1999 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION · 'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 1996 was absent in 1999 ... Independents 68 3 +2 133 701 4.72 +0.65 ... Evelyn 11480 18367 .. .. 3686

Victorian Election 1999

1999 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION

18 September 1999

SUMMARY OF RESULTS

Introduction ....................................................................................................1

Legislative Assembly Results

Summary of Results ..............................................................................3

Detailed Results by District ...................................................................8

Summary of Two-Party Preferred Results ........................................... 23

Regional Summaries ........................................................................... 29

Legislative Council Results

Summary of Results ............................................................................ 31

Detailed Results by Province .............................................................. 33

Summary of Two-Party Preferred Results ........................................... 37

By-Elections

1996-1999 ........................................................................................... 39

1999-2000 ........................................................................................... 41

Comparing Victorian Elections 1988 - 1999 ............................................... 42

Antony Green ABC Election Unit

June 2001

2

Symbols

.. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting Member .... 'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 1996 was absent in 1999

Party Abbreviations

ACS Abolish Child Support and Family Court ALP Labor Party ARP Australian Reform Party CDP Christian Democratic Party DLP Democratic Labor Party DEM Australian Democrats GRN Australian Greens HOP Hope Party IND Independents LAW Natural Naw Party LIB Liberal Party NAT National Party ONP Pauline Hanson's One Nation OTH Others SPV Shooters Party Victoria

Important Dates Issue of Writs 24 August 1999 Close of Rolls 27 August 1999 Close of Nominations Noon, 3 September 1999 Election Day 18 March 1999 Return of Writs on or before 8 October (The writ for the Frankston East supplementary election was issued on 21 September with close of nominations on 1 October for polling day 16 October. The close of roll was the same as for the state election, 27 August.)


1

INTRODUCTION This paper contains a summary of the results of the 1999 elections for the Victorian Legislative Assembly and Legislative Council. It contains details of voting for all Assembly districts and Council provinces. Primary and two-party preferred counts are given for all electorates. The following paragraphs explain the format for the results.

First Count: The vote shown for each candidate is the total primary vote received. Percentage votes are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote for each electorate. Swing is calculated by subtracting the percentage vote received by a party at the 1996 election from the percentage received in 1999. Where the parties contesting the district differ from 1996, ghost candidates indicated by "...." have been included representing candidates not contesting the 1999 election. As a result, all primary swings add to zero, subject to rounding errors. Final Count: Represents the two-candidate preferred count after the final distribution of preferences in an electorate. Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing the two-candidate preferred vote by the formal vote. Two-candidate preferred swings are shown compared to the 1996 election. Frankston East Supplementary Election Following the death on polling day of Independent MP and candidate Peter McClellan, the poll for Frankston East was suspended, the returning officer declaring the election to have failed. With the finely balanced result on election night, the result in Frankston East became critical for the outcome of election. Held on 16 October, the results of the supplementary election have been included in all totals as part of the state election result. Following Labor's victory in Frankston East, the three Independents declared their general support for the Labor Party, the change of government taking place the following week. Two-candidate preferred versus Two-Party Preferred vote The two-candidate preferred count for an electorate is defined as the final tally after the exclusion and distribution as preferences of votes from all other candidates. At each stage of the count, the candidate with the least votes is excluded, and his or her votes are distributed to candidates remaining in the count based on the voter's preferences as filled in on the ballot paper. To achieve victory, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote, though in electorates where a candidate achieves victory either on the primary vote or before the final distribution of preferences, a two-candidate preferred count is carried out for information purposes. The two-party preferred count represents a distribution of preferences between candidates representing the Labor Party and the Liberal-National Party Coalition. Candidates are again excluded based on lowest progressive vote, though at some points the second lowest candidate is excluded to retain candidates representing Labor and the Coalition. In most cases, the two-party preferred count will be the same as the two-candidate preferred count. At the 1999 election, the final distribution of preferences in six electorates (Gippsland East, Gippsland West, Mildura, Shepparton, Swan Hill, Wimmera) did not represent a two-party preferred contest. In these electorates, the Victorian Electoral Commission carried out additional two-party preferred counts for information purposes. These counts have been used in the analysis on pages 23-28. The Labor Party did not contest two Legislative Council provinces. In Higinbotham, the two-candidate preferred vote of the Australian Democrat candidate has been used as the two-party preferred vote, and in Templestowe, the two-candidate preferred vote for the Greens.


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A note on Preference Counts The Victorian Electoral Commission uses two methods to count preferences. On election night, and in the processing of declaration votes, an indicative throw of preferences is carried out between candidates nominated in advance as likely to be the two final candidates in the count. In electorates where one candidate achieves more than 50% of the primary vote, no formal distribution of preferences is carried out, and this indicative booth count is used as the final count after preferences. In electorates where no candidate achieves a majority on the primary vote, or where the nominated candidates for the indicative throw proved not to be the final two candidates after all votes were counted, a formal distribution of preferences takes place. As a result of this, there are occasional minor discrepancies between the formal and two-party preferred counts. Votes accepted as formal on the night and included in the indicative count may sometimes be excluded in later scrutiny. The discrepancies produced are only small in number and do not affect the result in any electorate. By-elections There were three by-elections conducted between 1996 and 1999. The Labor Party retained its safe seat of Northcote, while the Liberal Party lost Gippsland West to an Independent and Mitcham to the Labor Party. These changes in party status have been taken into account in the table of party swings on page 28. However, the actual results of the by-elections are ignored throughout this publication, and all tables calculate swing compared the 1996 state election. In the table of by-election results on page 39, a total is shown in the final count for 'exhausted' votes. While meeting the formality requirements of the electoral act, duplicate numbering meant that these votes 'exhausted' with no further preferences at some point in the distribution of preferences. These votes are often called 'Langer' votes, after the political activist who advocated this form of voting as a deliberate method to avoid giving preferences to the major parties. The electoral act was changed before the 1999 election so that these votes were declared informal and no longer counted. At the 1999 election, by-elections were conducted for three Legislative Council province seats elected in 1996. The results of these are shown on page 40. The results of the by-elections in the Legislative Assembly districts of Burwood and Benalla, held after the 1999 election, are shown on page 41. Results in the Frankston East supplementary election are included as part of the state election results and can be found on page 13. 1992 Redistribution The analysis beginning on page 42 compares the results of the 1999 election with the 1988 state election. This is based on the author's recalculation of the 1988 election to match the boundaries used at the 1992, 1996 and 1999 elections. All references to the 1988 state election are in fact to the 1988 results adjusted for the 1992 boundaries. Acknowledgments and Disclaimer All results are based on the official statistics published by the Victorian Electoral Commission. However, all calculations of swing, and the re-calculation of the 1988 election result are entirely the responsibility of the author.


3

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY STATE-WIDE TOTALS ROLL 3 130 338

Candi- Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Vote Swing

Labor Party 88 42 +13 1 289 696 45.57 +2.44 Liberal Party 81 36 -13 1 194 998 42.22 -1.77 National Party 12 7 -2 135 930 4.80 -1.89 Independents 68 3 +2 133 701 4.72 +0.65 Australian Greens 22 .. .. 32 570 1.15 +1.15 Hope Party 10 .. .. 10 894 0.38 +0.38 One Nation 4 .. .. 8 181 0.29 +0.29 Australian Democrats 6 .. .. 7 972 0.28 +0.28 Democratic Labor Party 8 .. .. 6 183 0.22 +0.22 Natural Law Party 15 .. .. 6 044 0.21 -1.65 Shooters' Party 2 .. .. 2 011 0.07 +0.03 Australian Reform Party 3 .. .. 1 483 0.05 +0.05 Christian Democratic Party 1 .. .. 414 0.01 -0.21 Abolish Child Support and Family Court 1 .. .. 194 0.01 +0.01

Formal 321 88 .. 2 830 271 96.98 -0.72 Informal 88 275 3.02 +0.72 Total Votes 2 918 546 93.23 -0.85

Seats Changing Hands Labor gains from Liberal (13) Ballarat East

Ballarat West Bendigo East Carrum Frankston East (Supplementary election 16 Oct 1999) Geelong Gisborne Mitcham (gained at by-election 13 Dec 1997) Narracan Oakleigh Ripon Seymour Tullamarine

Liberal gains from National (1) Warrnambool Independent gains from Liberal (1) Gippsland West (gained at by-election 1 Feb 1997) Independent gains from National (1) Gippsland East Note: At by-elections since the state election, the Labor Party has gained the electorate of Burwood from the Liberal Party, and Benalla from the National Party.


4

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES BY ELECTORATE

Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP LIB NAT GRN Other Votes Votes Roll

Albert Park 18997 14671 .. .. .. 989 34657 39365 Altona 21545 11774 .. .. .. 1303 34622 36589 Ballarat East 16100 13886 .. .. .. 706 30692 32526 Ballarat West 15527 14910 .. .. .. 744 31181 32893 Bayswater 13732 17165 .. .. 1380 786 33063 35427 Bellarine 14289 15875 .. .. 1930 599 32693 34423 Benalla 13013 .. 17543 .. .. 1128 31684 34087 Benambra 13561 18016 .. .. .. 931 32508 35378 Bendigo East 15478 14123 .. 1552 828 567 32548 34094 Bendigo West 18315 11679 .. 1391 1092 638 33115 34932 Bennettswood 13103 16715 .. .. .. 733 30551 32822 Bentleigh 13831 15679 .. 1139 788 865 32302 34492 Berwick 17248 21958 .. .. 1519 1241 41966 44452 Box Hill 12166 17299 .. .. 1356 671 31492 34099 Brighton 6973 17701 .. .. 5920 664 31258 34221 Broadmeadows 22718 6889 .. .. 2080 1898 33585 36559 Bulleen 9810 17843 .. 1832 890 982 31357 33760 Bundoora 18375 14612 .. .. 807 973 34767 36747 Burwood 13062 17455 .. .. 928 789 32234 34668 Carrum 16099 16770 .. 1896 .. 899 35664 38150 Caufield 13460 18947 .. .. .. 1024 33431 37601 Clayton 20037 12441 .. .. .. 1503 33981 36653 Coburg 18877 7765 .. 2547 .. 1248 30437 35338 Cranbourne 14892 20444 .. .. 2379 997 38712 41084 Dandenong 23129 18297 .. .. .. 1733 43159 46056 Dandenong North 16406 11908 .. .. 2096 1302 31712 33802 Doncaster 10579 19707 .. 1497 629 915 33327 35902 Dromana 13542 17900 .. .. 1441 799 33682 36014 Eltham 14325 18696 .. 1237 2920 907 38085 40355 Essendon 18489 13135 .. .. .. 839 32463 34636 Evelyn 11480 18367 .. .. 3686 1042 34575 36733 Footscray 19916 9533 .. .. .. 1503 30952 34174 Forest Hill 12895 17583 .. .. 1000 816 32294 34556 Frankston 10083 17778 .. 1850 626 635 30972 33431 Frankston East 13127 10632 .. 486 1317 1280 26842 28877 Geelong 14001 14719 .. .. 2264 802 31786 33830 Geelong North 19000 12176 .. .. .. 1158 32334 34379 Gippsland East 8177 .. 10776 .. 11054 812 30819 33075 Gippsland South 9955 .. 15130 .. 4867 800 30752 32761 Gippsland West 5487 11502 1973 .. 11332 821 31115 32796 Gisborne 13589 14084 .. 678 5297 981 34629 36390 Glen Waverley 10738 18410 .. .. .. 714 29862 31984 Hawthorn 10635 20548 .. .. 1650 792 33625 36943 Ivanhoe 15079 12788 .. 1737 490 858 30952 33205 Keilor 22338 12851 .. .. 2875 1967 40031 42091 Kew 10751 19594 .. .. 1380 795 32520 35644 Knox 14684 20481 .. .. 1408 943 37516 39768 Malvern 10583 21129 .. .. .. 697 32409 35940 Melbourne 20572 12122 .. .. 1986 1334 36014 41000 Melton 24237 15294 .. .. .. 1862 41393 44047 Mildura 2572 7998 6015 .. 13942 763 31290 33191 Mill Park 24307 12405 .. .. 924 1541 39177 41456 Mitcham 14411 15043 .. .. 2423 729 32606 34479 Monbulk 12266 15206 .. 1928 1115 870 31385 33627 Mooroolbark 12549 19509 .. .. .. 896 32954 34835 Mordialloc 14200 15515 .. .. .. 955 30670 32829


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LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES BY ELECTORATE

Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP LIB NAT GRN Other Votes Votes Roll

Mornington 12198 17821 .. .. 3599 813 34431 36840 Morwell 17366 11040 .. .. 2912 700 32018 33737 Murray Valley 10811 .. 20899 .. .. 990 32700 34790 Narracan 13074 11925 .. .. 3685 939 29623 31688 Niddrie 17761 13525 .. .. .. 1252 32538 33802 Northcote 20681 8124 .. .. 2480 1306 32591 35695 Oakleigh 15060 13558 .. 1107 868 1118 31711 34347 Pakenham 11949 17202 .. 2571 637 802 33161 35194 Pascoe Vale 17725 9569 .. .. .. 1098 28392 31045 Polwarth 7393 12668 5116 1161 4574 686 31598 33217 Portland 8016 12093 .. .. 7153 515 27777 29156 Prahran 13056 16789 .. 2282 773 904 33804 39089 Preston 20087 8769 .. .. 1052 1339 31247 33794 Richmond 20121 10716 .. .. 4213 1348 36398 41466 Ripon 15579 14045 .. .. .. 668 30292 31732 Rodney 8565 .. 18329 .. 3257 692 30843 32526 Sandringham 11693 19478 .. .. .. 828 31999 34629 Seymour 15410 15675 .. 1797 .. 879 33761 35717 Shepparton 7616 .. 12355 .. 10965 865 31801 33823 South Barwon 12468 16892 .. 1233 2704 761 34058 36107 Springvale 18230 11152 .. .. 2078 1476 32936 35438 Sunshine 19826 9100 .. .. 4780 1987 35693 38506 Swan Hill 5511 .. 12378 .. 9486 1066 28441 30088 Thomastown 23305 8212 .. .. .. 1479 32996 35416 Tullamarine 18346 15561 .. 996 1387 1210 37500 39652 Wantirna 13301 21579 .. .. .. 931 35811 37964 Warrandyte 10630 19395 .. .. 1645 620 32290 34386 Warrnambool 9993 12739 5550 740 2678 962 32662 34226 Werribee 22652 14120 .. 913 611 1221 39517 41644 Williamstown 20468 8877 .. .. 1341 1155 31841 34501 Wimmera 7230 9450 9866 .. 3868 878 31292 32652 Yan Yean 18265 15397 .. .. 1712 1048 36422 38305

