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11/28/12
Company DescriptionSector: Industrials / Industry: Aerospace & Defense
3 Main Divisions: 1. Commercial Airplanes ~ 60% of revenues 2. Defense, Space, and Security ~ 40% of revenues 3. Boeing Capital Corporation < 1% of revenues
Geographic Sales Breakdown: A. US ~ 50% of revenues B. Asia (including China) ~ 18% of revenues C. Europe ~ 14% of revenues
Competitors: Airbus (subsidiary of European Aeronautic Defense and
Space Company) Lockheed Martin (LMT) Northrop Grumman (NOC)
Quick Stats Current Price: $74.09
Market Cap: $55.87B
Enterprise Value: $56.32B
Beta: 1.04
52 Week Price Range: $66.82 - $77.83
Div Yield: 2.40%
Income Statement Statistics:
Revenue (ttm): $78.95B
Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY): 12.90%
EBITDA (ttm): $7.73B
Profit Margin (ttm): 5.47%
Net Income (ttm): $4.31B
Valuation Statistics:
Trailing Price / Earnings Ratio: 13.05
Forward Price / Earnings Ratio: 14.56
5 Yr Growth Estimate: 11.90%
Prices / Sales Ratio: 0.71
Price / Book Ratio: 15.66
Enterprise Value / EBITDA: 7.28
Balance Sheet
Cash: $11.12B
Debt: $11.19B
Investment Thesis1. Beginning to Ride the Powerful Aerospace Cycle
2. Recent Earning Have Been Stellar and Stock Still Cheap Because of Over-Heightened Defense Spending Cut Headwinds
3. Huge Backlog and Solid and Increasing Dividend Makes Boeing a Safe Play
Boeing Regaining Market Share
Boeing’s Impressive Airplane Deliveries
Stellar Earnings Outpacing Estimates
Boeing’s Huge Backlog
Backlog stands at $378 billion including 4,100 unfilled commercial airplane orders
Would take over 7 years to clear this backlog out!
Steadily Increasing Dividend
Current Dividend = 2.40%
Industry/Peer Analysis
Risks1. Expected Defense Cuts in Washington
However…A. Implemented cost cuttingB. 25% of DSS revenues are international
2. Expenses Tied to Fuel CostsHuge operating expense ~ 1/3 of total expenses
3. Pension and Health Care BenefitsCurrently have ~ $24 billion in accrued liabilities
Conclusion/Price TargetBoeing will continue to blow out earnings,
pushing the P/E ratio down, until the stock becomes too cheap that the price will have to go up
12 month price target of $90, representing a 21% gain