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2009 Budget and Medium Term Plan Council July 2009

2009 Budget and Medium Term Plan Council July 2009

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2009 Budget and Medium Term Plan

Council July 2009

Guiding principles

Set financial targets that are achievable and consistent with the University Plan

Address current challenges Assure robustness Provide a platform for future development

Key Financial Outputs

Operating surplus Trading surplus Operating Cash Flow

Context

Current performance Current and future operating environment University development plans

Current performance

A secure platform for development Operating surplus better than budget Trading result above budget Operating Cash Flow above budget Cash Flow stronger than budget and

borrowing lower than projected

A secure platform for development

2009 MTP - Trading Surplus v OCF last four years actual and current year's estimate

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

04/0

505

/06

06/0

707

/08

08/0

9

£000

Trading surplus Operating cashflow

Operating environment

Systematic risk Pensions Remuneration Energy

Specific risk Credit crunch

The Credit Crunch

University Investment Plans

2009 MTP Capital Expenditure (on Balance Sheet)

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

04/0

505

/06

06/0

707

/08

08/0

909

/10

10/1

111

/12

12/1

313

/14

14/1

515

/16

16/1

717

/18

18/1

919

/20

£000

Heslington East Other

2009 MTP – headline numbers

Main changes since 2008 MTP Favourable

Main changes since 2008 MTPAdverse

MTP 09v08 - Adverse movements(Excluding non-cash and financial items)

£0.6

£6.9

£4.2

£5.2

£2.7

£1.7

£1.0

HEFCE T

HEFCE R

Premises

Contingency

Other

Net Interest

Restructuring costs

2009 MTP Capex, Cashflow , Grants and Borrowing

2009 MTP - Risks, Ratios and Sensitivities

Key ratios

Sensitivities

2009 MTP - Summary

Similar outputs but greater emphasis on income generation and control of key costs

Though Cash Flow similar Borrowing higher

Higher risk strategy in a higher risk environment so greater emphasis on contingency and greater dependence on active performance management

The MTP, Past Performance and the Longer Term

2009 MTP - Trading Surplus v OCF

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

04/0

505

/06

06/0

707

/08

08/0

909

/10

10/1

111

/12

12/1

313

/14

14/1

515

/16

16/1

717

/18

18/1

919

/20

£000

Trading surplus Operating cashflow

2009 MTP Capital Expenditure (on Balance Sheet)

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

04/0

505

/06

06/0

707

/08

08/0

909

/10

10/1

111

/12

12/1

313

/14

14/1

515

/16

16/1

717

/18

18/1

919

/20

£000

Heslington East Other

2009 MTP Funding Sources

-25000

-15000

-5000

5000

15000

25000

35000

45000

55000

65000

75000

85000

95000

105000

115000

04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20

£000

Net operating surplus Borrowing Grants Development programme Other Disposals

2009 MTP - Debt and Cash

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20

£000

Total debt Cash balances

2009 MTP P&L Covenant - Debt service cover including Development Programme

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20

£000

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

OC

F/D

ebt

serv

ice

cost

Operating cash flow Debt service cost Debt service cover