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Bergen, 2 September 2003 PRESENTATION - HOLBERG FORVALTNING 2 AGENDA History and Company Overview The Industry We Serve Our Shipping Business Our Tank Terminal Business Logistics Financial Highlights The Odfjell Share Future Prospects

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Page 1: 2003 0902 Holberg - Hugin Onlinereports.huginonline.com/916132/122650.pdf · Main products – organic chemicals (BTX, EDC, Acrylo, Glycols, etc.), Sulphuric and Phosphoric acids,

1

Bergen, 2 September 2003

PRESENTATION - HOLBERG FORVALTNING

2

AGENDA

History and Company OverviewThe Industry We ServeOur Shipping BusinessOur Tank Terminal BusinessLogisticsFinancial HighlightsThe Odfjell ShareFuture Prospects

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3

HISTORY

CorporateEstablished 1916Company split in 1979Listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange in 1986International Share Issue in 1989

Fleet DevelopmentPioneered the chemical tanker trade in the mid 50sAcquisition of Westfal-Larsen’s chemical interest in 1990 Newbuilding program 1994 –2005 (gradual)Merger with Seachem in 2000

Tank TerminalsDeveloped since the mid 60sGrowth in tank terminals late 1990’s/early 2000’s

Tank ContainersJoint-ventue with Hoyer since 1999

4

Global Trade- Leading global operator - 60 ships and 6 nb on order- Revenue $594 million- EBITDA $99 million- EBIT $38 million- Total assets $1,1 billion

BUSINESS AREASRegional Trade- Asia/Americas/Brazil/Chile- 28 ships- Revenue $126 million- EBITDA $14 million- EBIT $6 million- Total assets $127 million

Tank Terminals- 6 owned at strategic locations- 8 associated- Revenue $112 million- EBITDA $43 million- EBIT $26 million- Total assets $370 million

Tank Containers- Start-up in 1999- 5 600 containers- Revenue $48 million- EBITDA $5 million- EBIT $3 million- Total assets

$ 37 million

INTEGRATEDLOGISTICS

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5

GLO BAL TRADE66 %

TANK CO NTAINERS

2 %

TANK TERMINALS

23 %

REGIO NAL TRADE

8 %

BUSINESS AREAS cont.

GLO BAL TRADE68 %

TANK CO NTAINERS

5 %

TANK TERMINALS

13 %

REGIO NAL TRADE

14 %

REVENUE GLO BAL TRADE60 %

TANK CO NTAINERS

4 %

TANK TERMINALS

27 %

REGIO NAL TRADE

9 %

EBITDA

ASSETS

6

Skilled employeesTrade Name/Corporate CultureOperational experienceGlobal organisationTechnology/systemsPartner relationsCustomer relations/network

ODFJELL’S ASSETS

Industrial shipping utilizing handware through:

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7

THE CHEMICAL INDUSTRY

About 1 billion metric tons of organic and inorganic chemicals, vegetable oils and animal fats and other products are produced annuallyAbout 2,5 billion metric tons of clean petroleum products are produced annuallyMain producers - DOW, SABIC, Sasol, BP, Dupont, BASF, Senchim, etc.Main tradersMain products – organic chemicals (BTX, EDC, Acrylo, Glycols, etc.), Sulphuric and Phosphoric acids, Metanol, MTBE, etc.

8

PRODUCT GROUPS

Source: Various sources, Odfjell BDP, 2003

15.85963,400Gross total

2.54502,4904Clean Petr. Prod.

13.3146909Total

1.418973Other products

1.3369910Vegetable oils & Animal fats

2.722310 3Inorganic chemicals

7.975403400 +Organic chemicals

OdfjellGlobal Trade

in 2002(mill. mts)

Global sea-borne

transport.(mill. mts)

Global annualproduction(mill. mts)

# ofproducts

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9

SUSTAINABLE CHEMICAL MARKET GROWTH

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06

GDP Index Basis Chemicals & Plastics IndexGlobal Growth Index (Index Base Year =1985)

Global Recession

Asia Financial Crisis

Source: CMAI – March 2002

Chemicals and plastics growth has outpaced GDP growth over the last two decades

US ”Recession”

10

CUSTOMERS

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11

END USES

12

A NICHE IN THE WORLD TANKER MARKET

Core chemical

tankers 3 %Characteristics:

