2 - 4.2 Wileman - Africa Region

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  • GE Energy

    AfricaJay Wileman

    The content of the attached presentation is the property of the General Electric Company and is proprietary to the General Electric Company. Any use, in whole or in part, of the materials without the written permission of the General Electric Company and its affiliates is prohibited.

    2009 GE EPC AND ENGINEERING SUMMIT

    Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

  • Increase

    Quality of Life for the African Continent and its

    people

    Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

  • 3Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    Electricityto enhance

    quality of

    life

    Fuel

    to provide

    life essentials

    Clean waterto sustain

    life

    Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

  • 4Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    Regional outlookKey drivers

    Access to electricity

    rural electrification

    Varied fuel sources

    limited infrastructure

    Water scarcity

    rural accessibility

    Finance capabilities

    resource rich, cash poor

    Customer dynamics

    Impacted by the crisis

    but still growing

    Relying on EPC skills

    build / own / operate / transfer model

    Power additions

    9000MW announced

    REAL? When?

    Localization needs:

    BBBEE required for South Africa

    Nigeria

    local content

  • 5Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    Africas electricity demand

    Source: Africa Development Bank, Clean energy investment framework 2008Graph : GE Energy Infrastructure outlook June 2009

    2009 2012 2015 2020 2025 2030

    Africas energy production ~9.5% of the worlds total output

    Africa represents 14% of the worlds population but consumes only 3% of the worlds energy

    >500 million people lack access to modern energy rural

    electricification

    rates as low as 2%

    Billions of kW hours

    504550

    613

    727

    862

    1,020

    2X by 2030

  • 6Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    Africas oil production and demand

    Existing production

    New additions

    Domestic oil demand

    7.1

    Mbbl/d

    Million barrels of oil per day (Mbbl/d)

    * CERA, Oil and condensate production, May 09

    The continent holds 10% of the world's proven reserves Africa exports equivalent to 73% of the continent's oil production It hosts just 3.3% of global refining capacity The continents 1 billion inhabitants consume 4.5% of U.S. energy per capita

    =UAE + Iran

  • 7Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    By region

    $95B$95B

    $59B$59B

    $64B$64B

    $35B$35B$61B$61B

    By commodityBy customer

    $46B+ $8B+$16B+$39B+

    10 11 12 13 >14

    By scheduled production date

    $46B $41B$55B $45B

    $124B

    $6B$6B

    Global mining projects

    $72B$52B

    $20B$39B

    $82B

    $55B

    Total capex

    Iron oreCopper Uranium

    Aluminum CoalOther

    Anglo

    American

    VALERio

    TintoBHP

    Billiton

  • 8Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    Global water demand

    Source: Africa Development Bank, Policy for integrated water resources managementGraph: http://www.globalwaterintel.com

    University of Kassel, Germany: Alcamo, J., Henrichs, T. & Roesch, T.

    U.S.

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Keny

    aUA

    E

    Saud

    i Ara

    biaAl

    geria

    Kore

    aEg

    ypt

    Spain Ind

    iaCh

    ina

    50.2

    62.2

    Braz

    il

    Sout

    h Afri

    ca

    14 African counties are experiencing water scarcity

    expected to increase to ~25% by 2025

    ~65% of the rural population and 25% of the urban population lack access to safe drinking water

    Tunis

    ia

    Clean water demand will triple

    by 2030

    Water usage

    (in billion cubic meters)

  • 9Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    An energy infrastructure of the futureAfrica has the opportunity to leap-frog to cleaner technologies

    Cleaner, smarter more efficient

    Technology

    Policy development

    New

    financing initiative

    Training

  • 10

    Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    Invest in the most important natural resource PEOPLE

    Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

    Slide Number 1Slide Number 2ElectricityRegional outlookAfricas electricity demand Africas oil production and demandGlobal mining projectsGlobal water demandAn energy infrastructure of the futureInvest in the most important natural resource PEOPLE