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May 6, 2016 1Q 2016 Earnings Call

1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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Page 1: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

May 6, 2016

1Q 2016 Earnings Call

Page 2: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

2

Disclaimer

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations andbusiness. These statements constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management's current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among others, statements concerning the potential exposure to market risks, statements expressing management's expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions and statements that are not limited to statements of historical or present facts or conditions.

Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “objectives,” “outlook,” “probably,” “project,” “will,” “seek,” “target” and other words of similar meaning. All these forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions that, although believed to be reasonable, are inherently uncertain.There are important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by such forward-lookingstatements. These factors include, among others: (a) negative or uncertain worldwide economic conditions; (b) volatility and cyclicality in the industries in which we operate; (c) operational risks inherent in chemicals manufacturing; (d) our dependence on majorcustomers; (e) our ability to compete in the industries in which we operate and the availability of substitutes for carbon black; (f) volatility in the costs and availability of raw materials and energy; (g) our relationships with our workforce; (h) environmental, health and safety regulations and the related costs of maintaining compliance and addressing liabilities; (i) current and potentially future investigations and enforcement actions by the EPA; For additional information see “Risk Factors” in our annual report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015; (j) litigation or legal proceedings; (k) our ability to protect our intellectual property rights; (l) our ability to generate the funds required to service our debt and finance our operations; and (m) potential conflicts of interests with our principal shareholders.

In light of these risks, our results could differ materially from the forward-looking statements contained herein. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

We present certain financial measures that are not recognized by International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IFRS”). These non-IFRS measures are Contribution Margin, Contribution Margin per Metric Ton, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EPS, Net Working Capital and Capital Expenditures

Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EPS, Contribution Margins and Net Working Capital are not measures of performance under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or construed as substitutes for revenue, consolidated profit (loss) for the period, operating result (EBIT), gross profit and other IFRS measures as an indicator of our operations in accordance with IFRS. For a reconciliation of these non-IFRS financial measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measures, see Appendix.

Page 3: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

3

Agenda

Jack ClemCEO

Charles Herlinger

CFO

• 1Q 2016 Highlights & Business Review

• Financial Review

• 2016 Economic & Market Outlook

• 2016 Guidance

• 2016 Operational Priorities

• Q&A

Page 4: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

4

1Q 2016 Highlights

1Q16 1Q15Y-o-Y

Comparison

Total volume (kmt)

277.8 252.9 9.9%

Adjusted EBITDA (EUR/Millions)

54.0 53.9 0.1%

Adjusted EPS (EUR)

0.28 0.33 -15.2%

• Strong volume gains from both Specialty and Rubber

• Organic volume growth (excluding acquisition) a solid 4.9 %

• Strong Adjusted EBITDA performance

• Voluntary debt repayment of EUR 20 million

• Adjusted EPS decline reflects expected increase in depreciation expense

(1) Non-IFRS measures. See Appendix for reconciliation to the most directly comparable IFRS measures

(1)

(1)

Page 5: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

5

1Q15

1Q 2016 Highlights

1Q16

Volume Mix Adjusted EBITDA

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1Q16

Volume By Producing Location

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1Q15Other 1%Africa 5%Brazil 7%

Korea 18%

NAFTA 32%

Europe 37%

Other 1%Africa 4%China 5%Brazil 8%

Korea 18%

NAFTA 29%

Europe 35%

Rubber Carbon Black (1)

79.8%

Specialty Carbon Black

20.2%

Specialty Carbon Black

21.3%

Rubber Carbon Black (1)

78.7%

1Q15

1Q16

Rubber Carbon Black

€25.3M

Specialty Carbon Black

€28.6M

Specialty Carbon Black

€34.5M

Rubber Carbon Black

€19.5M

Specialty Business Continues to Demonstrate the Successful Move to High Value Products

(1) 30.8% of 1Q16 Rubber Carbon Black volume, including OECQ, is higher value technical grade products versus 27.8% for 1Q15.

(1)

Page 6: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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Rubber Carbon Black Business

1Q16 1Q15Y-o-Y

Comparison

Volume (kmt) 218.7 201.8 +8.4%

Revenue (EUR/Millions) 149.2 192.4 -22.5%

Gross Profit (EUR/Millions) 36.3 43.6 -16.7%

Gross Profit/ton (EUR) 166.1 216.0 -23.1%

Adjusted EBITDA(EUR/Millions)

19.5 25.3 -23.0%

Adjusted EBITDA/ton (EUR) 89.2 125.6 -28.9%

Adjusted EBITDA Margin 13.1% 13.2% -10bps

Strong Volume Growth but Weaker Gross Profits Due to Impact of Raw Materials

� Growth in all regions at or above market demand, before impact of newly acquired facility in Qingdao, China (OECQ)

