the Milwaukee Metro:
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life
• Reuse of existing buildings/conversions.• Unconventional uses are backfilling vacant retail spaces office &
medical users.
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life
Example: Former Sentry Foods converted to a Gold’s Gym
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life
Example: Former Steinhafel’s converted to Froedtert & Medical
College of Wisconsin
Before
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life
Example: Former Steinhafel’s converted to Froedtert & Medical
College of Wisconsin
After
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life
Example: Former Sentry Foods – Oak Creek – converted to a TJ Maxx
and Petco
Before
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 Predictions - Signs of Life
Example: Former Sentry Foods – Oak Creek – converted to a TJ Maxx
and Petco
After
Retail Market
Forecast – 2010 – What you can do….
• Back to the basics.• Survival of the fittest.• React to deals and be open minded.• Think outside the box.• Unconventional times require hard work.• Work with your bank.
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Office
Market Update
Office Markets – West & South
Daniel J. Jessup, CCIMGrubb & Ellis/Apex Commercial
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Office West Market Update
Office Submarket West 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 7,252,043 Square Feet
Occupied Space 6,126,690 Square Feet
Vacant Space 1,125,353 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 15.52%
Absorption -268,706 Square Feet
Office Submarket West Historical Statistics
Office Submarket West
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 6,967,076 7,192,790 7,227,535 5,927,538 7,252,043
Occupied Space 5,889,552 6,288,977 6,210,628 5,058,415 6,126,690
Vacant Space 1,077,524 903,813 1,016,907 869,123 1,125,353
Vacancy Rate 14.58% 12.57% 14.07% 14.66% 15.52%
Office Submarket West Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Office Submarket WestMajor Lease Transactions
Rausch, Sturm, Israel & Horchik Law Firm – Maplewood Executive Center• 22,957 Square Feet
Travelers Indemnity Insurance – Pinnacle I• 36,500 Square Feet
Herzing University – 555 S. Executive Drive• 13,144 Square Feet
M&I Bank – 235 N. Executive Drive• 44,000 Square Feet
Office Submarket West
West Submarket Development• ATC Corporate Offices. • Ridgeview Corporate Park. • Single Tenant, Three-story, Class A office building. • 152,000 Square Feet • Completed September, 2009 • Developer: Interstate Partners, Bill Schwartz.
Office Submarket West
West Submarket Development
• New fire station – Greenfield Avenue.
Office Submarket West
West Submarket Development
• New fire station – Calhoun Road.
Office Submarket West
West Submarket Proposed Development
• Former Quebecor site on Bluemound Road finalist for Astronautics Headquarters.
Office Submarket West
West Submarket Notable Trends
• Run on fire stations.• F.I.R.E tenants are active.
Office Submarket West
Last Year’s Predictions• Continued soft throughout 2009 with landlords needing to provide
free rent and excess tenant improvement allowance to maintain their face rents.
2010 Outlook• Continued soft throughout 2010 with landlords needing to provide
MORE free rent and MORE excess tenant improvement allowances to maintain their face rents.
• No speculative development. • Any new development preleased.
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Office South Market Update
Office Submarket South 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 1,842,256 Square Feet
Occupied Space 1,535,705 Square Feet
Vacant Space 306,551 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 16.64%
Absorption -179,623 Square Feet
Office Submarket South Historical Statistics
Office Submarket South
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 1,843,725 1,843,725 1,976,451 1,747,829 1,841,125
Occupied Space 1,635,545 1,670,185 1,417,080 1,526,474 1,535,705
Vacant Space 208,180 173,540 177,317 221,355 306,551
Vacancy Rate 11.29% 9.41% 8.97% 12.66% 16.64%
Office Submarket South Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Office Submarket South
South Submarket New Development
Oakwood Park Commons• 4202 S. Oakwood Park Court, Franklin• Three-story, Class A, multi-tenant office/retail building• 50,427 total square feet• 23,046 square feet available
Office Submarket South
South Submarket New Development
Liberty Corporate Preserve I• 10050 S. 27th Street, Oak Creek• Single-story, Class A office building• 44,000 total square feet• 33,191 square feet available
Office Submarket South
Major Lease Transaction
• Lakeshore Medical - 14,773 Square Feet• United States Air Force - 7,000 Square Feet• GSA – 12,100 Square Feet
Office Submarket South
South Market Information• New Inventory: 94,427 SF – 5.5% increase.