TOTAL 1289696 1194998 135930 32570 177077 88275 2918546 3130338


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LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY ELECTORATE

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes Informal District ALP LIB NAT GRN Other Votes Turnout

Albert Park 56.4 43.6 .. .. .. 2.9 88.0 Altona 64.7 35.3 .. .. .. 3.8 94.6 Ballarat East 53.7 46.3 .. .. .. 2.3 94.4 Ballarat West 51.0 49.0 .. .. .. 2.4 94.8 Bayswater 42.5 53.2 .. .. 4.3 2.4 93.3 Bellarine 44.5 49.5 .. .. 6.0 1.8 95.0 Benalla 42.6 .. 57.4 .. .. 3.6 93.0 Benambra 42.9 57.1 .. .. .. 2.9 91.9 Bendigo East 48.4 44.2 .. 4.9 2.6 1.7 95.5 Bendigo West 56.4 36.0 .. 4.3 3.4 1.9 94.8 Bennettswood 43.9 56.1 .. .. .. 2.4 93.1 Bentleigh 44.0 49.9 .. 3.6 2.5 2.7 93.7 Berwick 42.4 53.9 .. .. 3.7 3.0 94.4 Box Hill 39.5 56.1 .. .. 4.4 2.1 92.4 Brighton 22.8 57.9 .. .. 19.4 2.1 91.3 Broadmeadows 71.7 21.7 .. .. 6.6 5.7 91.9 Bulleen 32.3 58.7 .. 6.0 2.9 3.1 92.9 Bundoora 54.4 43.2 .. .. 2.4 2.8 94.6 Burwood 41.5 55.5 .. .. 3.0 2.4 93.0 Carrum 46.3 48.2 .. 5.5 .. 2.5 93.5 Caufield 41.5 58.5 .. .. .. 3.1 88.9 Clayton 61.7 38.3 .. .. .. 4.4 92.7 Coburg 64.7 26.6 .. 8.7 .. 4.1 86.1 Cranbourne 39.5 54.2 .. .. 6.3 2.6 94.2 Dandenong 55.8 44.2 .. .. .. 4.0 93.7 Dandenong North 53.9 39.2 .. .. 6.9 4.1 93.8 Doncaster 32.6 60.8 .. 4.6 1.9 2.7 92.8 Dromana 41.2 54.4 .. .. 4.4 2.4 93.5 Eltham 38.5 50.3 .. 3.3 7.9 2.4 94.4 Essendon 58.5 41.5 .. .. .. 2.6 93.7 Evelyn 34.2 54.8 .. .. 11.0 3.0 94.1 Footscray 67.6 32.4 .. .. .. 4.9 90.6 Forest Hill 41.0 55.9 .. .. 3.2 2.5 93.5 Frankston 33.2 58.6 .. 6.1 2.1 2.1 92.6 Frankston East 51.4 41.6 .. 1.9 5.2 4.8 93.0 Geelong 45.2 47.5 .. .. 7.3 2.5 94.0 Geelong North 60.9 39.1 .. .. .. 3.6 94.1 Gippsland East 27.3 .. 35.9 .. 36.8 2.6 93.2 Gippsland South 33.2 .. 50.5 .. 16.2 2.6 93.9 Gippsland West 18.1 38.0 6.5 .. 37.4 2.6 94.9 Gisborne 40.4 41.9 .. 2.0 15.7 2.8 95.2 Glen Waverley 36.8 63.2 .. .. .. 2.4 93.4 Hawthorn 32.4 62.6 .. .. 5.0 2.4 91.0 Ivanhoe 50.1 42.5 .. 5.8 1.6 2.8 93.2 Keilor 58.7 33.8 .. .. 7.6 4.9 95.1 Kew 33.9 61.8 .. .. 4.3 2.4 91.2 Knox 40.1 56.0 .. .. 3.8 2.5 94.3 Malvern 33.4 66.6 .. .. .. 2.2 90.2 Melbourne 59.3 35.0 .. .. 5.7 3.7 87.8 Melton 61.3 38.7 .. .. .. 4.5 94.0 Mildura 8.4 26.2 19.7 .. 45.7 2.4 94.3 Mill Park 64.6 33.0 .. .. 2.5 3.9 94.5 Mitcham 45.2 47.2 .. .. 7.6 2.2 94.6 Monbulk 40.2 49.8 .. 6.3 3.7 2.8 93.3 Mooroolbark 39.1 60.9 .. .. .. 2.7 94.6 Mordialloc 47.8 52.2 .. .. .. 3.1 93.4


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LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY ELECTORATE

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes Informal District ALP LIB NAT GRN Other Votes Turnout

Mornington 36.3 53.0 .. .. 10.7 2.4 93.5 Morwell 55.5 35.3 .. .. 9.3 2.2 94.9 Murray Valley 34.1 .. 65.9 .. .. 3.0 94.0 Narracan 45.6 41.6 .. .. 12.8 3.2 93.5 Niddrie 56.8 43.2 .. .. .. 3.8 96.3 Northcote 66.1 26.0 .. .. 7.9 4.0 91.3 Oakleigh 49.2 44.3 .. 3.6 2.8 3.5 92.3 Pakenham 36.9 53.2 .. 7.9 2.0 2.4 94.2 Pascoe Vale 64.9 35.1 .. .. .. 3.9 91.5 Polwarth 23.9 41.0 16.6 3.8 14.8 2.2 95.1 Portland 29.4 44.4 .. .. 26.2 1.9 95.3 Prahran 39.7 51.0 .. 6.9 2.3 2.7 86.5 Preston 67.2 29.3 .. .. 3.5 4.3 92.5 Richmond 57.4 30.6 .. .. 12.0 3.7 87.8 Ripon 52.6 47.4 .. .. .. 2.2 95.5 Rodney 28.4 .. 60.8 .. 10.8 2.2 94.8 Sandringham 37.5 62.5 .. .. .. 2.6 92.4 Seymour 46.9 47.7 .. 5.5 .. 2.6 94.5 Shepparton 24.6 .. 39.9 .. 35.4 2.7 94.0 South Barwon 37.4 50.7 .. 3.7 8.1 2.2 94.3 Springvale 57.9 35.4 .. .. 6.6 4.5 92.9 Sunshine 58.8 27.0 .. .. 14.2 5.6 92.7 Swan Hill 20.1 .. 45.2 .. 34.7 3.7 94.5 Thomastown 73.9 26.1 .. .. .. 4.5 93.2 Tullamarine 50.6 42.9 .. 2.7 3.8 3.2 94.6 Wantirna 38.1 61.9 .. .. .. 2.6 94.3 Warrandyte 33.6 61.2 .. .. 5.2 1.9 93.9 Warrnambool 31.5 40.2 17.5 2.3 8.4 2.9 95.4 Werribee 59.1 36.9 .. 2.4 1.6 3.1 94.9 Williamstown 66.7 28.9 .. .. 4.4 3.6 92.3 Wimmera 23.8 31.1 32.4 .. 12.7 2.8 95.8 Yan Yean 51.6 43.5 .. .. 4.8 2.9 95.1

TOTAL 45.6 42.2 4.8 1.2 6.3 3.0 93.2


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LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY ELECTORATE RESULTS Albert Park Roll 39365

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Thwaites * ALP 18997 56.4 -0.6 Rushford LIB 14671 43.6 +4.1 .... LAW 0.0 -3.4

Final Count Thwaites * ALP 18997 56.4 -2.4 Rushford LIB 14671 43.6 +2.4

Formal 33668 97.1 -0.7 Informal 989 2.9 +0.7 Total 34657 88.0

Altona Roll 36589


First Count Kosky * ALP 21545 64.7 +7.9 Lambrinakos LIB 11774 35.3 -4.1 .... LAW 0.0 -3.8

Final Count Kosky * ALP 21545 64.7 +6.5 Lambrinakos LIB 11774 35.3 -6.5


Ballarat East (ALP gain) Roll 32526


First Count

Traynor * LIB 13886 46.3 -2.0 Howard ALP 16100 53.7 +5.8 .... OTH 0.0 -3.9

Final Count

Traynor * LIB 13886 46.3 -3.7 Howard ALP 16100 53.7 +3.7


Ballarat West (ALP gain) Roll 32893


First Count Verlin LIB 14910 49.0 -0.5 Overington ALP 15527 51.0 +5.2 .... OTH 0.0 -4.7

Final Count Verlin LIB 14910 49.0 -2.4 Overington ALP 15527 51.0 +2.4


Note: Liberal MP Paul Jenkins retired.

Bayswater Roll 35427


First Count Bristow HOP 1380 4.3 +4.3 Craven ALP 13732 42.5 +1.4 Ashley * LIB 17165 53.2 -2.8 .... LAW 0.0 -2.9

Final Count Craven ALP 14623 45.3 +2.8 Ashley * LIB 17654 54.7 -2.8


Bellarine Roll 34423


First Count Erler ALP 14289 44.5 +0.1 Menheere-Thompson DEM 1930 6.0 +6.0 Spry * LIB 15875 49.5 -6.1

Final Count Erler ALP 15495 48.3 +3.8 Spry * LIB 16599 51.7 -3.8



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Benalla Roll 34087


First Count Allen ALP 13013 42.6 +19.0 McNamara * NAT 17543 57.4 -1.5 .... OTH 0.0 -17.5

Final Count Allen ALP 13013 42.6 +7.9 McNamara * NAT 17543 57.4 -7.9


Benambra Roll 35378


First Count Plowman * LIB 18016 57.1 -5.8 Murdoch ALP 13561 42.9 +9.9 .... LAW 0.0 -4.1

Final Count Plowman * LIB 18016 57.1 -7.8 Murdoch ALP 13561 42.9 +7.8


Bendigo East (ALP gain) Roll 34094


First Count Rivendell GRN 1552 4.9 +4.9 John * LIB 14123 44.2 -8.1 Thorpe ARP 828 2.6 +2.6 Allan ALP 15478 48.4 +6.6 .... OTH 0.0 -5.9

Final Count John * LIB 15004 46.9 -8.1 Allan ALP 16977 53.1 +8.1


Bendigo West Roll 34932


First Count Cameron * ALP 18315 56.4 +12.7 Howard IND 1092 3.4 +3.4 Hall GRN 1391 4.3 +4.3 Cappy LIB 11679 36.0 -7.0 .... OTH 0.0 -13.3

Final Count

Cameron * ALP 19893 61.3 +9.6 Cappy LIB 12582 38.7 -9.6


Bennettswood Roll 32822


First Count Wilson LIB 16715 56.1 -2.0 Andrews ALP 13103 43.9 +4.4 .... LAW 0.0 -2.4

Final Count Wilson LIB 16715 56.1 -3.1 Andrews ALP 13103 43.9 +3.1


Note: Liberal MP Geoffrey Coleman retired.

Bentleigh Roll 34492


First Count

Maloney ALP 13831 44.0 +0.1 Brunton GRN 1139 3.6 +3.6 King DLP 492 1.6 +1.6 Barber IND 296 0.9 +0.9 Peulich * LIB 15679 49.9 -3.9 .... LAW 0.0 -2.4

Final Count Maloney ALP 15090 48.1 +2.8 Peulich * LIB 16300 51.9 -2.8



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Berwick Roll 44452


First Count Dean * LIB 21958 53.9 +0.8 Reed ALP 17248 42.4 -0.3 Rowe DLP 1519 3.7 +3.7 .... CDP 0.0 -4.1

Final Count Dean * LIB 22376 54.9 -0.4 Reed ALP 18348 45.1 +0.4


Box Hill Roll 34099


First Count Waters HOP 1356 4.4 +4.4 Thorn ALP 12166 39.5 +1.2 Clark * LIB 17299 56.1 -3.0 .... LAW 0.0 -2.6

Final Count Thorn ALP 13067 42.4 +2.7 Clark * LIB 17754 57.6 -2.7


Brighton Roll 34221


First Count Del Porto IND 5920 19.4 +19.4 Dunsmuir ALP 6973 22.8 -7.3 Asher LIB 17701 57.9 -8.8 .... LAW 0.0 -3.3

Final Count

Dunsmuir ALP 10529 34.4 +2.5 Asher LIB 20061 65.6 -2.5


Note: Liberal MP Alan Stockdale retired. Lousie Asher

was the Liberal MLC for Monash Province.

Broadmeadows Roll 36559


First Count Marr IND 1022 3.2 +3.2 Tay LIB 6889 21.7 -1.7 Brumby * ALP 22718 71.7 0.0 Haidar IND 789 2.5 +2.5 Kaliniy IND 269 0.8 +0.8 .... IND 0.0 -4.9

Final Count Tay LIB 8019 25.3 +0.4 Brumby * ALP 23651 74.7 -0.4


Bulleen Roll 33760


First Count

Manassa HOP 890 2.9 +2.9 Miras ALP 9810 32.3 -1.1 Trafficante GRN 1832 6.0 +6.0 Kotsiras LIB 17843 58.7 -4.7 .... LAW 0.0 -3.3

Final Count Miras ALP 11662 38.4 +3.0 Kotsiras LIB 18709 61.6 -3.0


Note: Liberal MP David Perrin lost party endorsement.

