34
1 1 Investor Presentation January 2008, Hong Kong

2008 Strategic Guidance EN FINAL

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11

Investo

r P

resen

tati

on

Jan

uary

2008, H

on

g K

on

g

22

Ag

en

da

11 332

008

CO

SL

Bu

sin

es

s O

utl

oo

k2

008

CO

SL

Bu

sin

es

s O

utl

oo

k

222

00

8

20

08

Ma

cro

Ma

cro

En

vir

on

me

nt

Ou

tlo

ok

En

vir

on

me

nt

Ou

tlo

ok

Re

vie

w o

f 200

7 O

pe

rati

ng

Da

taR

evie

w o

f 200

7 O

pe

rati

ng

Da

ta

33

11R

evie

w o

f 200

7 O

pe

rati

ng

Da

taR

evie

w o

f 200

7 O

pe

rati

ng

Da

ta

44

Dri

llin

g S

erv

ice

s

As

at

31s

t D

ec

20

07

20

06

Ch

an

ge (

%)

Op

era

tin

g D

ay

s (

Da

ys)

5,3

08

4,7

69

11

.3%

Ja

ck-u

p R

igs

4,2

28

3,8

39

10

.1%

Se

mi-

sub

me

rsib

le R

igs

108

09

30

16

.1%

Uti

liz

ati

on

Ra

te (

Av

ail

ab

le D

ays

)1

00

.0%

10

0.0

%0

.0%

Ja

ck-u

p R

igs

100

.0%

10

0.0

%0

.0%

Se

mi-

sub

me

rsib

le R

igs

100

.0%

10

0.0

%0

.0%

Uti

liz

ati

on

Ra

te (

Ca

len

da

r D

ays

)97

.0%

90.0

%7

.0%

Ja

ck-u

p R

igs

96

.5%

91.3

%5

.2%

Se

mi-

sub

me

rsib

le R

igs

98

.6%

84.9

%1

3.7

%

55

We

ll S

erv

ice

s

As a

t 31

st

Dec

20

07

200

6C

han

ge(%

)

Lo

gg

ing

(n

o.

of

job

s)

86

58

37

3.3

%

Dri

llin

g f

luid

s (

no

. o

f w

ell

s)

29

02

91

-0.3

%

Dir

ecti

on

al

Dri

llin

g (

no

. o

f jo

bs)

58

12

42

140

.1%

Cem

en

tin

g (

no

. o

f w

ell

s)

47

43

32

42

.8%

Well

Co

mp

leti

on

(n

o.

of

job

s)

152

71

244

22

.7%

Well

Wo

rko

ve

r (t

eam. ...

days

)15

,944

13,3

69

19

%

66

Ma

rin

e S

up

po

rt a

nd

Tra

ns

po

rta

tio

n S

erv

ice

s

As

at

31s

t D

ec

2007

2006

Ch

an

ge

(%

)

Op

era

tin

g D

ays

(D

ays

)24,2

29

23,6

68

2.4

%

Sta

ndby v

essels

13,2

02

13,3

21

-0.9

%

AH

TS

vessels

7,1

72

6,5

54

9.4

%

PS

V v

essels

2,1

45

2,1

13

1.5

%

Util

ity v

essels

1,7

10

1,6

80

1.8

%

Ve

ss

el U

tilizati

on

Rate

(A

vailab

le D

ays

)99.6

%99.1

%0.5

%

Sta

ndby v

essels

99.8

%99.7

%0.1

%

AH

TS

vessels

100.0

%98.8

%1.2

%

PS

V v

essels

99.7

%99.8

%-0

.1%

Util

ity v

essels

96.6

%94.9

%1.7

%

Ve

ss

el U

tilizati

on

Rate

(C

ale

nd

ar

Days

)94.9

%95.1

%-0

.2%

Sta

ndby v

essels

95.2

%96.0

%-0

.8%

AH

TS

vessels

93.9

%93.7

%0.2

%

PS

V v

essels

97.9

%96.5

%1.4

%

Util

ity v

essels

93.7

%92.1

%1.6

%

77

Geo

ph

ysic

al S

erv

ices

As

at

31

st

De

c2

00

72

00

6C

ha

ng

e (

%)