• Absorption: -179,623 SF.
• Smaller average tenant size.
• Several years of available inventory based on historical data.
Office Submarket South
Last Year’s Predictions
• Increased leasing based on current level of interest, tours and RFP’s.
• 440th Air Force Base land will have a positive impact on the market.
• More talk about and maybe progress on rail.
Office Submarket South
2010 Outlook• Negative absorption likely to continue – hopefully at a much slower
pace. • Significant lease incentives with minimal velocity. • KRM moving forward – likely no impact in 2010; future impact
significant.• Future of 440th Air Force Base still undecided; significant leasing
obstacles to overcome.
Office Submarket SouthOffice Market 2009 Notable Trends
• Market numbers likely worse than indicated. • Subleases not included.• Tenant excess capacity; 2009 staff reductions. • Excess capacity will slow the office market recovery.
• Landlords offering/preferring short term renewals with no TI costs.• Stable tenants blending and extending; great opportunity to secure
additional space for anticipated growth at reduced rates.• Tenants are EXTREMELY aggressive.• Significant lease incentives.
• Landlords aggressively pursue every prospect.
Office Submarket South
How do we fix this?
• Four letter word – JOBS!• Elect/Re-Elect pro-business leadership at all levels of government.
Office Markets – North & Central
Dan WroblewskiInland Companies
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Office North Market Update
Office Submarket North 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 4,317,719 Square Feet
Occupied Space 3,394,959 Square Feet
Vacant Space 922,760 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 21.37%
Absorption -85,799 Square Feet
Office Submarket North Historical Statistics
Office Submarket North
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 4,600,905 4,274,894 4,423,995 4,418,909 4,317,719
Occupied Space 3,830,270 3,487,342 3,404,793 3,648,948 3,394,959
Vacant Space 770,635 787,552 1,019,202 769,961 922,760
Vacancy Rate (%) 16.75% 18.42% 23.04% 17.42% 21.37%
Office Submarket North Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Office Submarket NorthMajor Lease Transactions
Bryant & Stratton College – Bayshore Town Center• 37,000 Square Feet
Restat – Liberty Park Place• 30,000 Square Feet
ARI – Two Park• 20,000 Square Feet
Kelly Services – Liberty Park Place• 20,000 Square Feet
Office Submarket North
North Submarket Notable Trends
• The North Shore office market is beginning to compete for Downtown tenants more frequently.– Population growth in the North.– Tenants looking to reduce occupancy costs.– Some companies feel they no longer need a downtown office.– Bayshore effect.
• If this trend continues, it will provide an additional avenue in growth for this submarket.
Office Submarket North
North Submarket Notable Trends
• Park Place submarkets lack of diversification causes constant instability during economic downturns.
•Made up of large users.
•No real small user options.
•Large users flip-flop between Park Place buildings.
Office Submarket North
Last Year’s Predictions
• Rental rates remain flat with increased concessions.– Rates down, concessions up.
• Continued positive absorption.– Did not occur.
• Cross pollination between three areas (East, Brown Deer and Northwest). In other words, any of the three areas can see tenants coming from the other 2 (which has not usually occurred).
Office Submarket North
2010 Outlook
• Rental rates will hold at their already deflated levels with similar lease concessions.
• We will see negative absorption again in 2010 in this submarket. Recovering should begin in Q3/Q4 but not enough to turn to the positive.