Bundoora Roll 36747


First Count Mason LAW 807 2.4 -0.6 Garbutt * ALP 18375 54.4 +3.9 McCabe LIB 14612 43.2 -3.3

Final Count Garbutt * ALP 18942 56.1 +3.5 McCabe LIB 14852 43.9 -3.5



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Burwood Roll 34668


First Count Bunn LAW 734 2.3 -0.9 Kennett * LIB 17455 55.5 -1.7 Stensholt ALP 13062 41.5 +2.0 Abol Child Supp ACS 194 0.6 +0.6

Final Count Kennett * LIB 17858 56.8 -1.8 Stensholt ALP 13585 43.2 +1.8


Carrum (ALP gain) Roll 38150


First Count Bray GRN 1896 5.5 +5.5 Lindell ALP 16099 46.3 +0.4 Lean * LIB 16770 48.2 -1.1 .... OTH 0.0 -4.7

Final Count Lindell ALP 17444 50.2 +1.0 Lean * LIB 17321 49.8 -1.0


Caufield Roll 37601


First Count Shardey * LIB 18947 58.5 +0.2 Simon ALP 13460 41.5 +3.0 .... LAW 0.0 -3.2

Final Count Shardey * LIB 18947 58.5 -0.8 Simon ALP 13460 41.5 +0.8


Clayton Roll 36653


First Count Lok LIB 12441 38.3 0.0 Lim * ALP 20037 61.7 +6.2 .... OTH 0.0 -6.2

Final Count Lok LIB 12441 38.3 -2.1 Lim * ALP 20037 61.7 +2.1


Coburg Roll 35338


First Count Carli * ALP 18877 64.7 -0.3 Rush GRN 2547 8.7 +8.7 Hrycek LIB 7765 26.6 -3.9 .... LAW 0.0 -4.6

Final Count Carli * ALP 20951 71.8 +4.9 Hrycek LIB 8232 28.2 -4.9


Cranbourne Roll 41084


First Count McCormack IND 2379 6.3 +6.3 Perera ALP 14892 39.5 -1.5 Rowe * LIB 20444 54.2 -4.8

Final Count Perera ALP 16708 44.3 +3.4 Rowe * LIB 21002 55.7 -3.4

Formal 37715 97.4 +0.1 Informal 997 2.6 -0.1 Total 38712 94.2


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Dandenong Roll 46056


First Count Miller LIB 18297 44.2 +0.1 Pandazopoulos * ALP 23129 55.8 +6.2 .... OTH 0.0 -6.3

Final Count Miller LIB 18297 44.2 -2.5 Pandazopoulos * ALP 23129 55.8 +2.5


Dandenong North Roll 33802


First Count Lenders ALP 16406 53.9 +3.3 Harris IND 1820 6.0 +6.0 Emmanouil LIB 11908 39.2 -6.8 Klimek ARP 276 0.9 +0.9 .... OTH 0.0 -3.4

Final Count Lenders ALP 17634 58.0 +5.8 Emmanouil LIB 12775 42.0 -5.8


Note: Labor MP Jan Wilson retired.

Doncaster Roll 35902


First Count

Fyfield GRN 1497 4.6 +4.6 Perton * LIB 19707 60.8 -3.1 McCallum ALP 10579 32.6 -0.3 Dawe HOP 629 1.9 +1.9 .... LAW 0.0 -3.1

Final Count Perton * LIB 20518 63.3 -1.7 McCallum ALP 11892 36.7 +1.7


Dromana Roll 36014


First Count Dixon * LIB 17900 54.4 +3.5 Thompson ALP 13542 41.2 +7.0 Crea DLP 951 2.9 +2.9 Charlwood LAW 490 1.5 +0.6 .... OTH 0.0 -14.0

Final Count

Dixon * LIB 18480 56.2 -1.9 Thompson ALP 14403 43.8 +1.9


Eltham Roll 40355


First Count Engish IND 546 1.5 +1.5 Jennings IND 1310 3.5 +3.5 Hanney ALP 14325 38.5 +0.2 Rosenfeldt LAW 98 0.3 -0.8 Whitehead GRN 1237 3.3 +3.3 Phillips * LIB 18696 50.3 -4.4 Carter DEM 966 2.6 +2.6 .... IND 0.0 -6.0

Final Count

Hanney ALP 17315 46.5 +3.3 Phillips * LIB 19960 53.5 -3.3


Essendon Roll 34636


First Count

Maddigan * ALP 18489 58.5 +7.6 Saunders LIB 13135 41.5 -1.7 .... OTH 0.0 -5.9

Final Count

Maddigan * ALP 18489 58.5 +5.1 Saunders LIB 13135 41.5 -5.1



13

Evelyn Roll 36733


First Count Gillam IND 1824 5.4 +5.4 Fyffe LIB 18367 54.8 -5.1 Marquez-Bridger ALP 11480 34.2 +0.8 Houlihan IND 1862 5.6 +5.6 .... OTH 0.0 -6.7

Final Count

Fyffe LIB 19957 59.5 -3.2 Marquez-Bridger ALP 13571 40.5 +3.2


Note: Liberal MP Jim Plowman retired.

Footscray Roll 34174


First Count

Lynch LIB 9533 32.4 +2.6 Mildenhall * ALP 19916 67.6 -0.4 .... LAW 0.0 -2.2

Final Count

Lynch LIB 9533 32.4 +1.8 Mildenhall * ALP 19916 67.6 -1.8


Forest Hill Roll 34556


First Count

Richardson * LIB 17583 55.9 -3.8 Buxton ALP 12895 41.0 +3.3 Hardiman HOP 1000 3.2 +3.2 .... LAW 0.0 -2.7

Final Count Richardson * LIB 17974 57.1 -3.4 Buxton ALP 13503 42.9 +3.4


Frankston Roll 33431


First Count Borg IND 626 2.1 +2.1 Koch ALP 10083 33.2 -0.4 Kelsall GRN 1850 6.1 +6.1 McCall * LIB 17778 58.6 -5.7 .... LAW 0.0 -2.1

Final Count

Koch ALP 11891 39.3 +4.7 McCall * LIB 18399 60.7 -4.7


Frankston East (ALP gain) Roll 28877


First Count Vogt GRN 486 1.9 +1.9 Bunyan IND 72 0.3 +0.3 McClure IND 77 0.3 +0.3 Mclean LIB 10632 41.6 -7.3 Rankin IND 131 0.5 +0.5 Anderson IND 95 0.4 +0.4 Pavlekov-Smith IND 13 0.1 +0.1 Viney ALP 13127 51.4 +7.0 Clark IND 21 0.1 +0.1 Hoser IND 11 0.0 0.0 Burleigh IND 140 0.5 +0.5 Crea DLP 93 0.4 +0.4 Clarke LAW 24 0.1 -1.0 Eames IND 319 1.2 +1.2 Dawn IND 58 0.2 +0.2 Coppard IND 263 1.0 +1.0 .... IND 0.0 -5.6

Final Count Mclean LIB 11603 45.4 -7.7 Viney ALP 13953 54.6 +7.7


Note: Sitting Independent and former Liberal MP

Peter McLellan died on polling day and the election was cancelled. A supplementary election was held on 16 October 1999 with the same roll but new candidates.


14

Geelong (ALP gain) Roll 33830


First Count Faris IND 1292 4.2 +4.2 Grose IND 641 2.1 +2.1 O'Dea IND 331 1.1 +1.1 Henderson * LIB 14719 47.5 -5.1 Trezise ALP 14001 45.2 +0.1 .... LAW 0.0 -2.3

Final Count Henderson * LIB 15484 49.97 -3.5 Trezise ALP 15500 50.03 +3.5


Geelong North Roll 34379


First and Final Count

Bryan Kennett LIB 12176 39.1 -2.9 Peter Loney * ALP 19000 60.9 +2.9


Gippsland East (IND gain) Roll 33075


First Count

Buckley IND 1704 5.7 +5.7 Ingram IND 7439 24.8 +24.8 Bolitho ALP 8177 27.3 -1.3 Treasure * NAT 10776 35.9 -16.9 Freshwater ONP 1911 6.4 +6.4 .... OTH 0.0 -18.6

Final Count Ingram IND 17317 57.7 +57.7 Bolitho ALP 0 0.0 -34.8 Treasure * NAT 12690 42.3 -22.9

Two-Party Preferred Count Bolitho ALP 14222 47.4 +12.6 Treasure * NAT 15782 52.6 -12.6


Gippsland South Roll 32761


First Count Sayers IND 4411 14.7 +14.7 Ryan * NAT 15130 50.5 -17.2 Emanuel ALP 9955 33.2 +4.7 Clarke LAW 456 1.5 -2.2

Final Count Ryan * NAT 17238 57.5 -11.9 Emanuel ALP 12740 42.5 +11.9


Gippsland West Roll 32796


First Count Taylor ALP 5487 18.1 -15.1 Head NAT 1973 6.5 +6.5 Richardson LAW 128 0.4 +0.4 McRae LIB 11502 38.0 -19.8 Lowry IND 385 1.3 -7.7 Davies * IND 10819 35.7 +35.7

Final Count Taylor ALP 0 0.0 -37.4 McRae LIB 13934 46.0 -16.6 Davies * IND 16360 54.0 +54.0

Two-Party Preferred Count Taylor ALP 13199 43.6 +6.2 McRae LIB 17095 56.4 -6.2


Note: Gained by Independent Susan Davies at a

February 1997 by-election.


15

Gisborne (ALP gain) Roll 36390


First Count Mowatt DEM 1260 3.7 +3.7 Reynolds IND 643 1.9 +1.9 Duncan ALP 13589 40.4 -0.4 Dunn IND 3394 10.1 +10.1 Knowles LIB 14084 41.9 -13.8 Hall GRN 678 2.0 +2.0 .... OTH 0.0 -3.5

Final Count Duncan ALP 17371 51.6 +9.4 Knowles LIB 16277 48.4 -9.4


Note: Sitting Liberal MP Tom Reynolds retired. Rob

Knowles resigned as Liberal MLC for Ballarat to contest this seat. Glen Waverley Roll 31984


First Count

Smith * LIB 18410 63.2 -1.6 Dalby ALP 10738 36.8 +4.0 .... LAW 0.0 -2.4

Final Count

Smith * LIB 18410 63.2 -2.5 Dalby ALP 10738 36.8 +2.5


Hawthorn Roll 36943


First Count

Baillieu LIB 20548 62.6 +1.7 Wickiramasingham ALP 10635 32.4 +3.3 Dawborn HOP 1650 5.0 +5.0 .... OTH 0.0 -10.0

Final Count Baillieu LIB 21042 64.1 +0.5 Wickiramasingham ALP 11791 35.9 -0.5


Note: Liberal MP Phil Gude retired.

Ivanhoe Roll 33205


First Count Poynton HOP 358 1.2 +1.2 McLean LIB 12788 42.5 -5.0 Langdon * ALP 15079 50.1 +0.8 Clarke LAW 132 0.4 -2.8 Roberts GRN 1737 5.8 +5.8

Final Count

McLean LIB 13413 44.6 -3.8 Langdon * ALP 16679 55.4 +3.8


Keilor Roll 42091


First Count Seitz * ALP 22338 58.7 -0.3 Burns IND 2875 7.6 +7.6 Fenech LIB 12851 33.8 -3.5 .... IND 0.0 -3.8

Final Count

Seitz * ALP 23529 61.9 +0.3 Fenech LIB 14481 38.1 -0.3


Kew Roll 35644


First Count

Hale HOP 1380 4.3 +4.3 McIntosh LIB 19594 61.8 -1.9 Lewes ALP 10751 33.9 +1.1 .... LAW 0.0 -3.5

Final Count McIntosh LIB 20247 63.8 -1.2 Lewes ALP 11478 36.2 +1.2


Note: Liberal MP Jan Wade retired.


16

Knox Roll 39768


First Count Wells DLP 1408 3.8 +3.8 Smith ALP 14684 40.1 -0.1 Lupton * LIB 20481 56.0 -0.9 .... LAW 0.0 -2.9

Final Count Smith ALP 15611 42.7 +0.6 Lupton * LIB 20962 57.3 -0.6


Malvern Roll 35940


First Count Doyle * LIB 21129 66.6 +0.2 Wallace ALP 10583 33.4 +2.8 .... LAW 0.0 -3.0

Final Count Doyle * LIB 21129 66.6 -1.0 Wallace ALP 10583 33.4 +1.0


Melbourne Roll 41000


First Count Pike ALP 20572 59.3 +5.7 McLean LIB 12122 35.0 +4.2 Jorquera IND 1986 5.7 +5.7 .... OTH 0.0 -15.6

Final Count Pike ALP 22112 63.8 -2.1 McLean LIB 12568 36.2 +2.1


Note: Labor MP Neil Cole retired.

Melton Roll 44047


First and Final Count McGeary LIB 15294 38.7 +0.8 Nardella ALP 24237 61.3 -0.8


Note: Labor MP David Cunningham retired. Don

Nardella was the Labor MLC for Melbourne North, whose seat faced election in 1999. Mildura Roll 33191


First Count

Mansell NAT 6015 19.7 +19.7 Danson LIB 7998 26.2 -19.0 Savage * IND 13551 44.4 +8.7 Zigouras ALP 2572 8.4 -9.5 Joyce DEM 391 1.3 +1.3 .... LAW 0.0 -1.2

Final Count Danson LIB 13237 43.4 -5.2 Savage * IND 17290 56.6 +5.2

Two-Party Preferred Count Danson LIB 19304 63.2 -1.4 Zigouras ALP 11223 36.8 +1.4


Mill Park Roll 41456


First Count Davenport LIB 12405 33.0 +1.0 D'Angelo LAW 924 2.5 +0.9 Andrianopoulos * ALP 24307 64.6 +4.5 .... OTH 0.0 -6.4

Final Count Davenport LIB 12864 34.2 -1.9 Andrianopoulos * ALP 24772 65.8 +1.9



17

Mitcham Roll 34479


First Count Robinson * ALP 14411 45.2 +4.7 Petherbridge HOP 894 2.8 +2.8 Munroe LIB 15043 47.2 -6.4 Aubrey IND 1529 4.8 +4.8 .... OTH 0.0 -5.9

Final Count

Robinson * ALP 16110 50.5 +5.8 Munroe LIB 15767 49.5 -5.8


Note: Had been gained by Labor at a by-election in

December 1997. Monbulk Roll 33627


First Count Scurfield LAW 258 0.8 -0.5 Voigt CDP 414 1.4 +1.4 McArthur * LIB 15206 49.8 -2.7 Wood ALP 12266 40.2 +2.0 Holtham GRN 1928 6.3 +6.3 Feltham DLP 443 1.5 +1.5 .... OTH 0.0 -8.0

Final Count McArthur * LIB 16241 53.2 -2.0 Wood ALP 14306 46.8 +2.0


Mooroolbark Roll 34835


First Count Elliott * LIB 19509 60.9 0.0 McCrorey ALP 12549 39.1 +2.7 .... LAW 0.0 -2.7

Final Count Elliott * LIB 19509 60.9 -1.3 McCrorey ALP 12549 39.1 +1.3


Mordialloc Roll 32829


First Count McLeod ALP 14200 47.8 +5.8 Leigh * LIB 15515 52.2 -1.2 .... IND 0.0 -4.6

Final Count McLeod ALP 14200 47.8 +2.5 Leigh * LIB 15515 52.2 -2.5


Mornington Roll 36840


First Count Nicholson IND 2816 8.4 +8.4 Cornelius ALP 12198 36.3 -0.8 Plunkett IND 783 2.3 +2.3 Cooper * LIB 17821 53.0 -6.2 .... LAW 0.0 -3.6

