2007-11-18 Synergy of POWER: BOSEC&TROSE Stasys Paulauskas, Assoc.Prof.Dr. Strategic Self-management Institute, Lithuania TROSE

2007-11-18 www.eksponente.lt 1

Synergy of POWER: BOSEC&TROSESynergy of POWER: BOSEC&TROSE

Stasys Paulauskas, Assoc.Prof.Dr.

Strategic Self-management Institute, Lithuania

TROSE


Content

1.Beyond POWER?

2.BOSEC challenge

3.The key – TROSE


POWER discoveries

+ Big and deep Baltic Sea Good winds

Large enthusiasm

_ Large restricted areas

Expensive bottom works

Not ready producers

No legislation

No grids

Disintegrated facilities

Damaged ecosystem

….


European power market

• enlargement of European Union and integration into European and World economic structures requires significantly increase electricity market integration, which results in less than 10% of Europe’s electricity being traded across borders now


Priorities of EU Power Links Concerning Infrastructure the Priority Interconnection Plan sets out five

priorities:– Identifying the most significant missing infrastructure up to 2013 and

ensuring an-European political support to fill the gaps.– Appointing four European co-coordinators to pursue the four of

the most important priority projects: • the Power-Link between Germany, Poland and Lithuania; • connections to offshore wind power in Northern Europe; • electricity interconnections between France and Spain; • and the Nabucco pipeline, bringing gas from the Caspian to central Europe.

– Agreeing a maximum of 5 years within which planning and approval procedures must be completed for projects that are defined as being "of European interest" under Trans-European Energy Guidelines.

– Examining the need to increase funding for the Energy Trans-European networks, particularly to facilitate the integration of renewable electricity into the grid.

– Establishing a new Community mechanism and structure for Transmission System Operators (TSOs), responsible for co-coordinated network planning.

Stasys Paulauskas

Communication from the Commission to the European Council and the European Parliament an energy policy for Europe Brussels, 10.1.2007 COM(2007) 1 final, {SEC(2007) 12}.


Baltic power grid on cross-road

European Union:

•Invited Baltic States to become EU Members

•Forgot integrate power nets

Reconnection strategies:• Status quo• “Go West”• Integration


Baltic power grid reconnection strategies“Status quo”

Krievija

Ukraina

BaltkrievijaPolij

a

Čehija

Vācija

Lietuva

Latvija

Igaunija

Somija

Norvēģija

Dānija

Zviedrija

NORDEL

UCTI/CENTRAL

Russia

Ukraine

BelorusPoland

Czech

Germany

Lithuania

Latvia

Estonia

Finland

Norway

Dānmarkja

Sweden

Integrated Balticand CIS energy

system

NORDEL

UCTE/CENTRAL Europe

ESTLINK350 MW11.2006

Lithuania - Sweden1000 MW

Lithuania – Poland1000 MW

Realised in end of 2006.:Estlink: Estonia – Finland (350MW). 99(70 and 9+20) km. 110 M€.

It’s seeking:•Lithuania – Sweden, (700-1000 MW, HVDC, ~350km. ~550M€, in ~2015 year?),•Lithuania – Poland (1000 MW, HVDC, ~400M€, in 2010-2012 years?

Stasys Paulauskas

Source: AB "Lietuvos energija"


Baltic power grid reconnection strategies“Go West”

Separate links to Sweden from:

•Poland

•Lithuania,

•Latvia,

•Estonia


Baltic power grid reconnection strategies“Integration”

Investigate, model and design the most appropriate offshore grid - Bosegrid® - Baltic Offshore electricity grid


European Strategic Energy Technology Plan

EC has two key objectives for energy technology: – to lower the cost of clean energy and – to put EU industry at the forefront of the

rapidly growing low carbon technology sector.

• To meet these objectives, the Commission intends to put forward a first European Strategic Energy Technology Plan for endorsement by the 2008 Spring Council.


EC long-term vision

• By 2020, technologies will have to make the 20% renewable target a reality by permitting a sharp increase in the share of lower cost renewables (including the roll-out of off-shore wind …..


EC priorities of such a targeted initiative could include:

• Getting large scale offshore wind competitive within the short term and paving the way towards a competitive European offshore supergrid;


Pan European Super gridCapacity factor of OWP:

•Stand alone 40%

•Super grid 70%

Power market integration:

•Now - 10%

•With Super grid 100%


Wind power in Europe

2005 2006 Installed capacity, MW % Installed capacity, MW % On-shore 39,824 98,32 47,149 98,2 Off-shore 680 1,68 878 1,8 Total 40,500 100 48,027 100

Stasys Paulauskas

EWEA data


European wind power long-term forecastEWEA

Stasys Paulauskas

EWEA data


+&- of Off-shore wind energy

Advantages Limitations More strong wind in large areas Possibilities to avoid territorial

limitations, what have place in some countries

Less visual impact Bigger generation capacity Better interconnections

Higher installation price Less confidentiality Limited industrial experience Lack of political support Development of power grids Need of renovation and finance