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Office Central Market Update
Office Submarket Central 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 15,470,375 Square Feet
Occupied Space 12,145,958 Square Feet
Vacant Space 3,324,417 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 21.49%
Absorption -293,165 Square Feet
Office Submarket Central Historical Statistics
Office Submarket Central
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 15,791,221 15,794,356 16,192,174 14,948,519 15,470,375
Occupied Space 13,297,961 12,874,227 12,817,566 12,046,551 12,145,958
Vacant Space 2,493,260 2,920,129 3,374,608 2,901,968 3,324,417
Vacancy Rate 15.79% 18.49% 20.84% 19.41% 21.49%
Office Submarket Central Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Office Submarket Central
Class Warfare: Class A vs. Class B• Downtown Class A vacancy: 10.46% (True Class A Towers)• Downtown Class B vacancy: 26.50%
Office Submarket Central
Class Warfare: Class A vs. Class B
• Class A rental rates, which dictate the overall market, have been getting compressed over the past 12-18 months.
• Class A buildings are aggressively pursuing Class B tenants.
• Well capitalized Class A buildings have an advantage.
• Class B buildings have had to get extremely aggressive to remain relevant in this market.
• The influx of short-term deals in Class B buildings is simply allowing them to buy time in the hope that a recovery is on its way.
Office Submarket Central
There Are Opportunities• Educational users have been the most active segment in the
Milwaukee market in 2009 leading to over 250,000 SF of new activity market wide.
• There are a number of significant deals in the market today and some large lease expirations coming in the next 12-36 months that could lead to new development.
• The recent flurry of short-term leases will lead to pent-up demand and an active future.
Office Submarket Central
Last Year’s Predictions
• Downtown: Rates and occupancy will increase for A and well positioned B buildings. The rest of the market will remain slow with concessions for any new tenants.– Occupancy stable in Class A, rates were down.– Class B suffered across the board.
• Mayfair: Rate and TI concessions will continue for the first half to ¾ of 2009 after which landlords will be able to remain more firm as occupancy increases. – Rates & TI concessions present all year. Has yet to stablize.
Office Submarket Central
2010 Outlook• We will hit the bottom in 2010 and start the slow climb back up.
• Rental rates will begin to recover for Class A buildings in the 3Q/4Q, followed by the Class B rates.
• Landlord concessions will continue at current levels throughout 2010.
• We will see flat to slight negative absorption through Q1/Q2 as the economy struggles to recover. We will turn to the positive in the second half of the year.
Office Submarket Central
How do we fix this?• Banks need to begin lending again.
• Aggressive leadership in our local government.
• Post-recession development trend of the past.
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Industrial Market Update
Industrial Markets – Central & West
Jim YoungColliers - Barry
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Industrial Central
Market Update
Industrial Submarket Central 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 23,717,565 Square Feet
Occupied Space 19,601,998 Square Feet
Vacant Space 4,115,567 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 17.35%
Absorption -16,130 Square Feet
Industrial Submarket Central Historical Statistics
Industrial Submarket Central
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 20,655,165 20,442,487 20,590,963 23,538,615 23,717,565
Occupied Space 17,881,277 18,329,302 18,077,078 19,902,731 19,601,998
Vacant Space 2,733,888 2,093,185 2,513,885 3,635,884 4,115,567
Vacancy Rate 13.24% 10.24% 12.21% 15.45% 17.35%
Industrial Submarket Central Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Industrial Submarket Central
Central Building Sales
• Primarily comprised of older buildings
• Buyers faced with limited high quality inventory
Central Building Sales
Goodwill Industries
• 12121 W. Feerick St., Wauwatosa• 65,240 Square Feet• $2,400,000 ($36.79 SF)
Central Building Sales
SRS Enterprises
• 203 S. Curtis Road, West Allis• 20,360 Square Feet• $1,200,000 ($58.94 SF)
Central Building Sales
Badger Trailer
• 401 S. 3rd Street & 422 S. 4th Street, Milwaukee• 2 Buildings – 54,273 Square Feet• $1,023,000 ($18.85 SF)
Industrial Submarket Central
Central Building Leases
• Few noteworthy leases in this submarket – many smaller, short term transactions.