Final Count Cornelius ALP 14880 44.3 +5.6 Cooper * LIB 18733 55.7 -5.6


Morwell Roll 33737


First Count Tyler LIB 11040 35.3 +35.3 Hamilton * ALP 17366 55.5 +4.0 Hoppner IND 2912 9.3 +9.3 .... NAT 0.0 -45.1 .... LAW 0.0 -3.4

Final Count Tyler LIB 12856 41.1 +41.1 Hamilton * ALP 18457 58.9 +6.2 …. NAT 0 0.0 -47.3



18

Murray Valley Roll 34790


First Count Jasper * NAT 20899 65.9 -5.3 Leschen ALP 10811 34.1 +8.4 .... LAW 0.0 -3.0

Final Count Jasper * NAT 20899 65.9 -6.5 Leschen ALP 10811 34.1 +6.5


Narracan (ALP gain) Roll 31688


First Count Fozard DEM 1534 5.3 +5.3 Mathieson IND 504 1.8 +1.8 Maxfield ALP 13074 45.6 +3.7 Dowling SPV 1292 4.5 +4.5 Andrighetto * LIB 11925 41.6 -5.8 Robinson IND 355 1.2 +1.2 .... OTH 0.0 -10.8

Final Count Maxfield ALP 15063 52.5 +4.1 Andrighetto * LIB 13621 47.5 -4.1


Niddrie Roll 33802


First and Final Count Kruger LIB 13525 43.2 -2.4 Hulls * ALP 17761 56.8 +2.4


Northcote Roll 35695


First Count Richardson LIB 8124 26.0 -2.2 Duffy IND 2480 7.9 +7.9 Delahunty * ALP 20681 66.1 +6.5 .... OTH 0.0 -12.2

Final Count Richardson LIB 8552 27.3 -2.8 Delahunty * ALP 22733 72.7 +2.8


Oakleigh (ALP gain) Roll 34347


First Count Barker ALP 15060 49.2 +3.4 McGregor IND 452 1.5 +1.5 Eboli IND 268 0.9 +0.9 Walters GRN 1107 3.6 +3.6 McGill * LIB 13558 44.3 -3.1 Schlager LAW 148 0.5 -0.6 .... OTH 0.0 -5.7

Final Count Barker ALP 16286 53.3 +4.1 McGill * LIB 14262 46.7 -4.1


Pakenham Roll 35194


First Count Scoullar GRN 2571 7.9 +7.9 Maclellan * LIB 17202 53.2 -5.0 Dean IND 637 2.0 +0.3 Anderson ALP 11949 36.9 +0.8 .... OTH 0.0 -4.0

Final Count

Maclellan * LIB 18284 56.5 -4.6 Anderson ALP 14059 43.5 +4.6



19

Pascoe Vale Roll 31045


First Count Aghajani LIB 9569 35.1 -2.9 Campbell * ALP 17725 64.9 +4.9 .... LAW 0.0 -2.0

Final Count Aghajani LIB 9569 35.1 -3.8 Campbell * ALP 17725 64.9 +3.8


Polwarth Roll 33217


First Count Crook IND 4574 14.8 -3.8 Brown GRN 1161 3.8 +3.8 Couch NAT 5116 16.6 +16.6 Gartland ALP 7393 23.9 -4.5 Mulder LIB 12668 41.0 -10.0 .... LAW 0.0 -2.0

Final Count

Gartland ALP 12237 39.6 -2.3 Mulder LIB 18675 60.4 +2.3


Note: :Liberal MP Ian Smith retired.

Portland Roll 29156


First Count Jackson ALP 8016 29.4 -5.1 Kempton IND 7153 26.2 +26.2 Napthine * LIB 12093 44.4 -11.3 .... OTH 0.0 -9.8

Final Count Jackson ALP 12394 45.5 +5.9 Napthine * LIB 14868 54.5 -5.9


Prahran Roll 39089


First Count Salter GRN 2282 6.9 +6.9 Burke * LIB 16789 51.0 -1.8 O'Reilly ALP 13056 39.7 -3.9 Dawson LAW 164 0.5 -3.1 Murphy DLP 609 1.9 +1.9

Final Count

Burke * LIB 17785 54.0 -0.6 O'Reilly ALP 15126 46.0 +0.6


Preston Roll 33794


First Count Dickins LAW 1052 3.5 +1.2 Padgett LIB 8769 29.3 -4.6 Leighton * ALP 20087 67.2 +3.3

Final Count Padgett LIB 9384 31.4 -3.3 Leighton * ALP 20522 68.6 +3.3


Richmond Roll 41466


First Count Jolly IND 4213 12.0 +12.0 Tran LIB 10716 30.6 +0.6 Wynne ALP 20121 57.4 -4.8 .... OTH 0.0 -7.9

Final Count

Tran LIB 11837 33.8 +1.1 Wynne ALP 23204 66.2 -1.1


Note: Labor MP Demetri Dollis was disendorsed just

before the election campaign.


20

Ripon (ALP gain) Roll 31732


First Count Helper ALP 15579 52.6 +8.8 Elder * LIB 14045 47.4 -5.0 .... OTH 0.0 -3.7

Final Count Helper ALP 15579 52.6 +7.2 Elder * LIB 14045 47.4 -7.2


Rodney Roll 32526


First Count McCullough ALP 8565 28.4 +8.7 Maughan * NAT 18329 60.8 -2.8 Hutton ONP 3257 10.8 +10.8 .... IND 0.0 -16.6

Final Count McCullough ALP 10358 34.4 +10.5 Maughan * NAT 19793 65.6 -10.5


Sandringham Roll 34629


First Count Thompson * LIB 19478 62.5 -0.3 Munt ALP 11693 37.5 +3.2 .... LAW 0.0 -2.9

Final Count Thompson * LIB 19478 62.5 -1.8 Munt ALP 11693 37.5 +1.8


Seymour (ALP gain) Roll 35717


First Count Hardman ALP 15410 46.9 +2.9 Rule LIB 15675 47.7 -4.8 Romagnesi GRN 1797 5.5 +5.5 .... LAW 0.0 -3.6

Final Count Hardman ALP 16672 50.7 +4.9 Rule LIB 16210 49.3 -4.9


Note: Liberal MP Marie Tehan retired.

Shepparton Roll 33823


First Count Boyle ALP 7616 24.6 -3.2 Kilgour * NAT 12355 39.9 -26.0 Hazelman IND 10965 35.4 +35.4 .... IND 0.0 -6.2

Final Count

Boyle ALP 0 0.0 -30.4 Kilgour * NAT 16724 54.1 -15.5 Hazelman IND 14212 45.9 +45.9

Two-Party Preferred Count

Boyle ALP 11743 37.9 +7.4 Kilgour * NAT 19267 62.1 -7.4


South Barwon Roll 36107


First Count

Paterson * LIB 16892 50.7 -8.4 Crutchfield ALP 12468 37.4 -0.6 Paull DEM 1891 5.7 +5.7 Lauren IND 598 1.8 +1.8 Gannon IND 215 0.6 +0.6 Chenery GRN 1233 3.7 +3.7 .... LAW 0.0 -2.8

Final Count Paterson * LIB 18222 54.7 -5.5 Crutchfield ALP 15076 45.3 +5.5



21

Springvale Roll 35438


First Count Liu-Hyland IND 1680 5.3 +5.3 Campbell LIB 11152 35.4 -2.7 Bisset IND 398 1.3 +1.3 Holding ALP 18230 57.9 +2.9 .... IND 0.0 -6.8

Final Count

Campbell LIB 12322 39.2 -2.9 Holding ALP 19114 60.8 +2.9


Note: Labor MP Eddie Micaleff retired.

Sunshine Roll 38506


First Count

Morgan LIB 9100 27.0 -2.7 Languiller ALP 19826 58.8 -8.8 Baker * IND 4780 14.2 +14.2 .... LAW 0.0 -2.7

Final Count Morgan LIB 10062 29.9 -1.0 Languiller ALP 23643 70.1 +1.0


Note: Sitting MP Ian Baker lost Labor endorsement

and contested as an Independent. Swan Hill Roll 30088


First Count Schorel IND 257 0.9 +0.9 Ditterich IND 6192 22.6 +22.6 Williams ALP 5511 20.1 +2.7 Maher IND 1435 5.2 +5.2 Croft ONP 1383 5.1 +5.1 Steggall * NAT 12378 45.2 -13.8 Bonney IND 219 0.8 +0.8 .... OTH 0.0 -23.5

Final Count Ditterich IND 12925 47.2 +47.2 Williams ALP 0 0.0 -31.0 Steggall * NAT 14450 52.8 -16.2

Two-Party Preferred Williams ALP 10619 38.6 +7.6 Steggall * NAT 16864 61.4 -7.6


Thomastown Roll 35416


First Count Gidley LIB 8212 26.1 -1.3 Batchelor * ALP 23305 73.9 +3.0 .... LAW 0.0 -1.7

Final Count Gidley LIB 8212 26.1 -1.9 Batchelor * ALP 23305 73.9 +1.9


Tullamarine (ALP gain) Roll 39652


First Count Beattie ALP 18346 50.6 +6.5 Fraser GRN 996 2.7 +2.7 Grenfell SPV 719 2.0 +2.0 Finn * LIB 15561 42.9 -5.4 Mulholland DLP 668 1.8 +1.8 .... OTH 0.0 -7.7

Final Count

Beattie ALP 19502 53.8 +6.8 Finn * LIB 16751 46.2 -6.8


Wantirna Roll 37964


First Count

Abraham ALP 13301 38.1 +2.3 Wells * LIB 21579 61.9 -0.3 .... LAW 0.0 -2.0

Final Count

Abraham ALP 13301 38.1 +1.2 Wells * LIB 21579 61.9 -1.2



22

Warrandyte Roll 34386


First Count Orr ALP 10630 33.6 +3.2 Honeywood * LIB 19395 61.2 -0.2 Roberts LAW 288 0.9 -0.3 Stockdale HOP 1357 4.3 +4.3 .... IND 0.0 -6.9

Final Count

Orr ALP 11571 36.5 +0.4 Honeywood * LIB 20096 63.5 -0.4


Warrnambool (LIB gain) Roll 34226


First Count Blair GRN 740 2.3 +2.3 Walsh NAT 5550 17.5 -40.3 O'Brien IND 435 1.4 +1.4 Vogels LIB 12739 40.2 +40.2 Lindop IND 1864 5.9 -6.7 Reekie ALP 9993 31.5 +2.9 Wilson ARP 379 1.2 +1.2 .... LAW 0.0 -1.0

Final Count

Walsh NAT 0 0.0 -63.8 Vogels LIB 18682 58.9 +58.9 Reekie ALP 13018 41.1 +4.9


Note: Sitting National MP John McGrath retired.

Werribee Roll 41644


First Count Gillett * ALP 22652 59.1 +12.8 Manson GRN 913 2.4 +2.4 Impson IND 353 0.9 +0.9 McLaren LIB 14120 36.9 -6.7 Backhouse IND 258 0.7 +0.7 .... IND 0.0 -10.1

Final Count

Gillett * ALP 23540 61.5 +10.7 McLaren LIB 14754 38.5 -10.7


Williamstown Roll 34501


First Count Dyson IND 1341 4.4 +4.4 Evers-Buckland LIB 8877 28.9 -4.3 Bracks * ALP 20468 66.7 +2.8 .... LAW 0.0 -2.8

Final Count Evers-Buckland LIB 9671 31.5 -2.9 Bracks * ALP 21011 68.5 +2.9


Wimmera Roll 32652


First Count Hallam IND 1446 4.8 +4.8 Cross LIB 9450 31.1 +31.1 Mackley ONP 1630 5.4 +5.4 Liston IND 792 2.6 +2.6 Power ALP 7230 23.8 +3.0 Delahunty NAT 9866 32.4 -24.5 .... OTH 0.0 -22.4

Final Count Cross LIB 12904 42.4 +42.4 Power ALP 0 0.0 -28.8 Delahunty NAT 17510 57.6 -13.6

Two-Party Preferred Power ALP 10648 34.9 +6.1 Delahunty NAT 19850 65.1 -6.1


Note: Sitting National MP Bill McGrath retired

Yan Yean Roll 38305


First Count Smith IND 1371 3.9 +3.9 Rigby LAW 341 1.0 -1.5 Tivendale LIB 15397 43.5 -3.7 Haermeyer * ALP 18265 51.6 +1.4

Final Count Tivendale LIB 16204 45.8 -2.6 Haermeyer * ALP 19170 54.2 +2.6



23

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY ELECTORATE

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor Lib/Nat Labor Lib/Nat Swing

Albert Park 18997 14671 56.4 43.6 2.4 to Lib/Nat Altona 21545 11774 64.7 35.3 6.5 to Labor Ballarat East 16100 13886 53.7 46.3 3.7 to Labor Ballarat West 15527 14910 51.0 49.0 2.4 to Labor Bayswater 14623 17654 45.3 54.7 2.8 to Labor Bellarine 15495 16599 48.3 51.7 3.8 to Labor Benalla 13013 17543 42.6 57.4 7.9 to Labor Benambra 13561 18016 42.9 57.1 7.9 to Labor Bendigo East 16977 15004 53.1 46.9 8.1 to Labor Bendigo West 19893 12582 61.3 38.7 9.5 to Labor Bennettswood 13103 16715 43.9 56.1 3.2 to Labor Bentleigh 15090 16300 48.1 51.9 2.8 to Labor Berwick 18348 22376 45.1 54.9 0.3 to Labor Box Hill 13067 17754 42.4 57.6 2.7 to Labor Brighton 10529 20061 34.4 65.6 2.5 to Labor Broadmeadows 23651 8019 74.7 25.3 0.5 to Lib/Nat Bulleen 11662 18709 38.4 61.6 3.0 to Labor Bundoora 18942 14852 56.1 43.9 3.5 to Labor Burwood 13585 17858 43.2 56.8 1.8 to Labor Carrum 17444 17321 50.2 49.8 1.0 to Labor Caufield 13460 18947 41.5 58.5 0.8 to Labor Clayton 20037 12441 61.7 38.3 2.1 to Labor Coburg 20951 8232 71.8 28.2 4.9 to Labor Cranbourne 16708 21002 44.3 55.7 3.4 to Labor Dandenong 23129 18297 55.8 44.2 2.5 to Labor Dandenong North 17634 12775 58.0 42.0 5.7 to Labor Doncaster 11892 20518 36.7 63.3 1.6 to Labor Dromana 14403 18480 43.8 56.2 1.9 to Labor Eltham 17315 19960 46.5 53.5 3.2 to Labor Essendon 18489 13135 58.5 41.5 5.1 to Labor Evelyn 13571 19957 40.5 59.5 3.2 to Labor Footscray 19916 9533 67.6 32.4 1.7 to Lib/Nat Forest Hill 13503 17974 42.9 57.1 3.4 to Labor Frankston 11891 18399 39.3 60.7 4.7 to Labor Frankston East 13953 11603 54.6 45.4 7.7 to Labor Geelong 15500 15484 50.03 49.97 3.5 to Labor Geelong North 19000 12176 60.9 39.1 2.9 to Labor Gippsland East (1) 14222 15782 47.4 52.6 12.6 to Labor Gippsland South 12740 17238 42.5 57.5 11.9 to Labor Gippsland West (1) 13199 17095 43.6 56.4 6.2 to Labor Gisborne 17371 16277 51.6 48.4 9.5 to Labor Glen Waverley 10738 18410 36.8 63.2 2.5 to Labor Hawthorn 11791 21042 35.9 64.1 0.5 to Lib/Nat Ivanhoe 16679 13413 55.4 44.6 3.8 to Labor Keilor 23529 14481 61.9 38.1 0.3 to Labor Kew 11478 20247 36.2 63.8 1.2 to Labor Knox 15611 20962 42.7 57.3 0.6 to Labor Malvern 10583 21129 33.4 66.6 1.0 to Labor Melbourne 22112 12568 63.8 36.2 2.2 to Lib/Nat Melton 24237 15294 61.3 38.7 0.8 to Lib/Nat Mildura (1) 11223 19304 36.8 63.2 1.4 to Labor Mill Park 24772 12864 65.8 34.2 1.9 to Labor Mitcham 16110 15767 50.5 49.5 5.9 to Labor Monbulk 14306 16241 46.8 53.2 2.1 to Labor Mooroolbark 12549 19509 39.1 60.9 1.4 to Labor Mordialloc 14200 15515 47.8 52.2 2.5 to Labor