Many parcels per voyageMany ports per voyageA margin business

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13

A CHEMICAL TANKER VS. A PRODUCT TANKER

Chemical Tanker

Product Tanker

13WP

13WS

8WP

8WS 7WS

7WS 6WP

6WS

1W

1P

21W

2P

3W

3P

4W

4P

5W

5P

6W

6P

14

BUSINESS CHARACTERISTICS

Barriers to entryHighly specialised vessels and operationScale – ThresholdSystems, organisation and human resourcesCustomer relations – Track recordContract coverage

Customer expectationsQuality – Safety – ReliabilityOn spec and on time deliveryFrequencies - RegularityMany ports for loading and dischargingCost efficiency

=> Few large operators/many smaller operators

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15

BUSINESS DRIVERS

World economic growth (industrial production/GDP)Regional trends (influencing ton-mile, cargo flows)

Production/consumptionImbalances

Just-in-time deliveryFrequency, reliability

A global chemical industryGlobal production – global consumption

Capacity changesAdditions/deletionsTypes of tonnage vs. demand

16

GLOBALISATION, NEW PLANTS & TRADE PATTERNS

= Regional trade

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17

THE CHEMICAL TANKER MARKET

Total fleet ≥ 13,000 dwt: 16.9 mill. dwt

ODFJELL13 %

STOLT11 %

JO TANKERS4 %

OTHERS69 %

TOKYO MARINE

3 %

Total ”core” fleet ≥ 13,000 dwt: 9.4 mill. dwt

ODFJELL23 %

STOLT19 %

JO TANKERS8 %

OTHERS44 %

TOKYO MARINE

6 %

18

DELIVERIES OF NEWBUILDINGS”Core” Chemical fleet ≥ 13,000 dwt

-1 200

-900

-600

-300

0

300

600

900

1 200

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

1,000 tdw.

-12 %

-9 %

-6 %

-3 %

0 %

3 %

6 %

9 %

12 %

Deliveries OrderbookVessels 25+ Deliveries in % of existing fleet

Note: A substantial number of commodity chemicalships is included in the order book

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19

ORDER BOOK(”Core” fleet over 13,000 tdw.)

Odfjell16 %

Stolt12 %

Jo Tankers3 %

Tokyo Marine5 %

Brostroem13 %IMC/Aurora

13 %

Fairfield Chem12 %

MTMM8 %

Dorval6 %

Iino5 %

Other Owners7 %

Total ”Core” Deep-Sea order book: 1.7 mill. dwtor about 18% of the current fleet

20

FACTORS INFLUENCING SUPPLY

RegulationsEC Regulation 417/2002IMO Regulation 13G

VettingCustomer approvalsCost factorsCAP test

Scrapping120,000 tdw. in 4 quarter 2002120,000 tdw. in 1 quarter 200355,000 tdw. in 2 quarter 2003

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THE REGIONAL CHEMICAL TANKER MARKET

Total fleet ≥ 12,999 dwt: 5.1 mill. dwt

BERLIAN3 %

OTHERS83 %

COPENHAGEN3 %STOLT

7 %ODFJELL4 %

22

WORLD ECONOMIC GROWTH (GDP)

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 '00 '02 '04

% annual growth OECD World

Source: DnB 13.08.2003

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23

FREIGHT RATE DEVELOPMENT (Chemicals)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03

Houston/Rotterdam Houston/Far East

USD/Ton

FREIGHT RATES - 3,000 TONS EASY GRADE CHEMICALS

Source: Quincannon Ass., Inc.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

Houston/Rotterdam Houston/Far East

USD/Ton

FREIGHT RATES - 1,000 TONS ST. STEEL GRADE CHEMICALS

Source: Quincannon Ass., Inc.