• Quality buildings outperformed older inventory – Suburban markets offered competitive alternatives.
Central Building Leases
Daily Direct
• 4600 N. 124th Street, Wauwatosa• 55,000 Square Feet• $3.50 psf NNN
Central Building Leases
ARG Machining
• 4630 S. Brust Ave., St. Francis• 16,050 Square Feet• $8.50 psf NNN
Central Building Leases
ILLCO, Inc.
• 3930 W. Burnham St., Milwaukee• 13,057 Square Feet• $4.65 psf NNN
Industrial Submarket Central
Last Year’s Predictions
• Smaller tenants in the 5,000 to 10,000 SF are looking to buy.– Yes, but paralyzed by a fear of the market.
• Smaller tenants yet, 2,000 to 3,000 SF are moving up from operations they’ve been running out of a garage or makeshift space and looking for functionality and some image (at a reasonable price).– Many remain in garages
Industrial Submarket Central
Last Year’s Predictions Continued• Some users were having us search to “flee” the market to be West
of 124th Street – specifically for maintaining their business as a profitable venture.– Uncertainty about “sick leave” referendum, high tax climate
and limited quality supply continued to push users N/S/W.
• REDEVELOPMENT – displacement of existing tenants/owners.– Very limited due to condition of development market and
unavailability of money.
• Both real estate and our economy are cyclical (this is a time of opportunity).– Selective opportunity.
Industrial Submarket Central
2010 Outlook
• Static/absorption.• No new speculative development due to land limitations.• Strategic buys to reposition assets.• Continued migration from central submarket to suburbs.
– Price pressure on central submarket as value of suburban markets “steal” tenant/prospects.
• Thinking positive.– Great values for tenants.– Buildings can be had at a discount.
• Quality product will see activity but at a lower price point.• Concessions.
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Industrial West
Market Update
Industrial Submarket West 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 29,628,312 Square Feet
Occupied Space 27,557,970 Square Feet
Vacant Space 2,070,342 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 6.99%
Absorption 65,293 Square Feet
Industrial Submarket West Historical Statistics
Industrial Submarket West
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 27,390,340 28,030,926 27,390,338 27,525,506 29,628,312
Occupied Space 24,663,980 25,328,745 23,373,020 25,865,997 27,557,970
Vacant Space 2,726,350 2,702,181 2,294,839 1,659,509 2,070,342
Vacancy Rate 9.95% 9.64% 8.38% 6.02% 6.99%
Industrial Submarket West Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0123456789
10
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Industrial Submarket West
West Building Sales
• 2009 was dominated by user transactions and limited investment sales compared to years past.
• Key transactions – quality real estate.
West Building Sales
Valeo-Prestwick
• 5449 N. Executive Drive, Sussex• 58,134 Square Feet• $3,900,000 ($67.09 SF)
West Building Sales
Painters Union
• S68 W22665 National Ave., Vernon• 63,000 Square Feet• $2,450,000 ($38.89 SF)
West Building Sales
Denali Flavors
• 3100 S. 166th Street, New Berlin• 29,000 Square Feet• $1,415,000 ($48.80 SF)
Industrial Submarket West
West Building Leases
• Few large leases done in 2009
West Building Leases
Sunburst Apparel
• 340 Maple Ave., Hartland• 35,000 Square Feet• $3.75 psf NNN
West Building Leases
Tire Centers, Inc.
• 16800 W. Ryerson Rd., New Berlin• 42,000 Square Feet• $3.95 psf NNN
CARW 2009 Industrial Deal of the Year
West Building Leases
Friction Stir Link
• 19775 W. Somer Dr., Brookfield• 35,000 Square Feet
Industrial Submarket West
Last Year’s Predictions
• Cautious Optimism. – Very definitively.