2D

Se

ism

ic D

ata

Da

ta C

oll

ec

tio

n (

km

)3

7,8

10

45

,68

2-1

7.2

%

Da

ta P

roc

es

sin

g (

km

)1

4,1

37

14

,51

22

.6%

3D

Se

ism

ic D

ata

Da

ta C

oll

ec

tio

n (

km

2)

9,6

94

7,3

37

32

.1%

Da

ta P

roc

es

sin

g (

km

2)

5,6

86

4,1

87

35

.8%

88

222

00

8 M

ac

ro E

nvir

on

me

nt

Ou

tlo

ok

20

08 M

ac

ro E

nvir

on

me

nt

Ou

tlo

ok

99

Ov

erv

iew

In 2

00

7,

favo

rab

le g

lob

al

ec

on

om

ic c

on

dit

ion

co

ntr

ibu

ted

to

an

oIn

20

07

, fa

vo

rab

le g

lob

al

ec

on

om

ic c

on

dit

ion

co

ntr

ibu

ted

to

an

on

go

ing

n

go

ing

inc

rea

se

in

oil

de

ma

nd

. S

inc

e t

he

be

gin

nin

g o

f th

e y

ea

r 2

00

8,

oi

inc

rea

se

in

oil

de

ma

nd

. S

inc

e t

he

be

gin

nin

g o

f th

e y

ea

r 2

00

8,

oi l

pri

ce

s

l p

ric

es

ha

s b

ee

n h

itti

ng

new

re

co

rd h

igh

le

ve

ls.

ha

s b

ee

n h

itti

ng

new

re

co

rd h

igh

le

ve

ls.

Th

e s

tea

dy a

nd

ra

pid

gro

wth

of

the

Ch

ina

ec

on

om

y w

ill

bri

ng

str

oT

he

ste

ad

y a

nd

ra

pid

gro

wth

of

the

Ch

ina

ec

on

om

y w

ill

bri

ng

str

on

g

ng

de

ma

nd

fo

r o

il.

Imp

ort

ed

oil

no

w a

cc

ou

nt

for

50

% o

f C

hin

ad

em

an

d f

or

oil

. Im

po

rte

d o

il n

ow

ac

co

un

t fo

r 5

0%

of

Ch

ina

’’ s t

ota

l s

to

tal

de

ma

nd

.d

em

an

d.

CO

SL

CO

SL

’’ ssb

us

ine

ss

de

ve

lop

me

nt

ca

n t

ak

e t

he

ad

va

nta

ge

ke

y t

ren

ds

in

th

e

bu

sin

es

s d

eve

lop

me

nt

ca

n t

ak

e t

he

ad

va

nta

ge

ke

y t

ren

ds

in

th

e

glo

ba

l o

il i

nd

us

try.

glo

ba

l o

il i

nd

us

try.

2 31

1010

Ste

ad

y I

nc

rea

se

in

Cru

de

Oil

De

ma

nd

Chin

aU

.S.A

.O

thersExp

ecte

d

y-o

-yG

row

th

To

tal C

on

su

mp

tio

n

mil

lio

n b

arr

els

/Da

y

Sou

rce:

EIA

Sho

rt-t

erm

En

erg

y O

utloo

k

186

190

163

170

217.5

1232.5

253.5

1

292.0

7299.8

6

322.5

2

350

360

183.6

8180.8

4164.8

3170.2

9170.4

4174.7

3

138.8

4119.0

2117.3

4

83.0

762.2

152.6

8

0

100

200

300

400

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007E

2008E

Do

mest

ic P

rodu

cti

on

Net

Imp

ort

CA

GR::::

6.5

%

Sou

rce:

Ch

ina

Pe

tro

leu

m a

nd

Ch

em

ica

l In

dustr

y D

ata

Exp

ress

Wo

rld

Dem

an

d f

or

Cru

de O

ilW

orl

d D

em

an

d f

or

Cru

de O

ilC

hin

a D

em

an

d f

or

Cru

de O

ilC

hin

a D

em

an

d f

or

Cru

de O

il

1111

Inte

rnati

on

al o

il p

rices a

s q

uo

ted

on

th

e N

YM

EX

ho

vere

d b

etw

een

US

$55 a

nd

U

S$70 d

uri

ng

1H

2007, an

d s

tart

ed

to

clim

b t

here

aft

er

to b

reak t

hro

ug

h U

S$100.

