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14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive Recipients or Active Agents? Matthew Dornan and Philippa Brant

14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

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Page 1: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

14 February 2014

Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop

Chinese Assistance in the Pacific:Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Recipients or Active Agents?

Matthew Dornan and Philippa Brant

Page 2: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

US$850 million disbursed between 2006-2011 Australian aid over same period totalled US$4.8

billion 2006 concessional loan package RMB 3 billion New US$1 billion concessional loan pledge in

November 2013

Size of Chinese aid in the Pacific

Page 3: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

What is Chinese aid?

• Total foreign aid budget now approx. US$6.4 billion. Larger than Australia

• Bilateral aid provided in three main forms:• Grants• Interest-free loans• Concessional loans

Page 4: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

What is Chinese aid?

• Interest-free loans• Provided for 20 years• 5 years of use• 5 year grace period• 10 years of repayment• Used for public facilities and projects that

‘improve people’s livelihood’• Can be renegotiated and outstanding debts

can be cancelled

Page 5: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

What is Chinese aid?

Grants• Provided ‘in-

kind’ (rather than cash)

• Used for small/medium projects

• Commonly given in amounts of RMB 10m or RMB 20m

Page 6: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

What is Chinese aid?

• Concessional loans• Minimum loan of RMB 20m• Current annual interest rate between 2-3%• 15-20 year repayment• 5-7 year grace period• Provided by China Eximbank• Not easily rescheduled or cancelled

Page 7: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

What is Chinese aid?

• Conditions• ‘One China’ – must recognise PRC not ROC• Tied to Chinese companies and contractors

• Concessional loans must (in principle) procure 50% of materials from China

• Reflects links between aid, investment and development

Page 8: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Key Actors

• State Council – sets policy direction• Department of Foreign Aid (within Ministry of

Commerce) – manages program• Ministry of Finance – approves budget• Other ministries & bodies involved in sectoral-

specific aid

• China Eximbank – provides concessional loans• Chinese state owned enterprises – implement

projects

• Chinese Embassies – responsibility/oversight in country

Page 9: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Cook Islands

• Total aid US$34m over past decade

• New 3-year strategy for utilisation of grant money developed by Cook Islands government

• ‘World first’ trilateral project funded through existing concessional loan from China + NZ grant

Page 10: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Tonga

• Since 2008, assistance to Tonga has been dominated by two large China Eximbank concessional loans, worth US$120 million (28% of GDP)

• Repayment has been deferred, although not the maturity of the loan

• The loans were negotiated and decided on at the political level, with limited input from the civil service

Page 11: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Samoa

• China Eximbank loans are valued at 16% of GDP, and have funded construction of key government buildings

• Clear and transparent decision-making processes have helped to safeguard the role of the civil service

• Oversight of construction is generally robust, with the government outsourcing supervision to engineering/construction firms.

Page 12: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Vanuatu

• The way in which China Eximbank loans are agreed is contentious

• ‘Big man’ politics appears to play a prominent role

• Contracting companies approach ministers with proposals and offers of Eximbank financing

• The Vanuatu Government has lobbied for grants and loans to cover project management costs, without success

Page 13: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Findings

• Political dynamics and the capacity of the civil service play an important role in determining the effectiveness of Chinese assistance

• Case studies highlight the importance of due process

• Transparency is vital, although often lacking• Central agencies should be involved in negotiating

assistance, given superior analytical capacity • Pacific islands countries can learn from one

another; evidence suggests that this is already occurring

Impact and effectiveness of Chinese assistance depends in large part on actions of Pacific Island

governments

Page 14: 14 February 2014 Australasian Aid and International Development Policy Workshop Chinese Assistance in the Pacific: Are Pacific Island Countries Passive

Thank youDr Matthew DornanDevelopment Policy CentreAustralian National UniversityE: [email protected]

Dr Philippa BrantLowy Institute for International Policy

E:[email protected]