� Volume increase reflects good demand in Europe and Korea

� Volume gain of 2.2% before impact of 12.6 kmt contribution from OECQ

� Gross profit decreased due to negative feedstock cost developments, increased depreciation and to a lesser extent unfavorable foreign exchange translation

� Adjusted EBITDA decrease reflects decline in gross profit

(1) Variable manufacturing costs are assigned to products based on actual cost of consumption.Fixed manufacturing costs are assigned to products based on production line time. SG&Acosts are assigned to products based on designated personnel costs or consistentlyallocated based on the drivers of these costs

(1)

(1)

Page 7: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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Specialty Carbon Black Business

1Q16 1Q15Y-o-Y

Comparison

Volume (kmt) 59.2 51.1 +15.7%

Revenue (EUR/Millions) 97.1 98.0 -1.0%

Gross Profit (EUR/Millions) 45.3 38.8 +16.7%

Gross Profit/ton (EUR) 765.2 758.7 +0.9%

Adjusted EBITDA(EUR/Millions)

34.5 28.6 +20.7%

Adjusted EBITDA/ton (EUR) 582.5 558.6 +4.3%

Adjusted EBITDA Margin 35.5% 29.1% +640bps

� Above market growth in all regions

� Strong auto build globally as well as polymer market strength in Europe and Asia

� Good demand across all regions; Asia stronger than market would indicate

� Volume expansion as result of increased sales and technical presence in Asia and South America

� New products and product extensions growing rapidly, especially in Asia

� Gross profit improved with the ability to manage price in the face of lower feedstock costs

� Adjusted EBITDA per ton improvement reflects operating leverage

Continued Volume and Profit Growth Due to Increased Sales Penetration, Price Management and Successful Product Development

(1) Variable manufacturing costs are assigned to products based on actual cost of consumption.Fixed manufacturing costs are assigned to products based on production line time. SG&Acosts are assigned to products based on designated personnel costs or consistentlyallocated based on the drivers of these costs

(1)

(1)

Page 8: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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109.8

114.2

10.3 (2.8)(3.0) (0.1)

1Q15 Volume Differential FX Other 1Q16

53.9

(2.7)

54.0

4.4 (2.0)0.4

1Q15 Other 1Q16ContributionMargin

FX onFixed Costs

Asia Sales

Support

1Q 2016 Consolidated Operating Results (1)

High Margin Specialty and Technical Rubber Grades (e.g. MRG) Offset Commodity Grades

Adjusted EBITDA Variance

Contribution Margin VarianceNot to scale

Not to scale

1Q16 1Q15Y-o-Y

Comparison

Volume (kmt) 277.8 252.9 9.9%

Revenue (EUR/Millions) 246.3 290.4 -15.2%

Contribution Margin (EUR/Millions) 114.2 109.8 4.1%

Contribution Margin/ton (EUR) 411.1 434.1 -5.3%

Operating Result (EBIT) (EUR/Millions) 30.5 36.3 -16.0%

Adjusted EBITDA (EUR/Millions) 54.0 53.9 0.1%

Adjusted EBITDA Margin 21.9% 18.6% +330bps

Profit or Loss for the Period (Net Income) (EUR/Millions)

13.4 14.8 -9.4%

EPS (EUR) 0.22 0.25 -12.0%

Adjusted EPS (EUR) 0.28 0.33 -15.2%

€M

€M

14.8

(3.6)

13.40.1

5.0 (2.9)

1Q15 Adj EBITDA Finance Costs Depreciation Other 1Q16

(3)

Net Income€M Not to scale

(1) See Appendix for reconciliation to the most directly comparable IFRS measures

(2) Includes OECQ Fixed Costs

(3) Primarily non-recurring items1Q15 1Q16OtherDepreciationFinance

CostsAdj

EBITDA

Page 9: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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Cash at12/31/15

Cash Flowfrom

Operations

Capex Interest Dividends Other Cash PriorTo

VoluntaryActions

VoluntaryDebt

Payments

ShareBuyback

Cash at3/31/16

80.4

57.0

65.3

60.1 -23.1

-9.2

-10.0

17.0-20.0

-3.4

-2.4

2015 Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Highlights

(1) Includes EUR16.9 million change in working capital

(2) Interest payments

(3) Repurchased 312,912 Shares

(4) Net working capital = Inventories + Trade Receivables – Trade Payables

Balance Sheet Highlights2016 YTD Cash Flow Generation

In EUR/Millions

As of

March 31, 2016

Cash & Cash Equivalents 57.0

Net Working Capital 172.3

Non-Current Debt 616.6

Total Liability and Equity 919.1

Net Debt 577.1

Net Debt/LTM Adjusted EBITDA 2.78x

Net Working Capital (in days) 64

€M

Continued Strong Cash Flow due to Capex Discipline and Balance Sheet Strengthening