24

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY ELECTORATE


Mornington 14880 18733 44.3 55.7 5.5 to Labor Morwell 18457 12856 58.9 41.1 6.2 to Labor Murray Valley 10811 20899 34.1 65.9 6.5 to Labor Narracan 15063 13621 52.5 47.5 4.1 to Labor Niddrie 17761 13525 56.8 43.2 2.4 to Labor Northcote 22733 8552 72.7 27.3 2.8 to Labor Oakleigh 16286 14262 53.3 46.7 4.1 to Labor Pakenham 14059 18284 43.5 56.5 4.6 to Labor Pascoe Vale 17725 9569 64.9 35.1 3.9 to Labor Polwarth 12237 18675 39.6 60.4 2.3 to Lib/Nat Portland 12394 14868 45.5 54.5 5.9 to Labor Prahran 15126 17785 46.0 54.0 0.6 to Labor Preston 20522 9384 68.6 31.4 3.3 to Labor Richmond 23204 11837 66.2 33.8 1.1 to Lib/Nat Ripon 15579 14045 52.6 47.4 7.2 to Labor Rodney 10358 19793 34.4 65.6 10.5 to Labor Sandringham 11693 19478 37.5 62.5 1.8 to Labor Seymour 16672 16210 50.7 49.3 4.9 to Labor Shepparton (1) 11743 19267 37.9 62.1 7.4 to Labor South Barwon 15076 18222 45.3 54.7 5.5 to Labor Springvale 19114 12322 60.8 39.2 2.9 to Labor Sunshine 23643 10062 70.1 29.9 1.1 to Labor Swan Hill (1) 10619 16864 38.6 61.4 7.6 to Labor Thomastown 23305 8212 73.9 26.1 2.0 to Labor Tullamarine 19502 16751 53.8 46.2 6.8 to Labor Wantirna 13301 21579 38.1 61.9 1.3 to Labor Warrandyte 11571 20096 36.5 63.5 0.5 to Labor Warrnambool 13018 18682 41.1 58.9 4.9 to Labor Werribee 23540 14754 61.5 38.5 10.7 to Labor Williamstown 21011 9671 68.5 31.5 2.9 to Labor Wimmera (1) 10648 19850 34.9 65.1 6.1 to Labor Yan Yean 19170 16204 54.2 45.8 2.5 to Labor

State-wide Totals 1420775 1409567 50.2 49.8 3.7 to Labor

(1) Separate two-party preferred count conducted by Victorian Electoral Commission.

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ACTUAL TWO-CANDIDATE PREFERRED RESULTS

Winning Candidate Defeated Candidate Electorate Party Vote % Party Vote %

Gippsland East IND 17317 57.7 NAT 12690 42.3 Gippsland West IND 16360 54.0 LIB 13934 46.0 Mildura IND 17290 56.6 LIB 13237 43.4 Shepparton NAT 16724 54.1 IND 14212 45.9 Swan Hill NAT 14450 52.8 IND 12925 47.2 Wimmera NAT 17510 57.6 LIB 12904 42.4


25

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : ELECTORATE RANKED BY TWO-CANDIDATE PREFERRED VOTE

Electorate Margin Electorate Margin

Labor Seats (42) Broadmeadows 24.7 Thomastown 23.9 Northcote 22.7 Coburg 21.8 Sunshine 20.1 Preston 18.6 Williamstown 18.5 Footscray 17.6 Richmond 16.2 Mill Park 15.8 Pascoe Vale 14.9 Altona 14.7 Melbourne 13.8 Keilor 11.9 Clayton 11.7 Werribee 11.5 Melton 11.3 Bendigo West 11.3 Geelong North 10.9 Springvale 10.8 Morwell 8.9 Essendon 8.5 Dandenong North 8.0 Niddrie 6.8 Albert Park 6.4 Bundoora 6.1 Dandenong 5.8 Ivanhoe 5.4 Frankston East 4.6 Yan Yean 4.2 Tullamarine 3.8 Ballarat East 3.7 Oakleigh 3.3 Bendigo East 3.1 Ripon 2.6 Narracan 2.5 Gisborne 1.6 Ballarat West 1.0 Seymour 0.7 Mitcham 0.5 Carrum 0.2 Geelong 0.03

Liberal/National Seats (36/7) Malvern 16.6 Murray Valley (NAT) 15.9 Brighton 15.6 Rodney (NAT) 15.6 Wimmera (NAT) (7.6 vs LIB) 15.1 Hawthorn 14.1 Kew 13.8 Warrandyte 13.5 Doncaster 13.3 Glen Waverley 13.2 Sandringham 12.5 Shepparton (NAT) (4.1 vs IND) 12.1 Wantirna 11.9 Bulleen 11.6 Swan Hill (NAT) (2.8 vs IND) 11.4 Mooroolbark 10.9 Frankston 10.7 Polwarth 10.4 Evelyn 9.5 Warrnambool 8.9 Caufield 8.5 Box Hill 7.6 Gippsland South (NAT) 7.5 Benalla (NAT) 7.4 Knox 7.3 Benambra 7.1 Forest Hill 7.1 Burwood 6.8 Pakenham 6.5 Dromana 6.2 Bennettswood 6.1 Cranbourne 5.7 Mornington 5.7 Berwick 4.9 Bayswater 4.7 South Barwon 4.7 Portland 4.5 Prahran 4.0 Eltham 3.5 Monbulk 3.2 Mordialloc 2.2 Bentleigh 1.9 Bellarine 1.7 Independent Seats (3) Gippsland West (vs LIB) 4.0 Mildura (vs LIB) 6.6 Gippsland East (vs NAT) 7.7

Underline indicates seats that changed party status between 1996 and 1999.


26

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : ELECTORATES RANKED BY TWO-PARTY SWING

2-Party 2-Party Electorate Swing Electorate Swing

Swing to Labor Gippsland East (1) 12.6 Gippsland South 11.9 Werribee 10.7 Rodney 10.5 Bendigo West 9.5 Gisborne 9.5 Bendigo East 8.1 Benambra 7.9 Benalla 7.9 Frankston East 7.7 Swan Hill (1) 7.6 Shepparton (1) 7.4 Ripon 7.2 Tullamarine 6.8 Altona 6.5 Murray Valley 6.5 Gippsland West (1) 6.2 Morwell 6.2 Wimmera (1) 6.1 Mitcham 5.9 Portland 5.9 Dandenong North 5.7 Mornington 5.5 South Barwon 5.5 Essendon 5.1 Coburg 4.9 Seymour 4.9 Warrnambool 4.9 Frankston 4.7 Pakenham 4.6 Narracan 4.1 Oakleigh 4.1 Pascoe Vale 3.9 Bellarine 3.8 Ivanhoe 3.8 Ballarat East 3.7 Bundoora 3.5 Geelong 3.5 Cranbourne 3.4 Forest Hill 3.4 Preston 3.3 Bennettswood 3.2 Eltham 3.2 Evelyn 3.2 Bulleen 3.0

Geelong North 2.9 Springvale 2.9 Williamstown 2.9 Bayswater 2.8 Bentleigh 2.8 Northcote 2.8 Box Hill 2.7 Brighton 2.5 Dandenong 2.5 Glen Waverley 2.5 Mordialloc 2.5 Yan Yean 2.5 Ballarat West 2.4 Niddrie 2.4 Clayton 2.1 Monbulk 2.1 Thomastown 2.0 Dromana 1.9 Mill Park 1.9 Burwood 1.8 Sandringham 1.8 Doncaster 1.6 Mildura (1) 1.4 Mooroolbark 1.4 Wantirna 1.3 Kew 1.2 Sunshine 1.1 Carrum 1.0 Malvern 1.0 Caufield 0.8 Knox 0.6 Prahran 0.6 Warrandyte 0.5 Berwick 0.3 Keilor 0.3 Swing to Coalition Broadmeadows 0.5 Hawthorn 0.5 Melton 0.8 Richmond 1.1 Footscray 1.7 Melbourne 2.2 Polwarth 2.3 Albert Park 2.4

(1) Indicates seats where separate two-party preferred counts were conducted by the Victorian Electoral Commission.


27

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN

2-Party 2-Party Electorate (Margin) Swing Electorate Swing

Broadmeadows (ALP 25.1%) -0.5 Thomastown (ALP 22.0%) +2.0 Northcote (ALP 19.9%) +2.8 Footscray (ALP 19.4%) -1.7 Sunshine (ALP 19.1%) +1.1 Richmond (ALP 17.3%) -1.1 Coburg (ALP 16.9%) +4.9 Melbourne (ALP 15.9%) -2.2 Williamstown (ALP 15.6%) +2.9 Preston (ALP 15.3%) +3.3 Mill Park (ALP 13.9%) +1.9 Melton (ALP 12.2%) -0.8 Keilor (ALP 11.6%) +0.3 Pascoe Vale (ALP 11.1%) +3.9 Clayton (ALP 9.6%) +2.1 Albert Park (ALP 8.8%) -2.4 Altona (ALP 8.2%) +6.5 Geelong North (ALP 8.1%) +2.9 Springvale (ALP 7.9%) +2.9 Niddrie (ALP 4.4%) +2.4 Essendon (ALP 3.4%) +5.1 Dandenong (ALP 3.3%) +2.5 Morwell (ALP 2.7%) +6.2 Bundoora (ALP 2.6%) +3.5 Dandenong North (ALP 2.2%) +5.7 Bendigo West (ALP 1.7%) +9.5 Yan Yean (ALP 1.6%) +2.5 Ivanhoe (ALP 1.6%) +3.8 Werribee (ALP 0.8%) +10.7 Ballarat East (LIB 0.05%) +3.7 Oakleigh (LIB 0.8%) +4.1 Carrum (LIB 0.8%) +1.0 Ballarat West (LIB 1.4%) +2.4 Narracan (LIB 1.6%) +4.1 Tullamarine (LIB 3.0%) +6.8 Frankston East (LIB 3.1%) +7.7 Geelong (LIB 3.5%) +3.5 Seymour (LIB 4.2%) +4.9 Ripon (LIB 4.6%) +7.2 Prahran (LIB 4.6%) +0.6 Mordialloc (LIB 4.7%) +2.5 Bentleigh (LIB 4.7%) +2.8 Bendigo East (LIB 5.0%) +8.1 Monbulk (LIB 5.2%) +2.1

Mitcham (LIB 5.3%) +5.9 Berwick (LIB 5.3%) +0.3 Bellarine (LIB 5.5%) +3.8 Eltham (LIB 6.8%) +3.2 Bayswater (LIB 7.5%) +2.8 Gisborne (LIB 7.8%) +9.5 Knox (LIB 7.9%) +0.6 Polwarth (LIB 8.1%) -2.3 Dromana (LIB 8.1%) +1.9 Burwood (LIB 8.6%) +1.8 Cranbourne (LIB 9.1%) +3.4 Bennettswood (LIB 9.2%) +3.2 Caufield (LIB 9.3%) +0.8 South Barwon (LIB 10.2%) +5.5 Box Hill (LIB 10.3%) +2.7 Portland (LIB 10.4%) +5.9 Forest Hill (LIB 10.5%) +3.4 Pakenham (LIB 11.1%) +4.6 Mornington (LIB 11.3%) +5.5 Mooroolbark (LIB 12.2%) +1.4 Gippsland West (LIB 12.6%) +6.2 Evelyn (LIB 12.7%) +3.2 Wantirna (LIB 13.1%) +1.3 Hawthorn (LIB 13.6%) -0.5 Warrnambool (NAT 13.8%) +4.9 Warrandyte (LIB 13.9%) +0.5 Sandringham (LIB 14.3%) +1.8 Bulleen (LIB 14.6%) +3.0 Mildura (LIB 14.7%) +1.4 Benambra (LIB 14.9%) +7.9 Kew (LIB 15.0%) +1.2 Doncaster (LIB 15.0%) +1.6 Gippsland East (NAT 15.2%) +12.6 Benalla (NAT 15.3%) +7.9 Frankston (LIB 15.4%) +4.7 Glen Waverley (LIB 15.7%) +2.5 Malvern (LIB 17.6%) +1.0 Brighton (LIB 18.1%) +2.5 Swan Hill (NAT 19.0%) +7.6 Gippsland South (NAT 19.4%) +11.9 Shepparton (NAT 19.6%) +7.4 Wimmera (NAT 21.2%) +6.1 Murray Valley (NAT 22.4%) +6.5 Rodney (NAT 26.1%) +10.5

Underlining indicates seats which changed party status between 1996 and 1999. '+' indicates a swing to the Labor Party, '-' a swing to the Liberal/National Party Coalition.