Inte

rnati

on

al o

il p

rices a

s q

uo

ted

on

th

e N

YM

EX

ho

vere

d b

etw

een

US

$55 a

nd

U

S$70 d

uri

ng

1H

2007, an

d s

tart

ed

to

clim

b t

here

aft

er

to b

reak t

hro

ug

h U

S$100.

Inte

rnati

on

al

oil p

rices c

on

tin

ues t

o h

it n

ew

hig

hs

1212

Co

al

66

.1%

Hyd

ro,

Nu

cle

ar

an

d

Win

d P

ow

er

8.1

%

Na

tura

l G

as

5.3

%

Oil

20

.5%

Ch

ina

’s E

ne

rgy S

tra

teg

ic S

tru

ctu

ral P

lan

nin

g f

or

the

ne

xt

Fiv

e Y

ea

rs

Targ

et

En

erg

y C

on

su

mp

tio

n B

reakd

ow

n

un

der

th

e E

leven

th F

ive-y

ear

pla

n

Targ

et

En

erg

y C

on

su

mp

tio

n B

reakd

ow

n

un

der

th

e E

leven

th F

ive-y

ear

pla

nC

hin

a’s

En

erg

y C

on

su

mp

tio

n

Bre

akd

ow

n 2

006

Ch

ina’s

En

erg

y C

on

su

mp

tio

n

Bre

akd

ow

n 2

006

Source: China Statistical Yearbook

Oil

sti

ll c

on

sti

tute

s o

ne

of

the

ba

sic

pil

lars

of

the

co

un

try’s

en

erg

y c

on

su

mp

tio

n.

Its

p

rop

ort

ion

wil

l re

ma

in u

nc

ha

ng

ed

at

lea

st

in t

he

ne

xt

5 y

ea

rs.

Oil

sti

ll c

on

sti

tute

s o

ne

of

the

ba

sic

pil

lars

of

the

co

un

try

Oil

sti

ll c

on

sti

tute

s o

ne

of

the

ba

sic

pil

lars

of

the

co

un

try

’’ s e

ne

rgy c

on

su

mp

tio

n.

Its

s

en

erg

y c

on

su

mp

tio

n.

Its

pro

po

rtio

n w

ill

rem

ain

un

ch

an

ge

d a

t le

as

t in

th

e n

ex

t 5

ye

ars

.p

rop

ort

ion

wil

l re

ma

in u

nc

ha

ng

ed

at

lea

st

in t

he

ne

xt

5 y

ea

rs.

Sourc

e:State Devel

opm

ent and R

efo

rm C

om

mis

sio

n

(Energ

y D

evelo

pm

ent 11

thF

ive-Y

ear

Pla

n)

Coal

70%

Hyd

ro,

Nucle

ar

and

Win

d P

ow

er

7%

Natu

ral G

as

3%

Oil

20%

1313

0

20,0

00

40,0

00

60,0

00

80,0

00

100,0

00

120,0

00

140,0

00

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007E

2008E

2009E

2010E

CAPEX

OPEX OPEXOPEXOPEX

Co

nti

nu

ing

In

cre

as

e i

n W

orl

d

Inve

stm

en

ts i

n M

ari

ne

Oil

an

d G

as

Co

nti

nu

ing

In

cre

as

e i

n W

orl

d

Inve

stm

en

ts i

n M

ari

ne

Oil

an

d G

as

Bri

gh

t F

utu

re f

or

Off

sh

ore

Oil a

nd

Gas E

xp

lora

tio

n

World

in

vestm

en

ts in

ma

rine

oil

and

ga

s e

xplo

ratio

n

op

era

tion

s a

re e

xpe

cte

d t

o in

cre

ase

to

US

$1

44

B

pe

r ann

um

on

ave

rage in

the

ne

xt 1

0 y

ea

rs.

Ave

rage

inve

stm

en

ts in

deep

wa

ter

ope

rations w

ill

exc

eed

US

$15

B p

er

ann

um

. D

ee

p w

ate

rs a

nd

ultra

de

ep

wa

ters

will

co

ntin

ue

to

be

ho

t e

xplo

ratio

n s

po

ts

for

wo

rld

oil

and

ga

s.

Inve

stm

en

ts w

ill g

row

fa

ste

r in

West

Afr

ica

, B

razi

l,

Me

xico

Ba

y and

Asia

Pa

cific

re

gio

ns.

