Upload
robyn-berry
View
216
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
2004 First Quarter Results Conference Call
February 19, 2004
@ 4:00 PM (ET)
2
Table of Contents
I. Highlights
II. Normalized Volumes
III. Segmented Data
IV. 2004 First Quarter Results
V. Competitive Situation
VI. Evolution of Gas Prices
VII. Conclusion
3
Highlights
Partner’s income of $71.8 M, up 1.5% or $1.0 M Increase in the transportation sector Negative impact of the decrease in the federal income tax
rate for the distribution sector
Partners’ income per unit of $0.63, down 1.6% or $0.01 An additional 4.0 M units outstanding, or 3.6%, compared
with previous year Negative impact of the stronger canadian dollar
Cash flow from operations (before working capital items) of $120.7 M, down 6.0% or $7.7 M
Temperature warmer than normal and than Q1 2003
4
Normalized Volumes
Note: Differences are due to rounding
Conversion factor: 1 billion cubic feet = 28.328 million cubic metres
2004 2003 Bcf %
(in billions of cubic feet )Markets
Industrial firm 21.0 22.1 -1.1 -4.8% Industrial interruptible 8.5 9.5 -1.0 -10.6%
Commercial 22.0 21.8 0.2 1.2%Residential 8.5 8.2 0.3 2.8%TOTAL 60.0 61.6 -1.6 -2.6%
2004 2003 106m3 %(in millions of cubic metres)Markets
Industrial firm 596 626 -30 -4.8% Industrial interruptible 241 270 -29 -10.6%
Commercial 623 616 7 1.2%Residential 240 234 6 2.6%TOTAL 1,700 1,746 -46 -2.6%
3 months ended Dec. 31
3 months ended Dec. 31
Change
Change
5
Segmented Data
(Partners’ income in thousands of $)
Distribution TransportationEnergy
Servicesand Other
Non-allocatedexpenses andeliminations
Total
3 months endedDec. 31, 2003 64,114 6,166 1,545 -18 71,807
3 months endedDec. 31, 2002 64,030 4,728 2,068 - 64 70,762
$ Change +84 +1,438 -523 +46 +1,045
% Change 0.1 +30.4 NA NA +1.5
6
Financial Results(in millions of $, except per unit data, in $)
1 Excluding change in non-cash working capital2 Excluding deferred charges related to gas cost of + $16.4 M and + $11.8 M for 2004 and 2003 respectively,
but including commercial programs and information system development.
Note: Differences are due to rounding
2004 2003 $ %Revenues 524.6 501.6 23.0 4.6%
Gross Margin 172.4 171.7 0.7 0.4%Partners' Income 71.8 70.8 1.0 1.4%Partners' Income per unit 0.63 0.64 -0.01Weighted average # of units O/S 114.5 110.5Number of units O/S 114.5 110.5
Cash Flow from operations 1 120.7 128.5 -7.8 -6.1%
Distributions 37.6 35.4 2.2 6.2%Maintenance CAPEX 8.8 7.5 1.3 17.3%Free CF 74.3 85.6 -11.3 -13.2%
Expansion & Developement 23.7 24.1 -0.4 -1.7%
Deferred Charges2 11.1 7.0 4.1 58.6%
Net Free CF before W/C 39.5 54.5 -15.0 -27.5%
Dec. 31, 2003 Sept. 30 2003Total Assets 2,526.4 2,430.9 95.5 3.9%Total Debt 1,277.5 1,319.4 -41.9 -3.2%Partners' Equity 916.2 876.0 40.2 4.6%
Change3 months ended Dec. 31
7
Competitive Situation
How competitive is natural gas in Québec ?
Market Main Competitor How competitive*
Industrial Fuel oil #6 More expensive but more flexible and less polluting
Commercial & Electricity 8% cheaperInstitutional
Residential Electricity 11% to 22% more expensive
* Based on last 12 month historical prices.
8
Evolution of Gas Prices
As of February 13, 2004
6.36
6.10
5.84
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
Apr-01 Aug-01 Dec-01 Apr-02 Aug-02 Dec-02 Apr-03 Aug-03 Dec-03
$/G
J
GazMet System Gas Empress Spot Empress 1-year contract
Sources: Bloomberg and Gaz Métro
9
Conclusion
Distribution of $0.34 per unit to be paid on April 1, 2004
Change in the consolidation method for the investment in PNGTS
Since November 17, 2003, use of the equity method (formerly proportionate consolidation method)
Increase in earnings despite the negative impact of the federal income tax rate and of the strong canadian dollar