24

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

97 98 99 00 01 02 03

Gulf - Japan Spore - Japan Caribs - USAC

USD/Day

Source: Clarkson

FREIGHT RATE DEVELOPMENT (CPP)

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0

1 000 000

2 000 000

3 000 000

4 000 000

5 000 000

6 000 000

7 000 000

MARINE TERMINALS (Chemical capacity in cbm)

26

ODFJELL TERMINALS

Houston

Rotterdam

Dalian

Singapore

Ningbo

San Antonio

SantosCampanaBuenos Aires

Rio Grande

Sao Luis

Onsan

Quebec

Callao

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27

Ownership Associated

Odfjell Terminals (Rotterdam) BV1,530,000 cbm – 300 tanks

TERMINALS - EUROPE

28

ChinaChina

Ownership Associated

OTD, Dalian60,000 cbm – 35 tanks

OTK, Ulsan109,500 cbm – 39 tanks

VOTTN, Ningbo63,500 cbm – 36 tanks

OOTS, Singapore131,000 cbm – 35 tanks

(213,000 cbm from autumn 2003)

TERMINALS - ASIA

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CanadaCanada

USAUSA

Ownership Associated

Odfjell Terminals (Houston) LP255,000 cbm – 88 tanks

Intertank IMTT, Quebec207,000 cbm – 46 tanks

TERMINALS - NORTH AMERICA

30

PeruPeru

ArgenArgen--tinatina

ChileChile

BrazilBrazil

Ownership Associated

Callao25,000 cbm – 22 tanks

San Antonio40,000 cbm – 46 tanks

Campana23,000 cbm – 42 tanks

Sao Luis12,500 cbm – 11 tanks

Santos85,000 cbm – 89 tanks

Rio Grande30,000 cbm – 16 tanks

Buenos Aires51,000 cbm – 101 tanks

TERMINALS - SOUTH AMERICA

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FROM PRODUCER TO CONSUMER

Raw materials

Terminal TerminalGlobal Trade

Consumer

- Coastal ships- Barges- Rail cars- Trucks- Pipeline

- Coastal ships- Barges- Rail cars- Trucks- Pipeline

Tank Container

Finished goods producer

- Coal- Gas- Crude oil

32

COMMON DENOMINATOR IN ALL MODES

The same customersThe same productsOur ability to handle complicated cargoesCapital intensiveGlobal aspect

=> SYNERGIES

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HIGHLIGHTS FIRST HALF 2003

Net Result after tax nearly doubled in 1st half 03 vs. 1st

half 02

Stable time-charter earnings compared to preceeding quarters, up 2% from 1Q03 to 2Q03

High bunker cost

Strong result from tank terminal activities

Continued low interest rates

Investigations by EU & US Competition Authorities (ref. report second quarter 2003)

34

TIME CHARTER INDEX VS. EBITDA

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 021H

03A

IND

EX

199

0 =

100

0

50

100

150

200

250

USD

MIL

LIO

N

EBITDA ODFIX

=> Increased EBITDA Capacity

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35

-50

0

50

100

150

200

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02

1H03

A

USD

mill

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

%

Net profit Cashflow RoE

NET PROFIT, CASH FLOW AND RETURN

Average RoE ROCE- 1990-00 11,8% 10,2%- 2001: 11,4% 9,8%- 2002: 8,5% 5,7%- 2003: 14,6% 5,8%

36

SUMMARY INCOME STATEMENT

USD million 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03Gross revenue 196 208 217 226 219 221Voyage expenses -60 -68 -75 -76 -79 -76T/C expenses -44 -46 -48 -52 -40 -41Operating expenses -39 -43 -45 -43 -44 -47General/adm. expenses -11 -13 -12 -13 -16 -17EBITDA 41 39 37 42 41 40Depreciation -21 -21 -22 -23 -22 -22Gain on sale of assets 0 0 1 0 0 0EBIT 20 17 16 20 18 18Net interest -8 -7 -6 -5 -5 -6Currency gain/(cost) -4 8 6 5 7 7Net result before tax 7 19 15 20 19 19Taxes -1 -3 -5 -6 -1 3Net result 6 16 10 14 18 23

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EBITDA/EBIT PER SEGMENT

USD million 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03Global trade 27 25 24 26 25 24Regional trade 4 4 3 4 3 4Tank terminals 9 9 9 11 11 11Tank containers 1 1 1 1 1 1SUM EBITDA 41 38 37 42 41 40

USD million 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03Global trade 12 10 8 11 10 9Regional trade 2 2 1 2 1 2Tank terminals 5 5 5 7 7 6Tank containers 0 0 0 0 1 1SUM EBIT 20 17 16 20 18 18

38

FLEET AND BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT

Global TradeDelivery of M/T Bow Sun – the first newbuilding from PolandThe Polish newbuilding program back on schedule