28

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : TWO-PARTY SUMMARY BY ELECTORATE PARTY STATUS

Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percentage Category (No. of seats) Labor Lib/Nat Labor Lib/Nat Swing

Marginal Labor (11) 209804 158160 57.0 43.0 5.3 to Labor Safe Labor (7) 139947 87434 61.5 38.5 2.2 to Labor Very Safe Labor (12) 270057 124228 68.5 31.5 0.8 to Labor Total Labor (30) 619808 369822 62.6 37.4 2.8 to Labor Marginal Liberal (17) 271168 267913 50.3 49.7 3.7 to Labor Safe Liberal (16) 231395 292365 44.2 55.8 3.3 to Labor Very Safe Liberal (14) 166810 277150 37.6 62.4 2.3 to Labor Total Liberal (47) 669373 837428 44.4 55.6 3.2 to Labor Very Safe National (9) 107172 165918 39.2 60.8 8.4 to Labor Total National (9) 107172 165918 39.2 60.8 8.4 to Labor

NOTES Seats with a margin less than 6% are classified as Marginal. Seats with margins between 6% and 12% are classified as Safe. Seats with margins greater than 12% are classified as Very Safe. All seats classified according to their 1996 state election results, with the exception of Mitcham, which while the swing used is compared to the 1996 election, has been classified as a Marginal Labor electorate based upon the December 1998 by-election result. The Independent held seats of Gippsland West and Mildura have been excluded from the table.


29

REGIONAL SUMMARIES The following tables summaries the election result for different regions of the state. All electorates have been classified into three broad categories, Country, Regional Cities and Metropolitan. The Metropolitan seats have been further subdivided into three general areas, the Western Suburbs (roughly all seats north and west of the Yarra, plus Albert Park), the Eastern Suburbs, and the South-East Suburbs. The party status shown is that for the party that won the seat at the 1999 election. Seats that change party status since the 1996 election are underlined.

Metropolitan (59) Eastern Suburbs (18) Bayswater (LIB), Bennettswood (LIB), Box Hill (LIB), Bulleen (LIB),

Burwood (LIB), Doncaster (LIB), Forest Hill (LIB), Glen Waverley (LIB), Hawthorn (LIB), Kew (LIB), Knox (LIB), Malvern (LIB), Mitcham (ALP), Monbulk (LIB), Mooroolbark (LIB), Prahran (LIB), Wantirna (LIB), Warrandyte (LIB)

South-East Suburbs (17) Bentleigh (LIB), Berwick (LIB), Brighton (LIB), Carrum (ALP), Caufield

(LIB), Clayton (ALP), Cranbourne (LIB), Dandenong (ALP), Dandenong North (ALP), Dromana (LIB), Frankston (LIB), Frankston East (ALP), Mordialloc (LIB), Mornington (LIB), Oakleigh (ALP), Sandringham (LIB), Springvale (ALP)

Western Suburbs (24) Albert Park (ALP), Altona (ALP), Broadmeadows (ALP), Bundoora (ALP),

Coburg (ALP), Eltham (LIB), Essendon (ALP), Footscray (ALP), Ivanhoe (ALP), Keilor (ALP), Melbourne (ALP), Melton (ALP), Mill Park (ALP), Niddrie (ALP), Northcote (ALP), Pascoe Vale (ALP), Preston (ALP), Richmond (ALP), Sunshine (ALP), Thomastown (ALP), Tullamarine (ALP), Werribee (ALP), Williamstown (ALP), Yan Yean (ALP)

Regional Cities (12) Ballarat East (ALP), Ballarat West (ALP), Bendigo East (ALP), Bendigo

West (ALP), Bellarine (LIB), Evelyn (LIB), Geelong (ALP), Geelong North (ALP), Morwell (ALP), Narracan (ALP), Pakenham (LIB), South Barwon (LIB)

Country (17) Benambra (LIB), Benalla (NAT), Gippsland East (IND), Gisborne (ALP),

Gippsland South (NAT), Gippsland West (IND), Mildura (IND), Murray Valley (NAT), Polwarth (LIB), Portland (LIB), Ripon (ALP), Rodney (NAT), Seymour (ALP), Shepparton (NAT), Swan Hill (NAT), Warrnambool (LIB), Wimmera (NAT)


30

COUNTRY Enrolled 565605

Party (Seats) Votes % Swing

Labor (3) 162478 31.3 +2.0 Liberal (4) 128270 24.7 -0.6 National (7) 135930 26.2 -6.7 Greens 4376 0.8 +0.8 Others (3) 88473 17.0 +4.4

Labor 2PP 219408 42.2 +6.9 Lib/Nat 2PP 300408 57.8 -6.9

Formal 519527 97.3 -0.9 Informal 14437 2.7 +0.9 Total Votes 533964 94.4

METROPOLITAN Enrolled 2154197


Labor (31) 948171 49.1 +2.2 Liberal (28) 893934 46.3 -2.3 Greens 21447 1.1 +1.1 Others 68866 3.6 -1.1



REGIONAL CITIES Enrolled 410536


Labor (8) 179047 47.3 +3.4 Liberal (4) 172794 45.7 -1.6 National 0 0.0 -3.8 Greens 6747 1.8 +1.8 Others 19738 5.2 +0.3



EASTERN SUBURBS Enrolled 635893





SOUTH-EAST SUBURBS Enrolled 618916





WESTERN SUBURBS Enrolled 899388






31

LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL

STATE-WIDE TOTALS ROLL 3 130 338

Candi- Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Vote Swing

Labor Party 20 8 +3 1 187 484 42.23 +1.74 Liberal Party 19 11 -3 1 116 347 39.70 -4.17 National Party 3 3 .. 204 587 7.28 +0.65 Australian Democrats 17 .. .. 190 940 6.79 +1.06 Australian Greens 4 .. .. 62 796 2.23 +2.23 Independents 8 .. .. 36 399 1.29 +0.35 Australian Reform Party 1 .. .. 6 617 0.24 +0.24 Christian Democrats 2 .. .. 6 608 0.24 +0.04 Democratic Labor Party .. .. .. .. .. -1.58 Others .. .. .. .. .. -0.56

Formal 74 22 .. 2 811 778 96.63 -0.79 Informal 97 949 3.37 +0.79 Total Votes 2 909 727 92.95 -1.26

(NOTE: All swings in this section are compared to votes recorded at the 1996 election)

Seats Changing Hands Labor gains from Liberal (4) Ballarat (elected 1992)

Ballarat (elected 1996, gained at 1999 by-election) Chelsea (elected 1992) Geelong (elected 1992)

Party Composition of Legislative Council

Labor Liberal National Total

Elected 1996 6 13 3 22 Elected 1999 8 11 3 22

Total 14 24 6 44

NOTE: Labor gained the Ballarat province seat elected in 1996 at a by-election held in conjunction with the 1999 election

Party Status Provinces

Both seats Liberal (10) Central Highlands, East Yarra, Eumemmerring, Higinbotham, Koonung, Monash, Silvan, South Eastern, Templestowe, Waverley

Both seats Labor (6) Ballarat, Doutta Galla, Jika Jika, Melbourne, Melbourne North, Melbourne West

Both seats National (2) North Eastern, North Western Liberal 1996, Labor 1999 (2) Chelsea, Geelong Liberal 1996, National 1999 (1) Western National 1996, Liberal 1999 (1) Gippsland


32

LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL : SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES BY ELECTORATE

Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP LIB NAT DEM GRN Other Votes Votes Roll

Ballarat 57655 55834 .. 6853 .. .. 3383 123725 133541 Central Highlands 61686 70353 .. .. .. .. 4368 136407 144842 Chelsea 57949 56642 .. 5250 .. 2185 4621 126647 135896 Doutta Galla 93833 49202 .. .. .. .. 7441 150476 158446 East Yarra 41644 72041 .. 13236 .. .. 3308 130229 141354 Eumemmerring 64024 65426 .. 5161 .. 9509 6243 150363 159504 Geelong 57389 58390 .. 6540 5568 .. 3350 131237 138739 Gippsland 47503 46447 .. 6802 .. 18652 4330 123734 131261 Higinbotham .. 69024 .. 53414 .. .. 3892 126330 136171 Jika Jika 87169 45415 .. .. .. .. 5390 137974 147692 Koonung 51052 71158 .. 6908 4480 .. 3915 137513 146767 Melbourne North 78663 42115 .. .. .. 4909 6777 132464 142672 Melbourne 73484 44220 .. 13517 .. .. 5460 136681 152440 Melbourne West 79460 43561 .. 7682 .. .. 5801 136504 146908 Monash 45926 62295 .. 9211 .. 4165 4009 125606 151995 North Eastern 43958 .. 70020 10148 .. .. 3889 128015 136517 North Western 49952 .. 62789 8855 .. .. 2913 124509 132305 Silvan 48266 66992 .. 7375 .. 3587 3685 129905 138275 South Eastern 51147 70597 .. 6551 5972 .. 3807 138074 146734 Templestowe .. 69383 .. 13568 46776 .. 3944 133671 143222 Waverley 54573 57252 .. 9869 .. .. 4686 126380 135806 Western 42151 .. 71778 .. .. 6617 2737 123283 129251

TOTAL 1187484 1116347 204587 190940 62796 49624 97949 2909727 3130338

LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL : SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY ELECTORATE

Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes Informal District ALP LIB NAT DEM GRN Other Votes Turnout

Ballarat 47.9 46.4 .. 5.7 .. .. 2.7 92.6 Central Highlands 46.7 53.3 .. .. .. .. 3.2 94.2 Chelsea 47.5 46.4 .. 4.3 .. 1.8 3.6 93.2 Doutta Galla 65.6 34.4 .. .. .. .. 4.9 95.0 East Yarra 32.8 56.8 .. 10.4 .. .. 2.5 92.1 Eumemmerring 44.4 45.4 .. 3.6 .. 6.6 4.2 94.3 Geelong 44.9 45.7 .. 5.1 4.4 .. 2.6 94.6 Gippsland 39.8 38.9 .. 5.7 .. 15.6 3.5 94.3 Higinbotham .. 56.4 .. 43.6 .. .. 3.1 92.8 Jika Jika 65.7 34.3 .. .. .. .. 3.9 93.4 Koonung 38.2 53.3 .. 5.2 3.4 .. 2.8 93.7 Melbourne North 62.6 33.5 .. .. .. 3.9 5.1 92.8 Melbourne 56.0 33.7 .. 10.3 .. .. 4.0 89.7 Melbourne West 60.8 33.3 .. 5.9 .. .. 4.2 92.9 Monash 37.8 51.2 .. 7.6 .. 3.4 3.2 82.6 North Eastern 35.4 .. 56.4 8.2 .. .. 3.0 93.8 North Western 41.1 .. 51.6 7.3 .. .. 2.3 94.1 Silvan 38.2 53.1 .. 5.8 .. 2.8 2.8 93.9 South Eastern 38.1 52.6 .. 4.9 4.4 .. 2.8 94.1 Templestowe .. 53.5 .. 10.5 36.1 .. 3.0 93.3 Waverley 44.8 47.0 .. 8.1 .. .. 3.7 93.1 Western 35.0 .. 59.5 .. .. 5.5 2.2 95.4

TOTAL 42.2 39.7 7.3 6.8 2.2 1.8 3.4 93.0


33

LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL PROVINCES Ballarat (ALP gain) Roll 133541


First Count Clark LIB 55834 46.4 -5.3 Lutz DEM 6853 5.7 +1.8 Hadden-Tregear ALP 57655 47.9 +6.4 .... OTH 0.0 -2.9

Final Count Clark LIB 58568 48.7 -5.7 Hadden-Tregear ALP 61774 51.3 +5.7


Notes: Liberal MLC Dick de Fegely retired. A by-

election was held for the other Ballarat seat on election day following the decision of Rob Knowles to contest Gisborne. Central Highlands Roll 144842


First Count Stoney * LIB 70353 53.3 -0.8 Mitchell ALP 61686 46.7 +8.9 .... DEM 0.0 -6.3 .... DLP 0.0 -1.8

Final Count Stoney * LIB 70353 53.3 -4.3 Mitchell ALP 61686 46.7 +4.3


Chelsea (ALP gain) Roll 135896


First Count Smith ALP 57949 47.5 +5.3 Good IND 2185 1.8 +1.8 Bennett DEM 5250 4.3 -0.4 Wilding * LIB 56642 46.4 -4.3 .... OTH 0.0 -2.4

Final Count

Smith ALP 62501 51.2 +4.5 Wilding * LIB 59525 48.8 -4.5


Doutta Galla Roll 158446


First Count Madden ALP 93833 65.6 +7.8 Daw LIB 49202 34.4 -1.8 .... DEM 0.0 -3.7 .... DLP 0.0 -2.3

Final Count Madden ALP 93833 65.6 +4.4 Daw LIB 49202 34.4 -4.4


Note: Labor MLC Tayfun Eren was disendorsed.

East Yarra Roll 141354


First Count Birrell * LIB 72041 56.8 -0.5 Harcourt DEM 13236 10.4 +1.5 Walpole * ALP 41644 32.8 +2.6 .... OTH 0.0 -3.5

Final Count Birrell * LIB 76560 60.3 -1.9 Walpole * ALP 50356 39.7 +1.9


Note: Walpole was the sitting Labor MLC for

Melbourne Province. Eumemmerring Roll 159504


First Count Dickson CDP 4492 3.1 +0.6 Blades IND 5017 3.5 +3.5 Berk DEM 5161 3.6 -0.5 Rich-Phillips LIB 65426 45.4 -3.4 Baldovino ALP 64024 44.4 +1.4 .... DLP 0.0 -1.5

Final Count

Rich-Phillips LIB 72518 50.3 -2.5 Baldovino ALP 71602 49.7 +2.5


Note: Liberal MLC Ron Wells retired.


34

Geelong (ALP gain) Roll 138739


First Count Whitehead GRN 5568 4.4 +4.4 Hodge DEM 6540 5.1 +0.6 Carbines ALP 57389 44.9 +1.6 Hartigan * LIB 58390 45.7 -5.5 .... DLP 0.0 -1.1

Final Count

Carbines ALP 65790 51.4 +4.7 Hartigan * LIB 62097 48.6 -4.7


Gippsland Roll 131261


First Count Treasure IND 11179 9.4 +9.4 Seabrook IND 3957 3.3 +3.3 McCubbin DEM 6802 5.7 +1.0 Davis * LIB 46447 38.9 +38.9 Wishart ALP 47503 39.8 +6.2 O'Brien IND 3516 2.9 +2.9 .... NAT 0.0 -55.7 .... OTH 0.0 -6.0

Final Count

Davis * LIB 60046 50.3 +50.3 Wishart ALP 59358 49.7 +10.7 …. NAT 0 0.0 -61.0


Higinbotham Roll 136171


First Count Strong * LIB 69024 56.4 -0.4 Tucker DEM 53414 43.6 +35.8 .... ALP 0.0 -34.2 .... DLP 0.0 -1.2

Final Count Strong * LIB 69024 56.4 -4.4 Tucker DEM 53414 43.6 +43.6 .... ALP 0 0.0 -39.2


Note: The Labor Party did not nominate a candidate

and suggested its supporters vote for the Democrats.