• Best areas for growth will be along the I-94 Corridor – Pewaukee and Pabst Farms.– Pabst has remained stagnant as good opportunities have
become available closer to employee bases – further east.
Industrial Submarket West
Last Year’s Predictions Continued
• Slow growth in New Berlin, Muskego and Southern Waukesha
County. – New Berlin/Muskego corridor is slow growth but the one
area where we’re seeing speculative development.• Briohn and Luterbach.• Potential expansion of Buy Season space.• Relatively good leasing activity in the New
Berlin/Muskego area on smaller sites.
Industrial Submarket West
2010 Outlook
• Predicated on stabilized economy.• Continued drive to quality product.
– Consolidation and image upgrade.• Continued trend of lower vacancy rate relative to past and other
markets due to submarket constraints.– Limited speculative construction in 2007 and 2008.– Limited planned projects in 2009-2010.– Vacancy could rise to 8-9% if the market overall has not yet
bottomed out.• Still well below other submarket vacancy rates.
– Inconsistent velocity.• Symptom of overall market confidence.
Industrial Submarket West
2010 Outlook Continued
• Great deals/compelling reasons to move.– Free rent.– Rental rate concessions.
Industrial Markets – North & South
Barry Chavin, SIORNAI MLG Commercial
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Industrial North Market Update
Industrial Submarket North 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 40,355,792 Square Feet
Occupied Space 35,881,442 Square Feet
Vacant Space 4,474,350 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 11.1%
Absorption -619,243 Square Feet
Industrial Submarket North Historical Statistics
Industrial Submarket North
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 37,623,390 38,984,952 41,238,883 40,006,870 40,355,792
Occupied Space 33,565,000 34,996,792 37,336,849 36,766,302 35,881,442
Vacant Space 4,058,380 3,998,160 3,902,034 3,240,568 4,474,350
Vacancy Rate 10.79% 10.23% 9.46% 8.10% 11.1%
Industrial Submarket North Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Industrial Submarket North
Now for the 2009 Highlights
It’s over!
Industrial North Notable Transactions
Tramont Properties/Avergeris & Associates
• 3701 N. Humboldt Blvd., Milwaukee• 172,344 Square Feet• $3,000,000 ($17.40 SF)• Brokered by The Dickman Company
Coakley/Mirvac
• 3511 W. Green Tree Rd., Milwaukee• 175,000 Square Feet• $4,257,000 ($24.33 SF)• Brokered by The Dickman Company & Colliers Barry
Industrial North Notable Transactions
Industrial North Notable TransactionsHolland Beauty Flower & Bulb Corp/
Carlisle Tire & Wheel Company
• 8480 N. 87th Street, Milwaukee• 91,626 Square Feet• $2,700,000 ($29.46/SF)• Brokered by CBRE & The Boerke Company
Industrial North Submarket
Last Year’s
Predictions
Industrial Submarket North
Last Year’s Predictions
• In 2009, the industrial market will realize the negative absorption.• Zero to negative absorption.• New construction will be limited to Germantown, West Bend and
Jackson.• Rental concessions will increase as landlords compete for fewer
deals.
Industrial Submarket North
2010 Outlook
• We will turn the corner and have positive absorption.• New construction will occur but be limited to a few projects and
owner occupied.• Rental rates will be pressured lower. Landlords will fight hard to
retain tenants and attract new ones.
• 2010 will truly be a TENANT/BUYER MARKET.