Regional TradeJoint-venture with Ahrenkiel for inter European trade

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TANK TERMINALS IN 1st HALF 2003

Odfjell Terminals (Houston)Gross revenue USD 18.1 millionEBITDA USD 8.9 millionEBIT USD 6.2 million88 tanks – 255 000 cbm.24 000 cbm expansion will be ready by 4th quarter 2003

Odfjell Terminals (Rotterdam)Gross revenue USD 32.6 millionEBITDA USD 9.7 millionEBIT USD 5.5 million300 tanks – 1 540 000 cbm.8 000 cbm of new stainless steell tanks will come on stream in 2003

40

TANK TERMINALS 1 HALF 2003

Other tank terminalsGross revenue USD 5.2 millionEBITDA USD 2.7 millionEBIT USD 0.9 million

Oiltanking Odfjell Terminal SingaporeA 82 000 cbm expansion will be completed in September 2003

Odfjell Terminals (Korea) Start-up in 2002Currently evaluating expansions

Dalian, ChinaNingbo, China

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SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET

USD million 31.12.2001 31.12.2002 30.06.2003Vessels and nb's 1 010 980 959Tank terminals 216 262 281Tank containers 19 18 19Other fixed assets 56 55 54Other short term assets 86 86 90Cash & liquid assets 213 230 188

Shareholders' equity 526 535 581Interest bearing debt 960 957 900Other liabilities 115 138 110Total assets 1 601 1 630 1 591

Equity ratio 32,8 % 33,1 % 36,8 %

42

BALANCE SHEET (30 June 2003)

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

USD mill

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

USD mill

LIABILITIES & EQUITYASSETS

Vessels& nb’s

Tank terminals

Other fixed and current assets

Liquid assetsST debt

LT debt

Equity

• USD 581million or

USD 26.80/NOK 193per share

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YEARLY SENSITIVITIEST/C RATES

Global USD 1000/day USD 14 mill.Regional USD 500/day USD 4 mill.

CURRENCYUSD 10% stronger vs. NOK improve net result by USD 7 mill.(2003 – 2005 exposure fully hedged)

BUNKERSUSD 10 per metric ton USD 5 mill. (38% of 2003 exposure hedged at USD 127.50 per ton)

INTEREST RATESUSD LIBOR 1 % USD 7 mill.(2003 and 90% of 2004 fixed through FRA’s about at about 2.40%)

44

Share price (A-share) NOK 140 ($18.42)

# of shares (MM) 21.7

Market capitalization $400

Net interest bearing debt $683

Enterprise Value $1,083

Enterprise Value/1H03A EBITDA 6.7x

Price/1H03A Earnings 4.9xPrice/1H03A Cash Flow 2.3x

EBITDA 1H03A/Net interest coverage 7.3x

Market capitalization/Book Equity 69%

Dividend yield 5.7%

LISTED ON THE OSLO STOCK EXCHANGE

TRADING Symbol: ODF and ODFB$ in Millions, except per share

OBX

Odfjell

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03

NOK per share

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45

DIVIDEND AND YIELD

0,001,002,003,004,005,006,007,008,009,00

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02

NO

K

0,0 %1,0 %2,0 %3,0 %4,0 %5,0 %6,0 %7,0 %

%

Dividend Yield

Dividend per share in NOK. Yield equals dividend as a percentageof yearly average share price.

46

SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Odfjell family 35%Chemlog ApS 25%5 Norwegian Funds 11%Others 29%

Norwegian shareholders

25%

International shareholders

75%

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SUMMARY

Global economyLow economic growth in the OECD areaUncertain macro variablesOil and bunker prices volatileLower net interest expensesConsiderable currency profits in 2003

Investigations by EU & US Competition AuthoritiesOrderbook vs. Demand growth/scrappingStrong market position and corporate platform

48

MISSION STATEMENT

Odfjell shall be a leading, preferred and profitable global provider of transportation and storage of bulk liquid chemicals, acids, edible oils and other special products.

Odfjell shall be a true logistic service provider, capable of combining different modes of transportation and storage.

Odfjell shall provide its customers with safe, reliable and efficient services.

In the execution of its services, Odfjell is to meet high quality, safety and environmental standards.