14
Meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee April 1, 1986 Minutes of Actions A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee was held in the offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D. C., on Tuesday, April 1, 1986 at 9:00 a.m. PRESENT: Mr. Volcker, Chairman Mr. Corrigan, Vice Chairman Mr. Angell Mr. Guffey 1/ Mrs. Horn Mr. Johnson Mr. Melzer Mr. Morris Mr. Rice Ms. Seger Mr. Wallich Messrs. Boehne, Boykin, Keehn, and Stern, Alternate Members of the Federal Open Market Committee Messrs. Black, Forrestal, and Parry, Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks of Richmond, Atlanta, and San Francisco, respectively Mr. Axilrod, Staff Director and Secretary Mr. Bernard, Assistant Secretary Mrs. Steele, Deputy Assistant Secretary Mr. Bradfield, 2/ General Counsel Mr. Kichline, Economist Mr. Truman, Economist (International) Messrs. Balbach, J. Davis, R. Davis, T. Davis, Kohn, Lindsey, Prell, and Siegman, Associate Economists Mr. Sternlight, Manager for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account Mr. Cross, Manager for Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account 1/ Left meeting after action to approve minutes of February meeting and reentered before action to adopt domestic policy directive. 2/ Entered meeting before action to adopt domestic policy directive.

19860401 Mo A

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: 19860401 Mo A

Meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee

April 1, 1986

Minutes of Actions

A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee was held in

the offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

in Washington, D. C., on Tuesday, April 1, 1986 at 9:00 a.m.

PRESENT: Mr. Volcker, Chairman Mr. Corrigan, Vice Chairman Mr. Angell Mr. Guffey 1/ Mrs. Horn Mr. Johnson

Mr. Melzer Mr. Morris Mr. Rice Ms. Seger Mr. Wallich

Messrs. Boehne, Boykin, Keehn, and Stern, Alternate Members of the Federal Open Market Committee

Messrs. Black, Forrestal, and Parry, Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks of Richmond, Atlanta, and San Francisco, respectively

Mr. Axilrod, Staff Director and Secretary Mr. Bernard, Assistant Secretary Mrs. Steele, Deputy Assistant Secretary Mr. Bradfield, 2/ General Counsel Mr. Kichline, Economist Mr. Truman, Economist (International)

Messrs. Balbach, J. Davis, R. Davis, T. Davis, Kohn, Lindsey, Prell, and Siegman, Associate Economists

Mr. Sternlight, Manager for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account

Mr. Cross, Manager for Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account

1/ Left meeting after action to approve minutes of February meeting and reentered before action to adopt domestic policy directive.

2/ Entered meeting before action to adopt domestic policy directive.

Page 2: 19860401 Mo A

4/1/86

Mr. Coyne,1/ Assistant to the Board of Governors Mr. Roberts,1/ Assistant to the Chairman, Board of Governors

Mr. Gemmill, Staff Adviser, Division of International Finance, Board of Governors

Mrs. Low, Open Market Secretariat Assistant,

Board of Governors

Messrs. Broaddus, Lang, Rolnick, Rosenblum, Scheld,

Scadding, and Ms. Tschinkel, Senior Vice Presidents, Federal Reserve Banks of Richmond, Philadelphia, Minneapolis, Dallas, Chicago, San Francisco, and

Atlanta, respectively

Mr. McNees, and Ms. Clarkin, Vice Presidents, Federal

Reserve Banks of Boston and New York, respectively

In the agenda for this meeting, it was reported that advices of the

election of the following members and alternate members of the Federal Open

Market Committee for the year commencing March 1, 1986, had been received by

the Secretary and the named individuals had executed their oaths of office.

The elected members and alternate members were as follows:

E. Gerald Corrigan, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, with Thomas M. Timlen, First Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, as alternate;

Frank E. Morris, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, with Edward G. Boehne, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, as alternate;

Karen N. Horn, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, with Silas Keehn, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, as alternate;

Thomas C. Melzer, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, with Robert H. Boykin, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, as alternate;

Roger Guffey, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, with Gary Stern, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis,

as alternate.

1/ Entered meeting after action to approve minutes of February meeting.

- 2 -

Page 3: 19860401 Mo A

4/1/86

By unanimous vote, the following officers of the Federal Open Market

Committee were elected to serve until the election of their successors at the

first meeting of the Committee after February 28, 1987, with the understanding

that in the event of the discontinuance of their official connection with the

Board of Governors or with a Federal Reserve Bank, they would cease to have

any official connection with the Federal Open Market Committee:

Paul A. Volcker Chairman E. Gerald Corrigan Vice Chairman

Stephen H. Axilrod Staff Director and Secretary Normand R. V. Bernard Assistant Secretary Nancy M. Steele Deputy Assistant Secretary Michael Bradfield General Counsel James H. Oltman Deputy General Counsel James L. Kichline Economist Edwin M. Truman Economist (International)

Anatol B. Balbach, John M. Davis, Richard G. Davis, Thomas E. Davis, Donald L. Kohn, David E. Lindsey, Alicia H. Munnell, Michael J. Prell, and Charles J. Siegman Associate Economists

By unanimous vote, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was selected

to execute transactions for the System Open Market Account until the adjourn

ment of the first meeting of the Committee after February 28, 1987.

By unanimous vote, Peter D. Sternlight and Sam Y. Cross were

selected to serve at the pleasure of the Committee in the capacities of

Manager for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account, and Manager for

Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account, respectively, on the under

standing that their selection was subject to their being satisfactory to the

Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Secretary's note: Advice was subseqently received that the selections indicated above were satisfactory to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

- 3 -

Page 4: 19860401 Mo A

4/1/86

Consideration was then given to the continuing authorizations of

the Committee, in accordance with the customary practice of reviewing such

matters at the first meeting on or after March 1 of every year.

Secretary's note: On March 13, 1986, certain continuing authorizations of the Committee, listed below, had been distributed by the Assistant Secretary with the advice that, in accordance with procedures approved by the Committee, they were being called to the Committee's attention before the April 1 organization meeting to give members an opportunity to raise any questions they might have concerning them. Members were asked to so indicate if they wished to have any of the authorizations in question placed on the agenda for consideration at this meeting, and no such requests were received.

The authorizations in question were as follows:

1. Procedures for allocation of securities in the System Open Market Account.

2. Authority for the Chairman to appoint a Federal Reserve Bank as agent to operate the System Account in case the New York Bank is unable to function.

3. Resolutions providing for the continued operation of the Committee and for certain actions by the Reserve Banks during an emergency.

4. Resolution relating to examinations of the System Open Market Account.

5. Guidelines for the conduct of System operations in Federal agency issues.

6. Regulation relating to Open Market Operations of Federal Reserve Banks.

7. Rules of Organization, Rules Regarding Availability of Information, and Rules of Procedure.

8. Agreement with the U.S. Treasury to Warehouse Foreign Currencies.

9. Program for Security of FOMC Information.

- 4 -

Page 5: 19860401 Mo A

4/1/86

By unanimous vote the Authorization for Domestic Open Market Operations

shown below was reaffirmed:

AUTHORIZATION FOR DOMESTIC OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS Reaffirmed April 1, 1986

1. The Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, to the extent necessary to carry out the most recent domestic policy directive adopted at a meeting of the Committee:

(a) To buy or sell U. S. Government securities, including securities of the Federal Financing Bank, and securities that are direct obligations of, or fully guaranteed as to principal and interest by, any agency of the United States in the open market, from or to securities dealers and foreign and international accounts maintained at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, on a cash, regular, or deferred delivery basis, for the System Open Market Account at market prices, and, for such Account, to exchange maturing U. S. Government and Federal agency securities with the Treasury or

the individual agencies or to allow them to mature without replacement; provided that the aggregate amount of U. S. Government and Federal agency securities held in such Account (including forward commitments) at the close of business on the day of a meeting of the Committee at which action is taken with respect to a domestic policy directive shall not be increased or decreased by more than $6.0 billion during the period commencing with the opening of business on the day following such meeting and ending with the close of business on the day of the next such meeting;

(b) When appropriate, to buy or sell in the open market, from or to acceptance dealers and foreign accounts maintained at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, on a cash, regular, or deferred delivery basis, for the account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at market discount rates, prime bankers acceptances with maturities of up to nine months at the time of acceptance that (1) arise out of the current shipment of goods between countries or within the United States, or (2) arise out of the storage within the United States of goods under contract of sale or expected to move into the channels of trade within a reasonable time and that are secured throughout their life by a warehouse receipt or similar document conveying title to the underlying goods; provided that the aggregate amount of bankers acceptances held at any one time shall not exceed $100 million;

(c) To buy U. S. Government securities, obligations that are direct obligations of, or fully guaranteed as to principal and interest by, any agency of the United States, and prime bankers acceptances of the types authorized for purchase under 1(b) above, from dealers for the account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York under agreements for repurchase of such securities, obligations, or acceptances in 15 calendar days or less, at rates that, unless otherwise expressly authorized by the Committee, shall be determined by competitive bidding, after applying reasonable

- 5 -

Page 6: 19860401 Mo A

limitations on the volume of agreements with individual dealers; provided that in the event Government securities or agency issues covered by any such agreement are not repurchased by the dealer pursuant to the agreement or a renewal thereof, they shall be sold in the market or transferred to the System Open Market Account; and provided further that in the event bankers acceptances covered by any such agreement are not repurchased by the seller, they shall continue to be held by the Federal Reserve Bank or shall be sold in the open market.

2. In order to ensure the effective conduct of open market operations, the Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Banks to lend U. S. Government securities held in the System Open Market Account to Government securities dealers and to banks participating in Government securities clearing arrangements conducted through a Federal Reserve Bank, under such instructions as the Committee may specify from time to time.

3. In order to ensure the effective conduct of open market operations, while assisting in the provision of short-term investments for foreign and international accounts maintained at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (a) for System Open Market Account, to sell U. S. Government securities to such foreign and international accounts on the bases set forth in paragraph 1(a) under agreements providing for the resale by such accounts of those securities within 15 calendar days on terms comparable to those available on such transactions in the market; and (b) for New York Bank account, when appropriate, to undertake with dealers, subject to the conditions imposed on purchases and sales of securities in paragraph 1(c), repurchase agreements in U. S. Government and agency securities, and to arrange corresponding sale and repurchase agreements between its own account and foreign and international accounts maintained at the Bank. Transactions undertaken with such accounts under the provisions of this paragraph may provide for a service fee when appropriate.

By unanimous vote the Authorization for Foreign Currency Operations

shown below was reaffirmed:

AUTHORIZATION FOR FOREIGN CURRENCY OPERATIONS Reaffirmed April 1, 1986

1. The Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, for System Open Market Account, to the extent necessary to carry out the Committee's foreign currency directive and express authorizations by the Committee pursuant thereto, and in conformity with such procedural instructions as the Committee may issue from time to time:

4/1/86 - 6 -

Page 7: 19860401 Mo A

A. To purchase and sell the following foreign currencies in the form of cable transfers through spot or forward transactions on the open market at home and abroad, including transactions with the U. S. Treasury, with the U. S. Exchange Stabilization Fund established by Section 10 of the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, with foreign monetary authorities, with the Bank for International Settlements, and with other international financial institutions:

Austrian schillings Belgian francs Canadian dollars Danish kroner Pounds sterling French francs German marks Italian lire Japanese yen Mexican pesos Netherlands guilders Norwegian kroner Swedish kronor Swiss francs

B. To hold balances of, and to have outstanding forward contracts to receive or to deliver, the foreign currencies listed in paragraph A above.

C. To draw foreign currencies and to permit foreign banks to draw dollars under the reciprocal currency arrangements listed in paragraph 2 below, provided that drawings by either party to any such arrangement shall be fully liquidated within 12 months after any amount outstanding at that time was first drawn, unless the Committee, because of exceptional circumstances, specifically authorizes a delay.

D. To maintain an overall open position in all foreign currencies not exceeding $10.0 billion. For this purpose, the overall open position in all foreign currencies is defined as the sum (disregarding signs) of net positions in individual currencies. The net position in a single foreign currency is defined as holdings of balances in that currency, plus outstanding contracts for future receipt, minus outstanding contracts for future delivery of that currency, i.e., as the sum of these elements with due regard to sign.

2. The Federal Open Market Committee directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to maintain reciprocal currency arrangements ("swap" arrangements)

for the System Open Market Account for periods up to a maximum of 12 months with the following foreign banks, which are among those designated by the

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System under Section 214.5 of

Regulation N, Relations with Foreign Banks and Bankers, and with the approval of the Committee to renew such arrangements on maturity:

-. 7 -4/1/86

Page 8: 19860401 Mo A

4/1/86 - 8 -

Amount of arrangement (millions of dollars

Foreign bank equivalent)

Austrian National Bank 250

National Bank of Belgium 1,000 Bank of Canada 2,000 National Bank of Denmark 250

Bank of England 3,000 Bank of France 2,000 German Federal Bank 6,000 Bank of Italy 3,000 Bank of Japan 5,000 Bank of Mexico 700

Netherlands Bank 500 Bank of Norway 250 Bank of Sweden 300

Swiss National Bank 4,000 Bank for International Settlements:

Dollars against Swiss francs 600

Dollars against authorized European currencies other than Swiss francs 1,250

Any changes in the terms of existing swap arrangements, and the proposed terms of any new arrangements that may be authorized, shall be referred

for review and approval to the Committee.

3. All transactions in foreign currencies undertaken under paragraph 1(A) above shall, unless otherwise expressly authorized by the Committee, be at prevailing market rates. For the purpose of providing an investment return on System holdings of foreign currencies, or for the purpose of

adjusting interest rates paid or received in connection with swap drawings, transactions with foreign central banks may be undertaken at non-market exchange rates.

4. It shall be the normal practice to arrange with foreign central banks for the coordination of foreign currency transactions. In making operating

arrangements with foreign central banks on System holdings of foreign currencies, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shall not commit itself to maintain any specific balance, unless authorized by the Federal Open Market Committee. Any agreements or understandings concerning the administration of the accounts maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York with the foreign banks designated by the Board of Governors under

Section 214.5 of Regulation N shall be referred for review and approval to the Committee.

Page 9: 19860401 Mo A

5. Foreign currency holdings shall be invested insofar as practicable, considering needs for minimum working balances. Such investments shall be in liquid form, and generally have no more than 12 months remaining to

maturity. When appropriate in connection with arrangements to provide investment facilities for foreign currency holdings, U. S. Government securities may be purchased from foreign central banks under agreements for repurchase of such securities within 30 calendar days.

6. All operations undertaken pursuant to the preceding paragraphs shall

be reported promptly to the Foreign Currency Subcommittee and the Committee. The Foreign Currency Subcommittee consists of the Chairman and Vice Chairman of the Committee, the Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors, and such other

member of the Board as the Chairman may designate (or in the absence of members of the Board serving on the Subcommittee, other Board Members designated by the Chairman as alternates, and in the absence of the Vice Chairman of the Committee, his alternate). Meetings of the Subcommittee shall be called at the request of any member, or at the request of the Manager for Foreign Operations, for the purposes of reviewing recent or contemplated operations and of consulting with the Manager on other matters relating to his responsibilities. At the request of any member

of the Subcommittee, questions arising from such reviews and consultations shall be referred for determination to the Federal Open Market Committee.

7. The Chairman is authorized:

A. With the approval of the Committee, to enter into any needed agreement or understanding with the Secretary of the Treasury about the division of responsibility for foreign currency operations between the System and the Treasury;

B. To keep the Secretary of the Treasury fully advised concerning System foreign currency operations, and to consult with the Secretary on policy matters relating to foreign currency operations;

C. From time to time, to transmit appropriate reports and information to the National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Policies.

8. Staff officers of the Committee are authorized to transmit pertinent information on System foreign currency operations to appropriate officials of the Treasury Department.

9. All Federal Reserve Banks shall participate in the foreign currency operations for System Account in accordance with paragraph 3 G(1) of the Board of Governors' Statement of Procedure with Respect to Foreign Relationships of Federal Reserve Banks dated January 1, 1944.

4/1/86 - 9 -

Page 10: 19860401 Mo A

By unanimous vote, the Foreign Currency Directive shown below was

reaffirmed:

FOREIGN CURRENCY DIRECTIVE Reaffirmed April 1, 1986

1. System operations in foreign currencies shall generally be directed at countering disorderly market conditions, provided that market exchange rates

for the U. S. dollar reflect actions and behavior consistent with the IMF Article IV, Section 1.

2. To achieve this end the System shall:

A. Undertake spot and forward purchases and sales of foreign exchange.

B. Maintain reciprocal currency ("swap") arrangements with selected foreign central banks and with the Bank for International Settlements.

C. Cooperate in other respects with central banks of other countries and with international monetary institutions.

3. Transactions may also be undertaken:

A. To adjust System balances in light of probable future needs for currencies.

B. To provide means for meeting System and Treasury commitments in particular currencies, and to facilitate operations of the Exchange Stabilization Fund.

C. For such other purposes as may be expressly authorized by the Committee.

4. System foreign currency operations shall be conducted:

A. In close and continuous consultation and cooperation with the United States Treasury;

B. In cooperation, as appropriate, with foreign monetary authorities; and

C. In a manner consistent with the obligations of the United States in the International Monetary Fund regarding exchange arrangements under the IMF Aticle IV.

4/1/86 - 10 -

Page 11: 19860401 Mo A

By unanimous vote, the Procedural Instructions with respect to

Foreign Currency Operations shown below were reaffirmed:

PROCEDURAL INSTRUCTIONS WITH RESPECT TO FOREIGN CURRENCY OPERATIONS Reaffirmed April 1, 1986

In conducting operations pursuant to the authorization and direction of the Federal Open Market Committee as set forth in the Authorization for Foreign Currency Operations and the Foreign Currency Directive, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, through the Manager for Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account, shall be guided by the following procedural understandings with respect to consultations and clearance with the Committee, the Foreign Currency Subcommittee, and the Chairman of the Committee. All operations undertaken pursuant to such clearances shall be reported promptly to the Committee.

1. The Manager for Foreign Operations shall clear with the Subcommittee (or with the Chairman, if the Chairman believes that consultation with the Subcommittee is not feasible in the time available):

A. Any operation that would result in a change in the System's overall open position in foreign currencies exceeding $300 million on any day or $600 million since the most recent regular meeting of the Committee.

B. Any operation that would result in a change on any day in the System's net position in a single foreign currency exceeding $150 million, or $300 million when the operation is associated with repayment of swap drawings.

C. Any operation that might generate a substantial volume of trading in a particular currency by the System, even though the change in the System's net position in that currency might be less than the limits specified in lB.

D. Any swap drawing proposed by a foreign bank not exceeding the larger of (i) $200 million or (ii) 15 percent of the size of the swap arrange

ment.

2. The Manager for Foreign Operations shall clear with the Committee (or with the Subcommittee, if the Subcommittee believes that consultation with the full Committee is not feasible in the time available, or with the Chairman, if the Chairman believes that consultation with the Subcommittee is not feasible in the time available):

A. Any operation that would result in a change in the System's overall open position in foreign currencies exceeding $1.5 billion since the most recent regular meeting of the Committee.

B. Any swap drawing proposed by a foreign bank exceeding the larger of (i) $200 million or (ii) 15 percent of the size of the swap arrangement.

4/1/86 - 11 -

Page 12: 19860401 Mo A

3. The Manager for Foreign Operations shall also consult with the Subcommittee or the Chairman about proposed swap drawings by the System, and about any operations that are not of a routine character.

By unanimous vote, responsibility for making determinations with

respect to appeals of denial of access to Committee records under the

provisions of 271.4(d) of the Committee's Rules Regarding Availability of

Information was delegated to Mr. Rice, and in the absence of Mr. Rice,

to Mr. Johnson.

By unanimous vote, the minutes of actions taken at the meeting of

the Federal Open Market Committee held on February 11-12, 1986, were approved.

By unanimous vote, System open market transactions in Government

securities, agency obligations, and bankers acceptances during the period

February 12 through March 31, 1986, were ratified.

By unanimous vote, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was authorized

and directed, until otherwise directed by the Committee, to execute transactions

in the System Account in accordance with the following domestic policy directive:

The information reviewed at this meeting indicates a mixed pattern of developments with evidence of a pickup in economic activity from the reduced fourthquarter pace but with spending sluggish in some key sectors. Total nonfarm payroll employment increased appreciably further in February following a large rise in January, but employment in manufacturing fell after four months of gains and industrial production declined. The civilian unemployment rate rose sharply to 7.3 percent. Retail sales were little changed in January and February after rising over the previous two months, while housing starts were well above their pace in late 1985. Business capital spending apparently weakened somewhat in early 1986. The merchandise trade deficit for January appears to have been only slightly smaller than in December; preliminary data for February suggest that exports increased and that the price and quantity

4/1/86 - 12 -

Page 13: 19860401 Mo A

- 13 -

of oil imports declined. Largely reflecting declines in energy prices, consumer prices edged down on balance over the first two months of 1986 and producer prices fell substantially.

Growth in M1 picked up considerably over the course of the first quarter, leaving this aggregate by March somewhat above the upper end of its range for the year.

On the other hand, growth of M2 was generally sluggish over the past 3 months and was running below its long-run range. Expansion of M3 was moderate during the winter months, with growth around the midpoint of its range for 1986. Interest rates have declined considerably since the February meeting of the Committee. On March 6, the Federal Reserve Board approved a reduction in the discount rate from 7-1/2 to 7 percent. The trade-weighted value of the dollar against major foreign currencies continued to decline through mid-March but has risen somewhat more recently; on balance the dollar has declined slightly since the February meeting.

The Federal Open Market Committee seeks monetary and financial conditions that will foster reasonable price

stability over time, promote growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to an improved pattern of international transactions. In furtherance of these objectives the Committee agreed at its February meeting to establish the following ranges for monetary growth, measured from the fourth quarter of 1985 to the fourth quarter of 1986. With respect to M1, the Committee recognized that, based on the experience of recent years, the behavior of that aggregate was subject to substantial uncertainties in relationship to economic activity and prices, depending among other things on its responsiveness to changes in interest rates. It agreed that an

appropriate target range under existing circumstances would be 3 to 8 percent, but it intends to evaluate movements in M1 in the light of its consistency with the other monetary aggregates, developments in the economy and financial markets, and potential inflationary pressures. It adopted a range of 6 to 9 percent for M2 and 6 to 9

percent for M3. The associated range for growth in total domestic nonfinancial debt was set at 8 to 11 percent for the year 1986.

4/1/86

Page 14: 19860401 Mo A

4/1/86

In the implementation of policy for the immediate future, the Committee seeks to maintain the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions. This action is expected to be consistent with growth in M2 and M3 over the period from March to June at annual rates of about 7 percent; while the behavior of M1 continues to be

subject to unusual uncertainty, growth at an annual rate of about 7 to 8 percent over the period is anticipated. Somewhat lesser reserve restraint or somewhat greater reserve restraint might be acceptable depending on behavior of the aggregates, the strength of the business expansion, developments in foreign exchange markets, progress against inflation, and conditions in domestic and international credit markets. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that reserve conditions during the period before the next meeting are likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 6 to 10 percent.

It was agreed that the next meeting of the Committee would be

held on Tuesday, May 20, 1986.

The meeting adjourned.

Secretary

- 14 -