Jika Jika Roll 147692


First Count Mikakos ALP 87169 65.7 +10.5 Dunn LIB 45415 34.3 +0.3 .... DEM 0.0 -7.2 .... OTH 0.0 -3.6

Final Count Mikakos ALP 87169 65.7 +2.9 Dunn LIB 45415 34.3 -2.9


Note: Labor MLC Pat Power retired.

Koonung Roll 146767


First Count Kir GRN 4480 3.4 +3.4 Legg ALP 51052 38.2 +2.7 Atkinson * LIB 71158 53.3 -3.2 Alesich DEM 6908 5.2 -0.4 .... OTH 0.0 -2.5

Final Count Legg ALP 58137 43.6 +3.2 Atkinson * LIB 75248 56.4 -3.2


Melbourne Roll 152440


First Count Handsaker DEM 13517 10.3 +1.9 Romanes ALP 73484 56.0 +1.1 McCraith LIB 44220 33.7 +0.2 .... OTH 0.0 -3.1

Final Count Romanes ALP 83865 63.9 +0.1 McCraith LIB 47313 36.1 -0.1


Note: Labor MLC Doug Walpole retired by contesting

East Yarra Province. A by-election was also held for the other Melbourne Province seat.


35

Melbourne North Roll 142672


First Count De Bono LIB 42115 33.5 -2.5 McClure IND 4909 3.9 +3.9 Thomson ALP 78663 62.6 +4.9 .... DEM 0.0 -3.9 .... OTH 0.0 -2.5

Final Count

De Bono LIB 44484 35.4 -2.9 Thomson ALP 81196 64.6 +2.9


Note: Sitting Labor MLC Don Nardella contested the

Assembly seat of Melton. Melbourne West Roll 146908


First Count Darveniza ALP 79460 60.8 +13.2 Barnes DEM 7682 5.9 +2.8 Borg LIB 43561 33.3 -0.2 .... OTH 0.0 -15.8

Final Count Darveniza ALP 84297 64.5 +3.3 Borg LIB 46404 35.5 -3.3


Note: Labor MLC Jean McLean retired.

Monash Roll 151995


First Count D'Andrea IND 4165 3.4 +3.4 Coote LIB 62295 51.2 -0.5 Willox ALP 45926 37.8 -0.7 Peters DEM 9211 7.6 +1.0 .... OTH 0.0 -3.3

Final Count Coote LIB 67158 55.3 +0.5 Willox ALP 54246 44.7 -0.5


Note: Liberal MLC Louise Asher contested the

Asembly seat of Brighton.

North Eastern Roll 136517


First Count Davis ALP 43958 35.4 +9.8 Lee DEM 10148 8.2 +4.2 Baxter * NAT 70020 56.4 +19.4 .... LIB 0.0 -32.4 .... DLP 0.0 -1.1

Final Count

Davis ALP 49395 39.8 +9.1 Baxter * NAT 74727 60.2 -9.1


North Western Roll 132305


First Count Kidd ALP 49952 41.1 +7.3 Bishop * NAT 62789 51.6 -5.6 Van Diesen DEM 8855 7.3 +1.6 .... OTH 0.0 -3.3

Final Count

Kidd ALP 54332 44.7 +6.3 Bishop * NAT 67257 55.3 -6.3


Silvan Roll 138275


First Count

Tunstall ALP 48266 38.2 +3.5 Raskovy IND 1471 1.2 +0.4 Leeper DEM 7375 5.8 -0.1 Olexander LIB 66992 53.1 -2.9 Levick CDP 2116 1.7 +1.7 .... OTH 0.0 -2.5

Final Count Tunstall ALP 54475 43.2 +3.6 Olexander LIB 71662 56.8 -3.6


Note: Liberal MLC Rosemary Varty retired.


36

South Eastern Roll 146734


First Count Kingsford GRN 5972 4.4 +4.4 Bowden * LIB 70597 52.6 -4.0 Armstrong DEM 6551 4.9 0.0 Binney ALP 51147 38.1 +2.7 .... OTH 0.0 -3.2

Final Count

Bowden * LIB 76088 56.7 -3.4 Binney ALP 58148 43.3 +3.4


Templestowe Roll 143222


First Count Evans GRN 46776 36.1 +36.1 Forwood * LIB 69383 53.5 -1.3 Millane DEM 13568 10.5 +1.8 .... ALP 0.0 -35.2 .... DLP 0.0 -1.5

Final Count Evans GRN 57426 44.3 +44.3 Forwood * LIB 72294 55.7 -3.5 .... ALP 0 0.0 -40.8


Note: There was no Labor candidate, the Labor Party

recommending a vote for the Greens. Waverley Roll 135806


First Count

Morgan DEM 9869 8.1 +1.2 Brideson * LIB 57252 47.0 -3.9 Morris ALP 54573 44.8 +4.3 .... DLP 0.0 -1.6

Final Count Brideson * LIB 61735 50.7 -4.1 Morris ALP 59959 49.3 +4.1


Western Roll 129251


First Count Hallam * NAT 71778 59.5 +59.5 Mitchell ALP 42151 35.0 +4.4 McDonald ARP 6617 5.5 +5.5 .... LIB 0.0 -60.5 .... DEM 0.0 -6.6 .... DLP 0.0 -2.3

Final Count Hallam * NAT 74660 61.9 +61.9 Mitchell ALP 45884 38.1 +2.8 …. LIB 0 0.0 -64.7



37

LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL : SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY ELECTORATE


Ballarat 61774 58568 51.3 48.7 5.7 to Labor Central Highlands 61686 70353 46.7 53.3 4.3 to Labor Chelsea 62501 59525 51.2 48.8 4.5 to Labor Doutta Galla 93833 49202 65.6 34.4 4.4 to Labor East Yarra 50356 76560 39.7 60.3 1.9 to Labor Eumemmerring 71602 72518 49.7 50.3 2.5 to Labor Geelong 65790 62097 51.4 48.6 4.7 to Labor Gippsland 59358 60046 49.7 50.3 10.7 to Labor Higinbotham (1) 53414 69024 43.6 56.4 4.4 to Labor Jika Jika 87169 45415 65.7 34.3 2.9 to Labor Koonung 58137 75248 43.6 56.4 3.2 to Labor Melbourne North 81196 44484 64.6 35.4 2.9 to Labor Melbourne 83865 47313 63.9 36.1 0.1 to Labor Melbourne West 84297 46404 64.5 35.5 3.3 to Labor Monash 54246 67158 44.7 55.3 0.5 to Lib/Nat North Eastern 49395 74727 39.8 60.2 9.1 to Labor North Western 54332 67257 44.7 55.3 6.3 to Labor Silvan 54475 71662 43.2 56.8 3.6 to Labor South Eastern 58148 76088 43.3 56.7 3.4 to Labor Templestowe (1) 57426 72294 44.3 55.7 3.4 to Labor Waverley 59959 61735 49.3 50.7 4.1 to Labor Western 45884 74660 38.1 61.9 2.8 to Labor

State-wide Totals 1408843 1402338 50.1 49.9 4.1 to Labor

(1) No Labor candidate. Democrat vote used in Higinbotham, Greens vote used in Templestowe.


38

LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL : ELECTORATE RANKED BY TWO-CANDIDATE PREFERRED VOTE

Electorate Margin Electorate Margin

Liberal/National Seats (11/3) Western (NAT) 11.9 East Yarra 10.3 North Eastern (NAT) 10.2 Silvan 6.8 South Eastern 6.7 Higinbotham (vs DEM) 6.4 Koonung 6.4 Templestowe (vs GRN) 5.7 Monash 5.3 North Western (NAT) 5.3 Central Highlands 3.3 Waverley 0.7 Eumemmerring 0.3 Gippsland 0.3

Labor Seats (8) Jika Jika 15.7 Doutta Galla 15.6 Melbourne North 14.6 Melbourne West 14.5 Melbourne 13.9 Geelong 1.4 Ballarat 1.3 Chelsea 1.2

LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL : ELECTORATES RANKED BY TWO-PARTY SWING

2-Party 2-Party Electorate Swing Electorate Swing

Swing to Labor Gippsland 10.7 North Eastern 9.1 North Western 6.3 Ballarat 5.7 Geelong 4.7 Chelsea 4.5 Doutta Galla 4.4 Higinbotham 4.4 Central Highlands 4.3 Waverley 4.1 Silvan 3.6 South Eastern 3.4 Templestowe 3.4 Melbourne West 3.3 Koonung 3.2 Jika Jika 2.9 Melbourne North 2.9 Western 2.8 Eumemmerring 2.5 East Yarra 1.9 Melbourne 0.1

Swing to Coalition Monash 0.5


39

BY-ELECTIONS Legislative Assembly 1996 - 1999 Gippsland West (IND gain) 31375 (1 February 1997: Resignation of Alan Brown)


First Count

Davies IND 8844 32.6 +32.6 Sayers SPV 1275 4.7 +4.7 Turnbull IND 1361 5.0 +5.0 Mathieson ARP 2555 9.4 +9.4 Lowry IND 1867 6.9 -2.1 Coleman LIB 11214 41.4 -16.4 …. ALP 0 0.0 -33.2

Final Count Davies IND 13606 50.3 +50.3 Coleman LIB 13447 49.7 -12.9 …. ALP 0.0 -37.4 Exhausted 63 0.2


Mitcham (ALP gain) 33919 (13 December 1997: Resignation of Roger Pescott)


First Count Stokes IND 1356 4.7 +4.7 Munroe LIB 8764 30.7 -22.9 Dunn ARP 204 0.7 +0.7 Wootton IND 498 1.7 +1.7 Kliska IND 257 0.9 +0.9 Ford IND 42 0.1 +0.1 Smith IND 48 0.2 +0.2 McDermott SPV 245 0.9 +0.9 Petherbridge IND 551 1.9 +1.9 Kalinkara IND 42 0.1 +0.1 Scotte IND 246 0.9 +0.9 Raskovy IND 88 0.3 +0.3 Abol. Child Support ACS 69 0.2 +0.2 McLaren DEM 1857 6.5 +6.5 Evans GRN 1021 3.6 +3.6 Stagg IND 55 0.2 +0.2 Robinson ALP 13206 46.3 +5.8 …. OTH 0 0.0 -5.9

Final Count

Munroe LIB 11247 39.5 -15.8 Robinson ALP 17214 60.5 +15.8 Exhausted 88 0.3


Northcote 34787 (15 August 1998: Resignation of Tony Sheehan)


First Count

Kavalenka ONP 1690 6.0 +6.0 Saunders DEM 7439 26.3 +26.3 Evans IND 555 2.0 +2.0 Sekhom GRN 1081 3.8 +3.8 Haider ACS 75 0.3 +0.3 Delahunty ALP 16954 60.0 +0.4 Sibelle IND 472 1.7 +1.7 …. LIB 0 0.0 -28.2 …. OTH 0 0.0 -12.2

Final Count Saunders DEM 9891 35.0 +35.0 Delahunty ALP 18351 65.0 -4.9 …. LIB 0.0 -30.1 Exhausted 24 0.1



40

Legislative Council 1996-1999 Ballarat Province (ALP gain) 133541 (18 September 1999: Resignation of Rob Knowles)


First Count

McQuilten ALP 58904 48.4 +6.8 Clarke GRN 5233 4.3 +4.3 Bath LIB 55191 45.3 -6.3 Patterson IND 2423 2.0 +2.0 …. DEM 0 0.0 -3.9 …. OTH 0 0.0 -2.9

Final Count McQuilten ALP 63589 52.2 +6.6 Bath LIB 58162 47.8 -6.6


Note: Vacancy for a position elected at the 1996

election, the by-election conducted on the same day as the 1999 state election. Liberal MLC Rob Knowles unsuccessfully contested the lower house electorate of Gisborne. Melbourne Province 152440 (18 September 1999: Resignation of Barry Pullen)


First Count

Sekhon GRN 11126 8.5 +8.5 Sharp DEM 8437 6.4 -2.0 Nguyen LIB 41634 31.8 -1.8 Jennings ALP 69811 53.3 -1.6 …. OTH 0 0.0 -3.1

Final Count Nguyen LIB 48336 36.9 +0.7 Jennings ALP 82617 63.1 -0.7



election, the by-election conducted on the same day as the 1999 state election.

Melbourne North 142672 (18 Sep 1999: Resignation of Caroline Hogg)


First Count Broad ALP 79955 63.6 +6.0 Bradshaw IND 5255 4.2 +4.2 Kraskov LIB 40444 32.2 -3.8 …. DEM 0 0.0 -3.9 …. OTH 0 0.0 -2.5

Final Count Broad ALP 83034 66.1 +4.4 Kraskov LIB 42607 33.9 -4.4



election, the by-election conducted on the same day as the 1999 state election.


