2-Budgets - How to Manage Without Them

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    30 April 1999

    In the first

    article w e argued that

    bu dgetary control w as

    the hidden barrier to

    success in the inform ationage. B ut building a con vincing case

    for dism an tling budgeting system s is

    not the m ajor ch allengethis

    concerns the replacem ent of bu dgets

    w ith alternative steering

    m echan ism s. W hat are they and how

    do they form the basis of a n ew

    m anagem ent m odel? B udgeting is, of

    course, m uch m ore than a financial

    process. It is the glue that connects

    the entire m an agem ent system

    together from strategy and plan ning

    through resource and cost

    m anagem ent to m easurem ent andrew ards. W hile there is m uch detail

    to b e understood, w e w ill focus on

    three broad issuesthe plan ning

    process, cost m anagem ent, and

    m easurem ent and control.

    The planning processO ne of the principal failings of the

    budgeting p rocess is that it is based

    on the n egotiation of a set of fixed

    finan cial num bers. These tend to be

    arbitrary and, m ore often than not,

    they relate to previou s perform an cerather than shareholder exp ectation s

    or com petitive m easures. H ow ever, in

    the age of instan t inform ation ,

    w hichever m easure is

    usedfrom shareholder

    value to custom er

    satisfactionit is relative

    success that m atters. B eating lastyears perform ance by 20% m eans

    nothing if you r com petitors have

    done even better. B ut, by definition,

    com petitive targets can on ly be

    estim atedthey cann ot be know n in

    ad vance. R elative targets can be

    internal (e.g. bran ch to b ran ch), or

    external (e.g. business to business).

    A nd they should preferably use

    In the second of two

    articles, Jeremy Hope

    and Robin Fraser

    explain how a numberof companies have

    abandoned budgeting

    and adopted a new

    management model

    Rela t ive measur es ar e more

    effec t ive than s t r e tch tar get sbecause they ar e a lways

    cur ren t an d keep moving the

    mean upwards ; we jus t

    commun icate to people the

    mean an d a r an k ing t ha t sh ows

    which bran ches ar e above and

    which ar e be low. The s ys tem

    works on it s own. Senior

    man agement dont need to

    push people , they jus t advise.D r Jan W allan der, vision ary architect of the

    H andelsbanken m anagem ent m odel

    Management accounting

    Budgets: how tom anage w ithout

    them

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    April 1999 31

    Management accounting

    m easures that define the key

    perform an ce indicators that drive

    com petitive success w ithin a

    particular business unit. A t

    H an delsbanken, leagu e tab les of like

    branches and regions app ear every

    m on th, m aintaining a strong focus on

    perform ance and harnessing the

    pow er of peer pressure. W hile at firstthis m igh t appear to b e divisive, this

    com petitive n etw ork also op erates

    w ithin a b road ly based rew ards

    system thus giving strong bran ches

    am ple incentive to support those that

    are not perform ing so w ell. T hus,

    kn ow ledge and best practices are

    qu ickly shared. H an delsban ken

    m an agers believe that any specific

    target is not w orth the p aper its

    w ritten on .

    In the em erging m odel the

    plan ning process is no lon gercon strained by the annual cycle. In

    som e businesses the ap propriate

    cycle m igh t be quarterly, in others,

    m on thly. It largely d epends on the

    pace of chan ge an d the planning

    horizons appropriate to a particular

    firm or industry. Perhaps the key

    elem en t is the u se of rolling forecasts

    around w hich n ew grow th and

    im provem ent strategies and action

    plan s are tested an d co-ordinated

    across the b usiness. A t Volvo Cars,

    strategy and forecasts are review ed

    an d u pd ated several tim es a yearw ith fou r distinct cycles apparen t.

    E ach m onth flashforecasts look

    on e quarter ah ead; quarterly rolling

    forecasts look one year ahead ; on e

    year rolling forecasts look fou r years

    ah ead, an d an an nual strategic

    plan ning p rocess looks 10 years

    ah ead. O ne forecast dovetails into

    an other like cogs in a w heel.