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Industrial South Market Update
Industrial Submarket South 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 24,927,503 Square Feet
Occupied Space 21,902,625 Square Feet
Vacant Space 3,024,878 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 12.1%
Absorption -578,720 Square Feet
Industrial Submarket South Historical Statistics
Industrial Submarket South
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Total Universe 26,300,486 26,442,921 26,438,781 27,840,965 24,927,503
Occupied Space 24,567,860 24,150,521 23,225,368 24,372,829 21,902,625
Vacant Space 1,732,626 2,292,400 3,213,413 3,468,168 3,024,878
Vacancy Rate 6.59% 8.67% 12.15% 12.46% 12.10%
Industrial Submarket South Historical Vacancy Rates (%)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Industrial South Notable Transactions
Former Delphi Plant
• 7929 S. Howell Ave., Oak Creek• 1,500,000 Square Feet
TechTrans/CenterPoint Properties
• 5235 S. International Drive, Cudahy• 37,000 Square Feet• Brokered by CBRE & NAI MLG Commercial
Industrial South Notable Transactions
Industrial South Notable Transactions
CenterPoint Properties/Liberty Property Trust
• Rexnord Building: 5150 S. International, Drive Cudahy• 150,000 Square Feet• $6,400,000 ($42.67/SF)• Brokered by RFP Commercial
Industrial South Notable Transactions
First Industrial/WE Energies
• 7420 S. Howell Avenue, Oak Creek• 81,325 Square Feet• Brokered by CBRE
Industrial South Notable Transactions
OPUS North/Yaskawa
• 100 W. Oakwood Road, Oak Creek• 107,249 Square Feet• Brokered by RFP Commercial & The Boerke Company
Industrial Submarket South
Last Year’s Predictions
• South market will remain a tenant market• Allowances and concessions will persist.
• Growth will come from the South.
Industrial Submarket South
2010 Outlook
• Absorption will occur.• Very limited new construction as the market will need to absorb
existing space.• Downward pressure on lease rates and an increase in concessions. • Velocity of deals will increase from 2009.
NAIOP-WI & CARW Market Update
Kenosha Market Update
Industrial Submarket Kenosha 2009 Statistics
Total Universe 16,878,286 Square Feet
Occupied Space 14,383,895 Square Feet
Vacant Space 2,494,391 Square Feet
Vacancy Rate 14.8%
Absorption 108,062 Square Feet
Ozburn-Hessey Logistics/Liberty Property Trust & Towne Investments
• 8691 109th Street, Pleasant Prairie• 239,376 Square Feet – Brokered by Lee & Associates• 8330 107th Street, Pleasant Prairie• 54,000 Square Feet – Brokered by Lee & Associates
Industrial Submarket Kenosha Notable Transactions
Uline Headquarters
• I-94 and Hwy. Q• 1,100, 000 Square Feet Distribution Center• 200,000 Square Feet Office• CenterPoint Properties Fee Developed Project
Industrial Submarket Kenosha Notable Transactions
Arvato Digital Services/CenterPoint Properties
• 8505 100th Street, Pleasant Prairie• 100,000 Square Feet• CenterPoint Properties leased to Arvato Digital
• 11500 80th Street Kenosha• 400,000 Square Feet• $17,600,000 ($44/SF)• Brokered by Paine-Wetzel
Industrial Submarket Kenosha Notable Transactions
Industrial Submarket Kenosha Market
Last Year’s Predictions
• Growth• Speculative Development
Industrial Submarket Kenosha
2010 Outlook
• Increase velocity of deals compared to 2009.• Lower lease rates with more concessions.• Landlords will have a “live to fight another day”
attitude.
Industrial Submarket Kenosha
Kenosha Summary
We are going to suck up space!
• Simplicize it all in 2010
2009 Commercial Real Estate
Market UpdatePresented by
Thank You to our Sponsors!
Thank You to our Sponsors!
Corporate Sponsors
NAIOP-WI Gold Sponsors CARW Corporate Sponsor
Corporate Sponsors
NAIOP-WI Silver Sponsors
• Bank Mutual
• Outlook Development
• TOLD Development
• Towne Realty
• Wangard Partners
Corporate Sponsors
NAIOP-WI Bronze Sponsors• BCI Group
• Berghammer Construction
• Chicago Title
• CenterPoint Properties
• GRAEF
• Liberty Property Trust
• Quarles & Brady
• RA Smith
• Sign *A* Rama
• Whyte Hirschboeck Dudek
2010 Market Update
ThursdayDecember 9, 2010
Mark your calendar!