DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 27.05.2020

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.

Last update:

Period:2019 2020 % Chg

Extra-EU 666,536 543,629 - 18.4 %

United Kingdom 226,516 140,842 - 37.8 %

Philippines 43,394 57,385 + 32.2 %

Ghana 45,636 51,149 + 12.1 %

Ukraine 41,835 26,506 - 36.6 %

South Africa 35,629 21,741 - 39.0 %

Hong Kong 28,623 21,483 - 24.9 %

Other 244,903 224,522 - 8.3 %

POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Mar

Pri

ces

Wo

rld

Qu

ota

tio

ns

Pro

du

ctio

nTr

ade

EU* EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2020/2019 )

Wo

rld

Tra

de

- 0.6%

Ove

rall

Po

ult

ry M

eat

Pla

cin

gs B

roil

er

- 0.7% - 8.9%

Period: 2019 2020 % Chg

Extra-EU 247,220 200,620 - 18.8 %

United Kingdom 86,653 62,997 - 27.3 %

Brazil 67,913 57,797 - 14.9 %

Thailand 46,247 40,790 - 11.8 %

Ukraine 31,530 23,462 - 25.6 %

Chile 7,138 7,972 + 11.7 %

China 5,370 4,793 - 10.7 %

Other 2,370 2,808 + 18.5 %

POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Mar

EU* IMPORTS

( Main Partners in 2020/2019 )

11

,68

7

12

,15

4

12

,38

1

12

,71

6

12

,80

5

13

,26

3

13

,78

8

14

,49

5

14

,55

7

15

,25

2

15

,62

8

15

,85

6

11

,61

9

11

,80

0

11

,92

2

12

,23

3

12

,28

5

12

,71

9

13

,25

4

13

,83

1

13

,81

4

14

,46

2

14

,81

3

15

,01

3

101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 106% 106%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f

10

00

To

nn

es

EU+UK Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2019 and 2020 based on estimations )

EU+UK Production EU+UK Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)

EU*W E E K P R I C E S 21

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

Broiler

83%

Turkey

13%

Duck3%

Others

1%

EU+UK production of poultry meat

176.12

160

170

180

190

200

210

€ / 1

00

kg

BROILER EU* WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION

Avg. 2015-19 2019 2020

176.12

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

€ /

10

0 k

g

E U*, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S

EU

US

BR

174.82

64.88

176.12

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

EU* placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )

2018 2019 2020

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

900000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

EU* production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )

2018 2019 2020

97

7

91

3

90

4

93

5

24

7

20

1

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2016 2017 2018 2019 Jan-Mar19 Jan-Mar20

EU* Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

2,3

75

2,4

11

2,5

43

2,6

71

66

7

54

4

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

2,250

2,500

2,750

3,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 Jan-Mar19 Jan-Mar20

EU* Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

2018 2019 2020

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

2018 2019 2020

USD / EUR BRL / EUR

Bra

zil

Bra

zil

Un

ite

d S

tate

s

Un

ite

d S

tate

s

EU

EU

Tha

ila

nd

Tha

ila

nd

UK UK

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2019 (up to March). 2020 (up to March).

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

nes

Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to March).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Jap

an

Jap

anU

K

UKEU

EU

Me

xico

(up

to

Fe

b)

Me

xico

(up

to

Fe

b)

Sou

th A

fric

a

Sou

th A

fric

a

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

2019 (up to March). 2020 (up to March).