    A ccording to O le Johannesson , V P

    Finan ce, m an agers build

    com petence in sketching the future

    and w ithin that future lie theop portunities an d threats that

    tradition al budget-driven processes

    fail to see until its too late. These

    forecasts form the core inform ation

    for the m on thly m eetings, the

    developm ent program s, and the

    strategy review s.

    Cost managementCon trolling costs through budgets

    m ay give the im pression of tight

    m an agem ent but the reality is that itprevents m anagers from asking the

    really interesting questions that

    m igh t lead not just to cost con trol but

    to cost reduction . W hich m arkets,

    segm ents, and custom ers are

    profitable after ch arging all the costs

    they consum e? W hich processes and

    activities ad d value and how can this

    value be increased? H ow can w e

    m an age a process differently so that

    it is faster and is accom plished at a

    low er cost? N on e of these question s

    are even asked never m ind answ eredby the bu dgeting approach.

    In the new m odel, the cost

    m anagem ent focus m oves from costs

    to value. Som etim es this can sim ply

    be qu estion ing w hy particular

    activities are d on e. B ut a m ore

    system atic ap proach is offered by

    activity based m an agem ent. E ach

    activity shou ld be m ad e to p ass a

    valuetest, that is, w hether or not it

    adds value to p roducts, custom ers, or

    other strategic business need s.

    Starting w ith last years costs as the

    basis of cost m an agem ent is thew rong app roach. Cost estim ates

    should be a function of the resources

    required to m eet the agreed plan an d

    on ly by looking at resources through

    a value-addedlens can m an agers

    really see w hat is an d isnt required .

    A t B orealis, m an agers use anad vanced activity accou nting system

    an d rolling m oving averages to

    provide a clear picture of cost drivers

    an d trend s. T he costs of central

    service function s such as finan ce,

    legal, hum an resources an d strategic

    plan ning are sub ject to n o m ore than

    trend an alysis and step-chan ge

    control should this be thou gh t

    desirable. For 1998 the d efau lt rule

    for cen tral services costs w as zero

    increase. B jarte B ogsnes, V P for

    Corporate C on trol, believes that one

    of the m ost insidiou s aspects of thetraditional budgeting process is that

    it sets not just a ceiling but a floor for

    costs. This m en tality is at its sharp est

    w ithin central service d epartm ents or

    purecost cen tres. B y rem oving this

    floor the w ay is open to m ake sign ifi-

    cant inroad s into these costs, m an y of

    w hich have trad ition ally been fiercely

    protected b y som e of the m ost

    pow erful peop le in the organ isation .

    This is an im portan t insigh t into the

    chan ge of m entality that can ap ply if

    the budgeting system is rem oved.Indeed it turns the typical question

    how do w e m aintain control of

    cen tral costs?into som ething of a

    non -event. In the new m odel the

    an sw er m ust be that w e dont just

    w ant to controlthese costs, w e

    w an t to reduce them , an d the key to

    achieving this is to eradicate the

    (an nual) budgeting m en tality.

    Measurement and controlThe traditional m easurem ent

    em ph asis is on p ast events and to

    control current perform ance againstthe predeterm ined b udget. M easures

    are usually derived from capital

    efficiency and earnings ratios and

    supported by a plethora of finan cial

    detail by departm en t, division, etc.

    All cen t r a l cos t s a r e cha rged t o t he r eg ions a nd b r a nches . I f they do not fee l they get good value for the i r money, they wi l l

    no t demand our s e r v i ces . Sven G revelius, Finance VP, H an delsban ken

    Meas ur es ar e der ived f rom s t ra tegy by ident i fy ing key

    pe r form ance d r i ve r s . They a r e a l so r e l a t i ve t o ex t e rna l and / o r

    in ter na l compet i tors a nd ar e more effect ive i f they ar e

    discuss ed and agreed a t opera t ing uni t or t eam level . The fewer

    the mea sur es th e be t ter (you only need a few cru cia l KPIs t ote l l man agers what s r ea l ly ha ppening) .

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    Management accounting

    32 April 1999

    M easures usually com pare actual

    perform an ce w ith the (fixed) budgetednum bers on a m onthly basis. A s no

    one w ants to see an adverse variance

    (it often leads to difficult

    explanations), gam ingis rife. There

    is a clear em phasis on finan cial

    control w ith senior m anagers being

    ab le to drill dow nthrou gh detailed

    sets of nu m bers. B ut w ith so m any

    reports and num bers appearing each

    m onth it is often difficult to see w ith

    an y clarity w hat is really h ap pening.