POWER: Location of wind parksPoland, Russia (Kaliningrad region), Lithuania


POWER: Installation variants

Country/ Nordex, 2.5 MW Vestas, 3 MW GE, 3.6 MW RePower, 5 MW

WP name FID Area, km2 turbines MW M€ turbines MW M€ turbines MW M€ turbines MW M€

Poland 585 1306 3265 6530 1031 3093 6186 772 2779 5558 527 2635 5270

P1 3 163 364 910 1820 287 861 1722 215 774 1548 147 735 1470

P2 2 151 337 843 1685 266 798 1596 199 716 1433 136 680 1360

P3 1 164 366 915 1830 289 867 1734 217 781 1562 148 740 1480

P4 0 107 239 598 1195 189 567 1134 141 508 1015 96 480 960

Russia 52 117 293 585 91 273 546 69 248 497 47 235 470

R1 0 28 63 158 315 49 147 294 37 133 266 25 125 250

R2 1 24 54 135 270 42 126 252 32 115 230 22 110 220

Lithuania 237 529 1323 2645 418 1254 2508 313 1127 2254 213 1065 2130

L1 2 18 40 100 200 32 96 192 24 86 173 16 80 160

L2 4 33 74 185 370 58 174 348 44 158 317 30 150 300

L3 3 17 38 95 190 30 90 180 22 79 158 15 75 150

L4 1 48 107 268 535 85 255 510 63 227 454 43 215 430

L5 0 121 270 675 1350 213 639 1278 160 576 1152 109 545 1090

Total 874 1952 4880 9760 1540 4620 9240 1154 4154 8309 787 3935 7870

5,58 5,29 4,75 4,5

Manufacturer Nordex Vestas GE Repower

Turbine Model Nordex N80 Vestas V90 GE 3.6 sl Repower M5

Rated Power kW 2500 3000 3600 5000

Rotor Diameter m 80 90 104 126

Hub Height m 100 105 100 100

Swept Area m2 5026 6362 8495 12469

Turbine Area km2 0,45 0,57 0,76 1,11


Hiiumaa off-shore wind park (4energy)


Disintegrated efforts

Confrontation of:• Policymakers,• Businessmen and • scientists (Cat and Mouse Chess)

Results:• Permanent war• No success, specially

in new good visible business – offshore energy

http://images.google.lt/imgres?imgurl=http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ae/Mad_scientist.svg/641px-Mad_scientist.svg.png&imgrefurl=http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Image:Mad_scientist.svg&h=600&w=641&sz=109&hl=lt&start=4&tbnid=krASrHiE6TsQoM:&tbnh=128&tbnw=137&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dscientist%26gbv%3D2%26svnum%3D10%26hl%3Dlt%26sa%3DG

http://images.google.lt/imgres?imgurl=http://www.blayneychess.com/images/catmousediplomatic.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.blayneychess.com/Photo%2520Gallery.htm&h=400&w=351&sz=26&hl=lt&start=123&tbnid=ksPSaqD6t0VWFM:&tbnh=124&tbnw=109&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dmause%2Bchees%2Bcat%26start%3D108%26gbv%3D2%26ndsp%3D18%26svnum%3D10%26hl%3Dlt%26sa%3DN


Qualitative matrix of innovations culture(natural flow)

Innovations culture→ ↓Attributes of human activity

Physics Economics Sustainability

Virtual logic stage→ thesis antithesis synthesis Paradigm Material activity Economic value Sustainable development Methodology Metaphysics Economics Virtualics Quality Natural economy Business Strategic self-management Means Things Money Knowledge Knowledge concept Information Economic data Innovations


Towards integration (natural flow)

A(t)+B(t)+C(t)=1

A(t)- individual business

(thesis)

B(t) – business associations (antithesis)

C(t) – business clusters (synthesis)

Reasonability - more efficiency and synergy trough integration and specialization of business, science and policy facilities


Integration geographyGeography States Baltic States Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia East Baltic Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Poland, Germany All Baltic Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Poland, Germany, Denmark, Sweden,

Finland, Northern Europe

Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Poland, Germany, Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Finland, UK, Ireland, Scotland, Holland, Belgium,

All Europe Add: France, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Balkan States, Greece, etc.


Kinds of off-shore energy

• Renewable:– Wind, wave, stream, heat pumps,

hydrogen, etc.

• Traditional:– Oil, gas, nuclear, etc. ?

• Advanced: .....