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

nes

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to March).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

PL2,54517%

UK1,95813%

FR1,73211%

ES1,63711%

DE1,57210%

IT1,285

9%

Others4,41729%

EU+UK Main Poultry Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)

Year 2018Total EU+UK= 15 145

5 MS + UK =

(+ 4.8% over 2017)

71% of total EU+UK

* EU without UK

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Pric

es

- 0.6% - 0.7% - 8.9%

EU*W E E K P R I C E S 21

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

176.12

€ / 1

00

kg

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E

Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)

* EU without UK

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Source: MS notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)

160

170

180

190

200

210

€ / 1

00

kg

BROILER EU* WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION

Avg. 2015-19 2019 2020

176.12

* EU without UK

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Broiler

83%

Turkey13%

Duck3%

Others1%

EU+UK production of poultry meat

Source: MSs notifications – Expert group

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Sources : EU = weighted average of country prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = CEPEA/ESALQ chilled chicken prices - São Paulo State

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

€ /

100

kg

E U*, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S

EU

US

BR

174.82

64.88

176.12

* EU without UK

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Source: ECB (European Central Bank)

USD / EUR BRL / EUR

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

2018 2019 2020

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

2018 2019 2020

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Page

Next

Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

EU* placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )

2018 2019 2020

* EU without UK

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Next

Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

900000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

EU* production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )

2018 2019 2020

* EU without UK

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Source: Eurostat

PL2 54517%

UK1 95813%

FR1 73211%

ES1 63711%

DE1 57210%

IT1 285

9%

Others4 41729%

EU+UK Main Poultry Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)

Year 2018Total EU+UK= 15 145

5 MS + UK =

(+ 4.8% over 2017)

71% of total EU+UK

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11 6

87

12 1

54

12 3

81

12 7

16

12 8

05

13 2

63

13 7

88

14 4

95

14 5

57

15 2

52

15 6

28

15 8

56

11 6

19

11 8

00

11 9

22

12 2

33

12 2

85

12 7

19

13 2

54

13 8

31

13 8

14

14 4

62

14 8

13

15 0

13

101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 106% 106%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

0

4 000

8 000

12 000

16 000

20 000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f

1000

Tonn

es

EU+UK Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2019 and 2020 based on estimations )

EU+UK Production EU+UK Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)

Source: DG AGRI EU Agricultural Outlook

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Braz

il Braz

il

Unite

d St

ates

Unite

d St

ates

EU

EU

UK UK

Thai

land

Thai

land

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2019 (up to March). 2020 (up to March).

Qty i

n 10

00 To

nnes

Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to March).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

EU without UK

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Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Japa

n

Japa

nEU

EU

Mex

ico

(up

to Fe

b)

Mex

ico

(up

to Fe

b)

Sout

h Af

rica

Sout

h Af

rica

UK UK

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

2019 (up to March). 2020 (up to March).

Qty i

n 10

00 To

nnes

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to March).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

EU without UK

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2,3

75

2,4

11

2,5

43

2,6

71

667

54

4

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

2,250

2,500

2,750

3,000

2016 2017 2018 2019 Jan-Mar19 Jan-Mar20

EU* Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat* EU without UK

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Source: Eurostat

Period:2019 2020 % Chg

Extra-EU 666,536 543,629 - 18.4 %

United Kingdom 226,516 140,842 - 37.8 %

Philippines 43,394 57,385 + 32.2 %

Ghana 45,636 51,149 + 12.1 %

Ukraine 41,835 26,506 - 36.6 %

South Africa 35,629 21,741 - 39.0 %

Hong Kong 28,623 21,483 - 24.9 %

Other 244,903 224,522 - 8.3 %

EU* Exports (Top destinations in 2020/2019)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Mar

* EU without UK

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977

913

904 93

5

247

201

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2016 2017 2018 2019 Jan-Mar19 Jan-Mar20

EU* Imports evolution(In 1000 tonnes CW)

Source: Eurostat * EU without UK

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Source: Eurostat

Period: 2019 2020 % Chg

Extra-EU 247,220 200,620 - 18.8 %

United Kingdom 86,653 62,997 - 27.3 %

Brazil 67,913 57,797 - 14.9 %

Thailand 46,247 40,790 - 11.8 %

Ukraine 31,530 23,462 - 25.6 %

Chile 7,138 7,972 + 11.7 %

China 5,370 4,793 - 10.7 %

Other 2,370 2,808 + 18.5 %

EU* Imports (Main partners in 2020/2019)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Mar

* EU without UK