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2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Jack Koraleski EVP Marketing & Sales Union Pacific Railroad Jack Koraleski EVP Marketing & Sales Union Pacific Railroad

2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

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Page 1: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

2005AnalystMeeting

2005AnalystMeeting

Jack KoraleskiEVP Marketing & SalesUnion Pacific Railroad

Jack KoraleskiEVP Marketing & SalesUnion Pacific Railroad

Page 2: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

New Business Environment

• Value of Our Capacity HasIncreased

• Every Carload Must BeRe-Investable

• Choose Which BusinessWe Can Handle

• All Business Must MeetRequirements of theChanging Environment

Demand > Supply

Page 3: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

165

170

175

180

185

190

195

200

S03

N J04

M M J S N J05

M M*

7-D

ay

Ca

rlo

ad

ing

s

Sustained Demand

Secular Drivers

• TranspacificTrade

• PopulationGrowth

• HighwayInfrastructure

• Crude Oil

* As of May 20th

Last 21 Month Volumes

Previous Record Volumes – Any Year

Flood Embargo PRBIncidents

Page 4: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Growth In Key Corridors1998 - 2004

Page 5: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Challenge/Opportunity

Match Available Demand With UP’sValuable Capacity to Create a Book of

Business That Optimizes Yield andVelocity.

Page 6: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Commercial Strategy GoingForward…

• Drive HigherReturns

• Drive VelocityImprovement

• Maintain Focus onCustomerRelationship

Page 7: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Drive Higher ReturnsCore Price Improvement

1.0% 1.0% 1.0%

3.0%

4.3%

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q

2004 2005

Page 8: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Drive Velocity ImprovementPhoenix

Economic Drivers

• Population Up 29% Since 1998

– 15% growth projected 2005-10

• Housing Starts Up 17% In 2004

– Projected to grow 20% by 2010

UP Volumes

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Up 44%Up 44%

Page 9: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Drive Velocity ImprovementPhoenix Inventory Control

PhoenixTempe

Mesa

McQueen

Gilbert

Magma

Dock

West Chandler

Chandler

Pipeola

Tolleson Campo

Buckeye

Arlington

• Improve ServiceReliability

• Daily Review of PhoenixYard Inventories

• Work Jointly withCustomers to ReduceInventory or ControlInbound Flow

• Avoid Having InventoryOverwhelm Resources

Page 10: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Drive Velocity ImprovementPhoenix Inventory Control

• Improve ServiceReliability

• Daily Review of PhoenixYard Inventories

• Work Jointly withCustomers to ReduceInventory or ControlInbound Flow

• Avoid Having InventoryOverwhelm Resources

2005

Two-Day Old Cars

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2/14 3/16 4/15 5/15

Page 11: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Profitability

1 2 3 4 5

Focus on Customer RelationshipSatisfied Customers Drive Results

Revenue Growth

Dissatisfied/

Neutral

Somewhat

Satisfied

Very Satisfied

Gro

wth

Rate

Overall Satisfaction Rating

Pro

fita

bilit

y In

dex

Page 12: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Focus on Customer RelationshipCustomer Satisfaction Survey

• Monthly TargetsEstablished

• Causes of VarianceIdentified

• Corrective Action PlanImplemented

• Follow-up WithIndividual Customer onAll DissatisfiedResponses

OverallSatisfaction

Velocity(MPH)

J02 J03 J04 J05

Page 13: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Our Message to Customers

• Unified Plan Will Drive Velocity Improvement

• Lean Management and Other Initiatives WillImprove Productivity

• Capital Investment Will Provide AdditionalCapacity

• Velocity, Productivity and Capacity Will AllowUs to Handle Future Growth

• Price Improvement Needed to Improve ROI toSupport Needed Capital Investment

Page 14: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

2005AnalystMeeting

2005AnalystMeeting

Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up

Page 15: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

200

300

400

500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Agricultural Products Overview2004 Revenue = $1.7 Billion

WholeGrains

41%

GrainProducts

37%

Business Mix

Food/Ref.22%

Revenue Growth Trend

• Ethanol/Co-Products

• More Productive Forms ofService

– Shuttle/Unit Train Focus

– Express Lane

• Mexico

• Price to Support Reinvestment

($ Millions)200520042003

20%

Page 16: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

200

250

300

350

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Automotive Overview2004 Revenue = $1.2 Billion

AssembledAutos80%

Materials20%

Business Mix

Revenue Growth Trend

• Well Positioned with GrowthCompanies

• New Plants/Products

• Parts Growth

• Leverage Premium Network

• Price to Support Reinvestment

($ Millions)200520042003

(3%)

Page 17: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

200

300

400

500

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Chemicals Overview2004 Revenue = $1.7 Billion

Fert16%

L&D28%

SodaAsh17%

Business Mix

Plastics 24%

LPG/Petr15%

Revenue Growth Trend

• Energy Market Favors NorthAmerican Production

• Limited Plant ExpansionOpportunities

• Selective Business Growth

• Price to Support Reinvestment

($ Millions)200520042003

12%

Page 18: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

2005 Revenue Outlook• Volume – 1% to 2%

• Yield Improvement & Fuel Surcharge – 7%+/-

Agricultural 6-8%

Automotive 1-2%

Chemicals 3-5%

Energy 13-15%

Industrial 9-11%

Intermodal 7-9%

Total Revenue Growth of 8% to 9%Total Revenue Growth of 8% to 9%

Page 19: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

Drive Higher ReturnsBusiness Model - 2005

Letter

Quotes

34%

Tariff

17%

Contracts

49%

Letter

Quotes

34%

Tariff

17%

Contracts

49%

Priceto

Market

LimitedPrice

Flexibility

Page 20: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

2005 3-5

Past Outlook Years

Market 0-2% 1-2% 2%

Price 1%+ 7%+/- 3%+

Penetration 2-3% (1)-0% 0%+/-

TOTAL 3-5% 8-9% 5%+

Key Drivers of Growth

Page 21: 2005 Analyst Meeting - Union Pacific Railroad...2005 Analyst Meeting 2005 Analyst Meeting Marketing & Sales Wrap-Up 200 300 400 500 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Agricultural Products Overview 2004

2005AnalystMeeting

2005AnalystMeeting