    In particular, financial m easures fail to

    record the chan ges in the value of

    intellectual assets that now accountfor 50% -90% of the m arket value of

    m any leading com pan ies.

    Th e new m easurem ent em phasis

    sw itches from past events to future

    outcom es. T here is, for exam ple, a

    strong link b etw een current m easures

    an d rolling forecasts. The gap

    betw een current trend s and targets

    w ill have a bearing on an y action s

    that need m ight be taken . M easures

    are derived from strategy by

    identifying key perform an ce drivers.

    They are also relative to externalan d/or internal com petitors an d are

    m ore effective if they are discussed

    an d agreed at op erating u nit or team

    level. The few er the m easures the

    better (you on ly n eed a few crucial

    K PIs to tell m an agers w hats really

    hap pening). B y using visual reports

    and m oving averages and focusing by

    exception on key issues, m an agers

    can h andle a far broader range of

    bu siness units and issues an d provide

    real feedback an d learning. K PIs

    linked to action plan s enab le

    m anagers to exam ine root causes ofdifferences. A good scorecard

    reporting system w ill include b oth

    leading and lagging indicators thus

    giving m anagers an early w arning

    that results are off-track.

    H andelsbanken m easures its

    progress on three sim ple m easures:

    return on capital em ployed, incom e-

    to-cost ratio, and profit per

    em ployee. E very em ployee

    un derstands these m easures w hich

    are used to create internal

    com petition betw een b ranches and a

    sense of com m on purpose across theban k. Furtherm ore, em ployees know

    that by follow ing the progress of

    these m easures they can m onitor

    how their ow n com pen sation w ill be

    im proved each year. Con tribution s

    are m ade to the em ployee profit

    sharing fun d dep end ing on the

    banks perform ance relative to its

    external com petitors.

    Future developments andnext stepsO f course this tran sform ation doesnt

    hap pen overnigh t. It is a gradual

    process of con fidence building as

    m an agers, w ary of previou s false

    prom ises, w ait and see if this really is

    a chan ge w orth the effort. H ow ever,

    w e m ight note that not on e of over 50

    senior and m iddle m anagers w e

    interview ed w ould w ish to return to

    the bud geting system .

    Th e BB R T h as developed a

    diagn ostic that an y com pany can use

    to position its existing practices and

    identify an y gaps. B ut im plem entingthe new m odel w ill be n either easy

    nor quick. It w ill require an holistic

    approach and an evolutionary

    process that w ill take a num ber of

    years. W hat w e now need, in som e

    detail, is a better understanding of

    the m ain com pon ents of the m odel,

    an overall fram ew ork for integrating

    them , an d an effective approach to

    im plem entation. W e also need

    gu idelines for p lan ning and selling-in

    the chan ges, introducing the n ew

    steering m echan ism s and

    dism antling the bu dgeting system .These are the m ain aim s and focus of

    the B B RT program m e in 1999. It w ill

    produce deliverables that m em bers

    w ill be able to u se in their ow n

    com pan ies. It w ill enable them to b y-

    pass years of poten tial trial an d error

    as they m ove tow ards a m anagem ent

    m odel w ithout bu dgets and develop

    their ow n perform ance m anagem ent

    system s as sources of real

    com petitive advan tage.

    To obtain a free copy of a Beyond

    BudgetingW hite Pap er pleasecontact Peter Bun ce at CA M -I Inc on

    Tel: +4 4 (0)1202 67 07 17 or Fax: +4 4

    (0)12 02 68 06 98 or e-m ail:

    Peter@ cam -i.dem on .co.uk

    Jeremy Hope (e-m ail: lh23@ dial.pipex.com ) is co-author ofTransformin g the

    Bottom Lineand Competing in the Thir d

    Wave, both pub lished b y H arvard B usiness

    Sch ool Press.Robin Fraser (e-m ail:R obinF raser@ Com puserve.com ) is a

    m anagem ent consultant, form erly a partner

    in Pricew aterhou seCoopers.