Voluntary

Debt Payment

& Share Buyback

Cash Flow Generation Prior to Voluntary Actions:

€15.1M

(1)

(2)

€M

(4)

560

600

640

680

720

Non-Current Debt

Underlying Debt FX Impact

€M

150

175

200

225

Net Working Capital

(3)

Page 10: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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EuropeNorth America

Asia PacificBrazil

+ 2.3 %

�Continued North American economic

growth expected

+ 1.8 %

�Recovery in the EU is expected to

continue

-3.8 %

�Brazilian recession is expected to

continue

+ 6.4 %

�Overall Asian economic growth will slow

relative to previous years. China estimated

at 6.5 %

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook database April 2016

2016 GDP Growth Expectations

Specialty Black Demand Historically Exceeds GDP

+ 2.3 %

-3.8 %

Page 11: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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Europe

Generally Slower Growth in Auto Build Expected with Continued Decline in South America

North America

Asia PacificSouth America

+ 2.4 %

�NAFTA automotive sales grow

moderately

+ 2.7 %

�Some decline in Eastern Europe offset by

strong growth in Western Europe

-6.0 %

�Further decline expected, mainly driven

by poor demand in Brazil

+ 4.1 %

�China accounts for the large majority of

market growth

Source: ScotiaBank Global Auto Report April 2016

Auto Build – 2016 Outlook

Page 12: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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2016 Guidance and Cash Analysis

Adjusted EBITDA: EUR 205 to 225 million

Forecast assumptions:

• Volume growth in line with current GDP expectations

• Oil prices and foreign exchange rates at Q4 2015 levels

Other guidance metrics for FY 2016:

• Capital Expenditures: EUR 60 million• Depreciation: EUR 60 million• Amortization: EUR 20 million• Tax rate: 35%• Assumed Shares outstanding: 59.3 million

2016 Guidance

Key Takeaways

� Regular dividend

� Optimization capex

� Voluntary debt repayment

(EUR/Millions)

Maintenance Capex 30

Mandatory Debt Service 6

Interest Payments 34

Cash Tax Payments * 25

Change in NWC ** 0

Total Cash Requirements 95*

*Assumes mid-range 2016 Adjusted EBITDA guidance

** A $10 (decrease/increase) in Brent crude will likely (lower/raise) total cash requirements by causing NWC to (contract/expand) by roughly €19m - €20m over approximately a 3 month period

Base Business Annual Cash Requirements

Continued Strong Cash Conversion Expected Given Limited Maintenance Capex Needs and Reduced Interest Payments

Excess cash flow will be available to support:

Note: Stock repurchase program was announced in December, 2015

Page 13: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

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2016 Operational Priorities

� Drive stronger growth of higher value added technical carbon black grades

– Continue building momentum in Specialty Carbon Black

– Expand specialty and technical grade mix at OECQ

– Deepen penetration in underserved specialty markets

� Address imbalance between rubber feedstock cost and product pricing

� Evaluate global production footprint for cost improvement opportunities

� Continue productivity and efficiency measures to improve Rubber Carbon Black’s Adjusted EBITDA

� Capital Expenditures

– Expand capacity of selected Specialty Carbon Black grades

– Continue attractive yield efficiency projects

� Advance Lighthouse projects

Page 14: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

Appendix

Page 15: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

15

Historical Non-IFRS Metrics Reconciliation

1 Includes costs such as raw materials, packaging, utilities and distribution2 Finance costs, net consists of Finance income and Finance costs3 Other non-operating expenses in 2015 and 2016 primarily relates to costs in association with our EPA enforcement action.

Historical Non-IFRS Metrics Reconciliation (€million unless otherwise stated)

Three Months Ended March 31,

2015 2016

Revenue 290 246

Variable costs (1)-180 -132

Contribution Margin 110 114

Sales volume (in kmt) 253 278

Contribution Margin per Metric Ton 434 411

Profit or loss for the period 15 13

Income taxes 7 9

Profit or loss before income taxes 22 22

Finance costs, net (2)14 9

Operating result (EBIT) 36 31

Depreciation and amortization 17 19

EBITDA 53 50

Other non-operating (3)1 4

Adjusted EBITDA 54 54

Thereof Adjusted EBITDA Specialty Carbon Black 29 34

Thereof Adjusted EBITDA Rubber Carbon Black 25 20

Page 16: 1Q 2016 Earnings Call...1Q 2016 Earnings Call 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to our financial condition, results of operations

Diana Downey

+1 832-445-3865

[email protected]

Investor Relations Contact Details: