19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    1/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 1

    Investing in property for tax

    effective monthly income

    July 2013

    Michael Blake

    National Head of Sales, Marketing & Investment

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 2

    Important Information & Disclaimer

    Thispresentation andits appendices ("Presentation") aredated 20February2013and have been preparedby theCromwell PropertyGroup,which comprisesCromwellCorporation Limited(ACN 001056980)and CromwellDiversifiedPropertyTrust(ARSN102982598)ofwhichCromwellPropertySecuritiesLimited(ACN079 147809;AFSL238052) is theresponsible entity. Units inthe CromwellDiversifiedPropertyTrust are stapledto sharesin CromwellCorporationLimited.Thestapledsecuritiesarelisted onthe ASX(ASX Code:CMW).

    CurrencyofInformation

    This Presentation contains summary information about CromwellProp er t y Grou p a s a t 3 1 De ce mb e r 2 0 12 . Statu to ry f i na nc ialinformationhas beenreviewedby CromwellPropertyGroup's auditors.Operating financialinformationhasnot beensubjectedto auditreview.

    All informationis in Australian dollarsand all statisticsare as at 31December2012 unlessotherwisestated.

    NotanOffer

    ThisPresentationisnotan offeror aninvitationtoacquiresecuritiesinCromwellProperty Groupor securities in Cromwell BoxHill Trust,CromwellRiverpark Trust, Cromwell IpswichCity Heart TrustandCromwellPhoenixProperty Securities Fundor any other financialproductsand isnot aprospectus,productdisclosurestatementor otherofferingdocumentunder Australianlaw or anyotherlaw. It is forinformationpurposesonly.

    SummaryInformation

    Theinformationin thisPresentationis subjectto changewithoutnoticeanddoesnotpurporttobe completeor comprehensive. Itdoesnotpurporttosummarise allinformation thataninvestor shouldconsiderwhenmakinganinvestmentdecision. Itshouldbe readinconjunctionwi th Cromwel l Prop er t y Grou p 's o the r p e riod ic a nd c o nt inu ou sdisclosure announcements lodged with the Australian SecuritiesExchange,which areavailableatwww.asx.com.au.

    PastPerformance

    CromwellProperty Group does notguaranteeany particular rateofreturnor theperformanceof CromwellProperty Group or anyotherfinancialproductnordo theyguaranteethe repaymentof capitalfromCromwellPropertyGroup, anyother financial productor anyparticular

    taxtreatment. Pastperformanceinformationgiven inthis Presentationisgivenforillustrativepurposesonlyandshouldnot berelieduponas(and isnot)an indicationof futureperformance. Actualresultscoulddiffermateriallyfromthose referredtoin thisPresentation.

    FuturePerformance

    This Presentation contains certain "forward looking" statements.Forwardlookingstatements,opinions andestimates arebased onassumptions andcontingencieswhichare subjectto changewithoutnotice.Forward-lookingstatements,includingprojections,indicationsorguidance on future earningsor financial positionand estimatesareprovidedas a generalguideonlyandshouldnotbe relieduponasanindicationor guaranteeof futureperformance.

    Th ere c an b e n o a s su ran c e th a ta c tu al o u tc o me s wi ll n ot d i ff er materiallyfromthesestatements. Tothe fullestextentpermittedby law,Cromwell Property Group and its directors, officers, employees,advisers, agents and intermediaries disclaim any obligation orundertakingto releaseany updatesor revisions tothe informationtoreflectanychangein expectationsor assumptions.

    Reliance

    Theinformationin thisPresentationhasbeenobtainedfromor basedonsourcesbelievedbyCromwellPropertyGroupto bereliable.To themaximum extent permitted by law,CromwellProperty Group, theirofficers,employees,agentsandadvisorsdo notmakeany warranty,

    e xp res s o r impl ied a s to the c u rren cy , a cc ura cy , re li a bi l it y o r completenessof theinformationin thisPresentationand disclaimallresponsibilityandliabilityfor theinformation(includingwithoutlimitation,liabilityfornegligence).

    Notfinancialproductadvice

    ThisPresentationis notfinancial productadviceor arecommendationtoacquiresecurities. Theinformationin thisPresentationdoesnot takeintoaccount yourindividualobjectives, financial situationor needs.Beforemakingan investmentdecision,Investorsshouldconsider, withor without a financial or taxationadviser, the relevantinformation(includingthe informationin thisPresentation)havingregard totheirownobjectives,financialsituation andneeds. Investors shouldalso

    seek suchfinancial, legal or taxadviceas theydeemnecessaryorconsiderappropriatefor theirparticularjurisdiction.

    Cromwell Corporation Limited is not licensed to provide financialproductadvicein respectof CromwellPropertyGroupsecurities. Totheextent thatgeneral financial productadvicein respectof CromwellPropertyGroupstapled securitiesis providedin thisPresentation. Itisprovidedby CromwellProperty SecuritiesLimited. CromwellPropertySecuritiesLimitedandits relatedbodiescorporate,andtheirassociates,willnot receiveany remunerationor benefitsin connectionwith thatadvice. Directorsandemployeesof CromwellPropertySecuritiesdonotreceivespecificpaymentsof commissionforthe authorisedservicesprovidedunder itsAustralianfinancialservices licence.Theydo notreceivesalariesandmayalso beentitledto receivebonuses,dependingupon performance. CromwellPropertySecuritiesLimitedis a whollyownedsubsidiaryofCromwellCorporationLimited.

    NOTFOR DISTRIBUTIONOR RELEASEINTHE UNITEDSTATES

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 3

    Who is Cromwell?

    CromwellPropertyGroup

    Market cap: $1.62 bn1

    Security price: $0.951

    Gearing: 43.3%2

    Operating earnings: 8.30 cps3

    Distributions: 7.50 cps3

    Property Portfolio4

    Portfolio value: $2.3 bnNumber of buildings: 33WALT: 6.7 yrs

    Funds Management Business

    Assets under management: $718 m5

    Number of Funds: 46

    1 ) A s at 2 4 J un e 2 01 3

    2) Calculated asnetdebttototalassetslesscash, asat31 December2012adjustedfor subsequentsaleof 101GrenfellStreet,Adelaide andsettlement ofsecuritypurchaseplanannouncedin December 2012

    andtheMay2013capital raising

    3 ) FY14gu idance

    4) Asat31 March2013adjustedfor purchaseof NSW Government Portfolio andexcludesHealth& ForestryHouse, Brisbane acquisition

    5) Includes valueof IpswichCityHeartandBoxHillpropertiesasif complete

    6 ) Asa t31December 2012

    Cromwell commenced operations in 1998 and has evolved organically - it now has two distinct but

    complementary parts of the business

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    2/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 4

    Property Portfolio

    HQ North, QLD

    475 VictoriaAvenue, NSW

    Bundall, QLD Collins St, VIC

    Qantas HQ, NSW

    Synergy, QLD

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 5

    Investing in Direct Property

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 6

    Why Invest Outside Of Residential

    Higher yield

    Most Australians are overweight residential property

    Longer lease terms available of up to ten years or more which provides greater certainty of income

    Better quality of tenants such as government and blue chip companies

    Higher level of tax effectiveness due to depreciation allowances

    Typically in the form of tax deferred income

    Fixed annual rental increases built into most leases deliver a growing income stream.

    Has a low correlation of returns to residential property, shares and bonds and therefore provides diversification

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    3/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 7

    Historic Income Returns Commercial Property

    Commercial property incl udes offices, shopping centre's, industrial sheds and other types of non-residential property

    Income return is very stable and consistent and much higher than residential property

    Investment cycle is different to shares and residential property and less volatile. The GFC was an exception

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 8

    Income returns across property sectors

    Within each sector there is a range of yields. The lower risk assets have a lower yield, higher risk assets have a higher yield

    Like bonds, yield and growth are inverse

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 9

    Investing in Commercial Property?

    An income of between 7 9%, with quality of assets determining the

    income

    A unit trust formed by a fund manager to invest in a single property,known as a syndicate or a pool of properties known as a diversified trust

    Ideally the property will have a long lease to a high quality tenant, requireminimal capital expenditure and be w ell located

    The trust will collect rent on a monthly basis and after paying interest and

    operating costs the net amount will be paid to investors as distributionseither on a monthly or quarterly basis

    Often a significant percentage of the income w ill be tax deferred

    The fund manager will earn a management fee for managing the property

    Allows investors to obtain exposure to direct property without outlaying asignificant % of investable funds into one i nvestment

    Typically minimum investment of $10,000

    Allows diversification across geographic regions

    Allows diversification across fund managers

    Artists impressionof the Cromwell BoxHill Trust asset, Victoria.

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    4/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 10

    Why invest in direct property

    Positives:

    Investors seeking a higher level of tax deferred income

    Investors seeking diversification from o ther asset classes such as shares, bonds

    and residential property Investors with a longer investment timeframe

    Negatives:

    Typically illiquid although transfers can be processed at any time

    Hit hard by the GFC

    Like any investment, quality of the underlying asset is important

    Dont trade quality for yield

    Self Managed Super FundsSelf Funded Retirees

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 11

    Cromwell has run many syndicates, and open ended funds

    An extensive acquisition and due diligence process allows Cromwell to find (or build) a high quality officebuilding, find a strong stable tenant and model the fund to pay investors an attractive monthly income

    Direct Property Funds

    Cromwell Riverpark TrustLaunch Feb 2009, closed Dec 2009

    Cromwell Ipswich City Heart TrustLaunched Dec 2011, closed Sept 2012

    Cromwell Box Hill TrustLaunched Dec 2012, closed April 2013

    New funds targeted to be launched in the second half of 2013 subject to the successful completion ofthorough in house due diligence.

    Direct Property Funds Options

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 12

    Secrets to A REIT Investing

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    5/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 13

    A-REIT Re-structure

    An A-REIT is an entity listed on the ASX that invests into property

    They can be a stapled A-REIT

    OR an externally managed trust

    Pre-GFC A-REITs traded at a very large premium to NTA. To generate profits high enough to sustain their prices managers

    moved up the risk c urve to derive a greater percentage of income from development, mergers and acquisitions, increasedgearing and off shore ventures

    Post GFC, many A-REITS are in a financially stronger position

    Gearing is down

    Offshore investing is down

    Development is down

    Funds management is down

    Many A-REITs are now boring lowly geared rent collectors

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 14

    Prices up but Valuations Still Down

    Sector NTA over time

    Offering a yield of 5-6%

    Tax effective income

    AREIT sector finally trading back at NTA and

    higher

    The share market / A-REIT m arket always

    anticipates what will happen in the future

    Valuers on the other hand record history

    NTA reflects property values which have not yetrecovered

    Expect NTA to increase in line with valuations as

    demand for property pushes up prices

    Source: BAML

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 15

    Outlook for AREIT Sector

    AREITs up strongly to March 2013. Then down 10% with the market correction. Is the overall market now a bear market

    Stapled AREIT s with property fund manager models have outperformed and are over valued

    Sector is finally back at NTA

    What can drive the sector higher? Is now the time to take profits?

    Bear Case:

    Falling cash rates driving demand for yield based investments

    Benefits of lower cost of debt yet to fully flow through, with further accretive acquisitions and deals likely

    Investor appetite for real estate as a store of wealth is driving higher property values and lower yields

    Great rotation / weight of m oney from fixed income and bond investors into equities could continue to see demand

    for bond like equities including REITs. The bond out look i s bleak

    Foreign demand for property significantly i ncreasing considering yields in Asia, Europe and USA

    Bull Case:

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    6/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 16

    Doing it yourself what you need to model

    FinancialsIncome Statement

    Balance Sheet

    Cash Flows Statement

    TrustProperty ownership

    DDM

    Macro assumptionsInterest Rates, FX, mid-cycle rents, occupancy, sales growth

    Micro assumptionsHedging, Payout Ratio,

    Capex amount and return

    Capital allocationMargins

    CorporationFunds Management

    Development

    Property ServicesConstruction

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 17

    Portfolio Construction

    Corporate

    Activity

    Portfolio

    Valuation

    DDM, SOTP

    Portfolio

    ConstructionGuidelines

    Earnings

    Revisions

    StockSpecific Risk

    Agency Score

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 18

    Proprietary research: Company m eetings, Analysis of financials

    Cromwell Property Group are active participants in the direct market regular dialogue, monthly ISG

    Site visits, industry analysis

    Stock broker research domestic and global

    We do not use broker models

    Real estate brokers strong relationship with Cromwell

    Savills, Knight Frank, Ray White, CBRE, Colliers, JLL

    Corporate membership of:

    Property Council of Australia

    Australian Direct Property Industry Association

    Sources of research

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    7/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 19

    A-REIT issues - Index Concentration

    The top ten A-REIT stocks represent over 90% of the

    S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT Accumulation index (theBenchmark)

    But there are ov er 50 listed A-REITs

    Other property like stocks can be included for exampleinfrastructure

    Many of the stocks outside the S&P/ASX 300 A-REITindex are not covered by brokers and are under valued

    Finding a fund that is materially different from thebenchmark can provide real opportunities for out-performance with lower volatility

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 20

    A-REIT issues - funds under management

    Your funds under management (FUM) determines the size of stocks you canbuy

    Small funds can take relatively meaningf ul positions in small cap securities -small cap stocks are generally not well researched and often inefficientlypriced

    Mr Big simply cant invest in small cap property stocks:

    A manager with $1bn FUM who wants to trade 1% of their portfolio wouldrequire a trade value of $10m

    For benchmark property stocks, only the top 20 have market caps greaterthan $200m

    Therefore, the $1bn fund manager needs to trade 5% of the market cap ofthe 21st stock, in order to implement the insight

    Starting from zero, Mr Big becomes a substantial shareholder, and must tellthe whole world about it.

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 21

    A-REIT Alternative

    A larger universe of investment options provides more opportunities to addvalue

    Investment universe includes:

    Benchmark stocks

    Non-benchmark stocks

    Preference shares

    Some infrastructure

    Other?

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    8/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 22

    Managed Fund Options

    Vanguard Cromwell Phoenix Other PSFs

    Index Approach

    Index unaware Index aware

    Limited diversification -I ndex onlystocks (20)

    Expanded universe 70+ Typically 20 - 30

    Risk focus is Active

    Total Risk is entirely determined byindex constituents

    Risk focus is Total

    Fundamental research helps identifyand manage risk

    Various, typically active

    Fundamental research, but still typicallyfocussed on active risk

    Large Cap dominates Mid / small c ap exposure helpsdiversify risk and m ay add substantial

    value

    Various, typically large c ap focussed

    Infinite capacity Limit on capacity allows formeaningful exposure to Best Ideas

    Capacity constraints limit desiredexposures

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 23

    Relative Performance

    Source: Morningstar

    1] Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance.

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 24

    Results as at 31st March 2013

    1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years Since Inception(16 April 2008)

    Fund Performance(Before fees and costs)

    35.4% 26.0% 22.7% 32.9% 5.4%

    Fund Performance(After fees and costs)

    34.2% 24.8% 21.5% 31.7% 4.4%

    Benchmark(S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT

    Accumulation Index)30.5% 15.2% 11.6% 18.5% -3.6%

    Excess Return(After fees and costs) 3.6% 9.6% 9.9% 13.2% 8.0%

    Important notes:

    Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance.

    The Fund changed its investment strategy on 1 July 2009, so 4 Year and Since Inception figures show performanceunder both mandates.

    Figures are annualised, with the exception of 1 Year figures.

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    9/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 25

    Consistency of Performance is important

    1] Alpha shows the difference between the Fund performance and the Benchmark. Past performance is not a reliable indication offuture performance.

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 26

    Understanding Attribution Analysis

    1] Past performance is not a reliable i ndication of future performance.

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 27

    Property Securities Learning Outcomes

    The A-REIT sector is complex and picking stocks yourself is difficult

    You need at least 15 stocks to avoid stock specific risk

    Because the index is concentrated a benchmark unaware approach is less risky

    and can offer higher returns. Therefore avoid index funds

    Large funds will only ever provide index like returns at a higher cost

    Smaller index unaware funds wil l give investors the best chance of out performing

  • 8/12/2019 19 Michael Blake Tuesday 800

    10/10

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 28

    Summary

    Direct property offers a high yield than listed

    Direct property is m ore tax effective

    Direct property provides monthly income

    Direct property provides diversification from shares and bonds

    BUT

    Listed property provides daily liquidity

    If you dont understand it dont buy it . Transparent investments are often the best

    Do not focus purely on yield but rather consider the total return and quality of the assets

    Dont become emotionally attached to your investment, your selling discipline is just as important as your buying

    Always re-balance across asset classes as relative valuations move. If an asset class falls you should be buying more tore-balance and if an asset class rises you should be selling. Most amateur investors do the opposite.

    Diversify, Diversify and Diversify

    Cromwell Property Group Investing in property for tax effective monthly income 29

    Thank you for your time