41

Legislative Assembly 1999-2000 Burwood (ALP gain) 34964 (11 December 1999: Resignation of Jeff Kennett)


First Count

Stensholt ALP 13410 45.0 +3.5 McLean LIB 12054 40.5 -15.0 Crohn GRN 1875 6.3 +6.3 Ferwerda DLP 453 1.5 +1.5 Mayne IND 1975 6.6 +6.6 … OTH 0 0.0 -3.0

Final Count Stensholt ALP 15963 53.6 +10.4 McLean LIB 13804 46.4 -10.4


Benalla (ALP gain) 34144 (13 May 2000: Resignation of Pat McNamara)


First Count Smith IND 234 0.8 +0.8 Hill IND 1983 6.7 +6.7 Thorpe ARP 101 0.3 +0.3 Allen ALP 12514 42.1 -0.5 Mackenzie GRN 597 2.0 +2.0 Sykes NAT 12244 41.2 -16.2 Rowe IND 2072 7.0 +7.0

Final Count Allen ALP 14991 50.4 +7.8 Sykes NAT 14754 49.6 -7.8


(For details of the Frankston East Supplementary election, held on 16 October 1999, see page 13)


42

Comparing Victorian State Elections - 1988 to 1999 In 1988, the Cain Labor government was re-elected narrowly, winning 46 seats in the Legislative Assembly to the Liberal Party's 33 and the National Party's nine. The next two elections in 1992 and 1996 produced landslides for the Coalition, and with opinion polls showing the Kennett government maintaining its dominance as the 1999 election approached, most observers expected a similar result. In the end, the Labor Party ended up forming a minority government in an upset result. As the tables on page 30 show, the defeat of the Kennett government came about mainly on the back of substantial swings in rural areas and regional cities. This is shown even more dramatically in the tables on the following pages which compare the 1999 result to the 1988 election, after transposing the results onto the current boundaries first used at the 1992 election. As the tables show, Labor's victory in 1999 was very different from its 1988 victory. Labor won more seats on a lower vote in 1988, and its victory was dependent on victories in key marginal seats in the eastern suburbs of Melbourne. In 1999, ten seats in east and south-east Melbourne that were notionally Labor before the 1992 election were now Liberal seats. In the same period, Labor had gained seven rural and regional seats, with three other seats having been won by Independents. The change in voting patterns are dramatic, and against the past patterns of Victorian politics. Labor's victory in 1999 was against the conventional wisdom that modern Victorian elections were decided in Melbourne's eastern and south-eastern suburbs. However, with Labor unlikely to make further inroads in rural Victoria, the following tables indicate that if the Labor government hopes to be re-elected at the next election, it must improve its vote east and south of the Yarra. Seats Held by Party and Region: 1988 and 1999 Elections Compared

Labor Liberal National Independent 1988 1999 1988 1999 1988 1999 1988 1999

Country .. 3 8 4 9 7 .. 3 Regional Cities 4 8 8 4 .. .. .. .. Melbourne 41 31 18 28 .. .. .. .. Western Suburbs 24 23 .. 1 .. .. .. .. Eastern Suburbs 6 1 12 17 .. .. .. .. South-East Suburbs 11 7 6 10 .. .. .. .. Victoria 45 42 34 36 9 7 .. 3

(See Page 29 for the regional classification of seats. Seats held in 1988 are based on adjusting the results to match the current boundaries first used at the 1992 election. On the new boundaries, the number of Labor seats fell from 46 to 45, and the Liberal Party rose from 33 to 34 seats.)

Compared to the 1988 result (on 1992 boundaries), the Labor Party gained 7 seats, Ballarat East, Ballarat West, Bendigo East, Gisborne, Narracan, Ripon and Seymour. The Liberal Party gained ten seats from Labor, Bayswater, Bentleigh, Berwick, Cranbourne, Eltham, Knox, Monbulk, Mooroolbark, Mordialloc and Wantirna, as well as Warrnambool from the National Party. Independents gained Gippsland East, Gippsland West and Mildura.


43

Party Vote by Region - Victorian State Elections 1988 to 1999

% Primary Vote % Two-Party Vote Region/Election ALP LIB NAT OTH ALP LIB/NAT

Country 1988 29.1 34.2 35.4 1.3 31.4 68.6 1992 27.3 27.3 38.8 6.6 29.9 70.1 1996 29.2 25.3 32.9 12.6 35.3 64.7 1999 31.3 24.7 26.2 17.8 42.2 57.8 Regional Cities 1988 45.8 41.2 6.0 7.0 50.1 49.9 1992 39.3 46.8 2.6 11.3 45.5 54.5 1996 44.0 47.3 3.8 4.9 46.8 53.2 1999 47.3 45.7 .. 7.0 51.5 48.5 Metropolitan 1988 51.7 42.3 .. 6.0 54.6 45.4 1992 41.4 48.5 .. 10.1 47.3 52.7 1996 46.8 48.5 .. 4.7 49.6 50.4 1999 49.1 46.3 .. 4.6 52.1 47.9 Western Suburbs 1988 59.5 32.6 .. 7.9 63.0 37.0 1992 50.5 35.9 .. 13.6 58.4 41.6 1996 57.5 37.6 .. 4.9 60.5 39.5 1999 59.8 35.5 .. 4.7 62.9 37.1 Eastern Suburbs 1988 44.0 51.1 .. 4.9 46.4 53.6 1992 31.8 60.4 .. 7.8 36.4 63.6 1996 36.3 59.6 .. 4.1 38.9 61.1 1999 38.1 57.7 .. 4.2 40.8 59.2 South-east Suburbs 1988 49.6 46.0 .. 4.4 52.0 48.0 1992 39.0 53.3 .. 7.7 43.5 56.5 1996 42.7 52.5 .. 4.8 45.3 54.7 1999 44.9 49.9 .. 5.2 48.2 51.8 Victoria 1988 46.5 40.6 7.8 5.1 49.5 50.5 1992 38.4 44.2 7.8 9.6 43.7 56.3 1996 43.1 44.0 6.7 6.2 46.5 53.5 1999 45.6 42.2 4.8 7.4 50.2 49.8 (See Page 29 for the regional classification of seats.)


44

Two-Party Preferred Swing, 1988 to 1999

ALP 2PP % ALP 2PP % Electorates (Gained by) 1988 1999 Swing Electorates (Gained by) 1988 1999 Swing

Albert Park 60.4 56.4 -4.0 Altona 64.8 64.7 -0.1 Ballarat East (ALP) 49.5 53.7 +4.2 Ballarat West (ALP) 48.3 51.0 +2.7 Bayswater (LIB) 53.0 45.3 -7.7 Bellarine 48.9 48.3 -0.6 Benalla 29.4 42.6 +13.2 Benambra 28.1 42.9 +14.8 Bendigo East (ALP) 44.9 53.1 +8.2 Bendigo West 51.6 61.3 +9.7 Bennettswood 46.7 43.9 -2.8 Bentleigh (LIB) 51.5 48.1 -3.4 Berwick (LIB) 54.6 45.1 -9.5 Box Hill 43.0 42.4 -0.6 Brighton 37.4 34.4 -3.0 Broadmeadows 62.6 74.7 +12.1 Bulleen 40.8 38.4 -2.4 Bundoora 59.1 56.1 -3.0 Burwood 47.8 43.2 -4.6 Carrum 56.6 50.2 -6.4 Caufield 45.8 41.5 -4.3 Clayton 61.0 61.7 +0.7 Coburg 65.7 71.8 +6.1 Cranbourne (LIB) 51.4 44.3 -7.1 Dandenong 61.2 55.8 -5.4 Dandenong North 58.0 58.0 -0.0 Doncaster 42.6 36.7 -5.9 Dromana 48.8 43.8 -5.0 Eltham (LIB) 54.6 46.5 -8.1 Essendon 55.4 58.5 +3.1 Evelyn 46.7 40.5 -6.2 Footscray 72.3 67.6 -4.7 Forest Hill 46.5 42.9 -3.6 Frankston 43.9 39.3 -4.6 Frankston East 56.4 54.6 -1.8 Geelong 52.6 50.0 -2.6 Geelong North 64.1 60.9 -3.2 Gippsland East (IND) 30.8 47.4 +16.6 Gippsland South 29.0 42.5 +13.5 Gippsland West (IND) 37.6 43.6 +6.0 Gisborne (ALP) 42.6 51.6 +9.0 Glen Waverley 42.8 36.8 -6.0 Hawthorn 41.2 35.9 -5.3 Ivanhoe 53.9 55.4 +1.5 Keilor 60.5 61.9 +1.4 Kew 37.8 36.2 -1.6

Knox (LIB) 55.0 42.7 -12.3 Malvern 36.7 33.4 -3.3 Melbourne 67.9 63.8 -4.1 Melton 62.2 61.3 -0.9 Mildura (IND) 30.2 36.8 +6.6 Mill Park 70.7 65.8 -4.9 Mitcham 52.2 50.5 -1.7 Monbulk (LIB) 54.2 46.8 -7.4 Mooroolbark (LIB) 51.9 39.1 -12.8 Mordialloc (LIB) 52.2 47.8 -4.4 Mornington 48.7 44.3 -4.4 Morwell 52.1 58.9 +6.8 Murray Valley 28.2 34.1 +5.9 Narracan (ALP) 48.3 52.5 +4.2 Niddrie 58.0 56.8 -1.2 Northcote 71.6 72.7 +1.1 Oakleigh 55.7 53.3 -2.4 Pakenham 46.6 43.5 -3.1 Pascoe Vale 58.1 64.9 +6.8 Polwarth 35.9 39.6 +3.7 Portland 37.5 45.5 +8.0 Prahran 49.6 46.0 -3.6 Preston 68.6 68.6 +0.0 Richmond 67.4 66.2 -1.2 Ripon (ALP) 44.0 52.6 +8.6 Rodney 21.7 34.4 +12.7 Sandringham 44.4 37.5 -6.9 Seymour (ALP) 47.2 50.7 +3.5 Shepparton 28.5 37.9 +9.4 South Barwon 45.9 45.3 -0.6 Springvale 61.0 60.8 -0.2 Sunshine 65.1 70.1 +5.0 Swan Hill 22.4 38.6 +16.2 Thomastown 69.1 73.9 +4.8 Tullamarine 54.9 53.8 -1.1 Wantirna (LIB) 50.1 38.1 -12.0 Warrandyte 47.9 36.5 -11.4 Warrnambool (LIB) 22.7 41.1 +18.4 Werribee 60.0 61.5 +1.5 Williamstown 71.1 68.5 -2.6 Wimmera 22.4 34.9 +12.5 Yan Yean 57.5 54.2 -3.3

NOTE: 1988 results have been adjusted for the boundaries used at the 1992, 1996 and 1999 elections. For Independent seats, the two-party preferred count between Labor and the Coalition has been used. '+' indicates a swing to Labor, '-' a swing to the Coalition and underlining indicates seats that changed party status.


45

Two-Party Preferred Swing, 1988 to 1999 (Ordered by Swing)

ALP 2PP % ALP 2PP % Electorates (Gained by) 1988 1999 Swing Electorates (Gained by) 1988 1999 Swing

Warrnambool (LIB) 22.7 41.1 +18.4 Gippsland East (IND) 30.8 47.4 +16.6 Swan Hill 22.4 38.6 +16.2 Benambra 28.1 42.9 +14.8 Gippsland South 29.0 42.5 +13.5 Benalla 29.4 42.6 +13.2 Rodney 21.7 34.4 +12.7 Wimmera 22.4 34.9 +12.5 Broadmeadows 62.6 74.7 +12.1 Bendigo West 51.6 61.3 +9.7 Shepparton 28.5 37.9 +9.4 Gisborne (ALP) 42.6 51.6 +9.0 Ripon (ALP) 44.0 52.6 +8.6 Bendigo East (ALP) 44.9 53.1 +8.2 Portland 37.5 45.5 +8.0 Morwell 52.1 58.9 +6.8 Pascoe Vale 58.1 64.9 +6.8 Mildura (IND) 30.2 36.8 +6.6 Coburg 65.7 71.8 +6.1 Gippsland West (IND) 37.6 43.6 +6.0 Murray Valley 28.2 34.1 +5.9 Sunshine 65.1 70.1 +5.0 Thomastown 69.1 73.9 +4.8 Narracan (ALP) 48.3 52.5 +4.2 Ballarat East (ALP) 49.5 53.7 +4.2 Polwarth 35.9 39.6 +3.7 Seymour (ALP) 47.2 50.7 +3.5 Essendon 55.4 58.5 +3.1 Ballarat West (ALP) 48.3 51.0 +2.7 Ivanhoe 53.9 55.4 +1.5 Werribee 60.0 61.5 +1.5 Keilor 60.5 61.9 +1.4 Northcote 71.6 72.7 +1.1 Clayton 61.0 61.7 +0.7 Preston 68.6 68.6 +0.0 Dandenong North 58.0 58.0 -0.0 Altona 64.8 64.7 -0.1 Springvale 61.0 60.8 -0.2 Box Hill 43.0 42.4 -0.6 Bellarine 48.9 48.3 -0.6 South Barwon 45.9 45.3 -0.6 Melton 62.2 61.3 -0.9 Tullamarine 54.9 53.8 -1.1 Richmond 67.4 66.2 -1.2 Niddrie 58.0 56.8 -1.2

Kew 37.8 36.2 -1.6 Mitcham 52.2 50.5 -1.7 Frankston East 56.4 54.6 -1.8 Oakleigh 55.7 53.3 -2.4 Bulleen 40.8 38.4 -2.4 Geelong 52.6 50.0 -2.6 Williamstown 71.1 68.5 -2.6 Bennettswood 46.7 43.9 -2.8 Brighton 37.4 34.4 -3.0 Bundoora 59.1 56.1 -3.0 Pakenham 46.6 43.5 -3.1 Geelong North 64.1 60.9 -3.2 Yan Yean 57.5 54.2 -3.3 Malvern 36.7 33.4 -3.3 Bentleigh (LIB) 51.5 48.1 -3.4 Forest Hill 46.5 42.9 -3.6 Prahran 49.6 46.0 -3.6 Albert Park 60.4 56.4 -4.0 Melbourne 67.9 63.8 -4.1 Caufield 45.8 41.5 -4.3 Mordialloc (LIB) 52.2 47.8 -4.4 Mornington 48.7 44.3 -4.4 Burwood 47.8 43.2 -4.6 Frankston 43.9 39.3 -4.6 Footscray 72.3 67.6 -4.7 Mill Park 70.7 65.8 -4.9 Dromana 48.8 43.8 -5.0 Hawthorn 41.2 35.9 -5.3 Dandenong 61.2 55.8 -5.4 Doncaster 42.6 36.7 -5.9 Glen Waverley 42.8 36.8 -6.0 Evelyn 46.7 40.5 -6.2 Carrum 56.6 50.2 -6.4 Sandringham 44.4 37.5 -6.9 Cranbourne (LIB) 51.4 44.3 -7.1 Monbulk (LIB) 54.2 46.8 -7.4 Bayswater (LIB) 53.0 45.3 -7.7 Eltham (LIB) 54.6 46.5 -8.1 Berwick (LIB) 54.6 45.1 -9.5 Warrandyte 47.9 36.5 -11.4 Wantirna (LIB) 50.1 38.1 -12.0 Knox (LIB) 55.0 42.7 -12.3 Mooroolbark (LIB) 51.9 39.1 -12.8

NOTE: 1988 results have been adjusted for the boundaries used at the 1992, 1996 and 1999 elections. For Independent seats, the two-party preferred count between Labor and the Coalition has been used. '+' indicates a swing to Labor, '-' a swing to the Coalition and underlining indicates seats that changed party status.

Documents

1999 VICTORIAN STATE ELECTION · 'Ghost' candidate, where party contesting in 1996 was absent in 1999 ... Independents 68 3 +2 133 701 4.72 +0.65 ... Evelyn 11480 18367 .. .. 3686