Inve

stm

en

ts in

Ma

rine

oil

and

ga

s in

Asia

Pa

cific

in 2

008

will

incre

ase

65%

fro

m t

he le

vels

in 2

002

.

Exp

lora

tion

activi

tie

s a

re s

een

to

kic

k o

ff in

em

erg

ing m

arine

re

gio

ns in

clu

din

g S

ou

thea

st A

sia

.

Sourc

e: E

nerg

yfile

sLtd

.S

ourc

e: O

il.IN

-EN

.com

1414

840

1,0

50

1,2

35

1,6

79

35

40

45

45

23

33

29

600

1,0

00

1,4

00

1,8

00

2,2

00

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007E

2008E

Pro

du

cti

on

We

llG

as

an

d O

ilfi

eld

So

urc

e:

CN

OO

C L

imit

ed

CO

SL

receiv

es

be

nefi

ts f

rom

dif

fere

nt

sta

ges

in

clu

din

g e

xp

lora

tio

n, d

ev

elo

pm

en

t an

d p

rod

uc

tio

n

CO

SL

receiv

es

be

nefi

ts f

rom

dif

fere

nt

sta

ges

in

clu

din

g e

xp

lora

tio

n, d

ev

elo

pm

en

t an

d p

rod

uc

tio

n

Ch

ina’s

off

sh

ore

op

era

tio

ns

at

full

cap

acit

y

Ch

ina’s

off

sh

ore

op

era

tio

ns

at

full

cap

acit

y

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

E0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2006

2007E

2008E

2009E

2010E

RM

B b

Petr

oC

hin

aS

inopec

CN

OO

C

So

urc

e:

CL

SA

sta

tis

tics

Exp

lora

tio

n C

AP

EX

in

Ch

ina

Exp

lora

tio

n C

AP

EX

in

Ch

ina

Bri

gh

t F

utu

re f

or

Off

sh

ore

Oil a

nd

Gas

Ex

plo

rati

on

in

Ch

ina 2

00

8E

1515

Tre

nd

in

Wo

rld

Oil D

istr

ibu

tio

n a

nd

Dev

elo

pm

en

t

Wo

rld

Oil

Re

so

urc

es

are

lo

ca

ted

as

66

% o

ns

ho

re a

nd

34

% o

ffs

ho

re

Mo

st

of

the

oil

re

so

urc

es

are

lo

ca

ted

in

a f

ew

co

un

trie

s.

Re

se

rve

s i

n

the

Mid

dle

Ea

st,

fo

rme

r R

us

sia

co

mp

ris

e 8

0%

of

the

wo

rld

’s t

ota

l.

Sta

te-o

wn

ed

oil

co

mp

an

ies

ha

ve

an

in

cre

as

ing

sa

y

Tre

nd

in

Wo

rld

Oilfi

eld

Dis

trib

uti

on

an

d D

evelo

pm

en

tT

ren

d i

n W

orl

d O

ilfi

eld

Dis

trib

uti

on

an

d D

evelo

pm

en

tT

ren

d i

n W

orl

d O

ilfi

eld

Dis

trib

uti

on

an

d D

evelo

pm

en

t

New

te

ch

no

log

ies

pla

y a

dis

tin

cti

ve

ro

le i

n o

il i

nd

us

trie

s

Inc

rea

sin

gly

fre

qu

en

t M

&A

of

oil

an

d g

as

as

se

ts a

cro

ss

th

e w

orl

d

Ex

plo

rati

on

ac

tivit

ies

ex

ten

d i

nto

de

ep

wa

ters

an

d r

eg

ion

s

of

rem

ote

ac

ce

ss

ibil

ity a

nd

co

mp

lic

ate

d l

an

ds

ca

pe

1616

Tre

nd

in

Wo

rld

Oil D

istr

ibu

tio

n a

nd

Dev

elo

pm

en

t (c

on

t’d

)

1717

20

08

20

08年 年年年年 年年年

CO

SL

CO

SL发

展展

望发

展展

望发

展展

望发

展展

望发

展展

望发

展展

望发

展展

望发

展展

二 二二二二 二二二2

00

8

20

08

CO

SL

C

OS

L B

us

ine

ss O

utl

oo

kB

us

ine

ss O

utl

oo

k33

1818

CO

SL

CO

SL

’’ ssIn

vestm

en

t H

igh

lig

hts

Investm

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