Letter of Intent,Klaipeda, July 20, 2007

• We, hereunder signed representatives of – Latvian, – Lithuanian, – Estonian and – Polish wind energy

associations and off-shore wind energy developers,



• bearing responsibility for sustainable and long-term supply of safe, reliable and available energy to residents and enterprises of the Baltic Sea region,



• regretting that many advanced initiatives of off-shore energy development in Baltic countries meets significant barriers related to weak power grid infrastructure, lack of legislation and integration,



• remarking that enlargement of European Union and integration into European and World economic structures requires significantly increase electricity market integration, which results in less than 10% of Europe’s electricity being traded across borders now,



• stating that presented in 2007 by European Commission European Strategic Energy Technology Plan has been provided getting large scale offshore wind competitive within the short term and paving the way towards a competitive European off-shore Supergrid,



• taking into account “The Baltic memorandum on responsible energy” declared by Presidents of wind energy associations of Baltic States in Oslo, in May 30, 2006, which has been highly evaluated by European Energy commissioner Andris Piebalgs



• seeking to create favourable legislative, institutional and financial opportunities for establishment and development of Baltic off-shore energy, we shall undertake:



• To define main strategic target as development of the Baltic off-shore energy using large scale of advanced energy production and transferring technologies,



• Decided to establish Baltic Off-shore Energy Cluster (BOSEC) - a group of scientific, financial, industrial and other enterprises, joined their efforts for efficient development of off-shore energy in marine areas of Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, including establishing off-shore wind parks, wave and stream power stations, etc., same as projecting, financing and construction of East Baltic arm of Pan European Supergrid and arrangement of logistics of European

electricity market.

www.bosec.lt

http://www.bosec.lt/


For European synergy

• The joint activity of BOSEC is targeted to access synergy by integration of efforts and abilities of:– business enterprises, – science organisations and – policymakers of European Commission and national

governments,

• seeking to accelerate development of marine energy and European power markets according to priorities and targets set by Lisbon strategy and EU energy strategic plans.


Natural self-management cycle


BOSEC strategic self-management system


Holistic activity• related to strategic planning,• scientific research, • design, • producing and utilisations

equipment and its parts, • financing, • construction, • exploitation, • producing of electricity and • logistics of all kinds of marine

located energy sources was defined.


The BOSEC council

• The main self-government and decision-making organ of the cluster is the BOSEC Council. The main function of the council is permanent transferring of cluster needs to EU, regional and national policies and legislation.

• For that is necessary to form the Council of representatives of all interested sides:– European Commission,– National governments,– Cluster enterprises,– Cluster innovations institutions (science, design, etc.),– Other (agencies, public bodies, etc.).


Main infrastructure ground - Bosegrid®

• For efficient implementation of EU targets in Baltic region is provided to

• research, development, design, financing and construction of East Baltic arm of Pan European Supergrid – Bosegrid® and arrangement of logistics

related to European electricity market.


BOSEC Initiative group


Join BOSEC!

[email protected]

Baltijos pr. 123-61 LT-93224 Lithuania+370 46 350560; +370 46 230560

http://www.bosec.lt/

mailto:[email protected]


Next – - TROSE -

Towards Responsible Offshore energy

• Target – harmonization of offshore energy introduction into ecosystem by unification and

virtualization of strategic environment assessment procedures


Responsible use of nature

A(t) – irresponsible use of natural sources (thesis)

B(t) - “nature saving” culture (antithesis)

C(t) - Responsible use of nature (synthesis)


TROSE objectives

• to create a virtually implemented Ecological subsystem of Strategic Self-management of Offshore energy, which could enable

• to guaranty responsible use of natural sources • and harmonious interaction of offshore energy and

ecosystem in all stages of projects development: – pre engineering, – designing, – construction, – operation, – maintenance and – utilisation.


TROSE partners

• Strategic Self-management Institute, Lithuania • Costal research and planning Institute, Lithuania • Morski Institute in Gdansk, Poland• Atlantic Branch, Institute of Oceanology, Russian

Academy of Sciences • Latvian Institute of Aquatic Ecology• Estonian Marine Institute, University of Tartu• FCM, Latvia• AOS, Poland• 4energy, Estonia


Main tasks

• Investigations of whole system of factors and its impact harmonisation means,

• creation of indicator system and• virtual data base for long-term modelling,

forecasting, programming and monitoring various scenarios of responsible use of marine nature.


Considered activities:

• Manufacturing of equipment • Service/Transportation to the wind parks• Bottom works and Installation of the wind farms• Maintenance• Accident risk evaluation and prevention


Factors which affects the ecosystem to be evaluated

• pollution due to equipment manufacture and transportation onshore;

• pollution due to offshore transportation• bottom sediments and biota disturbance, influence to the

fish communities..• influence to the erosion process, influence to the

environment due to pollution from the installations, electromagnetic field, vibrations..

• Vessel and windmills collision, accidents due to the natural disasters (crashof the windmill), mechanic violation of the electric cable…


Case studiesEach of the partner will choose the potential Offshore

Energy construction in order to:– Investigate the potential impact factors to the environment

during all stages of construction and operation - Impact Assessment

– Investigate the potential risks during all stages of construction and operation - Risk Assessment

– Work out the economical and environmental impact optimization tools for Offshore energy system - Harmonization/alternatives tools


Expected result

• Easy usable virtual tool for quick evaluation SIA of offshore energy projects and

• No more complicated and long running formal procedures!

• At next – we should unify and virtualize many other formal procedures …


The best way to provide a future – is to create it responsibly!

Thank you for collaboration!

Documents

2007-11-18 Synergy of POWER: BOSEC&TROSE Stasys Paulauskas, Assoc.Prof.Dr. Strategic Self-management Institute, Lithuania TROSE